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Elliot Waves Strategy ExplainedElliott Wave theory is not a forecasting tool. The moment it’s used that way, it becomes useless. It does not tell you where price will go. It describes how participation unfolds once direction is already present. At its simplest, markets alternate between expansion and digestion. Impulse waves show commitment and follow-through. Corrective waves show hesitation, overlap, and redistribution. Everything else traders add on top is interpretation, not edge. Most traders fail with Elliott Waves because they try to label the market instead of read it. Wave counts are adjusted after every pullback to protect bias. When a count needs defending, it has already lost its value for execution. Wave completion does not mean reversal. Strong trends extend, truncate, or move into complex corrections without ever giving clean countertrend entries. Acting on a “finished” wave without a structural break is just early positioning dressed up as analysis. The subjectivity of Elliott Waves is the warning label. If two valid counts exist, neither can justify risk on its own. Structure, location, and participation come first. The wave count only adds context to what price is already showing. Used correctly, Elliott Waves help with expectations and trade management. They stop traders from chasing late impulses and from exiting too early during normal corrections. Used incorrectly, they create the illusion of control over an uncertain market. Elliott Waves don’t give certainty. They give restraint. And restraint is far more valuable.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDEducation
by tomas_jntx
Buy Signal on HoneywellTrading Fam, Got two more buy signals recently from my indicator. Waited till today for confirmation on entry. So here are the technicals: 1) My indicator gave us a buy on the 25th of Nov. The signal was confirmed by volume. 2) We've broken to the top side of the VRVP PoC 3) We've broken to the top side of that descending trendline Resistance will be both that 350/200 SMA above. After that, I'm shooting for the 24Jul gap for a moderate 11% profit. The risk is a low 2.2%. I don't want to see us drop back below that PoC/50 SMA or I'm out. ✌️Stew
NASDAQ:HONLong
by stewdamus
4
Liquidity Grab into Reversal (PDH / AM High → Sellside Move)1/13 Session Recap — Liquidity Grab into Reversal (PDH / AM High → Sellside Move) Today’s price action gave a clean, teachable sequence: Market Structure • Price pushed into an upside resistance pocket (PDH + upper POI area / AM High zone). • After the tag, the market showed rejection + displacement down, signaling the reversal was active. • The rest of the session delivered a sellside expansion into lower levels. What I looked for 1. Tag of key upside level (PDH / AM High region) 2. Rejection candles / failure to hold above level 3. Shift in momentum → continuation lower Execution (Options) I executed the move using QQQ puts and scaled: • 626P (starter / main) • 624P and 620P (adds as confirmation strengthened) Outcome ✅ Clean reversal execution ✅ Scaled entries + profit-taking into the dump ✅ Net: +$165.68 Key takeaway The edge was NOT predicting — it was waiting for price to reach the level, then reacting to confirmation. (Educational only, not financial advice.)
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by TradeswithB
Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally?Gold (XAUUSD) Price Outlook: Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally? 1. Market Context: Margin Hike Drives Forced Selling, Not Structural Weakness Gold closed last week with a sharp downside move, but the decline was driven primarily by a technical and mechanical factor rather than a deterioration in fundamentals. The increase in futures margin requirements forced leveraged traders to liquidate positions, triggering a cascade of sell orders. This type of margin-driven selloff typically exaggerates price moves and does not, by itself, signal a change in the broader trend. Despite the magnitude of the drop, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. 2. Trader Behavior Shift: From Momentum Chasing to Selective Positioning For several months, traders aggressively chased upside momentum, consistently lifting offers as price moved higher. The margin hike has altered that behavior. With higher capital requirements, participants are now more selective, focusing on value zones and confirmation rather than momentum alone. Until upside momentum re-emerges, gold is likely to trade with more caution and tactical positioning rather than impulsive trend extension. 3. Weekly Close Snapshot: Sharp Loss, Trend Still Preserved XAUUSD settled last week at $4,332.06, down $201.14 (-4.44%). While the weekly decline was significant, it did not violate the core structure of the uptrend. From a professional trading perspective, this type of correction is consistent with position rebalancing rather than trend failure, especially after an extended rally. 4. Primary Technical Structure: Defining Bullish and Bearish Boundaries From a technical standpoint, the main trend remains bullish. A sustained break above $4,550 would confirm trend continuation and signal renewed upside expansion. Conversely, the trend would only shift decisively bearish if price breaks below $3,886 on a weekly closing basis. Until one of these levels is resolved, gold remains structurally bullish within a corrective phase. 5. Key Decision Zone: $4,218–$4,139 Sets the Near-Term Tone The most critical area in the current structure lies between $4,218 and $4,139, a key retracement zone. Price reaction here will determine the next directional move. Strong buying interest on the first test would suggest the formation of a secondary higher low, reinforcing bullish continuation toward the record high near $4,550. Failure to hold $4,139, however, would signal weakness and increase the probability of a deeper corrective leg toward $3,886. 6. Long-Term Value Area: Where Institutional Buyers May Step In For longer-term positioning, the weekly chart highlights a high-confluence support cluster between $3,545 and $3,472. This zone aligns with the 50% retracement of the rally from the November 2024 low at $2,537, as well as the 52-week moving average near $3,472. As long as this moving average holds, the broader market regime remains firmly in “buy-the-dip” mode rather than a trend reversal environment. 7. Geopolitical Catalyst: Venezuela Crisis Adds Risk Premium Fundamentally, gold has received a fresh tailwind from rising geopolitical uncertainty. Developments in Venezuela escalated after the U.S. launched a military strike and detained President Nicolás Maduro on criminal charges. President Donald Trump’s statement that the U.S. would oversee Venezuela during a transition period has added further uncertainty. Any escalation or instability tied to this situation has the potential to reintroduce a geopolitical risk premium into gold prices. 8. Macro Focus: U.S. Jobs Data and Fed Policy Expectations Attention now turns to the upcoming December U.S. jobs report, which will be closely monitored by both traders and policymakers. Federal Reserve officials have emphasized that labor market conditions will play a key role in shaping the rate-cut path into 2026. Recent policy minutes revealed internal divisions, with labor data and inflation as the primary points of disagreement. A weaker employment print could strengthen expectations for additional rate cuts, indirectly supporting gold. 9. Week Ahead Outlook: Volatility Before Clarity In the near term, gold is likely to experience heightened volatility as markets react to developments in Venezuela. Bias may remain cautiously to the upside as long as geopolitical uncertainty persists. However, the more decisive macro-driven move may not materialize until after the jobs data is fully absorbed. For now, gold sits at a critical junction—supported by long-term structure, constrained by near-term resistance, and highly sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Gold Breaks Out on Venezuela Crisis and Dovish Fed SignalsGold surged above $4,400 after a U.S. operation captured Venezuela’s president, sparking geopolitical tensions and safe-haven demand. - OANDA:XAUUSD prices surged above the $4,400 region during Asian trading on Monday. This move was because of a US operation that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. This unexpected strike created new geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets. - The market is afraid of further instability in Latin America. U.S. officials hinted at using the leverage of oil for political change. As a result, traders rushed into gold, expecting increased uncertainty and long lasting risk premiums. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance is supportive of gold. However, good U.S. jobs data could boost the dollar and put a temporary ceiling on gold prices. Gold Technical Analysis - The daily chart for spot gold indicates that the price is rebounding from the strong support at an important junction and is looking for higher levels. This important junction is formed by the strong support of the ascending triangle and the ascending broadening wedge pattern. A break above $4,550 will signal further upside to the $5,000 level. However, a break below $4,260 will signal a downside move to lower levels. The 4-hour chart for spot gold shows the price consolidating during thin liquidity and found support at the $4,380 level. The price rebounds higher during a bullish pattern. As long as gold maintains the $4,260 level, the next move in the gold market will likely be higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Decision Point — Bounce or Breakdown?EURUSD is trading at a key decision area after a sustained decline from the upper range. Price is now approaching the mid-range support, with momentum slowing, suggesting the market is preparing for either a reaction bounce or continuation lower. The broader structure remains range-bound, with price capped below the 1.1800–1.1810 resistance zone and buyers historically stepping in near the lower boundary. Resistance: 1.1800 – 1.1810 Support: 1.1700 – 1.1710 Decision zone: 1.1730 – 1.1740 ➡️ Primary: hold above 1.1700 → corrective bounce → rotation back toward 1.1760–1.1780. ⚠️ Risk: clean break below 1.1700 → continuation toward the lower support zone before stabilization.
