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Selena | USDJPY – 4H – Bullish Channel ContinuationFX:USDJPY After a corrective pullback from the channel mid/high region, price dipped into a strong demand area aligned with channel support and the rising trendline. This zone absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to a sharp bullish response. As long as price holds above the channel support, the broader bullish momentum remains intact. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Continuation toward the upper channel and previous highs. 🎯 Target 1: 158.80 – 159.50 🎯 Target 2: 160.80 – 162.00 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clean breakdown below channel support would invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 Downside Target: 149.50 – 147.00 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 159.50 / 160.80 Support 🟢: 152.00 – 150.80 (Demand + Channel Base) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
10
Selena | USDJPY – 4H – Bullish Structure Under CorrectionFX:USDJPY The recent drop represents a liquidity-driven correction rather than confirmed trend reversal. Price is now testing a critical support zone aligned with previous demand and the lower boundary of the broader structure. Holding this region keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Sustained support above 151.00–150.60 may trigger a corrective bounce 🎯 Target 1: 154.00 🎯 Target 2: 156.50 🎯 Target 3: 159.00–160.00 (HTF Liquidity) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation) → Acceptance below 150.00 would weaken bullish structure and open deeper downside. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 154.00 – 157.50 Support 🟢: 151.00 – 150.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
9
USDJPY Is Not Reversing Yet — This Is Distribution Before MOVEJPYUSD just shifted from an impulsive push into a tight distribution style range: price is printing lower highs + choppy overlaps under the marked resistance zone (~0.00651–0.00652) while repeatedly leaning on the support zone (~0.00643–0.00644) that’s classic “slow bleed” behavior where sellers absorb every bounce and liquidity builds at the floor. The yellow EMA (trend filter) is still rising underneath, but notice the structure: the market keeps rejecting the top, then steps down in smaller waves, which often precedes a support sweep → breakdown → acceleration as stops below support get triggered. Macro-wise, this setup makes sense because JPY is highly sensitive to U.S. yield direction and risk sentiment: if U.S. yields stay firm / the Fed stays restrictive, it tends to support USD and pressure JPY (JPYUSD lower), while any risk-off shock or a credible BoJ tightening narrative can flip flows back into JPY and fuel a rebound. That’s why the plan is simple and professional: bullish only if price reclaims and holds above ~0.00652 (acceptance, not just a wick), targeting the prior swing area, but bearish if we lose ~0.00643 cleanly, then look for continuation toward the EMA zone (~0.00641) and deeper liquidity around ~0.00635 because the real move usually starts after this range has baited both sides into taking early entries.
by BlackGoldMarket
JPY Index — Reversal Signal Confirmed. EurJpy&GbpJpy in focusA week ago, I argued that a strong reversal could be next for JPY pairs, based on one key observation: ✅ the JPY Index was trading at an all-time low, but price action was contained inside a falling wedge — a pattern that often signals trend exhaustion and a reversal just around the corner. And as always, the market did what it does best… 👉 it made one more new low, just to shake everyone out, before reversing. 🔥 Friday: The First Real Confirmation Friday delivered a very important technical signal: a strong bullish engulfing candle and even more importantly… ✅ a close above the descending trendline of the falling wedge That’s a key detail, because wedge breaks matter only when the market accepts above the structure, not when it simply spikes and fades. 📈 Today: Gap Up and Strong Continuation Today, the market opened with a clear gap above horizontal resistance and is trading strongly to the upside. This is exactly how a real reversal begins: - break the structure - reclaim the level - continue with momentum ✅ Going Forward: I Expect JPY Strength to Continue From this point, I expect the JPY recovery / strength to extend further. Which means my focus shifts to the pairs that can “pay” the best if JPY strengthens: 👉 EURJPY 👉 GBPJPY 📌 Trading Plan My plan is simple: ✅ Sell rallies in EURJPY and GBPJPY as long as JPY strength remains the dominant theme. If this reversal continues to develop, these crosses have the potential to deliver powerful downside corrections. 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Selena | USDJPY · 4H – Ascending Channel Continuation SetupFX:USDJPY After an impulsive bullish leg, price entered a controlled pullback and respected the internal demand zone. This behavior suggests trend continuation, not distribution. As long as price holds above channel support, bullish momentum remains intact. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Holding above 156.00–156.30: 🎯 Target 1: 159.45 🎯 Target 2: 160.50 🎯 Target 3: 161.20 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clean break below 155.80 would weaken the structure and expose: 🎯 154.50 → 151.00 demand zone Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 159.45 – 160.50 – 161.20 Support 🟢: 156.30 – 155.80 – 154.50 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
32
Selena | USDJPY–Japenese Yen |Demand Hold After CHoCH |BUY SETUPFX:USDJPY After breaking the previous internal bearish structure (CHoCH), price continued higher and formed higher highs and higher lows inside an ascending channel. A liquidity sweep below the channel followed by strong rejection suggests smart money accumulation. Price is now reacting from demand, favoring continuation toward upside liquidity and previous highs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 As long as price holds above the marked demand zone and channel support, continuation toward upper channel resistance and external liquidity remains the primary bias. 🎯 Target 1: Channel high 🎯 Target 2: Previous high / buy-side liquidity 🎯 Target 3: Trendline extension ❌ Bearish Case 📉 A clean breakdown and close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish continuation and expose price to deeper retracement. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.20 – 157.70 Support 🟢: Demand zone + channel base ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
8
Selena | USDJPY–4H|Bullish Channel, Compression Before ExpansionFX:USDJPY USDJPY remains in a strong bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation below resistance suggests liquidity build-up, not weakness. As long as price holds above the internal demand zone and channel support, upside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. A shallow pullback would strengthen continuation rather than invalidate it. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Holding above demand + channel support opens continuation toward higher liquidity zones above 160.00. ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Clean breakdown and acceptance below channel support invalidates bullish bias and exposes a deeper corrective leg. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 158.80 – 159.20 Support 🟢: 156.20 – 155.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
21
Elite | USDJPY – H1 | Range Compression & Key Decision ZoneFX:USDJPY The pair remains range-bound between 157.75 resistance and 155.80–156.00 support. Current price action reflects equilibrium, with liquidity resting above range highs and below range lows. Directional bias will depend on confirmation, not anticipation. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 – Hold above range mid + trendline – H1 close above 157.75 → Bullish BOS 🎯 Target 1: 158.20 🎯 Target 2: 159.00 🎯 Target 3: 160.00 (HTF liquidity) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 – Failure at range mid – Acceptance below 155.80 🎯 Downside Target: 154.35 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.75 Support 🟢: 156.00 Invalidation ❌: H1 close below 155.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Elite-Forex-Trades
Elite | USDJPY | 1H – Liquidity Grab & Range Rejection SetupFX:USDJPY After consolidating near the lower range, price aggressively expanded upward, taking out sell-side liquidity and tapping into a premium resistance zone. Such moves often attract profit-taking and corrective pullbacks, especially when the impulsive leg reaches prior distribution levels. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Rejection from the current resistance zone could trigger a corrective move back toward the prior demand base. 🎯 Target 1: 155.80 🎯 Target 2: 155.40 ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 A clean acceptance and strong close above 157.80 invalidates the bearish pullback and opens continuation toward higher highs. 🎯 Upside Target: 158.40+ Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.70 – 158.40 Support 🟢: 155.80 – 155.40 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Short
by Elite-Forex-Trades
9
Selena | USDJPY 1H–Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 157.800 TargetFX:USDJPY After an aggressive sell-off into 154.80–155.00 demand, USDJPY produced a strong impulsive recovery, reclaiming broken structure. Price is now compressing under the descending trendline and retesting the 155.50–155.70 entry zone, forming a potential higher-low setup. Bias remains bullish above this zone, aiming for a structural reversal toward major resistance. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Entry around 155.40–155.70 retest zone Break & close above the descending trendline → continuation wave 🎯 Target 1: 156.96 (major resistance) 🎯 Final Target: 157.80–158.00 liquidity zone ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Only valid if price breaks below 155.20 Downside continuation into 154.80 demand zone Below 154.70, structure turns fully bearish again Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 156.00 / 156.95 Support 🟢: 155.40 / 155.20 / 154.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
2
USDJPY – 30M | Break + Retest Setup Toward Liquidity TargetFX:USDJPY Price is currently respecting a descending structure while building higher-lows along the trendline support. A successful break and hold above the 156.600–156.800 supply zone will confirm bullish continuation and shift structure. If the breakout fails, price may retest the rising trendline (155.900–156.150) before pushing higher. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case (Primary Plan) Break and hold above 156.800 → 🎯 Target: 157.893 (Liquidity Sweep Zone) 📌 Alternative Entry: Buy from retest zone 156.150–155.900 if structure remains intact. ❌ Invalidation A full break below 155.500 invalidates bullish outlook. Current Levels to Watch Support Zones: 156.150 / 155.900 / 155.500 Resistance Zones: 156.800 / 157.300 / 157.893 Target ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
