NOV.30,2025 ANALYSIS ON SPX500 & NAS100 INDICES The monthly charts have printed hanging man candles and hence if the closing of next month candle is below the body of the candle, it will confirm that the rally is over and the next months have a bearish setup. Indicators also support the rally is over based on the weekly and daily charts on both indices.
The weekly candle looks bullish but since the volume is low it does not confirm the rally and is a market maker manipulation setup for retail traders. For shorts bias use tight stop loss, price should not exceed the invalidation levels noted in the video.
The daily charts also show a hidden bearish divergence on MACD Histogram bars, Stochastic cycle & Momentum at fib resistance of 0.786 retrace and Oct, 2023 fib extension of 1) for the SPX500 and fib 0.618 retrace for the NAS100. Daily Stoch cycles support shorts more than long. Price uprise since Wed, Nov 26th, has been on declining momentum, see MACD histogram on 4H. RSI is overbought on 4H with a hidden bearish divergence too.
So, I see more bearish signal on the indices than bullish continuation.
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Nas100analysis
NOV.23,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION: at weekly resistance but Uptrend with a huge bullish candle suggests continuation to the upside. I expect some sideway price action potential pullback to 99.365 level and then continuation to the upside target of 100.608. A break below 99.365 will invalidate upside targets.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, All my initial bearish targets from previous analysis got smashed. BTC is now in a new bearish territory only finding support at the fib extension 1.618 from the $126,296 high. RSI is very oversold and potentially there could be a sideways price action around this level re-testing $80,524 this week. Ultimately the next bearish target is between $70k and $78k.
NAS100 & SPX500 BEARISH: Both indices closed with a strong bearish candle but found support around their 21EMA on the weekly chart. I observed some unconfirmed hidden divergence plus daily stochastics cycle lows so I expect some sideways consolidation and next leg down to targets of about $23,169 for Nas100 and $6,418 for SPX500.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: Gold on the weekly chart showed only a doji candle consolidating price action but lower high of($4,194) confirmed on the chart. I envisage that this consolidation will continue into next week and finally breakdown to the $3,826 target. Silver has maintained the double tops on the weekly and daily charts. The lower high of $52.98 also suggest more downside price action with the initial target of $45 - $47 zone.
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NAS100 I Potential break of 25,217 Resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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NOV.9,2025 ANALYSIS ON DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION trading Below 55 EMA on 4H however 4H divergence at support zone is promising for uptrend continuation. Trend is still up on the daily chart and currently getting push back from the 200SMA. There are indicators supporting uptrend continuation such as the MACD histogram still up on weekly chart and unconfirmed RSI Bullish divergence on the 4H timeframe. A breakdown below 99.029 could target the 98.700 level next. However if the current support holds then our next target is 100.608 for the coming week and confirmation signal is a candle open and close above the 55 EMA on the 4H timeframe.
BTC BEARISH SIDEWAYS consolidating on the weekly 55 EMA support. While the weekly 55 EMA has acted as a support during previous rallies on BTC, I think this time is different until proven otherwise by the chart as there is no RSI divergence, MACD momentum signal similar to previous signals on the current weekly chart. A breakdown of the 55 EMA on the weekly chart is very likely to reach the triple tops target of $88,016. Trade cautiously until we breakout of the daily sideways channel described in the video presentation.
NAS100 & SP500 BEARISH with 4H mom trending down. There is a support on the daily 55 EMA or weekly 9 EMA, but evidence supporting the bearish case is the MACD crossover and bearish histogram bars on daily charts. Weekly MACD and RSI signals serious divergences since July, 2025. My conclusion is that based on Bullish engulfing candle on 4H, I think there will be a bounce to the rise targets on the charts before dumping.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: both consolidating in a pennant triangle on the 12H timeframe and I suggest it's best to wait for a breakout of the triangle for either a re-test of the all time highs to create a weekly divergence on the indicators or below the pennant triangle lows for the lower targets.
I did also examine the US10Y Yields as it affects both the dollar index and the equites market. The US10Y Yield seem to have bottomed it's downtrend on the 4H chart and currently consolidating above the 200 EMA and 55 EMA. I will be monitoring an uptick or a breakdown from this support zone.
These are my observation on the market this week and I thank you for visiting my publications.
Please give the publication a boost, comment with your insights and share with a trader you care about. They will thank you when it saves them from a bad trade or a missed opportunity. Have a profitable and great trading week. Cheers .
Tech Stocks Rally After Nvidia’s Earnings ReportTech Stocks Rally After Nvidia’s Earnings Report
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index is displaying positive momentum today. A strong catalyst for growth arrived with the release of Nvidia’s quarterly report, which exceeded Wall Street’s optimistic expectations.
Nvidia reported quarterly revenue of $57bn (vs. the expected $54.9bn), and earnings per share of $1.30 (forecast: $1.26). Meanwhile, CEO Jensen Huang stated that demand for the new Blackwell chips is “off the charts”.
Nvidia’s strong report revived “risk appetite” in the tech sector and eased concerns about a potential AI bubble.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 two days earlier, we:
→ noted that the previously active upward channel had broadened downwards;
→ suggested a scenario in which the bulls might attempt to return the index to an upward trajectory if Nvidia’s quarterly results were strong.
Yesterday’s report from the equity market leader confirmed that demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure remains enormous, paving the way for the tech-sector rally to continue.
From the standpoint of supply pressure, resistance may come from:
→ the upper red line drawn through the lower November highs;
→ the 25,400 level, which had acted as local support but was decisively broken by a large bearish candle.
On the other hand:
→ the decline towards 24,400 once again activated buying interest;
→ the November drop may prove to be only an intermediate correction, after which the upward trend could resume.
Whether the bulls can maintain positive momentum in the Nasdaq 100 following Nvidia’s strong quarterly figures will depend largely on the outcome of the delayed September US employment report, postponed due to the shutdown.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100 Wednesday Reversal Potential from Key SupportOver the past several weeks, the NAS100 has shown a clear tendency for aggressive mid-week reversals, with Wednesdays repeatedly triggering sharp shifts in direction 🔄. This pattern suggests a strong time-based element in the algorithmic delivery of price, rather than random fluctuation.
🗓️ Each Wednesday has produced a notable reaction, whether through a liquidity grab, a stop run, or a full intraday reversal. With today being Wednesday once again, the timing aligns perfectly with the type of behaviour the market has been delivering consistently.
📉 The current decline has brought price directly into a well-defined high-timeframe support region. This area has a history of accumulation and typically holds a large amount of resting liquidity underneath it. The repeated wicks into this zone resemble classic Wyckoff spring behaviour 📦 — a sweep of sell-side liquidity followed by a potential response from larger players.
📐 The most recent bearish leg is noticeably overextended and has not offered a proper retracement since breaking lower. This leaves inefficiencies behind and increases the likelihood of a move back toward equilibrium.
🔄 Given the confluence of mid-week timing, the tap into higher-timeframe support, the liquidity sweep, and the extended nature of the current downswing, the expectation is for at least a corrective move back into equilibrium 📈.
A bullish break of short-term structure on the lower timeframes would strengthen this bias and open the door for a retracement into the premium levels listed above.
⚠️ Not financial advice. This is simply a technical outlook and my opinion.
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge.
The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability
The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams.
Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds
Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders.
Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal:
1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names.
2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated.
3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism.
4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test
From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution.
The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980.
Key Technical Levels:
• Immediate Support: 25,000
• Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980
• Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700
Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility
Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise ConcernsNasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise Concerns
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index gained around 6% in October, supported by several key factors:
→ The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which helped ease tensions in trade relations between the world’s two largest economies.
→ A 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
→ Positive earnings from major tech companies, including a strong report from Alphabet (GOOGL).
However, the market’s behaviour in early November is cause for concern — on the morning of 4 November, the stock index fell to its lowest level in a week. Bearish sentiment is being fuelled by:
→ uncertainty over the timing of the end of the government shutdown;
→ a weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI report, which may reflect the impact of Trump’s tariffs on US industry.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 30 October, we:
→ confirmed the relevance of the upward channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary was showing signs of resistance;
→ drew a steeper trajectory consisting of three orange lines;
→ suggested a profit-taking scenario, in which bears would attempt to push the Nasdaq 100 index down towards the median line of the blue channel.
This scenario has since materialised, as:
→ the median line has repeatedly acted as support (highlighted in blue);
→ the breakout level of the orange lines at 26,120 has turned into a resistance zone.
At present, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading in the lower half of the channel, indicating that the bullish momentum from late October has faded. Bulls might find support near the gap area, reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Weekend Analysis: DXY, BTC, Gold, Silver, Nas100 and SPX500In this video presentation I am expecting the dollar index to continue its uptrend on the lower time frame towards the liquidation level target of 99.500.
Bitcoin is still in a distribution range and currently correcting the sharp sell off from $126,296. I am observing an A-B-C corrective pattern potentially to targets of either $115,044 or $117,653. These are confluence of resistance level and will be expecting a sell off from these levels. If these levels gets invalidated then potentially the all time highs of $126k is in view. However that's not my expectation so a breach of the target level will invalidate the bearish analysis on Bitcoin.
I think Gold and Silver have peaked out for now and smart money is off loading to FOMO retail traders. I am expect Silver to sell off much faster than Gold.
Nas100 and SPX500 clinched to a breakout of new highs but the buying volume is fading out and seems to be a fake out. I will be watching if the breakout levels gets support or breakdown on pullback to decide a long position or short position.
This is my opinion on the market this week and I thank you for your time to visit my publications.
Have a great trading week and don't forget risk and money management is your first job as trader or investor. Cheers!!
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Continuation In PlayNAS100 has bounced off the buy entry at 25,827.05, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 25,593.54, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 26,452.71, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NASDAQ NAS100 Trade Plan: VWAP & Volume Profile StrategyI’m currently watching the NASDAQ #100 (#NDX) 📊. After a strong correction due to geopolitical turmoil 🌍, the market rebounded just as aggressively. Right now, price is trading above VWAP 📈. If it stays above VWAP, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity.
In the video, we zoom into a 30-minute timeframe ⏱️, using VWAP and Volume Profile to plan the trade. If price respects these levels, we can take a long. If it falls below the support level ❌, we abandon this idea.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS 100: Price Surge Potential After Break and RetestHi everyone, Kilian here!
Let's take a closer look at the NAS 100 on a 3-hour timeframe, as it’s currently showing some interesting movements. The price has been steadily moving within an ascending channel, with the buyers continuing to dominate and push the price higher.
What’s particularly interesting right now is the breakout level. As the price approaches this level, we’ll be watching closely to see if the buyers can maintain control. A break and retest scenario could unfold here. If the price breaks through this level and then comes back to retest it (testing the broken level as support), and the buyers manage to hold it, this would be a strong confirmation that the buyers are still in control, and we could see price continuing to move towards the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the price drops back below this level after the breakout, this could signal a false breakout, which may lead to a short-term correction as the sellers take control.
Currently, the momentum is still in favor of the buyers, and as long as the price holds above the breakout level, the bullish structure remains intact.
What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
And remember, discussions within the TradingView community are a great way for all of us to improve our trading skills and grow together.
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ
After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move.
Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias):
Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows.
Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test:
A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95.
Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal:
Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges.
🎯 Overall Bias:
Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway.
Follow and like for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️.
🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯.
📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Wall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed sigWall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed signals
U.S. stocks were little changed Oct 7, easing after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, as traders looked to upcoming Federal Reserve remarks for policy cues. Gains have slowed amid stretched valuations and uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, now in its seventh day.
Markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut later this month, supported by signs of labor market softness, though the data blackout has limited visibility. Analysts say the absence of official reports leaves the Fed leaning dovish unless future labor data show improvement.
Investor focus is also shifting toward the upcoming earnings season, where forecasts and corporate commentary may play a larger role in shaping sentiment. Fed officials including Michelle Bowman, Raphael Bostic, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari are set to speak this week.
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS-DXY, BTC,ETH, NAS100,SPX,XAU,XAGThis weekend's analysis will cover the Dollar Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, NAS100, SPX500, Gold and Silver.
The DXY has found a strong support on both the monthly and daily charts. DXY has officially also broken it's weekly closing resistance level and I think a shift in momentum will propel DXY up higher in the next week towards a target zone of 99 to 99.600.
Bitcoin is still in a correction and currently paused on the weekly 21 EMA, I think it's consolidating sideways and will continue selling to the intended target of $102k in the coming week.
ETH nicely came to the previous resistance and seems to find some buyers there but there is no momentum or RSI strength to support an upward move, so I am bearish on ETH and think the price will fall some more into the target zone below $3,823.
NAS100 and SPX500 are also looking quite over stretch on it's Bollinger Bands and KC channels on the weekly charts, with weekly bearish candles suggesting a pullback in the equities is very likely in the next coming week.
Gold and Silver are in a strong uptrend and the uptrend will continue but I see profit taking on the charts. I expect some sideways consolidation and a minor pullback before the bullish continuation.
I thank you for listening to my publications and I wish you a great trading week. Cheers everybody!!
Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed in Focus
U.S. stocks closed at record highs on Oct. 2, led by tech, with futures extending gains the next day. Optimism is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, though the government shutdown—now in its third day—has delayed key data, including nonfarm payrolls, leaving traders reliant on weaker private labor surveys.
With official releases on hold, ISM and S&P Global PMI data will carry added weight, while Fed officials’ speeches could sway rate-cut bets. While momentum points to weekly gains, the rally remains fragile as political gridlock, hawkish commentary, or profit-taking could trigger volatility.
Market Implications:
Supportive factors: Tech sector strength, softer labor signals, and rate-cut expectations.
Risks: Prolonged shutdown delaying visibility on economic conditions, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and profit-taking at record levels.
Outlook: If momentum holds, the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq are positioned to close the week higher, though volatility is likely to remain elevated until greater policy clarity emerges.
Shutdown risk, Investors eye Jobs DataShutdown risk, Investors eye Jobs Data
U.S. stock index futures slipped on 30 September as investors awaited key labor reports and braced for possible delays in economic data due to a looming government shutdown. The risk-off shift follows Monday’s equity gains, with analysts warning this standoff could be more disruptive given the fragile economic backdrop.
Markets are focused on the Labor Department’s JOLTS report and consumer confidence data, while several Fed officials are set to speak. Earnings season and potential price hikes from companies will also draw attention as Q4 begins, historically a supportive period for stocks.
Budget negotiations remain deadlocked in Washington, raising the likelihood of a shutdown that could stall government services and key data releases. Wall Street futures eased from record highs, Treasury yields edged lower, and the dollar softened, while the yen and Aussie dollar gained.
Nas100: Trading Levels in FocusKey Zones in Play
Zone 1 – Yesterday’s High:
Yesterday’s high represents the level where buyers lost momentum and sellers stepped in. If price revisits this zone, traders should expect potential supply pressure. A clean break and sustained hold above would signal renewed strength and could re-ignite bullish momentum.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
This zone is the lower boundary of the previous session and now acts as short-term support. Buyers may defend this level to maintain structure, but its reliability is limited given the fresh all-time high environment and lack of historical confirmation. A decisive break below would weaken the bullish case and could invite deeper retracement.
Conclusion:
With US100 trading close to record highs, these zones provide useful guidelines, but they should not be treated as precise buy or sell triggers. In uncharted territory, reactions are often more volatile, making it essential to treat these levels as reference points rather than absolute decision zones.
Morning Sentiment Brief
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. The recent Fed rate cut and ongoing enthusiasm around AI investments continue to underpin a bullish narrative, keeping the US100 near record highs. However, Powell’s cautious tone this week, stressing data-dependence and warning about stretched equity valuations, has cooled some of the initial euphoria.
Traders are now balancing optimism with prudence. Tech momentum is intact, but profit-taking and sector rotation show that conviction is more selective. Political and regulatory headlines add another layer of uncertainty, leaving the market more sensitive to incoming catalysts. Overall, the bias stays positive, but participants are trading with more caution as the index moves in uncharted territory.






