by Mathew_TraderGold
Gold’s Bounce Looks Strong — But Is This a Trap Before the Next Gold has staged a sharp rebound from the 4,300–4,310 support zone, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) after a prior impulsive sell-off. This confirms that short-term selling pressure has eased and buyers are actively defending the lower boundary of the range. However, despite the strong bullish candles, the broader structure remains corrective, not impulsive. Price is still trading below the key resistance band at 4,465–4,476, which previously acted as a major supply zone. Until this area is reclaimed and accepted, upside moves should be treated as retracements within a larger consolidation, not trend continuation. The current rally has stalled near 4,440–4,445, a minor internal resistance where price previously broke down. The projected path on the chart highlights a likely pullback scenario, with price potentially rotating lower to fill the highlighted inefficiency / GAP zone around 4,340–4,360. This zone aligns well with short-term mean reversion and prior liquidity imbalance. Key technical scenarios: - Bullish continuation (lower probability for now): A clean break and hold above 4,476 would invalidate the corrective structure and reopen upside toward 4,520 → 4,550 (ATH area). - Base-case scenario: Rejection below resistance leads to a pullback toward the GAP zone, followed by range trading. - Bearish risk: Loss of 4,300 support would expose deeper downside and confirm the rally as a corrective bounce only. Macro Drivers Impacting Gold From a macro perspective, gold remains highly sensitive to global risk and liquidity conditions: - Geopolitical risk / War premium: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe) continue to provide structural support for gold. Any escalation tends to trigger safe-haven flows, limiting downside but not necessarily driving immediate breakouts unless risk sharply deteriorates. - PMI & growth data: Recent soft PMI readings in major economies signal slowing growth momentum. Weak manufacturing and services data typically support gold through lower real yield expectations, but this effect is gradual rather than explosive. - Monetary policy & USD dynamics: Expectations around the Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver. As long as rates stay restrictive and the USD remains firm, gold upside is capped near resistance. Clear dovish shifts or falling real yields would be required for a sustained breakout. - Risk-on vs risk-off balance: Current market conditions suggest mixed sentiment — enough uncertainty to support gold on dips, but not enough stress to trigger a clean trend breakout. Summary Gold is technically recovering, but strategically still range-bound. The rebound from support is valid, yet price is approaching a high-risk resistance zone where rejection remains likely unless macro conditions decisively shift. Until gold reclaims and holds above 4,476, the higher-probability outcome is consolidation with pullbacks, not a straight-line move to new highs. Traders should remain disciplined and responsive to both price behavior at resistance and incoming macro catalysts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
GBP/USD H4 Technical Analysis GBP/USD is trading around $1.3425 on the 4H chart, and after failing to get past that $1.3535 resistance zone, it’s slipped back down to the midline of the rising channel. That 50-EMA at $1.3440 is now acting as a short-term resistance level. Next key support is at $1.3358, then $1.3290. RSI is now headed for 40, which would suggest fading momentum – but not quite to the point of overbought conditions. The trade idea is to short the rally near $1.3480 and aim for $1.3350, but set a stop loss above $1.3550.
