Jabil - Downtrend BeginsThe move from early April 2025 - the fifth wave - is complete.
The larger fifth wave from March 2020 is also complete.
Ahead of us: corrective action.
We may miss the exact local targets, as they are only starting to form, but preliminary levels are:
Key targets (choose any):
206 -> 187 -> 180 -> 172 -> 153 -> 136
On a larger scale, the full fifth-wave structure should be corrected, potentially reaching the 136 area or even l ower .
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JBL
Breaking: Electronics Firm Jabil Forecasts Upbeat Annual ResultsJabil (NYSE: NYSE:JBL ), forecast annual revenue and profit above Wall Street estimates on Wednesday, as the electronic component maker looks to capitalize on artificial intelligence-driven demand for data centers, sending its shares up more than 5.8% in premarket trade.
It expects full-year 2026 revenues of $32.4 billion, above analysts' average expectations of $31.52 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
On an adjusted basis, it expects annual profit per share of $11.55, versus expectations of $11.11.
Rising investments in data center infrastructure, driven by strong demand for computing capacity to support AI technologies, have aided companies like Jabil.
The company, which supplies electronic components to Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab, also surpassed Street expectations for its first-quarter results.
First-quarter revenue rose 18.74% to $8.30 billion, surpassing estimates of $8.09 billion, as per data compiled by LSEG.
Adjusted profit per share for the quarter ended November 30 was $2.85, while analysts expected $2.70.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, NYSE:JBL stock is up 0.42% in Thursday's premarket trading. if the stock should break the $230 resistant zone a bullish surge to $300 is feasible amidst RSI at 50 giving the stock more room to capitalise on the dip.
According to 9 analysts, the average rating for JBL stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $229.56, which is an increase of 6.13% from the latest price.
JBL Jabil Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JBL before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JBL Jabil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 220usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $8.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$JBLMarket Performance and Recent Momentum
In the latest trading session, shares of Jabil Inc. (JBL) advanced +2.18% to close at $218.72. This performance notably outpaced the broader market, with the S&P 500 gaining a modest 0.11%. The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite appreciated 0.22%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a slight decline of 0.07%. Jabil's positive move suggests investor confidence ahead of its upcoming earnings report, potentially reflecting positioning based on anticipated strong results.
Despite this daily outperformance, Jabil's stock has faced headwinds over the past month, declining 1.88%. This decline has underperformed relative to both its sector peers and the broader market: the Computer and Technology sector fell 1.07%, while the S&P 500 posted a marginal gain of 0.08% over the same period. This recent weakness may indicate sector-specific concerns or profit-taking ahead of earnings, setting the stage for a potentially pivotal quarterly report.
Upcoming Earnings: A Catalyst for Reassessment
All eyes are now on Jabil's forthcoming earnings release, scheduled for December 17, 2025. The report is expected to serve as a significant catalyst, clarifying the company's trajectory amid mixed recent performance.
The consensus analyst estimate projects earnings per share (EPS) of $2.70, which would represent a substantial 35% increase compared to the same quarter last year. Revenue is forecast at $8.01 billion, marking a robust 14.6% year-over-year growth. For the full fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates point to earnings of $11.05 per share and revenue of $31.32 billion, translating to annual growth rates of +13.33% and +9.84%, respectively. These figures underscore expectations for sustained, double-digit expansion.
Analyst Sentiment and Valuation Metrics
Recent revisions to analyst estimates are a critical indicator of near-term business trends. While Jabil's consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past month, the company currently holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). This neutral rating suggests analysts are awaiting confirmation from the upcoming earnings before adjusting their outlooks more decisively. Historically, the Zacks Rank system has demonstrated a strong correlation between estimate revisions and near-term stock price movement, with its top-rated stocks (#1 Strong Buy) delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988.
From a valuation perspective, Jabil presents a mixed picture:
Its Forward P/E ratio of 19.37 is slightly below the industry average of 19.59, indicating a marginal discount relative to peers.
However, its PEG ratio of 1.39—which factors in expected earnings growth—stands above the industry average PEG ratio of 1.02. This suggests the stock's current price may already incorporate a significant portion of its growth premium, warranting close scrutiny of whether future results can justify this multiple.
Jabil operates within the Electronics - Manufacturing Services industry, which is part of the broader Computer and Technology sector. This industry group holds an impressive Zacks Industry Rank of 7, placing it in the top 3% of all 250+ industries covered. This high ranking indicates favorable fundamental trends and positive earnings outlooks for the industry as a whole, which could provide a supportive backdrop for Jabil.
Technical Analysis and Key Levels
From a technical standpoint, Jabil's chart reveals defined support and resistance zones that will be critical in determining its near-term direction following the earnings release:
Primary Support: The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level near $206.83 represents the first key support area. A hold above this level would indicate underlying strength.
Secondary Support: The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level near $188.07 serves as a stronger, more critical support zone. A breach below the primary support could see the stock test this area, which would likely represent a more significant pullback.
