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Here’s How ETH Is Preparing for Its Next Expansion Move📊 MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN (H1) 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase - Price built a clear base (sideways box). - Liquidity swept → breakout → strong impulsive leg upward. - This is classic accumulation → expansion. 2️⃣ Second Accumulation Very similar structure: - Compression inside the box - Sharp liquidity flush - V-shaped recovery → bullish breakout This confirms institutional accumulation behavior. 3️⃣ Current Structure (Right Range) You marked SUPPORT ZONE & RESISTANCE ZONE. ETH is repeating the same playbook: - Long wick rejection into Support - Price oscillates inside the range (liquidity creation) - A breakout is likely to follow once enough orders are collected. This is the third accumulation cycle — textbook bullish continuation. 🎯 TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry Zone: 3310 – 3350 (Support Zone dips / liquidity sweeps) Stop Loss: Below support box: 3250 Take Profit: Partial at 3450–3500 Full target at 3600+ (expected breakout continuation) Why this works: ETH has shown the exact pattern twice: Range → Liquidity Sweep → Expansion. Current price is building the third range — probability favors another upward expansion. 📈 SUMMARY: ETH is not random it is systematically accumulating before each major pump. As long as price holds the Support Zone and continues ranging, the bullish continuation scenario remains the highest-probability play.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
EUR/USD Is Compressing — A Breakout Is Getting Close📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE NZD/USD is moving inside a well-defined descending channel, creating: Lower Highs Lower Lows However, the most recent bearish swings are shorter and losing momentum — a signal that the downtrend is weakening. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION Every touch of the channel’s lower boundary triggers a visible reaction upward. Recent candles show: Smaller bearish bodies Wicks rejecting the lows Early signs of micro higher lows These elements indicate absorption of sell pressure. ⏳ (3) HTF CONTEXT On the H1 structure: Price is sitting at the oversold edge of the channel Momentum is compressing The market is forming a tight consolidation zone This compression phase often precedes a bullish breakout. 📐 (4) EXPECTATION High-probability scenario: Price may dip slightly to retest 0.5960 – 0.5965 A new higher low forms Breakout of the upper channel line Price extends toward 0.6025 – 0.6040 This is a textbook reversal from the channel floor. 🎯 (5) TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry: 0.5960 – 0.5965 Stop Loss: Below 0.5940 Take Profit: TP1: 0.5990 TP2: 0.6015 TP3: 0.6038 (breakout target) Key Advantages Weakening bearish momentum Clean reactions from channel support Tight compression before breakout High R:R opportunity with controlled risk
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
ETH Is Entering the Trap Zone…ETHUSD Market Analysis – Price Is Entering a Make-or-Break Zone 1. Current Market Structure - ETH has broken the previous downtrend (breakout from the descending trendline). - After the breakout, price moved into the Moving Price Zone, consolidating inside an expanding channel. - Price is now touching the RESISTANCE ZONE, showing clear signs of buying exhaustion. - The SUPPORT ZONE below (green area) remains the key liquidity zone where strong demand has appeared before. 2. Today’s Scenario (Main Outlook) 🔹 Main Scenario – Bearish Reaction From Resistance - ETH is likely to: -Continue to move sideways inside the resistance area → a sign of fading bullish momentum. -Then initiate a strong corrective drop, following the expanding wedge structure. -Expected downward targets: + First support area + Or deeper → the main SUPPORT ZONE to collect liquidity. Reasons: - The resistance zone is too strong → multiple rejections. - Price structure resembles a “distribution zone.” - The current rising channel after breakout is only a temporary recovery. 3. Market Psychology Traders turn cautious as ETH enters a major resistance area. Smart money tends to distribute positions at high prices → leading to sideways top formation. Buying liquidity weakens the closer price moves to resistance. This hesitation often precedes a sharp correction phase. 4. Trading Outlook (Intraday) 📌 SELL Zone (High Probability) 3380 – 3420 TP1: 3230 TP2: 3050 SL: 3460 📌 BUY Zone (Re-entry – Low Risk) 2720 – 2800 TP: 2980 – 3050 SL: 2660 5. Conclusion ETH is approaching a critical decision point: Priority scenario: Sideways at resistance → followed by a downward move to support. Bullish continuation only becomes valid if ETH breaks above 3440 with strong volume.. Stay patient. Smart money wins by waiting, not chasing. The next big move will reward discipline.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
