Meezan Bank Limited Technical analysisTrend Structure:
The stock was in a strong uptrend within a well-defined ascending channel from March through October, reaching a peak around 500 PKR. However, it has since broken down from this channel.
Current Situation:
Price is currently at 426.41 PKR, down 0.46%
Trading below both channel support lines
The breakdown suggests potential trend reversal or deeper correction
Key Levels:
Strong support zone around 350-360 PKR (2.618 Fibonacci extension marked)
Previous resistance-turned-support around 400-420 PKR being tested
Upper channel resistance now around 440-460 PKR
Volume:
Volume has been declining recently, showing weakening momentum after the breakdown.
Outlook:
The chart shows bearish bias after the channel breakdown. If 420 PKR support fails, the stock could retest the 350-360 PKR zone. A recovery back above 440 PKR would be needed to regain bullish momentum. The overall structure suggests the uptrend may be exhausted, at least temporarily.
Risk: The breakdown from a long-term ascending channel is typically a significant bearish signal.
MEBL
Meezan Bank Limited (PSX)Current Situation
Price: 454.47 PKR (down 28.76 or 6.76%)
Trend: Trading within an ascending channel that has been in place since May
Key Technical Observations
Support & Resistance:
The stock is currently testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 440-450 PKR
Major support level at 350.66 PKR (marked horizontal line) - this was the breakout point
Upper channel resistance is around 520-530 PKR
Recent Price Action:
After reaching near 500 PKR in October, the stock has pulled back significantly
Currently consolidating in the 440-470 range
Today's 6.76% drop is notable but volume appears moderate
Volume Analysis:
Recent volume is lower compared to the strong accumulation seen in May-June and August
This could indicate a healthy consolidation rather than distribution
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If the stock holds the lower channel support (440-450), this could be a buying opportunity
Target would be a retest of 500 PKR and potentially the upper channel line
Risk/reward appears favorable at current levels
Bearish Case:
A break below the ascending channel (sub-440) would be concerning
Next major support would be around 400 PKR
A breakdown could lead to a test of the 350-360 PKR support zone
Conclusion
The stock remains in a broader uptrend but is currently at a critical juncture. Watch for how it responds to the channel support - a bounce would confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown would suggest further downside.


