LVMH to correct to at least $550 but +200% Bull Cycle after.Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH) is experiencing a strong rejection on its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), a Resistance level where it got rejected exactly a year ago (January 2025).
As mentioned on our previous LVMH analysis, this can initiate another correction within the stock's 18-year Channel Up that may very well hit its bottom as a -29.84% decline (standard within this pattern) would target $550. It could go even lower as we've seen pull-backs of -37.93% even but generally the 550 - 500 zone is an excellent long-term buy entry.
Based on the Channel's Bullish Legs, after this bottom (possibly expected before the end of this year), we should see a +22.15% rise (at least) within a 3-year horizon, targeting $1800.
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Lvmhsignals
LVMH Is it going to crash by -35% in 2026?Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH) has been trading within a Channel Down ever since its July 10 2023 All Time High (ATH) and is currently just above its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), approaching the top of the pattern.
This is technically the end of the Bullish Leg that started on the June 23 2025 Lower Low and the start of the new Bearish Leg, given also that the 1W RSI hit the 70.00 overbought limit and got rejected.
All Bearish Legs since the 2022 correction have been almost identical, on an average -35% decline. As a result, we expect 2026 to be another such correction, targeting at least $500. If the sell-off is accelerated this time, the market may finally test its 1M MA200 (red trend-line), in order to then begin a new multi-year Bull Cycle.
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LVMH Best time to buy is now.Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMH) recently broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and this is the most optimal buy opportunity for the long-term as following the 1D Golden Cross, a Channel Up is emerging.
This appears to be so far similar to the Channel Up of October 2022 - April 2023, which led the stock to its All Time High (ATH) at the time. Both sequences seem identical as they both started after a -30% decline with a 1D Death Cross, then found bottom and started the Accumulation process for a Double Bottom buy opportunity, which led to the eventual Channel Up.
That past Channel Up peaked just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we see a huge buy opportunity towards the end of the summer with our Target being $1150 (just below the 1.5 Fib ext).
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