EURUSD Is About to Surprise Everyone…1. Market Structure - EURUSD is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel, with price bouncing consistently from the lower trendline and rejecting the upper boundary. This confirms a strong bullish structure. 2. Key Zones 🔹 Strong Support Zone (Bottom Green) This is the origin of the current bullish reversal. As long as price stays above this zone, the macro bullish bias remains valid. 🔹 Weak Support Zone (Middle Green) Price recently tapped this area again and produced a bullish reaction exactly at the lower channel support. This confirms buyers are actively defending the trendline. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Top Red) This is the next major area that could cause a temporary pullback before continuation. 3. Price Reaction Your chart marks a bullish signal at the channel’s lower boundary. this is a textbook continuation setup: -Higher lows -Higher highs -Trendline support respected - No structural break to the downside The circle highlight shows a successful retest, signaling fresh buying pressure.. 4. Expected Move If price holds within the channel: ✔️ Pullback into support ✔️ Bounce from lower trendline ✔️ Break above resistance ✔️ Extension to the top of the channel The green zig-zag projection on your chart perfectly illustrates this bullish wave sequence. 5. Bullish Scenario As long as price stays above the lower trendline → EURUSD remains in a clean uptrend. Next targets: 1.1680 – 1.1700 (Resistance Zone) Breakout above → Move toward upper channel extension 6. Bearish Invalidation The outlook fails only if: ❌ Price breaks below the channel ❌ Closes under the weak support zone As of now — this has NOT happened. Stay patient and trust the structure — clean price action inside a rising channel often leads to explosive continuation moves.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Traders: The Calm Before the Breakdown — Are You Ready?1. Current Market Structure Gold is entering a technical correction phase after fully completing the bullish impulse cycle (1) → (5). Key structural points: - The bullish wave cycle has completed, signaling the start of a corrective phase. - The first corrective leg Wave A has already formed, matching the classical ABC correction model. - The 4163–4157 zone (blue region) acts as the primary support for Wave A. - Beneath this area lies the major Liquidity Cluster 4128–4135, where large liquidity pools are positioned—this is the ideal destination for Wave C to complete. 2. Today's Market Scenario 🔹 Main Scenario – Aligned With the Ongoing Corrective Trend The price is expected to follow a typical ABC behavior: Step 1 – Formation of Wave B - Gold may experience a mild upward retracement to complete Wave B. - This bounce is expected to be weak, as market structure remains in a corrective state. Step 2 – Completion of Wave C After Wave B: - Price is likely to continue downward to complete Wave C. - The target lies at the 4128–4135 liquidity zone. - This move will absorb liquidity, attract large buy orders, and prepare the market for the next bullish cycle. This is the highest-probability scenario, supported by: Elliott Wave structure Liquidity mapping Current price behavior Psychological flow ahead of major news 3. Market Psychology - Major timeframes are signaling a short-term correction, not a reversal. - The market is moving slowly and narrowly, reflecting caution from both sides. - This type of movements is classic accumulation → compression before volatility expansion. - Sideways behavior shows the market is collecting orders for the next significant move. 4. Intraday Trading Setups – Correction Strategy 📌 SETUP 1 – Timing Sell Zone XAUUSD SELL: 👉 4265 – 4268 Take Profit (TP): 🎯 4262 – 4257 Stop Loss (SL): ❎ 4272 ⚠️ Apply strict risk management. 📌 SETUP 2 – Timing Buy Zone XAUUSD BUY: 👉 4147 – 4150 Take Profit (TP): 🎯 4153 – 4158 Stop Loss (SL): ❎ 4143 ⚠️ Prioritize capital safety during corrections. 5. Conclusion The market continues to follow the exact wave cycle previously analyzed: ✔ Wave B: Expected short-term upward retracement ✔ Wave C: Expected decline into 4128–4135 liquidity zone ✔ Overall: Correction phase still dominant Gold is behaving textbook perfect according to Elliott Wave + liquidity structure. Stay disciplined, trust the structure — great traders profit from patience, not luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
2
Price Is Sitting on a High-Probability Demand Zone 📌 MARKET OUTLOOK USDJPY continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel, forming a clean sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Right now, price has tapped the Demand Zone at the bottom of the channel — a level that has consistently acted as a reaction point. After rejecting this zone, the market created a small pullback, forming a clearer Entry Zone for a potential bullish correction. The structure shows a classic pattern: ➡️ Bounce from Demand → Pullback → Higher Low → Long Setup This gives us a high-probability opportunity to follow the upcoming corrective leg of the channel. 🎯 TRADE SETUP (Entry – SL – TP) ✅ ENTRY ZONE 155.10 – 155.25 (Aligned with the pullback and the retest highlighted in the chart.) ❌ STOP LOSS (SL ZONE) 154.70 – 154.85 (Placed safely below the Demand Zone and channel support to avoid noise.) 🥇 TAKE PROFIT 1 (TP1) 155.90 – 156.10 (Targeting the upper boundary of the channel.) 🥈 TAKE PROFIT 2 (TP2 – Extended Move) 156.60 – 157.00 (If price breaks market structure and shifts momentum upward.)
