XAUUSD Long: Consolidation Before the Next Impulsive MoveHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a strong and well-defined ascending channel, confirming a sustained bullish trend supported by consistent higher highs and higher lows. This structure reflects strong buyer dominance and healthy trend conditions rather than an overextended or exhausted move. Prior to the impulsive rally, price spent a prolonged period consolidating within a range, indicating accumulation and balance between buyers and sellers. This range eventually resolved to the upside, triggering a clean breakout and initiating a strong bullish impulse that pushed price firmly into the ascending channel.
Currently, Gold is pulling back toward a strong Demand Zone around 4,990–5,010, which aligns closely with the lower boundary and midline of the ascending channel. This confluence between horizontal demand and dynamic channel support significantly strengthens the level. The pullback so far appears corrective, with price showing stabilization and buyer reactions near demand, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers continue to defend the broader bullish structure.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the demand zone and continues to respect the ascending channel, the bullish structure remains intact. A sustained reaction from this demand area could lead to another bullish leg targeting the 5,150 Supply Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this supply would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion within the channel. However, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish bias and signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, structure, trend, and price action continue to favor buyers. Manage your risk!
M-forex
EURUSD: Corrective Pullback After Strong Bullish ImpulseHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has been trading within a well-defined upward channel, which reflects a strong bullish structure over the higher timeframe. Price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers remain in control of the broader trend. Each impulsive leg higher has been followed by corrective pullbacks that stayed contained within the channel, signaling healthy trend behavior rather than trend exhaustion. Recently, the market delivered a strong bullish impulse, breaking above the previous consolidation and pushing decisively higher. This impulsive move confirmed bullish momentum and attracted aggressive buying interest. After the breakout, price reached a key resistance zone around 1.1900, where sellers stepped in and caused a fake breakout above resistance. This failure to hold above the highs signals weakening bullish pressure at premium levels.
Currently, EURUSD started to correct lower, pulling back from resistance while still remaining inside the overall upward channel. Importantly, this decline currently appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting profit-taking and short-term seller activity instead of a full trend reversal. The former resistance area around 1.1800 has flipped into a Support Zone, which is now acting as the first key downside target and decision area. As long as price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the broader bullish structure stays intact. However, the inability to sustain acceptance above resistance increases the probability of a deeper pullback toward support before the next directional move.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario is a short-term bearish correction within the broader bullish trend. As long as EURUSD trades below the resistance zone near 1.1900 and shows rejection from the upper channel boundary, I expect sellers to maintain control in the short term. The first target for this corrective move is the Support Zone around 1.1800, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. If price reaches this support area and shows bullish reaction or consolidation, a continuation to the upside would remain the preferred higher-timeframe scenario. A clean bounce from support would confirm that the move lower was only a correction within the uptrend.
However, if EURUSD breaks below the support zone and shows acceptance beneath it, this would signal a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Only a decisive breakdown of the channel structure would invalidate the bullish bias and shift the market into a more bearish environment. For now, the setup favors a controlled pullback after a strong impulse, with short-term downside potential toward support while the overall trend structure remains bullish.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold Compressing Near Resistance Ahead of Potential BreakoutHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold has been trading in a strong bullish trend, clearly defined by a rising structure that started after a prolonged consolidation phase. Initially, price moved sideways within a well-marked range, signaling market balance and accumulation. This range acted as a base for the next directional move. Once buyers gained control, XAUUSD broke decisively above the range highs, confirming a shift from consolidation to expansion and triggering a strong impulsive rally. Currently, price is approaching the Resistance Level / Seller Zone around the 5,330–5,350 area. Momentum remains bullish, but the market is showing signs of short-term consolidation near the highs, suggesting a pause after the strong impulse. This behavior is typical after vertical moves, as the market digests gains before deciding on continuation or correction. Importantly, price is still holding above the rising support line and above the Buyer Zone, which keeps the bullish bias intact. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the Buyer Zone around 5,060–5,100 and continues to respect the ascending channel support, I expect a continuation higher toward the Seller Zone near 5,350 (TP1). A brief corrective pullback into support would be a healthy move within the trend and could provide renewed buying interest. A clean breakout and acceptance above the Seller Zone would confirm further upside continuation and open the door for higher targets. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone followed by a breakdown below the rising support line and Buyer Zone would signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, the structure, momentum, and price action continue to favor buyers, with the current consolidation appearing as preparation for the next move, not a reversal. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: at Key Resistance - Pullback Scenario in Focus To $5,400Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure that previously developed inside a well-defined upward channel. After a prolonged consolidation phase marked by a clear range, price broke to the upside, confirming buyer control and initiating a strong impulsive rally. This breakout from the range acted as a key structural shift, pushing gold into an accelerated bullish phase supported by higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. As price continued higher, XAUUSD approached a major higher-timeframe Resistance Zone around the 5,580–5,600 area. This zone has historically acted as a strong supply region, and current price action suggests that bullish momentum is starting to weaken near this level. The market is now showing signs of overextension after a near-vertical move, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback. Importantly, price is currently trading at the upper boundary of the ascending channel, where buyers often begin to take profits and sellers look for short-term opportunities.
Currently, a clearly defined Support Zone around the 5,380–5,420 area aligns with the prior breakout level and the upper boundary of the former consolidation. This zone represents a key area of interest, as it previously acted as resistance before being broken and now serves as potential support. The structure suggests that a pullback into this zone would be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario is a short-term corrective pullback from the Resistance Zone toward the Support Zone. As long as price remains capped below the 5,600 resistance and shows rejection from the upper channel boundary, I expect a move lower toward the 5,400 support area (TP1). This short idea is counter-trend and should be treated strictly as a corrective trade within a broader bullish market structure. A clean reaction into the Support Zone could attract fresh buyers and potentially lead to trend continuation afterward.
However, if price fails to find support and breaks decisively below the 5,380 level with strong bearish acceptance, a deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary would become more likely. On the other hand, a strong breakout and acceptance above the 5,600 Resistance Zone would invalidate the short scenario and signal bullish continuation. For now, price is at a critical reaction area where a pullback is technically justified.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAU/USD: Uptrend Still Alive — Do You Agree?Hello traders, by combining the current news backdrop with the H1 chart, I still assess that XAU/USD is trading within a clear and well-controlled uptrend.
Do you agree with this view?
To explain this bullish outlook, starting with the fundamental side , gold continues to be supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain a cautious stance. Real yields are not creating meaningful pressure , while safe-haven demand remains quietly present . This keeps capital flowing into the market, and there is currently no reason for the BUY side to step aside in the short term.
From a technical perspective, price is moving cleanly within an ascending channel. After a strong breakout, the market pulled back to retest the immediate support zone around 5,150 — an area where the rising trendline and dynamic support converge. The way price reacts here confirms that buyers remain proactive , and that the pullback is technical in nature rather than a sign of distribution.
Therefore, as long as price continues to hold above this support area, the bullish structure remains intact. In a favorable scenario, after a brief consolidation phase, price has a solid basis to extend the uptrend toward the 5,350 area, in line with the momentum of the primary trend.
Thank you for reading, and wish you all successful trading!
When Fear Returns, Gold Speaks AgainHello everyone,
After many years of following and trading gold through crises, geopolitical tensions, and major shifts in monetary policy, I have always viewed gold as a barometer of market psychology. And what the H4 chart of XAUUSD is showing right now feels very familiar: fear is starting to outweigh confidence, and safe-haven flows are returning to where they naturally belong.
This is not a purely technical rally. The price structure suggests gold is advancing within a clearly supportive macro backdrop. On the H4 timeframe, the uptrend maintains a healthy slope, pullbacks remain shallow, and dips are quickly absorbed. EMA 34 and EMA 89 are positioned neatly below price, expanding and sloping upward — a classic signature of a strong market where price no longer feels the need to revisit deep equilibrium zones. Gold is currently trading around 5,220–5,230, at fresh highs, yet there are no meaningful signs of distribution so far.
What makes this move particularly noteworthy is the story behind it. Gold is rising exactly in line with its traditional role — as a measure of fear. Geopolitical concerns, monetary policy uncertainty, and broader instability are pushing investors toward defense. When gold rallies on safe-haven demand, trends rarely reverse quickly, because this is the behavior of large capital reallocations rather than short-term emotional flows.
The policy backdrop further reinforces this dynamic. The Fed, along with several major central banks, has shifted into a cautious stance, deliberately avoiding firm commitments. Holding rates steady while political and macro pressures intensify places markets in a prolonged “waiting mode” — an environment where gold typically thrives. At the same time, the U.S. dollar has weakened notably, with DXY falling to multi-month lows, driven not only by rate expectations but also by policy considerations and volatility in the Japanese yen. When USD weakness stems from policy factors rather than pure growth optimism, its impact on gold tends to be swift and pronounced.
From my perspective, this keeps the broader picture intact: gold is not just moving higher — it is being repriced in response to risk, uncertainty, and shifting confidence. And as long as fear continues to quietly build beneath the surface, gold is likely to keep speaking louder than many other assets.
What’s your take — do you see this as the early stage of a deeper repricing, or simply another strong leg within an already extended trend?
EURUSD Short: Fake Breakout at Supply, Pullback to 1.1850Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish environment with consistent higher highs and higher lows. This phase reflected clear buyer control and healthy trend continuation. After reaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, price lost momentum and transitioned into a descending corrective channel, signaling a temporary pullback rather than a full trend reversal. The corrective move remained orderly, with price respecting the descending structure and gradually compressing toward the lower boundary. At the lower edge of the descending channel, EURUSD formed a clear pivot point, where seller pressure weakened and buyers stepped back in aggressively. This led to a bullish breakout from the descending channel, confirming the end of the corrective phase. Following the breakout, price accelerated sharply higher, impulsively breaking above the key Demand Zone around 1.1850, which previously acted as resistance. This clean structure flip confirmed strong buyer commitment and renewed bullish momentum.
Currently, price then surged directly into the higher-timeframe Supply Zone around 1.2000–1.2050, where a fake breakout occurred. The rejection from this area suggests that sellers are active at the highs and that the market may be temporarily overextended after the strong impulse. Such behavior often leads to a corrective retracement rather than immediate continuation.
My primary scenario is a corrective pullback from the supply zone toward the 1.1850 Demand Zone (TP1). This level represents former resistance turned support and is a key area where buyers previously entered aggressively. As long as EURUSD holds above this demand zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and any pullback should be viewed as corrective within an overall uptrend. A strong bullish reaction and stabilization from the demand area could open the door for another attempt higher toward the supply zone and potentially new highs. However, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the 1.1850 demand zone would weaken the bullish bias and increase the probability of a deeper correction. For now, the market favors buyers, with the current move best interpreted as a pullback after a strong impulsive rally. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Reclaims Key Structure - Upside Toward 1.2050Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. After an extended consolidation phase, EURUSD initially traded within a clearly defined range, reflecting market indecision and balance between buyers and sellers. This ranging behavior laid the groundwork for a larger directional move. Eventually, price broke below the range and continued to trade inside a descending channel, confirming bearish control and a structured corrective phase. Sellers consistently defended the upper boundary of the channel, while price respected the descending resistance and support lines. As the downtrend matured, selling momentum gradually weakened, leading to a breakout above the descending channel resistance. This breakout marked a critical structural shift and the beginning of a bullish impulse. Following the breakout, EURUSD accelerated higher, breaking above the Buyer Zone around the 1.1920 area, which previously acted as a key resistance. This move confirmed a transition from bearish correction into bullish expansion, with buyers clearly regaining control of the market. Currently, price is trading above the Buyer Zone and holding above a rising triangle support line. A brief fake breakout below the ascending support was quickly absorbed by buyers, reinforcing the strength of demand and validating the support level. This price behavior suggests that the pullback was corrective rather than impulsive, allowing the market to reset before continuation. EURUSD is now approaching the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 1.2050, which represents a major reaction area where selling pressure may increase. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and continues to respect the ascending support structure, the bullish bias remains intact. A continuation toward the Resistance Level at 1.2050 is expected, with this area acting as TP1. A clean breakout and acceptance above the Seller Zone would confirm further upside continuation and open the door for higher targets. However, a strong rejection from resistance combined with a breakdown below the ascending support and Buyer Zone would signal the start of a deeper corrective phase. For now, structure, momentum, and price action favor buyers, with the current pullback behavior suggesting consolidation before a potential continuation move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD: Continues Uptrend After Breakout, $5,170 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a strong and well-established bullish trend, supported by a clearly defined upward channel that has guided price higher over an extended period. Throughout this move, Gold has consistently respected the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, which confirms sustained buyer dominance and healthy trend conditions rather than an exhausted rally. In the middle of the trend, price paused and formed a consolidation range, signaling temporary balance and accumulation before continuation. This range acted as a base, after which XAUUSD broke out decisively to the upside, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. Following the breakout, price accelerated higher and began respecting a rising triangle support line, showing that pullbacks remain shallow and corrective in nature.
Currently, Gold broke above the marked Support Zone, confirming a clean structure flip where former resistance turned into support. This breakout was followed by acceptance above the level, indicating strong buyer commitment rather than a false move. Price is now trading above the support zone and continues to trend higher toward the upper boundary of the structure. Above the current price, a clearly defined Resistance Zone around the 5,160–5,170 area stands as the next major technical obstacle. This zone represents a higher-timeframe supply area where profit-taking or temporary selling pressure may emerge. However, so far, there are no strong signs of impulsive rejection, and price action suggests continuation strength rather than distribution.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the Support Zone around 5,050–5,070 and continues to respect the rising structure. A controlled pullback into support, followed by bullish continuation signals, would offer a favorable continuation setup. I expect buyers to maintain control and attempt a push toward the Resistance Zone near 5,170 (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion within the broader bullish channel.
However, if price reaches resistance and shows clear rejection, a short-term corrective pullback toward the support zone or the rising triangle support line would be a healthy and expected move within the trend. Only a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper corrective phase. For now, structure, momentum, and price action continue to favor buyers.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Holds Firm as Upside Pressure BuildsLooking at the chart I shared, XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. This is a textbook bullish structure. Each pullback remains controlled, and buyers continue to step in at higher levels, which tells me the broader trend is still healthy and intact.
At the moment, price is consolidating just below a key resistance zone inside the channel. What stands out to me is the lack of strong selling pressure during this consolidation phase. Instead of aggressive rejection, the market is holding its ground, suggesting that buyers are still in control and absorbing supply rather than distributing positions.
Given the strength of the current bullish momentum, there is a high probability of a breakout above this resistance zone. If price manages to break through convincingly, my expectation is a potential pullback to retest the former resistance as support. A clean and successful retest would further confirm the bullish structure and could act as a launchpad for the next impulsive move higher.
In that bullish continuation scenario, the 5,230 area becomes a very reasonable upside target, aligning closely with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level represents the natural extension of the current trend rather than an overextended move.
That said, I always consider the alternative scenario. If price fails to break above resistance and starts showing clear rejection with increasing selling pressure, it would signal weakening bullish momentum. In that case, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel would be on the table. As long as that lower boundary holds, I would still view any downside as corrective rather than a trend reversal.
As always, I focus on confirmation, patience, and disciplined risk management. Let the market show its hand before committing, and trade what you see—not what you hope for.
Best of luck and trade safely.
Trading Weekends Is a Dead-Man ZoneWeekend trading in crypto looks active on the surface, but the structure underneath is fragile. Liquidity thins, participation drops, and price becomes easier to move with relatively small orders. What appears to be opportunity is often noise amplified by absence of depth. This is why weekends quietly drain accounts rather than build them.
Institutional participation is minimal during weekends.
Many large players reduce exposure or remain inactive, which removes the stabilizing force that normally absorbs volatility and validates structure. Without that participation, levels lose reliability. Breakouts occur without follow-through. Reversals happen without warning. The market is not directional; it is reactive.
Spreads widen and order books thin. This increases slippage and distorts risk. Stops that would survive during active sessions are easily tagged. Entries that look precise on the chart fill poorly in reality. Execution quality degrades, even if the setup appears valid in hindsight.
Another issue is narrative vacuum. During the week, price responds to macro flows, funding dynamics, and session-based participation. On weekends, these drivers are largely absent. Price often rotates aimlessly or runs obvious liquidity pools without establishing commitment. Traders mistake movement for intent and become the liquidity that others exit against.
Psychology also shifts. Weekends invite boredom trading.
Without a structured routine, traders lower standards, widen assumptions, and take setups they would normally ignore. Losses feel smaller individually, but they accumulate through frequency and poor sequencing.
There are exceptions. High-impact events or structural carryover from a strong weekly close can create opportunity. These situations are rare and require reduced size and stricter confirmation. For most traders, restraint is the edge.
The market will still be there on Monday with clearer structure, deeper liquidity, and better execution conditions. Survival in trading is not about participation at all times. It is about choosing when conditions justify risk. Weekends rarely do.
XAUUSD – Brian | M45 Technical Outlook — Buyers Still in Control Above 5,200
Gold continues to trade firmly above the 5,000 milestone, with price action confirming strong bullish acceptance at higher levels. On the M45 timeframe, the market remains in an expansion phase, supported by aggressive buying volume and well-defended value areas.
Current conditions suggest that buyers are still in control, with pullbacks being absorbed rather than sold into. This behavior typically characterises a strong trending environment rather than a distribution phase.
Macro Context (Brief Overview)
From a fundamental perspective, institutional positioning remains stable, with no signs of defensive de-risking despite gold trading at record highs. At the same time, the market remains sensitive to upcoming macro events, which may introduce short-term volatility but have not altered the broader bullish bias so far.
As long as uncertainty persists and risk appetite fluctuates, gold continues to benefit from its role as a strategic hedge.
Market Structure & Volume Context (M45)
The current structure on M45 remains constructive:
Price is holding above the rising trendline.
Buying volume remains elevated, indicating strong demand and reduced willingness to sell.
Pullbacks continue to develop in a corrective manner rather than impulsive declines.
In strong trends, high volume combined with shallow retracements often signals continuation rather than exhaustion.
Key Technical Zones to Watch
Based on the chart structure and volume profile, several zones stand out:
Upside Reaction Zone
5,385: A major resistance and extension area where price may pause, consolidate, or react before deciding the next directional leg.
Primary Value Support
POC + VAH: 5,243 – 5,347
This is the most critical zone for continuation. Acceptance and holding within this range would reinforce the bullish structure.
Secondary Support
VAL: 5,163 – 5,168
A deeper pullback into this zone would still be considered corrective as long as price stabilises and reclaims value.
Deeper Structural Support
POC: 5,086 – 5,091
This level represents broader value and would likely come into play only during heightened volatility.
Forward Expectations & Bias
Primary bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above value zones
Pullbacks are currently viewed as opportunities for re-accumulation rather than trend reversal.
Short-term volatility is expected, but structure remains the key reference point rather than individual candles.
Strong trends rarely move in straight lines. The ability of gold to hold value during pauses continues to support the case for further upside.
Refer to the accompanying chart for a detailed view of value areas, trend structure, and projected paths.
Follow the TradingView channel to get early structure updates and join the discussion on key market levels.
XAUUSD – M45 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨
Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its bullish run with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action
Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure.
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control.
The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions.
At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback.
🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45
Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310
This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction.
Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220
A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure.
Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050
Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends.
As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution:
If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing.
Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred):
A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel.
Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep:
If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops.
🌍 Market Context (Brief)
Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical.
🧠 Lana’s View
The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy.
At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum.
✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
XAUUSD – M30 Technical Outlook Mild Pullback Before the Next High | Lana ✨
Gold has extended sharply and is now trading into a high-resistance zone, where price often needs a light correction or consolidation to rebuild liquidity before attempting higher levels again. The broader trend remains bullish, but the next clean opportunity is more likely to come from a pullback into structure, not from chasing the highs.
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
Price is still respecting the broader bullish structure, but the current leg is stretched after a strong impulsive run.
The market is now reacting under the highest resistance zone, which typically creates short-term profit-taking and liquidity reactions before continuation.
As long as price holds above key structural support, the bullish trend remains intact.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Highest resistance zone: 5585 – 5600
This is a premium area where price may hesitate or reject in the short term.
First support zone: 5508
A key decision level where price can rebalance before choosing direction.
Buy liquidity zone: 5446 – 5450
A strong liquidity pocket where buyers are more likely to step back in.
Long-term support zone: 5265 – 5285
A deeper base area if volatility expands into a broader correction.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Gold may correct modestly from resistance and retest structure before pushing higher.
Buy Entry: 5446 – 5450
Stop Loss: 5438 – 5440
Take Profit targets:
TP1: 5508
TP2: 5538 – 5545
TP3: 5585 – 5600
TP4: 5650+
A shallower pullback toward 5508 could also be enough to reset momentum before another attempt higher, but repeated rejection at the top would increase the risk of deeper consolidation.
🧠 Lana’s View
Gold remains bullish, but the market is now at a level where patience matters more than speed.
Rather than chasing price near resistance, the focus should stay on how price reacts during pullbacks into key structural zones.
✨ Respect the structure, manage risk, and let price come to your level.
AUDUSD - When Structure Meets RealityAUDUSD is now retesting a strong technical intersection:
the weekly resistance marked in green is lining up perfectly with the upper bound of the weekly rising channel in blue.⚔️
On top of that, price is sitting in an over-bought zone after an extended push higher.
As long as this intersection holds, the odds favor a bearish correction, with price rotating lower toward the lower bound of the channel. This wouldn’t be a trend reversal, but a healthy reset within the bigger structure.
If this zone gets cleanly broken and accepted above, then the narrative changes.
Until then, I’m respecting resistance and letting structure lead the bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Why Traders Freeze Even With a Profitable StrategyOne of the most misunderstood challenges in trading is freezing under uncertainty. Many traders assume the problem comes from missing skills, weak discipline, or an incomplete strategy. In practice, freezing rarely originates from technical shortcomings. It emerges from how the human nervous system reacts when outcomes are uncertain.
Most traders who freeze are prepared. They have a defined system, tested rules, and a clear execution plan. The difficulty arises at the moment where a decision must be made without knowing the result. Preparedness and uncertainty tolerance are separate skills. One can exist without the other. Many traders know exactly what to do, yet struggle to act because the outcome cannot be guaranteed.
Freezing follows a predictable pattern. A trader builds a system, tests it, and recognizes valid setups in real time. When execution becomes necessary, hesitation appears. The hand pauses, the mind begins negotiating, and small delays feel justified. Waiting for more confirmation appears rational, but often reflects discomfort with uncertainty rather than patience. The trade moves without execution, followed by frustration rooted in inaction rather than loss.
Over time, freezing erodes execution consistency. Valid setups are skipped, entries become late, and price is chased instead of anticipated. Statistical performance becomes unreliable because execution no longer matches the system. Confidence weakens, not because the method fails, but because the trader fails to apply it consistently. This often leads to misplaced blame on market conditions, strategy selection, or external factors, while the underlying issue remains unresolved.
Under uncertainty, logic loses influence. Even when traders understand probabilities, risk distribution, and long-term expectancy, the nervous system responds as if uncertainty represents personal threat. Stress responses override analytical thinking. Decision-making shifts from structured execution to self-protection. This biological response persists unless explicitly trained for.
Habitual freezing changes behavior. Missed trades generate frustration, which leads to forced entries and impulsive decisions. The trader oscillates between inactivity and overreaction. Rules remain written but lose authority during live execution. Discipline appears intact externally, while internal decision-making is driven by fear and relief rather than process.
Progress begins when confidence is no longer treated as a prerequisite for action. Confidence develops after consistent execution, not before it. Trading becomes more manageable when framed as participation rather than control. Outcomes remain uncertain, but execution remains consistent. Each decision becomes a simple question of alignment with rules, independent of emotional state.
Practical improvement comes from shifting focus toward probabilities, cultivating curiosity instead of judgment, and building tolerance through repetition. Emotional stability develops through exposure, not motivation. Each executed trade reinforces functional behavior under uncertainty.
Markets continuously test a trader’s relationship with uncertainty. Progress depends on the ability to execute despite incomplete information. Some traders wait for certainty that never arrives. Others act according to plan and accept uncertainty as part of the process. Trading rewards consistency under uncertainty. Functioning within it is the skill that separates stalled progress from long-term development.
Is the Dollar's Throne Shaking? DXY AnalysisHello friends, today we have the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) on the table, which concerns all of us closely, and the major pairs ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD ) seeking direction under its shadow. Looking at the charts, we see that the dollar has somewhat moved away from its old "haven" status, and the market is evolving in a new direction.
On the DXY side, the "purple box" (our critical support zone) that we have been monitoring on the 4-hour chart has unfortunately (or for some, thankfully!) been broken downwards. That tired downward movement starting from the 100.000 level tells us that the dollar is running out of steam.
Currently, we are seeing a small rebound at the 95.57 levels. However, we should not be deceived by this; technically, this could be a "Dead Cat Bounce." I expect the price to make a "fake" rise up to the 98.00 - 98.50 range and then slide towards our main target of 93.60. As long as it does not remain above 98.50, the direction is still down for me.
This pullback of the dollar is having a positive effect on GBP and EUR.
GBP/USD: The pound was already struggling to hold its ground. The elegant rising channel structure on the daily chart and the upwardly broken flag formation prove how high the appetite is. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the 1.4200 levels on our screens in the coming days.
tr.tradingview.com
EUR/USD: On the euro side, there is a more cautious but determined upward movement. With support taken from the lower band, the curved path we have drawn on the chart seems to be taking us towards the 1.2343 peak.
tr.tradingview.com
In short, the current market sentiment is "Sell the Dollar, Buy the Majors." Of course, a surprising announcement from the FED or inflation data could disrupt these plans, but technically, the story is telling us this right now.
My strategy is clear: I will watch for possible rebound rises in DXY to catch new opportunities in the pairs.
Wishing you plenty of profits, and don't neglect your risk management!
DXY has bottomed and is starting a massive 2-year rallyThe U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. This is not the first time we use this pattern to identify key macro trend shifts, in fact we revisited it 2 months ago, calling for 'a final pull-back before a massive rally'.
Well the time for this rally is here as yesterday it completed a -13.35% decline from the January 2025 High a year ago.
That decline was technically the Bearish Leg of this pattern's correction phase (red Channel). This is part of its incredible symmetry, with similar correction phases throughout this time period followed by bullish phases, that eventually lead to price rallies to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
All conditions for the new Bull Cycle (Bullish Leg) have been fulfilled. Along with the price being at the bottom of the Channel Up, with the -13.35% decline being a benchmark correction historically, we are also past a 1W Death Cross, which has always been a bottom signal on this multi-year Channel Up.
This has always happened at the end of the Bear Cycles (red correction phase) with the Arc pattern making a multi-week Double Bottom before the decisive rebound the breaks above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). That break-out is the confirmation of the Bull Cycle start (Bullish Leg).
With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern, we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively in the long-term, targeting the 120.000 - 128.000 Zone on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext, which has been where the previous Higher Highs (Cycle Tops) were priced. 125.000 is a fair Target within a 2-year time-frame.
Notice also that a solid peak indicator (Sell signal) is when the 1M RSI hits 80.00, indicating that the market is massively overbought (overheated trend).
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XAG/USD – A Market That Refuses to Go LowerThere is one thing that stands out very clearly on XAG/USD right now:
the market has absolutely no intention of moving lower.
The news flow is quiet, with no major shocks — and paradoxically, that is exactly what favors the BUY side. The Fed is not hawkish enough to choke precious metals, real yields are failing to create pressure , and defensive sentiment remains quietly present beneath the surface.
For silver, the narrative is even stronger than gold: it is both a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. Capital inflows are not speculative hit-and-run trades — this is hold, push, and accumulate behavior.
Looking at the chart, price is clearly advancing within a clean and steep ascending channel. Every pullback is disciplined and controlled — p rice taps the lower trendline and immediately reacts upward. No panic, no aggressive sell-offs.
This is a textbook sign that smart money is in control, not a market driven by FOMO.
Ichimoku may only be playing a supporting role here — but it is an extremely reliable one. Price is firmly above the cloud, the cloud itself is sloping upward, and the distance between price and the cloud confirms that bullish momentum still has room to run. There are no signs of exhaustion or distribution at this stage.
The 112.7 zone is not a level to fear — it is a trend-validation boundary. As long as price holds above this area, every retracement should be viewed as an opportunity for the market to reload. And once momentum is fully rebuilt, a move toward 124.3 becomes a matter of time, not doubt.
GOLD HOLDS BULLISH STRUCTURE AFTER FOMC — VOLATILITY IS THE OPPO📰 FOMC Update (Jan 29)
The Fed kept rates unchanged, as expected.
Powell remained data-dependent, avoiding any aggressive hawkish shift.
Markets read this as no urgency to tighten further, keeping real yields capped.
Result: USD hesitates → Gold volatility expands, but trend stays intact.
This is not “buy the news” — it’s flow reacting to policy clarity.
📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4 Context)
Clear bullish BOS before FOMC → trend already established.
Post-FOMC impulse pushed price into ATH territory, followed by a healthy pullback.
No bearish CHoCH confirmed → structure remains bullish continuation, not distribution.
Price is correcting within trend, not reversing.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch
ATH / Premium Reaction: ~5560
FVG 1 (shallow pullback): ~5436
FVG 2 (deeper rebalancing): ~5353
These are reaction zones, not FOMO levels.
🧠 Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Continuation (≈70%)
If price holds above 5436, expect continuation toward new highs after rebalancing.
Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback (≈30%)
If 5436 fails, price may rebalance into 5353 FVG.
Only a clear H1 close below 5353 would weaken the bullish bias.
✅ Summary
FOMC created volatility, not a trend change.
Gold is respecting structure, absorbing liquidity, and preparing for the next leg.
Trade the reaction, not the headline.
Buy pullbacks. Respect structure. Let price confirm.
EURUSD Monthly Rejection ZoneQuick Summary
After the strong rally on EURUSD price appears to have targeted the monthly FVG
This aligns with equal highs located within that zone and This area may support a bearish reaction and continuation of the broader downtrend
The expected move would aim to fill the liquidity void left over the past 10 days
Full Analysis
Following the significant upside move on EURUSD price action suggests that the market was targeting the monthly fair value gap
This scenario is logical as the FVG aligns with equal highs which often acts as a strong liquidity zone
The presence of equal highs within this higher timeframe imbalance increases the probability of a bearish reaction
Such areas commonly attract price before initiating a move in the opposite direction
If price begins to react from this zone the resulting move would form a clear orderflow structure
This orderflow could serve as a strong base for continuation of the broader bearish trend
The main downside objective in this scenario is the liquidity void that EURUSD has left behind over the past 10 consecutive days
That imbalance represents a significant magnet for price and supports the idea of a deeper corrective or trend continuation move
As long as price remains below the monthly reaction zone the bearish outlook remains valid
The focus now is on monitoring price behavior for confirmation that the higher timeframe rejection is holding
USDJPY H4 | Bearish ContinuationThe price has rejected off our sell entry level at 154.04, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 155.20, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 151.66, which is a swing low support.
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“Bearish Price Action Analysis After Rejection at Key ResistanceAfter an extended bullish rally, price has reached a key supply zone where strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a clear rejection from the highs. This rejection signals weakening bullish momentum and the presence of institutional selling at premium prices. The subsequent move lower indicates a bearish corrective phase, with price now heading toward a previously established demand/support zone. Failure to reclaim the prior highs and the formation of lower intraday highs suggest a short-term bearish market structure. If price breaks and closes below the support zone, it would confirm bearish continuation and increase the probability of a deeper pullback. Until then, any upside moves are likely to be corrective rather than impulsive.






















