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Liquidation

Bitcoin - Will History Repeat Itself Again?📈Bitcoin continues to follow a remarkably similar path to its previous market cycles. Each major bullish impulse has been followed by a controlled correction, a fakeout towards the lower trendline, and then a strong rebound toward new highs. Looking closely at the current structure, BTC seems to be retesting the lower bound of its long-term rising channel, a pattern that played out multiple times before every major leg up. ⚔️If history repeats itself, this fakeout could mark the final shakeout before the next macro rally, with a potential reversal forming between late November and early January. 🏹From there, the next impulsive wave could push price toward the upper boundary of the channel, around the $150,000–$160,000 zone, aligning perfectly with Bitcoin’s long-term cyclical rhythm. The big question remains: will history rhyme once again, or is this time different? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
When Liquidity Dried Up — The True Story Behind the Oct 10 Crash█ We Actually Saw It Coming There were clear signs of potential reversals across major markets before the Friday, October 10, 2025 crash. You can see it in the liquidity heatmaps: Gold, Bitcoin, S&P, and other futures all trading above their top 10 liquidity levels. When that happens, it’s usually a warning flag. Price is moving into areas with less visible liquidity, meaning fewer resting orders available to absorb aggressive buyers. That’s when the market becomes fragile and doesn’t take much to trigger a sharp reversal. █ When Price Trades Beyond Visible Liquidity It’s easy to think big moves happen just because of news, but beneath the surface, microstructure signals often show when markets are already vulnerable. One of the clearest is when the mid-price extends beyond the visible liquidity, above the top few ask levels or below the top few bid levels in the order book. Suppose price pushes beyond the visible top levels. In that case, it often means that liquidity was consumed faster than it could replenish, either because aggressive orders cleared it out, or market makers pulled their quotes. That’s when we get what’s called a liquidity vacuum. Research from the Federal Reserve, Bank for International Settlements, and academic studies (Lo & Hall, 2014; Meldrum & Sokolinskiy, 2025) all point to the same thing: When order book depth is shallow, markets become more fragile. Prices overreact, spreads widen, and shocks travel faster. █ What the Heatmap Really Shows Those heatmaps are a visual snapshot of this structure. The green and red bands show the depth of buy and sell orders — the liquidity zones. The blue line is the mid-price — the true current market price. When the blue line (mid-price) moves above the red zone, it means price has traded beyond the top available asks. That can happen because: Buyers lifted all nearby sell orders (aggressive buying), or Sellers pulled liquidity (passive withdrawal). In both cases, the effect is the same, the book thins out, and volatility risk increases. Heatmaps don’t show everything though. They don’t reveal: Hidden or iceberg orders deeper in the book, Off-exchange liquidity or block trades, Or how quickly the book replenishes in real time. But as a visual proxy, they’re incredibly useful for spotting moments when price runs ahead of available liquidity, often right before sharp reversals. █ Why the Crash Hit So Hard So while the crash came from unexpected news, the speed of that drop wasn’t random. Markets were already fragile. Liquidity across assets was thin. When the shock hit, there weren’t enough resting orders to slow it down. Gold, Bitcoin, and S&P futures all had their mid-prices trading above visible liquidity, making them more sensitive to aggressive selling; that’s why the market fell almost simultaneously and so fast. █ How I Handle These Setups Whenever I see price trading above visible liquidity, I start managing risk differently. I might keep existing longs, but I won’t add new ones. Instead, I scale out gradually and watch for potential short setups if other signals confirm it. It’s not about predicting crashes, it’s about recognizing when the market’s structure is fragile. █ Quick Takeaway When the mid-price trades above visible liquidity, the order book is telling you something simple but powerful: “There’s not much support up here.” That’s often when it pays to get defensive, not aggressive. Access the CME Liquidity tool at this link ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Zeiierman
26