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
How to Build a Consistent Execution Checklist on TradingViewMost trading mistakes don’t come from bad strategy, they come from inconsistent execution. An execution checklist removes guesswork and replaces it with structure. When your actions follow a routine, your results stabilize. TradingView gives you everything you need to build a checklist that stays visible, actionable, and tied directly to your chart. 1. Define Your Core Conditions Before any trade, the bigger picture must be clear. Start your checklist by answering three questions: What is the higher-timeframe direction Where is price relative to key levels Is price approaching with strength or weakness Use TradingView’s drawing tools to mark support, resistance, value zones, and session highs and lows. Add a simple text note on the chart listing your core conditions so they are always visible. If the market context fails this first screen, the trade is already invalid. 2. Build Confirmation Criteria Once structure is confirmed, you move to evidence. Mark confirmation areas directly on your chart: Liquidity pools Fair value zones or imbalances Previous session highs and lows Asian range or New York open If your strategy uses indicators, document exact conditions: Moving average position and slope Volume behavior VWAP location Volatility expansion or contraction Define rules that don’t change based on emotion. Confirmation should prove your bias, not justify your urge to trade. 3. Validate Risk Before Execution Every setup must survive a risk checkpoint before it’s allowed to go live. Your checklist must answer: Where is my invalidation level How much capital am I risking Does this violate any daily limits Is the reward worth the risk Use TradingView’s long or short position tool to visualize risk directly on the chart. Save it as a template so your risk process stays uniform across all trades. No trade is valid if risk isn’t clean. 4. Create a Pre-Execution Routine A checklist only works if you actually follow it. Add a short pre-trade process directly to your chart notes using checkboxes or bullet points: Example execution checklist: Market phase confirmed Level identified Confirmation present Risk valid Entry condition active Walk through this list before clicking buy or sell. If one item fails, the trade fails. Over time, this routine removes emotional impulse completely. 5. Review and Refine Weekly Your checklist isn’t static, it evolves. Every week ask: Where did I break my rules What conditions led to losses Which confirmations work best What rules saved me from bad trades Use TradingView’s trade replay and journaling features to review execution quality, not just profit. Consistency improves when your system evolves with you. Final Thought A checklist doesn’t restrict your trading, it frees you from emotion. When your process is clear, your confidence increases. When your confidence increases, discipline follows. Good traders make decisions. Great traders execute procedures. Stay Green!
Education
by Green_Squad
6
SPX WEEK 48 — Strong Bounce Into Year-End! 2026 BULL RUN COMING?Strong week for the SP:SPX index. After two weeks of hesitation candles, price finally shifted back into strength and pushed decisively higher. This week’s candle not only reclaimed momentum but fully erased last week’s cooling-off behavior. Price also moved well above the key mid-range levels that traders usually watch to define trend health. It’s now sitting firmly above the major risk zone and continues building distance away from it — a clear sign of strength. From the moment this week’s upside break triggered, the index has gained roughly 1.9%, and that kind of move typically translates into solid returns for options traders playing directional setups. Major support zones sit lower around 5900, 5100, and the deeper structural support near 4000. As long as price holds above the upper layers of support, momentum remains intact. On the higher-timeframe monthly chart, the trend has been active for eight straight months with no signs of exhaustion. Price is still far above the level where the monthly trend began, and even further above the long-term midline — showing how dominant the larger trend still is. The 2-day chart continues to support the overall bullish structure, breaking above short-term levels and maintaining strength after multiple confirmations earlier in the week. This week was a clean continuation of the broader uptrend — strong candle, strong momentum, and strong positioning above every major structural region. Elite clarity. Elite precision. More coming soon.
