NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Nas100analysis
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NASDAQ NAS100 Trade Plan: VWAP & Volume Profile StrategyI’m currently watching the NASDAQ #100 (#NDX) 📊. After a strong correction due to geopolitical turmoil 🌍, the market rebounded just as aggressively. Right now, price is trading above VWAP 📈. If it stays above VWAP, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity.
In the video, we zoom into a 30-minute timeframe ⏱️, using VWAP and Volume Profile to plan the trade. If price respects these levels, we can take a long. If it falls below the support level ❌, we abandon this idea.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS 100: Price Surge Potential After Break and RetestHi everyone, Kilian here!
Let's take a closer look at the NAS 100 on a 3-hour timeframe, as it’s currently showing some interesting movements. The price has been steadily moving within an ascending channel, with the buyers continuing to dominate and push the price higher.
What’s particularly interesting right now is the breakout level. As the price approaches this level, we’ll be watching closely to see if the buyers can maintain control. A break and retest scenario could unfold here. If the price breaks through this level and then comes back to retest it (testing the broken level as support), and the buyers manage to hold it, this would be a strong confirmation that the buyers are still in control, and we could see price continuing to move towards the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the price drops back below this level after the breakout, this could signal a false breakout, which may lead to a short-term correction as the sellers take control.
Currently, the momentum is still in favor of the buyers, and as long as the price holds above the breakout level, the bullish structure remains intact.
What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
And remember, discussions within the TradingView community are a great way for all of us to improve our trading skills and grow together.
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ
After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move.
Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias):
Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows.
Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test:
A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95.
Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal:
Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges.
🎯 Overall Bias:
Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway.
Follow and like for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️.
🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯.
📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Wall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed sigWall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed signals
U.S. stocks were little changed Oct 7, easing after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, as traders looked to upcoming Federal Reserve remarks for policy cues. Gains have slowed amid stretched valuations and uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, now in its seventh day.
Markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut later this month, supported by signs of labor market softness, though the data blackout has limited visibility. Analysts say the absence of official reports leaves the Fed leaning dovish unless future labor data show improvement.
Investor focus is also shifting toward the upcoming earnings season, where forecasts and corporate commentary may play a larger role in shaping sentiment. Fed officials including Michelle Bowman, Raphael Bostic, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari are set to speak this week.
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS-DXY, BTC,ETH, NAS100,SPX,XAU,XAGThis weekend's analysis will cover the Dollar Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, NAS100, SPX500, Gold and Silver.
The DXY has found a strong support on both the monthly and daily charts. DXY has officially also broken it's weekly closing resistance level and I think a shift in momentum will propel DXY up higher in the next week towards a target zone of 99 to 99.600.
Bitcoin is still in a correction and currently paused on the weekly 21 EMA, I think it's consolidating sideways and will continue selling to the intended target of $102k in the coming week.
ETH nicely came to the previous resistance and seems to find some buyers there but there is no momentum or RSI strength to support an upward move, so I am bearish on ETH and think the price will fall some more into the target zone below $3,823.
NAS100 and SPX500 are also looking quite over stretch on it's Bollinger Bands and KC channels on the weekly charts, with weekly bearish candles suggesting a pullback in the equities is very likely in the next coming week.
Gold and Silver are in a strong uptrend and the uptrend will continue but I see profit taking on the charts. I expect some sideways consolidation and a minor pullback before the bullish continuation.
I thank you for listening to my publications and I wish you a great trading week. Cheers everybody!!
Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed in Focus
U.S. stocks closed at record highs on Oct. 2, led by tech, with futures extending gains the next day. Optimism is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, though the government shutdown—now in its third day—has delayed key data, including nonfarm payrolls, leaving traders reliant on weaker private labor surveys.
With official releases on hold, ISM and S&P Global PMI data will carry added weight, while Fed officials’ speeches could sway rate-cut bets. While momentum points to weekly gains, the rally remains fragile as political gridlock, hawkish commentary, or profit-taking could trigger volatility.
Market Implications:
Supportive factors: Tech sector strength, softer labor signals, and rate-cut expectations.
Risks: Prolonged shutdown delaying visibility on economic conditions, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and profit-taking at record levels.
Outlook: If momentum holds, the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq are positioned to close the week higher, though volatility is likely to remain elevated until greater policy clarity emerges.
Shutdown risk, Investors eye Jobs DataShutdown risk, Investors eye Jobs Data
U.S. stock index futures slipped on 30 September as investors awaited key labor reports and braced for possible delays in economic data due to a looming government shutdown. The risk-off shift follows Monday’s equity gains, with analysts warning this standoff could be more disruptive given the fragile economic backdrop.
Markets are focused on the Labor Department’s JOLTS report and consumer confidence data, while several Fed officials are set to speak. Earnings season and potential price hikes from companies will also draw attention as Q4 begins, historically a supportive period for stocks.
Budget negotiations remain deadlocked in Washington, raising the likelihood of a shutdown that could stall government services and key data releases. Wall Street futures eased from record highs, Treasury yields edged lower, and the dollar softened, while the yen and Aussie dollar gained.
