SPY - Potential Head & Shoulders And now we have this exhaustion pattern again. I went back and foruth on this yesterday. But in the final minutes a bought shorts again. The right shoulder can consolidate for a few days and the H&S can still be invalidated but I have this on my bucket list. I can´t sit on the sidelines on this one. If it happens, it will be legendary. With first strong support at 605
Nasdaq
NQ on Major Support Target 36,490Nasdaq 100 index is on major support since September. This is the area you want to buy and as it goes up take some profits if you want for a potential check back into support around early 2027 (green path).
There's the alternative scenario (orange path) that we just trend right up to 36,490 resistance and then have a major pullback to the long term trend. This one is less likely, but possible.
Either way if you sell some of your position (like shorter term options) in the middle of the range you're likely to be in a better position than holding the entire time as eventually that lower trend should get hit and that's a lot of time decay to ruin your positions.
Good luck!
Zscaler: Downward Shortly after our last update, Zscaler faced significant downward pressure—completely in line with our primary scenario. This move allowed the stock to turn lower in time, staying below the resistance at $340.25 and avoiding our alternative scenario of an early breakout above that level. However, a quicker peak for the turquoise wave alt.Y remains a possibility, as we still assign a 37% probability to such an accelerated sequence. Primarily, though, we expect further sell-offs as part of the magenta wave , which should eventually give way to renewed gains above the support at $164.78. With wave , the regular wave Y should then complete above $340.25.
DIS WEEKLY OUTLOOK!One of the best and easiest strategies when trading sideways markets…
I guess there’s no need for a long explanation the chart already speaks for itself if you know how to read it.
In trading or investing, you can never know where the market is going next. That’s exactly why we use charts: they show us solid levels where buying and selling makes sense. As you can see, DIS is still falling and as the saying goes, “never catch a falling knife.” If you buy here, you are taking unnecessary risk because this is the middle of the movement, not a confirmed reversal.
Technical analysis always teaches the same principle:
“Buy support, sell resistance.”
Right now I’m watching to see where this downward move stops. The $80–$85 zone is the main buying area, with a $77.44 stop-loss level. And I know what you’re thinking: “But what if the price doesn’t come down and reverses upward from here?
In that case, we simply wait.
If the price breaks above the $120 resistance, that level will turn into a strong support zone — and that breakout will also give us a clean buying opportunity. We don’t need to rush. We let the chart show us the solid levels.
Please ask yourself first: Are you a long-term investor or a trader?
If you are a trader, never enter a position without a proper setup, stop-loss, and take-profit target. Discipline is everything in trading.
And of course, this is not financial advice.
Cognex (CGNX) – Downtrend Breakout + Double Bottom ConfirmationOn the Weekly timeframe , NASDAQ:CGNX is showing strong bullish technical signals:
The long-term downtrend line has been broken both on body and shadow, confirmed with high volume .
The last weekly candle is forming near a retest, while on the Daily chart, a strong bullish candle confirms buyers stepping in.
A clear Double Bottom pattern has formed, with the neckline overlapping the downtrend line, providing stronger confirmation.
Price is trading above EMA50 & EMA100 , with EMA50 attempting a bullish cross over EMA100.
The stock has also broken through local resistance , opening the way for higher targets.
MACD is bullish, showing positive momentum.
RSI is already inside the overbought zone. However, since no divergence is present, this could still support bullish continuation, though short-term pullbacks are possible.
Key Levels:
If the breakout and retest confirm, the first target is the nearby resistance zone.
A further move towards the next resistance level (~$72–73) is possible if momentum sustains.
Important Note:
This analysis is not a buy/sell signal , but rather an educational outlook. While technicals are bullish, traders should remain cautious as RSI is in the overbought zone, where short-term corrections are common.
(For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
NAS100 Future | The Bullish Liquidity RuTrading isn't about chasing green candles; it's about anticipating where the "smart money" needs to go to fill their orders. On this NAS100 1H chart, we are stalking a potential Bullish Model #1 setup by waiting for price to revisit the discount zone.
