USD/JPY(20251224)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The US economy expanded at a rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, the fastest growth in two years, but the US consumer confidence index declined for the fifth consecutive month.
ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, private sector employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week.
Trump: Those who disagree with him will never become Fed Chair. Next Fed candidate Hassett: Predicts monthly job growth may return to 100,000+, and the Fed is far behind the times on interest rate cuts.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
156.30
Support and Resistance Levels:
157.71
157.18
156.84
155.76
155.42
154.90
Trading Strategy:
If it breaks above 156.30, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.84.
If it breaks below 155.76, consider selling, with a first target price of 155.42.
Jpy
USDJPY H4 | Potential Bullish BounceMomentum: Bullish
The price is falling towards the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant strength to this level.
Buy entry: 156.08
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 154.94
Pullback support
Take profit: 157.55
Multi swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Bullish continuation?GBP/JPY could fall towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 208.80
1st Support: 207.72
1st Resistance: 211.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish breakout?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot, and a breakout of this level could lead the price to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 91.11
1st Support: 90.64
1st Resistance: 91.71
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Heading towards pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.92
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.75
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 155.93
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal off pullback support?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 155.94
1st Support: 155.47
1st Resistance: 156.57
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish drop off?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 156.08
1st Support: 155.35
1st Resistance: 156.84
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish continuation?GBP/JPY could fall towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 208.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Stop loss: 207.21
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 212.84
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 61.8$% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish continuation setup?NZD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.25 Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 90.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 89.18
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support level.
Take profit: 91.98
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fib extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Selena | USDJPY 1H–Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 157.800 TargetFX:USDJPY
After an aggressive sell-off into 154.80–155.00 demand, USDJPY produced a strong impulsive recovery, reclaiming broken structure. Price is now compressing under the descending trendline and retesting the 155.50–155.70 entry zone, forming a potential higher-low setup. Bias remains bullish above this zone, aiming for a structural reversal toward major resistance.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Entry around 155.40–155.70 retest zone
Break & close above the descending trendline → continuation wave
🎯 Target 1: 156.96 (major resistance)
🎯 Final Target: 157.80–158.00 liquidity zone
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Only valid if price breaks below 155.20
Downside continuation into 154.80 demand zone
Below 154.70, structure turns fully bearish again
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 156.00 / 156.95
Support 🟢: 155.40 / 155.20 / 154.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
USDJPY: Last Clean Setup Before Christmas?Ladies and gentlemen, in our previous XAGUSD analysis , the long trigger we discussed did get activated and followed through as expected, offering a clean example of how structure and timing can align.
With that in mind, and as we approach the end of the year, if you're looking for another market with clear levels, tradable volatility, and a well-defined R/R, USDJPY is worth analyzing closely before Christmas.
I’m Skeptic , founder of Skeptic Lab . If you want to elevate your long-term performance through genuine psychology, data-driven insights, and proven strategies, you’ve landed in the right spot.
Let’s kick off with the daily timeframe : After peaking at 157.567 , it dove into a time-based correction. We printed lower highs in this pullback, but those highs couldn't crack the prior support at 154.539 —so buyer strength is still alive and kicking, even mid-correction. This screams that if the bearish secondary trend wraps up, buyers could dominate the next uptrend wave hard: sellers are burned out, and the buyers who scooped up that liquidity and seller exhaustion? They'll rocket prices higher in the follow-up leg.
On the economic front , the biggest news for JPY drops Friday: the rate decision. Markets are almost locked in on the Bank of Japan hiking rates again. At first glance, you might think "sweet, JPY strength = USDJPY dump," but it's not that simple. The snag? Japan's government is pushing "now's not the time for belt-tightening—we need more stimulus," while the central bank counters with "inflation's real, rates gotta rise." This clash is spiking market fear.
What's the fallout?
Investors are dumping Japanese bonds en masse.
Yields on those bonds have skyrocketed to their highest since 2007 (hitting an 18-year peak).
Meanwhile, the Yen keeps weakening.
This uncertainty could keep pounding the JPY even more—which lines up perfectly with the technicals we're seeing.
Now, drop to the 1H timeframe to hunt that trigger: After busting the downtrend line, we've formed higher highs and higher lows. If resistance at 155.605 cracks, that's our green light to go long. But if price dumps below 155.352 before the break, trigger's off—we'll scout a fresh one, and I'll update right here under this idea, 'cause that's my duty :)
For extra confirmation, tap RSI: A break above 68.27 could seal the deal (note: overbought levels can flex 5% around 70 based on market vibes—right now, reactions make 68.27 the key spot over 70).
Dial your targets by R/R: First up, resistance at 156.093, then the daily Resistance at 156.933.
Thanks for tuning into this idea—if it clicked for you, I'd appreciate a boost to keep the energy rolling and follow to grow our community. If there's a specific symbol you want analyzed, drop it in the comments. 🩵
Now get outta here.
GBPJPY - Moving UpWe are evaluating the chart from a technical perspective.
GBP continues its gradual upward movement.
The next clear target at this stage is slightly above or around 210.7 .
A broader outlook will become clearer once a corrective phase begins.
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Friday 19 December: Missed opportunities Unfortunately today I've had two very poorly timed appointments, 8am boiler service and 2pm eye test (UK time). Meaning I feel like I've missed the boat on a potential JPY short trade.
In particular I would suggest an early European session JPY short 'post BOJ trade' would have been Ideal, given that UEAD wasn't particularly forthcoming regarding future rate hikes, disappointing JPY bulls.
Unfortunately, I doubt there is enough momentum left in the week to place a trade this late in the day, especially considering I've read that large options expiries could play a part this afternoon.
Plus the JPY is looking a little stretched.
If (for example) AUD JPY continues to push new highs by the end of the day, I'll still look back and think in this moment it was correct to wait.
'Hopefully' sentiment for the JPY will remain soft and any pullbacks creating support will provide JPY short opportunities next week.
But for now, I'll go and try to wrap Michelle's Christmas present without her seeing.
Wishing you a lovely weekend.
#046: LONG AUD/JPY Investment Opportunity
The current structure of the AUD/JPY pair reflects a classic institutional pullback within a broader bullish environment. After a strong directional move, the price has entered a corrective phase that appears orderly rather than impulsive, suggesting a redistribution rather than a true trend reversal.
What is striking is the price behavior around the demand area. The market has already cleared liquidity, removing weak hands and breaching short-term stops. Since then, price action has slowed, showing hesitation and consolidation rather than a downward continuation. This is often a sign that professional traders are absorbing liquidity rather than closing positions.
From a macro perspective, the broader risk environment remains supported. The yen continues to serve as a funding currency, while the Australian dollar benefits from carry dynamics and relative strength during periods of risk appetite. This imbalance typically leads to shallow pullbacks, where the price doesn't always return to perfectly "clean" retail levels before resuming the primary move.
Volume trends reinforce this view. Selling pressure hasn't expanded during the retracement, and there's no evidence of aggressive distribution. Instead, the market appears to be transitioning from a corrective flow to a directional intent.
This type of structure often favors patience. Rather than chasing momentum, the idea is to allow the price to reach an area where institutional orders are more likely to stop, after the initial phase of manipulation. If execution occurs, the rationale is based on participation and intelligent money management, not emotional anticipation.
If the market continues to rise without filling the expected entry, this wouldn't invalidate the analysis. On the contrary, it would confirm strong directional conviction and aggressive participation by major players. In institutional trading, missed trades are a natural consequence of discipline, not a failure of analysis.
The focus remains on the quality of execution, not frequency. In environments like this, sticking to the plan and letting the market decide is often the most professional approach.
Selena | USDJPY | 2H – Institutional Demand Reaction ZoneFX:USDJPY
After multiple rejections from the HTF supply zone, price declined in a controlled manner and reached institutional demand. The current consolidation near the demand zone suggests absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive continuation. Structure is compressing, indicating a potential liquidity-driven expansion once price resolves from this range.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the institutional demand and reclaims channel midline:
🎯 Target 1: 155.20
🎯 Target 2: 156.00
🎯 Target 3: 156.60 (channel resistance)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
If price breaks and closes below structural support:
🎯 Downside Target 1: 153.80
🎯 Downside Target 2: 153.20 (HTF demand sweep)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 156.00 – 156.60
Support 🟢: 154.20 – 153.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
USDJPY SHORT - BOJ RATE HIKEThe BOJ raised its short-term policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.75% from 0.50%. This marks the highest level in about 30 years (since 1995) and is the first rate hike since January 2025. The decision was unanimous and widely expected by markets and economists.
Due to this, we see JPY becoming stronger against other pairs despite the initial JPY weakness shortly after the hike.
Another short trade is EURJPY.
Bullish bounce off?AUD/JPY could make a short-term pullback towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 102.29
1st Support: 101.59
1st Resistance: 103.44
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop loss: 154.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 156.90
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish RiseMomentum: Bearish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which acts as a multi-swing low support, adding significant strength to this level.
Buy entry: 154.79
Multi swing low support
Stop loss: 154.07
Pullback support
Take profit: 156.37
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USD/JPY(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Ben Waller, one of the final candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and current Governor, said on Wednesday that the current job market is "very weak" and job growth is "not optimistic," therefore the Fed still has room to cut interest rates. He supports further rate cuts to restore the central bank's interest rate setting to a neutral level, while stating that policymakers do not need to rush into doing so.
Speaking at the Yale University CEO Summit, Waller noted that the Fed's current interest rate is 50 to 100 basis points higher than the neutral rate, but he emphasized that "aggressive action is not needed" and that rate cuts can continue "at a moderate pace."
Waller stated that "the job market indicates the Fed should continue cutting rates," while also assuring that "we are not seeing a cliff-like drop in the job market."
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
155.30
Support and Resistance:
156.52
156.06
155.77
154.83
154.54
154.08
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 155.77, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.06.
If the price breaks below 155.30, consider selling, with a first target price of 154.83.
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
20 1day EMA is at 89.44.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 89.45 (stop at 89.05)
Our profit targets will be 90.65 and 90.95
Resistance: 90.06 / 90.30 / 90.90
Support: 89.54 / 89.23 / 88.88
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Heading towards 50% Fib resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 103.20
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 103.73
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 102.15
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
#045: USD/JPY Long Investment Opportunity
The USD/JPY is in a structured uptrend on the higher timeframe, with the price recently completing a liquidity clearing at the lows before showing signs of a reaction.
After a period of orderly bearish pressure, the market absorbed supply in dynamic support areas, without producing any significant structural breakout. This behavior is typical of stop-hunting maneuvers in a bullish environment, where the decline does not represent distribution but rather a replenishment of institutional long positions.
The subsequent rebound highlights:
Maintained structure of higher highs and higher lows over the medium term
Absence of abnormal downward accelerations
Price return above equilibrium and value areas
From a price action perspective, the recent decline shows characteristics of a corrective pullback, not a reversal. Volumes are consistently accompanying the movement, suggesting an accumulation phase rather than a market exit.
The environment remains favorable for a continuation of the main movement, with the price tending to re-engage with the dominant direction after eliminating the weakest positions. The current setup therefore favors trend-aligned trades, executed after, not during, manipulation.
In summary, the market is exhibiting a classic scenario:
primary bullish trend
controlled technical retracement
reabsorption of liquidity below the lows
resumption of main directional pressure
As long as the underlying structure remains intact, the trading bias remains oriented toward the continuation of the movement, with expectations of extension toward higher liquidity areas.






