Short
by Gold_Dominator
Buyers Are Back — The Recovery Is Taking ShapeOANDA:XAUUSD has reclaimed the mid-range support after a sharp sell-off and is now building a bullish recovery structure. The bounce from the lower demand zone and the clean gap fill suggest buyers have regained short-term control, shifting momentum back to the upside. Price is now pressing toward the 4,480–4,500 resistance zone, where reactions are likely. As long as pullbacks remain shallow above support, the structure favors continuation rather than rejection. Resistance: 4,480 – 4,500, then 4,550 Support: 4,400 – 4,420, then 4,280 – 4,300 ➡️ Primary: hold above 4,400 → grind higher → test 4,480–4,500, with potential continuation toward 4,550. ⚠️ Risk: rejection at resistance → pullback toward 4,420 before reassessment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Ethereum Is Pressing the Ceiling — Breakout or Final Rejection Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing upside, but evaluating how Ethereum is behaving at a critical resistance cluster after a well-structured recovery. Price has already done the hard work on the downside; the market is now at a decision point. After the sharp sell-off into the 2,900–2,920 support zone, ETH formed a clean base and transitioned into a step-by-step recovery, printing higher lows and reclaiming multiple intraday levels. The advance has been orderly and controlled, not impulsive — a sign that buyers are rebuilding positions rather than FOMO buying. Structurally, price has now pushed into the 3,020–3,035 resistance zone, which has historically capped upside. The current candles are reacting directly at this level, confirming it as active supply, not a level the market can ignore. This is exactly where we expect hesitation, consolidation, or a rejection attempt. From a price action perspective, two valid scenarios are visible directly on the chart: - Primary scenario: a shallow pullback toward the 3,000–3,010 area to retest demand, followed by another push higher. Acceptance above 3,035–3,050 would confirm a breakout and open the door toward 3,070–3,100. - Alternative scenario: failure to hold above reclaimed levels, leading to a deeper pullback toward 2,970–2,990, where buyers would need to step in again to keep the bullish structure intact. Importantly, there is no distribution pattern yet. Pullbacks remain corrective, candles overlap constructively, and price continues to hold above prior breakout levels. That keeps the bias constructive, but not confirmed. In short, Ethereum is not late, and it is not guaranteed. It is compressing at resistance, and the next few H1 closes will determine whether this move resolves into acceptance and expansion, or a final rejection and reset. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — This Is a Support Reaction Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish push, but how EURUSD is reacting at a clearly defined support zone and attempting to rebuild structure. Price has already completed a corrective leg down; what matters now is whether demand can hold and fuel a measured recovery. OANDA:EURUSD sold off into the 1.1720–1.1730 support area, where downside momentum stalled and price began to stabilize. This zone has acted as a reaction base before, and the current candles show absorption rather than continuation, suggesting sellers are losing follow-through at these levels. Structurally, the market is transitioning from impulsive downside into a corrective recovery sequence. The first objective is a push toward 1.1747, which marks the nearest intraday resistance. A successful reclaim and hold above this level would set up a retest-and-continue move toward 1.1755, followed by 1.1765. These levels align precisely with prior breakdown points, making them natural upside magnets during a correction. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: - Hold above support (1.1720–1.1730) → initiate rebound. - Reclaim 1.1747 → short-term confirmation. - Retest and continuation toward 1.1755 and 1.1765. Only a clean break and acceptance below 1.1720 would invalidate the recovery scenario and reopen downside risk. Importantly, there is no evidence of aggressive distribution at the lows. Price action remains orderly, and rebounds are developing step by step, which supports the view of a technical pullback resolution, not a trend reversal. As long as EURUSD holds above the highlighted support, the path of least resistance is a corrective grind higher toward the marked targets, with patience and level discipline remaining key. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
by Gold_Dominator
1
Bitcoin Is Still Trapped — H1 Box Accumulation Has Not Resolved Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent push higher, but the fact that Bitcoin remains locked inside a clearly defined box accumulation structure. Despite several directional attempts, the market has not achieved acceptance beyond the range boundaries. Structurally, BTC continues to rotate between the 87,100–87,300 support band and the 90,300–90,400 resistance zone. The latest advance stalled exactly near the upper half of the box around 89,100–89,200, where selling pressure has consistently appeared in previous rotations. This confirms that supply remains active before the range high, preventing a clean breakout. Price action inside the box remains overlapping and corrective. Higher lows are forming, but they are doing so within the range, not above it. This tells us that buyers are active, yet still operating in absorption mode rather than trend-expansion mode. The market is building pressure, but has not released it. The projected paths on the chart reflect two realistic outcomes that are fully aligned with current structure: - A short-term rejection from the upper range, followed by a pullback toward the 88,000–88,200 area, which would represent a normal rotation inside accumulation. - Alternatively, a continued grind higher, but only a clean break and acceptance above 90,400 would confirm that accumulation has completed and open the door for upside expansion. As long as price remains inside the box, directional conviction is premature. This is not a trending environment; it is a liquidity-building phase, where false breaks and rotations are part of the process. Only two things matter from here: - Acceptance above resistance → bullish expansion. - Acceptance below support → failed accumulation and deeper correction. Until one of those conditions is met, Bitcoin is not breaking out. It is waiting. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance. After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase. From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness. The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions: - A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher. - If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster. - Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior. Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
