Day 49 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$640 Cooling OffRecap & Trades
Day 49 — after Friday’s crazy volatility, I decided to slow things down. The market was still moving 2–3× its normal range, so I only took setups around large moving averages and key Gamma zones.
Executed clean, locked profits early, and ended the day +$640.
Lesson & Mindset
The main lesson today: discipline isn’t only about cutting losses — it’s about knowing when to press pause.
After a big week of volatility, patience and smaller positions keep you in the game.
News & Levels
Headline: Bessent said the U.S.–China relationship remains strong — which helped keep markets steady today.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6735 bullish, below 6665 bearish.
Mes1
Day 48 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Risk Down, Focus UpRecap & Trades
Day 48 — I slept 10 hours to recover from the flu, woke up a bit foggy, and just eased into the day.
Took my time reviewing market structure and waited for clean confirmation before taking any trades.
The 11:40 VXAlgo DD Sell Signal lined up perfectly with the bearish flip and 10-min MOB zone — I shorted the recovery and let the market do the work.
Missed a few bottom orders, but overall execution was clean and controlled.
Lesson & Mindset
The key lesson today: when you’re on a hot streak, the best move isn’t to press harder — it’s to protect the gains.
That’s why I’m reducing my position size for the next few sessions. This isn’t about making more; it’s about keeping what I’ve earned.
News & Levels
Headline: The IRS plans to furlough 34,000 employees as the U.S. government shutdown continues — something to keep an eye on for market volatility.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6785 bullish, below 6765 bearish.
Day 47 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Rested, Focused, ProfitableRecap & Trades
Day 47 — I finally got 8 hours of sleep, and the difference was night and day.
I was patient, calm, and focused from the start. I waited for clean signals, took only high-quality setups, and didn’t force a thing.
The result? A 14-trade win streak and +$6,250 across all accounts. No stress, no chasing — just clean, structured execution.
Lesson & Mindset
The biggest lesson today: you can’t trade well when you’re exhausted. Sleep isn’t optional — it’s a performance enhancer.
When your body’s recovered, your emotions are stable, your patience returns, and your focus becomes laser sharp.
News & Levels
Headline: The U.S. government shutdown is forecasted to last nearly 24 days.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6785 bullish, below 6765 bearish.
Day 46 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$1,452 | Fatigue & FocusRecap
Day 46 — not my best. I was running on low sleep, started patient, but missed the bearish flip and got caught buying at the 5-min MOB that didn’t hold.
TradeCopia started glitching too, opening wrong positions across accounts — that threw me off mentally and I lost focus.
Eventually, I stepped away, reset, and came back to trade the Gamma zone at 6747, which helped recover part of the losses.
Lesson & Mindset
Lesson of the day: fatigue kills awareness. When you’re tired, you hesitate, second-guess, and ignore the signals. Consistency requires recovery just as much as execution.
News & Levels
Headline: Oracle reported a $100 million loss tied to Blackwell chip rentals — a reminder of how tech volatility still drives the macro picture.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6785 flip bullish, below 6740 flip bearish.
Day 45 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$4,921 | Best Day YetDay 45 — one of my best days yet. After a big workout weekend, I came in with strong mental clarity. Right at 8:30, VX Algo flipped bullish, and I went long off the 9am MOB zone premarket.
Got stop hunted right after the open, but risk was small, so I reloaded on the next setup — a 5-min MOB long with confirming buy signals — and that’s where the day took off.
Lesson & Mindset
The lesson today: preparation and mindset matter more than anything. When your body and mind are in sync, execution becomes automatic.
News & Levels
Headline: AMD and OpenAI spark a wild tech rally as S&P 500 hits another record.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6765 stay bullish, below 6740 flip bearish.
A look at the MES1! (SPX)Chart Time Frame: 1 Hour
Current Price: 6763 after setting recent ATH at 6800
Daily Candle: Top Heavy Doji with open / close entire in the body of previous candle.
📈 Price Action & Technical Analysis
EMA 8 (thin cyan): ~6733 – Above price. Negative Slope.
EMA 21 (med cyan): ~6775 – Above price and EMA 8. Negative Slope. Rotation zone created on 1H and lower TF (EMA 8 crossed EMA 21). Crossover has not happened on higher TF's at time of post.
EMA 50 (thick cyan): ~6765 – Above current price; Flattening out.
Structure: Bullish Trending since April lows.
📈 RSI (14 Close) Current: 43 (57 MA)
Interpretation: Below neutral (50), momentum is weakening.
📈 MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD Line: 1; Signal Line: 4.2; Histogram: -3.2
Interpretation: MACD is growing bearish, histogram showing increasing intensity, yet still above 0.
🎯 Key Levels
Support: various possible trend lines shown (Purple). Price action Monday will determine their validity. Swing low at 6681.
Resistance: Overhead moving averages. ATH at 6800.
🧨 Volatility Outlook
VIX - After a decline, showing signs of inflection. Currently trending upwards on the daily TF.
Government shutdown and headline risk are of some concern to short term price action.
Short Term: A sudden opening of the government could certainly cause a bullish event. I could also imagine certain headlines that would cause a short term bearish event.
Longer term: govt shut downs have typically preceded bullish gains.
📈Macro/Fundamental Analysis
Interpretation: We are in between earnings seasons and with a Gov shutdown, void of Gov Data.
DXY - Pulled back significantly this year. I personally expect it to continue. This could provide a tail wind to equities pricing.
📆 Economic Calendar / Earnings Schedule
Econ Calendar: Relatively Light Next Week
Wednesday - 3PM EST - FOMC Minutes. Dot Plot could cause some action as the minutes are dissected.
Friday - 10AM - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report. A big miss (up or down) could cause some action.
🔍 Summary
🔻 Trend: Long bull run - might be getting stale; Might just be getting started. You decide.
🧩 Momentum: Very high on longer TFs, Turning down on the lower.
🧠 Tactics:
Short Term - I love a 'rotation zone trade'. If price bounces back up into the EMA 21/8 spread zone, I would be looking for some day trade shorts.
Day 44 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$2,542 Quick WinsI followed the bullish flips and buy signals right after the open, took longs, and hit profit targets quickly. There was also a clean backtest bounce at the MOB around 9:42. After those trades, I locked in +$2,542 across all accounts and stepped away for meetings — avoiding the noise and chop that came later.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6755 = Stay Bullish
Below 6740 = Flip Bearish
📰 News Highlights
UBS RAISES GOLD, SILVER PRICE FORECASTS AGAIN
Day 43 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Fresh RecordsDay 43 of Trading Only S&P Futures is done — and despite fighting through the flu, I finished +$1,069 across all accounts.
The morning was tough with negative gamma and a few bad trades, but patience was the difference-maker. Once bullish structure aligned with positive gamma, I trusted my levels, bought the dip at MOB, and it worked out beautifully.
📰 News Highlights
DOW, S&P 500 AND NASDAQ CLINCH FRESH RECORDS
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6745 = Stay Bullish
Below 6730 = Flip Bearish
Day 42 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$821 While SickDay 42 of Trading Only S&P Futures is wrapped up with +$821 across all accounts.
Even while battling the flu, I stuck to the process: waited for price to hit MOB, took the clean play, and locked in early. The rest of the day was more about protecting focus than chasing trades.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6745 = Stay Bullish
Below 6715 = Flip Bearish
📰 News Highlights
S&P 500 closes above 6,700 on bets of limited shutdown impact
Day 41 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Beating the WhipsawDay 41 of Trading Only S&P Futures closes green across the board: +$1,866 across all accounts, with +$409 booked on my main account.
The market felt wild today with whipsaw moves all over. Instead of forcing trades, I waited it out and stayed patient near breakeven. Toward the end of the session, I finally got high-probability setups — and that made the day.
My trade copier app glitched out, so execution wasn’t perfect across accounts, but the main lesson here is clear: patience beats trying to fight the chop.
📰 News Highlights
DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ end higher as government shutdown looms
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6720 = Flip Bullish
Below 6695 = Flip Bearish
Day 40 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$2,515 LossDay 40 of Trading Only S&P Futures closes with another red day, down -$2,515.
I started the day with losses from an overnight trade but worked back to breakeven after a few solid setups. Then came the turning point — I bet on structure flipping bullish, set multiple buy-the-dip orders with stops just under 6701, and got wicked out two points before the bounce. That single trade set the tone for the rest of the session.
On top of that, I was fighting a headache all morning, so instead of tilting, I stepped away, left orders at key levels, and let the market do its thing. This challenge isn’t about perfection — it’s about consistency and learning, even on tough days.
📰 News Highlights
US economic data releases to pause in government shutdown, Bureau of Labor Statistics says.
Day 39 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$2,465 DrawdownDay 39 of Trading Only S&P Futures ends with a tough -$2,465 loss.
The morning started strong — I was green on my first three trades with bullish signals at the open. But by 10am, unexpected news about a government shutdown and rate cut doubts shook the market. I got shaken out, lost my morning gains, and ended the day deep in the red.
In hindsight, if I had trusted my analysis, kept my MOB buy-the-dip orders, and stayed patient, I would’ve finished green. Instead, I let the news trigger me and broke discipline.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6705 = Flip Bullish
Below 6675 = Flip Bearish
Day 38 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$1,935 WinI’m trading one system, one ticker — S&P 500 futures — every single day for a full year. I journal every session to track progress, reflect, and sharpen my execution.
If you’re serious about building consistency and treating trading like a business, you’re in the right place.
Stick around — at the end, I’ll break down the key levels I’m watching for tomorrow. Let’s go.
Recap & Trades
Day 38 was different — I woke up late, wasn’t feeling well, and missed the morning’s big drop and recovery. Instead of forcing trades, I stayed patient on the sidelines.
By the afternoon, DL and DD signals lined up beautifully. That’s when I stepped in, executed clean trades, and finished the session +$1,935. Proof that sometimes the best edge is waiting until the market gives you alignment.
Day 37 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$1,559 Bearish BreakdownDay 37 of Trading Only S&P Futures is wrapped up with a strong green day — finishing +$1,559.
The session didn’t start smooth. Running on 4 hours of sleep, I accidentally put in a buy order instead of a sell order at the 1-min MOB level. That mistake cost me some early profits, but once I flipped short, the bearish structure was undeniable.
From there, it was all about riding the trend down — stacking shorts as sell signals and structure aligned. A strong reminder that even with mistakes, discipline and following the signals can still turn the day around.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Flip Bullish
Below 6708 = Remain Bearish
VWAP/OR Setups & Macro Crosscurrents (Sept 24, 2025)The S&P 500 (MES1!) is currently in a volatile state as Wednesday’s trading session commences.
Macro headwinds have dampened expectations for further rate cuts, leading to weakness in Big Tech yesterday. On the other hand, sector tailwinds have emerged, with Micron reporting strong Q4 earnings and Boeing and Palantir forming an AI partnership. These developments have generated after-hours optimism, supporting the performance of semiconductors and AI-related stocks.
This volatile environment presents opportunities for scalpers. The volatility around VWAP/OR levels, coupled with liquidity-driven inflections, creates fertile ground for scalping.
Chart Context (MES1! – 15m & 5m overlays):
VWAP serves as a key pivot point, with multiple reclaims and rejections occurring overnight. The ORH stands at 6720.50, while the ORL is at 6719.75. As of pre-market, the VWAP is also at 6719.75. High-volume nodes at 6710–6722 act as scalp magnet zones. The overnight low at 6701.50 remains the downside inflection point.
Scalping Plan:
- Long bias above VWAP/OR breaks with volume. Target 6728 to 6735+.
- Fade VWAP rejections back to OR. Quick 1–2pt rotations.
- Avoid chop inside VWAP compression.
Risk Management:
- Use half-size into the open; scale only on confirmed breakout.
- Hard stop: sustained trade below 6701.50.
- Event risk: 10:00 AM New Home Sales, 4:10 PM Mary Daly speech.
Takeaway:
Scalpers should focus on reacting to market movements rather than predicting future trends. The ongoing debate between Powell and Micron is likely to lead to whipsaws in the market. Therefore, it’s crucial to adhere to VWAP/OR discipline, respect liquidity pockets, and let the market tape confirm the direction of the trade.
Day 36 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$1175 LossDay 36 of Trading Only S&P Futures is in the books — and it wasn’t pretty.
I started the session well, up about +$100, but got greedy and overleveraged at 6728 thinking Powell’s comments would flip the market bullish. I was wrong. That single forced trade cost me the day, dropping -$1175.
To make things worse, I missed the chance to buy the actual bottom near 6702. If I’d stayed patient, today could’ve been a very different outcome.
Lesson learned: don’t rush, don’t get over-reliant on gamma levels, and trust my own TA and the algo more.
📰 News Highlights
S&P 500, NASDAQ pull back from records as Powell says stocks are overvalued
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Flip Bullish
Below 6700 = Flip Bearish
Day 35 — Trading Only S&P Futures | SPX Hits RecordDay 35 of Trading Only S&P Futures is complete!
Today was one of the smoother days. We opened with a bullish structure signal and a clean backtest near the MOB. From there, the market ripped higher. I didn’t catch the full move but I did nail the initial push, which gave me space to step away for most of the day.
Later in the afternoon, I tried shorting with a tight stop and got clipped. Reentered closer to 6755 resistance, and that short worked out well, closing the day +$849.90.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6705 = Remain Bullish
Below 6690 = Flip Bearish
📰 News Highlights
The S&P 500 just ended at a new record for the 28th time this year.
Day 32 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$2,171 FOMC ReversalDay 32 of Trading Only S&P Futures is in the books!
The day started rough — I went long off an X7 buy signal at the 1-min MOB, got greedy, and ended up down -180 early. Instead of forcing it, I stepped away. By the afternoon, I was mapping out key levels ahead of FOMC.
That prep paid off. My orders for the “pop and drop” scenarios lined up perfectly with the signals. I made back my losses and finished +$2,171. Discipline + structure = consistency.
📰 News Highlights
Fed projections show 9 of 19 officials see two more cuts in 2025
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6670 = Flip Bullish
Below 6640 = Flip Bearish
Day 31 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$24 Near Breakeven“I actually started the day rough — down nearly -400 overnight after an oversized short on that early X7 sell signal. That put me close to my stop-loss limit, so I forced myself to wait for 2–3 confirmations before entering again.
By slowing down and focusing only on high-probability trades, I was able to grind my way back to nearly breakeven — closing the day at just -24.
The key lesson? Overleveraging at night cost me what could have been an easy green day. Discipline around size is just as important as reading the signals.”
News Context:
“On the macro side, Bessent said a 25 basis-point cut is already priced in. No surprises there, but it reinforces why the market isn’t reacting much to Fed talk at this point.”
Key Levels for Tomorrow:
“Here’s what I’ll be watching:
Above 6660 = Stay bullish
Below 6645 = Flip bearish
Day 30 — Trading Only S&P Futures | One-Month MarkDay 30 of Trading Only S&P Futures is in the books!
I started the day a little rough, down -100 from an overnight trade, but patience paid off. Watching NQ DD buy signals kept me from forcing shorts early, and SPX gamma levels showed 6620 as the top. Once we hit it, I shorted and played the range for steady gains, finishing with a clean MOB bounce for +196.94.
Big milestone here — 30 straight days of trading only the S&P Futures. The consistency is starting to show, and the lessons are stacking up fast.
📰 News Highlights
VIX jumped 6% while the market gained 0.5% — an odd divergence worth watching.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow=
Above 6645 = Remain Bullish
Below 6635 = Flip Bearish
Day 29 — Trading Only S&P Futures | From Red to GreenWelcome to Day 29 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
The day started bearish, and my early shorts worked — until the market began spiking up and flipping bullish. Some of those positions hit stop-loss, so I stepped back and waited.
At 6605 gamma resistance, I shorted again with conviction and rode the reversal back into positive territory, finishing the day at +91.81.
This was a good reminder to not overstay trades when conditions are choppy, and to wait for the high-probability levels to do the heavy lifting.
📰 News Highlights
U.S. SEPTEMBER MICHIGAN 5-YEAR EXPECTED INFLATION RISES 3.9%; EST. 3.4%; PREV. 3.5%
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6565 = Remain Bullish
Below 6535 = Flip Bearish
Day 27 — Trading Only S&P Futures | 20pt Win & Bottom CatchWelcome to Day 27 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Started the day red due to overnight trades, but once the session opened, everything lined up perfectly. I waited for resistance after spotting multiple X7 sell signals, shorted the top, and caught a 20-point move down to MOB. From there, I flipped long, and later caught the market bottom with the help of Bia’s analysis.
The result? A smooth +385 day — clean reads, clean execution.
📰 News Highlights
S&P 500, NASDAQ eke out record closing highs after tame PPI inflation data
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6515 = Remain Bullish
Below 6500 = Flip Bearish
Sep 10 MES Recap: Watching MAG7, Session Highs/Lows, and Higher MES Journal – September 10, 2025
Today I traded MES using supply and demand levels, while also tracking leadership from the MAG7 (with QQQ as my main proxy).
Track the MAG7 with me on TradingView using the MAG7
List .
I didn’t trade with this strategy until a few guys in my Discord recommended it. I had a bit of a learning curve, but I finished green on most accounts for the first time in a while.
Context I Tracked
Asian session high/low: 6,514 / 6,492
London session high/low: 6,528 / 6,506
Previous day high/low: 6,536.25 / 6,489.25
PPI report (Aug 2025): -0.1% vs forecast, shifted bias from bullish to bearish intraday
VWAP levels on both ES and QQQ
Wins
Stayed green overall on funded accounts with payout potential.
Saw the end-of-day pump confirmed by MAG7, even after an initial retrace.
Reinforced my supply/demand and VWAP process.
Losses and Lessons Learned
Entered one trade without higher timeframe confirmation, which cost me a FundingTicks eval account (treating this loss as tuition).
Learned that higher timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) must confirm intraday levels before entering.
Looking Forward
I’ll combine:
Supply/Demand + Session Highs/Lows
Leader ETF (QQQ/MGK/MAG7)
Higher Timeframes (1H/4H/Daily)
This approach gives me more conviction and fewer blind trades.
Indicators
Since I’m still learning how to mark levels properly, I’m starting out with indicators to help reinforce that I’m using potentially correct levels. I primarily used:
Asian
& London Sessions High/Lows
Previous
Highs & Lows
Supply
and Demand Visible Range
TradingView default VWAP indicator