XAUUSD 16/01/25XAUUSD continues to hold the same bias as the past two weeks. As always, trade from the lows and aim for the highs. Orion provides us with a clear rule set to follow, allowing us to sit back and wait for our alerts to trigger.
This week, the main plan is to build more upside momentum while waiting for price to return to the lows. This would align with our long entry criteria. If the current target highs are reached, we’ll look for new lows to form and trade from.
Our approach remains simple: trade long to the highs, then wait for the next setup to appear. With Orion guiding the way, we simply follow the rules.
Trade within your risk limits and trust Orion.
J-XAU
Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area
Gold can rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle and rose to the resistance line, breaking the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then Gold turned around and made a correction movement to the support level, where it some time traded and then rebounded up from the support line of the triangle. Price rose to the current support level, thereby exiting from the triangle, and then started to decline inside the wedge. Gold fell to the support line, which is located in the buyer zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, the price broke the 2615 level, after which made a correction to the support line and then continued to move up. Later, Gold rose to the resistance line of the wedge and broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern and then in a short time rose to the current support level. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up next. So, I think that Gold will make a small move up and then drop to the support level. That's why I set my TP at 2725 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD Short From All-Time-High! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and has reached
An all-time-high level of 2791.82$
Which is a strong horizontal resistance
So as Gold is locally overbought
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD: Trump set the markets on fire!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. Our initial position today will be to buy gold. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the upward trend line.
It appears that Trump has softened his stance on tariffs, a shift that has significantly impacted the dollar. He has stated that he prefers using tariffs as a tool to control China rather than directly imposing them. Currently, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports might be implemented, though this is far from the 60% tariff he had proposed during his campaign. If Trump has taken a more lenient approach toward China, could he adopt a softer stance on other countries as well? Perhaps.
Regardless, the tailwind that supported the dollar since December has officially shifted direction. The dollar seemed to hold Trump’s “trump card”—quite literally—at the start of the new year. But was that truly the case? If you recall, Trump’s stance on the dollar this time contrasts sharply with his first term in office.
Now, Trump favors a weaker dollar—or at least that’s what he said last year. The only viable option to achieve this is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more quickly, and it seems that’s precisely what he’s trying to do.
He now claims that he “understands interest rates better than the Federal Reserve” and insists that rates should be reduced “immediately.” However, this does not necessarily mean the Fed will alter its current policy. The Federal Reserve’s mandate typically operates beyond political influence, but Trump could ease the situation if he merely talks about tariffs without taking action.
This would help alleviate inflation concerns, but we might need to wait a few more months to be certain, which is likely what Federal Reserve policymakers would prefer.
That said, one can never rule out the possibility of Trump abruptly changing his mind. For now, however, it seems the dollar has started the new year under Trump’s influence. As tariff concerns fade, the focus will shift back to inflation and labor market data to determine where the economy heads from here.
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Weekend Data Releases?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises towards the channel ceiling and supply zones, we can look for short positions targeting the channel midline.
The gold market has kicked off 2025 with one of its best starts since 2023 and is on track to achieve its strongest monthly performance since September. Prices are currently testing the high range near $2,750 per ounce.
A fund manager noted that this robust start to January could signal another strong year for the precious metal, even after gold recorded a 27% price increase last year.
In his 2025 outlook report, Eric Strand, founder of the precious metals-focused AuAg Funds, projected that gold prices will surpass $3,000 per ounce this year. He stated: “We expect gold to break the $3,000 barrier during the year and possibly reach even higher levels by year-end, with a realistic target of $3,300.” Strand’s bullish target represents a 20% increase from current levels.
Strand suggested that the new Trump administration might usher in a period of more accommodative monetary policies and larger government stimulus programs. In his report, he explained: “Both Donald Trump and Elon Musk have built their empires on extensive borrowing while driving forward at full speed.
This approach will likely persist for the next four years as governments strive to avoid an economic downturn at any cost to create a positive boom. However, the price of this strategy will be monetary inflation. Such an inflationary boom creates a financial environment where commodity prices, including gold, rise significantly.”
As U.S. national debt has reached unprecedented levels, now exceeding $36 trillion, Strand highlighted that the United States is not alone in facing this challenge. He emphasized that governments worldwide continue to increase spending through deficit financing. He noted: “The amount of money circulating in the system is increasing without generating substantial real growth, which naturally means each unit of currency becomes less valuable.”
Meanwhile, gold prices remain near all-time highs against major currencies such as the euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, Canadian dollar, and Australian dollar.
Gold continues to stand out as a safe-haven global asset as the trend of de-globalization accelerates. Countries are moving away from dependence on the U.S. dollar and diversifying their currency reserves. (De-globalization refers to the process of reducing or reversing global integration, including less free trade, restricted capital flows, reduced interdependence, and a rise in nationalist and local policies.)
Strand stated: “We have seen the beginning of de-globalization, and it appears to be gaining momentum, particularly as the U.S. seeks to impose conditions that serve its own interests. Policies such as ‘America First’ and high tariffs may benefit the U.S. economy, but they also undermine trust in the country as a leader in free-market economies.” He added: “This new phenomenon is likely to create inflationary pressures and may lead to waves of currency devaluation in other nations as they attempt to offset the effects of tariffs.”
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD broke the key
Horizontal level of 2726$
While trading in an uptrend
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased and
After a potential correction
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
GOLD on an edge of breakoutGold already made 3 attempts to breakout and now in a process of forth attempt. The more times resistance is tested the weaker it becomes - that is a golden rule. And therefore now chances for breakout are at their maximum.
Nearest target levels are 2743 / 2762 / 2790 - after that open targets within ATH
Gold showing strength after Trump entered White House
President Trump's recent phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping has created a strong expectation for a more conciliatory relationship with China. In response, the dollar, which had previously surged due to fears over tariffs and inflation, has begun to weaken and gold is on a consistent upward trajectory.
Goldman Sachs firmly predicts that gold will likely be exempt from widespread tariffs, asserting that there is less than a 10% chance of a 10% real tariff on gold being introduced in the next year. They also confidently forecast that the gold price will soar to $3,000 per ounce by mid-2026.
XAUUSD sustains a steady uptrend within an ascending channel. The price holds above EMA21, awaiting further price triggers to test the resistance at 2720. If XAUUSD breaches above 2720, the price may gain upward momentum toward 2735. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below EMA21, the price may fall further to the ascending channel’s lower bound, where EMA78 coincides.
XAUUSD - Gold will stabilize above $2700?!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the ceiling of the channel, you can look for positions to sell it towards the midline of the channel. Losing the bottom of the channel will lead to the continuation of the downward trend.
The gold market had a strong start to the first full trading week of 2025. However, as the week progressed, optimism among traders grew, with predictions indicating a potential rally in gold prices ahead of Trump’s second presidential term.
Nevertheless, the market remains cautious about upcoming developments. Rich Checkan, the president and COO of “International Assets Strategies,” believes: “Unless there are any major disruptions during Monday’s inauguration ceremony, I expect gold prices to remain relatively unchanged next week. Market participants are waiting for more clarity on President Trump’s economic policies and their impact on key economic variables. However, one week is insufficient to see tangible effects, and a longer timeframe is needed for better evaluation.”
Bart Melek, the managing director and head of commodity strategy at “TD Securities,” highlighted the potential for higher tariffs and their inflationary effects, predicting a slight dip in gold prices. He stated: “If the new president addresses tariffs, signaling higher inflation, and the Federal Reserve takes a more serious stance on its inflation target, gold prices could decline moderately.”
At the beginning of 2025, gold is trading near $2,700 per ounce, while Bitcoin has approached the $100,000 threshold, placing both assets at the center of attention in emerging markets.
Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, forecasts that a correction in stock markets could drive gold prices above $4,000 this year. He remarked: “Gold reaching $4,000 will eventually happen. The unlimited supply of fiat currencies and the limited supply of gold, similar to Bitcoin, make this likely. However, my concern is that a natural and modest correction in the stock market, which is currently overvalued, could push gold to such levels.”
McGlone pointed out that the ratio of stock market value to U.S. GDP is around 2.2x — an unprecedented figure in the last 100 years. He emphasized that even a 10% correction in the stock market could provide the necessary momentum for gold prices to surge.
Potential bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 2,717.07
1st Support: 2,633.49
1st Resistance: 2,789.99
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,690.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,674.73
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,718.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD 19/01/25This week, our analysis on XAU continues with the same bullish bias from last week. After a clean bullish shift last week, we anticipate gold to maintain its upward momentum. As always, Orion guides us on the trading direction, and we follow accordingly.
Currently, we are targeting lows as potential buy zones and highs as key levels to trade into. With recent developments, including Trump becoming president and the current moves in gold, another bullish run appears to be the most probable scenario.
Stick to the plan, trade from the lows into the highs, and always manage your risk effectively.
Trade safe, follow Orion, and stay disciplined.
Xauusd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 ) Xau usd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 )
Hey guys hope you are doing well !
- This analysis is based on pure Educational Purposes
- Market closing was at 2702 point and we are expecting that 2698 and strong support level at 2693-92.00 which were clearly shown in our Chart .That point is also our Observing point so we will take decisions on the based of it
• Bullish Scenario : if market cant break our Support area which is at 2693-92 our targets would be 2700 - 2710 - 2720
• Bearish Scenario : if market close the candle below that region we are expecting a bearish trend until 2660 we decided to take hold at 2620 or not !
Additionally : Trump oath and Fomc Week be Ready for more updates
GOLD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2725$
And because Gold was locally
Overbought we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
And as we are bearish
Biased we will be expecting
A further local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Gold will little correct and then to continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The chart shows how the price entered to seller zone, where it reached the mirror line and then dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. After this, the price bounced up from the buyer zone but soon corrected back. Then Gold made a strong upward impulse to the seller zone, breaking the mirror line again. In the seller zone, the price started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it broke the 2710 level one more time and fell to the support line of this pattern, breaking the support level too. Gold some time traded below the support level and later it exited from the pennant pattern, reached this level, and broke it, after which continued to grow. When the price reached 2662 points, the price corrected the buyer zone and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, Gold rose to the resistance line and then corrected to the support line, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. Recently price reached this level and even try to break it, but failed. For this moment, I think that Gold can correct to support line of the channel and then rise to the resistance level back. After this, XAU can break this level and continue to move up inside the channel. For this case, I set my TP at 2740 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