Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot, which is a [pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 148.05
1st Support: 146
1st Resistance: 149.84
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Jpy
Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.58
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.83
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 147.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDJPY - 2000pip Reversal Incoming!USDJPY is setting up for a 2000pip impulse!
We've seen a bearish impulse at the start of this year and since then we've been in a correction. We are expecting another impulse very soon, rivalling the first one!
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to move into our reversal zone
- once there, look for trendline break, BOS or other reversal signs
- Take profit: 140 (1500pips), 135 (2000pips)
Short Term Buys:
In the meantime, we can look to trade the move up into the sell zone. Expecting a bounce off the fibonacci. Invalidation level is 145.4. A break below that level will invalidation this short term buys.
See below for the short term buys.
USDJPY 12H
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Bearish drop off?GBP/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 200.21
1st Support: 199.00
1st Resistance: 201.14
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off?EUR/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the overlap support.
Pivot: 174.41
1st Support: 173.78
1st Resistance: 174.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?GBP/JPY has rejected off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 199.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 200.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 198.84
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Bearish drop off?EUR/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 174.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 175.35
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 172.58
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bullish reversal off pullback support?NZD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 85.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 85.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 86.52
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBP/JPY - Trade Setup⚡ GBP/JPY 1H Breakdown – Samurai Short Setup ⚡
The beast is showing its hand again – let’s cook this setup 🍣👇
🕐 1H Structure
Price tapped into that 4H supply zone sitting just above the 71% fib pocket. We had a clean shift in market structure (SHIFTTT 🛑), and now price is chilling below that level – classic distribution vibes.
📍 Key Levels
Entry : 200.06 (short trigger after the retest)
Stop : 200.47 (above the BSL / invalidation zone)
Target : 198.00 (next demand / liquidity resting below)
R:R ratio = ~5R – heavy sniper play 🎯
🧠 Technical Breakdown
BSL taken: Buy-side liquidity above the swing high got swiped, perfect trap for the bears.
Structure shift: Market flipped bearish after rejection, confirming supply in control.
Confluence: 4H supply + 71% fib + liquidity grab = textbook high-probability short.
🎯 Play Idea
Looking to ride shorts down into the demand zone around 198.00. If stop gets clipped, that means bulls ain’t done hunting yet, but structure says bears got the edge.
✅ Summary
GBP/JPY lining up a short wave – clean liquidity sweep, structure shift, and high R:R. Samurai precision needed here 🗡.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce aheadUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 147.86, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 146.99, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 149.81, which is a swing high resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bearish reversal?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.88
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 148.12
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 148.31
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 151.23
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY: 150 INTERVENTION ZONE BATTLE! BoJ vs Bulls 🚀 USDJPY: 150 INTERVENTION ZONE BATTLE! BoJ vs Bulls 📊
Current Price: 149.521 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰
📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 149.20 - 149.60 📍
Stop Loss: 148.80 🛑
Target 1: 150.20 🎯
Target 2: 150.80 🚀
🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 149.80 - 150.20 📍
Stop Loss: 150.50 🛑
Target 1: 148.50 🎯
Target 2: 147.80 📉
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 68.7 ⚡ Overbought Territory
Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Rejection 🔥
VWAP: 149.30 - Critical Support 💪
EMA 20: 148.90 ✅ Bullish Trend Intact
Volume: Intervention Fears Rising 📊
🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 5 Extension Risk 🌊
Fibonacci Target: 150.50 Danger Zone 🎯
🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bearish Bat Forming at 150.00 ✨
ABCD Completion Warning 🔄
⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
🚀 BULLISH TARGETS:
Intervention Zone: 150.00-150.50 🏆
Extended Target: 151.00 🌙
Gann Resistance: 150.25 ⭐
📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 148.00 ⚠️
Critical Break: 147.00 🚨
🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Parabolic Extension 💪
Momentum: Intervention Risk 🔥
Wyckoff Phase: Distribution Risk 📈
Ichimoku: Overbought Signals 🟡
🏛️ CENTRAL BANK DYNAMICS:
BoJ Intervention: 150 Trigger Level 🚨
Verbal Warnings: Intensifying 📢
USD Strength: Fed Policy Support 💵
Rate Differential: Widening 📊
⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 40 pips 🛡️
R:R Ratio: Conservative 1:1.5 ⚖️
Intervention Alert: Above 149.80 📏
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS:
Fed Hawkishness vs BoJ Dovish 🏦
US Yields Supporting USD 📈
Japan CPI Remaining Low 📊
Tokyo Session High Volatility 🗾
🔥 INTERVENTION WATCH:
BoJ Trigger: 150.00 Level 💥
Historical Pattern: Verbal → Action 📉
Risk/Reward: Deteriorating 📉
⚠️ DANGER ZONE LEVELS:
Intervention Risk: 149.80+ 🚨
Support: 149.00 | 148.50 | 148.00 🛡️
Resistance: 150.00 | 150.50 | 151.00 🚧
🎯 FINAL VERDICT:
USDJPY at CRITICAL 150 BATTLE! 🚀
BoJ intervention risk MAXIMUM! ⚠️
Bulls vs Central Bank showdown! ⚔️
Trade Management: Reduce size near 150! 💰
Alert Level: 149.80 intervention warning! 🚨
---
⚠️ Disclaimer: High intervention risk. Use tight stops. Educational analysis only.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
🔔 Follow BoJ Intervention Alerts | 💬 Share Your 150 Strategy
USD/JPY - Multi Timeframe analysis🚀 USD/JPY – Forecast Breakdown 🚀
Let’s cook this pair up across the timeframes 👇
🕰 Weekly View
Price has been battling along that weekly liquidity trendline. After months of chop, buyers finally punched through the consolidation zone and are now aiming higher. Big picture → the path of least resistance points north toward the 152–154 zone. But, keep in mind, weekly still has major resistance around 150 lurking.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily chart shows a clean BOS after running stops. Price cleared liquidity above 149, tapped into the daily imbalance, and is reacting nicely. If bulls keep control, momentum could carry us toward 151. But if daily sellers defend that major resistance, we could see a dip back to 148 (daily demand).
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H:
Fresh BOS + 71% fib reaction 🔥
Price grabbed liquidity below before rocketing higher.
Market is now stalling under 149.5 – 150 major resistance.
Short-term scenario: Possible pullback into 148.3 – 148.5 (4H demand) before another leg up. If that zone holds, bulls likely reload and push us toward 151+.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Breaking higher, aiming for 152–154 🎯
Daily : Strong BOS, but resistance at 150 needs clearing ⚔️
4H : Demand at 148.3–148.5 is the key re-entry zone 🟩
Bias → Bullish overall, with healthy pullbacks likely. Watch 150: break it clean and we’re on rocket mode 🚀; rejection could mean a retest of 148 support.
⚠️ Risk note: USD/JPY is a stop-hunter — mind your entries and size.
Potential bullish continuation?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 148.78
1st Support: 147.44
1st Resistance: 150.75
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Massive bullish break-out above the 1W MA50.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up and more recently since the April 21 2025 Low, within a shorter term Channel Up (dotted trend-lines).
This pattern made a Higher Low last week and on this one it broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 28. If it closes the candle above it, it will be the first time to do so since January 27 2025, thus a massive buy signal.
Based on the Bullish Legs of the dotted Channel Up (+6.00%) we expect the current rise to test the Lower Highs trend-line at 154.000.
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GBP/JPY - BOJ Holds Rates, Inflation Outlook RisesOANDA:GBPJPY #GBPJPY #Forex #Trading #FXAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BankOfJapan #ForexTrader
The Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rates unchanged while raising its inflation forecast. This shows caution but also optimism that cooperation with the U.S. could support Japan’s economic stability.
On the chart, demand zones (red) are acting as key support, with potential bullish targets around 200.500 – 201.100 (green key zones). If buyers defend these support levels, we could see momentum pushing GBP/JPY toward the upside targets.
Traders should watch price reaction at support for potential long entries.
👍 Support with a like & drop your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
GBP/JPY - NO CONFIRMATION! (Possible failed resistance break)🔥 GBP/JPY – 4H Forecast 💷💴
This pair is dancing inside some serious supply, and sellers are warming up. Let’s break it down 👇
🕰 Market Context
Price tagged into a weekly supply zone and instantly reacted. Sellers defended heavy.
Liquidity sweep above the highs (BSL) → classic stop grab before turning south. ⚡
Daily zone + 8H imbalance already filled, giving sellers control.
📉 Bearish Flow
Market structure flipped bearish with a lower high (LPL) being printed.
1H zone is aligning with 4H supply = confluence for shorts.
Buyer attempts are fading; sell-side pressure is loading for a move into deeper demand.
⚡ Key Zones
Resistance / Supply:
200.40–200.80 (daily/4H supply pocket)
201.20 extreme high liquidity sweep
Support / Demand:
199.00 (short-term intraday demand)
197.80–198.20 = main target demand zone 🎯
🎯 Forecast Path
Expect a possible tiny push back into 200.0–200.4 zone for liquidity grab 📈.
From there → sellers should kick in → drive down toward 198.0 demand. 🕳
Break below 197.8 opens door to 195.5–196.0 macro support.
📝 Trade Idea
Bias: Bearish (supply reaction + liquidity grab confirmed).
Plan : Short from 200.0–200.4 retest.
Targets : 199.0 → 198.0 → extended 196.0.
Invalidation : Clean 4H close above 201.2 kills the short bias.
📌 Summary : GBP/JPY just faked out above highs into weekly supply and is now setting up for a deeper sell-off. Smart money is eyeing the 198.0 demand zone — shorts are the play until 201.2 breaks.
USDJPY - Red Low or Orange Resistance: Your Trigger Map!USDJPY squeezed off 146.0 and is testing the 148.8–149.2 orange resistance on the 4H while momentum cools.
Here’s the plan 🔑
If the last low in red is broken downward, the bears take over, and I’ll look for 147.2 first, then the 146.0 support zone.
If the orange resistance is broken upward and holds, I’ll expect continuation toward the upper supply at 150.7–151.0 (with 150.0 as a waypoint).
What’s your move => fade a failure at the orange band, or buy a clean break and hold into 150s? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 200.21
1st Support: 199
1st Resistance: 201.14
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 173.78
1st Support: 173.09
1st Resistance: 175.01
Disclaimer:
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AUD/JPY Bullish Breakout, Bulls Eye 99Earlier this week I outlined my bias for a bounce ahead of another leg lower on AUD/JPY. but looking at the strength of the bounce, I suspect we've already seen the corrective low.
AUD/JPY bounced cleanly from 97.40 support and posted its strongest session in five weeks. A Morning Star reversal formed at the 20-day EMA, HVN, and July high, suggesting the correction is complete. Bulls now eye resistance at 99.00, with a breakout targeting the 100.00 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bearish drop off?NZD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 86.73
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 87.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 85.73
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
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