3
Bitcoin at the Edge: Breakout Incoming or Another Trap $89000BTCUSD H1 chart, price is currently testing a key resistance zone around 88,800 – 89,000, an area that has previously triggered multiple rejections. The recent upward move represents a recovery leg within a broader range, rather than a confirmed breakout. As price reaches this resistance, buying momentum is clearly slowing, with smaller bullish candles and immediate selling pressure appearing at the zone. This behavior suggests that sellers are still active, and the market has not yet accepted higher prices. Without a strong H1 close above this resistance, the current move lacks technical breakout confirmation. The more probable short-term scenario is a rejection from resistance, followed by a pullback toward nearby support levels. Initial support is located around 88,200 – 88,000, with a deeper support zone near 87,700, where buyers previously stepped in. As long as price remains capped below resistance, the market structure continues to reflect a range-bound / consolidation environment. In summary, this is not a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin is trading at a decision area where price must either produce a clean, impulsive close above resistance to confirm continuation, or face rejection and rotate back into the range. Until that clarity appears, bias remains neutral, with focus on price reaction rather than directional anticipation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Is Not Escaping Yet — This Is H2 Accumulation Hello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but the fact that Bitcoin remains locked inside a broad accumulation range, where price continues to rotate between clearly defined support and resistance. Structurally, BTC has spent an extended period compressing inside the 86,200–90,500 range. Multiple upside attempts toward the upper resistance zone have been rejected, while every pullback into the lower support zone has been absorbed. This repeated rotation confirms balance, not trend, and signals that liquidity is still being built. From a technical perspective, price is currently holding above the EMA34–EMA89 cluster, which has acted as dynamic support during the recent recovery. The latest dip was defended cleanly and followed by a push higher, forming a support-and-retest structure around the 88,200–88,400 area. This behavior shows that buyers are active, but not yet aggressive enough to force acceptance above resistance. Importantly, there is no structural breakout at this stage. Highs remain capped below the range top, and price action continues to print overlapping swings, typical of accumulation rather than continuation. The projected path on the chart reflects this well: a shallow pullback to retest support, followed by another attempt higher toward resistance. Resistance zone: ~90,400–90,600 — range high and breakout trigger. Mid-range support / retest: ~88,200–88,400 — current decision area. Major support: ~86,200–86,500 — accumulation floor. Invalidation: Acceptance back below the EMA cluster would weaken the constructive setup. Only a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance zone would confirm that accumulation has completed and open the door for upside expansion. Until then, Bitcoin is not trending — it is absorbing liquidity and preparing, where patience and level discipline remain critical. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
1
Gold at a Tipping PointHello Traders, Gold is currently trading within a short-term recovery structure after forming a clear swing low and establishing a rising support trendline. Price has respected this ascending support well, producing higher lows and signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control following the prior impulsive sell-off. At the moment, price is pressing into a clearly defined resistance zone. This area previously acted as supply and now represents a critical decision point for the market. The recent bullish push into this zone suggests growing momentum, but continuation is not confirmed until acceptance above resistance is seen. If price breaks above this resistance and holds, the structure opens the door for upside continuation toward the next higher liquidity levels. In this scenario, the preferred execution is not chasing the initial breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken resistance as support. This confirms acceptance and provides a cleaner risk-to-reward framework. Alternatively, failure to hold above the resistance could result in a corrective rotation. A rejection here would likely send price back toward the rising support trendline. As long as this support remains intact, such a move would still be considered a healthy pullback within an emerging bullish structure rather than a reversal. The bullish outlook is invalidated if price decisively breaks below the ascending support and accepts beneath the recent swing low. That would signal a structural failure and shift the market back into a bearish or neutral regime. At this stage, Gold is at a decision zone rather than an execution zone. Patience is required. Let price confirm whether it accepts above resistance or rotates back toward support before committing to directional bias. Share your perspective below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
