TS ❕ LUNAUSD: reached the supportLUNA has reached the support level and is preparing for an upward rebound. I expect movement to 88.72.
BUY scenario: long to the resistance level.
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LUNAUSD
LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% LUNA, 80% cash. Price is still defending $80 as the selling pressure mounts; the next support (minor) is at $78. Volume remains very low and continues to shrink (since 04/11/22), indicating that an impending breakout/breakdown is likely; it has favored sellers for three consecutive sessions now. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $99. RSI remains trending sideways at 38.50 and is beginning to trend down just below the descending trendline from August 2021. Stochastic has officially regressed to a bearish crossover and is currently trending down at 1.60 as it fast approaches max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down below -2.43 minor support (at -3.32) with no signs of trough formation; the All Time Low is at -7.75. ADX is trending up slightly at 28 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to defend $80, then the next likely target is a retest of $84.05 resistance. However, if Price continues to fall here, then it will likely retest $78.04 minor support before potentially retesting $70.15 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $84.05.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% LUNA, 75% cash. Price is currently defending $80 as it trends lower toward a formal retest of $78 minor support. Volume remains very low and has been shrinking since 04/11/22, indicating that a breakout/breakdown is likely pending; it has favored sellers for two consecutive sessions now. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $102.60 minor resistance. RSI is beginning to trend down at 38 and is currently showing signs of breaking down below the descending trendline from August 2021 (this would increase the likelihood of RSI retesting the uptrend line from November 2019 at 30 significantly). Stochastic is currently crossing over bearish at 5.54 and if it were to continue, then a retest of max bottom for the first time since 01/29/22 would likely follow. MACD remains bearish and is currently barely breaking down below -2.43 with no real signs of trough formation. ADX is beginning to trend up at 28 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to bounce here, then it will likely retest $84.05 resistance before deciding it's next move. However, if Price continues to fall, then a retest of $78.04 minor support and potentially lower at $70.15 is likely. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes) above $84.05.
LUNAUSD Update for the next 3 months. Target $160.00.My last Terra (LUNAUSD) analysis was in late February where I set a medium-term target of $130.00:
Even though the price "only" managed to scratch the $120 mark, that was good enough for those who bought into the rally and naturally the price dropped on heavy profit taking.
As you see the fractal comparison with the early 2021 Cycle played out fairly well. From September to November 2021, the fractal extended its rise through a steadier and more structured Channel Up formation. That pattern in a little more than 3 months reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
That extension is currently a little above $160.00 and that is our target by mid Summer.
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LUNAUSD ❕ trading rangeThe previous idea on LUNA did not come true and the price went to the correction, breaking through the upward channel and reaching the lower boundary of the trading range. I expect the price reaction on the retest of the range, fixing above it and reaching the resistance level.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% LUNA, 70% cash. Price formed a bearish engulfing candle that took it back down below $84.05 support earlier today (in yesterday's session) and is currently trending down at $81; the next support is at $78. Volume remains very low and broke the two-day streak of buying earlier today (yesterday's session) and is on track for two consecutive selling days if it closes today in the red. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $102.60 minor resistance. RSI is currently trending sideways at 39 and is technically still testing the descending trendline from August 2021 as support. Stochastic is currently on the verge of regressing to a bearish crossover at 7.50 (a fall below 7 would accomplish this). MACD remains bearish and is currently testing -2.43 minor support with no signs of trough formation; this is bearish. ADX is currently beginning to trend up slightly at 30 as Price faces more downward pressure, this is bearish. If Price is able to recapture $84.05 support, then the next likely target is a retest of $92.78 minor resistance. However, if Price continues to fall from here (or is rejected at $84.05 resistance) then it will likely retest $78.04 minor support before potentially testing $70.15 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $89.52.