Here is the CRT (Candle Range Theory) breakdown of the projected path:
1. The Trap: Turtle Soup at CRTL 🐢
The chart projects a drop below the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 24,664. This is the classic "Turtle Soup" mechanic.
The Logic: As the book states, "Turtle Soup is when the market tricks traders by briefly breaking through a level, then reversing".
The Goal: Smart money needs to "run stops... below old lows" to accumulate a long position. We want to see price stab this low to trap late sellers.
2. The Confluence: Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🧲
Notice that the sweep of the lows aligns perfectly with a Bullish FVG (the grey box).
Why it matters: "When Model #1 appears with an FVG... it becomes even more powerful". This gap acts as a magnet to pull price down before the real expansion begins.
3. The Objective: CRTH 🎯
If the trap is set and price reclaims the level (confirming the reversal), the draw on liquidity becomes the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,307.
The Cycle: Market moves from range to manipulation (Turtle Soup) to trend. The target is simply the opposing side of the range.
🧠 Trader's Mindset: "Patience is your greatest trading asset". Right now, the chart suggests we are in the waiting phase. Do not try to catch the falling knife. Wait for the sweep of the CRTL, look for the strong reaction (Model #1 confirmation), and then execute.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Candle Range Theory concepts for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Next Step: Set an alert at 24,720. Are you watching for the sweep or buying the dip early? Let me know your plan below! 👇
ANNX 1D - pennant before the next impulse?On the daily chart, Annexon Inc. is forming a bullish pennant after a strong upward move — a classic continuation pattern often signaling the next wave of momentum.
The price remains above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a golden cross confirming that buyers are still in control.
The key support zone is $2.70–2.90, while Fibonacci targets sit at $4.29 and $5.69 if momentum continues.
From a fundamental view , Annexon stays on investors’ radar as it develops treatments for neurodegenerative disorders - a risky but high-potential biotech niche.
Tactical plan: wait for a confirmed breakout from the pennant. If buyers push through, the uptrend could accelerate fast.
Remember - a golden cross doesn’t always mean golden profits, but it might this time.
Breaking: Enlivex Therapeutics (NASDAQ :ENLV) Spike 44% Today Enlivex Therapeutics Ltd. (ENLV) Spike 44% albeit market dip. The asset broke through the $0.85 support point to reclaim the $1 resistant.
With the RSI at 72, the asset is poised for a bullish continuation pattern should the share price break though the $1.30 resistant setting the pace to reclaim the $2 resistance point.
In another news, Enlivex Therapeutics Ltd. (NASDAQ: ENLV) today announced the appointment of Mr. Matteo Renzi, former Prime Minister of Italy, to the board of directors at Enlivex, effective November 24th. 2025.
Similarly, Enlivex Announces $212,000,000 Private Placement to Initiate World’s First Prediction Markets Digital Asset Treasury Strategy, via RAIN token Accumulation.
Analyst Summary
According to 2 analysts, the average rating for ENLV stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $7.0, which is an increase of 442.64% from the latest price.
About ENLV
Enlivex Therapeutics Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a clinical-stage macrophage reprogramming immunotherapy company in Israel. Its product pipeline is the Allocetra (ENX-CL-02-002), which is in phase II clinical trial for the treatment of organ dysfunction and failure caused by sepsis; and Allocetra (ENX-CL-05-001), which is in phase I/II clinical trial to treat moderate knee osteoarthritis.
NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'.
Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000.
Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026?
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Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: $BLBD) Set for Earnings ReportBlue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:BLBD ) is schedule to report her earnings results today after market close. The asset has close Friday's trading session up 6% trading within the ceiling of the resistant zone at $60.
With the RSI at 65, a little thrust from the bulls will break the ceiling of the $60 resistant as more buyers step in.
The stock price has increased by +36.95% in the last 52 weeks. In the last 12 months, Blue Bird had revenue of $1.42 billion and earned $115.89 million in profits. Earnings per share was $3.49.
The 6 analysts that cover Blue Bird stock have a consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and an average price target of $63, which forecasts a 17.06% increase in the stock price over the next year. The lowest target is $50 and the highest is $71.
Financial Performance
In 2024, Blue Bird's revenue was $1.35 billion, an increase of 18.92% compared to the previous year's $1.13 billion. Earnings were $105.55 million, an increase of 343.25%.
About BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines.
Nasdaq NAS100 Analysis: The Conditions I Need Before Going ShortI'm keeping a close eye on NAS100 (Nasdaq) right now. 📉✨ On the 4H timeframe, price remains in a clean, sustained bearish trend, and I'm anticipating a potential continuation lower.
If price rejects the current level and fails to retrace through the 1H imbalance, and we see a rotation followed by a bearish break of structure, I'll be preparing for a short opportunity. 📊🔻
Not financial advice.
#USDJPY , another Runner on Buyside !📌 Market Insight: {#USDJPY }
⚠️ Risk Assessment: {High}
🚀 Approach:
Not a Quality Setup ... Due the Structure of Friday but lets have it in our watchlist
Maybe by a Nice LTF Momentum Structure we can take it as QuickSclap .
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #GBPJPY #MarketAnalysis #TradingSetup #RiskManagement #GOLD #Scalper #NQ #EURUSD
ROBINHOOD HOOD Bearish Playbook — Thief on Duty!📉 ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC. (HOOD) — Bearish Profit Playbook
🔥 Swing / Day-Trade Thesis with Thief Layer Strategy
🧭 Market Context & Core Idea
The bearish outlook is confirmed after HULL Moving Average shows a downside breakout, signaling momentum shifting toward sellers. This forms the backbone of today’s playbook 📉⚔️.
The setup focuses on a layered entry (Thief Strategy) — a structured way of placing multiple limit orders at different price levels to average into premium zones with precision.
🎯 Plan: Bearish Setup with Thief-Style Layered Execution
This plan uses multiple SELL LIMIT layers, allowing flexibility and better control across volatility zones:
🔻 Layered Entry Zones (Sell Limit Layers)
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
(You may increase the number of layers based on your own approach — thief style is flexible.) 😎🧤
🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief SL)
SL @ 130.00
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is not a recommendation — adjust your stop according to your own risk appetite. You make the money, you take it at your own risk.
🏁 Target Zone
The Moving Average is acting as strong support, and current structure suggests oversold conditions + a possible bullish trap scenario.
🎯 Target @ 92.00
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this TP is not fixed — targets must match your personal risk-to-reward logic. Manage wisely.
📊 Why This Setup Works (Key Technical Notes)
✨ HULL Moving Average breakout confirms bearish flow
✨ Multi-layer entries help capture stretched price spikes
✨ Oversold conditions hint at potential profit-taking zones
✨ Support zones + price traps increase snap-back volatility
✨ Ideal for swing/day-traders who prefer structured scaling
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
Tracking correlated or sentiment-linked assets helps understand broader flows:
🧩 Tech / Growth Sentiment Links:
NASDAQ:QQQ — reflects overall high-beta sentiment & liquidity
CBOE:ARKK — tracks innovation/growth appetite
NASDAQ:COIN — crypto-linked sentiment often spills into HOOD
NYSE:XYZ — fintech risk appetite correlation
NASDAQ:SOFI — retail-driven growth behavior overlaps with HOOD
🧲 Key Takeaways:
When growth ETFs weaken, HOOD typically accelerates momentum
Retail-heavy assets show higher reaction to volatility spikes
Watching these helps confirm whether HOOD’s breakdown has strength
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun.
NASDAQ DEC 2025, Next week will unveil it all.I often like to use this approach, where I start from the most generic timeframe that still carries importance, moving into smaller timeframes narrowing the timeframe at each step, finally concluding with a short-term trade opportunity.
This post focuses solely on technical analysis, price action and trend behavior on the NDX. No fundamental expectations or macroeconomic interpretations are included.
I will be updating this post as trade opportunities develop.
A summary of this idea is provided at the end.
--- Long-Term Behavior ---
Long term outlook indicates that NDX had a strong bullish momentum until now, it pushed above the almost 5 year bullish trend marked with orange lines.
However, before it pushed above, NDX experienced a sharp decline. (marked with yellow circle)
But price carried back up with the yellow trend and created a much stronger bullish movement which managed to push further.
Now that stronger bullish movement is also over, NDX should be falling back for a retest. The last monthly candle was possibly the beginning of that retest movement.
After the retest two scenarios are possible, either it continues the bullish movement with a much higher pace or price fails to hold the retest and falls back toward the lower boundary of the previous long-term trend.
-- Short-Term Behavior --
In this section, I will be investigating the short-term movements to better predict a possible trade opportunity.
If we zoom into the yellow trend, the price was following a path estimated with the purple lines. Which also justifies the last months harsh fallback.
I expect NDX to start moving towards the lower boundary of the trend marked with yellow. (also, weekly RSI shows clear decrease in bullish momentum, indicating the yellow trend is coming to an end)
With all these in mind, to further predict the next 2-3 weeks movement, zooming into the last couple of months. NDX's last bearish movement, which I have shown with blue trend, can go two ways which the next weeks price movement will unveil. If the next week starts up bullish and the price fails to go down further NDX may rapidly rise. On the other hand, If it forms a steeper downtrend which I have shown in the second snapshot, it may possibly keep moving down for the long-term retest.
note that the trend drawings are estimations and may not be totally accurate.
-- Summary and Final Verdict --
Next week, we should see a clear directional bias for NDX
Bearish scenario: If price continues downward and establishes a steeper trend (as shown in the image), NDX is likely heading toward a full retest of the long-term breakout area.
Target: ~22,000
Bullish scenario: If the index shows clear signs of reversal and rejects further downside, a swift recovery toward previous highs is possible.
Target: ~26,500
I will be updating the post as we get a clearer image...
META now close to a critical trendlineMETA is approaching a significant technical region.
The trendline currently in focus originated on 31 October 2022, and it has remained relevant over time.
This same trendline was retested twice in April of this year, and price action is once again moving toward it after achieving a new all-time high.
At the moment, the asset is sitting at the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level — a well-known zone where reversals often occur. Based on this structure, the asset may begin its upward move from the current region, or it may decline by an additional $10–$20 to retest the ascending trendline.
I have taken my initial positions in META during this pullback and may increase my exposure if price reaches the trendline.
Overall, my outlook remains bullish.
Trade responsibly.
Entry: RR is 1:3
Confidence: High
LUMN preparing the next step or just warming upLUMN returned to the key accumulation zone near 6.63 and held above this support. The retest created a potential reversal structure on the daily chart. Divergence and increasing volume confirm the presence of demand. A breakout above 7.65 will confirm the beginning of an impulse toward 11.95 and later toward the extension area near 17.27.
L umen Technologies is a major provider of telecommunications and cloud services with a wide data center network. The company serves corporate clients and government institutions with a focus on network infrastructure cyber security and data transmission.
Fundamental picture as of November 23
Lumen maintains stable cash flow and continues to reduce its debt burden. Management improved its profit outlook. Network modernization reduces operational expenses and gradually increases margins. Corporate demand remains stable which supports long term recovery. Revenue growth remains moderate and is still affected by competition and legacy contracts.
Technical view
As long as the price stays above the zone near 6.30 the accumulation structure remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 7.65 will open the path toward 11.95 while a move above that level will allow development toward 17.27. The bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above demand.
Market mood
LUMN looks like the speaker who stayed silent for a long time then suddenly raised a hand. Now the audience listens.
NASDAQ Week 32 OutlookOn the US Nas 100 1-hour chart, a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle suggests downward momentum. The Fair Value Gap at 23,500.0 is a pivotal level—watch for a breakout and retest here to confirm sell entries. Aim for the target at 22681.1, with a stop-loss at 23,740.4 to protect against adverse moves.






