Upside Target: The main take-profit resistance is identified at $250. A decisive break above this level, likely fueled by a strong earnings beat and raised guidance, would signal a resumption of the primary bullish trend and open the path for further gains.
Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment at Hand
Jabil enters its earnings report at a technical and fundamental inflection point. While the stock has shown daily strength, its monthly underperformance and elevated PEG ratio highlight investor caution. The upcoming December 17th earnings release is poised to be the decisive factor, validating or challenging the current growth narrative. Strong results that meet or exceed the high expectations for EPS and revenue growth could catalyze a breakout toward the $250 target, especially if accompanied by optimistic forward guidance. Conversely, any disappointment may see the stock retreat to test its Fibonacci support levels. Investors are thus positioned for a high-convidence move post-earnings, with the company's immediate trajectory hinging on its ability to demonstrate that its growth justifies its valuation in a competitively ranked industry.
JBL - May 24 (MATREND v1.6)Had three signals (JBL, COHR, WDC) but I selected JBL because the price structure on chart looks like it has the best potential to trend.
v1.6
Exit rule tweaked to Daily 10SMA
Calibrated entry specs, to slightly loosen up the Stoploss
atr_x = 2.5
entry_atr_xfactor = 3.7
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This is a simple systematic Trend strategy where entry is based on two conditions
1. Price crossing over the EMA
2. The present ATR is less than an ATR multiple
The ATR condition allows us to enter trades that has not gapped too much as that usually results in a price pullback
Risk
Fixed & tight SL based on ATR multiples closes trades fast
Closing of the trades is a simple price cross over the daily SMA
This strategy only has a 34.38% win rate. So most trades will end up as losers until we hit a strong upswing.
JBL Jabil Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JBL here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JBL Jabil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JBL Jabil Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of JBL Jabil prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 95usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $3.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Jubilee metal plummeting after a dangerous pattern target R1.16We saw a Breakout Falling Wedge pattern form on JBL.
The price then broke above BUT did not confirm and penetrate above the 200MA.
This caused a major fakeout and shakeout and caused the price to drop.
Sometimes this type of move is a stronger indication of a reversal.
Hence, the price has broken below the Falling Wedge and now has a target of R1.16.
200 >21>7 MA - Bearish
RSI <30 - Bearish
Target R1.16
LESSON LEARNT
When a Breakout pattern fails and breaks below the pattern, this can confirm a major reversal and a high probability trade in the other way.
Jubilee to run up in the near futureBullish Falling wedge
Right now Jubilee is still in a range (Falling Wedge)
The sign that it'll break up is based on the previous uptrend. Price has been coming down but on a very low range and it doesn't seem quite convicing.
I want to say if the price breaks up we could see a target of R4.23
CONCERN
If the price breaks down, we could also see a target of R1.18
The analysis is neutral right now, but I'm leaning more to the long (bullish) side.
Jabil - Long next target 68.00JBL with pivotal news point.
JBL reported second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings of $1.68 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 15.1% and grew 32.3% year over year.
Thanks to strong secular tailwinds and momentum in many end markets, the company raised outlook for fiscal 2022. It now expects revenues of approximately $32.6 billion and core EPS of about $7.25.
So a Long is interesting with next target 68.00 and more
JBL Swing Trade Setup- Price has been recovering nicely in a well defined channel since the Covid-19 crash.
- The base of the channel is formed by the 20dMA (20 day moving average).
- Price has bounced off this lower channel (20dMA) 3 times. This means the 20dMA and channel bottom is a fairly strong support.
- The 20dMA crossed the 50dMA on May 7th. This is a bullish signal.
- Next time price approaches the 20dMA is will also be near the bottom of the Fibonacci Retracement channel which price has bounced off the last 3 tests. - - -- This means the $27.50 Fib line is fairly strong support.
- The 200dMA is at the $33.60 Fib line. These form overhead resistance lines.
JBL Swing Trade SetupThe setup here is to buy when price bounces off the 20dMA around $28.24 with a target of $33.33 for a 18% gain and a stop loss at $27.29 for a -3.3% loss.
$JBL Rangebound Finding Support$JBL has been fairly rangebound for the better part of the last year. We tagged the lower support line yesterday and have begun to turn back up.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, we also saw $3.5M worth of leap call options traded yesterday - with about 6k $27 strike Jan'21 contracts purchased.
Targeting a move back to $30 by early November.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
JBL - H&S formation short from $27.33 to $18.32JBL is forming a possible H&S formation in weekly chart. It seems a good long term short opportunity.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- November 9, 2017
Pattern/Why- Potential H&S in weekly
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $27.33
Exit Target Criteria- $18.32
Stop Loss Criteria- $32.07, $29.43 (Conservative)
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
HAR BullIt's looking like Harman International should even out a bit more before taking off at earnings report in early May. Looking like early this week should be a great time to go long.
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**I am not a professional trader, nor I do I claim to really know what I am doing in any situation. Please don't make any real trades based on anything I may post.**

