BTC - Practical Example of Trading Order Blocks / Stop HuntsHere is a very practical, recent example of trading the reaction of BTC hitting stop loss order blocks and how price moves. Green Boxes: - Note that price moves in a slow, downwards consolidation - This slow drop allowed time for traders to enter shorts, consequently leaving stop loss orders for the entire position size - The price movement when these cascading blocks of orders are triggered always moves exponentially faster than the consolidation. Slower the move in a direction = faster the wick in the opposite direction. More orders ( buys or sells ) equals greater speed and distance. - These orders being triggered (stop losses and liquidations) trump any pattern, support or resistance. It all becomes irrelevant as the order chains will always execute and set off, ignoring any technical pattern. Predicting this Wick to 123,300: - Notice the downwards consolidation followed by a faster drop in the end. - Price quickly moved higher - From this point we can anticipate that the high leverage stop loss orders for shorts will be triggered, at this point you can scalp a long, take profit slightly above where the consolidation started. Red Boxes: - The red boxes are sell orders created from long positions being opened and consequently their stop loss and liquidation orders - Mark and extend boxes from the open zones that price has not reclaimed - When price moves down low enough, to start filling these sell orders, you may short to slightly below the beginning of the upwards consolidation - I’d anticipate when price moves below 122,200, that’s when the wick will form and land at a minimum of 120,100 (if not setting off more sell orders as we look at higher time frames than the 15 M) - Looking at the slowness and time allowed for the upwards consolidation, we can anticipate a larger amount of longs have been opened, and this can be translated to an increased speed of a wick down and faster movement. In Summary: I hope this serves you as a good, practical example of the method of trading stop losses hunts and order blocks, which in my experience is the only reliable way to predict the price of Bitcoin. Yours truly, - DD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DickDandy
Cryptocurrency : The New Normal & The World of Leverage Trading.📌 Cryptocurrency: The New Normal & The World of Leverage Trading ⚔️ ( A Sweet Killer! ) 🌍 Why Are Traders Shifting to Crypto? COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD ✔️ Lower capital required compared to stocks ✔️ Fewer gaps (24/7 market = no overnight gap-up/down shockers) ✔️ High leverage opportunities (control bigger trades with smaller margin) ✔️ Global accessibility (Binance, Bybit, OKX, CoinDCX, Mudrex etc.) 📊 Types of Trading in Crypto 💠 **Spot Trading** → In India, 30% tax on capital gains ( check according to your country ). 💠 **Options & Futures** → Taxed as *Business Income* ( like F&O in stocks ). No flat % rule. ⚡ What is Leverage? 👉 Leverage means using *small capital* to control a *large trade size* , because the exchange lends you money. Think of it like **margin trading** in stocks — but much more aggressive. 🔹 Example 1 : Normal Trade style ( No Leverage ) suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000 Bought BTC at Price = $10,000,000 * You can buy 0.001 BTC ( 10000 ➗ 10,000,000 ). * If BTC rises 10% → Profit = $1,000 (+10%) * If BTC falls 10% → Loss = $1,000 (-10%) 👉 Risk & reward move in proportion to your capital. 🔹 Example 2 : Leverage Trade style ( 10x Leverage ) suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000 opted Leverage = 10x New Trade Size ( margin ) = $1,00,000 ( you can now utilize this margin amount for trading ) * You can buy 0.01 BTC ( 10000 ➗ 10,000,000 ). * If BTC rises 10% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return) * If BTC falls 10% → Loss = FULL $10,000 ( Liquidation 🚨 ) 👉 A 10% move = your account will be blown. 🔹 Example 3: suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000 opted Leverage = 50x (Extreme ⚠️) New Trade Size ( margin ) = $5,00,000 ( you can now utilize this margin amount for trading ) * You can buy 0.05 BTC ( 50000 ➗ 10,000,000 ). * If BTC rises just 2% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return) * If BTC falls just 2% → FULL $10,000 loss ( Liquidation 🚨 ) * If BTC rises just 10% → Profit = $50,000 (+500% return) * If BTC falls just 10% → FULL $10,000 loss ( Liquidation 🚨 ) 👉 Tiny moves in high volatile asset class = jackpot or wipeout/blown. ⚔️ Key Takeaways : 1️⃣ Leverage multiplies profits 💸 but also multiplies losses too💀 ( a sweet killer! ) 2️⃣ Crypto is *highly volatile* (10–20% daily moves are common) → High leverage is extremely risky, if not managed well. 3️⃣ Beginners should **never use more than 2x–3x leverage** 👉 In simple words: **Leverage is a double-edged sword ⚔️** Used wisely → You’re a king 👑 Used recklessly → You’re broke 🥀 --- 🚘 Liquidation Explained ( ex: Car Analogy ) Imagine you pay $10,000 ( as a security ) to rent a car worth $1,00,000. (That’s 10x leverage). * The car is in your hands, but $90,000 still belongs to the owner of car (exchange). * If the damage goes beyond your $10,000 margin → the owner takes back the car immediately. 👉 That’s liquidation: when your loss = your margin. 🔹 Case 1: Normal Trade style ( No Leverage ) Margin = $10,000 → Buy BTC. If BTC drops 10% → Loss = $1,000. You still have $9,000 left. ✅ No liquidation. Just a normal loss. 🔹 Case 2: 10x Leverage Trade style Margin = $10,000 New Trade Size ( margin ) = $1,00,000 * BTC rises 10% → Profit = $10,000 (+100%) * BTC falls 10% → Margin wiped = Liquidation 🚨 🔹 Case 3: 20x Leverage Trade style Margin = $10,000 New Trade Size = $2,00,000 ( margin ) * BTC rises 5% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return) * BTC falls 5% → Margin wiped = Liquidation 🚨 👉 Just 5% against you = Account gone. 🔹 Case 4: 50x Leverage Trade style (High-Risk Zone ⚠️) Margin = $10,000 New Trade Size = $5,00,000 ( margin ) * BTC rises 2% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return) * BTC falls 2% → FULL $10,000 loss = Liquidation 🚨 👉 Just 2% against you = Blown account = Game over. 🎯 Final Word Leverage = Power ⚡ But in crypto’s volatile world, it’s also a **trap for the impatient**. * Liquidation is directly proportionate to Leverage. * Smart traders use small leverage. * Impulsive traders burn out with high leverage. 💬 Question for you: What’s the **highest leverage** you’ve ever used in a trade? Drop it below 👇 (Be honest—we’ve all been tempted!) If this Idea gave you a value information then please, Boost it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical trading! Happy Trading & Investing! @TradeWithKeshhav and team
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeWithKeshhav
Macro Stress Test for Bitcoin: Short-Term Scalps or Swing Awaits__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ Bitcoin just experienced a violent flush toward its structural support (111,900–112,000) amid extreme intraday volatility. Downside has been aggressive, but core trend signals and volume dynamics hint at a potential technical reversal. Momentum : Neutral-bullish 📈 — Price action is anchored above 112,000, despite recent capitulation, with MTFTI remaining "Up" across all relevant timeframes. Key Levels : Resistances : — 116,200/117,000 (1D/12H), major cluster/weekly pivot — 114,200/114,400 (12H/6H/4H), tactical zone for initial rebounds Supports : — 111,900–112,000 (all TFs), structurally central platform — 110,900/111,200 (4H/2H), secondary defense to watch if breakdown occurs Volumes : Very high on 1H/30min/15min ⚡️— Clear signs of capitulation at support, technical bounce potential (short squeeze) activated. Multi-Timeframe signals : MTFTI reads "Up" from 1H to 1D, IGV/SPY (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator) is "Neutral Buy" (moderately positive), all confirming strength of support at 112,000. Only high-level macro dashboard signals remain defensive. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Neutral Buy bias — Recent stabilisation and moderate equity outperformance warrant a constructive view for tactical longs, though macro caution persists. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Current conditions are defined by a sharp flush but a directional "buy the dip" bias persists while MTFTI aligns positively. Global bias : Neutral-long — valid as long as 111,900–112,000 holds; invalidation on clean breakdown with sustained volume. Opportunities : — Tactical long/scalp on a confirmed bounce >112,000, add if 112,800 breaks, TP1 = 112,800, TP2 = 113,500. — Small short only if explosive breakdown <111,900 with confirming volume; TP1 = 111,500, TP2 = 111,200. Risk zones / invalidations : Any close below 111,900 without rapid buying flips the bias bearish; failed bullish engulfing/test nullifies the long tactic. Macro catalysts : — Fed begins an easing cycle as US jobs deteriorate/geopolitical risk rises; global liquidity (M2) still provides a tailwind. — Institutional BTC flows ("whale withdrawals", ETFs/funds) build above 115.2k, as long as on-chain base holds. — No major top signal; backdrop remains “risk-on/risk-off” but favors a tactical bounce. Action plan : Enter partial size above 112,000 on valid signal; stop <111,800; TP1 = 112,800, TP2 = 113,500; R/R ≈ 2.5 – scale out at resistance, manage dynamically on confirmation/failure. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Price reacts tightly at 111,900/112,000, with core structure defended on all major time frames. 1D/12H/6H: Higher timeframes hold structure above 112,000, with liquidations targeting this support. "Buy the dip" playbook intact if level is defended. 4H/2H/1H: Extreme volume concentration and volatility, sellers pressured to exhaust; favor a quick bounce if buying appears immediately. 30min/15min: IGV/SPY (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator) prints "STRONG BUY" and ISPD DIV "BUY" — strong micro support for scalps/short-term longs. Divergences: Confidence for a swing long only resumes after a confirmed reclaim of 112,800; clean break of 111,900 exposes further downside risk. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro context remains tense despite strong global liquidity; absence of massive on-chain outflows remains key. Macro events : US jobs data weaken, geopolitical risks (NATO/Ukraine/Syria) rise, Fed kicks off easing, but all-time high global M2 supports risk assets. Bitcoin institutional flows : Strategic accumulation is visible (whale withdrawals, ETF inflow), no signs of euphoria/top; 115.2k–116k base is the critical pivot for breakout or renewed correction. On-chain data : With 95% of supply in profit >115.2k, on-chain resilience persists unless 111,900 breaks; major vulnerability accompanies loss of this support. Expected impact : 111,900–112,000 offers a prime tactical entry if macro liquidity endures and on-chain flows stay supportive; a fast bounce is plausible. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ The market is caught between violent short-term capitulation and persistent bullish undertones. Despite the intense technical flush, the higher timeframe trend (MTFTI) still favors a tactical long/scalp stance while 111,900–112,000 is defended. The most actionable setup is a rapid rebound from extreme signals, while swing longs require confirmation above 112,800 and macro risk remains high. Robust on-chain support plus global liquidity create a narrow but real window for technical opportunity — but any significant breakdown should prompt defensive positioning. Stay nimble and ready to react to confirmation or risk escalation.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
BTC - Short Update Part 2This chart shows the ascending parallel channel that supports 7,000-8,000 ultimate bottom - layered with BITCOIN ONLY liquidity zones on the multi day time frame. The majority or liquidity in the chart is long position stop losses - leveraged sell orders. Bitcoin has been moving straight up, consolidating sideways, straight up, consolidating sideways since End 2022. This tells us the market is collecting long position stop losses and leaving them in tact IE not allowing price to fully drop and start triggering off the cascading chain reaction of sells that is a natural phenomenon. Happy Trading.
Short
by DickDandy
2
Inside a Candle: How to Read Hidden Order Flow Without a DOM Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+) This article is for traders who want to understand the “story” behind a candle’s shape — and learn to spot aggressive buying/selling, absorption, and traps without needing footprint or order book tools. 🔵 INTRODUCTION Most traders see candles as static shapes — green or red, big or small. But each candle is a battlefield of orders . Even without access to a DOM or volume footprint, you can still extract valuable information from just the candle's body, wick, and context . 🔵 ORIGINS: WHERE CANDLESTICKS COME FROM Candlestick charts trace back to 18th-century Japan, where rice traders needed a way to visualize price movements over time. A legendary trader named Munehisa Homma , who traded rice futures in Osaka, is credited with developing the earliest form of candlestick analysis. Homma discovered that price wasn’t just driven by supply and demand — but also by trader psychology . He created visual representations of market sentiment by tracking: The opening and closing price of rice The highest and lowest price reached during the session This system became known as the “Sakata rules,” and it laid the foundation for many patterns still used today — such as Doji, Engulfing, and Marubozu. Western traders only began using candlesticks widely in the 1990s, when analyst Steve Nison introduced them to the broader financial world through his book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques. Today, candlesticks remain one of the most powerful and intuitive ways to visualize order flow, momentum, and market psychology — even without a Depth of Market (DOM) or depth of book. In this article, you’ll learn how to read hidden order flow by analyzing: Wick length and positioning Body-to-range ratios Candle clustering and sequences 🔵 HOW A CANDLE FORMS Before you can read a candle, you need to understand how it comes to life . A single candle represents the full auction process during its time window. Here’s how it builds, step by step: Candle opens — this is the open price . As price moves up during the session → the high] updates. As price moves down → the low] updates. The final traded price when the time closes → this becomes the close price . The wick = price areas that were tested but rejected The body = where the majority of aggressive trades occurred If buyers push price up quickly but sellers slam it down before the close — the candle will have a long upper wick and close near the open, revealing seller absorption. Understanding this flow helps you recognize traps, fakeouts, and reversals in real time. 🔵 CANDLE BODY: WHO'S IN CONTROL The body of the candle reflects the result of the battle between buyers and sellers. A wide body with minimal wicks means dominance and commitment. Big body, small wick → clear conviction In an uptrend: buyer aggression In a downtrend: panic or aggressive selling Small body, long wicks → indecision, absorption, or trap Often appears near tops/bottoms Indicates both sides were active but neither won clearly www.tradingview.com 🔵 WICKS: THE SHADOWS OF REJECTION Wicks are not just “leftovers” — they show where price was rejected after being tested. Long upper wick = seller presence or absorption at highs Long lower wick = buyer defense or trap spring Double wick = liquidity sweep / false breakout Use wick direction to spot: Failed breakouts Smart money traps Exhaustion candles 🔵 HIDDEN ORDER FLOW PATTERNS 1️⃣ Absorption Candle A large wick with little movement afterward — shows that big orders absorbed market pressure. 2️⃣ Trap Candle A candle that sweeps above/below a key high/low and closes opposite — classic smart money fakeout. 3️⃣ Imbalance Candle Large-bodied candle that closes near the high/low with no wick on the other end — implies one-sided aggression (and often leaves an imbalance). 🔵 CLUSTERING & SEQUENCES MATTER Never read a candle alone. The sequence of candles tells the full story: 3+ rejection wicks near resistance? Liquidity building before breakout or trap Bearish engulfing after long upper wick = smart money selling into retail buying Tight-range dojis + volume spike = compression before expansion Context + volume + structure = hidden flow decoded. 🔵 PUTTING IT TOGETHER: A REAL EXAMPLE Price breaks above previous high Candle closes with long upper wick and smaller body Next candle opens, dumps fast, leaving imbalance behind Buyers trapped — move likely to continue down This is how you read order flow from candle anatomy . 🔵 TIPS FOR MASTERY Use a lower timeframe (1M–5M) to see microstructure Watch how wicks behave near S/R or OBs Confirm with volume spikes or delta-style indicators Use replay mode to slow down the story and study cause/effect 🔵 CONCLUSION Every candle is a message. You don’t need expensive tools to read order flow — just your eyes, context, and curiosity. Learn to see candles not as symbols, but as evidence of behavior . Absorption, imbalance, and traps are all visible if you look closely.
Education
by BigBeluga
26
Why BTC hasn’t moved up recentlyBTC has been bobbing above and below this bearish triple crossover the past few months. What we see as consolidation is rather price getting stuck around these resistance levels. The only reason why this would be occurring in my view, is due to the market makers having intention to allow this drop to play out. The resistance is located at around 107,000 to 107,400 - watch this zone closely for a hold below / rejection and fast drop. Scenario 1 marked with solid red line. Scenario 2 marked with dotted red line. Little update for y’all. Happy weekend trading.
Short
by DickDandy
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas. I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why: 1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run. 2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart. 3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it. It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing. I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices. Scenario 1: 105,200 to 35,000 35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move) 77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000) 7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed) Scenario 2: 105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000 17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST. Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast. Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames. WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN? Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week. Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested. Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it. Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
Short
by DickDandy
9
$BTC Liquidity Squeeze Incoming – Breakout or Breakdown?#Bitcoin According to the liquidation heat map, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is building a large cluster of liquidations on both the upside and downside, creating some confusion in the market. However, the nearest major liquidation zone is around $112K–$113K, which increases the chances of a move toward that range. Technically, BTC is forming a symmetrical triangle, and the breakout from this pattern will likely determine the next major move. So keep a close eye on it. I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
15
BTC - Another Potential Bearish PatternHere I present my second alternative for a Bearish case for Bitcoin. Per my previous posts I explain in detail the interest in recollecting liquidity in these lower zones. Previously I presented pathways to the uber lows at 7,000-10,000 - however this is another possible case. I believe Bitcoin can see a drop from 109,200 straight down to 19,000-20,000 Why? 1. Major Volume support at this level 2. Major liquidity pools in confluence with this level 3. Price would form a W bottom with a higher low - which aligns with DXY breaking down on the monthly time frame. We can use DXY to project a bull market spanning 2-5 years (weakening dollar = more interest in deflationary assets such as Bitcoin) 4. Per the note above, it’s unlikely that BTC continues straight up without a sharp drop. The way this market works is to a large degree with leverage trading. The market and exchanges desperately want to shake out these longs, especially if we consider a 2-5 year bullish forecast through a macro view. 5. Confluence with this diagonal trendline which shows a clear support / resistance structure (note the Bitcoin chart is formed via diagonal ascending support and resistance lines - we can demonstrate this clearly and repeatable by duplicating the correct trendline and seeing how it forms the chart at any location) Personally, I am shorting Bitcoin from 109,000 - and am expecting to see a fast drop through the rest of the weekend. I will watch what the price does, where it reacts and interacts, and attempt to get a head start on understanding the true bottom before this “true” bull cycle begins. Happy trading
Short
by DickDandy
30
BTC - Bullish Madness or Bearish Retest?Zooming out on BTC chart we can note this major bearish trendline on the HTF. This diagonal support / resistance line can take BTC to 7,000. Likely? Maybe not. Possible? Absolutely. A straight move up on BTC like we have seen the last two years is very dangerous. There is a large chain reaction of leveraged sell orders via long position stop losses cascading down the price levels. Can this trigger a massive and fast flash crash? In my view - absolutely. Here are two potential moves that take price to those low liquidations levels. Possibility 1 110,000 to 35,000 35,000 retrace to 81,000 81,000 to 7,000 Possibility 2 110,000 to 43,000 43,000 retrace to 72,000 72,000 to 7,000 Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense. Always remember that crypto is a very new market, with some unique mechanics that differentiate it from other more established markets. Predominantly the futures and high leverage usage and the ways these platforms make their money… Beware and be prepared.
Short
by DickDandy
5
If Trend Reverses, We'll Most likely See 106-109k FirstTrading Fam, We'll bring our knowledge of liquidity to the chart here today. You guys know that my new indicator utilizes liquidity as a prime factor in helping to alert us when to buy and sell any given asset. In our chart here today, I have also brought over the liquidation map from Glassnode, which will help us gain further insight into what Bitcoin's next move might be. First, let me explain a few of the drawing here. For those who may be new, those liquidity blocks are printed by LuxAlgo's "Liquidity Swings" indicator. I have incorporated them into my indicator and have combined it with another to alert me as to exactly when it might become a good time to buy or sell. Typically, I set the blocks to have a 15 day life cycle. When we are overbought and enter into a sell-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a red dot. When we are oversold and enter into a buy-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a green dot. These are typically super-accurate signals and are, at least, a good time to start your exits and/or entries but unfortunately, these DOTS DO NOT APPEAR in this chart due to this being a private indicator distributed by invite only. I use additional indicators for confirmation and to support what my indicator is showing me, such as the VRVP. You can see the VRVP Point of Control (PoC) is at 96,425 in this chart, meaning that most of our recent traded volume is to the underside of us right now. This is positive. However, it is important to recognize that sometimes that PoC can act as sort of a magnet to pull price back to that area before further directional price trend movement. Keep this in mind as we continue to consider price movement here. Back to the liquidity blocks. I've extended our last big liquidity block from Jan-Feb of this year out past the normal 15 day life cycle that I usually set. I think this is important as it appears to align with the data that I've brought over from Glassnode's Liquidation Map. Notice that on the map you see large liquidity pools both below the current price and also, above it. But the larger liquidity pool remains above us at the time of this post. This aligns with the resistance levels I have drawn on the chart in white which remain above us. And currently, we are also forming a bull flag pattern. So, are greatest probability of price movement right now remains to the upside. I am targeting that 106-108k area. Once hit, trend reversal could occur. Here's what I expect. We hit 106-108k. Then, at this point, the market must make a critical decision; do we continue up, beating previous highs, or do we first drop down and liquidate all those late longs from 93-104k? Now, since we know that big money is in this game and wants as much as they can get at the best price possible, it is easier to determine what might occur. I suggest that once liquidation occurs up to 106-108k, sell-side pressure will be placed on the market in hopes of driving price back down to clean out all of those late long entries. That PoC level at around 96k is a good target here. Once this price has been hit, freeing up hundreds of millions in liquidated Bitcoin, the big buyers (smart money) will step back in to swoop up the loot and Bitcoin will be free to trend back up again. Now, as always, I could be wrong. Let's talk about what happens if we beat our 106-108k overhead resistance levels. In this case, we could see Bitcoin pump as high as 125k before any local trend reversal begins to occur. I will re-assess at this point. BLUF: 106-108k is key resistance. Mark your charts and keep your eye on what price does there. It will be key to what happens next. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
5
Millions Of Trades Liquidated —Bitcoin Flash Jump Beyond $100KMillions of people are about to get liquidated. The thing is that they set up their orders so that liquidation only happens above 100K and they think they will be able to close their position before Bitcoin reaches that level if it doesn't break down. First, Bitcoin is not breaking down. Just notice that every time there is any type of bearish action it is quickly bought. Second. No, no second that's all. Bitcoin is set to grow and will do so in a flash. Rather than a flash crash, a flash advance. Bitcoin always surprises so prepare because this is what will happen. Rather than going down as the majority actually expect, Bitcoin will break-up and do so strong, so strong that there will be no time to react. People will be caught in the shock and while they wait to look around and see what happens, Bitcoin will be moving up. Instead of $100,000, it will go to $102,000 or $104,000 or higher just to make sure that all the over-leveraged are kicked out before additional growth. This is just a friendly reminder. Pray for the dead bears and people without a clue, they are about to lose everything, for them, it will be tough. On our side though... Enjoy the profits as they come. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
9
BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF? Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price. These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off. Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely. Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively. I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas: Possibility 1 - 30% Probability 96,700 to 34,500 34,500 retrace to 68,500 68,500 to 7,000 Possibility 2 - 70% Probability 96,700 to 43,000 43,000 retrace to 60,000 60,000 to 7,000 Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense. Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.
Short
by DickDandy
Bitcoin - Back Under Intersecting Bearish TrendlinesBitcoin is back underneath these two intersecting bearish trendlines. I have laid out two potential paths Bitcoin could take to play this out. When an asset in crypto goes only up for so long, it leaves behind a trail of leveraged liquidity in the form of stop losses. These wide open gaps filled with long stop losses, is the fuel that would make such a move possible. In other words, the sell orders are already in the chart in order to make this possible. Personally, I expect this to happen. DXY is showing a major breakdown and bearish retest at the moment - with a falling dollar over the next 2-3 years, that translates to a true bull market for Bitcoin and related assets. The market has a very small time window to recollect all of the long position liquidity in the chart, which is in the billions. See my previous posts to see confluences, liquidity mapping, etc. Happy trading and I will be trading this myself.
Short
by DickDandy
USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy?USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy? USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the critical threshold with the recent decline. As seen in the chart, the direction is now down with the break of the uptrend. However, the general acceptance that this decline is the beginning of the bull season may mislead many investors. Because when we look at the past, the 3.80% - 3.60% range has usually been the end point of the bull season, not the beginning. What does this mean? 🔹USDT.D falls while BTC rises. However, these declines usually coincide with the last days of the bull. 🔹If there's a rapid descent into this zone, we could see a sharp rise in BTC. But this move is often the last wave. 🔹So when it comes to that level, while everyone is waiting for new highs, smart money may be preparing to exit. Also another point to pay attention to; 🔸 On the BTC side, the 102K - 104K zone still remains the strongest liquidation area. 🔸 If USDT.D falls below 3.80% while testing this region, attention! That peak may be the last. Therefore, while waiting for the above liquidation levels, we should keep an eye on the USDT.D chart. Because when it approaches 3.80 levels, risk bells may start ringing. This is the target for now. As a result, when you start dancing to the song that will soon play in the background, do not forget that the music may suddenly stop and the lights may be switched off.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by ugurtash
Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line. As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750). Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
1
BTC - ABC Correction to Absorb Long Liquidity Further to my previous recent post, I wanted to highlight two indicators that accurately present us with liquidity on the BTC chart. Connecting the pieces of the puzzle of this prediction - this ABC correction pattern allows the market to absorb the Long position liquidity left in tact on the chart. Since these long positions leave a trail of leveraged sell orders (stop losses) - we should expect a mass chain reaction of these orders setting off one into the next, with increasing speed and momentum of the drop. We do not need a black swan event for this to occur. The orders are already in the chart to allow it to happen, as an adverse consequence to open interest and open traders positions during the last 2 years. There is many confluences to support this correction pattern, if interested in learning more, see my previous posts on Trading View. Enjoy!
Short
by DickDandy
8
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines. We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones. Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling. If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move. The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero. I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones. The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it. This is my personal trading plan. Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
Short
by DickDandy