MARKETS week ahead: October 26 – November 1Last week in the news
The US September inflation data lifted market expectations on Fed rate cuts at the next FOMC meeting. This also shaped market sentiment, bringing the S&P 500 to its newest all time highest level for this year, at 6.807. At the same time, decreased investors' fears moved the price of gold to short term correction, where gold is closing the week at $4.112. The US Treasuries are gearing up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, where 10Y benchmark is holding grounds around 4%. This week the crypto market was again left behind, with BTC closing the week modestly above the $111K.
U.S. inflation data were in the spotlight last week. Figures released on Friday showed a 0.3% increase in consumer prices for September, bringing the annual inflation rate to 3.0%. The monthly figure came in slightly below the 0.4% forecast. Core inflation also showed signs of cooling, rising 0.2% in September and 3.0% year-on-year. Friday’s data release also included the University of Michigan’s final Consumer Sentiment Index for October, which came in at 53.6, below the expected 55.0. Meanwhile, five-year inflation expectations edged up to 3.9%, from 3.7% posted previously. This week, both the ECB and the Federal Reserve will hold policy meetings to discuss potential changes in interest rates. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, October 29th, followed by the ECB meeting on October 30th. Given the easing U.S. inflation and some signs of a softer labour market, investors have increased their expectations for another 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 96% probability of a cut. In contrast, a Reuters survey indicates that market participants do not expect any policy change from the ECB at its upcoming meeting.
Amazon’s cloud division, Amazon Web Services (AWS), suffered a major global outage on October 20th, affecting thousands of apps, websites, and services worldwide, including e-commerce. The root cause was traced to internal monitoring/load-balancer issues in the US-EAST-1 data centre region, causing extensive service disruptions. Despite the outage, Amazon’s shares rose around 1.6% on the day, suggesting the market viewed the event as manageable rather than catastrophic.
High economic officials from the US and China met in Kuala Lumpur on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit, aiming at paving the way for the upcoming summit between Presidents of both countries, and avoiding a re-escalation of the trade war.
Kyrgyzstan has launched a new national stablecoin, KGST, pegged 1:1 to its currency, and has legally recognised its central-bank digital currency (CBDC) ahead of pilot public-sector payments. The country is also building a broader crypto infrastructure, including setting up a national cryptocurrency reserve (which holds assets like BNB), partnering with Binance Academy for university programmes, and collaborating on smart-contract development.
CRYPTO MARKET
Investors' fear is slowly fading on financial markets, but the crypto market was a bit left behind the traditional ones. As investors weighed US September inflation, it increased their prospectus that the Fed might cut interest rates next week. The US equity markets gained, while the crypto market is still holding with only modest weekly gains, still waiting to regain their previous valuations. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 4% during the week, adding $157B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were again increased, to the level of $431B on a daily basis, from previous weeks $295B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +15%, with a total funds inflow of $497B.
Major crypto coins participated with 70% in the total crypto market capitalization increase during the previous week. BTC managed to regain some of its strength, adding $95B to its market cap, increasing it by almost 4,5%. ETH had a smaller gain of 2,3% w/w, adding $10B to the market cap. However, this week the shining coin was XRP, with a significant increase in value of 12,6% and a gain of $17,7B in market cap. Solana was also traded higher by 5,7%, while BNB gained 2,7% w/w. ZCash continues to be in the spotlight of the crypto market. This week ZEC closed the week by 30% higher from the end of the previous week.
There has been a modest activity with coins in circulation. This week Solana added 0,5% new coins to the market. IOTA had an increase of circulating coins by 0,7%, while DASH, Stellar, XRP and ZEC increased the number of coins in circulation by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market rebounded modestly over the past week, as both BTC and ETH futures advanced across maturities. The recovery followed two consecutive weeks of declines, indicating that sentiment has stabilized and buyers have cautiously re-entered the market. Gains were broad-based but measured, suggesting that traders remain selective amid a still-fragile macro backdrop.
BTC futures rose between 3.60% and 3.81% w/w, marking the first positive week since late September. The October 2025 futures closed at $110,740, while the March 2027 maturity ended at $120,815. The curve retained its characteristic upward slope, signalling that investors continue to anticipate firmer prices over the medium term. The moderate rebound, following a steep decline in prior weeks, suggests that confidence is gradually returning, although momentum remains contained.
ETH futures posted a smaller but steady recovery, gaining between 2.43% and 2.59% w/w. The October 2025 futures closed at $3,934, while March 2027 settled at $4,375. The move kept ETH comfortably above the $3,900 threshold.
Overall, the week’s performance points to a short-term recovery phase in crypto futures, supported by the market’s resilience in holding key technical levels. While caution still prevails, the consistent upward slope of both BTC and ETH futures curves continues to indicate longer-term optimism among market participants.
Marketoverview
MARKETS week ahead: October 20 - 26Last week in the news
Fear was a predominant sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The price of gold is clearly pointing to this for the last nine weeks. Gold reached another all time highest level on Friday at $4.380, but swiftly reverted back toward the $4.250K. The US equity markets were traded in a mixed manner. The S&P 500 managed to add 0,53% on Friday, but generally closed another red week. The crypto market was marked by another sell-off during the week, with BTC managing to close the week around the $107K level. US Treasuries were holding relatively steady, with a 10Y testing the 4,0% level.
The US Government continues to be in the status of “shutdown” in which sense, there is still lacking major economic data on the US economy. The US President posted on social media on Friday that the 100% tariffs on imports from China is not sustainable, improving a bit of market sentiment. The Fed Chair Powell was a speaker at the National Association of Business Economists (NABE), noting that the weakening job market is pointing to a need for another rate cut. This news was also positively perceived by markets.
Financial markets are sounding alarm bells over the increasing exposure of U.S. banks to risky borrowers, particularly through loans extended to non-depository financial institutions (NDFIs) such as sub-prime lenders, private credit firms and other “shadow” financial vehicles. The fear is that what is currently viewed as isolated defaults could evolve into a broader spill-over effect, where losses at NDFIs ripple back to banks, triggering funding stress, tighter credit conditions, and perhaps wider systemic instability. This alarm was raised after Zions bank announced that it has press allegations to one of its NDFI customers due to false documentation. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon added fuel with a simple comment “When you see one cockroach, there are probably more”.
Apple has concluded a five-year exclusive U.S. media rights agreement with Formula 1, starting in 2026, under which Apple TV will become the sole U.S. broadcaster of all F1 races, including practice sessions, qualifying, sprint events and Grand Prix. The deal is reportedly worth around US$140 million per year which is significantly higher than the previous deal held by ESPN.
S&P Global delivered a surprise downgrade of France’s long-term credit rating on Friday, cutting it from AA⁻ / A-1+ to A⁺ / A-1. The move reflects growing skepticism over the French government’s ability to maintain fiscal discipline amid political turbulence. The agency underscored that recent instability, including a suspended pension reform and two no-confidence votes against Prime Minister Lécuronu, deepens uncertainty around France’s budget trajectory. S&P warned that this uncertainty could weigh on investment, consumer spending, and economic growth.
CRYPTO MARKET
Another week on the crypto market ended in red. Fear is the dominant feeling among investors, which is shaping their appetite for risk assets. There are a lot of uncertainties which were additionally heated by the news over a new potential banking crisis due to lending to NDFIs. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 4% as of the end of the week, decreasing its value level by $132B. This week daily trading volumes returned to relatively usual ones, around $295B, which was a significant decrease from $986B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +11%, with a total funds inflow of $340B.
BTC was the coin which led to a total crypto market cap decrease. As of the end of the week BTC lost $103B in value or 4,65% w/w. On the other hand, ETH was holding relatively stable, constantly trying to hold to the $4K level. Still, ETH is ending the week at a modest plus of 1,3%. During the previous period ZCash had a strong growth, however, during the previous week the value of this coin dropped by 26,3% w/w. Avalanche was traded down by 11,5%, BNB lost 7,8%, Filecoin dropped by 10%. There were a few coins which managed to end the week in green. Among them are Maker, who gained 12,6% w/w, OMG Network was traded higher by 11,7%, Theta was up by 7,6%.
Increased activity continues with coins in circulation. Filecoin traditionally is increasing its number of coins on the market, however, this week FILs number of coins dropped by 0,3%. On the opposite side was Avalanche, which increased its number of coins on the market by 1,0%. ADA, DOGE, BNB, SOL and ZCash increased their number of circulating coins by 0,1% each.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market extended its decline over the past week, as both BTC and ETH futures posted broad-based losses across maturities. The correction followed continued risk aversion in the spot market, though the pace of decline moderated compared to the previous week’s sharp sell-off.
BTC futures retreated between -8.64% and -8.82% w/w, reflecting another week of downside pressure across the curve. The October 2025 futures closed at $106,675, while the March 2027 maturity ended at $116,430. The curve remained upward-sloping, suggesting that despite current weakness, investors continue to price in a gradual recovery in the medium to longer term. However, the consistent losses across maturities indicate that near-term sentiment remains cautious.
ETH futures also moved lower, though with smaller declines compared to BTC, falling between -4.24% and -4.34% w/w. The October 2025 futures closed at $3,837, while March 2027 settled at $4,270. The fact that ETH futures continue to hold above the $3,800–$4,000 range reflects a measure of resilience, as traders maintain confidence in ETH’s relative strength despite the broader market softness.
While the overall tone remains defensive, the more moderate losses in ETH and the persistent upward slope of both BTC and ETH curves suggest that futures markets still view the recent downturn as a corrective phase rather than a fundamental shift in trend direction.
MARKETS week ahead: October 13 - 19Last week in the news
Tariffs 2.0 are again moving markets to the negative territory. Investors weighed how much negative impact they could impose on the U.S. economy and on Friday's trading session closed the S&P 500 2,71% lower. A massive selloff was also triggered on the crypto market, where the majority of altcoins lost even 70%-90% in value within only a few hours. BTC shortly dropped to the level of $105K, but ended the week above the $112K. The U.S. Treasury benchmark yields dropped to the level of 4,0%. The only asset which continues to benefit from market uncertainty is the price of gold, which for one more time reached the all-time highest level at $4.050.
The U.S. Government continues to be in the state of “shutdown” for more than 10 days now, so there are still no releases of important U.S. macro data. However, the announcements on social networks from the U.S. President continue to shake markets. In Tariffs 2.0, started on Friday, he announced a potential 100% tariffs on imports from China. This was the moment when the significant sell off started of the US equities, while investors were weighing how much impact a 100% tariffs could have on the US economy. Tech companies were the ones hit the most negatively.
The story regarding Berkshire Hathaway selling US stocks and stockpiling cash was catching market attention during this year. Its founder Warren Buffet recently noted that he is ready to invest and is investing into Japanese stock. During the previous week, CNBC posted news that Berkshire Hathaway's investments in Japan's five major trading houses—Itochu, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, and Sumitomo—have surpassed $30 billion, reflecting Warren Buffett's long-term commitment to these diversified conglomerates. These holdings have become Berkshire's largest non-U.S. equity positions, with a combined market value of $23.5 billion at the end of 2024.Buffett has praised the trading houses for their shareholder-friendly policies and capital deployment strategies. He has also implemented a currency-neutral strategy by issuing yen-denominated bonds to hedge against exchange rate fluctuations. Berkshire's annual dividend income from these investments is projected to be around $812 million. Despite some fluctuations in share prices, these investments align with Buffett's preference for long-term, value-oriented opportunities in stable, diversified businesses.
Apple is reportedly nearing an agreement to acquire Prompt AI, an artificial intelligence start-up specializing in talent management technology. This move aligns with Apple's broader strategy to bolster its AI capabilities, as CEO Tim Cook has expressed openness to acquisitions that accelerate the company's AI roadmap. The acquisition would enhance Apple's AI infrastructure, complementing its previous integrations such as the partnership with Alibaba to introduce AI features in iPhones sold in China.
CRYPTO MARKET
Tough week for the crypto market. The third largest selloff occurred on Friday. News are reporting that in the largest crypto liquidation event to date, over 1,000 wallets on Hyperliquid were completely wiped out, and 6,300 others are now in the red, with 205 losing more than $1 million each. Triggered by President Trump's announcement of additional tariffs on Chinese imports, the sell-off erased over $1.23 billion in trader capital on Hyperliquid and $19 billion across the broader crypto market within 24 hours. The majority of liquidations were long positions, highlighting the market's bullish sentiment prior to the downturn. Similar situation is also with other crypto exchanges. It was a massive, completely unexpected event.
Total crypto market capitalization is closing the week 10% lower from the end of the previous week, with an outflow of $398B. Daily trading volumes were more than doubled as of the end of the week, trading around $986B on Friday, while the week before was closed with total turnover of $386B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +15%, with a total funds inflow of $472B.
The week of extremes led to a significant drop in value of the majority of coins. BTC lost almost 8% w/w, with total funds outflow of $194B. ETH lost more, with a drop in value of 14,3% and funds outflow of 77%. All major altcoins were also on a losing side. Just to mention some like Solana, with a drop of 19%, XRP was down by 16%, ADA dropped by 22%, DOGE decreased its value by more than 22%. Interestingly, ZCash continued to significantly gain in strength, second week in a row, adding additional 73% to its value. DASH was another rare coin, which managed to gain 34% on a weekly basis. For some reason, BNB managed to stay intact during this selloff, actually increasing its value by 2,6% on a weekly basis.
There has also been significantly increased activity with coins in circulation. BTC increased its numbers of coins on the market by 0,1% w/w or 10.000 coins. Solana also added 0,2% new coins to the market, while Filecoin increased its circulating coins by 1,2% this week. DASH, Stellar and ZCash added 0,1% new coins to the market.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market softened over the week, though the correction remained relatively moderate compared to the sharp sell-off that struck the spot market on Friday. Both BTC and ETH futures declined along the curve but retained levels that continue to signal underlying confidence in longer-term valuations.
BTC futures fell between -5,08% and -5,4% w/w, with the largest losses observed in futures maturing through late 2025. The October futures closed at $116.990, while March 2027 at $127.635. Despite the pullback, prices remained comfortably above recent support levels, and the curve preserved its gradual upward slope. The relative stability in longer-dated maturities suggests that traders continue to anticipate higher BTC valuations over the medium term one.
ETH futures experienced a steeper adjustment, declining between -11,7% and -12% w/w across maturities. The October 2025 futures ended the week at $4.007, while March 2027 closed at $4.460. Even with the broader market weakness, ETH futures continued to trade above the psychologically important $4K mark, underscoring resilience in expectations for the coin's longer-term trajectory.
As a conclusion to recent developments on the crypto spot market, it should be noted that while the Friday spot market sell-off was both sudden and stronger than anticipated, futures prices did not fully mirror the decline. This divergence indicates that market participants may view the move as temporary rather than structural, maintaining confidence that current weakness could prove to be a short-lived phase within the broader recovery trend.
MARKETS week ahead: October 6 - 12Last week in the news
Despite the federal government “shutdown” delaying key economic data, equity investors pushed markets higher, seemingly focusing more on earnings and tech optimism than macro news. The S&P 500 reached the new all-time highest level at 6.750, despite some pullback on week-end. The government shutdown increased demand for both real and alternative safe-haven assets, in which sense gold reached new highest levels at $3.894, while the price of BTC was also pushed toward levels above the $123K. The US Treasury yields are waging a potential Fed rate cut in October, closing the week at 4,11%.
The most important macro indicators, NFP and Unemployment data for September have not been posted during the week, due to the US government “shutdown”. The event was triggered by Congress’s failure to pass a funding bill. Over 800,000 workers were left unpaid, and many agencies scaled back operations. With no agreement so far, the shutdown continues and there’s currently no announced date for when Congress will pass the funding bill.
The value of Palantir fell around 7,5% during the previous week after an internal U.S. Army memo flagged “fundamental security” flaws in a battlefield communications system. The memo states the system lacks proper access controls, logging, and verification of software integrity, and that third-party applications integrated into it carry severe vulnerabilities. Palantir disputed the claims, saying the issues were addressed and that no vulnerabilities were found in its core platform; they argued the memo reflected an outdated snapshot of the project.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, speaking at Italian Tech Week in Turin, Italy, warned that a market pullback is likely ahead, probably within the period of next two years. He noted that current valuations appear stretched and urged investors to prepare for increased volatility. Despite the recent rally in equities, Solomon expressed doubts about its long-term sustainability. His comments reflect broader concerns about overheated markets and rising downside risks.
Quantum computing is becoming a key focus for investors as companies like Rigetti Computing and D-Wave gain attention for their advances in quantum hardware and algorithms. The technology promises transformative potential across sectors—from finance to materials science—and is seen as a frontier for long-term growth. Investors are closely watching which firms will emerge as leaders in the race to build scalable, fault-tolerant quantum systems. As the hype evolves into practical breakthroughs, market sentiment could shift rapidly around these quantum names.
Robinhood has begun listing Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed preferred shares, including STRC, opening up new structured yield products for retail investors. These instruments aim to offer monthly dividends with varying risk profiles, bridging traditional finance and crypto investment.
Walmart-backed fintech OnePay plans to let users buy, hold, and convert Bitcoin and Ether in its finance app by year-end. The crypto features will be powered by infrastructure from Zerohash, aligning OnePay with platforms like Venmo, Cash App, and PayPal.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market saw strong momentum last week, shaped by weaker private-sector jobs data and ongoing political uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown, both of which fueled appetite for risk assets. Analysts noted that recent gains across digital assets appear to be driven by genuine institutional inflows and long-term holder accumulation, rather than speculative leverage. Overall, crypto markets reflected increased confidence in the sector's resilience during uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% for the week, adding total $373B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $350B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +27%, with a total funds inflow of $870B.
Major coins surged strongly during the week, however, the absolute winner of the week was ZCash. This coin surged by an incredible 200% in one moment, however, ending the week with an increased price of 156% w/w. Such a strong demand for this coin was impacted by a launch of a ZCash Trust for accredited investors by Grayscale fund, framing ZEC as a privacy-focused Bitcoin analog. The rising demand for privacy in the face of surveillance and CBDC discussions pushed renewed attention to ZCash's zero-knowledge proof technology. Back to majors - BTC and ETH performed extremely well during the week, where both had a surge of more than 11%. BTC attracted $246B of fresh funds flow, while ETH gained $54B. Solana managed to add 12% to its value, while BNB gained 17.8% w/w. DASH was another coin with great performance of +43% during the week. Almost all altcoins mark a green week.
Considering circulating coins, Solana, Stellar and Filecoins increased the number of their coins on the market by 0,3% each, during the week. Algorand, XRP, DASH and DOGE increased their coins by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market advanced strongly over the week, as both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent gains across the curve. Sentiment among traders turned more constructive, supported by renewed demand for longer-dated contracts.
BTC futures rose between 11,6% and 12,63% w/w, with the sharpest gains concentrated in the near-term maturities. Contracts maturing in October 2025 led the advance, closing at $123.635. Prices followed a steadily upward trajectory along the curve, reaching $134.470 for March 2027. This marked the highest level ever recorded for BTC futures, underscoring the growing confidence in longer-term instruments.
ETH futures also posted broad-based increases, rising between 11,95% and 12,26% across maturities. October 2025 closed the week at $4.553, while March 2027 settled at $5.054. Despite the solid performance, ETH futures did not reach new highs, with the peak of $5.347 still standing from August this year. The curve nonetheless retained its upward slope, pointing to sustained expectations of gradual recovery.
MARKETS week ahead: September 29 – October 7Last week in the news
U.S. PCE data for August were in the spotlight of investors interest during the previous week, which shaped investors sentiment and trading decisions. The US equity markets modestly corrected, where S&P 500 touched the lowest level at 6.565, however ended the week at 6.643. The price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3.790, but eased till the end of the week to $3.760. The US yields also reacted to PCE data, with a move toward the 4,18% level. The crypto market had a corrective week, where BTC dipped down toward levels below the $110K.
The key U.S. economic release of the week was the August PCE Price Index, which rose 0.3% month-over-month, bringing the annual rate to 2.7%, in line with market expectations. Core PCE, excluding food and energy, slowed to 0.2% for the month and 2.9% y/y. Personal income rose by 0.4%, while personal spending increased by 0.6% in August. In addition, the final Q2 GDP growth rate came in at 3.8%, beating expectations of 3.3% and reflecting strong economic momentum. As per CME Fed WatchTool investors are continuing to perceive two more rate cuts till the end of this year.
The US President Trump proposed a 100% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals effective October 1, but allowed exemptions for companies that had begun building U.S. manufacturing plants. The tariff does not apply to companies that are actively building US drug manufacturing plants. The rationale is to incentivize onshoring of pharmaceutical production and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Several European pharma firms, like Novo Nordisk, Roche, and Novartis, saw stock declines, as investors weighed how exposed they would be to the tariff.
News is reporting that Chinese stocks have posted strong gains this year, fueled largely by renewed foreign and domestic investor interest in tech, AI, and innovation sectors. Analysts highlight the market’s momentum being driven by policies supporting chip development, optimism over regulation, and favorable valuations that are attracting capital. Foreign investment flows into Chinese equities have increased, while domestic investors are reallocating toward secular growth themes over property or stimulus plays. Still, concerns remain over narrow market breadth, lofty valuations, and whether the rally can sustain itself amid global uncertainty.
The U.S. government is reportedly considering a mandate that would force semiconductor companies to produce as many chips domestically as they import, a 1:1 production-to-import ratio, to reduce reliance on foreign supply. Under this plan, firms that fail to meet the ratio over time could face tariffs (possibly up to 100 %). To ease the transition, companies that pledge to build domestic capacity would receive credits, allowing them to import while new plants are constructed. The proposal is part of a broader push to reshore chip manufacturing, though critics note the complexity and cost involved in aligning global supply chains under such a rule.
CRYPTO MARKET
As per news reports, it seems that large investors decided to offload part of their crypto holdings during the previous week. The offload was followed with higher level of liquidations of leveraged position, which added to total crypto market capitalization decreased during the previous week of 6%, or $251B. However, analysts are noting that this drop should not be perceived as negative development, but a necessary catalyst for future move toward the upside. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $326B on a daily basis, from $241B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B.
It was a correction week for the majority of crypto coins. The largest coin, BTC lost 5,5% in value or $128B in funds outflow. ETH also went through a correction of 10,2% on a weekly basis, signalling investors caution in the altcoin market. From other major coins, XRP finished the week 6,7% lower from the week before, while market favorite Solana, was traded lower by around 15% from the end of the previous week. BNB went through a week relatively solid with a minor drop in value of 2,7% w/w. Most other leading coins such as Cardano, DOGE, Polkadot or Uniswap suffered double-digit losses, underscoring a broadly bearish week across the crypto sector. On the opposite side, ZCash should be especially mentioned, as this coin managed to increase its value by 10%, which was indeed a rarity during the previous week.
When it comes to circulating coins, increased activity was also evident in this field. Polkadot managed to increase the number of coins on the market by 0,6%, while Filecoins added by 0,3% new coins to the market. The majority of other altcoins added around 0,1% of new coins to circulation.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market experienced a turbulent week, reflecting the broader correction that swept across the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent declines across all maturities, underscoring cautious sentiment among traders and institutional investors.
BTC futures fell between 4,78% and 5,5% w/w, with contracts maturing in January 2026 leading the decline. Prices still followed an upward trajectory along the curve, beginning with $109.195 for September 2025, climbing to $119.875 for March 2027. This week marked the first time March 2027 futures were traded, signalling growing demand for longer-term instruments despite short-term weakness.
ETH futures registered steeper losses of 9,2% to 11,2%. Regardless of negative developments on the spot market, ETH futures managed to hold above the $4K mark. December 2026 closed the week at $4.428, while first time trading March 2027 closed the week at $5.502. Despite the consistent declines, ETH futures exhibited an upward-sloping curve, highlighting expectations of gradual recovery over the long run.
MARKETS week ahead: September 21 – 27Last week in the news
The first Fed rate cut this year occurred during the previous week. The FOMC meeting was the most important event which was closely watched by investors and also with high sentiment. The Fed fulfilled market expectations, and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. This move was highly welcomed by markets. The S&P 500 reached a new all time highest level at 6.665 points. The price of spot gold also had its move toward fresh new historically highest levels at $3.705, following the weakening of the US Dollar. Although the 10Y US benchmark yields reached their lowest level at 4.0%, still they bounced back after the Fed`s decision, toward 4.14% driven by stronger GDP forecasts, slightly higher inflation, and concerns over growing government debt issuance. The crypto market was relatively steady during the week, with BTC holding strongly above the $116K.
The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point cut to its key interest rate, the first reduction this year. In a press conference after the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the decision and its broader implications. He acknowledged that President Trump's tariffs are starting to raise some prices, though their full impact on inflation and economic activity remains uncertain. Powell also noted that the tight U.S. labour market is more affected by slowing immigration than by trade policies. Regarding housing, he suggested the rate cut is unlikely to significantly shift the market. While he described the move as modest, saying it likely won’t make a huge difference to the economy, Powell emphasized that the Fed is “not on a pre-set path”, leaving future cuts dependent on evolving data.
Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, acquiring about 4% of the company and triggering a strategic partnership to jointly develop custom chips for data centers and PCs. Intel’s shares jumped around 30% on the news, marking their biggest single day gain since 1987. Under the deal, Intel will build Nvidia-custom x86 CPUs and integrate Nvidia’s GPU chiplets into system-on-chips for PCs, while also employing Nvidia’s NVLink technology to better connect their architectures. Analysts say this could be a turning point for Intel, boosting investor confidence and helping strengthen its competitive position in the AI and high-performance computing sectors.
Once a leader in e-commerce, Alibaba is now leaning heavily into artificial intelligence, rolling out a multibillion dollar AI transformation with investments of more than $3,3 billion in AI technology. The company believes that its future growth will depend more on data, automation, and algorithmic efficiency than on its traditional online retail business. This overhaul reflects shifting strategy under pressure from slowing sales growth and intensified competition. Alibaba hopes that embracing AI will help it streamline operations, find new revenue streams, and stay relevant in China’s hypercompetitive tech landscape.
CRYPTO MARKET
As investors switched their focus to the FOMC meeting and Feds rate cut during the previous week, the crypto market was a bit left behind investors focus. The total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 1%, with an outflow of $55B. It could be concluded that the crypto market remained flat during the week. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $241B, from $298B previously traded. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B.
BTC closed the week flat compared to the week before, still moving around the $116K level. The majority of altcoins went into a short price correction. ETH had a weekly drop of 5,3%, with funds outflow of $30,6B. Among higher weekly losers were Uniswap, with a drop in value of 11%, Algorand was traded down by 9% and Filecoin dropped by 7,2%. Among market favorites, Solana had a modest drop in value of 1,9%, while DOGE surprisingly lost 12,5% in value. XRP and Litecoin had a modest drop of 5%. On the opposite side was BNB who managed to increase its value by 6,4% w/w, while Monero was traded higher by 3,9%. Avalanche should be mentioned as the coin surged by 9,1% during the week.
There has been modestly increased activity with coins in circulation. This is the second week in a row that IOTA is increasing the number of circulating coins by 0,7%, this week. Filecoin traditionally surging is circulating coins, this week by 0,4%. XRP was also one of the coins which increased its number of coins on the market by 0,3%.
Crypto futures market
Despite the increasing interest of investors for ETH and its futures, during the previous week ETH futures entered into a short correction of around 5% for all maturities. Contracts maturing in December this year closed the week at $4.541 and December 2026 at $4.895, falling short of the previously reported levels above the $5K mark.
BTC futures also experienced a decline of around 1,5% w/w. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $117.495, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $124.630.
The latest future data points to a cooling off in short term momentum for both BTC and ETH futures, despite sustained institutional interest, as markets react to macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy signals.
MARKETS week ahead: September 15 – 21Markets are gearing up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting and surging expectations over a 25 basis points rate cut. These expectations have been priced during the week, where the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level, ending the week at 6.584. On the same expectations the price of gold surged to another all time highest level, closing the week at $3.643. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark dropped below the 4,0% at one moment, however, returned a bit back as of the end of the week at 4,068%. This time the crypto market was also in the eye of the investors, where BTC managed to break the $115K resistance, ending the week modestly below the $116K.
The previous week started with the annual revision of non-farm payrolls, revealing a decline of 911,000 jobs, adding to concerns about a cooling U.S. labour market. In August, the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.1% month-over-month, bringing the annual rate to 2.6%, while core PPI also dropped 0.1%. Both figures came in below market expectations of a 0.3% increase. Meanwhile, inflation rose 0.4% for the month and 2.9% year-over-year, with core inflation slightly elevated at 0.3% monthly and 3.1% annually. Preliminary data from the University of Michigan showed September’s consumer sentiment at 51.8, slightly below the forecast of 54.9, while inflation expectations held steady at 4.8%. Declining jobs market increased market expectations to almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17th.
Nvidia and OpenAI are reportedly in talks to fund a multibillion dollar AI infrastructure project in the U.K., centred on building new data centres, in partnership with cloud firm Nscale. The agreement is expected to be unveiled during President Trump’s state visit to Britain next week. Governments globally are increasingly trying to attract the tech giants to bolster their domestic “sovereign AI” capabilities.
Gemini Space Station shares surged over 40% on Friday during their debut on the Nasdaq, opening at $37.01 under the ticker GEMI after being priced at $28, and reaching a high of $40.71. Founded by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, the company was valued at $4.4 billion and joins a growing wave of crypto firms going public amid a loosening regulatory environment under current US Administration.
News are reporting that investors have poured over $7 trillion into cash-like assets such as money market funds and high-yield savings, benefiting from recent Fed rate hikes. However, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates soon, these safe assets may lose appeal, prompting a shift toward riskier investments like stocks and bonds. Experts warn that a massive market rally fuelled by this "wall of cash" is unlikely unless rates drop close to zero. Historical data shows significant outflows from money funds only occur during major economic crises when rates are very low.
CRYPTO MARKET
A green week on the crypto market, supported by investors' expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates at their FOMC meeting, on September 17th. Almost all coins gained on this expectation surging the value of crypto coins mostly between 10% to 20%. At the same time total crypto capitalization passed the $4B mark, which represents another significant milestone for the crypto market. On a weekly level, total crypto market capitalization was increased by 8%, adding total $290B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes remained at higher levels, with turnovers of around $298B on a daily level. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +25%, with a total funds inflow of $803B.
BTC was the coin to lead the market, however, other altcoins also performed well during the week. BTC gained $115B of funds, increasing its value by 5,2% for the week. ETH had a good week with a gain of 10,3%, adding $53B to its market cap. XRP gained almost 13% w/w, adding $21,5B to its value. Solana and Polkadot are worth mentioning, as both coins gained above 20% for the week. Certainly, the star of the week was DOGE, with an incredible weekly gain of 41%. Ospreys Dogecoin ETF started trading during the previous week, attracting investors' funds and letting the coin surge by 41%.
Increased activity was also reflected in circulating coins. During the previous week, EOS increased the number of its coins on the market by 0,6%, while Algorand gained 0,5% of coins. Stellar managed to add 0,3% new coins to the market, same as Uniswap.
Crypto futures market
Investors' increased interest in ETH was recently exposed both on the spot and the crypto futures market. As per CME, the ETH futures open interest on this market has hit records of over $10B, as a reflection of institutional investors demand. ETH futures gained more than 7% during the previous week for all maturities. Futures expiring in December this year closed the week at $4.792, and those with the expiration date a year later were last traded at $5.143. This is a huge milestone as the long term futures returned once again to levels above the $5K mark.
BTC futures also gained more than 4,5% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $119.565, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $126.490.
MARKETS week ahead: September 8 – 14Last week in the news
The previous week was marked with surprisingly low August Non-farm payrolls of only 22K new jobs in the U.S. Figures increased market expectations that the Fed will cut rates at the FOMC meeting in September. Market reaction at Friday's trading session was strong. The S&P 500 reached another all time highest level and then tumbled back toward the 6.481, within the same day. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark dropped down from 4,2% to 4,0%. Although the US Dollar remained relatively flat during the week, the price of gold reached a new all time highest level, ending the week at $3.586. This week the crypto market was left aside, with BTC closing the week by testing the $110K.
U.S. labour market data took centre stage in the markets last week. On Wednesday, the JOLTs Job Openings report showed 7.181 million positions for July, falling short of the expected 7.3 million. Friday delivered another surprise, with August Non-Farm Payrolls revealing just 22K new jobs, which was well below the 75K anticipated by the market. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage points to 4.3%. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.3% in August, marking a 3.7% y/y increase. A significant drop in the US jobs data increased market expectations that the Fed will now certainly have a good grounds to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at September FOMC meeting.
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz cautions that bond markets haven’t fully accounted for the weakening U.S. fiscal outlook, particularly the temporary boost from tariff revenues that won't last as businesses readjust supply chains. He suggests that the current projections are overly optimistic and that the true financial position of the U.S. may be significantly worse. Stiglitz’s remarks signal that investors should brace for deeper fiscal and inflationary risks than markets currently anticipate
There has been a lot of media coverage related to the announced split of shares of Kraft Hainz, aimed to unlock brand value. Shares of the company were losing value during the year, with a stock loss of around 21% over the period of the past year. Famous investor Warren Buffett commented on the split, expressing disappointment, noting that breaking up will not resolve the deeper challenges the company is facing. The proposed spin-off will create two distinct, independently traded entities, one centered on sauces and spreads, the other on grocery staples, a strategy aimed at unlocking shareholder value after years of sluggish performance.
The European Commission has levied a €2.95 B (US $3.45 B) antitrust fine against Google for abusing its dominance in the adtech market by favouring its own services, marking the company’s fourth major EU penalty. Regulators have given Google 60 days to propose remedies to end these self-preferencing practices, warning that failure to comply could lead to divestitures. Google has announced plans to appeal the decision, calling it unjustified and warning it could harm numerous European businesses. Meanwhile, the U.S. President has criticized the penalty and threatened retaliatory trade measures, escalating tensions between the U.S. and the EU.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market remained relatively calm during the previous week. Investors were more concerned with surprisingly weak US jobs data, increasing expectations that the Fed might make a move in rate cuts at their September FOMC meeting. They were positioning accordingly, in which sense US equities, bond and gold markets were affected. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by modest 1% during the week, adding $28B to its total market cap. Daily trading volumes dropped to the level of $222B on a daily basis, from last week's $311B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +16%, with a total funds inflow of $513B.
For the week, crypto coins showed mixed performance, with a blend of gains and losses across major and altcoins. BTC had steady movements, with a weekly gain of 1,4% and an inflow of $30,5B. This week, ETH was a modest losing side of -1,4% (-7,5B). Major altcoins on the market finished the week relatively flat. Market favorites Solana, ADA, XRP, BNB all finished the week almost without a change from the end of the previous week. Avalanche managed to add 3,3% to its market value. At the same time, Maker had an excellent week with a gain of 13,1%. Monero was traded higher by 4,4% and Filecoin was up by 2,7%. Another coin with a significant weekly gain was ZCash, with a surge of 11,3%.
Although the value of coins remained relatively flat, there has been increased activity with circulating coins. This week Stellar managed to add 1,1% new coins to the market. Miota`s number of coins closed the week higher by 0,8%. This week Filecoins added 0,2% to its total circulating coins. XRP should be also mentioned, as this coin continues to increase its number on the market, this week by 0,2%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market showed some divergence from BTC and ETH price movements, following developments on the spot market. Bitcoin futures experienced consistent gains across all maturities, with w/w increases ranging around 2,7%. Futures with maturity in December this year closed the week at $114.205, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $121.000.
In contrast, ETH futures saw moderate declines across the board, with w/w changes around 0,4%. For the moment, the market is showing subdued expectations for ETH in the near to mid-term. However, ETH futures continue to hold strongly above the $4K mark. December 2025 finished the week at $4.435, while December 2026 was last traded at $4.780.
MARKETS week ahead: August 31 – September 4Last week in the news
The market sentiment during the previous week was driven by PCE data. As the inflation was in line with expectations, the sentiment about Fed rate cut was further supported. The US equity markets continued to surge, with the S&P 500 reaching the new all-time highest level at 6.500 and closing the week at 6.460. In expectation of rate cuts, the price of gold surged, closing the week at $3.446. The US 10Y continued to test the 4,2% supporting level, ending the week at 4,23. The sentiment around the BTC and the crypto market was not in a positive territory, where BTC slipped down to the levels below the $109K.
July’s PCE inflation report came in right on target to market forecast, with headline PCE up 0.2% month-over-month and core PCE up 0.3%, reinforcing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. The revised second estimate for Q2 U.S. GDP showed stronger-than-expected growth at 3.3% annualized, up from the initial 3.0%, fuelled largely by increased consumer spending and business investment. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, there's now an approximately 87% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at next month’s FOMC meeting, all of which supports market optimism ahead of upcoming labour data. The week ahead is bringing the release of non-farm payrolls and JOLTs.
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing quantitative tightening has entered a more uncertain phase as usage of its overnight reverse repo facility, once a $2.6 trillion liquidity buffer,has plunged to just $32 billion, signaling that this tool is nearly exhausted. With the reverse repo effectively drained, further balance sheet reductions will increasingly come directly from bank reserves, currently around $3.3 trillion, raising the risk of strains in short-term funding markets. To mitigate this risk and maintain control over interest rate policy, the Fed is relying on its Standing Repo Facility (SRF) as a contingency for future liquidity support. However, analysts remain cautious, warning that the Fed must tread carefully to avoid a repeat of the 2019 episodic funding stress.
A federal appeals court ruled 7–4 that most of former President Trump’s sweeping global tariffs, imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), are unlawful, finding that the law does not explicitly authorize tariffs, a power reserved for Congress. Nonetheless, the court has allowed the tariffs to remain in effect until mid-October to permit time for appeal, likely setting the stage for a potential U.S. Supreme Court review. The US President responded by denouncing the court’s decision and signalling his intent to pursue the case further.
El Salvador will redistribute its entire national Bitcoin reserve—valued at approximately $682 million from a single address into multiple new wallet addresses to enhance security and reduce exposure. Each address will hold no more than 500 BTC (around $54 million), a strategic limit designed to minimize risk in the event of a security breach. To maintain transparency, the country’s National Bitcoin Office will launch a public dashboard displaying the total holdings across all addresses.
CRYPTO MARKET
Bitcoin dropped to around $108K last week due to a combination of technical sell signals, large “whale” liquidations, and ETF outflows, which also triggered margin call liquidations. This decline reflected a broader pullback across the cryptocurrency market, despite ongoing institutional interest. Notably, a major investor reportedly sold about 24,000 BTC, sparking forced liquidations that accelerated the price drop. Due to general crypto market correction, the total crypto market capitalization dropped by 6% for the week, with an outflow of $217B. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of $311B on a daily basis, from $468B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +15%, with a total funds inflow of $485B.
Over the past week, major crypto coins experienced mostly negative performance. Bitcoin fell sharply to the levels below $109K, with total value decrease of 5,5% and funds outflow of $127,5B. ETH continues to trade above the $4K, still, with a weekly decrease in value of 8,5% and funds outflow of $48B. Other prominent coins such as XRP (-7,1%), Litecoin (-8,2%) and BNB (-2,6%) also posted losses. Market favorite Solana managed to sustain the $200 level, with a relatively small weekly loss of 1,5%. The majority of altcoins finished the week with a single-digit loss. Among rare coins which finished the week in positive territory were POL (previous Matic) with a weekly gain of 2%, and DASH with a plus of 1%.
With respect to coins in circulation, the week was surprisingly calm, with only a few changes. BNB decreased the number of its coins on the market by -0,1%. On the other side were coins like Stellar, DASH, Solana or Filecoin which increased their circulating coins by 0,1%.
Crypto futures market
Crypto futures expressed broader weakness, similar to the spot market. BTC futures experienced a week-on-week decline of around 7,5% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $110.985, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $117.505. Despite the price drop, the BTC futures curve remains upward sloping, suggesting that while near-term sentiment is bearish, traders still expect higher prices in the long term.
A similar situation is with ETH futures, which were traded lower by more than 10% on a weekly basis. The steepest drop occurred for maturities in August 2025 which were traded down by 11,3%. December 2025 closed the week at $4.458, and December 2026 was last traded at $4.800. The structure of the futures curve indicates that there is still long-term bullish positioning priced into the market.
MARKETS week ahead: August 24 – 29Last week in the news
Fed Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole Symposium brought a significant shift in market sentiment on Friday. Markets welcomed the information regarding a potential rate cut in the coming period. The US equity markets were the major weekly gainers, where S&P 500 added 1,52% on Friday, closing the week in a plus of 0,3% at the level of 6.466. The US Dollar lost in value on the news, pushing the price of gold 0,98% higher, and close $3.371. The 10Y US benchmark yields also strongly reacted, easing to the level of 4,25%. Among weekly gainers was also BTC, which tested the resistance at $117K.
In his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell took a balanced tone, acknowledging progress in bringing inflation down while emphasizing the need for continued vigilance. He noted that inflation has eased from its peak but remains above the Fed's 2% target. Powell indicated that the Fed is prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed, suggesting that if inflation continues to decline sustainably, a rate cut could be considered in the near future. However, he also stressed that the Fed will act cautiously, monitoring economic data closely to avoid reigniting inflation. Overall, his remarks signaled a potential shift toward monetary easing, but with a clear message that the path forward depends on continued improvement in inflation dynamics.
The U.S. government will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Intel for $8.9 billion by converting previously awarded CHIPS Act grants and Secure Enclave program funds into non-voting common stock. This passive investment does not grant the government any board or governance rights, though it includes a five-year warrant to potentially purchase an additional 5% if Intel’s foundry ownership drops below 51%. The agreement follows tensions between President Trump and Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan, but industry observers suggest this move aims to bolster U.S. semiconductor manufacturing and national technological leadership.
The U.S. and EU have introduced more specifics on their updated trade framework, with clear 15 percent tariffs set for pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, lumber, and automobiles, offering some clarity to already imposed tariffs. However, many businesses remain wary—uncertainties around customs rules, enforcement, and the deal’s long-term reliability continue to create unease.
Apple is reportedly in early talks with Google to use Google's Gemini AI model to power a revamped version of Siri, sparking investor optimism. Following the news, Alphabet’s stock climbed approximately 4%, while Apple’s stock also gained around 2%.
According to UBS Weekly Intelligence, the biggest tech spenders (based on combined capex and R&D intensity relative to sales) are Meta, Intel, and Oracle, while the lightest spenders include Mastercard, Uber, and Accenture. Other notable names include Microsoft (36 %), Amazon (31 %), Alphabet (35 %), and Apple (11 %) — a useful gauge of how tech firms are prioritizing investment amid the AI-driven market environment.
CRYPTO MARKET
Crypto assets surged after Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole remarks hinted at an interest rate cut as soon as next month, fuelling renewed risk-on sentiment. Bitcoin rallied back above $117K from below $112K, while crypto-linked stocks like MicroStrategy and Coinbase gained around 5–7%. Altcoins such as Ether and Solana also climbed sharply. Ether gained 15% on Friday, surpassing the $4,8K level. Regardless of Friday's higher push toward the higher grounds, the total crypto market capitalization remained relatively flat on a weekly level. By managing to cover weekly losses, the crypto market cap gained quite modest $9B in total cap during the week. At the same time, daily trading volumes were significantly increased to the level of $468B on a daily basis, from $312B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +22%, with a total funds inflow of $702B.
The previous week was significant for ETH, since this coin attracted the majority of investors attention and also funds. ETH ended the week by 7% higher from the week before, adding more than $37B to its market cap. ETH also managed to reach ATH at the level of $4.877. BTC is closing this week by 2,13% lower from the week before, after dropping during Saturday trading to the level of $115K. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner, with either small gains, or small weekly losses. Among higher gainers were LINK, with an increase in market cap of 14.5%, ZCash had a very good week, with a gain of 16%, while market favorite Solana was last traded higher by 7,5% w/w. This week Maker closed with a higher drop in value of 7,3%.
Regarding circulating coins, the situation was also a bit mixed. On one side was Polkadot, with a weekly increase of circulating coins by 0,6%. On the opposite side was Filecoin, with a decrease in the number of coins on the market by 0,6%. This sort of action is indeed rarely seen, when Filecoins is in question. ADA was another coin with an increase in circulating coins by 0,3%. BTC should be especially mentioned, as its circulating supply was increased by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
While BTC futures saw a week of softening prices, ETH futures rallied significantly, reflecting diverging market sentiment between the two leading crypto currencies. BTC futures experienced moderate decline across all maturities, with the largest weekly drop in March 2026 of -2,08% and June 2026 of 1,93%. The weekly price changes indicate a slightly firmer long-term sentiment, as December 2026 closed the week at $126.795 and December this year dropped by 0,9% at the level of $119.845.
In contrast, ETH futures showed strong bullish momentum, with weekly gains of around 10% across all maturities. The highest rise was in October 2025 of 10,3%, suggesting a robust market outlook for ETH in both the short and long term. At the same time ETH futures maturing in December 2026 reached their all time highest level at $5.347, while December 2025 was closed at $4.994.
MARKETS week ahead: August 18 – 24Last week in the news
The U.S. July inflation showed that the U.S. economy is for the moment ready to absorb implemented trade tariffs without their significant impact on inflation. The relieving conclusion pushed the market sentiment to higher grounds, where the S&P 500 managed to reach a new all time highest level, still, ending the week at 6.449. Based on the same grounds, but also on easing geopolitical tension, the price of gold passed through a price correction, closing the week at $3.335. On the other hand, a mixed data related to increased US retail sales in combination with Michigan consumer sentiment, pushed the 10Y US benchmark yields back to 4,3% level. BTC had its new, shiny moment at $123,5K, but without buying of the US government for its strategic reserves, the price retraced back to $117K.
Posted US macro data showed some results which might be treated as a bit contradictory, as per analysts. The July inflation was holding at 0,2% m/m, and was in line with market expectations. It also showed that the US economy at this moment is ready to absorb the effects of implemented tariffs. However, on the other hand, retail sales in July increased by 0,5% m/m, implying a possibility of future increased inflation level coming from domestic demand. This sentiment was reflected in University of Michigan inflation expectations which were increased to 4,9% from previous 4,5% for a year and to 3,9% from previous 3,4% for the five year period.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview for Fox Business that the U.S. government will not purchase new BTCs for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Instead, the plan is to keep existing Bitcoin holdings and to build the reserve only through seized assets and cease selling any of the Bitcoin currently held. It is estimated that existing BTC holdings are currently valued between $15 and $20 billion, and were acquired through criminal forfeitures. This stance marks a shift from earlier speculation that the government might expand its crypto holdings via market purchases, suggesting instead a more passive, forfeiture-driven reserve strategy.
News reported that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has sold another portion of Bank of America shares of 26,3 million, decreasing its stake in shareholding structure to 8,1%. Analysts commented that this move will not have any significant impact on the value of BoA shares. The fund also sold 20 million shares of Apple in the Q2, continuing a multi-quarter trend of trimming its Apple position, though Apple remains its biggest equity holding. On the other hand, news reported that these sales followed broader strategic rebalancing, considering that the fund initiated or increased its stakes in companies like UnitedHealth, Chevron, Dominos Pizza and others.
China’s industrial production and retail sales growth both slowed significantly in July, with factory output rising only 5.7%—its weakest pace since November 2024—and retail sales climbing just 3.7%, the slowest gain since December 2024. Weakness also extended to fixed-asset and property investment, which lagged expectations, alongside a rise in unemployment—painting a subdued picture of domestic demand despite some policy support. Analysts warn this slowdown could drag GDP growth below the official 5% target in the coming quarters, likely prompting Beijing to consider further stimulus measures.
CRYPTO MARKET
Quite a mixed trading week on the crypto market. The minute BTC managed to reach a fresh, new all time highest level, the comment from the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent spoiled another BTC victory. In his interview, Bessent noted that the US government will not buy new Bitcoin for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve but will rely solely on seized assets to grow it. Existing holdings, valued at $15–$20 billion, will be retained, signaling a shift to a passive, forfeiture-based strategy. The crypto market corrected its valuation, however, managed to end the week with a small gain of 1%, adding modest $35B to its cap. Daily trading volumes remained elevated, trading around $321B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +21%, with a total funds inflow of $693B.
Although BTC managed to achieve a new ATH, still, the coin is ending the week with an weekly increase of 0,6% and inflow of $13B to its market cap. For the second week in a row ETH managed to outperform BTC, as the coin closed the week with a gain of 3,5% and inflow of almost $19B to its market cap. This week ADA should be specially mentioned, as this coin gained a significant 13,5% w/w. Positive weekly closing also had LINK, with an increase in value of 6,2%, BNB was traded higher by 3,8%, while Tron surged by 3,8%. Solana also had a relatively solid trading week, with a positive close of 3,6%, increasing its market cap by $3,5B. Other major coins closed the week in negative territory, like XRP, with a drop in value of 4,7% and outflow of $9B. It should be noted that a vast number of altcoins finished the week in negative territory.
Increased activity was also reflected in circulating coins. XRP managed to add 0,2% of new coins to the market. ADA had one of rare moments, where its number of circulating coins surged by even 0,5% w/w. This week Filecoin was also the one with a significant increase in coins in circulation by 0,8%.
Crypto futures market
Mixed trading from the spot market was also reflected in the value of crypto futures contracts. BTC short term futures were last traded with a small weekly change of around 0,9%, while longer term futures managed to gain between 1,7% and 2,18% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $120.905, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $127.330.
ETH futures closed the week by around 7,9% higher from the previous week's closing prices. This increase refers to all maturities. Futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $4.533 and those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $4.863.
MARKETS week ahead: August 11 – 17Last week in the news
Although there is a positive sentiment on financial markets, still, a level of precaution among investors could be also observed. Markets used the previous week to both digest the latest US macro data and to prepare for the July inflation report coming in the week ahead. The US equity markets finished the week in a positive territory, with S&P 500 reaching the level of 6.389. On the same ground, the 10Y US benchmark yields corrected a bit last week's push toward the 4,20%, by ending this week at 4,28%. The price of gold was under the impact of “misinformation” of Swiss officials that the 39% imposed tariffs on Swiss goods also refer to gold imported from this country. Gold reached the level of $3.398. The US Presidential order that 401 (k) pension plans could include cryptocurrencies, pushed the BTC to higher grounds, ending the week above the $116K.
During the previous week there has not been much of currently significant US macro data scheduled for a release, in which sense, investors have used it to set the trading for the week ahead, when US July inflation data are set to be released. At the same time, news that occupied US equity markets came from Apple, whose shares rose by 13% within a week. Namely, its CEO, Tim Cook, met last week with the U.S. President in the Oval Office, to discuss the plans of Apple to invest $600B over the next four years in the U.S. Analysts have interpreted the move as an effort to appease the U.S. President, who has repeatedly called for IPhones to be manufactured domestically. Tim Cook commented that IPhone will not be assembled in the US for a while.
Another news that attracted market attention was that the U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order permitting cryptocurrency investments in 401(k) retirement plans, potentially unlocking billions of dollars for the asset class. The order also extends to private equity investments, significantly expanding the range of assets retirement plan providers can allocate funds to. Analysts are noting that this move could not only boost crypto prices but also deepen the integration of digital assets into the mainstream financial system.
The US Federal Appeals Court currently reviews challenges to implemented tariff policy, by the U.S. Administration. As per former House Speaker Paul Ryan, the Supreme Court might invalidate duties imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. Commenting on this news, the US President warned U.S. courts against blocking his tariff policy, highlighting its “positive impact” on the stock market and cautioning that such interference could trigger a severe economic downturn, comparing it with the one that occurred in 1929. In the U.S.
As Reuters is reporting, global equity funds faced significant selling pressure last week, with investors pulling out a net $7.82 billion amid U.S. tariff announcements and signs of economic weakness fuelling risk aversion. Meanwhile, money market funds saw their largest weekly inflows since January, attracting $135.37 billion as investors sought safer assets. Despite heavy outflows from U.S. equity funds, European and Asian equities, along with sector funds in communication services, industrials, and tech, saw notable inflows. Additionally, global bond funds attracted nearly $21 billion, led by strong demand for short-term, euro-denominated, and high-yield bonds.
CRYPTO MARKET
Another positive news hit the crypto market, when the U.S. President signed an executive order, which permits crypto investments for the U.S. pension 401(k) plan. Analysts are noting its significance, considering the high amount of funds which are held in these funds, part of which could be distributed also in the crypto currencies. Such a move would certainly increase the prices of BTC and some altcoins, through increased demand for these coins. This news mostly pushed altcoins to higher grounds during the previous week. Total market capitalization was increased by 8% on a weekly basis, adding total $274B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were modestly increased to the level of $314B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +20%, with a total funds inflow of $658B.
Although BTC gained during the previous week, still the coin was left in the shadow of altcoins. The star of the week certainly was ETH, with an increase in value of 23%, certainly not recently seen for this coin. ETH attracted $97B of new funds, surpassing BTC, which attracted $73B and an increase in value of 3,2% w/w. XRP is also a coin with a significant weekly gain of 14,2% and a cap increase of $24B. Market favorite Solana had a surge in value of 13% or $11,5B. DOGE also had a strong shift in value of 24%, while Stellar, Uniswap, Theta also had a surge of more than 20%. ADA, Monero, Filecoin surged by around 15% each, while the majority of other altcoins gained around 10% on a weekly basis. Overall, an extremely good week for altcoins.
As for coins in circulation, there has not been much change compared to the previous week. Stellar had a surge in value, but it also increased the number of coins on the market by 0,2%. This week was another week with IOTAs coin surge by 0,8%. Solana increased its number of coins by 0,2%.
Crypto futures market
Following spot market developments, crypto futures significantly gained in value during the previous week. As ETH managed to pass the $4K mark, so the crypto futures followed, surging by almost 16% on a weekly basis. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $4.197, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $4.509.
BTC futures gained almost 3% for all maturities. Futures with maturity in December this year closed the week at $119.875, and those maturing in December next year reached the last price at $126.940. Just as a reminder, the historically highest price reached for this maturity was $129.355.
MARKETS week ahead: August 4 – 10Last week in the news
US macroeconomic data took center stage during the previous week, with major correction occurring on Friday, after the NFP July data were released. Investors fear of economic consequences of implementing trade tariffs pushed US equity markets to downside. The S&P 500 lost 1,5% on Friday, closing the week at the level of 6.238. On the same grounds the price of gold strongly gained 2,2% on Friday, reaching the last price at $3.362. Strong reaction also came from US Treasury yields, where the 10Y US benchmark dropped to the level of 4,22%. This time the crypto market was also affected, where BTCs price dropped sharply, closing the week around the $113K level.
The FOMC meeting was held during the previous week, without changes in the level of interest rates. As per Fed's view, the economy is growing at a solid pace, while they acknowledged increasing risks originating from implemented trade tariffs on inflation and potential slowdown in the future economic growth. There were no comments regarding potential rate cuts in September, except that the Fed will continue further to balance interest rates based on “the incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks”, as noted by Fed Chair Powell.
A macro data heavy week in the US included data on JOLTs in June of 7,437M, modestly below market forecast of 7,55M. The PCE Price Index in June was relatively steady with 0,3% for the month and 2,6% for the year, which was in line with market expectation. However, what shocked the market on Friday were posted non-farm payrolls data for July of only 73K, although the market estimate was standing at 110K. During Saturday, news was published that the US president Trump requested immediate release of a duty of a Commissioner of labor statistics, due to posts of inaccurate labor data and its frequent revisions. The US President also questioned the accuracy of the July NFP figure of 73K.
During the previous weekend the U.S. finalized the trade-tariffs deal with the European Union. Details of the deal are officially published at the website of the European Commission, and include, among other, tariffs of 15% on imports from the EU, establishment of tariff-rate quotas for imports of steel, aluminium and copper from the EU, cutting the current 50% current tariffs. EU companies will also invest at least $600B in different sectors in the US by 2029.
Interesting news for crypto enthusiasts was posted by Cointelegraph, noting that on July 4, 2025, eight dormant Bitcoin wallets from the Satoshi era collectively moved 80.000 BTC, with each wallet transferring 10.000 BTC. The Satoshi era, generally defined as the period from 2009 to 2011, was when Bitcoin could still be mined or transacted using standard computer processors. The sudden activation of these long-inactive wallets has sparked intense speculation, with some suggesting that emerging quantum computing threats may have prompted the transfers. Still, analysts with a knowledge of blockchain technology commented that coins were not transferred directly to cryptocurrency exchanges but instead moved to newly created SegWit addresses — a move that likely indicates a security upgrade.
CRYPTO MARKET
As the crypto market became part of mainstream markets, it needed to manage both ups and downs of the investors' sentiment, which was usually related to traditional markets. This occurred during the Friday trading session, when investors' fear of future consequences of implemented trade tariffs turned to the negative side. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 6% on a weekly basis, losing a total $216B. Daily trading volumes were relatively flat on a weekly basis, moving around $304B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +12%, with a total funds inflow of $384B.
This week BTC was leading the market cap drop, with an decrease in value of 4% w/w and outflow of almost $96B in funds. ETH also had a drop in value of 7,2%, with total funds outflow of $32B. The third coin by total market cap, XRP, was traded around 10% lower, closing the week with total fund outflow of $18,6B. Another coin with a significant drop in the market cap was Solana, of almost 13% w/w, and funds outflow of $13B. Both DOGE and ADA were on a losing side, where DOGE was traded 17,1% lower, losing $6,13B in the market cap, while ADA dropped by 14,6% with an outflow of $4,3B. The majority of other altcoins finished the week with a loss in value between 14% and 18%.
This week there has not been too much activity when circulating coins are in question. Algorand had an increase of coins on the market by 0,2% w/w, while Stellar's number of coins surged by 0,3%. This week Filecoin had a modest increase of 0,1% on a weekly basis, same as ZCash and DOGE.
Crypto futures market
The general drop in the value of crypto coins on the spot market was also reflected to some extent also in the futures market. BTC futures were traded lower by more than 3% for all maturities, while ETH futures had a weekly drop in value of more than 4%. However, it is important that the general levels of the value of futures remain at higher grounds.
BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $116.390, and those maturing in December next year were last traded at $123.490. A similar situation is with ETH futures, which managed to hold grounds above the $3K. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.631, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $3.894.
MARKETS week ahead: July 27 – August 2Last week in the news
Trade tariff (un)certainties shaped market sentiment during the previous week. The US-Japan trade deal was settled which brought some relaxation among investors. The US equities continued with a positive trend, with the S & P 500 reaching fresh all time highest level, ending the week at 6.388. On the same ground the price of gold turned a bit toward the downside, closing the week at $3.336. The relaxation was evident also in 10Y US Treasury yields, which closed Friday trading session at 4,38%. BTC had a short liquidation session on Friday, shortly reaching the $115K level, however, swiftly returned back toward the $118K.
The European Central Bank (ECB) held its July meeting during the previous week, where it held interest rates steady after seven consecutive cuts, signalling a more cautious approach going forward. While its macroeconomic outlook remains unchanged, the ECB sees downside risks to growth, including global trade tensions and weak market sentiment. President Lagarde downplayed concerns about the stronger euro and minor inflation undershooting, emphasizing a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting policy stance. Although the ECB appears comfortable with its current position, a final rate cut in September is still possible if inflation or macro data disappoint.
President Trump announced a major trade deal with Japan this week, featuring a 15% reciprocal tariff, marking a shift in bilateral trade relations. The U.S. also reached a framework agreement with Indonesia, reinforcing efforts to strengthen trade ties across Asia. Trump signalled that more deals may be finalized before the August 1 tariff deadline, including potential progress with the EU, as a meeting with Commission President von der Leyen is set for Sunday in Scotland. These developments have been well received by investors, easing concerns over trade uncertainty and potential supply chain disruptions.
China unveiled a global AI action plan at the World Artificial Intelligence conference in Shanghai, calling for international cooperation on technology development and governance. Premier Li Qiang proposed establishing a global AI cooperation organization to coordinate regulation and infrastructure, emphasizing equitable access. The plan positions China in contrast to the U.S., favoring multilateralism over America's more block-oriented approach to AI strategy. Featuring participation from over 800 companies including domestic giants Huawei and Alibaba, the conference showcased thousands of AI innovations and signals China's ambition to challenge U.S. dominance in the field.
Palantir's stock achieved a new record high last Friday, rising over 2% and lifting its market cap to around $375B. With the latest move, the company is now holding 20th place as the most valuable U.S. company. The company's shares have more than doubled this year as investors' enthusiasm grows around its AI capabilities and government contract momentum. Analysts attribute the rally to Palantir's strengthened role in AI analytics and expansion in defence-related software and data contracts.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market was traded in a mixed mode during the previous week. Some liquidations were made in BTC, followed by altcoins, however, there were also coins with relatively solid weekly performance. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 1% on a weekly basis, adding total $39B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of $275B on a daily basis, from $333B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +19%, with a total funds inflow of $600B.
BTC had a relatively flat week, with only $3B of funds inflow. On the other hand ETH continues to perform strongly, with another week in a positive territory of 5,3%, increasing its cap by $23B. XRP did not perform well on a weekly basis, as the coin had a drop in value of 7,4% and outflow of $15B. Some of the significant weekly gainers include Litecoin, with a surge of 13% on a weekly basis, Maker was traded higher by 14%, BNB gained 7%, while Solana was higher by 5% same as Uniswap. Other altcoins were traded either with a modest drop in value or with a modest increase in value.
There has been increased activity with circulating coins. Another week in a row, IOTA is increasing the number of coins on the market by 0,8% w/w. EOS had an increase of 0,6%, same as Polkadot. The majority of other altcoins had a modest increase of circulating coins of 0,1%, including XRP.
Crypto futures market
This week the crypto futures market reflected perfectly developments on the spot market, with ETH long term futures managed to pass the $4K level.
BTC futures were traded mostly flat compared to the previous week. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $120.810, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $127.500. At the same time, ETH futures were traded around 2,5% higher for all maturities. Futures ending in December 2025 reached the last price at $3.779, while those maturing in December 2026 for the first time ended the trading week at $4.058.
MARKETS week ahead: July 20 – 26Last week in the news
Resilient inflation and the jobs market in the US supported further investors sentiment, bringing equities to higher grounds. The new all time highest level was reached by the S&P 500, which is closing the week at 6.296. The US Dollar gained in value during the week, however, the price of gold remained relatively flat, closing it at $3.349. Strong macro data decreased expectations among market participants over the Fed's rate cut, bringing 10Y US yields down to 4,42%. The new Genius Act was passed in the U.S. House, supporting the price of BTC to hold at higher grounds, above the $118K.
The U.S. economic data in focus last week was led by June inflation figures. Headline inflation remained relatively stable, rising 0.3% for the month and 2.7% on a yearly basis, both matching market expectations. Core inflation came in at 0.2% for the month and 2.9% annually, slightly below forecasts by 0.1 percentage points, though still elevated. The Producer Price Index (PPI) was flat in June (0.0%), with core PPI also unchanged. On an annual basis, PPI rose by 2.3%, and core PPI by 2.6%. Meanwhile, retail sales in June outperformed, climbing 0.6%, well above the expected 0.1%. Another positive news came from the University of Michigan preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for June, where five-year inflation expectations eased to 3,6% (down from 4% posted previously), while one-year expectations declined to 4,4% from the previous 5%. Resilient macro data decreased market expectations over the potential Feds rate cut in September to 50% from previous 70%, as per data shown in CME FedWatch Tool.
The Genius Act was passed by the U.S. House on July 17th, after its approval from the Senate in June. The bill represents an important milestone for the crypto market, as it sets a comprehensive federal standard for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. Among others, it allows permitted institutions to issue U.S. Dollar-pegged stablecoins, backed 1:1 by liquid reserves such as cash or Treasuries. It also mandates strict rules for reserves, custody and consumer protection in terms of full reserves, monthly disclosures, segregation of assets and priority in bankruptcy, aimed to boost consumer confidence and financial stability.
Weekly news on trade tariffs include a report by the Financial Times indicating that the US President had intensified his trade demands on the European Union after weeks of negotiations. According to the report, Trump is now pushing for a minimum tariff of 15% to 20% on imports from the EU, escalating further trade tensions.
Effective July 23, the composition of the S&P 500 index will be adjusted. A tech company Block will be added to the index, replacing energy company Hess, which will be removed. Following the announcement, Block’s shares jumped 10% on Friday.
Denmark is the first country in the world which passed the legislation by which citizens of their country own the copyright to their own face, voice and body. With this move Denmark Government is trying to protect its citizens from AI deepfakes, and similar misuse of data, pictures and voices of its citizens, without an explicit consent.
CRYPTO MARKET
While the previous week was the one dedicated to BTC, this week belongs to altcoins, who drove total market capitalization to higher grounds. The adoption of the Genius Act by the U.S. House was the main trigger behind the strong demand for altcoins. The crypto market gained a total $181B in market cap, increasing it by 5% on a weekly basis. Out of $181B, BTC participated with “only” $11B. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of $333B, from around $300B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 17%, with a total funds inflow of $561B.
This week belongs to ETH and other altcoins, which were major weekly gainers. ETH managed to add $74B to its market cap, increasing it by an incredible 20,8%, reaching levels of $3,5K. XRP was also one of coins with a gain above 25%, adding total $41B to its market cap. This week, market favourite Solana added $9,4B to its capitalization, increasing its total value by 11%. BNB managed to collect new $6,3B, surging by 6,6%, while DOGE added $6,7B to its market cap, which was increased by 23%. Among significant gainers ADA should also be mentioned, with an weekly increase in its cap by $4,2B or 17%.
A relatively calmer week when coins in circulation are in question. The main weekly difference relates to ZCash which withdraws 3,8% of its coins from the market free float. At the same time, Solana was the one to increase its number of circulating coins by 0,4% this week. Algorand also had an increase of coins on the market by 0,3%.
Crypto futures market
BTC and ETH futures were moving in opposite directions during the previous week. While BTC futures had a modest drop in value for all maturities, ETH futures gained significantly. BTC futures were traded by around 0,8% lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $121.215, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $128.345.
At the same time, ETH futures marked a surge in value of around 18% for all maturities. The coin passed the $3,5K levels. December 2025 futures were closed at $3.678, while those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $3.958.
MARKETS week ahead: July 13 – 19 | XBTFXLast week in the news
Previous week was short in US macro news, however, news regarding trade tariffs were the ones that shaped market sentiment at Friday's trading session. The optimism on the US equity markets still holds, regardless of a short correction on Friday. The S&P 500 reached another all time highest level, ending the week at 6.259. Gold was once again a refuge from tariffs for investors, gaining during the week, ending it at $3.354. Tariffs tensions rattled US Treasury yields, with the 10Y benchmark closing at 4,41%. Certainly, the winning asset of the week was BTC, which broke the $108K resistance and moved all the way up to $118K, bringing another all-time highest level.
This week was relatively quiet in terms of key U.S. macroeconomic data. The main highlight was the release of the FOMC meeting minutes from June. The minutes didn’t reveal any new information beyond what has already been communicated publicly. The Federal Reserve continues to emphasize the need for flexibility regarding future rate cuts and is likely to remain on hold until economic indicators more clearly signal a slowdown. Most analysts still expect the next rate cut to come in late 2025 and early 2026. This outlook is shaped by persistent risks of both rising inflation and increasing unemployment, driven by recently imposed trade tariffs, which present ongoing challenges for Fed policymakers.
When it comes to trade tariffs, the previous week brought news regarding imposition of a 35% tariff on imports from Canada and a 50% tariff on goods coming from Brazil into the U.S. There have also been discussions about the possible introduction of a broader 10% universal tariff on most other countries, with some mentions of rates as high as 15% or 20%, as well as 50% on all copper imports. News posted on Saturday noted the introduction of a 30% tariff on all imports from the European Union and Mexico. The European stocks closed the Friday's trading session lower, waiting for a tariffs-letter from the US Administration, which was released on Saturday.
News is reporting that the US Government managed to end June with a budget surplus of $27B, for the first time since 2017. The reason behind the increased funds analysts are noting a surge in income from tariffs, which reached $113B this year. Still, the broader fiscal picture remains challenging, as analysts are concluding.
Speaking at an event, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that the growing use of stablecoins could lead to faster and more affordable payments. "As a free-market capitalist economist, my goal is to see competition in the payments space lower costs for households, consumers, and businesses—plain and simple," he said. Waller also noted that while stablecoins might reduce the demand for physical U.S. currency, they could simultaneously strengthen overall demand for the U.S. dollar.
CRYPTO MARKET
This was a week for celebration for crypto enthusiasts. BTC not only reached the all time highest level, but this coin is on the road to $120K as it managed to reach level above the $118K. This was indeed another significant milestone for BTC to reach, while crypto enthusiasts are noting that the price could easily reach even higher values till the end of this year. What will be the case, is to be seen in the future. Total crypto market capitalization significantly gained during the week, ending the week total 10% higher from the week before, adding $330B of new funds. Daily trading volumes were more than doubled, with an average daily trading volume of around $300B. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 12%, with a total funds inflow of $380B.
The vast majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week, and managed to significantly increase their market capitalization. The most important coin which drove the market to the upside was BTC, with a surge in value of 8,6% on a weekly basis, adding a total amount of $185B to total crypto market capitalization. ETH also had an incredible week, surging, after a longer period of time, to levels above the $3K, adding 17,5% to its market cap with an inflow of $53B of funds. All major coins had a positive week. Solana was traded higher by 9,3%, adding $7B to its market cap. ADA ended the week higher by 22,6%, with an inflow of $4,6B. One of the unexpected significant gainers of the week was Stellar, with an incredible surge in value of 63,7%. DOGE gained 21%, Uniswap surged by 21%, Algorand was traded higher by 26%. Indeed one incredible week for all crypto coins with strong gains.
As on the spot market, there has also been higher activity when it comes to coins in circulation. It is not frequently seen that BTC has a weekly increase of circulating coins, as it was during the previous week, when the number of coins was increased by 0,1%. Stellar increased its value by an incredible 63,7%, but at the same time, it increased the number of coins on the market by 0,4% w/w. IOTA had a surge in coins on the market by 0,8%, while Filecoin added 0,4% of new coins on the market. Interestingly, this week, BNB decreased the number of circulating coins by 1,1%.
Crypto futures market
In line with the surge of the value of coins on the spot market, crypto futures also skyrocketed in value, reaching some of the all time highest values for long term maturities. BTC short term futures ended the week by more than 9% higher, while the longer term futures were up by more than 7%. Futures maturing in December this year reached the last price at $122.135. At the same time futures maturing in December 2026 reached the new all time highest level at $129.355. As per values of futures, the price of BTC has more space to reach higher grounds.
ETH futures also had an excellent week, surging by more than 20% for shorter maturities and above 16% for longer maturities. What is most important is that futures finally ended the week above the $3K levels. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.121 and those maturing a year later were last traded at $3.359.
MARKETS week ahead: July 6 – 12Last week in the news
The US jobs data posted during the previous week shaped investors sentiment. The jobs market seems resilient, making market participants diminish any expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates at July's FOMC meeting. In this sense, the 10Y Treasury yields adjusted from level of 4,2% to close the week at 4,33%. On the opposite side, strong jobs figures pushed the S&P 500 to reach all time highest levels for the last five days, closing the week at the level of 6.279. Weakening of the US Dollar supported the price of gold to end the week higher, at the level of $3.333. The crypto market had a volatile week, with BTC reaching the level of $110K, still, ending it at levels above the $108K.
This week was marked with US jobs data, exposing its further resilience. The JOLTs job openings ended May at 7.769M, which was higher from market anticipation of 7,3M. The posted unemployment rate for June was standing at 4,1%, slightly lower from 4,2% posted for the previous month. The data which mostly impacted market sentiment were related to the Non-farm Payrolls for June, with 147K new jobs. It was higher from the market estimate of 110K for the same period. A strong jobs market made an impact on investors to rethink the potential Fed's rate cut at July's FOMC meeting. Current expectations for September's rate cut were increased.
Trump's “big, beautiful bill”, proposing significant tax cuts, passed the U.S. Senate during the previous week, and is now back in the House for final approval. Analysts are still concerned regarding its effects on the US level of debt in the next 10 years period, currently estimating further broadening of the US debt by $3,7 trillion.
Although the last two weeks passed with increased optimism on US equity markets, still both analysts and investors are closely watching developments with trade tariffs deals by the US Administration. Last week, the US made a deal with Vietnam of 20% tariffs for imports from Vietnam, while the US goods will be tariff-free. However, the next week will be important from the perspective of the end of a 90-days delayed tariffs period, which the US Administration left for the majority of countries around the world, leaving them the space for negotiations. Talks with major US trade partners are still ongoing, including China, European Union, Japan and India.
News is reporting that the ECB will most likely wait for the September meeting to further cut interest rates on Euro. The reason for such expectations are mentioned uncertainties regarding the trade agreement with the US Administration. Economists are also noting this year`s surge of Euro against US Dollar of 14%, which might add an additional burden on the EU economy in addition to trade tariffs.
CRYPTO MARKET
Another volatile week on the crypto market passed. The positive market sentiment was under influence of better than expected US jobs data posted for June. The BTC reached the level of $110K on Wednesday, but still, ending the week lower. Majority of other cons peaked during the week, but are still ending the week lower. On a weekly basis, there has been almost an equal number of gainers and losers among crypto coins. Total market capitalization gained 1% for the week, adding $24B to its total cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively flat during the week, moving around $153B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 2%, with a total funds inflow of $50B.
The largest coin was moving the market during the previous week. BTC closed the week by 0,7% higher on a weekly basis, adding $15B to its total cap. This week ETH also managed to close it 2,7% higher, increasing its market cap by $7,9B. Market favourite Solana had a significant surge during the week, till the level of $159, however, it is ending the week above the $146, marking the weekly loss of 2,9%, or $2,3B outflow of funds. DOGE had a similar movement, but ending the week with a modest loss of 0,5%. ADA managed to sustain its weekly gains, ending it at 1,8% higher. Uniswap had a drop in value of 2,7% while Maker lost almost 5% in value.
Although market prices of crypto coins had a relatively volatile week, still when it comes to circulating coins, the situation was much calmer. Stellar had the highest weekly decrease of the number of coins on the market , of 1%. Such withdrawals are not frequent with this coin. Filecoin traditionally is increasing the number of coins on the market, with this week's increase of 0,3%.
Crypto futures market
Crypto futures also reacted to a positive investor sentiment, where both BTC and ETH futures ended the week higher. BTC short term futures had a modest increase of some 0,7%, while the longer term ones closed the week higher by 2,6%. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $113.750, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $120.395.
Similar development was also with ETH futures, where short term ones closed the week by 2,9% higher, and longer term ones surged by more than 7% on a weekly basis. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $2.689. Futures maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $2.894.
MARKETS week ahead: June 30 – July 7 Last week in the news
The news regarding a deal settlement on trade tariffs between the U.S. and China, brought some relief on financial markets during the previous week. The most significant weekly gainer was the US equity market, where the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level at 6.185. On the same grounds, the price of gold turned into a correction, with a weekly drop of 2%, reaching the level of $3.273. A further easing of inflation in the U.S. impacted 10Y Treasury yields to ease down to the level of 4,27%. The crypto market managed to sustain upper grounds during the week, with BTC holding above the $107K.
The information which occupied the market's attention during the previous week, was that the US Administration and China managed to settle a trade tariffs deal. Although the details of a deal have not been publicly disclosed, still, the market reacted in a positive manner, bringing the US equity market to higher grounds. The posted macro data showed further ease in the US inflation. Fed's favourite inflation gauge, the PCE index reached 0,1% in May, bringing it to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remains elevated, with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, all figures were in the line with market expectations, increasing odds that the Fed might cut interest rates in September.
Weekly tariffs news include the discontinuation of trade negotiations with Canada. As the U.S. President posted on social media, the termination of negotiation is immediate, and the US will decide on the level of tariffs within the next five days. Such a decision came after Canada decided to impose a digital services tax on US tech companies.
CNBC is reporting that Coinbase is the best performing stock in June, with a surge of 43% only during this month. As the reason for such a strong price movement analysts are noting several combined reasons, like its inclusion into S&P 500 index, the GENIUS Act which was passed in the Senate and a strong performance of Circle.
Fed Chair Powell was for one more time a topic of the US President answering the journalists questions. The US President commented that he will put as the head of the Fed anyone who will support the rate cuts. He also noted that there are several candidates for this place, not explicitly mentioning names.
There has been a discussion among analysts whether stablecoins represent a threat to payment card business, concretely to Visa and Mastercard. The one alternative for these companies to sustain the market game is to issue their own stable coins which could function on a prepaid basis. However, a few services which are currently not provided by stablecoins, like buy now - pay later are still advantageous to card issuers.
CRYPTO MARKET
It was a week of ups and downs on the crypto market, however, the week ended in a positive territory. The US-China deal on trade tariffs brought some relaxation among investors, which was also reflected in a crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization gained 4% during the week, where major crypto coins are participating with 70% in total funds inflow of $130B. Daily trading volumes were slightly decreased to the level of $146B on a daily basis from $187B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 1%, with a total funds inflow of $26B.
The major coins on the market were the ones which mostly supported an increase in a weekly capitalization of the crypto market. BTC managed to add $87B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 4% on a weekly basis. Second place took Solana this week, with an inflow of $7,2B, where its market cap surged by almost 10%. XRP had a strong funds inflow of $5,8B, or 4,7%, while ETH collected $5B which was an increase of 1,8% for this coin. BNB was moving within a modest territory, with a weekly surge of 2% adding almost $2B to its market cap.
It was an active week also when it comes to coins in circulation. This week both Solana and Polkadot had an increase of the number of coins on the market of 0,6%. At the same time IOTA increased its number of coins by 0,8%. Although it is a stablecoin, it is worth mentioning that Tether is continuously increasing the number of its coins, which surged by 1% last week. This could be treated as an indicator of increasing popularity of stablecoins during the recent period.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market ended the week in alignment with the spot market developments. BTC futures were closed above 3% higher from the end of the previous week. Futures maturing in December this year were closed at $110.680, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $117.270. On a positive side is that the long term futures are slowly nearing the historically highest level of $124K reached in January this year.
ETH futures were traded relatively flat compared to the week before. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $2.514, and those maturing in December 2026 achieved the last price at $2.703.
MARKETS week ahead: June 23 – 29Last week in the news
Geopolitical tensions, the FOMC meeting and inflation fears could be the summary of topics for the previous week. Markets are currently in a sort of limbo phase, not sure what direction to trade, considering high uncertainties which are surrounding financial markets. The S&P 500 tried to be positive at the beginning of the week, but ended it lower, at the level of 5.967. The US Dollar was traded in a mixed manner, but the price of gold took a bit of a relaxing trend, closing the week at the level of $3.371. The 10Y yields reacted to the Fed's narrative around interest rates and closed the week lower, at the level of 4,37%. The crypto market was also traded in a mixed manner, but more toward the downside, where BTC closed the week lower, at the level modestly above the $103K.
The main event of the previous week was the FOMC meeting. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as widely expected. The Fed stays on the course of two rate cuts during the course of this year. Once again it has been noted that “uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated”. The uncertainty mostly relates to the effects of the implemented trade tariffs on the U.S. economy in the future period. Possibility of higher inflation is also noted. With that respect, the Fed will stay data-dependent when deciding over the future course of interest rates.
Based on official comments, it seems that the FOMC members are not united when it comes to the final decision regarding the cut of interest rates. During the previous week, Fed Governor Waller noted in an interview that the Fed might make the first rate cut in July, considering the current inflation level and jobs market. On the opposite side was San Francisco President Mary Daly, who stated that some more confidence is needed that the trade tariffs would not make a significant impact on inflation, before the next rate cut.
As news is reporting, Tesla has signed an agreement with China to build a grid-scale battery power plant in China. As noted, it is going to be the largest project in China that Tesla is going to conduct, with an estimated worth of $556M.
Coinbase announced that the company had secured a Markets in Crypto Assets or MiCA license from Luxembourg authorities, based on which it will be able to offer crypto services to clients in the EU. With this license, the company also noted that their central hub in the European Union will be in Luxembourg, instead of Ireland, as previously planned.
The Swiss National Bank cut rates by 25 bps to 0% during the previous week. The decision was made after the country was struggling to sustain the inflation growth, entering into deflation in May. The inflation in Switzerland peaked at 3,5% in August 2022, and since then is on a deflationary road.
CRYPTO MARKET
There have been a lot of topics for investors during the previous week, including geopolitics and macroeconomics, which left the crypto market a bit behind the traditional markets. Although during the first half of the week, crypto coins were traded in a mixed manner, still, the weekend brought some major pulls toward the weekly negative zone. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by 3% on a weekly level, dragging down $84B in the value of the market. At the same time, daily trading volumes remained relatively flat on a weekly basis, moving around $187B. Total crypto market capitalization currently stands at the negative territory of -3%, compared to the end of the previous year, with a total outflow of $104B.
For one more time BTC was pushing the total market cap to the downside, with an outflow of $38B, decreasing its value by 1,8% for the week. ETH was also traded in a negative territory, down by 4,8% on a weekly basis, with an outflow of $14,6B. The majority of other coins traded in red for the week, where DOGE was down by 10,1%, Cardano dropped by 9,1%, ZCash lost 9,8% in value. Market favorite coins had a relatively modest weekly drop as BNB ended the week by 1,3% lower and Solana was down by 3,2%. Only a few altcoins ended the week in shiny green, like Tron, which was higher my modest 1% or EOS with a plus of 1,7% for the week.
This week Solana managed to add new coins on the market, increasing its total number by 0,7%. Such a strong increase is not very frequent with Solana. On the other hand, a total surprise came from LINK, who added 3,2% of new coins to the market. Filecoin traditionally increases its circulating coins on a weekly basis, adding 0,2% new coins for this week.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market reflected developments from the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week lower from the week before. BTC futures ended the week by 1,8% lower, while ETH futures were last traded around 4,5%.
BTC futures maturing in December this year reached the last price at $107.345, and those maturing a year later at $113.520. The good news is that BTC long term futures are still holding above the $100K level, exposing the investors anticipation regarding future potential of BTC.
ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.525, and those maturing in December 2026 at $2.710.
MARKETS week ahead: June 15 – 21Last week in the news
Newly emerged tensions in the Middle East impact market sentiment as of the end of the previous week. The US equity markets reacted in a negative manner, bringing the S&P 500 down by more than 1%. The US Treasury yields started their relaxation during the week, however, reversed on Friday back to the level of 4,4%. The US Dollar lost in value, however, the demand for safe-haven assets pushed the price of gold more than 1,4% higher, ending the week at the level of $3.443. The BTC had a rollercoaster week, with highs at $110K, but is ending the week above the $104K level.
The previous week started in a promising sentiment. The US May inflation data was posted, indicating a clear down trend. The inflation in May reached the level of 0,1%, bringing it to the level of 2,3% compared to the previous year. Core inflation was also standing at 0,1%, while both figures were slightly better from market estimates. The week-end brought the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June, where inflation expectations were also decreased. Yearly inflation expectations significantly dropped to the level of 5,1% from 6,6% posted for the end of May. The five year inflation expectations were also decreased from 4,2% to 4,1%.
The inflation data supported market expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates unchanged at their meeting in June, but increased odds for the next cut in September. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for June 18th, together with macro projections. Analysts are pointing that the macro projections will be in the spotlight of investors, as they are still trying to wage the total impact of the imposed trade tariffs. At their May meeting, it has been shortly noted by Fed Chair Powell that the risks of both higher inflation and unemployment had risen. As data are showing that the inflation is slowing down, the increasing unemployment might impact the Fed to cut interest rates in order to fulfil their dual mandate.
The new unrest in the Middle East is another topic that puts concerns among investors. Seeking safe-haven assets, the price of gold gained 1,4%, only on Friday trading. The investors are also concerned that the surging prices of oil, due to the crisis, might spillover to the US inflation figures in the coming period. Although the US at present moment, is not highly exposed to the volatility of oil prices on world markets, still, analysts are pointing to the effect which might come from increased commodity prices, as a consequence of surged oil prices. This will be another topic closely watched at the FOMC press conference on Wednesday.
Interesting news came from Sweden. As Reuters was reporting, the Swedish pension fund AP7 blacklisted shares of Tesla and sold the whole stake. As announced by the fund “ AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States”. Nevertheless, shares of TSLA gained 1,94% in Friday's trading session.
CRYPTO MARKET
The rollercoaster on the crypto market was evident during the previous week. The newly emerged Mid-East crisis left its market also on a crypto market. The coins were traded in a mixed manner, but ended the week in a negative territory. On the other side were a few coins which managed to end the week in green. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, losing around $22B from the market cap. Daily trading volumes were relatively flat compared to the week before, moving around the $185B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization once again entered into the negative territory from the beginning of this year, currently standing at minus 1%, with a total outflow of $20B.
BTC ended the week flat from the end of the previous week, although the price of coin at one moment reached the level of $110K at the beginning of the week. ETH managed to gain 1% in value, adding $3B to its total capitalisation. Other gainers among altcoins were Uniswap with a surge in value of 17,3% and Maker, with an increase in value of 23% on a weekly basis. The major coins on the market were traded with a negative sentiment. Market favorite Solana ended the week by 4,7% lower from the week before, losing $3,75B in its cap. BNB was modestly down by 1%, while DOGE decreased its value by 4%.
Although Solana was traded with a negative sentiment, still, the coin managed to increase its total coins in circulation by 0,5%. This week IOTA had a stronger increase of total number of coins on the market by 0,8%. The majority of other altcoins had an increase of coins in circulation by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The latest drop in the value of BTC and ETH was not reflected in the prices of crypto futures as of the end of the week. BTC futures ended the week higher by around 0,6% for all maturities, while ETH futures had an increase of around 1,5% on a weekly basis.
BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $109.390 and those maturing a year later were last traded at $115.590. At the same time ETH futures with maturity in December this year closed the week at $2.637, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.838.
MARKETS week ahead: June 8 – 14Last week in the news
The first trading week in June started with surprisingly better than expected US jobs data, which influenced some positivity in investors sentiment. The US equity markets gained during the week, with S&P 500 heading again toward levels above the 6K. The US Dollar also modestly gained on Friday, pushing the price of gold to the lower ground, ending the week at the level of $3.309. The US 10Y Treasury benchmark also had a strong reaction on the US jobs data, surging to the level of 4,5% on Friday. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner, however, BTC managed to hold the $105K level as of the end of the week.
Previous week was marked with the US jobs data, which the market closely watched. At the start of the week JOLTs job openings in April were posted, with a modestly higher figure than anticipated. Jobs openings reached 7,391M, while the market was expecting to see the figure of 7,1M. However, the major data were posted on Friday, impacting the positive market sentiment. The Non-farm payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, while the market estimate was at the lower grounds, around 130K. The market reaction was positive for the equity market, however, it pushed US Treasury yields to higher grounds. Investors are not anticipating that the Fed might hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, than previously anticipated. The CME FedWatch tool is currently estimating odds of 100% that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at their June meeting.
On the opposite side from US investors' sentiment was the European Central Bank, which cut interest rates for the eighth time this year by 25 basis points. The ECB reference rate currently stands at 2%, at the same level where yearly inflation in the Euro Zone stood in May. The ECB currently sees reference interest rate at neutral level. At the same time, ECB commented that the next move will be data-driven, in which sense, neither the ECB nor markets could perceive when and what will be the next ECB move. ECB President Lagarde commented that the US tariffs would hurt EuroZone growth, but extra government spending on defence would bring some positive effects to the economy. The ECB also lowered the inflation forecast for this year and next, while its growth projections remained unchanged. The inflation forecast for this year stands at 2% from 2,3% previously, and at 1,6% in 2026.
Since tariffs are the major headline news, some new information from the previous week includes continuation of negotiations between US and China in London in a week ahead. The US President announced that China agreed to let some rare minerals flow from China to the US. At the same time, Reuters posted that the China central bank bought gold on the market for the seventh consecutive month in May, increasing further its gold reserves.
Another event that spotted market attention was a dispute between the US President and his ally Elon Musk over the “big, beautiful” tax bill which is to be adopted in the US, including significant tax cuts. Musk commented on social networks that this bill will add $36,2 billion new debt to the US balances, which could further hurt the sustainability of the US debt. The shares of Musk's company Tesla dropped by 14% on the news, however, modestly recovered as of the end of the week.
CRYPTO MARKET
During the previous week the crypto market continued with consolidation, after reaching the new highs two weeks ago, especially concerning the BTC price moves. Although the market traded in a modestly negative sentiment during the week, Friday's US jobs data, which was better than expected, also pushed the crypto market to cover some of the weekly losses. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat on a weekly level, with a modest weekly funds outflow of $8B. Daily trading volumes also eased to the level of $194B on a daily basis, from previous weeks $234B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at 0%, with an inflow of funds of around $2B.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. The leader of the market, BTC, was initially traded toward the downside, but managed to end a week flat, with a small funds inflow of $6B. On the opposite side was ETH, which lost less than 2% in the market value, decreasing its cap by $5,9B. Major crypto coins were also traded with a negative sentiment, but with relatively small weekly loss. In this group is BNB, with a weekly drop in value of 1,6%, Solana was down by 2,8%, ZCash was down by 3,7%. DOGE was down by 5% on a weekly basis, due to a dispute between the US President and his ally Elon Musk, a promoter of DOGE. Few coins which ended the week in green were Maker, which surged by 7,5%, Tron was traded higher by 4,4% and OMG Network ended the week higher by 3,4%.
There have been some interesting developments when circulating coins are in question. Namely, during the previous week BTC increased the number of coins on the market by 0,1%. Such a situation is extremely rare on the market, which is why it deserves attention. At the same time, Solana also had an increase in circulating coins by 0,6% while the number of coins of EOS were higher by 0,5% w/w.
Crypto futures market
In line with the consolidation on the spot market, the crypto futures eased during the previous week. BTC futures were traded modestly down by 0,3%, which could be treated as a flat weekly trading. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $108.695, and those maturing a year later, were last traded at $114.860.
ETH futures had a higher drop of around 3,5% for all maturities. ETH futures ending in December 2025 closed the week at $2.597, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.795.
MARKETS week ahead: June 1 – 7Last week in the news
May ended with an eased tensions on financial markets. The daily dose of tariff-tweets is not something that has such a strong impact on market moves as it was in the beginning of the period. Investors are again turning their view on actual macro data and company earnings. The S&P 500 managed to end the month in a positive tone, and a gain of 6%. Eased inflation expectations turned the 10Y US Treasury benchmark to the downside, ending the week at the level of 4,39%. Eased tensions also impact the price of gold to get back in alignment with movements of the US Dollar, ending the week at the level of $3.288. After reaching the Pizza Day new ATH, the price of BTC eased due to profit taking, still ending the week above the $104K.
The inflation expectations in the US eased during the previous week, as per official posted data. The posted PCE data at 0,1% in April and 2,1% for the year, were fully in line with market expectations. Core PCE was also standing at the same level. Both indicators are showing that the inflation in the US is at the down path, also in line with Fed expectations. Friday brought May final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data, which was at the level of 52,2, modestly higher from anticipated 51. However, the most important information for markets was easing in inflation expectation, where five year expectations dropped to the level of 4.2%. At the same time, the market was expecting to see the figure of 4,6%. Eased inflation is boosting market confidence that the Fed might cut interest rates till the end of this year.
The narrative regarding trade tariffs continues to be one of the main topics in the news. During the previous week the US President announced on social networks that China has “violated” trade agreements with the US. On the other hand, there are announcements for increased tariffs on all steel imports to the US, to 50% from the current 25%. As a response to such a narrative the European Union commented its readiness to impose countermeasures on the US.
The European Central Bank will hold a regular meeting on June 5th. The majority of market participants are expecting to see the further 25 basis points cut during this meeting, with a pause in July. This cut will bring the reference rate to the level of 2%, which the majority of economists are perceiving as a neutral level.
News is reporting an increasing interest from companies in the US to hold BTC. As per a CNBC article, the Trump Media is planning to raise $2,5 billion in order to buy BTC, while GameStop plans to invest $500 million to this coin. At the same time, Tether, SoftBank and Strike will launch Twenty One company which will hold 42.000 BTCs and will be the third largest holder of BTC globally.
CRYPTO MARKET
After reaching the fresh, new ATH, the BTC entered into correction during the previous week, pulling back the total crypto market capitalization, and the rest of altcoins. This move could be anticipated for this week, considering the profit-taking period, which usually comes with a strong push of value to the higher grounds. Total crypto market capitalization returned to the levels from the start of this year, erasing modest increase in capitalization. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of around $234B on a daily basis, from $306B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at 0%, with an inflow of funds of around $10B.
Two weeks ago BTC gained significant 4,8% in value, however, during the previous week, the coin lost 3,9%. Net market capitalization for the last two weeks is still positive, of some $15B increase in total BTC market capitalization. ETH had a relatively calmer week, with a modest funds outflow of $1,3B, which is less than 0,5% of ETHs value. Major coins on the market were also traded in a negative manner. BNB was traded down by 1,8%, while Solana lost 11% in value, with an outflow of $10B. DOGE also ended the week in red, with total outflow of $4,9B or 14,5%. This week Algorand and Polkadot were also traded at higher negative sentiment, where each coin lost in value more than 10%. Only rare coins managed to end the week in green. One of such coins was ZCash with an increase in value of modest 2,2%. OMG Network also ended the week with 3,5% weekly gain.
When coins in circulation are in question, IOTA had a significant weekly increase of 0,8%. Solana added 0,4% new coins on the market. Filecoin, traditionally, is increasing the number of its coins on the market, adding this week 0,8% more coins.
Crypto futures market
This week there has been some relaxation in the price of crypto futures, in line with the relaxation on the spot market. BTC futures ended the week by around 4% lower from the week before, for all maturities. At the same time ETH futures were traded relatively flat on a weekly basis.
BTC futures ending in December 2025 closed the week at $108.995, and those maturing a year later, reached the last price at $115.280. ETH futures with maturity in December 2025 were last traded at $2.692, and with maturity in December 2026 closed the week at $2.897.
MARKETS week ahead: May 26 – 31Last week in the news
The market sentiment was once again shaped by fundamentals during the previous week. On one hand, the new narrative regarding tariffs raised concerns over potential stagflation, while the new tax and spending bill adopted by the US House of Representatives is raising concerns over the broadening of the US debt. The US equities were traded with a negative sentiment, where S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.802. This news also supported the weakening of the US Dollar and rise in the price of gold, which ended the week at $3.357. Gold gained almost 2% only on Friday. The US Treasury yield also strongly reacted, where 10Y reached 4,62 at one moment, however, ending the week at 4,5%. This week BTC celebrated Pizza Day anniversary, with a fresh, new all time highest level at $111,7K.
The markets tried to start the previous week with a positive sentiment, however, news regarding new tariffs imposed by the US Administration turned the sentiment to negative territory. As per the announcement of the US President, the new 50% tariffs on imports from the European Union, will become effective as of 1st July. Although the US Administration is open to discussion, the latest news from the US President states “not looking for a deal”.
As announced on social network “Truth” the US President will impose a 25% tariffs on all IPhones which are produced outside of the US. This news hit shares of Apple, which lost about 3% only during Friday's trading session. At the same time, some analysts are noting that the production of IPhones in America will significantly impact the price of smartphones, which might reach $3.000 from current $1.000.
The US House of Representatives adopted a tax and spending bill, during the previous week. Although the bill includes cuts to Medicare, it also includes several other tax cuts, which significantly raised concerns over broadening of the US debt in the next 10 years period. It comes after a US credit rating cut by rating agency Moodys during the previous week, on the same concerns.
News is reporting that the companies are turning to AI in order to estimate the potential global impact of their supply chains, after introduction of trade tariffs by the US Administration. It is called “AI tariff agent” which can immediately calculate changes for 20.000 products.
The US Steel Corporation made a business agreement with Japanese Nippon Steel. The takeover was initially stopped by the US President Joe Biden, however, the Trump administration supported this deal but in terms of partnership between two companies. As it has been noted, the deal is supposed to create 70K new jobs in the US steel industry and $14B to the US economy.
CRYPTO MARKET
Bitcoin celebrated the anniversary of Pizza Day by reaching another significant milestone - a fresh, new all time highest level. At the same time, the rest of coins were traded in a relatively mixed manner. However, regardless of mixed trading, there has been an increase of total crypto market capitalization of around 4% on a weekly level, where around $114B had been added to the crypto market, mostly of which came from BTC. Daily trading volumes were also almost doubled on a weekly basis, from $148B traded week before to $306B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at 4%, with an inflow of funds of around $139B.
BTC celebrated its anniversary with an increase in cap of 4,8% on a weekly level, adding total $99B to its capitalization. The rest of the crypto market did not follow a surge in value, as they were mostly traded in a mixed manner. On a positive side were Monero, with a surge in value of 16,7% w/w adding $1B to its cap. ETH modestly increased its value by 1,7%, with an inflow of $5,2B. Another coin with a significant weekly surplus was ZCash, which added 26% to its value. BNB was traded higher by 4%, while Solana added 3,6% in value. Uniswap was also traded higher by 4%. On a completely opposite side were coins like Maker, which dropped in value by almost 29% w/w. XRP and Litecoin lost around 2% in value, while Polkadot was traded lower by more than 3%.
When coins in circulation are in question, there has been higher activity during the previous week. This week ZCash added 5,2% more coins to the market. XRP, DOGE and DASH had an increase in circulating coins by 0,1%, the same as Solana and Filecoin. This week Polkadot had a higher increase of coins in circulation by 0,6%.
Crypto futures market
BTC futures were following the spot market, in which sense, futures on this coin ended the week by more than 5% for all maturities. Different situation was with ETH futures. Although ETH gained a modest 1,7% w/w, its futures perceived the market at different levels, where all maturities gained more than 9,5% on a weekly basis.
BTC futures maturing as of the end of this year closed the week at the level of $113.520 and those maturing a year later at the level of $119.980. ETH futures with maturity in December 2025 were last traded at $2.682 while December 2026 was closed at $2.835. It is interesting that ETH long term futures are still struggling to pass the $3K level.






















