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XAUUSD - Gold is waiting for an important week!!In the 4-hour timeframe, gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is in its short-term descending channel. The continued rise of gold towards the supply zones will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward. The year 2024 turned out to be unprecedented for the global gold market. This precious metal witnessed a remarkable growth of nearly 30%, outperforming all other commodities and emerging as one of the most prominent financial assets of the year. Such exceptional performance has continued to gain the trust of analysts and professionals in the gold and jewelry industry, drawing the attention of many traders to this market. Despite forecasts suggesting that gold prices could surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, the beginning of 2024 told a different story. Spot gold prices started the year at around $2,000 but fell to $1,992 by mid-February. However, Valentine’s Day marked a turning point, as gold rebounded strongly, climbing back above $2,000 and successfully maintaining this critical level. A significant market milestone occurred at the end of February. In just two days, gold prices surged by over $60, and on the first trading day of March, the metal broke past the $2,100 threshold, setting a new record. After a period of price consolidation at higher levels, gold resumed its upward trend in the final days of the month, surpassing $2,200. By mid-April, gold approached the $2,400 mark. However, traders were not yet prepared to accept these levels, and by the end of April, spot gold prices had retreated below $2,300. May saw renewed optimism in the precious metals market. On May 16, spot gold decisively broke through the $2,400 resistance level. Nonetheless, after reaching a peak of $2,426, prices entered the longest consolidation phase of 2024. Finally, on June 10, gold once again broke the $2,400 resistance and managed to establish it as a support level. From that point onward, gold embarked on one of its most stable upward trends of the year, which continued through late summer and early autumn. On October 30, gold prices hit a new record of $2,788.54 per ounce. However, the election of Donald Trump on November 5, 2024 (15th of Aban 1403), interrupted gold’s rally. Spot gold, which had reached $2,743 on November 4, dropped within 10 days to the $2,560 range. Nevertheless, gold quickly found new support. The president-elect’s threats of tariffs and trade wars, combined with renewed inflationary concerns, pushed gold prices back above $2,700. Although the metal did not return to its October highs, it maintained strong support at $2,600 for the remainder of the year, preventing further declines. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for gold prices, stating that the metal would not reach $3,000 in 2025. However, the bank remains optimistic that gold prices will continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace than before.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAUUSD 6/1/25Coming into this week, we maintain a bullish bias on gold. Last week, we experienced a short-term shift to bearish, which was expected as we mentioned before the new year. Currently, we are focusing on the cluster of lows at the base of our most recent range. This is the area we are targeting for potential long trades this week. Orion is indicating that we need to align with the long bias, so we will follow this direction and monitor targets and entries accordingly. Note that we currently have only two targets above. If the market creates another high before dropping into the mentioned lows, we may have more than two targets to work with, requiring us to trade within those areas. Be mindful of the current structure. As mentioned in the EU analysis, we may form short-term lows to play off, which could make the lower areas less likely for the week’s initial move. As always, we wait for a low to be reached, then analyse the entry timeframe to determine if there’s an opportunity to participate. Trade safely and stick to your plan.
FX:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Falling towards overlap support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,632.46 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,608.78 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6%^ Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2,659.51 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. 2,632.46 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe - This idea is based on educational purposes Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00 Like and Comments on our Analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professionaltradersfx
Gold can drop from resistance line of pennant to 2595 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support line and rose to 2790 points, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the support line, breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and then continued to fall next. Soon, Gold declined below the support line and even broke the 2595 level and fell to 2536 points. But later Gold turned around and made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time, and started to trades inside pennant as well. Next, the price made a small correction and then some time traded in the range, after which in a short time rose to the seller zone back. In this area, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then started to decline to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. Later XAU some time traded near the support line of the pennant and then rebounded up to the resistance line of this pattern, which at the moment continues to trades near. For this case, I think that Gold can rebound from the resistance line and drop to the support level, exiting from the pennant. Therefore I set my TP at 2595 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
8
Gold's Potential Movememt in 2025Here is the detailed technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD 1. Key Levels and Chart Structure - Resistance Zones (red boxes): There is a significant resistance zone highlighted around $2,720–$2,740. This is an area where the price has previously struggled to break through, indicating strong selling pressure or profit-taking. - Support Zones (green boxes): The key support levels are marked near $2,580–$2,600. This area has been tested multiple times in the past, showing buyers stepping in and defending this zone. 2. Chart Pattern - Symmetrical Triangle: The white lines outline a symmetrical triangle pattern. This indicates consolidation and a potential breakout, either upwards or downwards, as the price nears the apex of the triangle. Triangles often lead to sharp price movements as traders anticipate a resolution. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (green path) - If the price breaks above the resistance zone near $2,720, we could see a bullish rally. - The price might retest the breakout level before heading higher towards $2,760–$2,800. This aligns with the continuation of the prevailing uptrend from earlier in the chart. - A breakout above the symmetrical triangle would signal strong buying momentum, supported by increasing volume during the breakout. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (red path) - If the price fails to hold the triangle's lower boundary and the key support zone near $2,580, a bearish breakdown is likely. - This could lead to a sharp decline, targeting levels around $2,520 and potentially further towards $2,480. - Such a move could be triggered by strong selling pressure or macroeconomic factors unfavorable to gold, such as a strengthening U.S. dollar or rising bond yields. 4. Volume Analysis - The volume seems to be decreasing as the price moves within the triangle, which is typical for such consolidation patterns. A significant increase in volume during the breakout or breakdown would confirm the direction of the move. 5. Trading Implications - For a bullish breakout, traders might consider entering long positions above $2,720 with stops below the triangle and targeting $2,760 or higher. - For a bearish breakdown, short positions could be initiated below $2,580, with stops above the triangle and targets near $2,520 or lower. - Risk management is essential, especially in volatile market conditions like this. This analysis is based purely on the technical chart setup and does not account for any fundamental factors or news events that could influence gold prices. It would be wise to monitor any upcoming economic reports or geopolitical developments that might impact gold's movement.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by MrSharelock
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheGrove
3
XAUUSD - Gold reached its previous day's target!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term bullish channel. The correction of the price of gold towards the demand zones will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. In the early days of 2025, gold prices surged by over $40, regaining some of the losses from December and once again capturing investors’ attention. Although December’s decline in gold prices was not significant, it was disappointing for many investors—especially considering the positive news at the start of December 2024 that the Chinese central bank had resumed its gold purchases after a months-long pause. Several key factors are currently shaping the outlook for the gold market. First, the release of China’s economic data on January 7 is expected to play a crucial role in influencing the market. Second, the weak start to 2025 for Chinese equities and domestic investors’ disappointment with the lack of tangible economic stimuli, particularly in the consumer sector, have acted as supportive factors for gold. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s interest rates and the strength of the US dollar remain important elements to watch. While US bond yields dipped slightly today, the dollar remains strong. For gold to replicate its impressive 2024 performance, a reversal in the dollar’s upward trajectory will be essential. Gold had a very strong performance in 2024, but it now appears to be entering a phase of range-bound movement for a period. Historically, gold has exhibited back-and-forth fluctuations, and with US interest rates continuing to rise, this trend could work against it. Analysts estimate that the $2,500 level could serve as a price floor in the first quarter of 2025. Any price dips are likely to attract buying pressure, though a significant upward breakout is not expected. A key factor that could support gold would be a decline in the 10-year US Treasury yield. For instance, if the 10-year yield drops below 4%, it could trigger a significant rise in gold prices. However, there is little interest in selling gold under current conditions.It is predicted that gold’s behavior in 2025 will resemble its performance in 2021, where buyers were present but no substantial upward movement occurred. Should gold break above the $2,800 level, this could trigger major changes and push prices toward the $3,000 mark. It would not be surprising if this happens at some point during 2025. However, the first few months of the year are expected to favor range-bound price movements.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices. In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold. Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals. Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies. More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Could the Gold drop from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support level. Pivot: 2,636.83 1st Support: 2,608.00 1st Resistance: 2,657.44 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
GOLD:Will the U.S. Dollar Cap Gold Gains?Analyzing Market TrendsGold prices have seen a surge in buying activity as the week begins, aiming to build upon the recovery initiated from a one-month low reached last Thursday. Analyzing the market from a technical perspective, we've observed the price hitting our pending order level. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain bullish while commercial traders have shifted to a bearish stance over the past week. This dynamic suggests that we are anticipating a bearish continuation in gold prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, fears surrounding trade wars continue to create a backdrop that benefits the safe-haven appeal of gold. However, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) presents a contrasting scenario that could further suppress gold prices. Recently, there has been a resurgence in dip-buying within the USD, fueled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and rising U.S. Treasury yields. These factors are likely to impose additional constraints on gold, a non-yielding asset, limiting its upside potential. In summary, while the geopolitical landscape might support gold's appeal, the prevailing strength of the dollar could undermine any significant price increases in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
XAUUSD 30/12/24Our final gold markup before 2025 arrives and we transition into a new trading year! As expected, the Christmas period brought low trading volume, which leads us to review the setups from last week. With the New Year approaching quickly, we anticipate volume will remain low until 2025. Here’s last week’s text for additional context. XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,632.65 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 2,655.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2,593.01 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold can drop to support line of wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. After this, the price rose to 2721 points and then made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the wedge, breaking the resistance level. Next, Gold started to trades inside the range, where it rose to the 2665 resistance level, but then made a correction to the bottom part of the range. After this movement, the price started to grow and reached the resistance level again, and even broke it, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move up. Price rose to the resistance line of the wedge, turned around, and quickly dropped below the resistance level, breaking it again. Later price fell to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded up the top resistance line, breaking the 2605 level one more time. At the moment, I think that the price can rebound from the resistance line and start to decline to the support line of the wedge pattern, breaking the support level. For this case, I set my TP at 2575 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
1