SP:SPXLong
by GURULifeline
U Unity Potential Buyout Soon?!If you missed my previous signal on U (Unity): Now Unity Technologies (NYSE: U) just caught fire — surging 12.5% in a single day — on a massive uptick in volume that should have every sharp trader watching closely. With $39.1M in volume against a daily average of 9.4M shares, something is clearly brewing beneath the surface. But this isn’t just about technicals — the options market is lighting up with unusual activity, and there’s fundamental buyout potential that’s getting harder to ignore. 🔍 Options Traders Are Making Bold Bets Yesterday: Traders loaded up on January 16 $37 strike calls — deep out-of-the-money, high-risk, high-reward plays. Today: A massive $3.5 million bet was placed on the $30 strike calls, also expiring January 16. These aren’t casual bets. This is smart money positioning for a potential takeover or major catalyst, and the timeline is clear: January 2025. 📈 Why a Buyout Could Be Back on the Table Let’s rewind. On August 9, 2022, AppLovin (APP) made an unsolicited offer to acquire Unity in an all-stock deal worth $17.5B, valuing Unity shares at $58.85 — an 18% premium at the time. Unity rejected the deal. Fast forward to today: AppLovin's market cap has exploded — now sitting at a jaw-dropping $127B, up 3,800% since late 2022. Unity, meanwhile, is a shadow of its former self, trading far below its ATH of $201.12 (November 2021), with ongoing struggles in monetization and competition. But this disparity creates a prime M&A setup: AppLovin now has the firepower and strategic incentive to revisit the acquisition — with Unity’s depressed valuation, it’s arguably a bargain. The AI + gaming narrative is red hot. Combining Unity’s engine with AppLovin’s ad and monetization capabilities could be the synergy Wall Street loves. 🎯 The Trade Setup Unity just broke out with conviction on high volume — this could be the first leg of a larger move. Options flow suggests bullish sentiment into early 2025. A renewed takeover offer could easily push the stock back toward the $50–60 zone, if not higher. 🧠 Final Thoughts Unity is no stranger to volatility, but when volume spikes, options explode, and a cash-rich suitor like AppLovin is thriving, traders should sit up and pay attention. We may be watching the early stages of a buyout story 2.0 unfold — and Wall Street might be starting to price it in. 📌 Watch Unity (U) closely in the coming weeks. The market may be whispering — or shouting — "Takeover incoming."