LUNABTC 100MA ConsistencyThe consistency of the 100MA on the LUNABTC pair is impressive
Bounces off this MA line are seen again and again
We can only assume the pattern will continue, which is the most likely scenario
LUNAUSD Emphasis on Upward ChannelThis upward channel has been maintained for quite awhile now
A few breakouts out of it and rejections below it have occurred, but price has relatively stayed within the channel
This is a very bullish observation, price doesn't like to stay in a phase like this for very long, pressure seems to build up
I am long LUNAUSD right now, it is a good long choice to follow ETH
LUNA/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% LUNA, 55% cash. Price continues the bounce upward from $84.05 support in a bid to establish it as a major support; it is simultaneously forming a bear flag in doing so (something to monitor). Volume remains very low and is on track to favor buyers in two consecutive sessions if it closes today in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $108. RSI continues to test the descending trendline from August 2021 as support and is currently trending up at 43 (just above the trendline). Stochastic is attempting to establish a bottom at 3.56 and is currently forming a bullish crossover at 7.50; the next resistance is at 21.78. MACD remains bearish and testing -0.12 support; it is currently trending down at -0.60 with a slight angle toward a trough formation starting to be made. ADX is trending sideways at 28 as Price is attempting to establish a key support at $84.05, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to continue trending up, the next likely target is a retest of the 50 MA at $92.78 minor resistance. However, if the bear flag plays out, Price will likely breakdown below $84.05 and retest $78.04 minor support before potentially falling lower. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $92.56.
Terra: Into the Pool 🏊Terra has let go of the orange zone between $140.82 and $118.55 to drop down. Now, it is about to dive into the blue pool between $83.07 and $62.20, where we expect it to do some laps and to complete wave (ii) in blue. Afterwards, Terra should feel chipper and refreshed enough to start climbing upwards. To realize this, though, Terra should not sink below the support at $46.56.
LUNA/USD Daily TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% LUNA, 60% cash. Price is currently testing $84.05 support for the third consecutive day and is beginning to form a bearish flag as it attempts to establish support. Volume remains very low and broke the two day streak of selling yesterday with Price attempting to bounce here; a green close would strengthen the case for temporary support at $84.05. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $108. RSI is currently testing the descending trendline from August 2021 at 42 as support. Stochastic is currently crossing over bullish at 4. MACD remains bearish and is showing no signs of trough formation as tests 0 support. ADX is beginning to trend up at 28 as Price is attempting to find support, this is mildly bullish. If Price is able to establish support at $84.05, the next likely target is a retest of the 50 MA at $92.78 minor resistance. However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely formally retest $78 minor support before potentially heading lower. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $92.56.
LUNA/USD Weekly TA Neutral BearishLUNA/USD Weekly neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 35% LUNA, 65%% cash. Price is currently testing $87.51 minor support (breaking down below at $85). Volume remains very low and will make it two consecutive weeks of selling if it closes in the red this week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $51, this leaves a lot of room for Price to fall and still not flip the SAR bearish . RSI is currently testing the uptrend line from November 2019 at 56. Stochastic is currently in the process of crossing over bearish at 58, just below 66.26 resistance. MACD remains bullish and is trending down at 13 after forming a peak at 14.09 minor resistance; if it crosses below 12 it would be a bearish crossover. ADX is trending sideways at 41 as Price is falling, this is neutral. If Price is able to establish support at $87.51, the next likely target is a test of $98-$105 before reassessment. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $74.60. One condition to pay attention to is Price and its relationship with both the Daily and Weekly MACD , if Price were to break below $78 on the Daily, MACD would likely lose -0.12 support and test -2.43 minor support; if this were to happen it would likely plunge the weekly MACD from 13 to 12, causing a bearish crossover; this would potentially take Price down to between $57.15 and $74.60 in the short to medium term. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $100.
**Occasional fundamental analysis on my Twatter**
Luna structuresJust an overview of my current theories. We'll see where to next. If the structure stays true to form who knows.
Which coins have pumped on our list & which have flopped?Traders,
Let's go through "This Week's Hotness" list that I put out on Friday and clean up our list. Some of these coins pumped big but many of them flopped due to BTC price action and fear back in the market.
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LUNA/USD Daily TA Cautiously BearishLUNA/USD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% LUNA, 70% cash. Price has broken down below the 50 MA ($90.50) and is currently testing $84.05 support. Volume remains low and with a red close today would favor sellers in eight of the past ten sessions (indicating enough buyers currently do not see value in above-$100 LUNA). Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $114. RSI remains trending down and is currently testing the descending trendline from August 2021 at 40 as support. Stochastic is currently attempting to crossover bullish at 4.50 as it precariously hovers over max bottom, this is mildly bearish. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at 1.56 as it approaches 1.16 support. ADX is currently forming a trough at 26.6 and is slightly trending up as Price continues to fall, this is bearish. If Price is able to establish support at $84.05, the next likely target is a retest of $92.78 minor resistance (which would coincide with the 50 MA). However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest $78.04 minor support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $97.77.
*Occasional fundamental analysis on my Twatter*






