Nas100: Trading Levels in FocusKey Zones in Play
Zone 1 – Yesterday’s High:
Yesterday’s high represents the level where buyers lost momentum and sellers stepped in. If price revisits this zone, traders should expect potential supply pressure. A clean break and sustained hold above would signal renewed strength and could re-ignite bullish momentum.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
This zone is the lower boundary of the previous session and now acts as short-term support. Buyers may defend this level to maintain structure, but its reliability is limited given the fresh all-time high environment and lack of historical confirmation. A decisive break below would weaken the bullish case and could invite deeper retracement.
Conclusion:
With US100 trading close to record highs, these zones provide useful guidelines, but they should not be treated as precise buy or sell triggers. In uncharted territory, reactions are often more volatile, making it essential to treat these levels as reference points rather than absolute decision zones.
Morning Sentiment Brief
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. The recent Fed rate cut and ongoing enthusiasm around AI investments continue to underpin a bullish narrative, keeping the US100 near record highs. However, Powell’s cautious tone this week, stressing data-dependence and warning about stretched equity valuations, has cooled some of the initial euphoria.
Traders are now balancing optimism with prudence. Tech momentum is intact, but profit-taking and sector rotation show that conviction is more selective. Political and regulatory headlines add another layer of uncertainty, leaving the market more sensitive to incoming catalysts. Overall, the bias stays positive, but participants are trading with more caution as the index moves in uncharted territory.
NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis: Three-Drive Pattern, VWAP & Trade Plan📊 The NASDAQ 100 has been riding a strong bullish trend, pushing higher with relentless momentum. On the daily timeframe, price now looks heavily overextended 📈.
🔎 Zooming into the 4-hour chart, the overextension is even more apparent. In trending markets, we often observe a three-drive pattern (sometimes a fourth) before an aggressive correction occurs.
⚡ I’m keeping an eye out for a sharp pullback. If price finds support and confirms with a bullish break of market structure, this could present a high-probability long entry setup 🚀.
📹 In the video, I also dive into how I use the VWAP and Fibonacci retracement tools. Both are powerful indicators that provide valuable insight and a trading edge 🔧.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Nas100: Trading Zones at Record HighsKey Zones in Focus
Zone 1 – All-time high area:
This zone marks the current all-time high and therefore acts as immediate resistance. Price has already tested this area, and sellers may attempt to defend it, leading to potential rejection or short-term pullbacks. A clean breakout and sustained hold above this level would confirm bullish continuation into uncharted territory, opening the door for further upside momentum.
Zone 2 – Demand zone:
This zone represents a recent consolidation cluster where both buyers and sellers were actively positioning. As the breakout unfolded, this area shifted from resistance to support. Short-term buyers are likely to step in here to defend the trend. A decisive break back below this zone, however, would weaken bullish conviction and could trigger a deeper retracement toward lower levels.
The sentiment around the US100 has turned more optimistic following last week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where the central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points — the first rate cut since December 2024. This concrete policy move has reinforced investor confidence that monetary conditions are shifting toward a more supportive stance. At the same time, strong momentum in the technology sector, highlighted by new AI-focused partnerships and improving trade signals between the U.S. and China, has further boosted risk appetite. While some caution remains regarding the pace of future cuts and macroeconomic headwinds, the overall market tone is positive, with traders viewing the recent policy shift as a catalyst for continued strength in the Nasdaq-100.
CAUTIOUS UPSIDE BUT BULLISH ON SPX500, NAS100 AND GOLDSPX500, NAS100 and GOLD are all reaching for higher price targets. They are all over stretched outside their normal ranges on the indicators but the divergences spotted on the charts are all not confirmed on a higher time frame suggesting that there could be an upside capitulation price action before a pullback occurs based on the divergences. Therefore cautious trading but Not opening new long positions at these level. Let's be patient and wait for the right opportunity.
On the other hand if you're looking for a short entry then place on a lot of risk management for the overshoot before the pullback.
Gold is an exception as it already done the pullback to the daily new POC zone and on 4 hours timeframe buyer have stepped up their buying activity defending the 55 EMA at $3,637.
I hope my analysis helps you form your own opinion and I thank you for listening to my publication. Cheers!!!
Nas100 – Today's Trading Zones Analysis 17 sep.Trading Zones
As price trades around all-time highs, the amount of historical data to build strong zones is limited. This makes the current levels less reliable, and traders should approach them primarily as guidance rather than decisive turning points.
Zone 1 – All-Time High / Yesterday’s High:
This area marks the recent record peak. While it can act as resistance in the short term, its strength is uncertain due to limited data. Price reactions here may be volatile and driven more by sentiment than structure.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
A lighter support level that can provide intraday reactions but lacks deep structural confirmation. Best used as a reference point rather than a major decision area.
Zone 3 – Strong Support / High Profitability for Momentum:
This is the most significant zone on the chart, where strong buyers have previously stepped in. It carries a higher probability of triggering a strong reaction. That reaction could unfold as a bounce higher if demand holds, or as a sharp move lower if the zone breaks decisively.
All eyes are on today’s Fed meeting , where markets widely expect a 25bp rate cut. While the move is largely priced in, the real focus will be on Powell’s tone and the updated dot plot, which will guide expectations for the pace of easing ahead. Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong tech momentum and softer inflation data, but with price trading at record highs, volatility is likely to spike if the Fed delivers any surprises.
NAS100 Trading Zones – Navigating All-Time HighsThe Nasdaq is trading at all-time highs, which means there are no established sell zones above. In this environment, price is in full discovery mode. Every new tick higher sets fresh records, and volatility often picks up as traders probe for tops. That makes it difficult to fade strength, shifting the focus toward demand zones below as key areas for potential pullbacks.
🔹 Zone 1 – Today’s Asia Low (24,278–24,289)
This zone marks the intraday low from the Asian session and serves as the nearest short-term demand. A revisit here could attract buyers for a bounce, while a decisive break lower would signal loss of momentum and invite deeper retracement.
🔹 Zone 2 – Yesterday’s All-Time High, Now Demand (24,133–24,141)
Yesterday’s record high has flipped into a demand zone. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure stays intact. A strong rejection here favors continuation higher, but failure to hold could open the door to sharper downside.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic. Softer labor data and easing producer prices have strengthened expectations of Fed rate cuts, while strong momentum in select tech names, including Oracle’s upbeat cloud outlook, continues to drive the index higher. Still, with price trading near all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the backdrop fragile, leaving traders mindful that optimism rests heavily on the Fed delivering on dovish expectations.
NAS100 Pullback into Fibonacci Zone: Watching for Bullish Break📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Update 📊
The NAS100 is in a strong bullish trend 🟢📈, clearly visible on the 4H chart ⏰ with consistent higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
Currently, price has pulled back 🔽 right into my optimal entry zone 🎯 based on the Fibonacci retracement 🔢. From here, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure (BOS) 🔓 on the 15M timeframe ⏰ — that would be my signal to look for a long entry 🚀.
⚠️ This breakdown is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Nas100 – Trading Zones to Watch Near HighsZone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,133 – 24,142)
This zone sits right at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity are elevated. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and acceptance above would show strong buyer conviction and could trigger momentum into new record territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (24,014 – 24,026)
This area reflects a high-liquidity pocket where buyers previously absorbed heavy selling pressure. Pullbacks into this zone may attract renewed demand, offering potential long setups. If the zone breaks decisively, however, it risks flipping into resistance and signaling continuation lower.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously constructive. Optimism is fueled by strong tech leadership and expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices have eased pressure on yields. Still, inflation readings surprised slightly to the upside last week, reminding traders that risks remain. With price now testing all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the market’s mood is fragile momentum is there, but it requires confirmation through clean breakouts rather than relying on hope alone.
Nas100 – Today’s Key Trading ZonesTrading zones
Zone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,014 – 24,026)
This zone sits at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity hunts are often at their peak. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and hold above would indicate strong buyer conviction and could open the door for further momentum into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (23,920 – 23,930)
This demand zone represents a high-liquidity pocket created by prior consolidation. Buyers are expected to step in here on pullbacks, providing potential long setups. However, if the zone fails to hold, it may flip into resistance and trigger continuation downside moves.
With price trading near all-time highs, only two zones are marked today. Volatility at record levels makes price action less structured, leaving limited data to build reliable zones from. As a result, focus remains on the all-time high supply zone above and the high-liquidity demand zone below as the key areas for potential reaction.
Sentiment in the US100 is cautiously positive but fragile. Strong tech momentum and expectations of Fed rate cuts support the index, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices ease pressure on yields. Still, higher-than-expected CPI reminds investors that inflation risks remain, keeping markets on edge near all-time highs.
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close.
💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
NAS100 Trading Zones – Volatility at All-Time HighsZone 1 – 23,980 – 23,991
This zone sits just below the all-time high, making it a critical supply area where volatility tends to spike. Sellers are likely to defend here aggressively, and false breakouts are common as liquidity is swept around all-time highs. A clean breakout and hold above would signal strong buyer conviction and could fuel a momentum push into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – 23,765 – 23,781
This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in to defend intraday lows. A sharp bounce here would confirm renewed buying interest, while a decisive break below would shift control back to sellers and could trigger a deeper correction.
With price trading near all-time highs, caution is warranted. Volatility often spikes in these areas, as liquidity hunts and false breakouts are common. Traders should be selective, waiting for clear confirmation before committing to new positions.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously positive, supported by strong momentum in select tech names and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts after softer labor data and a sharp drop in producer prices. Lower input costs are viewed as supportive for corporate margins in the near term, while falling yields continue to benefit growth stocks. Still, the broader backdrop is fragile, as weaker job revisions and signs of cooling demand remind investors that economic momentum is slowing.






















