Watch me trade NQ LIVE!This is a just a quick video showing what I look for in order to take a trade.
I entered a short on NQ minutes ago, looking for 2.44 RR!
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NASDAQ 100 CFD
NASDAQ Bulls Defend Pivot – Can 23,000 Break Next?USNAS100
The Nasdaq 100 is currently holding above the pivotal 22,720 level, supported by market optimism amid recent tariff-related developments from the White House.
Bullish Scenario:
Sustained price action above 22,720 keeps bullish momentum intact. A break and 1H close above 22,815 would confirm strength, opening the path toward the psychological milestone and potential all-time high at 23,000.
Bearish Breakdown:
A 1H or 4H close below 22,720 would invalidate the bullish bias and strengthen downside pressure, with initial support seen at 22,615 and deeper correction likely toward 22,420.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 22,815 · 23,000
• Support: 22,615 · 22,420
NAS100 Reading Market Structure: When to Trade and When to WaitI'm currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ 📉. Price has remained largely range-bound over the past few sessions and continues to show signs of pressure 🔻. While we've seen a short-term rally 🚀, it lacks the conviction and momentum typically seen in stronger trending environments 📊.
When comparing the current conditions to previous trend phases, the difference is clear. Structure is unclear, and there's no confirmation of sustained direction yet. As shown on the chart 📈, we previously saw strong bullish momentum followed by a sharp shift, suggesting indecision in the market 🤔.
In these situations, patience is key ⏳. It's just as important to know when not to trade as it is to know when to act 🎯. For now, I’m choosing to stay on the sidelines until a clearer trend develops.
Not financial advice ⚠️
Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time HighNasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time High
As the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) shows, the index reached a new all-time high last week. However, the price action suggests that the current pace of growth may not last.
Last week’s strong labour market data triggered a significant bullish impulse. However, the upward momentum has been entirely retraced (as indicated by the arrows).
The tax cut bill signed on Friday, 4 July, by Trump — which is expected to lead to a significant increase in US government debt — contributed to a modest bullish gap at today’s market open. Yet, as trading progressed during the Asian session, the index declined.
This suggests that fundamental news, which could have served as bullish catalysts, are failing to generate sustainable upward movement — a bearish sign.
Further grounds for doubt regarding the index's continued growth are provided by technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, specifically:
→ a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
→ price proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which is considered resistance.
It is reasonable to suggest that the market may be overheated and that bullish momentum is waning. Consequently, a correction may be forming — potentially involving a test of the 22,100 level. This level acted as resistance from late 2024 until it was broken by strong bullish momentum in late June.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk.
Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced.
Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved.
However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated?
The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets.
In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year.
June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets.
According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020.
With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
Nasdaq Approaches 23,000 Mark for the First TimeOver the past five trading sessions, the U.S. Nasdaq index has posted a gain of more than 1.5%, supported by a recent rise in market confidence that has pushed the equity index to new all-time highs. The NFP employment data released yesterday surprised markets with 147,000 new jobs, compared to the 111,000 expected, reflecting a recovery in the labor market that could ultimately support domestic consumption in the U.S.. This has helped maintain investor confidence in equities, supporting a bullish bias in the Nasdaq in recent sessions.
Sustained Uptrend
Since the early days of April, the Nasdaq has maintained a solid upward trend, with no relevant signs of selling pressure that would threaten the current bullish structure. As a result, the long-term bias remains clearly bullish within the broader market outlook. However, it's worth noting that a growing sense of indecision has emerged in recent sessions, reflected in the candlestick patterns, which could open the door to short-term bearish corrections.
Technical Indicators
MACD: The MACD histogram continues to hover around the neutral zero line, indicating a balance in moving average strength during recent sessions. If this pattern continues, it may result in a more defined period of price neutrality in the short term.
RSI: The presence of consistent RSI highs, alongside higher price highs in the Nasdaq, has led to the formation of a bearish divergence. This suggests that market equilibrium has been affected by recent bullish momentum, and could lead to price pullbacks in the upcoming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
23,000 – Psychological barrier: A tentative resistance level in the short term due to the lack of clear technical references. A breakout above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias and signal a more sustained upward trend.
21,800 – Nearby support: An area aligned with a recent neutral technical zone, which may act as relevant support in the event of a short-term pullback.
21,000 – Key support: A level that coincides with the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this level could put the current bullish structure at risk and pave the way for a more significant downward move.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US100 — New ATH Trading SetupThe price recently previous ATH at the 22730 level. Current ATH is marked near 22,800, with a POC at 22,640.
Potential support around 22,500, below POC.
Watch for a bounce or further rise beyond 22,920.
Buyers probably will push right through 23,000 level today on Micros and Minis.
USNAS100 Key Level: 22,740 – Will the Trend Continue or Reverse?USNAS100 Update – Bullish Momentum Holds Above 22,740
USNAS100 has continued to push higher, following through as expected from yesterday’s analysis.
The index maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above the key pivot at 22,740.
However, a 1H close below 22,730 could trigger a bearish correction toward 22,615.
A sustained break below that level may shift the trend to bearish.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 22,870 / 23,000
• Support: 22,615 / 22,410
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,264.68 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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USNAS10 Faces Key Test at 22,615 Ahead of NFP VolatilityUSNAS100 – Key Levels Ahead of Major News
Today’s economic data releases (NFP, Unemployment Rate, etc.) are expected to drive volatility in the market. Traders should watch key levels closely.
Technical Outlook (USNAS10):
• Price is attempting to test 22,615.
• If it holds above 22,615, the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
• However, if price stabilizes below 22,615 on the 1H chart, further downside toward 22,420 is expected before a potential bullish reversal begins.
A breakout above 22,740 could trigger further upside toward 23,000
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 23,000 / 23,100
• Support: 22,420 / 22,280
EURUSD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has been playing out exactly as forecasted, now trading confidently above the key 1.17 handle. Price action has respected prior structure levels perfectly, with the recent bullish impulse forming clean higher highs and higher lows. After a minor corrective move and successful retest of the previous breakout zone, we’re now seeing continuation momentum build toward the 1.21 target. This pattern is a textbook bullish flag followed by a clean breakout and retest, confirming the strength behind this current upside leg.
Fundamentally, the euro has gained strength due to growing divergence between the ECB and the Fed. With inflation in the Eurozone stabilizing and recent data indicating a modest recovery in manufacturing and services PMI, there's increasing speculation the ECB may hold rates longer, while the Fed is seen leaning toward eventual rate cuts as US labor data softens. The June NFP miss and downward revisions in prior data have weakened the USD’s position, creating a favorable environment for EURUSD bulls.
The technical confluence with macro fundamentals is striking. Risk sentiment is improving across global markets as inflation fears ease and rate clarity emerges. The euro remains supported by strong capital inflows and demand for yield stability. Additionally, EURUSD has cleared multi-month resistance zones with conviction, signaling institutional interest and momentum-based positioning. The recent candle formations suggest buyers are in firm control.
We remain on track for the 1.21 level, which aligns with prior swing highs and a key Fibonacci extension target. Any pullback toward the 1.16–1.1650 region should be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity. With the DXY under pressure and euro zone resilience improving, EURUSD continues to be one of the top-performing major pairs heading into Q3. Stay patient and ride the wave—this move has more room to run.
USNAS100 Bullish Momentum Holds Above Key PivotUSNAS100 – Overview
The price successfully retested the 22,610 level and resumed its bullish trend, reaching 22,750 as anticipated in our previous idea.
Currently, the index needs to maintain stability above the 22,610 pivot line to sustain the upward momentum toward the next resistance at 22,790. A sustained move above this level may open the path toward 23,000.
However, a 1H candle close below 22,610 could trigger a corrective move down to 22,480. A break below this support would expose the next key level at 22,280.
Pivot: 22,610
Resistance: 22,790 – 23,000
Support: 22,480 – 22,280
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,651.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,171.9.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward.
Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December.
Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks.
In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors.
Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year.
Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum.
Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data.
On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index.
Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely.
Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers.
Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year.
On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident.
Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
NASDAQNASDAQ If the price cannot break through the 22728 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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NAS100 LongNow that we have an official strong bullish close breaking previous highs on the weekly and monthly time frame. We will look for a potential pullback. The 3M candle is currently on track to closing as a strong bullish engulfing. Also, a 1M morning start followed up by a bullish momentum candle.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The chart displays an incredibly powerful and long-standing uptrend. The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
Candlestick Analysis: The most recent candles are strong, long-bodied bullish (green) candles. There are no significant bearish reversal patterns present whatsoever. This is a picture of strength.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading far above the Kumo (Cloud), which is wide and bullish (green). The Tenkan-sen is far above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is in open space high above the price action from 26 periods ago. This is a textbook example of a very strong, healthy bull market.
Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term outlook is unequivocally Bullish.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The strength seen on the monthly chart is confirmed here. The trend is clearly defined and moving from the lower-left to the upper-right.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi, this chart would show a long sequence of green candles, with most of them having no lower wicks, which, according to your lesson, signifies a very strong and healthy uptrend.
Ichimoku Analysis: All five Ichimoku components are in perfect bullish alignment. The price is above the Tenkan-sen, which is above the Kijun-sen, and all are far above the Kumo. This confirms the trend is not only bullish but also has strong momentum.
Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant trend is Strongly Bullish.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: The chart shows a clear uptrend. The most recent price action shows a slight pullback or pause after making a new high.
Candlestick Analysis: The last few candles are smaller and show some indecision (like Spinning Tops), which is very common after a strong upward move. This is more likely a "breather" or consolidation rather than a reversal. There are no major bearish reversal patterns like a Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards the Tenkan-sen, which is the first line of dynamic support. As long as the price holds above the Kijun-sen, the bullish trend is considered fully intact.
Conclusion (Daily): The trend is Bullish, currently in a minor pullback. The overall structure remains strong.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: These charts give a clearer view of the minor pullback seen on the daily chart. Here, the price action is moving sideways to slightly down.
Candlestick Analysis: We can see a few Long Upper Shadow candles near the recent top, which confirms the lesson that sellers stepped in to cause this short-term pause. However, there is no strong follow-through yet from the bears.
Ichimoku Analysis: On the 4H chart, the price is testing the Kijun-sen as support. This is a critical level. If it holds, the uptrend is likely to resume. If it breaks below, the correction could deepen, with the Kumo cloud being the next major support zone.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The short-term momentum is corrective/sideways within a larger bullish trend.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the corrective price action most clearly, appearing as a short-term downtrend.
Context is Key: Based on the overwhelming strength of the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, this downtrend on the lower timeframes must be interpreted as counter-trend noise. It is a pullback, not a reversal of the major trend.
Harmonic Potential: This pullback could be forming the BC leg of a bullish ABCD pattern, or the AB leg of a bullish Gartley or Bat pattern, where traders would look for a buying opportunity at a key Fibonacci retracement level below.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a correct, top-down analysis of the NAS100 charts, the conclusion is the complete opposite of my previous mistaken analysis.
Long-Term (Monthly/Weekly): The market is in a powerful, secular bull market.
Medium-Term (Daily): The primary trend is up, but the market is taking a healthy and expected pause or pullback.
Short-Term (Intraday): The market is currently in a corrective phase.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the primary trend for NAS100 is strongly Bullish. The current downward price action on the lower timeframes is very likely a temporary correction. Traders who align with the dominant trend would view this dip as a potential buying opportunity as the price approaches key support levels (like the Kijun-sen on the 4H/Daily chart), anticipating a resumption of the main uptrend.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
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Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁.
This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉.
💡 Here’s my suggestion:
Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low.
🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through.
⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything.
I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬
Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.