BRIEFING Week #36 : Oil Prices Diverge from RealityHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
Indicators
INJ ANALYSIS🔮 #INJ Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 We can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #INJ and we can see a bullish movement after a good breakout. Before that we would see a little retest and and then a bullish movement.
💸Current Price -- $13.49
📈Target Price -- $16.34
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#INJ #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
How Many Indicators Are Too Many?
I have been trading for around 5 years and in that time, I lost money and hope more often than I can count. A common coping strategy I use when in a time of loss is to strip all the "completely useless" indicators from my charts. And 6 months later, I have more than I had before.
Recently, I have actually started to earn small amounts of money from the markets consistently but my indicator problem persists. The picture above is an example of just some of the indicators I use. So now I ask the question,
-How many indicators are too many?
There really is not an answer despite what those on reddit might tell you. I seem to always have this fantasy that I will find the perfect chart set-up with all my indicators telling me just what I want to know. And of course TradingView has Pinscript which only makes my habit worse by allowing me to create exactly what I want.
As I was thinking about chart layouts this morning I came to a conclusion that my trading will always be evolving and the way in which I view the visual output of markets will change as well. There will most likely never be a chart set-up that I will use for the next 20 years. Even when I find my edge, the process of trading will still evolve. My "edge" will never be an indicator or a set of indicators .
So I wrote this to try and help those that are experiencing the same dilemma. Just know that you are not alone in your obsession with finding that perfect layout. Add 100 indicators to your chart and then delete them all when you feel they don't belong. You will never find that perfect indicator but but neither will you stop looking. It may seems like it is all a waste of time but I assure you that everything you experience in trading is worth it and progress does happen .
Safe Trading, Frank
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AVGO before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 330usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $8.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LULU before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletica prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 195usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $14.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
IOT Samsara Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold IOT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IOT Samsara prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 34.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-5,
for a premium of approximately $2.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GTLB GitLab Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GTLB GitLab prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-3-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BRIEFING Week #35 : Monthly forecast for Q4Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-3-20,
for a premium of approximately $10.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why ETH Ethereum Could Surpass BTC Bitcoin’s Market CapIf you haven`t sold the previous top on ETH:
Now why Ethereum Could Surpass Bitcoin’s Market Cap:
1. Ethereum’s Network Upgrades Drive Value
Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, most notably the Merge, transitioning the network from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). This dramatically reduced ETH’s issuance rate and energy consumption, positioning Ethereum as a more sustainable and “deflationary” asset. With upcoming upgrades like Sharding, Ethereum is set to become faster, cheaper, and more scalable—critical factors for adoption in decentralized finance (DeFi) and Web3 applications.
2. DeFi and Smart Contract Dominance
Ethereum hosts the majority of DeFi protocols, NFT marketplaces, and decentralized applications (dApps). The network effect is strong: developers and users are deeply entrenched in Ethereum, creating high demand for ETH for transaction fees (gas) and staking. As DeFi continues to grow, ETH’s utility and demand could rise exponentially, putting upward pressure on price.
3. Institutional Interest and Adoption
Institutional interest in Ethereum has increased substantially. Products like ETH ETFs and staking services are attracting large-scale capital inflows. Unlike Bitcoin, which is often treated as digital gold, Ethereum has a dual narrative: store of value and programmable money. This unique proposition makes it appealing not only to investors but also to corporations exploring blockchain solutions.
4. Scarcity and Deflationary Pressure
Post-Merge, Ethereum implemented EIP-1559, which burns a portion of transaction fees, effectively reducing ETH supply over time. During periods of high network activity, ETH becomes increasingly deflationary. This contrasts with Bitcoin, whose fixed supply doesn’t adjust dynamically to network usage, giving Ethereum a potential advantage in a high-demand scenario.
5. Macro Trends and Crypto Evolution
As crypto matures, utility and adoption increasingly dictate valuation. Ethereum’s ecosystem—spanning DeFi, NFTs, DAOs, and enterprise solutions—is far more versatile than Bitcoin’s. This could make ETH the go-to platform for digital finance, giving it an edge in both market capitalization and long-term relevance.
HPQ HP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold HPQ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of HPQ HP prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-8-29,
for a premium of approximately $0.42.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the split:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $10.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BRIEFING Week #34 : The Rotation may have BegunHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
BRIEFING Week #33 : Status Quo... for nowHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
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Phil
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025:
Gold prices continued to rise in the European session on August 13, 2025 as mild US inflation data raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, while a weaker US dollar also boosted demand for gold.
Fundamental news: The US labor market report earlier this month initially weighed on the greenback, but the latest US CPI data added pressure as it did not show a clear acceleration in inflation due to tariffs in July. The inflation data reinforced the possibility that the Fed will take a more dovish stance in September, which is what the market is expecting.
Technical analysis: After a deep correction to the 3330 area, gold prices showed signs of increasing again. On the H1 frame, an upward price channel has been formed, but the current MA lines are still moving sideways, not showing a clear trend. The 3350 - 3355 area will be the important area to decide whether this uptrend channel can hold or not. RSI on H1 and H4 timeframes has entered the buy zone, this is a very good condition for us to trade. We will trade at the support zones and large liquidity zones of gold prices.
Important price zones today: 3350 - 3355, 3335 - 3340.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3350 - 3352
SL 3347
TP 3355 - 3365 - 3375 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3335 - 3337
SL 3332
TP 3340 - 3350 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3388 - 3390
SL 3393
TP 3385 - 3375 - 3365 - 3355 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
NBIS Nebius Group Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) presents a compelling bullish case for a potential doubling of its stock price by the end of 2025, driven by several fundamental factors that highlight its growth trajectory within the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has made a significant investment in Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), contributing to a $700 million funding round aimed at expanding Nebius's AI infrastructure capabilities. This investment aligns with NVIDIA's strategic focus on enhancing its presence in the rapidly growing AI market.
Explosive Revenue Growth:
Nebius Group has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth, with Q3 2024 revenues reaching $43.3 million, representing a 1.7-fold increase compared to the previous quarter and a staggering 766% year-over-year increase. This surge is primarily driven by the company's core AI infrastructure business, which grew 2.7 times quarter-over-quarter and 6.5 times year-over-year. Analysts expect this momentum to continue, projecting annual revenues of approximately $731.96 million for 2025, reflecting a robust demand for AI-centric services and solutions.
Strategic Investments in AI Infrastructure:
The company is heavily investing in expanding its GPU cluster capabilities and data center capacity, with plans to allocate over $1 billion towards these initiatives. This strategic focus on enhancing AI infrastructure positions Nebius to capture significant market share as the global demand for AI technologies continues to rise. The annualized run-rate for its cloud revenue has already surpassed $120 million, indicating strong customer adoption and a growing client base that includes Fortune 500 companies.
Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantage:
Nebius Group is uniquely positioned within the AI infrastructure landscape, specializing in full-stack solutions that cater to developers and enterprises looking to leverage AI technologies. As businesses increasingly prioritize AI integration into their operations, Nebius's comprehensive offerings make it an attractive partner for organizations seeking to enhance their technological capabilities. The company’s ability to provide scalable solutions will be crucial as the demand for AI services expands.
Healthy Financials and Cash Reserves:
As of September 30, 2024, Nebius reported cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $2.29 billion, providing a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives without excessive reliance on debt. This strong liquidity position allows Nebius to invest aggressively in technology and infrastructure while maintaining operational flexibility 14. Additionally, with gross margins projected to remain robust at around 55% in 2025, the company is well-positioned to improve profitability as revenues grow.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating
AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity.
The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters.
AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice.
2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers
AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years.
Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025.
Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix.
3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI
Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong.
Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow.
Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes.
4. Strong Management and Execution
CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 290usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $17.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought META before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 710usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-6-18,
for a premium of approximately $89.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Elliott Wave medium term analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is still consolidating, as shown on the charts.
The structure is shaping up like a classic Elliott Wave 1–2–3–4–5 pattern, with the 4th wave now in play.
This could mean another retest of $110,500 before launching into the final, larger 5th wave 🚀.
The 4th wave might present a solid long entry opportunity heading into the 5th.
📊 DYOR – trade safe.
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
PLUG Plug Power Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLUG Plug Power prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 6usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2027-1-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.0.49.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.