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#MEME/USDT is Bullish#MEME The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 0.001144. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 0.001172 First target: 0.001194 Second target: 0.001229 Third target: 0.001271 Don't forget a simple point: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Crypto Winter 2026: BTC 75% Correction PT 30 000 USDInvestment Memo: Anticipating a 2026 Bitcoin Crypto Winter By ProjectSyndicate ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary ❄️ Summary view: This memo treats 2026 as the high-probability crypto winter year for Bitcoin following the 2024 halving, with a working top around 123,000 USD and an expected cycle low near 30,000 USD, implying roughly a 75–76% drawdown from the peak. This is fully consistent with historical Bitcoin bear markets, which have typically seen 75–85% corrections from all-time highs. ❄️ Contrarian hook: While mainstream narratives still focus on ETFs, institutional adoption, and “crypto as macro asset,” the explosion of leverage (Aster DEX up to 1001x), CZ-backed perps, and BNB-chain meme-coin mania are treated here as late-cycle excess—classic topping signals rather than sustainable foundations. ________________________________________ 2. Thesis & Target Range 📊 Cycle top assumption: cycle high of ~123,000 USD per BTC. That is well within the band implied by recent ATH prints ~125–126k in mid-2025 and aligns with a typical “blow-off” overshoot above the prior psychological milestone at 100k. 📊 Cycle low assumption: 30,000 USD downside target represents a drawdown of ~75.6% from 123,000 USD—slightly shallower than the 2018 crash (~84%) and broadly in line with the 2021–22 bear (~77% from 69k to ~15–16k). That keeps this winter brutal but not apocalyptic, consistent with a maturing asset still capable of deep mean reversion. 🧮 Math check on prior winters • 2017–18: 19k → 3k ≈ 84% drawdown • 2021–22: 69k → 16k ≈ 77% drawdown • 2025–26 (your base case): 123k → 30k ≈ 76% drawdown This places scenario squarely inside the historical corridor of 75–85% post-peak corrections. ________________________________________ 3. Historical Pattern: Why Large Drawdowns Are the Base Case 📉 Structural volatility: Bitcoin’s entire price history is punctuated by massive post-parabolic drawdowns—early cycles saw 86–93% collapses, later ones 75–80%. Each halving-to-peak run has ended in a violent crash once marginal buyers are exhausted and leverage saturates. 📉 Time dimension: Historically, the “winter” phase has lasted 9–18 months from peak to capitulation and then a long grinding accumulation. The 2017 peak to 2018–19 bottom spanned roughly a year; the 2021 peak to 2022–23 nadir similarly took about a year, with a further period of sideways chop. 📉 Drawdown normalization: Traditional asset allocators increasingly frame Bitcoin as an alternative macro asset, but the statistical reality is unchanged: drawdowns of 70%+ are not outliers—they are typical. An assumption of only shallow corrections is the non-consensus view; a 75% winter is actually the boringly normal scenario from a historical distribution standpoint. ________________________________________ 4. Where We Are in the Current Cycle ⏳ Post-halving positioning: The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024, cutting block rewards to 3.125 BTC and effectively tightening supply. Historically, the major blow-off tops occur 12–18 months after halving, as reduced supply + narrative momentum pulls in late-stage retail and leverage. ⏳ Evidence of late-cycle behavior: By mid-2025, Bitcoin had already pushed to new ATHs above 100k and then into the ~120–126k region, with growing signs of ETF saturation, institutional FOMO, and leverage-driven upside. From a purely cyclical lens, we are more likely in the “euphoria / distribution” band than in early bull territory. ________________________________________ 5. Aster DEX & Meme-Coin Mania as Contrarian Top Signals 🚨 Aster DEX as the “Hyperliquid of BNB Chain”: Aster DEX, emerging from APX Finance and Astherus and explicitly leveraging Binance’s network, is marketed as a high-performance perp DEX with MEV-resistant trading and leverage up to 1001x, backed by CZ/affiliate ventures. From a contrarian perspective, this is textbook late-cycle: maximum leverage offered to the broadest possible audience at or near cycle highs. 🚨 BNB meme-coin carnival: Simultaneously, BNB-chain meme coins and speculative listings (Maxi Doge, PEPENODE, various new BNB meme projects) are being pushed as high-beta “next 100x” plays. Historically, similar episodes—2017 ICOs, 2021 dog-coin and NFT mania—have coincided with or slightly lagged Bitcoin’s macro top rather than signal early-cycle value. 