NYSE:ULong
by TopgOptions
7
MRK Merck On the Verge of a Breakout? Unusual Calls !!Merck (MRK) is setting up for what could be a high-probability breakout. The stock has been in a falling wedge pattern for several months — a classic technical formation that often precedes sharp upside moves. Price action has now compressed to the end of the wedge, and we may be on the brink of a bullish resolution. 🔍 Technical Setup Falling Wedge Pattern nearing completion Price currently hovering near long-term support ($78.25) Strong bullish divergence forming on momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) The falling wedge is typically a reversal pattern, and given how deep MRK has pulled back from its highs ($134+), the risk/reward here looks compelling. 🔥 Options Flow Today’s options market added fuel to the fire: 48,000 call contracts traded expiring this Friday This sudden surge in short-dated call buying signals aggressive positioning for an imminent move This kind of volume is not retail-driven — it points to potential institutional interest 💡 The Bullish Case With the technical breakout structure in place and strong confirmation from options flow, the case for a bullish reversal is growing. If MRK can close above wedge resistance with volume, it opens the door to a quick move toward $85+, possibly even higher in the coming weeks. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MRKLong
by TopgOptions
Bullish Thesis for INTC Intel Stock in 2025If you haven`t bought INTC before the previous earnings: Now Intel INTC is positioned for a potential turnaround and upside by the end of 2025, driven by strategic leadership changes, foundry business expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical dynamics. Here’s why INTC could head higher this year: 1. Leadership Transformation and Strategic Vision The appointment of Lip-Bu Tan as CEO in March 2025 has injected new optimism into Intel’s prospects. Tan is a respected semiconductor industry veteran, and his arrival was met with a 10% jump in INTC’s share price, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the company’s direction. 2. Foundry Business Expansion and Government Support Intel’s pivot toward a foundry-centric model is gaining momentum. The company is leveraging its U.S.-based manufacturing footprint to attract domestic and international clients, especially as geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions make U.S. chip production more attractive. There is speculation about strategic partnerships, such as TSMC potentially acquiring a stake in Intel’s foundry operations, which could accelerate technology transfers and client wins. The U.S. government is likely to continue supporting domestic semiconductor manufacturing through incentives and tariffs, directly benefiting Intel’s foundry ambitions. 3. AI and Next-Gen Product Launches Intel is aggressively targeting the AI and data center markets. The upcoming Jaguar Shores and Panther Lake CPUs, built on the advanced 18A process node, are set for release in the second half of 2025. These chips will be available not only for Intel’s own products but also for external clients like Amazon and Microsoft, expanding the addressable market. Intel’s renewed focus on AI accelerators and competitive cost structures could help it regain share in high-growth segments. 4. Financial Resilience and Market Position Despite recent setbacks, Intel remains a dominant player in the PC CPU market and continues to generate substantial revenue, outpacing some key competitors in the latest quarter. Analysts have revised their short-term price targets upward, with some projecting INTC could reach as high as $62—a potential upside of over 170% from current levels. Forecasts for 2025 suggest an average price target in the $40–$45 range, with bullish scenarios pointing even higher if execution on foundry and AI strategies meets expectations. 5. Technical and Sentiment Factors While technical analysis currently signals caution, the $18.50–$20 zone has provided strong support, and any positive news on foundry contracts or AI wins could catalyze a breakout from current consolidation patterns. Market sentiment has shifted more positively following the CEO change and strategic announcements, suggesting the potential for a sustained rebound if Intel delivers on its promises. In conclusion: Intel’s combination of visionary leadership, foundry expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical trends sets the stage for a potential stock price recovery by the end of 2025. With analyst targets and investor sentiment turning more bullish, INTC presents a compelling case for upside as it executes its turnaround strategy Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:INTCLong
by TopgOptions
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally: What to consider now: 1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base. 2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential. 3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout. 4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter. 5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AAPLLong
by TopgOptions
NVDA to $170? AI Bubble Risk, Big Money Exits & Heavy Shorts !I f you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings: Now you need to know that NVIDIA has dominated 2023–2025, becoming the face of the global AI boom. But the higher the climb, the harder the fall. While NVDA is still seen as “untouchable,” several major signals suggest the stock could revisit levels near $170 — a healthy correction of 10–15% from here. 1. Major Investors Are Exiting — SoftBank Dumped Everything SoftBank, one of Nvidia’s earliest and most influential institutional backers, sold its entire stake in late 2025, worth roughly $5.8 billion. Smart-money exits near all-time highs should never be ignored. SoftBank rarely sells unless it believes: - the sector is overheated - the valuation has run too far - risk/reward becomes asymmetric This mirrors their strategy in 2021–2022 when they unloaded overvalued tech before the correction. SoftBank’s full exit is a red flag for anyone ignoring the possibility of an AI bubble. 2. Michael Burry Bought Massive Puts — A Direct Bet Against the AI Mania Michael Burry — famous for predicting the 2008 crisis — has quietly increased his put positions on NVIDIA and other AI names. Why does this matter? Because Burry doesn’t short “normal” overvaluations. He shorts bubbles. His AI thesis: - expectations are unrealistic - revenue growth is priced as infinite - companies are spending billions on AI with no short-term monetization - chip demand could normalize faster than markets expect When a contrarian with Burry’s track record bets against a trend, it’s worth paying attention. 3. NVIDIA’s Valuation Is Stretched Even for a Hyper-Growth Company Even bulls agree: NVDA’s multiples are once again aggressively priced. Key issues: • Price-to-Sales historically elevated NVDA is trading at a P/S ratio that would be insane for any company approaching a $5 trillion market cap. • Revenue growth expectations assume perfect long-term AI adoption If AI monetization slows or plateaus even slightly, NVDA’s valuation collapses fast. 4. Are We in an AI Bubble? Many Indicators Say Yes Top analysts, academics, and even bullish investors admit: AI has bubble-like behavior. Evidence of a bubble: - Stock prices rising faster than actual earnings growth - Companies buying GPUs “because everyone else is doing it” - Zero clarity on monetization for many AI firms - AI startups valued at billions with no revenue - Media hype similar to 1999 dot-com sentiment Harvard Business Review, Wired, and Investopedia already discuss the “AI bubble thesis.” If AI expectations don’t materialize fast enough, NVDA becomes the single most vulnerable stock on the market.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TopgOptions
PLTR to $150: Overvaluation, AI Hype, Slowing Government Growth If you haven`t bought PLTR at $16: Palantir has become one of the most crowded trades of the AI boom. While the company is strong fundamentally, the stock price has detached from reality. A move toward $150 (post-split) is not only reasonable — it is structurally likely. 1. Extreme Valuation — PLTR Trades Like a Hyper-Growth AI Leader, But Growth Is Slowing Palantir’s current valuation assumes: accelerating revenue growth massive enterprise AI adoption long-term dominance in the AI/defense space But real numbers tell a different story: government revenue growth has slowed commercial AI revenue is not scaling as fast as expected current valuation implies “perfection” PLTR is priced like Nvidia, but grows closer to a legacy enterprise software company. That gap must eventually close. 2. Government Contracts Are Growing Much Slower Than Expected Historically, the Gov segment was Palantir’s growth engine. Now: U.S. federal agencies face budget constraints large DoD and DHS contracts are delayed or split among competitors players like Anduril, C3.ai, and smaller defense tech shops are taking share geopolitical spending doesn’t translate directly into PLTR revenue Slowing government growth is a major red flag, because it removes the company’s most stable source of revenue. 3. AI Hype in the Commercial Segment Is Not Converting Into Real Revenue (Yet) Most of the excitement around PLTR in 2024–2025 comes from: AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform) enterprise copilots generative AI tools predictive modeling engines But the commercial AI pipeline suffers from: too many POCs (proof-of-concepts) long implementation timelines (6–24 months) high customer acquisition costs conservative corporate spending The hype is real. The revenue, not so much. 4. Heavy Insider Selling — A Consistent Bearish Signal Top insiders have repeatedly sold shares into every major rally: Alex Karp (CEO) Shyam Sankar (COO) multiple VPs and directors Notice what’s missing: large insider buying. Insiders consistently cash out when retail enthusiasm peaks, which historically precedes corrections. Macro Risk: If AI Capex Slows, PLTR Gets Hit Harder Than NVDA PLTR is far more sensitive to an AI spending slowdown than hardware leaders like Nvidia, which still enjoy massive chip demand.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by TopgOptions
NGAS 1D - bulls waiting for the green lightOn the daily chart, Natural Gas has broken out of a falling wedge, but price remains below the MA200, while EMA still hovers above it - a mixed signal showing short-term hesitation within a longer-term downtrend. The 3.10–3.20 buy zone remains key - that’s where the retest area aligns with short-term support. If buyers can reclaim the EMA and push above the MA200, the next upside targets are 4.14 and then 4.92. Volume on the breakout supports growing bullish interest, while fundamentals - like rising seasonal demand - may soon add more fuel to the move. Tactically , watch how price behaves near MA200. Once EMA flips back on top, momentum could accelerate fast. Until then, the market’s like a gas burner waiting for that click - ignition pending
FX:NGASLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
AI expanded collaboration with MSFT MicrosoftPositioning for the next wave of enterprise AI adoption, rather than the last earnings print: 1. Deepening Microsoft Integration = Real Distribution Power The most important recent development is C3ai’s expanded collaboration with Microsoft: C3 ai is now natively integrated across Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Fabric and Azure AI Foundry, effectively becoming an “intelligence layer” on top of Microsoft’s enterprise stack. This makes it much easier for large customers already running on Azure and using Copilot to deploy, manage, and scale vertical AI applications from C3ai (manufacturing, energy, financial services, government, etc.). In simple terms: Microsoft brings the distribution and cloud muscle; C3ai brings vertical AI apps. If this integration starts to convert more pilots into long-term subscriptions, the current depressed valuation may not last. 2. Beaten-Down Expectations + Long Runway Bears focus on the obvious problems: Revenue has recently declined and margins are under pressure as C3 ai spends to convert pilots and expand its product suite. Cash flow is negative, and there’s no GAAP profitability in sight yet. However, management guides for positive free cash flow by FY26 and non-GAAP profitability in the second half of FY27, with strong revenue growth resuming as production deployments scale. If those targets prove even roughly correct, the stock today is pricing in a lot of failure. Any upside surprise on: deal conversions, operating leverage, or new, high-profile customer wins via Microsoft’s ecosystem could trigger a meaningful re-rating from these levels. 3. Macro Headwinds as Future Tailwinds Recent economic data and rate worries have hit high-growth tech – including C3ai – as investors fled anything with long-dated cash flows. For a contrarian bull, that’s exactly the kind of environment where: expectations are low, sentiment is washed out, and good news is under-priced. If the macro picture stabilizes and rate-cut expectations firm up, beaten-down AI names like C3.ai can suddenly look interesting again, especially with a strategic partner like Microsoft in their corner. AI is a potential buyout candidate, in my opinion.
NYSE:AILong
by TopgOptions
VKTX Viking Therapeutics Potential Buyout Soon?!If you haven`t bought VKTX before the previous rally: If GLP-1 obesity drugs are a multi-hundred-billion-dollar opportunity, a successful VK2735 (injectable + oral) could justify a valuation far north of where VKTX trades today—if it makes it to market. My bullish thesis: 1. GLP-1 Momentum + “Mini Lilly / Novo” Narrative VKTX is seen as a “pure play” on the global obesity and metabolic-disease boom. Viking’s lead program, VK2735, is a dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist being developed in both injectable and oral form for obesity and related metabolic disorders. Phase 1 and Phase 2 data for the injectable version have already shown meaningful weight loss with an encouraging safety/tolerability profile, which is why it advanced into large Phase 3 obesity trials. An oral version of VK2735 is in Phase 2 obesity trials and, in the VENTURE oral study, delivered up to ~12.2% mean weight loss at 13 weeks, with a clear dose response. 2. Rapid Trial Execution = Strong Momentum & Upcoming Catalysts Another big talking point is how fast Viking is executing on its trials, which bulls see as a leading indicator of future news flow: Viking recently announced completion of enrollment in its Phase 3 VANQUISH-1 VK2735 obesity trial, with ~4,650 patients (above the original 4,500 target). The company highlighted VK2735 data at ObesityWeek 2025 and continues to position both injectable and oral formulations as core programs. Management has reiterated that VK2735 oral and injectable programs are moving forward on schedule, with more data expected as Phase 3 and longer-duration studies mature. 3. Short Interest + “Squeeze Fuel” Angle VKTX has a high short interest, which Twitter traders love to highlight: Recent data shows around 22–23% of the float short, with days to cover >5 based on average volume. For many momentum and options traders, this is exactly the kind of setup they look for: High short interest = a lot of investors betting against the stock. Any positive surprise (trial data, partnership, M&A rumor, or a strong breakout on the chart) could force shorts to cover. If that happens during a period of high retail interest, the price action can get violent to the upside. 4. Analyst Targets + Big Pharma Takeover Speculation Analyst consensus is currently Strong Buy, with an average price target around $95+. On top of that, there’s constant speculation that VKTX could become a takeover target: The GLP-1 market is being dominated by Eli Lilly (Zepbound, Mounjaro) and Novo Nordisk (Wegovy, Ozempic). Many large pharma companies without a strong obesity franchise might prefer buying a late-stage asset rather than starting from scratch. VK2735, with Phase 3 obesity trials underway and promising oral data, is the kind of asset that fits that narrative.
NASDAQ:VKTXLong
by TopgOptions