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Mes1

S&P Futures Trading Day 76 — Trading Away From the Keyboard GoneEnded the day -$921 trading S&P Futures. This was a tough one to swallow. I was busy running around and away from the screens, so I set limit orders at major levels I was confident would reject. Unfortunately, the market had other plans—a surprise short squeeze triggered by the Ukraine peace deal news broke through everything. In hindsight, I should have sized down to 5 MES instead of 10 given I wasn't watching the charts, but truthfully, this felt like one of those unavoidable losses where a macro shock simply invalidates the technicals. 🔔News Highlights: *UKRAINE AGREES TO PEACE DEAL WITH US, TALKS WITH RUSSIA UNDERWAY 📈 Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6790= Bullish Level Below 6740= Bearish Level
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 75 — 3/3 Win Rate on 4 Hours of SleepEnded the day +$234.68 trading S&P Futures. Running on just 4 hours of sleep, I knew I wasn’t operating at 100% this morning. The market open was showing mixed signals, and given how wild the action has been lately, I decided the smartest move was to sit on my hands. I waited until later in the session when things slowed down, found my spots, and sniped a few setups. I ended up going 3/3 on my trades and decided to walk away green before the fatigue set in and the market took it back. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6720 = Bullish Below 6705 = Bearish 📰 News Highlights *FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT, FED CHAIR TALKS
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 74 — Surviving a 242-Point Crash MoveEnded the day +$450.40 trading S&P Futures, but I’m walking away feeling tilted despite the profit. We sniped the 48-minute MOB resistance right out of the gate—just as planned in last night’s video—but I never expected the market to flush 242 points from top to bottom. That is a "market crash" level move. My P/L was a complete rollercoaster, swinging from +$400 to negative and back again. I’m grateful to end green, but after a session this volatile, I’m likely locking my account and taking a mental break tomorrow. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6725 = Bullish Below 6710 = Bearish 📰 News Highlights BITCOIN FALLS 3% TO $87,000, LOWEST SINCE APRIL
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
2
Day 73 — Perfect Rejection at the 2-Hour MOB | S&P Futures TradiEnded the day +$529.40 trading S&P Futures. Today was a solid bounce back, with the morning analysis playing out almost perfectly. I managed to catch the top of the day and ride the momentum down right as we rejected the 2-hour MOB. It felt good to be in sync with the market structure, especially with the volatility leading up to the Nvidia earnings release. The signals were clean, the execution was sharp, and it was just one of those days where the plan came together. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6725 = Bullish Below 6710 = Bearish 📰 News Highlights NVIDIA SHARES JUMP 5% AFTER 4Q REVENUE OUTLOOK TOPS ESTIMATE
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
1
Day 72 — AI Bubble Fears Hit the Market | S&P Futures RecapStarting to get a bit worried about the stock market. Everything feels tied to NVDA earnings this week, and we’re starting to lose major support levels across multiple timeframes. I took a few losses overnight, so I went into the morning a bit more hesitant and wanted to wait until the market slowed down before committing. I made some small profits trading off Bia's order and took a few scalp trades off the 1-minute MOB, which helped stabilize the day. This wasn’t a high-conviction environment for me, so I stayed defensive and focused on execution. 📈 Key Levels for Tomorrow 🔼 Bullish Above: 6725 🔽 Bearish Below: 6710 These are the two main pivot levels I’m watching. Above 6725 we may see buyers regain control. Below 6710 the bearish wave accelerates.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
Survived a Market Selloff | +$241 Trading S&P Futures (Day 71)Ended the day +$241 trading S&P Futures, but it didn’t come easy. The market started off range-bound, and I traded the highs and lows cleanly — up $300 by 1PM. Then the bottom fell out, and I got caught in a false range break, watching my account swing from +300 to -500. Thankfully, I bought at BIA’s key support zone during the late-session recovery and clawed my way back. Today was all about staying composed when everything flips fast. Two takeaways today: Walk away when you say you will — extra orders can cost you. Range days can break suddenly; keep wider stops when volatility increases. Above 6820 is bullish, below 6782 turns bearish. We’re seeing signs of momentum fading, so tomorrow might bring continuation or deeper retracement.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
5