🎭 Narrative pattern recognition: In prior cycles, the market’s center of gravity shifted from Bitcoin to highly speculative edges (ICOs, NFTs, obscure DeFi, meme coins) at the very end of the bull. Late-cycle liquidity rotates into lottery tickets while BTC quietly transitions from “must own” to “source of funds.” The current Aster + BNB meme complex rhymes strongly with that historical script. ________________________________________ 6. Why a 75% Drawdown to 30,000 USD is Plausible 🧊 From 123k to 30k mechanically: A move from 123k to 30k doesn’t require structural failure; it merely requires a reversion to historical drawdown. That kind of move can be achieved by: • ETF inflows slowing or turning to mild outflows • Derivatives funding turning negative as carry trades unwind • A moderate macro risk-off (equities correction, higher real yields) 🧊 Maturing, not invincible: As adoption broadens—spot ETFs, institutional mandates, integration into macro portfolios—Bitcoin’s upside may gradually compress, but liquidity cycles and leverage cycles haven’t vanished. Even if each cycle’s drawdown edges slightly lower from ~85% to ~77%, there’s no reason to assume sub-50% drawdowns are the new regime. A respectable winter at 30k is almost conservative relative to earlier -80%+ events. ________________________________________ 7. Why the Floor Might Hold Above Prior Lows 🛡️ On-chain + macro floor logic: Without pinning to proprietary on-chain models, two simple supports for a 30k floor are: • Institutional cost basis: A growing chunk of supply is held via ETFs and treasuries accumulated in the 40–70k band. Many of these players may defend positions with hedging or incremental buying in the high-20k / low-30k region rather than panic-sell at -70–80%. • Realized price ratcheting higher: Across cycles, Bitcoin’s long-term realized price average on-chain cost basis tends to step up structurally. Past winters have bottomed not far below that long-term average; as the realized base rises, so does the likely bear-market floor. 🛡️ Regime shift vs. previous cycles: In 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin was still climbing the wall of institutional skepticism. By the mid-2020s, you have: • Spot ETFs • Corporate treasuries • Sovereign/FI experimentation These players typically do not capitulate to zero; they reduce risk, but they also accumulate in stress. That supports the idea of a shallower floor (30k) instead of a full 85–90% purge. ________________________________________ 8. Timing the 2026 Winter 🧭 Halving + 18-month lag template: Using the standard halving cycle template, major tops often occur 12–18 months post-halving, and winters then dominate the following year. With the fourth halving in April 2024, a 2025 ATH and a 2026 winter are exactly what the simple cycle model would project. 🧭 Scenario sketch • 2025: Distribution at elevated levels (80–120k+), persistent Bitcoin as digital gold narrative, alt & meme blow-off, over-issuance of high-leverage products (Aster, other perps). • 2026: Liquidity withdrawal + ETF fatigue + regulatory flare-ups → a stair-step decline through 80k, 60k, 45k, culminating in capitulation wicks into the 30–35k zone before a multi-month bottoming process. ________________________________________ 9. Market Structure Stress Points in a Winter Scenario 🧱 Leverage cascade risk: Perp DEXs offering hundreds to 1000x leverage attract the most price-insensitive flow at the worst time. When BTC breaks key levels (e.g., 80k → 60k → 50k), auto-deleveraging and forced liquidations can accelerate downside far beyond spot selling. Aster-style platforms, while innovative, mechanically create risk of cascading liquidations in a volatility spike. 🧱 Alt & meme vaporization: BNB meme coins and other speculative assets that rode the late-cycle pump will likely see 90–99% drawdowns, as in previous winters where smaller alts dramatically underperformed BTC. In your framework, BTC at 30k is actually the “high-quality survivor” outcome; the majority of late-cycle tokens may never reclaim their peaks. 🧱 Mining and infrastructure: With halved rewards and a much lower BTC price, marginal miners will be forced offline, just as in prior winters. That tends to deepen the short-term pain but ultimately improves the cost curve (strong miners consolidate, inefficient ones exit), laying groundwork for the next cycle. ________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
89
DOGE, Weekly bullish divergence!Uptrend remains intact from the wave 4 bottom. We could still be in wave 4 as they are characterised by their long, complex ranges. A flat or a triangle is possible. Wave (1) appears complete as a leading diagonal followed by a deep wave (2), which is expected after this pattern. Price is bullishly riding the weekly 200EMA but bearish below the pivot. Wave (3) should be powerful and fast; any slow grind may hint that we are still in wave IV 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1.7 based on Fibonacci extensions 📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence, a good sign but it can take weeks to play out 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (2)
BINANCE:DOGEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
MEMEUSDT Forming Falling WedgeMEME/USDT is showing a highly interesting technical setup: price action is carving out a falling-wedge pattern, with tightening range lows and retracements that suggest compression and accumulation. Volume is improving, which adds credibility to the idea that smart money or traders are building positions and waiting for a breakout to the upside. If MEME can break above the upper wedge trendline on rising volume, that could spark a strong reversal. On the fundamentals side, MEME (from Memeland) is more than purely speculative — it's tapping into growing meme-token demand while also trying to create real community traction. Even though it has characteristics typical of meme coins (viral potential, high volatility), the project still has active social engagement and volume, making it relevant at a time when meme-coin utility and narrative are being explored more seriously in the crypto community. The token’s identity as a meme coin makes it an important part of social-finance themes that many retail investors still flock to. From a trading strategy perspective, the ideal entry would be on a confirmed breakout above the falling-wedge upper boundary, ideally supported by a strong volume bar and followed by a retest of that breakout level. That retest could provide a good risk-reward entry opportunity. A sensible stop-loss could be placed below the lower wedge or below a recent swing low, helping to define risk clearly. If the breakout holds, the measured move could produce a significant upside, especially given the wide range of price compression.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
$PUMP: when to accumulate?There’s a strong support zone between $0.02900 and $0.03300. At the current price, NYSE:PUMP already looks like an attractive buy in my opinion — but if it drops into the green box, I’ll definitely go long. The lower it goes, the better the entry. My plan is simple: ➡️ Enter ➡️ Take profit on a quick +10% move ➡️ Fire and forget This asset is extremely volatile. There will be many more dips and plenty of trading opportunities — so stay cautious, get in and out fast, and don’t get greedy. DYOR.
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
1
$PEPE: MAJOR HEAD and SHOULDERS BREAKDOWN WARNING.🐸🐸🐸 ⚠️⚠️⚠️ Pattern formed, Big Move Ahead? The weekly chart of #Pepe has confirmed a classic head and shoudlers pattern - a powerful bearish setup. After over 1.5 years of building this structure, price decisively pierced the neckline with a sharp drop. Suggesting that a weekly close below the neckline could trigger an accelerative towards the pattern target. Key Levels Neckline: $0.0000058599 Target: $0.0000012091 Why does it matter? Head and shoulders are the most trusted reversal technical patterns. Coupled with declining and weakening sentiment. This pattern warns of more downside--- unless buyers can mount a quick rescue. What's your strategy? Are you shorting the breakdown, waiting for the target, or looking for a fake-out reversal? Drop your thoughts/Analysis or questions in the comments!
CRYPTO:PEPEUSDShort
by BallaJi
3
DOGE More downside to come?CRYPTOCAP:DOGE Price is testing the bottom of the channel and pivot point as resistance, where it is likely to be rejected. Wave (2) appears complete after the Friday flash crash, hitting the ‘alt-coin’ golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. The trend remains down, so this is the higher probability. Price needs to overcome the heavy resistance ahead before we can talk about being bullish long-term. 📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence, which is bullish 👉 Continued downside has a target of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node $0.12 Safe trading
BINANCE:DOGEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
Bitcoin lost its low time frame — red day pressure aheadBitcoin has lost the low time frame structure around the $114.6K – $114.8K zone, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum. The break below this area indicates weakness, and BTC is now testing the mid-range levels while showing signs of slowing volume. 📉 Short-term view: Momentum has turned bearish after rejection from $115.8K. Next support zone sits around $108K – $109K, where buyers may try to step in. If this level fails to hold, BTC could revisit $103K support — the key demand area from the previous range. 📊 Technical observation: BTC’s structure shows a completed short-term top followed by a lower high formation. This setup often confirms a local downtrend and can lead to several red candles before a new base forms. 💬 Summary: Bitcoin lost its low time frame momentum, and we could be entering a red session. We’ll monitor how price reacts near the $108K support zone to evaluate if buyers can regain control or if a deeper correction begins. We follow the data, at this moment the marketview seems to be red, we will follow if this continues in the coming hours.
Short
by SatochiTrader
ADA/USDT – Volume Zone Retest Setup🔹 ADA/USDT – Volume Zone Retest Setup ADA is showing early signs of strength after recovering from the last drop and is now building momentum below the Volume+ Zone between $0.75 – $0.85. The current structure shows stable volume forming on lower time frames, which can indicate accumulation before a possible retest of the upper range. If momentum continues, ADA can look to re-enter the volume zone, where the next confirmation area will define continuation potential toward $1.05 resistance. For now, we follow volume development — a clean breakout and hold above the zone would confirm the next expansion phase.
Long
by SatochiTrader
MEMEUSDT — The Bull Last Stand: Accumulation or Total Surrender?📉 Overview MEME/USDT is standing on the edge — between a massive accumulation opportunity and complete market capitulation. The price is now sitting right above the major support zone (0.0012 – 0.00165 USDT), a key defensive area that has been tested multiple times since April 2025. Each visit to this zone has triggered liquidity absorption and stop hunts, followed by short-lived recoveries — but never a sustained reversal. Now, once again, the market is testing this zone for survival. --- 🧩 Price Structure & Technical Context Primary trend: Long-term downtrend since late 2024, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Dominant pattern: Potential accumulation base following a liquidity sweep — a classic signal of possible smart-money accumulation. Recent wick reaction: Sharp downward wick that was quickly absorbed — often a sign of institutional defense or smart buyer entry. Highlighted zone: This yellow box is more than just support — it’s the psychological boundary between recovery and collapse. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario — “Rebirth from the Bottom” If the price manages to close above 0.0017 and successfully flip this zone into support, it may trigger the beginning of a structural reversal phase. Potential targets: Target 1: 0.002167 → first resistance / short-term profit zone. Target 2: 0.002914 → key validation level for continuation. Target 3: 0.004117 → structural confirmation of trend reversal. Key confirmation: A 2D candle close above the box, followed by a clean retest and sustained momentum. If volume expands, a mid-term rally could unfold. Technical narrative: This setup could evolve into a textbook case of “liquidity sweep followed by a reversal.” If confirmed, it might mark the start of a major accumulation cycle ahead of the next hype phase. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario — “The Final Floor Breaks” If the price fails to hold above 0.0012, the next meaningful support lies near 0.000836, the previous low. A confirmed breakdown below this zone would imply: The end of the accumulation phase, Entry into full capitulation, And a likely panic-driven selloff as retail stop-losses are triggered en masse. Bearish confirmation: 2D candle close below the support zone with a strong follow-through. If that happens, bulls are temporarily out of the game until a new structure forms at lower levels. --- 🎯 Summary This yellow zone is not just another support area — it’s the psychological battlefield where smart money decides the next chapter. The market is now in a quiet tension before the storm: Either we witness a legendary rebound from deep accumulation, Or the final breakdown of a fading trend. For disciplined traders, this is not the time to guess — this is the time to prepare for both outcomes with precision and patience. --- ⚙️ Risk Management Strategy Only enter after clear confirmation (2D close + retest). Risk per trade: 1–3% of total capital. Take partial profits at each target. Move stop-loss to breakeven once Target 1 is reached. --- 🧭 Additional Notes Mid-term bias remains bearish, but early signs of re-accumulation are emerging. This isn’t just another random bottom — it’s a strategic battlefield between smart buyers and aggressive sellers. --- #MEME #MEMEUSDT #AltcoinAnalysis #CryptoReversal #LiquiditySweep #SupportZone #BreakoutWatch #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #MarketStructure
Long
by CryptoNuclear
$BONK: time to refill our bagsI believe we’re heading toward a new all-time high for Bitcoin (BTC). Both CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 are showing strong bullish momentum, entering extremely oversold territory — a signal often preceding a major recovery. November is also a historically bullish month for altcoins, which strengthens the case for an upcoming rally. The probability of a +100% uptrend is very high. The head and shoulders pattern was invalidated by the October 11th event, which completely shifted the market structure. In my view, this is the perfect time to take positions and patiently wait for the market reset to play out. 🎯 Take-Profit Targets (based on Fibonacci levels): TP1: $0.00001865 TP2: $0.00002145 TP3: $0.00002600 TP4: $0.00003220 Historically, when SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK starts pumping, it almost always reaches around $0.00003200 — and if that happens, we could see a parabolic move up to $0.00005000, marking the top of the altseason. DYOR (Do Your Own Research). #BTC #BONK #Altseason #CryptoMarket #Bullish #TradingSetup #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #NovemberRally
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
7