USD/JPY - Bullish Channel, Next Targeting 148.95 (23.09.2025)#USDJPY #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
USD/JPY is trading within a Bullish Channel Pattern on the 30M chart, holding above the rising trendline support. The pair is bouncing from the support zone (147.50 – 147.70), signaling potential upside continuation.
🔹 Market Structure:
Bullish channel intact with higher highs & higher lows.
Price rejected the support zone and trendline.
Momentum suggests buyers could retest upper channel resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 147.50 – 147.70
1st Resistance: 148.58
2nd Resistance: 148.95
📈 Trading Idea:
As long as USD/JPY stays above the support zone, bulls may drive price higher toward 148.58 → 148.95.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A break below 147.50 would weaken the bullish outlook.
“Discipline + Patience = Consistency 🔑”
Jpy
GBPJPY H4 | Bearish reversal setupGBP/JPY is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 200.05, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 201.22, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 198.58, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce offUSD/JPY has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level eot the take profit.
Buy entry is at 147.45, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 146.61, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 148.75, which his a multi swing high resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY(20250924)Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis:
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.66
Support and Resistance Levels:
148.13
147.95
147.84
147.49
147.37
147.20
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 147.84, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 148.13.
If the market breaks below 147.66, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 147.49.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 149.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 146.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
5 negative daily performances in succession.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
50 1hour EMA is at 86.68.
We look to Sell at 86.67 (stop at 87.01)
Our profit targets will be 85.67 and 85.47
Resistance: 86.74 / 86.97 / 87.22
Support: 86.38 / 85.99 / 85.56
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USDJPY H4 | Could we see a bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 147.45, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 146.61, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 148.75, which is a multi swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY Price Action SetupsThe rally on GBP/JPY has stalled around a major resistance level, which could give bears the upper hand over the near term. While AUD/JPY looks like it could go on to push higher, it also looks like it is in need of at least a minor pullback.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 147.03
1st Support: 146
1st Resistance: 148.74
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 200.05, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 201.22, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 198.03, which is a multi swing low support that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY H4 | Approaching major resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection, and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 148.84, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 150.72, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 147.44, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Heading into major resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.74
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 147.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 146.62
1st Support: 144.86
1st Resistance: 150.96
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY H4 SELL OUTLOOKGBPJPY (H4 Outlook) 👀
The pair is currently showing signs of indecision after recent bullish momentum, and price action suggests we could see a retracement before the next directional move. Two key scenarios are worth paying close attention to:
Potential Pullback to Premium Levels
Price may retest the 200.500–200.800 region, which aligns with a short-term premium zone. If this area holds as resistance, it could serve as a valid point for sellers to step back into the market.
Respect of the FVG at 200.000
Alternatively, price could respect the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 200.000, triggering bearish continuation earlier than expected. This would require confirmation via bearish order flow — such as a shift in market structure or rejection patterns on lower timeframes.
If confirmed, the downside target remains the 198.400–198.000 demand zone, which is a strong liquidity area and potential take-profit region for shorts.
Overall, patience is key here. Waiting for the right confirmation will allow traders to align with the prevailing market sentiment rather than anticipating prematurely.
USD/JPY - Fake Breakout. Is price Distributing💹 USD/JPY – 4H Forecast
Weekly Structure:
Price is still holding strong above demand, with 151.0 acting as the big liquidity magnet.
Daily Structure:
We’ve been stuck in a wide consolidation range between 146.0 support and 150.9 resistance. Market keeps faking both sides, but bulls are slowly regaining control.
4H Structure:
Recent fake breakout/manipulation flushed stops before shifting bullish.
Imbalances (Daily + Weekly) got filled on the push up.
Price is now respecting the bullish structure, eyeing a move higher.
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred): 146.7 – 147.0
Buy Zone 2 (Needs confirmation): 146.1 – 146.2
Upside liquidity target sits around 150.9 – 151.0 BSL.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Pullback into demand zones.
Mid-term: Bullish continuation → eyes on 150.9 – 151.0.
Bias : Short-term retrace → Mid-term bullish.
USDJPY Ultimate Price Action Analysis:📊 USDJPY Forecast 🔮💹 (147.961) Closing 20th Sept 2025 | 12:50 AM UTC+4
🕵️♂️ Market Snapshot
USDJPY closed at 147.961, showing mixed signals as bulls attempt to hold ground near critical levels while sellers eye a potential reversal. ⚖️
🏦 Technical Framework
🔹 Chart Patterns
📈 Possible Elliott Wave 5th leg exhaustion near 148.5–149.2.
🌀 Harmonic PRZ forming around 149.0.
🏯 Ichimoku Cloud shows resistance overhead, baseline support at 147.3.
⚠️ Watch for bull trap if price fails 148.2.
🔹 Indicators
RSI 📊: 62 → mild overbought.
BB 🔔: Price hugging upper band = volatility spike.
MA Cross 🔀: Golden cross intact, but momentum flattening.
VWAP ⚡: Anchored VWAP = 147.6 → strong pivot.
🕐 Intraday Outlook
Buy Zone 💵: 147.40 – 147.60 (support + VWAP confluence).
Sell Zone 💸: 148.50 – 148.80 (resistance + harmonic).
Take Profit 🎯:
Longs → 148.20 / 148.50
Shorts → 147.10 / 146.80
Stop Loss 🛑:
Longs < 147.20
Shorts > 149.00
⏳ Swing Trading Outlook
Bullish Scenario 🐂: Break & close above 149.20 → next target 150.50 – 151.20.
Bearish Scenario 🐻: Close below 146.80 → correction toward 145.40 – 144.70.
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 148.20 / 148.80 / 149.20
Support: 147.40 / 146.80 / 145.40
🎯 Strategy Summary
✅ Intraday: Buy dips near support, sell rallies near resistance.
✅ Swing: Watch 149.20 breakout or 146.80 breakdown for larger moves.
⚡ Volatility expected → trade with strict risk control.
🌍 Market Context
Fed & BoJ policy divergence remains key.
Geopolitical jitters in Asia could trigger safe-haven flows → boosting JPY demand.
🔥 Trade Smart | Manage Risk | Respect Levels 🔥
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the upside.
Buy entry is at 146.58, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.75, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 148.78, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with he 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 147.07
1st Support: 145.87
1st Resistance: 149
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls The USDJPY spiked lower following the Fed’s 25 basis point cut yesterday but quickly reversed trajectory as the dot plot projections from the FOMC came in softer than markets had expected.
The updated dot plot showed a narrow majority of FOMC members anticipating two more small rate cuts in 2025, while others leaned toward just one or even none.
This potentially suggests that the Fed is not simply aligning with Trump sycophant and newly appointed FOMC board member Stephen Miran’s aggressive call for repeated 50-basis-point cuts and instead signals an element of independence.
USDJPY (left chart, 1H): The pair has carved out a sharp V-shaped reversal after its Fed-driven dip, showing strong bullish momentum. This suggests buyers remain in control unless a reversal candle (such as a bearish engulfing) forms.
XAUUSD (right chart, 4H): Gold’s rally topped out near 3,707 before pulling back more than 600 pips to 3,646. The most recent candles show shorter bodies with upper wicks — a potential sign of fading momentum and supply pressure. If this develops into a bearish continuation pattern, the channel’s border becomes the next area of focus.
AUDJPY Strong cyclical Sell SignalLast time we made a call on the AUDJPY pair was 6 months ago (March 28, see chart below), giving a sell signal that quickly hit our 91.000 Target:
This time we have the price trading near the Top (Higher Highs trend-line) of a 4-month Channel Up but in the past 2 days has seen a minor pull-back on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This can be explained cyclically as based on the previous two Higher Highs and using the Time Cycles, the pattern topped exactly 2 days ago (just under the 1.382 Fib extension) and is technically in need of a correction towards its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, and since the 1D RSI also dipped below its MA (consistent with both previous tops), we turn bearish on this pair, targeting 96.500.
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NZDJPY to find sellers at the current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Previous resistance located at 87.80.
87.70 has been pivotal.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 87.67 (stop at 88.00)
Resistance: 87.66 / 87.88 / 88.13
Support: 87.32 / 87.16 / 86.80
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Falling towards major support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which his a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 96.63
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 98.30
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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