XAUUSD: Buying Pressure Aims for the $4,260 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold (XAUUSD) setup.
Market Analysis
Gold continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, with price action developing inside a well-defined ascending channel. After the previous impulse move higher, the market entered a consolidation phase below the $4,260 Resistance Zone, where sellers repeatedly defended the level. Earlier, XAUUSD produced a breakout from the upward channel structure and formed a temporary base above the mid-support area near $4,200, confirming that buyers still control the broader trend.
Currently, price is holding above the Triangle Support Line, showing that demand remains active on dips. The recent pullback into the $4,200–$4,190 support area looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that bearish pressure remains limited for now. As long as price stays above this triangle support, the bullish market structure remains valid.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish while XAUUSD holds above the $4,200 Support Zone and respects the Triangle Support Line. I expect price to stabilize in this area and attempt a renewed push toward the $4,260 Resistance Zone, which is the key barrier for continuation.
Therefore, a clean breakout above $4,260 would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion toward higher historical levels. However, if price fails to hold the triangle support and breaks below $4,190–$4,180, this would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a deeper corrective pullback toward the lower channel boundary. For now, the market maintains a long bias, with the main objective being a renewed test and potential breakout of the $4,260 resistance zone.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
M-forex
Gold Bear Flag Ready for a Bullish BreakoutHello everyone, Helene here! XAUUSD is currently showing a more positive outlook as price structure starts shifting into a bullish direction.
The latest market interaction is particularly interesting. We’re seeing an early recovery phase, weakening bearish momentum, and low-volume candles suggesting seller exhaustion. This often acts as an early signal for a potential bullish move developing.
Based on the current pattern, my target is around 4,330 – a reasonable level aligned with the market structure. Should price continue in this direction, the next move could become a beautiful extension of the bullish story in Gold we’ve been following.
This setup looks very appealing. It’s a developing scenario, although it still requires patience and proper confirmation before fully validating the upside.
Even though a bearish scenario is still possible due to the clear support zone below, I personally lean toward additional bullish continuation as the pattern forming here supports that outlook.
Wishing you a successful trading session and the best of luck.
XAU/USD | Gold Testing Key Zones After Hitting Multiple Targets!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price continued its bullish move and successfully reached the targets at $4240, $4250, and $4255, even spiking to $4259 before pulling back. After grabbing liquidity above those levels, gold corrected sharply down to $4192 and is now trading around $4209.
The next supply zones to watch are $4219 to $4244 and $4272 to $4293. Monitor how price reacts to these areas. If gold fails to hold above $4200 within the next 4 hours, we could see a deeper drop toward $4166.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD: The Uptrend Is Gaining Momentum AgainGold traded cautiously yesterday as investors waited for this week’s FOMC meeting. But this very “quiet phase” is building the foundation for a new upward leg, as the fundamental factors still lean strongly toward the Bulls.
1. The Fed Is Nearing a Policy Shift – A Direct Boost for Gold
Lower interest rates are always a key catalyst for gold because the metal does not generate yield. When yields fall, gold immediately becomes more attractive. The market is now almost fully pricing in a potential rate cut from the Fed in early 2025 – a powerful driver for the medium-term uptrend.
2. Central Banks Continue to Buy – A Strong and Steady Support
Despite short-term pullbacks, central bank demand remains consistently strong. These institutions are long-term players, and their continued accumulation helps gold maintain its bullish tone across the entire market.
3. Geopolitical Tensions Stay Elevated – Gold Remains Well Supported
The unified support from the leaders of France, Germany, and the UK for Ukraine in London shows tensions are far from easing. Rising instability → more reasons for gold to stay strong.
4. Technical Outlook
Price is reacting around the strong resistance at 4250, but there is still no significant selling pressure.
Ichimoku shows Kumo providing solid support, with price staying above the cloud – confirming the dominant uptrend.
Current buy setup remains very reasonable:
SL: around 4173
TP: targeting 4253–4260
If price gives a mild retest and bounces, the probability of breaking above 4250 is very high.
Conclusion: The Trend Remains BULLISH
With supportive macro fundamentals + strong technical structure, XAUUSD continues to hold a clear bullish formation. As long as the Fed does not sound too hawkish, gold could easily break above 4250 and head toward higher levels in the coming days.
EURUSD: This Move Wasn’t Accidental…EURUSD MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H
1. Current Price Structure
- EURUSD has completed a full parabolic rounded bottom formation, pushing price back into the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
- After touching the resistance zone (1.16800), price sharply rejected and transitioned into a descending channel, signaling a shift from bullish continuation to correction.
- The recent rally lost momentum, and price is now moving inside a bearish correction channel, confirming that buyers are weakening.
- The circled area shows a failed breakout attempt, followed by strong re-entry inside the bearish channel → classic distribution signal.
2. Liquidity Zones
Resistance Liquidity (1.16800):
Price tapped this level multiple times and got rejected aggressively → liquidity above remains intact, suggesting the market is not ready for a breakout.
Support Liquidity (1.15900):
The support zone below holds significant liquidity — multiple previous wicks show repeated absorption by buyers.
Current structure indicates
Smart money is distributing near resistance and collecting liquidity for a deeper move toward support.
3. Today’s Market Scenario
🔻 Main Scenario – Bearish Correction Toward Support
The price is expected to continue moving inside the descending channel:
Multiple lower highs forming at the top of the channel.
Price likely oscillates sideways with bearish bias, forming repeated LH–LL structures.
Final target of this correction: 1.15900 (support zone).
This aligns perfectly with the red path drawn on your chart:
- Zig-zag correction
- Progressive decline
- Reaching support zone for liquidity sweep.
Unless the resistance zone is broken convincingly, bearish continuation remains the highest-probability scenario.
4. Market Psychology
The chart reflects a classic sentiment shift:
- Before reaching resistance, traders were optimistic due to the strong bullish rally (rounded bottom).
But the sharp rejection at resistance created psychological distribution, where:
-Early buyers take profits
-Late buyers get trapped
- Smart money sells into retail optimism
The descending channel represents controlled selling pressure, not panic — this is strategic distribution.
Price will typically move slowly downward, trapping breakout traders until deeper liquidity at support is reached.
This is textbook smart-money behavior:
Euphoria → Distribution → Controlled Decline → Liquidity Sweep.
5. Intraday Strategy
🔻 Short Bias (High Probability)
Trade with the correction channel.
Entry: Short at the upper boundary of the descending channel (1.16500 – 1.16600).
SL: Above mini-swing high or above channel top (≈ 1.16750).
TP1: 1.16250
TP2: 1.16050
TP3: 1.15900 (major support zone)
🔹 Conservative Strategy
Wait for price to retest 1.16500 and show rejection before shorting.
🔸 Long Setup (Low Probability)
Only consider long if:
Price breaks the descending channel
AND Retests above 1.16650 with strong bullish confirmation.
Target if breakout occurs: 1.16800 – 1.17000.
EURUSD Bearish Outlook After Trendline BreakQuick Summary
After breaking the ascending trendline, EURUSD is expected to continue moving lower. The market may target the previous two lows to collect liquidity, and there is currently no clear buy signal.
Full Analysis
The recent break of the ascending trendline on EURUSD changes the short term outlook and suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper move to the downside. This break indicates weakness in the previous bullish structure and opens the door for the pair to target lower liquidity levels.
Price is likely to continue its decline to sweep at least the last two lows. Whether the intention is to continue the broader downtrend or simply create a deeper correction before moving higher, the immediate expectation remains bearish.
At the moment, there is no strong buy signal. The market has not shown any clear rejection or shift in structure that would support a bullish entry. Until price reaches a meaningful demand zone and shows a convincing reaction, buying would carry unnecessary risk.
EURUSD Short: Supply Holds — Pullback to 1.1610 in FocusHello, traders! The price action on EURUSD is unfolding within a well-defined technical structure shaped by an ascending Trend Line, with the market transitioning from consolidation into a corrective pullback. After a prolonged bullish advance, the pair formed a Head and Shoulders pattern near the upper Supply Zone around 1.16660, signaling exhaustion of buying momentum. Following this distribution phase, price broke below the neckline and started moving lower, showing a clear shift in short-term control toward sellers.
Currently, EURUSD spent time consolidating inside the highlighted Range, where multiple false breakouts occurred before bullish continuation resumed. However, the recent rejection from supply and the breakdown from the pattern suggest that upside momentum is weakening. Currently, the price is trading below the former range support and is approaching the Demand Zone near 1.16100, which also aligns with a key horizontal support level.
My scenario for the next move is a continuation toward the 1.16100 demand area, where buyers may attempt to slow the decline. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a corrective rebound back toward the broken structure. However, if the price fails to hold this demand, the bearish pressure may intensify and open the door for a deeper pullback. As long as the market remains below the 1.16660 supply, the short-term bias stays bearish. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Price Holds Channel Support, Aiming for 1.1680Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD remains in a broader bullish structure, with recent price action developing inside a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the pair broke above the previous consolidation zone and confirmed the breakout with a successful retest of the 1.16100 support zone, which now acts as a key demand area. The market then continued higher, forming higher highs and higher lows along the channel structure.
Currently, price is consolidating below the 1.16800 resistance zone, which represents a major supply area and the upper boundary of the current bullish leg. Despite short-term consolidation, buyers continue to defend the support zone, keeping bullish pressure intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.16100–1.16200 support zone and respects the ascending channel structure. I expect the price to continue pressing toward the 1.16800 resistance, which is the next major target for buyers. A clean and sustained breakout above this resistance would open the way for further upside continuation and new highs.
However, if price fails to break the resistance and shows strong rejection, a short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or back into the support zone is possible. Still, the overall bullish structure remains valid as long as the lower channel boundary holds. For now, the market supports a long bias, with the main objective being a retest of the 1.16800 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 5,871.4.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5,754.1 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) pioneered the pure-play foundry business model and has consistently emerged as a global leader in specialty semiconductor foundries.
The overall trend remains bullish, but the price is currently undergoing a short-term correction. The price is currently in the key support zone of 283-274. If the price can hold above 274, a rebound is likely.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Evening Doji Star Forms at Weekly Resistance on UJAn Evening Doji Star is a Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern that consists of 3 Candlesticks:
1) Large Bullish Candle
2) Doji Candle
3) Large Bearish Candle
The Doji Candle represents indecision in the markets where the Bulls nor the Bears were able to overcome one another.
The last candle being a bearish one suggests that the Bears have successfully taken over and are looking to push price down!
This Candlestick Pattern itself is a strong indication that price is looking to reverse from this Resistance Level at 158 - 156 formed at the end of last year/beginning of this year, but what will also add "fuel to the fire" is if the next candle, being the Confirmation Candle of the pattern turns out to be a bearish one!
If so, I am looking for FX:USDJPY to continue this bearish push down in price to the next Area of Value being at 151 - 148 with a stronger Support Level down at the 141 - 139 where price last visited in April this year.
Fundamentally, USD has a heavily news filled week with Sept. and Oct. JOLTS Job Opening being released, Unemployment Claims, ADP Weekly Employment Change and the Federal Reserve with an 86% chance of Cutting Interest Rates on the 10th.
BOJ is set to Hike Interest Rates the following week, and this, fundamentally, could be the catalyst for the Bearish Reversal we see setting up in technical terms on the charts!
Waiting for the Fed: EURUSD set to explode!When the entire market is focused on the upcoming Fed meeting , EURUSD looks like an athlete that has fully warmed up and is just waiting for the starting whistle. The current context slightly favors the euro, as the Fed is expected to cut rates soon after a series of weakening labor data, while Eurozone GDP and inflation remain relatively stable. With U.S. interest rates trending lower and the ECB not too dovish, conditions are quite supportive for the euro to regain strength against the USD.
On the H4 chart, price has repeatedly bounced from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the Ichimoku cloud, showing that the main trend is still upward. The area around 1.1630 acts as a near support level, aligning with the trendline and the upper edge of the cloud, meaning any pullback here is more of a buying opportunity rather than a reversal signal.
The preferred scenario is that if price holds above 1.1630 and forms a strong bullish candle, EURUSD may continue climbing towards 1.1680, which is the previous high and a short-term resistance zone. In short, with both fundamentals and technicals aligned, the sensible strategy right now is to wait for a retest of support to buy with the trend, instead of trying to call a top in a market still driven by bullish fundamentals .
Gold Surges Strongly but Fails to Maintain MomentumHello everyone, the recent movement of gold reflects a market heavily influenced by “news-driven support overshadowed by selling pressure.” XAUUSD made an impressive breakout to 4,237 USD/ounce — the highest level in six weeks — as safe-haven flows returned on geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Fed will continue its rate-cut cycle. But only hours later, profit-taking rushed in, sending gold down more than 30 USD and pulling the metal back to the 4,207 USD region this morning.
This weakness mainly stems from improving risk sentiment: US equities rebounded, with the S&P 500 turning green and the Nasdaq pushing higher as tech stocks led the move. Japanese markets also stabilised as bonds cooled, reducing demand for safety. And with the DXY climbing to 99.18, downward pressure on gold became even more evident — a stronger USD rarely favours the precious metal.
From a technical perspective, the 4,180–4,190 FVG zone helped lift price again after the sharp drop, but gold remains capped beneath the upper FVG resistance. The Ichimoku cloud on the 2H timeframe shows price approaching the Kijun–Senkou intersection — an area that historically attracts selling pressure. This keeps the current price action more aligned with a supply retest rather than the beginning of a genuine bullish trend.
In summary, gold is facing an important test. The 4,235–4,245 region remains the key barrier: a breakout could quickly extend momentum toward 4,260–4,285, while another rejection could push XAUUSD back toward 4,190 to collect liquidity before deciding on its next direction.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Holds — Price Aiming for $4,260 RetestHello, traders! The current price action on GOLD (XAUUSD) is developing within a clearly defined ascending channel, showing that the broader bullish structure remains intact despite recent corrective movements. Earlier, the market formed a Double Top pattern near the upper Supply Zone around $4,260, which triggered a bearish reaction and a downside breakout from that distribution phase. After this rejection, price moved into a corrective decline, respecting the Triangle Supply and Demand lines, where multiple breakouts confirmed increasing volatility and active participation from both buyers and sellers. Following the corrective phase, Gold reached a key Pivot Point near the lower Triangle Demand Line, where strong buying interest appeared and initiated a bullish reversal. From this base, price broke back above resistance and entered the current Ascending Channel, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, XAUUSD is consolidating near the $4,190–$4,200 Demand Zone, where buyers are actively defending the structure. The market is holding above channel support, suggesting that bullish momentum is stabilizing after the pullback.
My scenario remains bullish as long as price stays above the highlighted Demand Zone around $4,180–$4,190 and continues to respect the lower boundary of the ascending channel. I expect Gold to gradually build momentum and attempt another move toward the $4,260 Resistance level, which represents the next major target and the top of the recent supply area. A confident breakout above this zone would signal trend continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a failure to hold current demand could trigger a deeper correction back toward the lower channel area. For now, the structure favors buyers, with $4,260 as the main upside objective. Manage your risk!
AUDCAD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCAD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9195
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.9182
Safe Stop Loss - 0.9202
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD | Further drop for gold? (READ THE CAPTION) Good morning folks, Amirali here with another analysis on Gold.
As you can clearly see, BSL was taken and a pool of liquidity now awaits above the 4264.50 level, exactly below the lower part of the FVG, at 4272.50 level.
Gold also reached the $4174 FVG (in a lower timeframe) and then surged to $4186 level before dropping and now is being traded at 4176 level.
There's an old NDOG at $4164.50 level which I expect a reaction from Gold to it. Just below this NDOG, there's an IFVG in 4111-4159 zone which I believe after the reaction to $4164 level, Gold might drop there and will react to it.
Sincerely, Amirali
XAU/USD | A free fall or an bullish attempt? (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see, Gold has been moving on a range recently, with no clear intention as to where it is headed. A possible scenario could be dropping down to the 4164 NDOG and then an uptrend move above the pool of liquidity above 4265 and the 4272 FVG.
However if it fails to make a move at that level, it'll drop further to 4111-4159 IFVG, which then I expect it to bounce back and go up again. However, if it fails to make a move then, we will witness a free fall of Gold.
Let's see what happens.
The Transformation Every Trader Must Make!!!Every trader begins with the same goal: “I want to make money.”
But the traders who last, the ones who grow, evolve, and eventually become consistent, go through a quiet transformation:
They shift from thinking about money...
to thinking about probability, structure, and process.
Here’s the transformation in three stages:
1️⃣From Outcome-Driven → Process-Driven
Beginners measure success by whether a trade wins or loses.
Professionals measure success by whether they followed their plan.
- Because a good trade can lose.
- And a bad trade can win.
- Confusing the two destroys growth.
Your job is not to win every trade!
Your job is to execute with integrity.
2️⃣From Prediction → Preparation
Beginners try to guess where the market will go.
They draw a level… then hope.
Professionals don’t predict, they prepare.
They plan both sides:
- If price does X, I do Y.
- If price breaks Z, I step aside.
- If the structure shifts, I adapt.
Prediction feeds the ego.
Preparation feeds the account.
3️⃣From Emotional → Probabilistic Thinking
Beginners think every trade is “the one.”
Professionals think in sample sizes.
- One trade means nothing.
- Five trades mean nothing.
- Fifty trades reveal the truth.
When you think probabilistically:
- Fear shrinks.
- Confidence grows.
- Discipline becomes natural.
Because now you see the market for what it is:
a place where anything can happen, but certain behaviors win over time.
📚 The Real Lesson
Trading becomes easier when you stop trying to force results and start building a process that produces results over the long run.
The market doesn’t reward intensity.
It rewards consistency, clarity, and adaptability.
Your transformation begins the moment you shift from:
“I need this trade to win”
to
“I need to follow my plan.”
That’s when you stop gambling… and start trading.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD – The Silent but Dangerous Upside Force!Gold is showing a truly silent climb , with price edging higher as the USD slips to its lowest level in five weeks . With markets almost certain that the Fed will cut rates on December 9–10 , capital is gradually shifting toward safe-haven assets. What is interesting here is that gold is rising quietly, as if the market is waiting for one more confirmation before a stronger move.
On the chart, XAUUSD is trading inside a compression pattern , forming higher lows and repeatedly bouncing from the lower rising trendline. Each time price approaches 4,246–4,250, sellers appear, yet the pullbacks remain shallow, showing that selling pressure is weak and buyers are still in control.
Strategy for now:
– Prefer waiting for a pullback toward 4,205–4,210
– Look for a clear bullish reaction
– Short-term target: 4,240–4,250
As long as gold holds above the rising trendline and does not break below 4,200, this remains a phase of accumulation before a potential breakout , rather than a reversal. Gold may not be rising aggressively, but it is rising with intention – and that is often the most important type of trend to pay attention to.
EUR/USD: Breakout Above Flag Signals Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has confirmed renewed bullish momentum after breaking above both the descending trendline and flag formation, following a strong defense of the higher-low zone near channel support. Price reclaimed the mid-range, showing clear buyer strength and favoring continuation.
As long as the pair stays above the 1.1640 support area, upside toward the 1.1700 resistance band remains likely. A clean break beyond this zone could extend the move further within the ascending channel, with shallow dips expected to be absorbed.
➡️ Primary scenario: structure holds → continuation toward 1.1700.
❗️ Risk scenario: break below channel support could trigger a deeper pullback.
GBP/USD | Get Ready for a Huge Fall ! (Bearish Move Ahead)By analyzing the #GBPUSD chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price followed the previous analysis perfectly and rallied more than 200 pips, reaching the 1.338 zone. After that strong move, GBPUSD pulled back and is now trading around 1.33080.
If price breaks below the 1.33050 zone, I expect a much deeper bearish move to follow.
This analysis will be updated soon.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/USD | A bullish run incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)Hello everyone, Amirali here.
As you can see, GBPUSD managed to go through the supply zone before dropping all the way down below the supply zone. Now we have to wait and see how it reacts to 1.32850-1.32920 FVG zone. If it bounces back up, we can see GBPUSD challenging the supply zone again and if it goes through, reaching to 1.34000 is possibe. If it fails to hold above, a drop to 1.32660 is likely to happen.
EURUSD | Pullback From Supply Zone,Bearish Scenario Still ActiveBy analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed into the 1.168 supply zone exactly as expected and immediately faced strong selling pressure. This drop pushed EURUSD down to 1.1616, and it is now trading around 1.16345.
If EURUSD can stay below 1.165 during the next 12 hours, we can expect a deeper bearish move from this pair.
This scenario fails only if price breaks and holds above 1.168. Monitor the reaction closely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