JPY/USD – Bearish Channel Continuation SetupThe chart shows a descending channel (highlighted in pink), indicating a continuing downtrend. Price is currently near the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting possible short-term support before another potential move downward. 📉 Trade Setup Breakdown Entry Point: 0.006820 Stop Loss: 0.006913 Target Point: 0.006465 This represents a sell (short) setup after a potential pullback. ⚙️ Scenario Explanation Pullback Phase: Price is expected to rebound upward from the lower boundary of the descending channel toward the support-turned-resistance zone (blue box). Rejection Zone: The blue highlighted zone around 0.006820 – 0.006913 is marked as a resistance/supply zone, where sellers are expected to regain control. Target Zone: The target near 0.006465 aligns with the lower boundary of the channel, confirming continuation of the bearish trend. 📊 Risk–Reward Ratio Approx. R:R = 1:3, which is a strong setup (risk ≈ 0.000093, reward ≈ 0.000355). 🔍 Technical Summary Trend: Bearish Structure: Descending channel Bias: Sell on retracement Confirmation Needed: Bearish candle formation or rejection near 0.006820 zone.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
1
USDJPY R2🔍 Technical Analysis of USD/JPY 📌 Overall Trend: After a downward correction, the price has reached the 154.250 support zone. A positive reaction at this level suggests a potential upward move. A price gap is visible in the 156.000 - 156.400 range, which may lead to a price increase to fill the gap. 📈 Buy Trade Signal (Long Position) 🔹 Entry Conditions: If the price holds the 154.250 - 154.400 support zone and bullish reversal candlesticks appear, a long trade is recommended. The ideal entry range is 154.600 - 154.860. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 154.250 🔹 Take Profit (TP): First target: 155.860 Second target: 156.110 Third target: 156.400 (if the bullish momentum continues) 🔹 Risk Management: If the price stabilizes below 154.250, reconsider the trade. Breaking above 156.110 increases the likelihood of further bullish movement to fill the price gap. ✅ Final Conclusion: If the price finds support at 154.250 - 154.400, a buy trade is favorable. A breakout above 156.110 could lead to a further target of 156.400. 📌 Ensure confirmation through price action and candlestick patterns before entering the trade.
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
USD/JPY: Yen Strengthens Amid Policy ExpectationsThe Japanese Yen gains support from anticipated BoJ policy shifts, fostering a safer environment and limiting USD/JPY within lower USD demand. Investor focus on US economic data before FOMC minutes remains crucial. Technically, breaching the 200-day SMA signals a USD/JPY downtrend. Daily chart indicators suggest potential further losses. Any upward movement could prompt selling near 142.00, leading to short-term profit-taking around 142.40 and targeting the 200-day SMA at 143.00. Support lies at 141.00, guarding against declines toward recent lows near 140.25 and the psychological level of 140.00. A firm break below 141.00 may accelerate a decline towards 139.35, aiming for levels near 139.00, 138.75, and 138.00 (the July 28th low).
by Larissa-Trader
USD/JPY Approaches 141.30, Extending Two-Day Decline USD/JPY continues its downward trend for the second consecutive session, trading below the 141.30 level during the Asian hours on Thursday. Improved trade data from Japan in November has exerted pressure on the currency pair. However, less optimistic remarks from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda may weigh on the Japanese Yen. From a technical standpoint, the spot price indicates potential recovery below the 142.00 level and appears to have broken the two-day decline. This suggests that breaking below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is crucial support for bearish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart remain deeply in negative territory, indicating limited resistance for USD/JPY on the downside. Any subsequent upward movement may still be viewed as a selling opportunity and is likely to be capped around the 142.75 level (200-day SMA). This implies that further buying activity leading to a move beyond the 143.00 level could trigger short-covering actions, allowing the bullish camp to reclaim the 144.00 milestone. On the flip side, weakness below the Asian session's lowest levels around the 141.90-141.85 region would reaffirm the short-term trend and make USD/JPY susceptible to retesting below the 141.00 level, or the multi-month lows touched last week. Subsequent declines could potentially pull the spot price towards the intermediate support at 140.45 on the way to the psychological level of 140.00.
by AdmamTrade
Japanese Yen Weakens on Soft Inflation, BoJ Policy UncertaintyThe Japanese Yen (JPY) faced a decline after softer domestic consumer inflation data, raising uncertainties about the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential policy tightening. BoJ's October meeting minutes revealed a consensus to maintain the accommodative policy, contributing to JPY weakness. The USD/JPY pair saw a modest recovery from weekly lows, supported by the USD's modest strength. Japan's core CPI remains at 2% for the 20th consecutive month, and optimism about future wage growth suggests a potential shift in BoJ's stance. However, the market anticipates a more positive U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing in 2024, influenced by the U.S. Q3 GDP report. Investors are now watching the U.S. Core PCE Price Index for further guidance on USD/JPY short-term direction. Despite this, the fundamental outlook leans towards JPY strength, indicating a downside bias for the currency pair.
by Larissa-Trader
Japanese Yen Retreats on Soft Inflation, USD StrengthensFrom a technical standpoint, spot prices indicate a potential rebound below the 142.00 level, seemingly breaking the two-day downtrend. This suggests that the overnight break back below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is crucial support for bearish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in negative territory, indicating minimal resistance for the USD/JPY pair on the downside. Therefore, any subsequent upward move may still be considered a selling opportunity and remains capped near the 142.75 level (200-day SMA). This implies that further buying activity, leading to a move beyond the 143.00 mark, could trigger short-covering actions and allow the bullish camp to reclaim the round figure of 144.00 in the short term. On the flip side, weakness below the intraday low around the 141.90-141.85 region would reaffirm the short-term trend, making the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to a retest of the sub-141.00 level or the multi-month lows touched last week. The subsequent decline could potentially drive spot prices towards intermediate support at 140.45 on the way to the psychological milestone of 140.00.
by Larissa-Trader
"USD/JPY: Japanese Yen Halts Decline, Eyes US CPI Data"The Japanese Yen regained positive momentum in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. USD/JPY partially eroded some of the strong recovery seen in the past two days. Investors are awaiting the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for fresh impetus ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY showed a certain degree of recovery last week at the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The subsequent move exceeded the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline from the vicinity of 152.00, or the YTD high, supporting bullish sentiments. However, the sharp rise during the day halted near the 200-hour SMA, now closing around the 146.50 level. This area will now play a crucial pivot point, and clearing it would allow the price to test the 50% Fibonacci level, around 146.80, and reclaim the 147.00 milestone. Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart are deep in positive territory, supporting the potential for some upward action at higher levels. This suggests that the resistance at the 100-hour SMA, around 145.85, may now act to defend the downside just ahead of the psychological level of 145.00. Further selling pressure could push USD/JPY back towards the intermediate support zone of 144.55-144.50 on the way to the 144.00 mark. A convincing break below this level would be considered a strong bearish catalyst, paving the way for deeper losses. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen (JPY) extends its downward trend for the second consecutive day, pushing the USD/JPY pair towards the 146.00 level during the European trading session on Monday. A report on Friday suggested that comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda last week were misunderstood, and the central bank will maintain the status quo until positive wage inflation begins. This comes alongside weaker-than-expected GDP reports from Japan, indicating the domestic economy remains fragile and expectations of imminent rate hikes may be inflated. Conversely, the US Dollar (USD) attracts some renewed buying interest after betting on an early Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing was scaled back, proving to be another supportive factor for the USD/JPY exchange rate. Friday's closely watched US employment figures showed a rapid growth pace in November, with the unemployment rate dropping to 3.7%. This indicates signs of underlying strength in the labor market and suggests that current market pricing for a rate cut in March 2024 may be premature. The recent sharp upward move seen around the USD/JPY pair in the past hour may be attributed to some technical buying based on sustained strength beyond the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA). This suggests that concerns about a deeper global economic downturn and geopolitical risks may limit losses for the safe-haven JPY and restrict any further upside moves for the currency. Traders may also limit strong bets ahead of this week's significant event/data risks - US Consumer Price Index on Tuesday and the crucial FOMC policy decision on Wednesday."
by Larissa-Trader
USD/JPY Weakens on Fed Rate Cut Speculation and BoJ PivotThe Japanese Yen has surrendered recent gains against the US Dollar amidst speculation of a Fed rate cut in March and a shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policies. Despite a day-end recovery, USD/JPY experiences one of its worst trading days in over a year, dropping below 142.00 and closing just above 144.00. Despite the intraday recovery, USD/JPY had one of its worst trading days in over a year, slipping below 140.00 in November last year. Throughout Thursday's trading session, USD/JPY transitioned from a slight decrease to a drop below the 200-day Simple Moving Average, requiring significant progress for a recovery towards the 147.00 handle. The 50-day SMA is currently positioned higher than the price action on Thursday, pushing towards the 114.90 region. Expectations of a Fed rate cut weigh on the US Dollar There is growing speculation that the Federal Reserve has concluded its rate hikes and will commence a rate cut in March, putting pressure on the US Dollar. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is expected to move away from extremely loose monetary policy in the coming months. This, coupled with risk aversion sentiment, offsets the safe-haven appeal of the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY witnessed a more than 4% decline on Thursday, quickly dropping below 142.00 before larger markets staged a modest recovery, pulling the Japanese Yen (JPY) back into a reasonable price range. USD/JPY closed Thursday down by around 2%, while the Yen entered Friday's market session in the green for the week. The Yen saw a broader market recovery following unconventional comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, unexpectedly hinting at the eventual end of BoJ's negative interest rate policy, possibly in the early part of next year.
by Larissa-Trader