XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours!
After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051.
Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 .
The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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M-forex
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD has broken its ascending trendline and completed a pullback to the broken level.
The pair is now trading below a key resistance zone, showing continued signs of bearish pressure.
After some short-term consolidation in this area, the price is expected to continue its decline toward the highlighted support level.
As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the downside scenario remains valid.
A confirmed daily close above resistance would invalidate this bearish setup.
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BTC - Liquidity Dynamics leading to new HighsMarket Context
Bitcoin has shown a constructive reaction from the recent lows, printing a clean double bottom structure that suggests short-term demand entering the market. After a previous buy-side liquidity sweep and rejection, price has rebalanced and is now challenging a fair value gap (FVG) that previously served as resistance. This marks a key decision zone where the next directional move will unfold.
Fair Value Gaps & Structure
The FVG overhead has already acted as resistance, capping the first impulsive move from the lows. Should price retrace slightly to take out the remaining sell-side liquidity below the double bottom before re-engaging higher, it would confirm the area as a springboard for a bullish continuation. A clean reclaim and hold above the FVG zone would signal a shift in order flow favoring buyers.
Liquidity Dynamics
The current setup offers both sides of the market clear liquidity targets: sell-side liquidity resting under the double bottom and buy-side liquidity resting above the prior high. Smart money could engineer a sweep of the lower side first to accumulate before expansion, or alternatively, break directly through resistance to trigger a larger bullish leg.
Final Thoughts
The structure reflects a balanced but bullish-leaning scenario — a classic accumulation and breakout setup. A deeper retest to clear out lower liquidity would strengthen the foundation for continuation, while sustained strength above the FVG opens the door for a reaction toward new highs.
If this analysis aligned with your view, drop a like — do you think we clear the lows first, or head straight for a bullish breakout?
Latest EURUSD Update👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:EURUSD ?
Earlier, in my latest analysis, I was more optimistic about EURUSD's recovery; however, the momentum wasn’t enough, and it pulled EURUSD back into a downtrend. As of now, at the time of writing, the price is fluctuating around 1.160, and no reversal has occurred yet. The bears are still in control.
From a technical perspective, the pair has continuously broken through previous bullish structures and is now heading toward the support zone around 1.140. Especially if TVC:DXY continues its current recovery, the likelihood of testing support becomes even more probable.
What about you? What do you think of EURUSD’s trend? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold Pullback: Technical Correction Keeps the Main Trend IntactHello everyone,
Gold is currently trading around 4,112 USD on the H4 chart after a fairly deep correction. Many traders seem concerned seeing strong selling pressure, but a closer look at price action reveals this is merely a technical pullback, not a signal of a long-term trend reversal.
After the parabolic surge, gold paused due to profit-taking. The dense Fair Value Gaps (FVG) in the 4,050–4,130 USD area indicate plenty of “unfinished business” — liquidity has not been fully tested, stop-losses not swept, supply and demand not fully balanced.
The 4,050 USD zone is key support, both technically and psychologically for buyers. Holding above this level preserves the H4 uptrend structure. Meanwhile, the 4,130 USD zone presents a short-term resistance — FVG combined with the Ichimoku cloud — and gold must decisively handle this region to continue higher.
From the news perspective, the market is caught between two forces: anticipation of Fed rate decisions and the upcoming US CPI, which could trigger volatility; versus easing US–China tensions, temporarily reducing safe-haven demand. The recent selling was mostly profit-taking after a 5.5% rally earlier this month; buyers haven’t exited, they are merely reorganising positions before returning.
My preferred scenario: gold retests 4,050–4,070 USD, sweeps remaining liquidity, and then bounces to test 4,130 USD. Only if 4,050 USD breaks with high volume would the market likely head toward 4,000 USD, where buyers will defend aggressively. If it holds, a recovery is expected and gold could target higher levels.
Do you see this as a normal pullback or a precursor to a sharp drop? Share your thoughts below.
XAU/USD (Gold 4H timeframe)... XAU/USD (Gold 4H timeframe) — here’s what’s visible and how it breaks down technically:
Price: Around 4065 USD currently.
Trendline: A major uptrend line has been broken clearly.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price has fallen below the Kumo, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Zone: Between 4120–4160 USD, already broken and retested.
Measured Move (Target Projection): my chart’s extension line points toward a target around 3840–3860 USD.
📉 Target Breakdown:
Immediate support: 4000 USD (psychological round number).
Main target: 3840 USD (as marked on My chart — aligns with previous structure support).
Extended bearish target: If momentum continues, 3740–3760 USD zone may come next.
⚠ Notes:
If gold reclaims above 4160–4180, bearish bias weakens.
Below 4060 = bears in full control.
Below 4000 = confirmation toward your target zone (≈3840 USD).
✅ Final Target: $3,840 – $3,860 USD
Would you like me to give you stop-loss and re-entry zones too (for sell setup)?
CADCHF: Looking for this wave up.FX:CADCHF is at a low and we are good to go to the upside for at least 200 to 300 pips.
If you get a buy setup or you have a strategy to go for the buy, try to not miss it.
WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
XAUUSD – Gold Recovers After US-China TensionsGold prices recently rose by nearly 1% during the Asian trading session on Thursday, recovering from two consecutive days of declines. The main reason for this is the renewed US-China trade tensions , which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold. At the same time, investors are awaiting important inflation data from the US , which could significantly impact the gold trend moving forward.
Technically, the chart shows that gold has experienced a slight correction after a strong rise from 4,060,000 USD. It is currently fluctuating within the range of 4,060,000 USD – 4,200,000 USD. Both EMA34 and EMA89 are supporting the price from below, confirming that the uptrend remains intact, despite the temporary correction.
Trading Strategy:
Buy if gold holds above 4,060,000 USD, with a target towards 4,200,000 USD.
Sell if gold fails to break through 4,200,000 USD and returns to test support at 4,060,000 USD.
In conclusion, with rising trade tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets, gold is on a strong uptrend and is likely to continue testing the 4,200,000 USD resistance level in the near future.
EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe....EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, and my marked two “Target Points” on it.
Let’s interpret what’s shown:
Current price: around 1.1598–1.1600.
I have a downtrend line that price looks like it’s testing from below.
A small support box (around 1.1590 area) shows a possible reversal zone.
Two target levels are marked with blue arrows and labeled “Target Point.”
Based on what’s visible:
First target (near-term): Around 1.1650–1.1655
Second target (extended): Around 1.1700–1.1710
✅ Targets summary:
🎯 TP1: 1.1650
🎯 TP2: 1.1700
These levels correspond to my drawn projection arrows and are logical resistance zones (top of the Ichimoku cloud and prior structure highs).
If you want a tactical plan:
Entry zone: Around 1.1600 (confirmation of bullish break from the descending channel).
Stop-loss: Below 1.1580 (below recent low and support box).
Take-profit:
TP1 → 1.1650
TP2 → 1.1700
AUDUSD – The Downtrend Remains DominantOn the 4H chart, AUDUSD continues to move within a descending channel that has persisted since early October. Each time price touches the upper trendline, it gets sharply rejected — showing that sellers remain firmly in control.
Currently, the pair is hovering around the 0.6480 zone, just below both the EMA34 and EMA89, which are sloping downward — confirming that the medium-term downtrend is still intact.
From a fundamental perspective, weaker-than-expected Australian employment data and growing expectations that the RBA might cut rates sooner are weighing on the Aussie. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is supported by rising Treasury yields — further strengthening the bearish bias.
Short-term scenario: price may rebound slightly toward the 0.6500 area (testing EMA resistance + upper trendline) before continuing its decline toward the 0.6420 target zone — which also aligns with strong technical support and the bottom of the descending channel.
USDJPY – Light Uptrend, Testing ResistanceUSDJPY is currently in a light uptrend, with strong support at 151.500. The price has bounced off this support level and is now approaching the resistance zone at 154.000.
Technically, EMA34 and EMA89 continue to support the price from below, indicating that the uptrend remains intact. However, USDJPY may face difficulty breaking the 154.000 resistance level in the short term.
In terms of news, the USD strength has been supporting the rise in USDJPY. If the Federal Reserve maintains its stable monetary policy, USDJPY could continue its uptrend, but it needs to break through the strong resistance at 154.000.
In conclusion, USDJPY is in a light uptrend in the short term, but it requires additional momentum to break through the resistance levels and continue its upward trend.
AUDUSD: Monitoring Downside MomentumDaily Timeframe:
Yesterday's session closed with a doji (inside bar). There's a lot of indecision going on. Price is maintaining below the HTL, however, the ranging bars may indicate that there's a lack of selling pressure.
If momentum does not pickup, we might see a fakeout. For the time being, I still maintain a bearish stance on the daily timeframe.
H1 Timeframe:
Price is breaking below the ATL, which is the first indication that momentum may be picking up throughout the Asian session.
Price remains choppy around the EMAs, which is a less reliable momentum signal.
However, I do think this pair has potential if price does not close back above the ATL.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold has reached a key support zone after a sharp two-day drop.
From this area, we expect a corrective rebound toward the broken structure.
This retest could complete a pullback phase before the next wave of decline resumes.
A short-term rally toward the resistance zone is likely.
If price shows rejection there, the next downside targets are expected to follow.
As long as price remains below the red resistance zone, the bearish bias remains intact.
Look for bearish confirmation signals on lower timeframes before entering short positions.
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EURUSD Short: Setup After Fake Breakout and Supply RejectionHello, traders! The market for EURUSD has been developing within a well-defined descending structure, characterized by lower highs and consistent rejection from the upper supply levels. After the earlier breakout from the falling wedge formation, the price transitioned into a broad consolidation range between the 1.1720 Supply Zone and the 1.1545 Demand Zone. This structure represents a balanced market phase, where buyers and sellers are testing control over short-term direction.
Currently, the price has once again approached the upper boundary of the range — the 1.1720 Supply Level — and faced a clear rejection. This move suggests that sellers are still defending this zone and that the market remains trapped within the broader consolidation phase.
My scenario anticipates a continuation of the decline from the Supply Zone.
The recent rejection confirms the presence of strong selling interest and indicates that the next likely move will be a rotation back toward the Demand Zone near 1.1545. Therefore, I’m watching for continued bearish momentum, with the take-profit target placed at 1.1545, in alignment with the lower boundary of the range. Manage your risk.
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum Still Intact After a Healthy PullbackHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
The broader trend for Gold remains strongly bullish, as we can clearly see from the consistent upward channel that has been forming since mid-September. Each corrective phase has been followed by a decisive breakout, confirming buyers’ control and sustaining the uptrend.
Recently, the market broke out from the upper boundary of the range near 4020, establishing a new structural high close to the 4250 resistance zone. However, after reaching this zone, the price entered a correction phase, pulling back to retest the major support zone around 4050–4020 — a level that also aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
My Scenario & Strategy
At the moment, the price is stabilizing around the support zone, showing early signs of a potential bullish rebound. This zone has acted as a strong demand area throughout the uptrend, and I expect buyers to defend it once again. If the price confirms a bounce from this level, the next logical move would be a continuation towards the 4215 resistance zone, which also aligns with the mid-level of the previous range.
I remain bullish on Gold while the price holds above the 4020 support zone. A successful retest here would provide a good opportunity for long positions targeting 4215 initially. If the price fails to hold above this level, we could see a deeper pullback — but as long as the channel structure remains intact, the broader bias stays positive.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
UJ Long If Price Holds 152!FX:USDJPY has had an impressive rally since last weeks Low of 149.371 and that Low was supported by a touch of the 200 EMA with an immediate reaction that spells Bullish!
Currently, price is encountering some resistance from the Oct. 13 Highs in the 152.5 Area.
Now, If USD remains to be Bullish, we can expect Price to potentially drop from the Resistance Zone (if it is unable to break through) down to test the Break of Previous Structure in the 152 - 152.17 Area.
If Price finds Support there, it may deliver a Long Opportunity to take Price up into the 153.7 Area where Price will be expected to come in contact with Rising Resistance, seen on a Higher Time Frame! (Daily/Weekly)
Fundamentally, with CPI to be released on Friday with a forecast of higher inflation and the US Government shutdown with no real end in sight yet, could really impact what happens so stay vigilant!
* If USD loses strength, Price could fall below 152, changing the sentiment Bearish!
GBP/JPY 2-hour chart...GBP/JPY 2-hour chart, here’s what’s clear:
The pair has broken out of a falling-wedge / descending-channel pattern, which usually signals a bullish reversal.
Price is trading around 202.15–202.65, currently testing above the wedge resistance and sitting near the Ichimoku cloud top, confirming early bullish structure.
My marked a measured move projection (blue arrow) — that projection aligns well with a typical wedge breakout target.
📈 Target Analysis
Breakout confirmation zone: Above 202.50–202.80.
Target Point: Around 205.50–206.00 (the level drawn on my chart).
This zone matches both the top of the previous swing and the measured-move objective of the wedge.
📊 Summary
Type Price Level Notes
Entry Zone 202.50–202.80 On bullish breakout confirmation
Main Target 205.50 – 206.00 Projected wedge target
Stop-Loss (for buy) 201.00 – 200.80 Below cloud & wedge retest
Support to watch 201.20 Should hold to maintain bullish bias
✅ Final Target: 205.50 – 206.00 JPY
GOLD cooling down, correction or signal of new cycle?Summary
“After three consecutive sessions of declines, gold is experiencing a short-term correction after a rally that has lasted more than two months. Despite falling nearly 6% from its recent peak, the medium-term uptrend remains solid as prices remain above the psychological level of $4,000 per ounce. This move reflects a technical cooling of an overbought market, rather than a fundamental reversal.
With the Fed expected to cut interest rates before the end of the year, geopolitical tensions lingering and the trend of “de-dollarization” spreading, gold continues to play a central role in the global safe-haven portfolio. Investors are now closely watching the price reaction around the $4,000 region, the balance point between short-term profit-taking pressure and medium-term accumulation momentum, while the technical outlook still favors a recovery trend if this support level holds.”
OANDA:XAUUSD corrects after 3-day decline, medium-term uptrend remains strong
Gold has fallen for three consecutive days, marking a technical correction after a long rally. Spot gold was hovering around $4,080/ounce on Tuesday morning, nearly 6% below its recent peak, reflecting a necessary pullback in an overbought market.
The decline comes amid global markets being cautious about the latest developments in US-China trade talks and unclear signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. Despite short-term pressure, gold remains a central part of the safe-haven portfolio, especially as geopolitical risks increase and major currencies face “soft devaluation” pressure.
Comment: “After a period of excessive growth, gold is correcting like an overstretched spring. The fact that the price is still holding above the $4,000 mark shows that this is a technical cooling process, not a fundamental reversal. The need for safe haven and defensive trades in the Dollar still exists.”
Gold has risen more than 55% year-to-date since mid-August, boosted by expectations of at least a 25 basis point cut by the Fed before the end of the year, along with a trend to hedge against inflation and widening budget deficits. The stability of the US dollar and ETF inflows supported gold prices, while silver and platinum recorded consecutive losses due to profit-taking pressure.
Traders are also focusing on new political-trade signals. US President Trump expressed optimism about a “good deal” at the upcoming meeting with Asian leaders, but admitted that a delay scenario is still possible. This situation has made the market sentiment “cautious but realistically optimistic,”.
The current decline reflects a technical correction, not a trend reversal. With the Fed likely to cut interest rates, persistent geopolitical tensions and the “de-dollarization” trend of some economies, gold remains a pillar in the global safe-haven structure. Investors should monitor the price reaction around the $4,000 mark, the balance point between short-term profit-taking and medium-term accumulation.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Technical Outlook: Bulls Keep the Initiated Around $4,000
Gold prices are experiencing a short-term but strong correction, after a long rally since mid-August. On the daily chart, the decline has brought the price to test the important support cluster around $4,000–$4,050/oz, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.618 zone and the MA50 average, which acts as a key “psychological milestone” for the bulls.
The RSI has retreated to near the neutral level of 50, reflecting a temporary cooling rather than a trend reversal. The major trend structure remains clearly bullish, as evidenced by the intact upward price channel.
If the $4,000 zone is maintained, gold is likely to enter an accumulation-recovery phase, with the nearest resistance zones at $4,160–$4,180 (Fibo 0.5) and $4,210–$4,275 (Fibo 0.382–0.236). Conversely, a loss of the $4,000 mark would trigger deeper profit-taking towards the extended support zone of $3,950.
The current correction suggests the market is consolidating its medium-term uptrend, with no signs of breaking the trend. Once sentiment stabilizes around the $4,000 threshold, new buying pressure is likely to return, especially if there are supportive signals from US economic data or expectations of a Fed rate cut.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4231 - 4229⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4235
→Take Profit 1 4223
↨
→Take Profit 2 4217
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4001 - 4003⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3997
→Take Profit 1 4009
↨
→Take Profit 2 4015
EUR/USD Hints At Swing LowA small doji formed on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak for EUR/USD. The session low respected the 100-day EMA as support, while the brief dip below the monthly S1 pivot proved to be a false break.
The bias remains bullish while prices hold above the 1.1544 swing low. Bulls could look to buy dips towards the monthly S1 pivot in anticipation of a move up towards the 1.17 handle and monthly pivot point (1.1754).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EURUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.173 - 1.178 area
Resistance 2: 1.181 - 1.182 area
Resistance 3: 1.187 - 1.192 area
Support 1: 1.153 - 1.156 area
Support 2: 1.145 - 1.146 area
Support 3: 1.135 - 1.141 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Gold Likely to Rise FurtherPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD is demonstrating a well-structured movement within an ascending channel, where each price bounce is well-controlled, and every retracement follows a consistent pattern. The strength of the buyers is becoming increasingly evident, with technical dynamics becoming more organized and fluid.
After breaking through a key resistance level, the price is now retesting this level. If this level holds as solid support, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards 4,500, which serves as the natural target aligned with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
As long as the price remains above this support level, the upward trend will continue. However, if the price fails to hold and drops below this level, the trend structure will be at risk, and the likelihood of a technical correction towards the lower boundary of the channel will increase.
In this well-organized market condition, consistency and discipline in analysis are crucial. Carefully identify key points, wait for strong confirmation, and allow the trend to move in the predetermined direction.
Why Did Gold Plunge Yesterday – Key Factors ExplainedHello everyone, the gold market just experienced a dramatic session, with the front-month futures contract falling over 5.39% in a single day, marking the deepest drop since June 2013. This sharp correction follows an extended period of rapid gains, forcing many traders to reassess the short-term trend.
Main reasons behind the sharp drop
Correction after strong growth: Gold has surged over 128% from its 2011 baseline, but the lack of intermittent pullbacks created expectations for a significant retracement. When the correction occurred, it happened quickly and steeply, just as many veteran traders anticipated.
Divergence with silver: Although silver fell 7.2%, its decline was “modest” compared to gold. Gold’s parabolic rise contrasted with silver’s steadier gains, reinforcing the likelihood that gold would continue adjusting while silver maintained a sustainable upward trajectory.
Historical surge dynamics: From lows around 2,500 USD/oz, gold soared past 4,200 USD with hardly any meaningful consolidation. A long-term surge without pullbacks almost inevitably leads to sharp reversals, clearly illustrated by yesterday’s drop.
With the Double Top pattern fully formed and the neckline broken, I expect gold could fall to the strong support zone around 4,000 USD or lower if the decline continues. Current resistance stands at 4,200 USD, a level difficult for gold to reclaim in the short term. The market is confirming a downtrend, so traders should monitor the support zones closely to identify optimal entry points.
Do you think this is a buying opportunity at lower gold prices or just a temporary dip? Share your thoughts below!
EUR/USD: Sellers Still in Control – Downtrend Likely to ContinueHello everyone,
Looking at the H4 chart, the market picture hasn't changed much: sellers are still in control. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows confirms that the bearish structure remains intact. The recent bounce toward 1.1670–1.1700 looks more like a pullback to build selling pressure rather than a genuine reversal signal.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) in that area did exactly what it was expected to do – attract liquidity before price was rejected and pushed back down to 1.159x. Everything so far suggests the market is moving in line with a healthy bearish trend: weak pullbacks followed by strong drops.
On the Ichimoku system, price remains entirely below the cloud with no shift in structure, confirming that bearish momentum is not just short-term but extends into the medium term. Volume on the last pullback also weakened clearly, signalling buyers lack conviction.
From an intermarket perspective, the US dollar is regaining dominance as safe-haven flows rotate back into the DXY following gold's corrective move. Meanwhile, the euro continues to face pressure from the gloomy economic outlook in the Eurozone and the European Central Bank's cautious stance. A widening policy gap versus the Federal Reserve makes it even harder for EUR/USD to recover sustainably.
The only scenario I favour for now: continuation to the downside. The next target sits at 1.1550, and below that 1.1500 where a lower FVG may trigger a temporary pause for rebalancing. Any pullback toward 1.1650–1.1700 is still a selling opportunity unless price can close above 1.1720 – something that has yet to show any signs of happening.
What do you think – is this a chance to ride the trend, or should we stay cautious and wait for clearer confirmation?