XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Bulls Need 4334Gold played out in line with the analysis. The reaction zone held as support, and the confirmed break above 4301 delivered the move into 4334 as expected.
Price is now trading around 4325, with 4334 acting as the immediate resistance. A confirmed break and hold above 4334 would keep momentum alive and open the path toward 4362, with 4395 as the next upside extension if buyers stay in control.
If price fails to clear 4334 again, expect another rotation lower — in that case, focus shifts back to the lower levels for the reaction.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4334
4362
4395
Support:
4301
4270
4237
4185
Intradaylevels
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Can Bulls Sustain the Move?Friday we saw gold sharply retrace after tagging the 4352 area. Price is now attempting to push higher again, currently trading around 4344 and holding just above the 4334 level.
A sustained break above 4334 would keep bullish momentum intact and open the path toward 4362, with further upside into 4395 if momentum holds.
On the downside, if 4334 gives way, the First Reaction Zone becomes the first area to watch for a bounce. If selling pressure extends and 4270 fails, then focus shifts to the Support Zone as the next potential area where buyers could step back in.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4362
4395
Support:
4334
4301
4270
4237
4185
🔎Fundamental focus:
This week is packed with high-impact U.S. data, including Retail Sales, PMI readings, CPI, and key labour market updates. Expect increased volatility and sharp intraday swings as markets reassess inflation and rate expectations. Risk management is key, especially around data releases.
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Powell Spike Fades, 4219 Back in FocusWe saw a solid push into the 4,251 resistance yesterday following Powell’s speech, but the move was short-lived. Price retraced all gains during the Asian session and is now trading around 4,215 — once again sitting below the 4,219 resistance.
The overall outlook remains unchanged:
Buyers must reclaim the 4,219 resistance to target 4,251, with 4,285 becoming achievable if momentum strengthens.
If selling pressure builds, we could see the 4,185 Reaction Zone tested again. A break below 4,185 would expose the Support Zone, where buyers may look to react.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Gold Holds Range Ahead of FOMCGold remains range-bound between 4219 and 4185, showing no clear commitment from buyers or sellers. A decisive breakout on either side will be needed to define the next intraday direction.
A break above 4219 would open the path toward 4251, and with strong momentum, potentially 4285.
However, if 4185 fails, price may drift back into the Support Zone. Should selling pressure increase, the HTF Support Zone may come into play as the next major area for buyers to respond.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
4049
4014
🔎Fundamental focus:
All eyes are on today’s FOMC decision — the key catalyst markets have been waiting for. Expect heightened volatility as traders react to the rate statement, projections, and Powell’s remarks.
XAUUSD Intraday Plan – Recovery Attempt or More Downside?Gold is attempting to recover after Friday’s drop, currently trading around 4213. Price is being supported by the MA200, while the MA50 is flattening, signaling reduced momentum for now.
The immediate resistance sits at 4219 — a confirmed break and hold above this level would open the path toward 4251.
If price fails to clear the 4219 resistance, a full retest of the First Reaction Zone becomes likely. If that zone fails to hold, we could see price slide deeper toward the Support Zone, where buyers may attempt to step back in.
📌Key levels watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
🔎Fundamental focus:
This week the spotlight is firmly on the FOMC meeting, projections, and Powell’s statement. Until the FOMC is out, markets may remain choppy and directional follow-through could be limited. Manage risk carefully — spreads and volatility tend to expand significantly around these releases.
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | 4232 Still the Key LevelWe saw another bounce from the reaction zone yesterday. Gold has been ranging for most of the week, bouncing between the reaction zone and the 4232 key level.
My intraday plan has not changed: bulls need a confirmed break above 4232 to open the path towards 4274 and 4322.
If 4232 holds as resistance and we see another rejection, I expect price to rotate back into the reaction zone. A clean break below that zone would expose the lower support area and potentially HFT support.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4232
4274
4322
Support:
4185
4141
4102
4049
4014
3966
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s US session is packed with red-folder news: Core PCE (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge), UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, as well as personal income and spending. Expect increased volatility and spikes around the releases, and manage risk accordingly.
XAUUSD Intraday Plan|Will Buyers Defend the Reaction Zone?Gold once again failed to reclaim the 4232 resistance yesterday.
Price tested the level but reversed sharply as sellers stepped in. We now have another test of the Reaction Zone, and price is also trending below the MA50, with the MA200 likely to be tested next.
The 4232 resistance remains the key level buyers must reclaim to attempt another push higher.
On the downside, if the MA200 and the First Reaction Zone fail to hold, watch the Support Zone. If selling pressure continues, the HTF Support Zone becomes the next area where buyers may show a stronger reaction.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4232
4274
4322
Support:
4185
4141
4102
4049
4014
3966
🔎Fundamental focus:
High-impact news on the calendar today — expect volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Bulls Eye 4285 After 4153 BreakoutAfter a short consolidation phase, gold broke above the 4153 resistance and extended higher, now trading around 4236. A clean break and hold above 4234 could open the path for the next resistance at 4285.
If bullish momentum fades, watch the MA50 for potential dynamic support and the Pullback Zone (4153–4115) for a possible retracement area.
Failure to hold that zone could trigger a deeper move toward lower support levels.
📌Key Levels to watch:
Resistance:
4234
4285
4322
Support:
4197
4153
4115
4074
4027
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s calendar is light on major economic data, but multiple FOMC members are scheduled to speak, which could provide hints on future monetary policy direction.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Stalls Below 4153 ResistanceGold is currently trading around 4118 after a strong rally from the 4027 breakout. Buyers appear to be pausing after several failed attempts to clear the 4153 resistance, with price now consolidating just above the 50MA, which is acting as short-term dynamic support.
We need confirmed break above 4153 resistance for bulls to extend the move to 4197 and possible 4234.
However, if price loses the 50MA and 4115 support, we may see a move into the pullback zone. Failure to hold the key support at 4027 may bring the First Reaction Zone back into focus.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4,153
4,197
4,234
4,285
Support:
4,115
4,074
4,027
3,984
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
It’s a busy day for speeches, with multiple FOMC members scheduled to speak throughout the session — comments could spark volatility across USD pairs.
Meanwhile, markets are keeping a close watch on the scheduled House vote to approve temporary government funding and reopen the U.S. government.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Higher for Now — Keep an Eye on SupportWe have a volatile week ahead as the U.S. government shutdown situation continues to unfold. The first vote has passed, but there is still uncertainty around final approval and timing.
Gold has pushed higher during the Asian session, breaking above the 4027 resistance and is now trading around 4076, sitting just above the 4074 level. A confirmed break and hold above 4074 would likely open the door for further upside toward 4115, with 4153 as the next major resistance target.
However, if price fails to sustain above 4074, we could see a pullback toward 4027 for a retest. If selling pressure increases from there, price may rotate back into the First Reaction Zone, where buyers previously stepped in.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4074
4115
4153
Support:
4027
3984
3955
3921
3884
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes remain on the U.S. government shutdown situation, with votes and negotiations around reopening in focus. The longer the shutdown continues, the more it disrupts key economic data releases and increases uncertainty — which can keep gold reactive and sensitive to headlines.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — 3989 Support Holding, Next Stop 4042?Price has broken above 3989 and pulled back to retest the 50MA, which is now holding as support. If bullish momentum continues, the 50MA looks ready to cross above the 200MA, which would strengthen the short-term bullish momentum.
The next resistance is at 4042. A clean break above 4042 could open the move toward 4090.
If buyers fail to hold above 3989, price may slide back into the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918).
Failure to hold that zone could bring the Support Zone and even the HTF Support Zone back into play.
📌Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
4042
4090
4142
Support:
3989
3957
3918
3884
3851
3820
3781
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
Not many high-impact releases today. We do have several FOMC members speaking, along with Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations later.
As always, keep in mind that geopolitical and broader macro sentiment continue to play a major role here — even with a quiet calendar, gold can still react to headlines.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Buyers Back in Control?After a period of consolidation, gold has managed to break back above the 3989 level (now turned support) and is currently trading around 4005. Price has also reclaimed the MA50 and is now pushing above the MA200, suggesting buyers are attempting to regain control.
The next resistance sits at 4042 — a confirmed break and hold above this level would open the way for further upside toward 4090.
On the downside, if price fails to hold above 3989, we could see another pullback into the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). If selling pressure continues we may see the lower support levels tested.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
4,042
4,090
4,142
Support:
3,989
3,957
3,918
3,884
3,851
🔎 Fundamental Focus
No major economic data releases today. However, a full slate of FOMC member speeches throughout the session could introduce intraday volatility.
Keep in mind that headline risk remains high, and geopolitical / macro sentiment can still move gold even without scheduled news.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Buyers Need 3989 BreakAfter breaking below the 3989 support level yesterday, gold tested the First Reaction Zone as anticipated, where buyers stepped in and defended the area.
Price is now trading around 3968, but still below both the MA50 and MA200, which keeps short-term momentum bearish.
For buyers to regain control, we need a clear break and hold above the 3989 level. A break above this area could open the move toward the 4042 resistance, with 4090 possible if momentum continues.
If price fails to reclaim the 3989 level, we may see another retest of the Reaction Zone. Failure to hold that area could expose the lower Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone below.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
3989
4042
4090
4120
Support:
3957
3918
3884
3851
3820
3781
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
Today has a few medium-to-high impact U.S. releases, including ADP Employment, and ISM Services PMI, which could influence intraday volatility. Later in the session, President Trump is scheduled to speak, which also has the potential to move markets depending on tone and messaging.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold tested the $3,753 support during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,775, holding just below the $3,782 resistance. A clean break above $3,782 would open the way to $3,796 and the major resistance at $3,806. Failure to break and hold above $3,782 could send price back towards $3,768–$3,753 and potentially deeper into $3,728. The moving averages may provide dynamic support on the way down.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,782
$3,796
$3,806
Support:
$3,768
$3,753
$3,728
$3,712
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Sep 24
Yesterday, Powell signalled caution, stressing that rate decisions remain data-dependent — keeping gold supported but vulnerable to swings.
Today’s drivers:
🔶Trump speaks
🔶New Home Sales
Expect sharp swings and volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold tested the $3,674 resistance yesterday before pulling back to the $3,620 area, where the 50MA provided dynamic support. Price is now trending around $3,646, attempting to recover from the pullback.
For bulls to regain control, we need a clean break above $3,658, which would open the path toward $3,674, followed by $3,690, and an extension to $3,706.
However, a rejection at $3,658 resistance could trigger a deeper pullback into lower support levels.
📌Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,658
$3,674
$3,690
$3,706
Support:
$3,644
$3,630
$3,617
$3,594
$3,564
📌 Fundamental Focus – Sept 10
The fireworks start today with U.S. inflation data. Core PPI and PPI figures will be released this afternoon, kicking off a packed midweek that continues with CPI tomorrow and ends with Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations on Friday.
⚠️ Expect volatility to pick up from today onward, with sharp moves likely around each release.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,651, consolidating just under the $3,658 resistance after a strong bullish leg higher. Trend remains bullish above $3,617, but gold is testing key resistance. A breakout could fuel continuation, while rejection raises the risk of a short-term corrective pullback.
A clean break above $3,658 would confirm continuation, targeting $3,674, then $3,690, with an extended move toward $3,706.
On the downside, rejection from current resistance could see a pullback into $3,644, followed by $3,630 and the $3,617 zone. A decisive break below $3,594 would weaken the bullish bias and expose the $3,564 pullback zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,658
$3,674
$3,690
$3,706
Support:
$3,644
$3,630
$3,617
$3,594
$3,564
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to Watch | 04/09/25Gold dropped sharply into the Pullback Zone during the Asian session after the strong rally into the $3,584 resistance. Price is now trending near the $3,550 level, with the 50MA providing dynamic support.
If buyers can reclaim momentum above $3,550, the path opens toward $3,584, and a clean break there would target $3,608. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,525 risks a deeper retracement into $3,506, with extended weakness pointing toward $3,483 and the lower support zones.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,550
$3,584
$3,608
Support:
$3,525
$3,506
$3,483
$3,462
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Rest of the Week
Markets now turn to the U.S. labor data cluster:
Thursday: ADP Employment, Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth
These figures are likely to be the main catalysts for gold as the week wraps up.
⚠️ Risk Note: Expect elevated volatility, false breaks, and sharp intraday reversals around data drops. Stay disciplined on risk sizing and avoid chasing moves.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, gold staged a strong rally, pushing up toward 3,377, which was followed by a strong rejection. Price has pulled back sharply and is now testing the Pullback Zone once again.
Currently trading around 3,329, price is caught between the 50MA overhead acting as dynamic resistance and the 200MA below offering dynamic support.
For the bullish structure to regain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold back above 3,354. This would reopen the path toward 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 as a higher‑timeframe target.
If buyers fail to defend the Pullback Support Zone, and price breaks decisively below 3,305, attention shifts to the Support Zone (3,289–3,267). A deeper selloff could then expose the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,354
‣ 3,383
‣ 3,400
‣ 3,416
Support:
‣ 3,335
‣ 3,305
‣ 3,289
‣ 3,267
‣ 3,241
🔎 Fundamental Focus – High‑Impact U.S. Data Today
A packed U.S. calendar could drive volatility:
📌Core Retail Sales m/m and Retail Sales m/m
📌Unemployment Claims
📌Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
These red‑folder releases can create sharp intraday swings.
Additionally, multiple FOMC member speeches later in the session could add headline‑driven moves.
GBPCHF Potential Bearish SetupDistribution pattern with breakdown below key support suggests downside momentum.
Break above our Resistance zone will invalidate our trade setup; good idea to watch out if that happens.
- Breakdown Level: 1.08149 -1.08133
- Entry Strategy: Sell orders at BOS
- Stop Loss: Above Resistance zone
- Target Zones:
- Primary Target: Target 1 (R:R 1:2)
- Secondary Target: Target 2 (R:R 1:3)
- Extension Target: Target 3 (R:R 1:4)
Bearish/Bullish Confirmations:
🔻 Rejection candlestick patterns
🔻 Bearish Reversal patterns
🔻 Impulsive moves in line with setups directional bias
Position Management:
- Exit: Partial profits at targets
- Stop adjustment: Trail stops when target are hit
TWAP and Chaikin's Osc vs VWAP Orders and VWAP IndicatorThere are two primary Order Types that the Professional Side of the market use.
1. Time Weighted at Average Price, aka TWAP , is used extensively by the Dark Pool Buy Side, Derivative Developers, and Sell Side Banks of record for Buybacks for corporations.
The TWAP can be set at a penny to few pennies spread and pings and transacts on a specific TIME to PRICE. It can be set to time intervals shorter or longer. This is why the stock market is called "fully automated".
TWAP is used most of the time. It is rare for the Giant Institutions to use VWAP orders due to the May 2010 FLASH CRASH when a fundamental trader of e-minis accidentally hit the VWAP order type rather than the TWAP order type which caused a massive collapse of all stocks as VWAPs accelerate selling as volume increases.
2. Volume Weighted at Price or VWAP is ALSO an ORDER TYPE. It is primarily used by Small Funds Managers and Small Asset Managers who are independents trading their customers' investment money actively, often intraday. Volume Weighted at price ORDER TYPES are also automated and ping to trigger the order to transact as volume increases.
This is an easy, simple way for a busy small fund manager to cope with the complexity of buying and selling stocks with 10,000 share lots to 100,000 share lots. These are the NEW "whales" of the market.
Professional Traders Swing trade 1 million to 5 million or higher share-lot sizes. The size of the orders of the professional trader has increased significantly in the past decade.
All of you need to be aware of the market participants on the professional side as they control 80% of the 1 trillion dollars that exchange hands daily on the US Markets.
Using Chaikin's Oscillator is ideal for tracking the Dark Pool Buy Side who create the bottoms. This excellent indicator analyzes all 3 data sets: price, volume and time. Thus, it can signal early that the Dark Pools have slowly started to accumulate over time and the runs down will turn into a bottom and then pro traders will nudge price to inspire VWAP orders from the Smaller funds managers.
The VWAP INDICATOR is excellent for tracking the smaller funds managers' trading activity and it ALSO has price, volume, and time in the formula. So this is great for those of you who need an indicator for following smaller funds activity as these smaller funds VWAP orders trigger more and more volume and then runs that can move up or down for several days.
TradingView has an awesome group of indicators to use. You should customize your indicators to which market participant groups you wish to track so that you can be ready and in a position before the big runs up or down.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/06/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/19/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/18/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.






















