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Monero Confirmed BreakoutMonero CRYPTO:XMRUSD has broken the local high at 470 with a Weekly closing bar of 470.38. Even if by 0.38 this is still a rule followed to confirm the breakout. The next Resistance will be at the All Time High at 517.60. Given the breakout confirmation and momentum it is the highest probability that price will test the ATH and then we will see if it that weekly bar closes to confirm it as well. How High Can Monero Go? I do not presume to accurately call tops. Given the progression of ATHs the most likely next high would be around 593. Using a projection of 3 Year Historic Volatility the target could be 793. Caveat: Such a fast rise in price means inheirent high volatility and a look at Monero's long term history shows that a dramatic snap back is eventually very likely. This is a very difficult ticker to go long at this point. That being said - I still continue to believe that Monero is the best asymmetric bet in cryptocurrency right now.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
1
Monero XMR price analysisIs CRYPTOCAP:XMR preparing to break its ATH? Looking at the #XMRUSDT chart, it feels like #Monero is approaching a critical moment. After years of consolidation, a confirmed hold above $520 could mark the start of a real harvest season 🌾 🔓 This level may become the key trigger that shifts CRYPTOCAP:XMR into a new market phase. 🎯 So what’s the real target for #Monero? ▪️ $1250? ▪️ Or even much higher — $4300? 💰 Current market cap is around $7.9B. Do you believe CRYPTOCAP:XMR is capable of growing to: ➡️ $23B ➡️ or even $80B? 🤔 Share your thoughts — is #Monero ready to surprise the market again? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by P_S_trade
6
Monero: "Delisting is a Feature"What if NOT being listed on major Centralized Exchanges is Monero's greatest bull case? Most investors assume the same thing: Assets go up because they attract speculative capital. Liquidity, listings, leverage, and visibility are treated as prerequisites for valuation. So Monero’s biggest “problem” — being delisted from major centralized exchanges due to its privacy guarantees — is usually framed as fatal. But what if that assumption is backward? What if removal from the speculative casino is precisely why Monero behaves differently — and arguably better — than the rest of crypto? The common criticism (and why it persists) The standard argument goes like this: Monero’s privacy features make it non-compliant with evolving regulations. That forces centralized exchanges to delist it. Without exchange access, speculative inflows dry up. Without speculation, price stagnates. That narrative has circulated for years. It sounds logical. It’s also increasingly contradicted by reality. Despite repeated delistings, Monero has emerged as one of the most uncorrelated assets in the entire crypto market. And correlation — not volatility — is what quietly destroys portfolios. What the charts are actually showing INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:ETHUSD CRYPTO:SOLUSD CRYPTO:DOGEUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD This morning’s sharp up/down move rippled across crypto almost uniformly. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Doge, XRP — all displayed the same pattern: A volatility spike A break from bearish consolidation A quick rejection back into the range or lower It was a textbook “low-volume volatility quake.” Monero barely reacted. While the rest of the market moved as a single organism — pushed and pulled by the same algos, market makers, and thin liquidity — Monero’s bullish trend remained largely uninterrupted. When everything moves together except one asset, that exception matters. The delisting that changed the story On February 6, 2024, Monero dropped over 30% overnight. At first, I assumed the worst — a cryptographic failure or privacy compromise. Instead, the cause was simple: Binance delisted Monero for regulatory non-compliance with privacy coins. In other words, Monero was punished for working exactly as designed. I held. This ended up being a market reaction quickly abated and Monero has rallied over 300%. The selloff faded quickly. Since that low, Monero has rallied more than 300%. Being removed from the highest-volume exchange did not suppress Monero’s value. If anything, it may have liberated it. The overlooked mechanism Most cryptocurrencies are now: Heavily centralized around exchanges Continuously arbitraged Priced primarily through leverage and relative flows That makes them efficient — and tightly correlated. Monero exists increasingly outside that system. With fewer algos, less leverage, and limited access to reflexive speculation, Monero’s price is influenced more by: Actual usage Holder conviction Intrinsic demand for private settlement That doesn’t make it exciting every day. It makes it structurally different. And markets eventually reward assets that don’t break the same way everything else does. A thought worth sitting with Most people believe delistings remove value. That belief feels obvious — until you watch an asset stop reacting to the same forces that destabilize everything else. Monero may not be underperforming because it lacks speculation. It may be outperforming because it no longer depends on it. In a market addicted to correlation, independence is not a bug. It’s the feature everyone overlooks — right up until it matters.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
3
XMR Compressing Inside Symmetrical Triangle Near Breakout ZoneXMR is currently trading inside a well-defined symmetrical triangle, formed by a series of lower highs and higher lows after a strong impulse move. This structure reflects balanced pressure between buyers and sellers, signaling compression before a volatility expansion. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle while holding above the rising support. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance with acceptance can trigger a continuation move toward the 436 region, followed by the higher resistance near 480. If price fails to break the upper boundary and loses the rising support, the triangle will resolve to the downside. In that scenario, the next demand areas are located near 360 and 319, where price previously reacted strongly. This setup is driven by triangle compression, trendline interaction, and liquidity buildup. The breakout direction will define the next major move, making confirmation essential before bias selection.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
XMR - Institutional Analysis: Channel Support Buy Zone | Dec 7XMRUSD - The Privacy Resistance: How Regulatory War Created The Perfect Parallel Channel Setup by officialjackofalltrades 🟡 CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH December 7, 2025 Institutional Technical Analysis | Whale Signals Integrated 📈 Executive Summary - The Setup Current Price: $372.78 | December 7, 2025 Monero is trading at a critical inflection point inside a well-defined parallel channel that has dictated price action for the past 90 days. After a spectacular +23% rally to $420 in the first week of December, XMR has pulled back to test lower channel support at $370-380 exactly where technical analysis suggests the next major move will be decided. The Technical Setup: Pattern: Ascending parallel channel (bullish structure) Current Position: Lower channel support ($370-380) Resistance: Upper channel boundary ($420-450) Key Decision Level: $360 (below = channel break, above = bounce continuation) The Fundamental Backdrop: While retail focuses on regulatory FUD from 2024 delistings (Binance, Kraken, OKX), they're missing three critical developments: XMR reclaimed privacy crown from Zcash on November 29, 2025 Fluorine Fermi upgrade enhanced network surveillance defenses on October 10 Early December saw 23% price surge despite broader crypto market liquidations The Trade: Long from $360-380, target $420-480, stop $355 below .. Monero's price on December 7, 2025, is fluctuating approximately between $390 and $400, with some reports indicating a notable 23% increase in the first week, pushing its average trading price to $406 and briefly reaching a short-run high of $420 . What This Means: The $420 short-run high demonstrates XMR's technical strength even as it tests the upper boundary of the channel. The current pullback to $372 is textbook technical behavior—price respecting the parallel structure. Current Technical Position: Support Levels (Where buyers defend): $370-$380: Lower parallel channel + 50-day MA convergence (CURRENT LEVEL) $360-$365: Channel absolute floor + psychological support $320-$340: Major support cluster from Aug-Nov accumulation $280-$300: Nuclear capitulation zone (10% probability) Resistance Levels (Where sellers appear) $400-$420: Recent high + upper channel boundary $435-$450: Channel breakout zone + 2025 YTD high $480-$500: Psychological resistance + near ATH $517.62: All-time high (May 2021) Not overbought (room to run higher) Not oversold (not in panic selling zone) Neutral = equilibrium before next directional move MACD (Momentum): Histogram: Positive but declining (losing steam short-term) Signal line: Approaching bullish cross Interpretation: Consolidation before next leg up Volume Analysis: 24-hour trading volume of $114.56M - this is concerning. Volume has been declining since the December 3 peak, indicating: Thin liquidity from exchange delistings Lower participation = higher volatility potential Breakouts need VOLUME confirmation 🔎 Fundamental Analysis - The Regulatory War Creates Opportunity While technical analysis shows the "what" and "when," fundamentals explain the "why." Here's what's REALLY happening with Monero: CATALYST #1: The Exchange Delisting Paradox The Bearish Narrative (What retail sees): Binance delisted XMR February 2024 OKX delisted XMR January 2024 Kraken delisted XMR in EEA October 2024 "Privacy coins are dying!" The Reality (What institutions know): Monero founder Riccardo Spagni said: "Kraken delisting Monero in Europe just goes to prove what we already know: Chainalysis et al. simply can't squeeze enough information out of Monero's privacy to be meaningful, otherwise regulators would want Monero to stay listed as a honeypot". Read that again. The delistings PROVE Monero's privacy works. If regulators could track Monero, they'd WANT it listed to monitor users. The fact they're forcing delistings means they can't break the privacy. Market Impact: Short-term: Liquidity crunch, price volatility Long-term: Validates Monero's core value proposition Institutional view: "Monero is the ONLY privacy coin that actually works" CATALYST #2: FCMP++ Upgrade - The Game Changer Network improvements such as FCMP++ (Full Chain Membership Proofs) represent the most significant privacy enhancement since Monero's creation. What FCMP++ Does: Removes the need for ring signatures with fixed size Enables membership proofs over the ENTIRE blockchain Makes transaction tracing mathematically impossible (not just difficult) Reduces transaction size = lower fees A breakout imminent now that we are about to hit the all-time high of $517 will take XMR to new heights, particularly with the successful implementation of network improvements such as FCMP++ . Developer Momentum: Fluorine Fermi upgrade on October 10, 2025 enhanced defenses against network surveillance risks. Then Ledger Wallet Bug Fix on November 14, 2025 patched a critical vulnerability when rejecting view key exports. Translation: While other projects ship vaporware, Monero is shipping real privacy tech that regulators literally cannot break. CATALYST #3: Privacy Demand at All-Time High As of December 7, 2025, Monero (XMR) continues to be a focal point in the cryptocurrency market, primarily due to its unwavering commitment to privacy in an increasingly regulated digital landscape. The irony? Regulatory crackdowns INCREASE demand for privacy. Every time a government announces surveillance measures, Monero adoption spikes. Every time an exchange delists XMR, peer-to-peer volume increases. XMR surged 30% from November lows, defying crypto-wide liquidations on December 1. While Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins crashed with $637M in liquidations, Monero rallied. Why? Because in times of uncertainty, people want privacy. CATALYST #4: The Zcash Flip Reclaims Privacy Crown (29 November 2025) – Overtook Zcash in market cap amid capital rotation. This is MASSIVE. Zcash (ZEC) was Monero's main competitor for years. But Comparatively, Zcash (ZEC) has fallen by almost a quarter during the same time, which points to the unstable nature of the privacy coin segment. Why Monero Won: Zcash has optional privacy (most transactions are transparent) Zcash has a company behind it (Zcash Foundation) = regulatory target Monero has mandatory privacy (all transactions private) Monero is truly decentralized (no company, no CEO) Capital is flowing FROM weak privacy (ZEC) TO strong privacy (XMR). This trend is accelerating. ⚠️ Risk Factors - The Bear Case I'm bullish on the technical setup, but let's address the others in the room: RISK #1: Mining Centralization (Qubic Attack) Qubic grabbed 20% of all blocks in 24h during mining marathon, while DDoS attacks hit network. Qubic's growing hashrate share (peaking at 38% in July 2025) threatens decentralization, a core Monero value proposition. What happened: Qubic, a quantum-resistant blockchain, started mining XMR with specialized hardware, capturing up to 38% of network hashrate. Why it matters: If one entity controls >51% hashrate, they could theoretically attack the network. Current Status: Qubic hashrate declined from 38% (July) to ~20% (December) P2Pool (decentralized mining pool) is growing Monero community is working on algorithm tweaks My take: This was concerning in July, but the trend is REVERSING. Hashrate is becoming more distributed again. RISK #2: Thin Liquidity = High Volatility 24-hour trading volume of $114.56M is low compared to XMR's $7.21B market cap. Volume-to-Market Cap Ratio: 1.6% (very low) Bitcoin: ~5-8% Ethereum: ~4-6% Monero: ~1.6% What this means: Large orders can move price significantly Volatility is higher than major coins Slippage is a concern for larger trades Trading Implication: Use limit orders, not market orders. Scale in/out slowly. RISK #3: Regulatory Uncertainty Governments and financial regulators are cracking down on cryptocurrencies that allow users to hide their transaction details, fearing that they could be used for illicit activities like money laundering, tax evasion, and terrorism financing. Potential Future Actions: More exchange delistings (though most already done) Criminalization of possession (extreme, unlikely) Banking restrictions on fiat on/off ramps Counterpoint: Resolving the gap in mining and avoiding international regulations will be the key to preventing the backlash, but Monero has interesting arguments in its practical use of privacy in the real world, especially in a market where utility is highly valued more than speculation . 🎯 THE TRADE SETUP - Institutional-Grade Execution 🟢 PRIMARY LONG SETUP: BUY XMRUSD Entry Zone: $360-$380 (SCALE IN - We're at the PERFECT zone RIGHT NOW) Position Sizing (Conservative Institutional Approach): Allocate 4-6% of portfolio (this is a MEDIUM conviction trade due to liquidity risk) Scale in strategy: 30% at $375-380 (CURRENT - enter NOW if not in) $365-370 (if we get one more dip to channel support) $360-365 (if we hit absolute channel floor) Stop Loss: $355 Below $355 = parallel channel broken on daily close Below this = technical structure invalidated Max loss: 6-8% from average entry Take Profit Targets (Institutional Scale-Out Strategy): TP1: $420-$435 Upper parallel channel resistance retest December 2-3 peak at $420 retest Action: move stop to $370 (breakeven) TP2: $450-$480 (Probability: 50%) Channel breakout + FCMP++ upgrade hype builds Monero forecast between $382.54 and $456.36 next year Action: move stop to $420 (lock gains) All-time high $517.62 retest Full bull market confirmation Provided that buyers continue their growth, XMR is one of the best cryptos to consider as the new bull run might start with the daily close higher than $327 Entry Confirmation Checklist (Use This Before Entering): ✅ Price holding above $360 (channel support intact) ✅ Volume spike on bounce (150K+ XMR on daily candle) ✅ RSI crosses above 55 (momentum shift confirmed) ✅ MACD bullish cross on H4 timeframe ✅ Bitcoin holding above $95K (macro support) ✅ No surprise negative regulatory news (check daily) WAIT FOR 4/6 CONFIRMATIONS BEFORE DEPLOYING FULL POSITION Weekly Monitoring Requirements: CRITICAL - Check EVERY WEEK: Hashrate distribution: If Qubic >40% again, reduce position 50% Exchange news: Any re-listings = bullish, add to position Developer activity: Check Monero GitHub for FCMP++ progress Regulatory news: New delistings = short-term bearish, long-term bullish Bitcoin correlation: If BTC <$90K, reduce XMR position 30-50% Volume trends: If 24h volume <$80M consistently, reduce position 5. Emergency Exit Conditions (CUT IMMEDIATELY): ❌ Daily close below $355 = EXIT ALL (channel broken) ❌ Qubic hashrate >51% sustained = EXIT ALL (security risk) ❌ Major security vulnerability discovered = EXIT ALL ❌ Bitcoin crashes below $85K = EXIT 50%, trail rest tight ❌ Volume dries up below $50M/24h = EXIT 50% (liquidity crisis) 📊 Scenario Analysis - What Happens Next Base Case: Channel Bounce to $420-450 What happens: XMR holds $370 support ✓ Bounces along lower channel to retest $420 resistance Volume increases modestly FCMP++ development continues Breaks $435, targets $450-480 Timeline: 2-4 weeks Expected Return: +17-29% Catalysts: Technical bounce, no new negative news Bull Case (2 Channel Breakout to $500+ What happens: XMR breaks above $450 with VOLUME XMR forecasted to reach $456.36 by January 1, 2026 FCMP++ release creates buzz Privacy narrative strengthens Targets ATH $517 Timeline: 4-8 weeks Expected Return: +34-40% Catalysts: FCMP++ launch, major adoption news, BTC >$110K Bear Case (15% Probability): Channel Break to $320-340 What happens: XMR breaks below $360 on volume Tests major support at $320-340 Regulatory FUD intensifies Bitcoin corrects below $95K Thin liquidity amplifies drop Timeline: 1-2 weeks Expected Return: -8 to -14% Catalysts: Surprise delisting, BTC crash, Qubic attack Probability-Weighted Expected Return: 🔥 The Bottom Line - Why This Setup Works Let me synthesize everything into a clear thesis: The Technical Case: ✅ Parallel channel: 8 successful tests, currently at lower support ✅ +23% surge in first week of December to $420 ✅ Overtook Zcash in market cap November 29 ✅ Fluorine Fermi upgrade enhanced security October 10 ✅ Privacy demand at all-time high in regulated landscape ✅ Delistings prove Monero's privacy actually works The Risk Case: ⚠️ Thin liquidity (<$115M daily volume) ⚠️ Qubic mining centralization (peaked 38% hashrate) ⚠️ Regulatory uncertainty ongoing ⚠️ Exchange access limited (most CEXs delisted) The Trade: Entry: $360-380 (we're at $372 NOW) Stop: $355 (-5% max loss) Target : $380-400 IF YOU'RE BEARISH: Wait for: Daily close below $360 (channel break confirmed) Then short from $355-360 with tight stop at $380 Target $320-340 support retest Cover at $320, reassess IF YOU'RE NEUTRAL: Split the Difference: Enter only at $365-370 (better risk/reward) Take profits aggressively This is the "I believe but I'm cautious" approach 💬 Final Thoughts - The Uncomfortable Truth Here's what I know for certain on December 7, 2025: ✅_ContinueYour parallel channel analysis is PERFECT - XMR is respecting the structure exactly ✅ +23% rally to $420 in December's first week proves momentum ✅ XMR reclaimed privacy crown from Zcash - capital rotation happening ✅ Privacy demand at all-time high - fundamental bid exists ✅ Delistings prove Monero's tech works - validates thesis ✅ We're at lower channel support ($370) - mathematically optimal entry Will Bitcoin hold $100K or crash? Will Qubic attack Monero's hashrate again? Will more exchanges delist (though most already have)? Drop a 🟠 if you're entering XMR at $360-380 channel support. Drop a 📊 if this parallel channel analysis helped you. Drop a 🔒 if you believe in privacy's future. Drop a 💰 if you're ready for $450+ in Q1 2026.
CRYPTO:XMRUSDLong
by officialjackofalltrades
Monero Price Action Report — Breakout Strength and Target ZoneXMR/USDT Bullish Breakout Blueprint! 🚀📈 (Swing & Day Trade Plan) Description: Monero is awakening! 🦋 A dynamic breakout is in play, offering a clear technical setup for both swing and day traders. Here’s your professional blueprint to navigate this opportunity. 📊 Trading Thesis: Bullish Breakout The setup is confirmed by a breakout above the key Weighted Moving Average (WMA) dynamic resistance near 420.00. This signals a potential shift in momentum and opens the door for a bullish move. 🎯 Execution Plan 🟢 Entry Zone: Any price AFTER a confirmed breakout & close above 420.00. Look for a retest of the WMA as support for an optimal risk-reward entry. ⛔ Stop Loss (Risk Management): A logical stop loss can be placed below 390.00, which is under the recent support and WMA structure. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my suggested SL based on my strategy. You MUST adjust your position size and stop loss based on your own risk tolerance and capital. Always wait for breakout confirmation before placing your SL. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit): Our primary target is the 460.00 zone. This area represents a strong historical resistance level and could coincide with overbought conditions. Secure your profits proactively! 💡 Professional Note: This is my initial target. You are free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop. "Make money, then take money" – manage your trade actively! 🔍 Key Levels & Rationale Bullish Trigger: WMA Breakout > 420.00 Invalidation Level: < 390.00 (Bullish structure broken) Target Zone: 460.00 (Major Resistance & Profit-Taking Zone) 🌐 Related Pairs & Market Correlations Diversify your watchlist! The crypto market is highly correlated. Movements in XMR often relate to these assets: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance): 📉 A decrease in BTC.D often fuels altcoin rallies, which is bullish for XMR. BTC/USDT: 👑 The King leads, alts follow. A strong, stable, or rising Bitcoin is generally positive for the entire crypto market, including Monero. Privacy Coin Sector: CRYPTOCAP:ZEC (Zcash) & NASDAQ:DASH 📊 Key Point: Watch these for sector-wide momentum. A bullish move in XMR is often mirrored in other major privacy coins, confirming a sector trend. Major Alts: ETH/USDT 💙 & XRP/USDT ⚡ Key Point: Strength in large-cap alts like ETH and XRP creates a risk-on environment, which is beneficial for mid-cap coins like Monero. ✅ Final Checklist Before Entering: ✅ Breakout & close above WMA (420) confirmed? ✅ Volume supporting the move? ✅ SL set according to MY risk management? ✅ Related pairs (BTC, ETH) showing strength? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬 Are you bullish or bearish on XMR? Like & Follow 👍 for more high-quality, actionable trade ideas! #TradingView #XMR #Monero #Crypto #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #WMA #BTC #Altcoins #DeFi
by The-Thief
1
XMR Sell/Short Signal (4H)XMR has turned bearish after the change of character (CH) and, following the break of the short-term trendline, has now pulled back to a resistance zone while also sweeping a liquidity pool above the pivots. With proper risk management and adherence to the stop-loss, this setup can be entered. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will negate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
XMR -- Phase 2, eyeing a retap of ATH area plus more! SEED now!Monero (XMR) is outperforming other cryptocurrencies and traditional markets, with a 74% year-to-date increase, despite being delisted from major exchanges and banned in the EU. Its strong privacy features, such as untraceable transactions and upcoming updates like FCMP++, make it a preferred choice for financial privacy. Monero is widely used in peer-to-peer commerce, including dark web transactions and emerging marketplaces. Its growing adoption highlights its role as a private, decentralized alternative to traditional financial systems. Based on recent metrics, XMR has been showing some decoupling behavior from the crypto space bringing forth a sense of price independence from the market. Recent long term data is hinting of another basing season which hints of another accumulation period -- an impending round of growth season ahead. We are currently on Phase 2 of this higher base shift at current price of 290.0. Phase 1 started from early 2024 on Q1 when it tapped the lows of 99.0 and went parabolic to tap the 400 zone early 2025 (12 months after). As with any overheated parabolic move, the coin was met with strong profit taking -- undergoing an extended corrective season and finally settling at the 200 range. Now, based on recent metrics -- XMR is now ripe for another round of growth series from here on, targeting a retap of previous peak at 420 -- and eventually the ATH zone at 517.60. Ideal seeding period is now. Based on our diagram -- discount darvas meter has been activated. Meaning, current pricing is now at bargain levels and price growth is expected from here on as we more forward. Spotted at 290. Interim target at previous peak 420. Long term - ATH at 517 / then beyond at 800-1k levels. TAYOR. Trade safely always.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by JSAL
1
Monero: The best asymmetric bet in crypto"Your winners are never big enough." I don’t recall who said it first, but I credit legendary trader Peter Brandt for popularizing this maxim — the one that comforts every risk-conscious trader whose conviction proves right but whose position size was too small. A little over two years ago, I realized that Monero embodies the ethos Bitcoin once had: private, decentralized, uncensorable money free from government and corporate control. Bitcoin has since drifted from that ideal. It may function as a store of value today, but it has surrendered most of its role as a medium of exchange on the internet. Monero has quietly taken that mantle. Watching major Bitcoin thefts be traced and seized — because Bitcoin is, in fact, traceable — only reinforced my view: Monero’s value as true private money would keep growing as the market caught on. Since forming that conviction, I’ve seen two events that seemed to threaten Monero’s survival — yet ultimately proved its resilience. The first was Monero’s delisting from Binance, forced by European regulations banning privacy coins. The market panicked; XMR dropped 30% overnight. At first, I feared its code had been compromised. But the truth was simpler — and far more bullish. Monero was being recognized as working exactly as intended: too private for governments to track. The second came this year with an attempted 51% hashrate takeover. Confusion reigned, and even I questioned whether this was an existential threat. Yet I decided that if the world could no longer sustain private money, little else would matter. I held my conviction — and Monero endured. Through all of it, Monero has proven to be the pluckiest cryptocurrency alive — rising now amid one of the most skeptical phases of the current bull cycle. From a price-action standpoint, the weekly close above the prior $420 high (yes, that number) would confirm a breakout. But I don’t think it matters. As a trader, I’ve found Monero almost un-tradable — my usual methods simply don’t apply to XMR/USD. Its chart behaves unlike any other asset. That doesn’t frustrate me anymore. It fascinates me. The best move with Monero isn’t to trade it — it’s to own it. Monero remains the best asymmetric bet in crypto.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
That Monero FUD AbyssI have been doing this cryptocurrency trading and investing thing for a long time. Any wise trader is constantly learning and I that is what I try to do. But like any human subject vulnerable to mass emotion and hysteria sometimes we need a sharp reminder of how to properly digest or ignore what "everyone" is feeling. Because "everyone is the market and "everyone" (including myself) is the market. I have long been a proponent of Monero CRYPTO:XMRUSD because it represents the true ethos of cryptocurrency; truly decentralized, untraceable by default, uncensorable, private money. Its actual usage online as a medium of exchange has remained strong and continues to expand unabated by exchange delistings and government sanctions. Its adoption has been slow, organic, and relentless since its inception over a decade ago. I believe it represents an asymmetric bet with limited downside and large potential upside. I will never bullpost claiming someone is going to make HUGE returns, but history has shown a compounding appreciation of value that is poised to continue. April 2025: Earlier in the year, there was a persistent rumor that a massive price surge was due to a hacker dumping a large quantity of Bitcoin who then proceeded to convert it without regard to exchange rate into Monero. Whether true or not, that was the "reason" framing the narrative as price rocketed from Monero's normal, relatively stable range to a significant breakout. Once this price action peaked, a new "news" cycle began to hit social media... August 2025: In August 2025, another project named Qubic sparked crypto market panic by claiming a 51% attack on Monero via its "Useful Proof of Work" mining pool, alleging temporary control of over 50% of the network’s hashrate, causing minor chain reorgs and drawing miners with triple-profit promises. Outlets like CoinDesk and Cointelegraph amplified the narrative with unverified reports, including CoinDesk’s August 18 tweet falsely stating Qubic had successfully "attacked" Monero. During this time, being the long term advocate for Monero that I am... I became concerned. I voraciously consumed all the information I could online via social media and blogs. I wanted to understand the threat so that I, as an investor, could act appropriately. I let the fear seep into me. I became scared. I was worried, as the market was, that Monero might actually be doomed to fail. By mid-August, independent analyses from RIAT and experts like Luke Parker debunked the claims as statistical impossibilities and marketing hype, with no double-spends or sustained control proven. One thing I did at the time was try to send a transaction on Monero for testing. It worked. The network was functional. Once the attack was exposed as a failure price resumed its normal albeit volatile and steady price appreciation. The best opportunity for an investor is when there is "blood in the streets." "Be greedy when others are fearful." But I spent my time trying to imbibe what I believed was useful information to inform my decision. So that when price hit $250, a support level and even a number cited by the leader of Qubic I added to my holdings but did not go full port YOLO long. Now in hindsight, my "error" was clear. It wasn't entirely wrong to be risk conscious as one should in any investment. But this event in an asset for which I had exceptional confidence taught me to take social media FUD with a massive grain of salt. I wonder if I had been better off NOT knowing and just following price action alone. One of the core enigmas of investing is that we have to stay informed, but we cannot be drawn into the emotion of the moment; that emotion is already reflected in price. "If you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you."
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
Z CASH Would you risk one to gain 5?IT seems like a good area to pick up a "asset" at a previous All time low. Buying weakness vs strength historically a bad move. yet.. #MONERO got delisted from #Binance ysterday Whilst #ZEC has passed their compliance review --- coincidence??? Laughable stuff !!! But what can we do. Make some "money" on ZEC whilst using XMR if you are that way inclined. Target 1 seems reasonable this year Target 2 in 2025 sure why not and anything beyond from these levels and still are holding well done to you.
BINANCE:ZECUSD
by BallaJi
2
Monero’s Glow — While Markets SlowI’ve mentioned in my previous publications that Monero looks stronger than the overall market. It feels like Bitcoin’s correction doesn’t affect it at all, even though I canceled my previous plan (despite the price not reaching my invalidation zone), because sometimes certain details on the chart raise doubts and make me reconsider my decisions. But that’s exactly how I manage my risks and avoid losses. After reviewing my analysis again, it seems that Monero is heading toward 365. I’m also still following my scenario marked by the orange line from one of my earlier publications on this coin. ❌ Plan invalidation level: marked on the chart with a red line at 342.90. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always make your own decisions and never trade without a stop-loss.
Long
by chart1stry
Orange Path to Glory – Monero’s 420 StoryTwo possible routes are shown on the Monero chart, yet both tell one story — the road to 420. ❌The invalidation zone is highlighted in red at 318,74. 💭 From here, I’m expecting more likely a move down to 324-330 first, before we see Monero shining at 420. That’s the move along the orange arrow. I’m expecting more of a downside first, only then a strong move upward. Let’s see what the chart will show us. This is not financial advice — everyone should manage their own risks
Long
by chart1stry
6
In Silence It Grows — Monero KnowsWhy did no one notice my first post about Monero? 🤔 Even during the recent drops, it never fell below my invalidation zone — not even close! That shows Monero is holding much stronger than the market. In my view, something is forming now that could lead to a serious pump. 🚀 🎯 Target 1: 364 🎯 Target 2: 420 🌕 Global Target: 500 ❌ Invalidation Zone: moved up from 318.74 ➜ 329 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not a trading signal or financial advice. Always make your own decisions based on your own analysis and risk management — and never trade without stop-losses.
Long
by chart1stry
1
XMRUSD Can this Channel Up hold and push it higher?Monero (XMRUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the February 06 2024 Low and last Friday's flash crash almost tested its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). The last time this got hit was on the August 16 2025 Low, which also touched the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the market's natural Support since November 27 2024. As long as this level holds, the Channel Up will remain intact and should technically push for a new Higher High. Ahead of a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross formation (possibly even today), we can assume that XMR will go for at least a +79.64% rally from the recent Low, which has been the 'weakest' Bullish Leg within this pattern. That gives us a $420 Target that would match the May 26 2025 High. Technically the Bullish Leg can also complete a +128.49% rise (strongest Bullish Leg of the pattern), even go as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, again as long as the 1W MA50 holds. If it fails to support though, be ready for a potential 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) test around $190.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by TradingShot
Monero vs USD: Breakout Levels and Layered Trade Setup⚡ XMR/USD | Monero vs USD – Bullish Money Looting Plan 🎭💰 🔑 Trade Plan Overview Bias: Bullish (Swing/Scalping Hybrid Setup) Strategy: Pending Order Breakout + Layered Entries (“Thief Layers” style) Entry Plan (Thief Layering Style) 🔹 Breakout Trigger: 270.00 ⚡ (set alert to catch breakout easily) 🔹 Layered Limit Entries: 260.00 264.00 267.00 270.00 ⚡ (More layers can be added based on personal risk appetite.) 🛡 Stop Loss (Thief Protection) 🔹 Core SL idea: 256.00 🛑 (placed after breakout confirmation) 🔹 ⚠️ Reminder for Thief OG’s: Always adjust SL with your own strategy & risk control. 🎯 Target Zone (Escape with Loot) 🔹 Targeting 295.00 🏰 🔹 ⚡ Zone is near electric trap resistance + overbought area → Be wise, exit before the market turns against you. 🔹 Note: Everyone has their own profit-taking style → Take the loot at your comfort! 📌 Extra Notes (Thief OG Reminder) 🔹 This is a layering strategy with multiple limit buys to reduce risk and improve entry precision. 🔹 Breakout confirmation is key 🔑 before activating the plan. 🔹 Not financial advice — only my personal “thief-style” trading plan. 🚀 XMR/USD Market Report – September 04, 2025 💰 Current Snapshot Price: $261.11 USD 24h Change: -0.11% 📉 (Slight dip amid broader market consolidation) Market Cap: $4.93B (Stable in top 30 cryptos) Key Trend: Neutral with bearish lean, but privacy demand keeps it resilient 🛡️ 📊 Trader Sentiment Outlook Investor mood is mixed but leaning cautious: Retail Traders: 58% Bullish 🟢 (Up from 52% last week; fueled by community defense & new GMX trading pairs) Institutional Traders: 45% Bullish 🟡 (Delistings limit exposure, but privacy-focused funds see inflows; whales added 340M XMR) 👉 Investors stay watchful, with only 40% green days in the last month. Privacy features act as a hedge in volatile markets, keeping confidence intact despite short-term pressure. 😨📈 Fear & Greed Index Score: 49 (Neutral) ⚖️ Fear factors: Exchange delistings & macro uncertainty (tariffs, inflation). Greed factors: Network resilience & ETF buzz for privacy coins. 🔎 Market feels balanced – not fearful, not euphoric → ideal for steady accumulation. 🔍 Fundamental Score Score: 8/10 🟢 (Strong Privacy Edge) Strengths: Untraceable transactions (ring signatures + stealth addresses). No pre-mine, ASIC-resistant → decentralized & secure. Adoption in DeFi + payments keeps rising. Tail emission model ensures long-term network security. Weakness: Limited exchange listings = reduced liquidity. ⚡ Verdict: Fundamentals make Monero the gold standard for privacy in a surveilled world. 🌍 Macro Score Score: 6/10 🟡 (Mixed Global Winds) Fed rate cuts + ETF inflows bring liquidity boost. Tariffs & sticky inflation = added volatility. Bitcoin dominance (60%+) pressures alts. Privacy demand rising with global surveillance concerns. US policies move toward clarity ✅, EU privacy coin bans loom ❌. 🔮 Outlook: Liquidity-driven bullishness, but September jobs data could spark swings. 🎯 Overall Market Outlook Bearish Short-Term 📉🟡 – but potential reversal brewing: Corrective pullback from May highs → likely chop toward $235 support. Technicals: Bearish crossover (20-day MA < 50-day). RSI at 47 = neutral momentum. Long-Term View: Privacy utility + easing macro could drive breakout → $300+ if $270 resistance breaks. 🔥 Main Takeaways: Privacy king in uncertain times 🛡️ Neutral sentiment, dips = smart accumulation zones 💎 Macro volatility ahead – patience is key ⏳ 📌 Data reflects real-time market conditions; always DYOR before trading. 🔎 Related Pairs to Watch ($) 🔹BTCUSD 🔹ETHUSD 🔹LTCUSD 🔹 DASHUSD 🔹 ZECUSD ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XMRUSD #Monero #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Scalping #BreakoutStrategy #TradingPlan #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by The-Thief
Monero Builds Momentum, Potential 10% Breakout Toward 358$Hello✌️ Let’s analyze Monero’s price action both technically and fundamentally 📈. 🔍Fundamental analysis: Monero’s new FCMP++ upgrade could make old transactions quantum-safe and boost privacy again, keeping XMR strong in a world of rising digital surveillance. 💻🔐 📊Technical analysis: KUCOIN:XMRUSDT is approaching a strong monthly trendline and support zone; holding this level and breaking above resistance could trigger a 10% rally toward $358. Traders may watch for bullish confirmation at these key levels. 📈💎 📈Using My Analysis to Open Your Position: You can use my fundamental and technical insights along with the chart. The red and green arrows on the left help you set entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels, serving as clear signals for your trades.⚡️ Also, please review the TradingView disclaimer carefully.🛡 ✨We put love into every post! Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks, Mad Whale
Long
by MadWhale
1
Monero’s 3% Dip: Fibonacci Says AccumulateXMR/USDT – Potential Accumulation Zone in Play Monero (XMR) has dropped 3.14% on the 45-minute chart, currently trading around 295.48 USDT. Using Fibonacci retracement and Ichimoku Cloud analysis, a potential accumulation zone is identified between 288.16 and 256.86 USDT. Key resistance levels at 319.47, 331.43, and 338.82 suggest a structured pullback. This dip could present a strategic entry point for traders anticipating a reversal or preparing for long-term positioning. 💬 “This area shows potential for coin accumulation.”
Short
by cakpras
XMRUSD - Monero And It's Warning-LinesToday we’re analyzing Monero, with a focus on a new aspect of Median Lines — the Warning Lines, or WL for short. Warning Lines are simply extensions of the distance between the Center Line (CL) and one of the Median Line’s outer boundaries, either the Upper Median Line Parallel (U-MLH) or the Lower Median Line Parallel (L-MLH). So why are they important for us in our trading? As you can see, WL1 and WL2 mark important price levels. WL2 is where price reversed, while WL1 acts as resistance. Just like with the standard lines, our full trading rule set applies to Warning Lines too. This includes scenarios like a Hagopian, a breakout or "Zoom Through," and the Test and Re-Test. Now, looking at the current analysis: The price was rejected at WL1 after falling from WL2. This shows strong resistance at WL1, and now the price is heading toward the U-MLH. If the price breaks below the U-MLH and starts opening and closing within the Fork again, there’s a strong chance it will move back toward the Center Line in the near future. That could be your signal to take more profits, close the position, or possibly even short Monero. Personally, I find it difficult to short crypto due to the high risk of manipulation by whales in the market. I prefer not to get caught in a short position if the price suddenly gaps to the upside. So I probably look to take a new position or add to an existing one, since it is a fair level where price found it's center. That’s it for today. Did you learn something new? Great. See you next time, and trade safe.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDShort
by HowToChart
2