US DOLLAR UPDATE DXYDXY — Rangebound but Firm: 98.19 Holds the Line
Dollar holds steady inside Friday’s range — a quiet coil before the macro rotation.
🧭 Context
The Dollar spent Monday trapped between Friday’s high and low, liquidating the upper wick at 98.190 before closing back within range.
Price currently sits near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (98.123), keeping the bullish range intact but unconfirmed.
The market is balanced, not directional — patience is the edge here.
📊 Technical Map
Structure: Price remains inside a clean bullish range with a volume imbalance still unfilled near 97.436.
Momentum: Mildly bullish but range-dependent — upward bias, no breakout confirmation yet.
Key Levels:
Support → 97.672 / 97.436
Pivot → 98.123
Resistance → 98.190 / 98.420
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
This week’s key drivers: PMI flash, GDP (Thu), and PCE inflation (Fri) — all high-impact data that will steer the Fed narrative.
Yields remain firm but cooling; risk appetite mixed as traders await fresh growth signals.
Without new inflation pressure, the Dollar likely stays rotational within its higher-timeframe band until late-week catalysts.
🎯 Plan
Primary: Avoid midrange noise. Best setups are at range extremes — 97.6 support and 98.2 resistance.
Execution Filter: Wait for volume expansion or 1H close confirmation before breakout engagement.
Alternative: Failure to hold 98.12 reopens imbalance toward 97.43; a break above 98.19 invites continuation to 98.4–98.6.
⚠️ Risk / Alt
Range = noise. Stay tactical. High-frequency trades only until volatility expands.
🧠 Mindset Pulse
“In dull markets, discipline is the premium asset — not conviction.”
Professionals don’t chase noise; they preserve readiness.