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 18th)ES experienced a notable decline, concluding the day with a sharp downturn but managed a late-session rebound off a significant demand zone. At this juncture, it appears to be a robust corrective phase within an overarching uptrend, with a reasonable probability of a bounce or a range-bound trading day ahead, barring any unexpected developments from data releases or commentary from Federal Reserve speakers. Looking ahead to tomorrow, November 18, 2025, the economic calendar is unusually packed for a Tuesday, as various U.S. data are set to be released following delays caused by a government shutdown. Key indicators to watch that could influence ES during the New York session include the import and export price indexes for October at 8:30 AM ET, industrial production and capacity utilization figures also for October at 9:15 AM ET, and the NAHB housing market index for November at 10:00 AM ET. Additionally, several Federal Reserve officials, including Barr, Waller, Williams, and Kashkari, are scheduled to speak throughout the day. The market is particularly attuned to their insights regarding the likelihood of another rate cut, especially in light of the recently released October FOMC minutes and this week’s jobs report. Given the abundance of potential market-moving information, I would consider the period from 9:15 to 10:15 AM ET as a critical window for "headline risk" tomorrow. The recent market decline can largely be attributed to macroeconomic factors: The S&P 500 cash index ended the day down approximately 0.9%, with the Dow falling around 1.2% and the Nasdaq declining by about 0.8%. This pullback has moved the indices further away from their all-time highs established last month. The selling pressure was particularly acute among mega-cap technology stocks and the AI sector. Major players such as Nvidia, Apple, Palantir, and AMD faced heavy trading as investors began to question whether the recent surge in tech stocks, driven by AI enthusiasm, had outpaced underlying fundamentals ahead of Nvidia’s earnings release on Wednesday. Market sentiment was further dampened by a noteworthy prediction from Stifel's chief strategist, who suggested a potential 5% drop in the S&P 500, targeting a level around 6,350 in the coming months. This outlook was based on concerns regarding high valuations and uncertainties surrounding the Fed’s future policy as delayed economic data begins to materialize. Interestingly, the yield on 10-year Treasuries dipped slightly towards ~4.13% , indicating that today’s selloff was more of a de-risking/profit-taking maneuver specific to equities rather than a reflection of widespread risk aversion typically signaled by bond market movements. From a technical perspective on the ES futures: Intraday trading patterns reflected a continuation of last week’s trend of lower highs and lower lows. Prices faltered near the 6,800–6,805 mark during the overnight session before entering a clear downtrend through the morning. The volume accelerated during the late-morning selloff, ultimately reaching a low around the 6,658–6,660 band, which coincides with established daily demand zones. Following this drop, we observed a pronounced shift in behavior: significant buying volume surged at the lows, leading to a rejected price at that demand zone and a controlled short-covering rally back above 6,690, approaching the 6,700–6,705 range as the day closed. The Nasdaq exhibited a similar trajectory, with a heavy selloff subsequently followed by a recovery. Structurally, today’s activity reflects: A strong continuation of downside movement, stemming from last week’s lower-high structure and macro-driven de-risking, culminating in a liquidity flush into a previously identified demand pocket followed by short-covering toward the close. From a broader perspective, is this the beginning of a genuine downtrend? On the daily chart, ES remains within a larger uptrend originating from the summer lows. A higher peak above 6,900 was established in late October, with the current pullback representing a decline of approximately 3–4% from that peak. Today's trading reached the 6,650–6,670 support region, which previously served as a vital higher low space, before closing back above it. Daily momentum indicators have rolled over but are beginning to flatten, indicating they are not yet deeply oversold. In contrast, the shorter-term 4-hour and 1-hour views present a more bearish outlook: a sequence of lower highs has formed, and the retest of prior higher low levels appears to be underway. Short-term moving averages have shifted downward, and 4-hour momentum remains negative, albeit with initial signs of a slight positive divergence compared to new price lows. In summary: I interpret this phase as a significant corrective downswing within a larger uptrend rather than the onset of a new bear market. The potential for a more substantial correction exists, particularly if Nvidia’s earnings disappoint or if the run of delayed economic data proves weak. However, the day's trading indicates more of a necessary adjustment rather than the onset of a catastrophic decline, aligning with institutional views that this pullback signifies a "healthy reset" following a robust advance, rather than an indication of a market bubble bursting. Should ES close below the 6,650 mark on a daily basis and subsequently begin to print lower highs under that level, I would increase my assessment of the risk of a transition into a more enduring downtrend, with targets around the 6,350–6,400 range over the coming weeks, echoing Stifel's projections. For the time being, however, buyers continue to defend this crucial daily support zone. Key zones to monitor for tomorrow, in the futures market: I identify the following support zones: 6,658–6,650: This region marks today’s New York PM low and aligns with the prior day’s low. It serves as the first critical intraday support level. As long as ES maintains closes above this area on 1-hour and 4-hour charts, I consider the movement to be a corrective phase rather than a broader downtrend.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
HOW-TO: Analyze Support, Resistance & Short-Term DirectionHOW-TO: Analyze Support, Resistance & Short-Term Direction Using Volume Scope Pro (1H Example) Introduction This HOW-TO explains how to use the Volume Scope Pro — Order Flow Volume Analysis indicator to identify support and resistance, interpret order-flow signals such as absorption and distribution, evaluate buyer/seller strength, and determine a short-term market bias on the 1-hour timeframe. 1 — Chart Settings & Data Inputs • Main timeframe: 1H • LTF (Low-Timeframe data): 15-second volume blocks • LTF coverage: ~115 bars • Instrument: MES1! (CME Micro E-mini S&P 500) This setup provides a high-resolution view of order flow behind each hourly candle by aggregating ultra-low timeframe volume behavior. 2 — Buy & Sell Volume Behavior BUY Side: • Buy Current Amount ≈ 18.539K • 20-period Buy Average ≈ 54.044K → Buyers are significantly below their normal activity level. → Interpretation: Buyers are NOT supporting current price levels. SELL Side: • Sell Current Amount ≈ 17.073K • 20-period Sell Average ≈ 50.857K → Sellers are also below average, but buyer weakness is far more pronounced. Summary: In higher timeframes like 1H, lack of buyer activity is often more important than strong selling. Here, buyers are too weak to create a sustained bottom. 3 — Trend Angle Convergence & Divergence (Trend θ) BUY: • Price vs Buy Volume (3 and 20 periods) = Divergent → Price attempts to hold or bounce are NOT backed by buyer aggression. SELL: • Price vs Sell Volume (3-period) = Convergent → Short-term movement is driven by sellers, strengthening the bearish bias. 4 — Delta Analysis • Current Delta ≈ +1.46K • Global Delta (100 candles): – Positive Δ Sum ≈ 273.812K – Negative Δ Sum ≈ 225.671K Interpretation: Although short-term delta is positive and long-term delta slightly favors buyers, the price structure does NOT reflect bullish dominance. This type of delta behavior often indicates absorption rather than a trend shift — meaning buyers are active but ineffective at moving price. 5 — Support & Resistance Zones (SR Engine) Volume Scope Pro identifies two main zones: • Resistance Zone: 6880.75 ~ 6885.25 • Support Zone: 6707.75 ~ 6766.75 Current Position: Price is holding inside the upper boundary of the Support Zone. There was a minor bounce, but the reaction lacked strength and failed to break structural highs. 6 — Order-Flow Overlay Signals (OB / Distribution / Absorption) • Multiple OB and Distribution labels appear near upper structure → clear signs of supply, selling pressure, and exhaustion at highs. • OS and ABS signals at support did not result in meaningful continuation → weak follow-through from buyers. Combined with weak buy volume, the market shows bearish intent. 7 — Short-Term Projection Given: ✓ Weak buy volume compared to averages ✓ Sellers showing short-term dominance ✓ Converging sell-side angles ✓ Price reacting weakly to support ✓ Strong supply clusters above ✓ Delta showing ineffective buying → Short-term bearish continuation is the more probable scenario. As shown on the chart, the Short Position tool highlights: • Entry around the upper support boundary • Stop above the minor pullback high • Target near the lower support boundary This forms a clear, structured bearish setup with defined R:R. Disclaimer This publication is for educational purposes only. Volume Scope Pro does not guarantee profit or certainty of market direction. Traders must perform independent risk management and verification at all times.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by ata_sabanci
I Broke My Own Rule & Paid $515 for It | Day 70 RecapLost $515 today trading S&P Futures, and it was 100% on me. After promising yesterday that I’d trade small, I accidentally entered ES instead of MES overnight — and that mistake cost me $800 in minutes. The rest of the day was a slow crawl back from that emotional hit. It’s a painful reminder that discipline > direction. The market wasn’t the problem — my execution was. Above 6840 stays bullish, below 6815 turns bearish. We’ll see if this selloff stabilizes or extends into week close.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
3
Trendline Support hitPrice has pulled back into a key technical zone and is now testing a long-term rising trendline that has held multiple times throughout the past several weeks. This trendline has acted as a structural support area, aligning with prior swing lows and validating the broader uptrend structure. Today’s decline pushed ES directly into this support, and the reaction here will likely determine the directional bias for the next session. What I’m Watching: Reaction to the trendline on the next retest Whether volume confirms a true bounce or a breakdown Price behavior as it re-approaches the highlighted green zone, which has repeatedly acted as both support and resistance If we close under 6680 today, All is lost and we will drop a lot more.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
6
Market Crashed — I Stayed Calm & Made $338 | Day 69 RecapMade $338.44 today trading S&P Futures on a day where almost everything was red. The market opened with a bearish structure, and even without big headlines, selling pressure stayed strong all morning. I decided to wait for the 6750 zone — a strong technical support — and caught a clean dead cat bounce from there. This session reminded me that sometimes, less is more. Trade small, trade smart, and don’t let overconfidence creep in after a winning streak. Above 6850 = bullish, below 6825 = bearish. I’ll be watching for follow-through if we retest support again.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
Day 68 — Clean Entries, No Chasing | +$251 Trading S&P FuturesMade $251.50 today trading S&P Futures — a clean, low-stress day built around precision and patience. I shorted the 6892 resistance zone early when structure flipped bearish, then sat out most of the chop until we got a confirmed X3 buy signal at 12:30 to go long. Days like this are all about discipline — no chasing, no forcing, just letting structure and the algo do their job. VX Algo was on point — 9 out of 10 signals worked for 5+ points. That’s the kind of day where patience pays. Tomorrow’s Levels Above 6850 = bullish, below 6830 = bearish. Expect a quieter range day unless we get major data or earnings surprises.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
I Made $977 Trading S&P Futures | Day 67 Market BreakdownI made $977 today trading S&P Futures, catching both sides of the move — shorting early weakness, then flipping long after a confirmed bullish structure shift. The VX Algo signals lined up perfectly with the government shutdown resolution, giving clear reads on momentum reversals. Patience, structure, and signal confirmation were key today. Above 6830 stays bullish, below 6807 turns bearish. Watch for structure continuation into midweek.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
Greedy Short Gone Wrong | Day 66 Trading S&P FuturesI started the day strong, shorting the 6830 resistance level for quick profits — but got greedy and went for more at 6852, thinking the market couldn’t push higher. It did. I got squeezed, gave back all my gains, and ended the day basically flat. Some days remind you: the market doesn’t owe you anything. VX Algo had 4 out of 5 clean signals today — structure nailed the direction early. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6810 bullish, below 6780 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
I Made $911 Trading S&P Futures | Day 65 Market BreakdownI made $911 today trading S&P Futures. It didn’t come easy — I barely slept last night, and my overnight orders failed around 3 AM. So I reset, stepped back, and waited for the one setup I’ve been tracking all week — the 6666 support bounce. Here’s how it played out, and what the VX Algo system showed me before the move. Pre-market sentiment was mixed. We had lingering shutdown headlines and low liquidity early in the session. But structurally, the market was leaning bullish on higher timeframes — meaning any deep dip would likely get bought. I had my eye on 6666 since last Friday as a key level. That’s where gamma support, 5-min MOB, and prior structure all aligned — a textbook reversal zone. When we got the VXAlgo ES X1 and NQ X3 buy signals near that level, I went long. Used smaller sizing at first, added into strength, and locked profits using a trailing stop. The bounce hit perfectly, and I was able to walk away green. Even though I made money, I caught myself getting a bit greedy lately. It’s a reminder — consistency comes from execution, not expectation. The market will give you what it gives — your job is to wait for alignment and trade clean. 3 out of 4 signals worked today for at least 5 points each. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6822 bullish, below 6782 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
4
Day 64 — Trading Only S&P Futures | 6/7 Signal AccuracyRecap & Trades Day 64 — a clean, structured trading day. Started small with team trades from Bia’s setups, and when we hit the bottom of the day, I saw the double bottom support and multiple buy signals align. That was the cue. I went long, set a 20-point trailing stop, and let the algo handle the rest. Sometimes, the best play is not to overtrade — just trust your plan. Lesson & Mindset When you’re in sync with your system, execution becomes effortless. The double bottom setup plus confluence from team signals made this a high-confidence day. This is how professional consistency looks — smaller, cleaner, smarter. News & Levels Markets dipped after fresh layoff reports hit — Dow down 300, VIX spiked — but the bounce off key support shows resilience. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6835 bullish, below 6810 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
3
Day 63 — Trading Only S&P Futures +$149.80Recap & Trades Day 63 — a quiet, disciplined day. I started late, didn’t see any A+ setups, so I mostly stayed out of the market. The only positions came from overnight team orders that Bia and Ray placed — and they hit perfectly. It’s a reminder that sometimes, letting the plan work without forcing it can be the best trade of all. Lesson & Mindset Not every day needs to be high action. The best traders know when to trade — and when to protect their mental and financial capital. If the market structure doesn’t align, patience is a position. News & Levels Futures pushed higher on headlines that Schumer and Jeffries are seeking a deal to end the government shutdown. It’s keeping sentiment slightly bullish into the next session. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6870 bullish, below 6860 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Day 62 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Burry’s Big ShortRecap & Trades Day 62 — started red from overnight orders but recovered fast by staying disciplined. The market opened strong but started fading right at Bia’s resistance, so I shifted my bias and played structure reversals instead of fighting the trend. By midday, I was back green, ending with a clean +$422 and 5-for-5 signal accuracy. Lesson & Mindset When big headlines like “Michael Burry shorting the market” hit, most traders panic. But in reality, it’s about staying grounded in structure. Noise doesn’t pay — consistency does. News & Levels Futures dropped as Burry’s short position went public and bubble talk resurfaced. It’s the perfect reminder that sentiment flips fast — and you’ve got to react, not predict. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6890 bullish, below 6865 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
Day 61 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Focused on the Grand CupRecap & Trades Day 61 — I shifted focus entirely to the Tradeify Grand Cup tourney account. Instead of trading multiple accounts, I traded larger — up to 2 ES contracts — and kept everything clean and simple. The morning structure was bearish, so I shorted early and caught 20–30 point moves before flipping at 10:40 for the reversal. Throughout the day, I played structure and gamma zones just like we do inside the VX Algo system. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes, focus beats multitasking. Trading one account with intention often leads to better results than juggling multiple screens. And when you scale up, you realize that discipline matters more than direction. News & Levels Big takeaway from today — Fed’s Daly said the October rate cut was appropriate and they’ll keep an open mind for December. That kind of language tells us the Fed is keeping optionality alive. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6910 bullish, below 6893 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST
S&P Nearing Major Resistance (Update)This updates my previous S&P chart back last year showing the S&P still had room to run until any major resistance. We're nearing that major resistance at 7577. Looks like it might hit around January 2026. The trouble is this trend is heating up and we needed a pullback to 6295. With all the excitement from Nvidia and other major Hyperscalers I'm worried it's going to just go straight to Major resistance. *If it does* we could be looking at a decently large pullback next year (finishing around August) down to that 6295 area and back into the supporting trend line for the next big uptrend to start. If however we slow down here and get a pullback back to 6295 then I think we're good to make it over the major resistance without that big pullback next year. Either way once we hit the major resistance at 7577 we'll need to get close to that lower trend line at some point to begin a new bull run. Good luck and take caution as we approach this resistance!
SP:SPX
by bwy
Day 60 — Trading Only S&P Futures | 10-for-10 Green TradesStick around — at the end, I’ll break down the key levels I’m watching for tomorrow. Let’s go. Recap & Trades Day 60 — another clean session. We started the day with a bearish structure, so my plan was simple: wait for price to reach the 1-minute MOB and short it. Every trade lined up with VX Algo confirmations — short, lock profit, repeat. I was already up after the first few setups, and once I realized I was 10-for-10 on trades, I stopped. Lesson & Mindset This was a great reminder that it’s not about trading more — it’s about trading better. Consistency doesn’t come from being in the market all day; it comes from having discipline to stop when the job’s done. News & Levels The quiet story today — liquidity is draining from the system. US bank reserves just fell to $2.8 trillion, the lowest since 2020. That’s worth watching closely in the weeks ahead. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6915 bullish, below 6895 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
2
Day 59 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$142 & Netflix Split Recap & Trades Day 59 — started off strong shorting 6930 resistance right out the gate. Those early plays hit perfectly, and I built up about +$300 in profit. Later, I got a little greedy — took a risky end-of-day setup, got stopped out right before a recovery, and ended up finishing at +$142. Could’ve been a bigger day, but I’ll take a green close any time I stick to the plan. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes the best win is walking away with discipline intact. Once you’re up early, your focus should shift from “how much can I make” to “how well can I protect it.” That mindset compounds long-term consistency. News & Levels Big market story today — Netflix just announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6920 bullish, below 6875 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST