LI Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the very top on LI:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 23usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.66.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Liauto
Li Auto (LI) – Gaining Speed as China’s EV PowerhouseCompany Snapshot:
Li Auto NASDAQ:LI is scaling rapidly in the Chinese EV market, combining expanding distribution, premium product strategy, and smart technology integration to capture high-value demand.
Key Catalysts:
Aggressive Expansion 🏙️
Now in 140+ cities, with strategic moves into lower-tier regions, Li Auto is boosting brand visibility and tapping into untapped demographics.
Premium Product Pipeline 🚙
New models like the MEGA MPV and upgraded L-Series SUVs are driving strong demand, lifting margins above 22%—a signal of its move upmarket.
Smart Tech Differentiation 🤖
Proprietary AI cockpits, voice command systems, and ADAS platforms elevate the customer experience, creating a clear competitive edge.
Execution at Scale 📈
With YTD deliveries surpassing 180,000, Li Auto is proving it can deliver both volume and quality—earning analyst upgrades and institutional backing.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Entry Zone: Above $26.00–$27.00
Upside Target: $46.00–$47.00, fueled by premium positioning, tech innovation, and delivery momentum.
🔋 Li Auto is not just riding the EV wave—it’s leading it in China’s premium smart vehicle segment.
#LiAuto #EV #ChinaAutos #SmartCars #ADAS #AI #ElectricVehicles #TechStocks #PremiumEV #Mobility #InstitutionalInterest #GrowthStocks #LI
HK50 gave back all of its gains over the past month
BYD and Li Auto dropped by 5.57% and 7.29%, respectively, exerting a decisive impact on the decline of HK50. Despite BYD's reporting of favorable 2Q earnings with a 26% increase in sales, the results fell below expectations. Meanwhile, Li Auto's 2Q performance was down 45% YoY, while sales increased by 10%. However, the 5.6% decline in electric vehicle deliveries in Aug compared to the previous month raised concerns about the Chinese EV market. With growing export tensions, the outlook for Chinese EV manufacturers will likely worsen in 2024, further amplifying the negative sentiment toward the index.
HK50 gave up all the two-week gains and closed at around 17150. The index still holds above the descending channel's upper bound but slid below both EMAs, sending apparent bearish signals. If HK50 fails to hold above both EMAs and breaks the 16700 support, the index may reenter the descending channel and fall further to the 15850 support. Conversely, if HK50 climbs above both EMAs and extends its uptrend to the short-term high at 18200, the index could gain upward momentum to the resistance at 18600.
LiChina's central bank has stepped up measures to support markets.
The company has the most ambitious plan for new models, with five new autos to be launched in 2024, four of which are planned to be all-electric.Entering the BEV segment provides an excellent opportunity to capture the market.
tp1 42
tp2 62
LI AUTO TP 35 BEFORE EARNINGS Li Auto, a China-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has been receiving positive attention from investors and analysts. Here are some reasons why:
Ambitious Goals: Li Auto’s management has set an ambitious vehicle-delivery goal1. They aim to sell at least 400,000 units of the Li L7, Li L8, and Li L9 in 20241, which would exceed their total of 376,030 vehicles sold in 20231.
Innovative Ideas: Li Auto is trying out an interesting idea similar to what Nio is doing1. This could be referring to Nio’s flagship showroom, known as Nio House, which is a unique vehicle showroom that resembles a home1.
Strong Partnerships: Li Auto has a partnership with Nvidia, where Nvidia’s Drive Thor autonomous driving chip will power Li Auto’s ET9 electric sedan1.
New Launches: Li Auto is gearing up to launch its flagship multi-purpose vehicle, the Li MEGA, on March 11.
Positive Analyst Recommendations: Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.10, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations made by five brokerage firms
LI Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Top on LI:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $2.93.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LI Auto Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold LI when they reduced the delivery outlook:
Or on this Earnings Release:
Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 20usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.60.
I think there is still some upside momentum left, followed by a big selloff by the end of the year.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Falling Wedge XPEG1. Falling wedge on weekly timeframe. Potential breakup.
2. WT_LB and CM_Williams_Vix_Fix indicate potential oversold position.
3. Based on sample of accumulated population data such combination of variables work out in 86% of cases.
4. Potential range for starting position accumulation.
5. Compared against NIO and LI. Relatively oversold position.
Just my thoughts. Do not trade on it. Not financial advice at all.
Li Auto at 61.8% fib? Li Auto
Short Term
We look to Buy at 26.22 (stop at 24.22)
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 26.22 level. The medium term bias remains bullish. Downward pressure has continued and we are assessed as being in the corrective leg lower before the next rally. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 31.17 and 44.10
Resistance: 32.00 / 36.90 / 40.00
Support: 26.20 / 22.22 / 18.90
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
7/17/22 LILi Auto Inc. ( NASDAQ:LI )
Sector: Consumer Durables (Motor Vehicles)
Market Capitalization: $37.118B
Current Price: $38.45
Breakout price: $39.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $38.10-$36.15
Price Target: $40.50-$41.40 (1st), $47.30-$48.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 13-15d (1st), 54-58d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $LI 8/19/22 40c, $LI 9/16/22 40c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.70/contract, $3.80/contract
LI ready for the next leg? Li Auto
Short Term
We look to Buy at 36.56 (stop at 34.78)
We look to buy dips. The medium term bias remains bullish. Downward pressure has continued and we are assessed as being in the corrective leg lower before the next rally. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 41.22 and 44.10
Resistance: 42.00 / 50.00 / 60.00
Support: 37.00 / 32.60 / 25.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Li Auto goes from strength to strength. Here’s why! Li Auto is up a staggering 71% over the past month as the Chinese EV manufacturers continue to make gains despite Covid-19-induced disruption.
Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) also known as Li Xiang, is a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer headquartered in Beijing, with manufacturing facilities in Changzhou. The company’s share price dipped along with other growth stocks at the beginning of the year, but it’s now trading at an all-time high.
What was holding the Li Auto share price back?
Li, like its Chinese peers, saw its share price fall from over 140 HKD at the end of last year, to less than 70 HKD in March. Investors lost confidence in the company’s ability to continue delivering growth as China enacted a swift response to small outbreaks of Covid-19. Both commerce-centre Shanghai and capital, Beijing, were hit by new restrictions to prevent the spread of the virus.
Li Auto delivered 31,716 Li ONEs in Q1, representing a 152.1% year-over-year increase. This was consistent with the company's previous forecast of 30,000-32,000. However, due to Covid-19-induced lockdowns and disruption, deliveries for April 2022 fell. Only 4,176 Li ONEs were delivered in April, representing the lowest volume in recent months, and contributing to a negative year-over-year growth rate. Production recovered in May, with 11,496 Li ONEs delivered. The company lowered its guidance to 21,000-24,000 for the second quarter, although it seems likely that Li Auto will surpass that. The company was also forced to increase the price for its vehicles amid rising battery prices.
Production issues were felt across China’s manufacturing sector. Peer NIO (NASDAQ:NIO) even postponed the launch of a new vehicle amid suspended operations and a fall in sales.
Why has the Li Auto share price gained?
Li Auto’s gains over the past month are pretty outstanding. The stock is now trading for other 150 HKD. So, how did this happen?
Investors’ fears that Chinese manufacturing would be hampered for the foreseeable future have been alleviated. Despite new restrictions, Beijing appears to have taken a more business-friendly approach to managing Covid-19. 96.3% of industrial businesses in Shanghai have resumed operations, according to a recent update China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.
In early June, Li Auto said that, although its parts suppliers have resumed production, its own manufacturing facility wasn’t running at full capacity. However, May’s production data suggest that the firm is operating much closer to full capacity that it had done in April.
There has been more positive news for Li Auto too. The group saw strong trading volume on this week after Citigroup raised their price target on the stock from US$26.8 to US$58.6. Other brokers, including Barclays have recently backed the EV maker too.
Li Auto also unveiled its L9 model earlier this week. It was well-received, and investors will be glad to see the firm diversifying its offering. The EV will sell for 459,800 yuan (US$68,654) and Li Auto has already started taking orders. The group is targeting production of 10,000 units per month.
The L9 is Li Auto’s second model since its inception seven years ago. The L9, with an extended battery range, will be able to go as far as 1,315km on a single charge, according to the Beijing headquartered firm. “This is a full-size SUV with no match on the market,” Li Xiang, Li Auto’s co-founder and CEO, told a virtual launch event.
Doji Central on Li Li Auto
Short Term - We look to Sell at 23.77 (stop at 25.22)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The medium term bias remains bearish. Price action has posted a Doji candle and signals a possible reversal of the recent trend. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 19.01 and 16.22
Resistance: 24.00 / 30.00 / 35.00
Support: 20.00 / 17.00 / 15.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Li Auto: Scope to move lower? Li Auto
Short Term - We look to Sell at 22.46 (stop at 24.15)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The medium term bias remains bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 29.60. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 16.90 and 16.22
Resistance: 22.50 / 25.00 / 30.00
Support: 100.00 / 17.00 / 15.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Li Support Breaking?Li Auto - Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 26.98 (stop at 28.34)
Trading within the Channel formation. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Previous support located at 28.00. A break of 28.00 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 22.54 and 21.60
Resistance: 29.00 / 33.00 / 35.00
Support: 28.00 / 25.00 / 20.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
LI Auto reduced delivery outlook for Q3LI Auto announced a reduced outlook on its vehicle delivery volumes for Q3.
The previous guidance from Li had deliveries of 25,000 to 26,000 for the third quarter, but it now expects 24,500.
My price traget is the 22.8usd support.
I expect a correction in other Chinese EV stocks too.
Li Auto, XPeng, NIO Top Insurance RegistrationsThe NEV sales volume accounted for 17% of total new car sales in the month.
Li Auto had the highest number of insurance registrations among China's new car makers in August, with 9,394 units, according to a table released Saturday by Sina Auto based on data from the China Automotive Technology and Research Center (CATARC).
XPeng Motors came in second, with 6,945 insurance registrations in August, followed by NIO with 6,476.
Earlier this month, Li Auto released figures showing it delivered a record 9,433 Li ONEs, the company's only model, in August, up 248 percent year-over-year and up 9.8 percent from July.
XPeng said it delivered 7,214 vehicles in August, up 172 percent year-over-year but down 10 percent from July.
NIO said it delivered 5,880 vehicles in August, up 48 percent year-over-year and down about 26 percent from July.
The CATARC figures are based on insurance registrations for vehicles and are closer to true retail sales each month, as vehicles must have insurance in place and in effect before they can be licensed.
Neta Automobile ranked fourth with 6,038 insurance registrations in August. The company previously said it delivered 6,613 vehicles in August.
Leap Motor ranked fifth with 4,777 insurance registrations in August. The company previously said it delivered 4,488 vehicles in August.
WM Motor had 3,144 insurance registrations in August, the CATARC data show. It has not yet released sales figures for August.
Arcfox, the BAIC-owned EV brand, had 856 insurance registrations in August, compared with 642 for Seres, which sells cars in partnership with Huawei, 469 for HiPhi and 408 for Dongfeng Motor's premium EV brand Voyah.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.