6
Ethereum at a Critical Inflection Zone, Breakout Acceptance or..Hello Traders, Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined short-term bullish structure, supported by a rising curved trendline that reflects sustained higher lows and controlled upside momentum. Price has been respecting this dynamic support while gradually pushing higher, indicating that buyers remain in control in the short term. At the same time, price is now approaching a major horizontal resistance zone, which has previously acted as a supply area and is marked clearly on the chart. This zone represents a key decision point, where upside continuation requires strong acceptance rather than a simple liquidity sweep. If price manages to break above this resistance and hold above it with clean structure, continuation toward higher levels becomes a valid scenario. In this case, the preferred execution is not chasing the breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken level and holds above it. This confirms acceptance and offers a more favorable risk-to-reward profile. On the other hand, failure to hold above the resistance would likely trigger a corrective rotation. A rejection from this zone could lead price back toward the rising trendline and the nearby support levels. As long as these supports hold, such a move would still be classified as a healthy pullback within a broader bullish structure rather than a trend reversal. The bullish outlook becomes invalid if price decisively breaks below the rising structure and accepts beneath the marked support zone. That would signal a structural shift and open the door for deeper downside rotations. At this stage, Ethereum is not at an entry point but at a decision area. Patience and confirmation are critical here. Let the market reveal whether it chooses continuation or correction before committing capital. Share your view in the comments.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Ethereum Is Not Chasing — It’s Compressing Beneath Resistance Hello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but how Ethereum is steadily rebuilding structure while pressing into a major resistance zone. The market is transitioning from range rotation into controlled compression, a typical pre-expansion behavior. Structurally, ETH has respected the 2,880–2,920 support zone multiple times, producing higher reaction lows and preventing any downside follow-through. Each sell-off into this area has been absorbed, while rebounds have grown progressively stronger. This establishes a defended base rather than a distribution floor. From a technical standpoint, price is now holding above EMA34 and EMA89, with both averages beginning to slope upward. The recent pullbacks have been shallow and orderly, indicating that buyers are maintaining positions rather than exiting. This is not impulsive buying; it is acceptance at higher prices. Overhead, the 3,060–3,090 resistance zone remains the key obstacle. Previous approaches into this zone resulted in sharp rejections, which explains the current hesitation. However, the difference this time is structure: higher lows into resistance and tightening ranges suggest pressure building, not exhaustion. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: Continued consolidation just below resistance A brief pullback to retest dynamic support (EMA cluster) A renewed push higher, with a clean break and acceptance above resistance opening the door toward the next upside extension Only a decisive loss of the EMA cluster and acceptance back below 2,950 would weaken this constructive setup. Until then, ETH is not overextended. It is compressing beneath resistance, and the market is preparing for resolution rather than reversal. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
Ethereum Is Not Ready to Rally — This Is a DistributionHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not upside continuation, but the fact that Ethereum is stalling below a well-defined resistance zone after a completed impulsive move. The current price action suggests distribution and rebalancing, rather than the start of a new bullish leg. After the strong impulsive rally that pushed ETH sharply above 3,000, price was rejected from the upper resistance near 3,030, triggering a fast corrective sell-off. That initial drop was aggressive and directional, signaling that buyers who entered late were forced to exit. Since then, ETH has recovered partially but has failed to regain acceptance inside the resistance zone around 2,980–3,000. From a structural perspective, the market is now printing lower highs beneath resistance, with price compressing in the middle of the range. This behavior indicates that upside momentum has weakened and that buyers are no longer in control. The consolidation here is not constructive it is occurring below resistance, which favors another leg lower rather than a breakout. Technically, the current structure aligns with a bearish corrective sequence. The sideways-to-lower drift suggests that ETH is building a base for continuation down toward the 2,900–2,880 support zone, which has acted as a demand area previously. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: a shallow bounce, followed by renewed selling pressure into support. Resistance zone: 2,980–3,000 — repeated rejection, sellers active. Major resistance: ~3,030 — prior impulse high and supply. Support zone: 2,880–2,900 — next area where buyers may step in. Only a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the 3,000–3,030 resistance would invalidate this pullback scenario and reopen bullish continuation. Until that happens, ETH remains in a post-impulse correction phase, where downside tests are more likely than upside expansion. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is Not Collapsing — It’s Completing a Pullback at H1 DemandHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the sharp sell-off, but how gold is behaving after breaking below a descending trendline and reacting into a clearly defined support zone. The market has already delivered the impulsive leg down; what matters next is whether sellers can extend or whether price shifts into a corrective rebound. From the chart, gold completed a lower-high sequence beneath a descending resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure throughout the session. Each attempt to recover was capped by the trendline, keeping price compressed and vulnerable. That structure finally resolved with a strong impulsive breakdown, sending price directly into the 4,270–4,290 demand zone. This support area is critical. It aligns with prior reaction lows and has already triggered a sharp intraday response, indicating that sell-side momentum is slowing as liquidity is absorbed. The long downside candle into support followed by reduced follow-through suggests this move is exhaustive, not the start of a fresh acceleration lower. Structurally, price is now in a post-breakdown rebalancing phase. A brief consolidation or marginal sweep below support is possible to complete the downside sequence. However, as long as the market holds this demand area, a corrective rebound becomes the higher-probability scenario rather than immediate continuation lower. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: Short-term stabilization inside the 4,270–4,290 zone A corrective push back toward the descending trendline Potential extension higher toward the 4,390–4,400 resistance, which marks the next major supply level Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would reopen the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a decisive reclaim above the descending trendline would signal that bearish pressure has reset and that gold is ready to challenge higher resistance levels again. Until that confirmation appears, gold is not trending aggressively lower. It is working through a technical pullback after a completed bearish impulse, where patience and level awareness remain key. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Is Not Weak — It’s Reacting at Support After a Trendline Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing direction, but understanding how EURUSD is behaving after breaking below a descending resistance line and reacting into a well-defined support zone. From the left side of the chart, price has been trading under a descending resistance trendline, repeatedly forming lower highs, which clearly capped upside attempts. Each rally into this trendline was sold, confirming that sellers were in control of short-term momentum. This structure remained intact until price finally lost altitude and accelerated lower. The critical move occurred when EURUSD broke down from the mid-range and pushed directly into the 1.1740–1.1750 support zone. This zone is not arbitrary — it aligns with multiple prior reaction lows and has already shown the ability to absorb selling pressure. The sharp sell-off into this area suggests a liquidity-driven move rather than a slow distribution. Structurally, the market is now at an inflection point. The down-move into support completed a short-term bearish leg, but follow-through has stalled, indicating that sellers are no longer as aggressive at these levels. This opens the door for a corrective rebound, not a trend reversal yet. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: A brief stabilization or marginal sweep below support is possible to finish the downside move. From there, a technical rebound toward the descending resistance line around 1.1765–1.1780 becomes the natural magnet. As long as price remains below the descending trendline, any upside should be treated as corrective, not the start of a new bullish trend. Only a clean reclaim and acceptance above the descending resistance would signal that bearish pressure has fully reset and that the market is ready to challenge the higher 1.1800 resistance zone again. Until then, EURUSD remains in a rebalance phase following a controlled breakdown, where patience and level-based execution matter most. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
by Gold_Dominator
ETH Compresses Between Supply and Demand On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is trading inside a clearly defined range, capped by a strong resistance zone around 3,040–3,080 and supported by a demand zone near 2,880–2,920. Price is currently rotating around the mid-range near 2,970, showing hesitation rather than directional conviction. This positioning signals balance between buyers and sellers, not trend expansion. From a structure perspective, the market has failed multiple times to sustain acceptance above the resistance zone. Each push into supply has been followed by sharp rejections, indicating that sell-side liquidity remains active at higher levels. The recent rebound is corrective in nature and has not yet invalidated the broader ranging structure. On the downside, the support zone has held repeatedly, but reactions from this area are becoming increasingly overlapping and less impulsive. This behavior typically reflects absorption rather than aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this support, downside risk is contained, but the lack of strong follow-through limits bullish continuation. In the near-term outlook, ETH is likely to continue range oscillation unless a clear catalyst drives expansion. A rejection from the 2,980–3,000 area would favor a move back toward the lower boundary of the range, while a clean breakout and acceptance above 3,080 would be required to confirm a structural shift toward higher prices. From a macro context, crypto remains sensitive to broader risk conditions, including USD stability and liquidity expectations. Without a decisive risk-on impulse or volume expansion, moves into resistance should be treated with caution. In summary, Ethereum remains range-bound and compressed. Until price decisively breaks and holds outside the 2,880–3,080 range, the market favors patience, reaction-based trading, and respect for key zones rather than directional bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold