NASDAQ 100 CFD
USNAS100 | CPI Day Setup – Breakout or Pullback Ahead?USNAS100 Overview
Markets found some relief after the U.S. and China extended their tariff truce until November 10, avoiding the imposition of triple-digit duties on each other’s goods.
Today, attention is firmly on the U.S. CPI release, which is expected to drive market direction:
A reading above 2.8% would likely support a bearish move toward 23440 and 23295.
A reading below 2.8% could fuel bullish momentum toward a new ATH at 23870.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price trades below 23690, downside targets remain 23440 and 23295.
A 1H close above 23695 would turn the bias bullish toward 23870.
Support: 23440, 23295, 23045
Resistance: 23700, 23870
US100 – Dark Cloud Cover Signals Possible Reversal AheadAfter the drop to 22,800, NAS100 recovered strongly and yesterday retested the recent ATH in the 23,800 zone.
However, by the close of the trading day, the index erased the entire intraday advance and closed in the red – leaving a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation on the daily chart.
As explained in my previous analysis, I believe the US indices are ready for a deeper correction after the incredible run-up since April.
Technical Outlook:
• The US100 is still holding above its recent ascending trend line.
• A confirmed break below this trend line could trigger an acceleration in selling pressure.
• The first downside target for bears is the recent low at 22,800.
• In the medium term, if a full reversal unfolds, I would not be surprised to see the index trading near 20,000 within the next 2–3 months.
The market has been on an extraordinary bullish streak, but this candle formation combined with extended price action could be the first sign that momentum is shifting.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USNAS100 | Consolidation Before CPI –Breakout or Pullback Ahead?USNAS100 Overview
The index reached its all-time high ahead of recent speculation about a potential Fed rate cut. This week’s CPI data will be a key driver, indicating whether the Fed may cut rates in the near term.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price trades below 23640–23690, a decline toward 23530–23435 is expected. A break below this zone could extend the drop toward 23295.
A 1H close above 23695 would turn the outlook bullish, targeting 23870.
Support: 23535, 23435, 23295
Resistance: 23870, 24040
previous idea:
US100 (5m) – AnalysisKey Breakdown – Price has broken below the 23,641 support (red line) after failing to hold the yellow retest zone, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
Immediate Resistance – 23,641 is now flipped into resistance; any pullback toward it could attract sellers.
Downside Target – Next major support sits at 23,575; if broken, deeper liquidity may be targeted below 23,550.
Market Structure – Shifted from intraday uptrend to lower highs & lower lows; momentum favors short trades until structure flips.
Trading Approach – Look for short entries on retests of 23,641 with stop above yellow zone, target 23,575, then trail for possible extended drop.
NASDAQ (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Pullbacks!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is strong and moving higher. No reason to look for sells.
Wall Street advanced on Friday, taking indexes closer to a strong weekly finish, after President Donald Trump's interim pick for a Federal Reserve governor post kept expectations alive for a dovish policy.
The structure is bullish, with supports for higher prices. Wait for a pullback to discount arrays and buy it!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positionsNDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positions. (QLD, TQQQ)
Despite the rebound, the market remains tilted toward hedging and caution.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
USNAS100 Volatile – Key Level at 23440 in FocusUSNAS100 – Market Overview
The indices market remains highly volatile following the latest developments regarding the Federal Reserve Chairman.
The situation remains tense, with the possibility of one rate cut this year still on the table.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 23440 will keep bullish momentum intact, targeting the All-Time High (ATH) at 23690, with further potential toward 23870.
Bearish Scenario:
A 1H close below 23430 would shift the bias to bearish, targeting 23295, and possibly lower.
Resistance: 23570 – 23690 – 23870
Support: 23295 – 23180 – 23045
NAS100 H4 | Bullish bounce offUS100 (NAS100) has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 23,276.48, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,029.35, which is an overlap support that aligns with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,736.91, which is a swing high resistance.
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Market Gains on Fed Optimism – Will 23440 Be Reached?Wall Street Edges Up Amid Fed Rate Cut Optimism; Earnings in Focus
U.S. stock indices rose on Wednesday, supported by growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. Investors are also closely monitoring a fresh wave of corporate earnings, which continues to influence sentiment.
Technical Outlook
The price is currently holding above the key pivot level at 23045.
As long as it remains above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 23180 and 23295.
A confirmed breakout above 23295 would likely extend the rally toward 23440.
⚠️ On the other hand, a 1H close below 23045 would shift momentum to bearish, targeting 22870 and possibly 22725.
🔹 Resistance Levels: 23180, 23295, 23440
🔹 Support Levels: 22870, 22725
NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - head and shoulders 15minPotential short on nas100 (cash100) with head and shoulders on the 15min.
Still waiting for confirmation on some of my variables before I enter.
Risk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 23 262
Stop loss price = 23 287.3
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 184
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 153
What do you guys and girls think the nasdaq is going to do?
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s DeclineNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s Decline
The release of disappointing US labour market data on Friday unsettled both stock market participants and the President of the United States:
→ Donald Trump promptly dismissed Erica McEntarfer, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, accusing her of falsifying employment data.
→ Stock indices accelerated their decline, with the Nasdaq 100 Index falling below its 16 June low.
However, US stock indices staged a strong recovery on Monday. According to Reuters, yesterday marked the largest daily percentage gain since 27 May.
Why Did Stock Indices Rise?
Possible reasons include:
→ Buyers were attracted by the falling share prices of companies that, for the most part, had delivered strong quarterly earnings;
→ Market participants are betting on a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September (a move strongly advocated by Trump), which could support both the economy and the stock market.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
In our earlier analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index, we:
→ Identified a primary ascending channel (marked in blue);
→ Highlighted that the price had risen above the upper boundary of the channel (a sign of excessive optimism);
→ Anticipated a potential correction towards the 23,020 level.
However, the correction turned out to be more substantial than initially expected.
As a result of the price movements on Friday and Monday:
→ The blue channel was widened twofold;
→ The price found support at its new lower boundary and reversed upwards;
→ As of today, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading near the median line.
This can be interpreted as the market aggressively digesting recent corporate earnings reports and the prospects of a rate cut in light of a deteriorating labour market. Demand and supply may reach a new equilibrium, potentially leading to a consolidation phase around the median of the widened channel.
It is also possible that the area marked in orange—where the price previously rallied strongly, indicating a buyer-driven imbalance—may now act as support. Resistance levels might include:
→ Former support at 23,320;
→ 23,440 – the level at which bears broke through the purple channel.
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NAS100 Trade Idea: Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Potential📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Trade Outlook 📈
The NASDAQ 100 is holding a strong bullish trend on the higher timeframes 🟢. However, we’re currently seeing a notable pullback into a key support zone ⚠️ — price has dipped beneath previous lows, tapping into what appears to be an institutional accumulation range 🏦.
This move is likely targeting the liquidity resting below those lows 💧, where sell stops are positioned. Price is also reacting off a significant bullish order block 🧱 — a confluence area that could produce a strong reversal.
🎯 What to look for next:
Wait for a bullish break in market structure 🔁 to confirm a potential entry. If that occurs, consider a long setup with your stop loss below the swing low 🛑 and a 1:2 risk-to-reward target 🎯.
🚫 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Technical Analysis Forecast for NAS100Open Price: 23242.3 (UTC+4)
1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis
4H/1H: Price opened at 23242.3 near resistance (23250–23300). Recent candles show bearish harami (4H) and dark cloud cover (1H), signaling rejection.
30M/15M: Gravestone doji at 23242.3 and three black crows indicate strong bearish momentum.
5M: Shooting star formation suggests exhaustion. Failure to close above 23250 confirms weakness.
Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 23200 breaks.
2. Harmonic Patterns
4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly Pattern completing at 23242.3 (D-point).
PRZ: 23240–23250 (confluence of 127.2% XA and 161.8% BC).
Fibonacci Ratios: AB=CD symmetry (23240–23250).
30M: Bullish Crab forming at 23100, but secondary to larger bearish setup.
Outlook: High-probability short entry at 23240–23250 with target 23000.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at 23242.3.
Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 22800 → 23242.3.
Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting 23000 (Wave A) and 22850 (Wave C).
1H: Sub-wave (v) of 5 ending at 23242.3. RSI divergence confirms exhaustion.
Outlook: Bearish correction to 22850–23000 within 24 hours.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Phase: Distribution (after markup from 22800 → 23242.3).
Signs: High volume at 23242.3 (supply), upthrust above 23300 failed.
Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating.
1H/30M: Spring at 23200 failed to hold, indicating weak demand.
Outlook: Break below 23200 triggers markdown to 23000.
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Time Theory
24H Cycle: Key reversal windows:
UTC+4: 08:00–10:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal).
Square of 9: 23242.3 aligns with 0° angle (resistance).
Square of 9
23242.3 → Resistance Angles:
0° (23250), 90° (23350), 180° (23450).
Support: 45° (23000), 315° (22850).
Price Forecast: Reversal at 23250 (0° angle).
Angle Theory
4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 22800 low at 23000. Price above angle = bullish, but overextended.
1H Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 23242.3 acting as resistance.
Squaring of Price & Time
Price Range: 22800 → 23242.3 (442.3 points).
Time Squaring: 442.3 hours from 22800 low → 23250 resistance (442.3 points ≈ 442.3 hours).
Harmony: 23242.3 = Time Cycle Peak (24H from open).
Ranges in Harmony
Primary Range: 22800–23500 (700 points).
50% Retracement: 23150 (support).
61.8% Retracement: 23000 (critical support).
Secondary Range: 23000–23300 (300 points).
Key Levels: 23150 (50%), 23000 (61.8%).
Price & Time Forecasting
Price Targets:
Short-Term: 23000 (61.8% Fib, Gann 45° angle).
Extension: 22850 (100% of prior correction).
Time Targets:
First Reversal: 8–12 hours from open (UTC+4 12:00–16:00).
Second Reversal: 20–24 hours (UTC+4 00:00–04:00 next day).
Synthesized 24H Forecast
Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Trigger: Break below 23200 (confirmed by 1H/30M close).
Targets:
T1: 23000 (61.8% Fib, Gann 45° angle).
T2: 22850 (Wyckoff markdown, Elliott Wave C).
Timeline:
8–12H: Drop to 23000 (UTC+4 12:00–16:00).
20–24H: Test 22850 (UTC+4 00:00–04:00 next day).
Confirmation: RSI <50 on 1H, volume spike >25% average.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
Trigger: Sustained close above 23300 (Gann 0° angle).
Targets: 23350 (90° angle), 23450 (180° angle).
Timeline: 12–16 hours (if 23300 breaks).
Is the NASDAQ Vault Open for a Full Bullish Heist?🧠 NASDAQ Heist Masterplan: Thieves Eye on 24,500 🎯💰
🚨 Asset: NASDAQ100 / US100 / NDX
📊 Plan: Bullish | 🔁 Layering Strategy
🎯 Target: 24,500
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600
📍 Entry: Any level – the vault’s wide open!
💼 Thief Trader's NASDAQ High-Stakes Robbery Is LIVE! 🤑📈
Welcome, money bandits & market looters! 💼💰
The time has come to launch a full-scale bullish raid on the NASDAQ fortress. We’re not just taking entries — we’re stacking them like a pro with our layered limit order strategy across swing zones. 🔫📉➡️📈
🔓 Entry:
Pick any price! We break in anytime, anywhere.
🔁 Stack your buy limits on 15m–30m swing lows.
🔔 Set your alerts – don’t let the opportunity slip.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Guard your loot at 22,600.
Risk management is the bulletproof vest in this raid. 🎯
Adjust your SL based on lot size and order volume. 📏🔐
🎯 Profit Target:
Thieves retreat at 24,500.
But hey – smart robbers use trailing SL to squeeze every last drop of gold! 🏆💸
💡 Scalpers & Swingers:
Stick to the long side only.
If your pockets are deep – full-send mode ON.
If not, tag along with swing entries. Patience pays big! 💎⏳
📢 Heads Up, Heist Crew:
News drops = landmines. Step carefully.
🚷 No new entries during major announcements.
🛡️ Use trailing SL to defend your profit bags.
🚨 Daily Reminder:
This market isn’t a playground. It’s a battlefield.
Use COT data, macro reports, sentiment scans, and index-specific triggers to fortify your robbery blueprint. Stay smart, stay updated! 📊🧠
💥 Boost Our Loot Crew 💥
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See you at the next robbery – we move in silence, but the market hears us loud! 🐱👤💸🔥🚀
NAS100 - Stock Market Heading Down?!The index is trading in its medium-term ascending channel on the four-hour timeframe between the EMA200 and EMA50. However, if the index corrects upward towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Nasdaq with better risk-reward.
In recent days and weeks, the Nasdaq Composite Index once again approached its historic highs, even setting a new all-time record. However, following the latest jobs data and the Federal Reserve meeting, the index experienced a price correction.
Unlike many previous bullish phases that were driven largely by short-term momentum or emotional reactions, the current upward trend in the Nasdaq reflects structural maturity and market stabilization. Institutional capital inflows and strong corporate earnings have together painted a picture of a more stable and predictable future for this index.
According to recent financial data, U.S. equity funds received over $6.3 billion in net inflows during the final week of July—marking the first positive inflow after three consecutive weeks of outflows.
The key engine behind this growth continues to be the robust performance of tech companies. Firms such as Meta, Microsoft, and AI-oriented companies like Nvidia and Broadcom posted exceptionally strong earnings reports. These results not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also fueled significant gains in their stock prices, contributing to the Nasdaq’s momentum. Despite some sector-specific concerns—for instance, regarding Qualcomm in the semiconductor space—the broader tech sector has sustained its upward trajectory and even extended that momentum to adjacent industries, especially those involved in cloud and AI supply chains.
Meanwhile, advisors to Donald Trump revealed that he plans sweeping reforms at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This announcement followed the July jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs and sharp downward revisions to prior months’ figures.
On Truth Social, Trump accused the current BLS Commissioner, Erica McEnturfer, of politically manipulating employment data and ordered her immediate removal. Secretary of Labor Lori Chavez-DeRemer subsequently announced that Deputy Commissioner William Witrofsky would serve as acting head. Trump emphasized that economic data must be accurate, impartial, and trustworthy—and not politically skewed.
Following this leadership change, a broader debate has emerged around how employment statistics are collected and reported. While statistical revisions have long been a routine, non-political process since 1979, there are now growing questions about whether a better system for gathering and publishing this critical data could be developed.
As a nonpartisan branch of the Department of Labor, the BLS publishes its monthly employment report at 8:30 AM Eastern on the first Friday of each month. The data is gathered from surveys of around 629,000 business establishments.
Analysts have cited several reasons for the frequent need for revisions:
• Late responses from firms
• Delays from large corporations that distort preliminary figures
• Recalculations due to seasonal adjustments (e.g., holidays or weather)
• Demographic shifts impacted by immigration or deportation
• Annual revisions based on finalized tax records
With a relatively light economic calendar in the U.S. this week, traders have turned their focus to the latest developments in trade negotiations—particularly talks with countries that have yet to finalize trade agreements with Washington.
Although the U.S. has reached deals with key partners including the UK, EU, Japan, and South Korea, no formal agreement has yet been made with China to extend the current trade truce, which is set to expire on August 12.
The new U.S. tariff plan proposes a baseline 10% rate for most countries, but some—like India and Switzerland—face much higher rates of 25% and 39%, respectively. However, since implementation of the tariffs has been postponed until August 7, there’s still time for further negotiations and possible rate reductions. Sources close to the White House suggest the administration is eager to continue talks.
What’s now becoming clear is the sheer magnitude of the proposed tariff shifts—far beyond pre-trade-war averages. These changes could have more severe consequences than previously estimated, potentially pushing up U.S. inflation while simultaneously threatening global growth. As such, markets may be entering a fresh wave of volatility.
Compounding these concerns is the U.S. Treasury’s upcoming bond issuance schedule, which could add to market instability.
Also on the radar is the ISM Services PMI for July, due Tuesday. Its results will be closely watched for signs on the U.S. dollar’s direction and the Fed’s potential actions at its September meeting.
Notably, as of July 18, 2025, the widely-followed Buffett Indicator—measuring the ratio of market capitalization to GDP—was 2.3 standard deviations above its historical average. This level surpasses even the dot-com bubble era of the early 2000s. The indicator is now firmly in the “overvalued” zone, which often precedes market corrections or even crashes. For context, during the 2008 financial crisis, it was roughly 1.5 standard deviations below the historical norm.
NASDAQ: Bears In Control! Sell it!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NAS 100 was weakened by bad job numbers, mixed earnings reports, and tariff wars. In the short term, it is bearish. Sell it down to the Weekly/daily +FVG for high probability buys from those levels.
Buying at current levels is not advised. Wait for a valid market structure shift to the upside before going long.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span.
This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders:
Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond?
🔻 Key Observations:
Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure.
Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines.
Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior.
Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle