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$NKE Inverse Head and Shoulder $117 to gap fillThe chart is currently forming a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. The left shoulder and head have already been established, and the right shoulder is in development, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside. The neckline resistance appears to be around the $73-$85 range. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a measured move toward the $117 gap fill, which aligns with a previous price gap and serves as a logical target for bullish momentum. Key technical highlights: Target Price: ~$117 (gap fill zone) If volume confirms the breakout above the neckline, this setup could offer a strong risk/reward opportunity for traders. Keep an eye on RSI and MACD for confirmation of bullish momentum.
NYSE:NKELong
by sej4974
Why traders are losing money? Position Size PurposeWhy traders are losing money Most traders do not lose because the market is hostile or because entries are bad. They lose because the size of each position is out of sync with account size, with volatility, and with a realistic pain threshold. They also stack correlated exposure until a normal downswing becomes a career ending drawdown. The fix is a repeatable sizing process that keeps losses small, keeps risk per trade constant across regimes, and caps total open risk across the book. Root causes of loss clustering Risk per trade that is too large for the real account balance that is available for trading Stops that ignore volatility so a quiet week and a fast week carry the same unit count while loss size swings wildly Portfolio heat that compounds across correlated positions in the same theme or factor Inconsistent exits so a written stop is moved or ignored after the position is open Scaling rules that add size before the trade earns the right to carry more risk A review loop that tracks money rather than R so results are not comparable across instruments One principle to anchor the lesson Risk lives in the distance between entry and stop. Size lives in how much money you are willing to risk on that distance. Everything else is detail. When you fix these two elements the account stops bleeding from one mistake and the equity curve starts to respect your personal pain limits. The unit formula in plain words Units equals Account times Risk percent divided by Stop distance Stop distance equals Entry minus Stop in price units For futures or forex convert the distance to money with tick or pip value before you divide Round the result to the venue step size Percent risk formula and worked example Set a realistic risk percent Pick a range between zero point two five and one point zero percent of account per trade If you are new stay closer to zero point two five If you are experienced and you follow rules under pressure stay near zero point five to one point zero Use only capital that is truly available for trading Define the stop with intent You can define a stop by price structure or by volatility. Structure is a level that invalidates the setup. Volatility is a multiple of the average true range. Both work if you keep the rule stable. The aim is not to predict a perfect level. The aim is to measure distance so you can compute size with precision and keep loss per trade constant in money terms. Volatility aware sizing When the average true range doubles you must expect larger swings. If you keep the same unit count the same entry to stop distance will cost twice as much. A simple way to neutralise this effect is to tie the stop to a multiple of the average true range and then let the unit count float. When volatility rises the unit count shrinks. When volatility calms the unit count grows. Risk per trade stays constant. Practice example Risk money equals one hundred Stop distance equals three point zero in a calm regime Units equals one hundred divided by three which is thirty three units rounded If volatility doubles and the stop distance becomes six point zero the new unit count becomes sixteen units rounded Loss per trade stays near one hundred in both regimes Portfolio heat in clear numbers Portfolio heat is the sum of risk money across all open trades as a percent of account. If you allow the sum to balloon during correlated trends you are betting the entire account on one theme. A simple cap keeps you in business. Set a heat cap between four and eight percent of account Count correlated positions as one theme for heat If a new trade would push heat above the cap you must reduce size or defer the trade Keep a cash buffer for slippage and gap risk Heat includes correlated risk. Keep combined open risk under your limit R multiple as the common unit R is the unit that equals your risk per trade. If you risk one hundred then one R is one hundred. A two R gain is two hundred. A one R loss is one hundred. Because R normalises money across instruments and timeframes you can compare strategies without confusion. When you review your trades in R the mind stops obsessing about price and starts focusing on process. Expectancy in words and numbers Expectancy is the average R result per trade. It depends on win rate and payoff ratio. You do not need equations to grasp it. You can compute it with simple mental math. Practice example A Win rate equals forty five percent Average win equals two point two R Average loss equals one point zero R For every ten trades wins contribute nine point nine R and losses subtract five point five R Expectancy equals four point four R per ten trades or zero point four four R per trade before fees Practice example B Win rate equals thirty five percent Average win equals three point zero R Average loss equals one point zero R For every ten trades wins contribute ten point five R and losses subtract six point five R Expectancy equals four point zero R per ten trades or zero point four R per trade before fees The shape of expectancy changes when volatility changes. If you keep risk per trade constant and let the unit count respond to stop distance expectancy measured in R will be more stable across regimes. That stability translates into better position control and calmer decision making. Why money management fails in practice Traders set a risk percent but do not compute units from entry and stop before the order They move the stop after position entry and invalidate the size calculation They add to losers because the entry feels almost right and average down risk with no plan They never reduce size after a loss streak so the book enters a feedback loop where a normal downswing becomes a spiral They treat wins as proof of skill and losses as anomalies rather than counting both in R and accepting variance A position sizing workflow you can follow every time Write the setup and the trigger in one line Define the stop with a structure rule or with a multiple of the average true range Measure the stop distance in price units Select the risk percent that fits your current equity and your mental state Convert the stop distance to money if the instrument uses ticks or pips Compute units as Account times Risk percent divided by Stop distance Round to the venue step size and check that the notional fits practical constraints Place the order only after the number of units is in the ticket and the stop is written Scaling with intent Scaling is not a trick to force a trade to work. Scaling is a way to stage risk through time. The rule is simple. Add size only after the trade earns the right to carry more risk. Reduce risk when momentum fades or when volatility rises. One simple scale plan Enter half size when volatility is rising or when the theme is crowded Add the second half only after the trade moves one R in your favour Move the stop to reduce open risk when the second half is added Do not exceed the heat cap across the book after the add Compute size. Check heat. Execute only if rules align Comparator versus buy and hold Buy and hold does not respect a personal pain limit. It lets drawdown float with price. A sized trade fixes the maximum loss in money terms at the start. The difference is not ideology. The difference is the choice to survive. Practice scenario Price falls ten percent after entry in a fast regime A buy and hold position shows a ten percent account drawdown if one position equals the entire account A sized trade with one percent risk shows a one percent account drawdown by design The sized trade can take many attempts because capital is preserved for the next signal Kelly fraction and optimal f cautions Kelly and optimal f are powerful in theory. They aim to maximise growth for a known edge. Real trading edges drift and sample sizes are small. Full Kelly creates deep drawdowns and can trigger a behavioural spiral. If you decide to use these methods treat the fraction as a ceiling rather than a target and remain near half Kelly or less. Always measure drawdown in R and reduce size after a loss streak. Loss streak protocol Loss streaks are part of variance. A simple protocol keeps them from damaging your decision cycle. After four consecutive losses reduce risk per trade by half Freeze adds and focus on clean entries only Review the last ten trades in R and tag any rule violations Return to the base risk percent only after a new equity high or after a full week of clean execution Heat management across themes The book is a living system. A theme can be a sector a factor a style or a macro driver. If four positions express the same theme treat them as one for heat. The market does not care that the tickers differ. Correlation in stress is the rule. The heat cap is your defence against that correlation. Fees and slippage discipline Small edges die from friction. If your average win is near one R and your average loss is near one R you must protect that edge by keeping fees and slippage small. Choose venues with adequate liquidity. Avoid market orders during news bursts. Use limit orders to control entry and exit where practical. Assume a realistic round trip fee in your backtests so that live results match expectations. Journaling that actually helps Your journal should capture rules and numbers rather than emotions alone. Use a compact template. Setup name and trigger Entry price and stop price Risk money and unit count Reason for the stop placement Exit reason and realized R Any deviation from the plan Practice drills to build fluency Speed matters during live markets. These drills train your sizing reflexes. Drill one. Percent risk to units Account equals twenty thousand Risk equals one percent which is two hundred Stop distance equals zero point eight Units equals two hundred divided by zero point eight which is two hundred fifty units Drill two. Volatility step change Risk equals one hundred fifty Stop at two average true range equals three point two which gives forty six units rounded If the average true range rises by fifty percent the stop becomes four point eight and units become thirty one rounded Loss per trade remains near one hundred fifty Drill three. Futures or forex conversion Risk equals three hundred Stop equals twenty ticks Tick value equals twelve point five Stop distance in money equals two hundred fifty Contracts equals three hundred divided by two hundred fifty which is one contract with a small buffer for slippage Drill four. Heat check Four open trades at one percent risk each looks like four percent heat If three of them are the same theme treat them as one for heat Effective heat is closer to three percent and a new trade in that theme should be deferred Checklist before every order Is the setup valid according to the written rule Is the stop defined by structure or by a multiple of the average true range Have you measured the stop distance correctly Is the risk percent chosen and written on the ticket Are units computed from Account times Risk percent divided by Stop distance Does the book stay under the heat cap after this order Are you in a loss streak that requires reduced size Common myths to retire Myth. Bigger size proves conviction. Reality. Bigger size proves you have abandoned process Myth. A tight stop is always better. Reality. A stop that ignores volatility will be hit by noise Myth. Averaging down improves price. Reality. Averaging down expands risk without proof that the idea is valid Myth. A few big winners will save the month. Reality. A few big losers can end the year How to adapt across timeframes The rules above are timeframe agnostic. Shorter timeframes require tighter execution and more attention to fees. Longer timeframes require more patience and a wider cash buffer for gaps. In both cases the math does not change. You measure distance. You set risk money. You compute units. You respect the heat cap. You review in R. Edge drift and regime change Edges do not vanish overnight. They drift when the crowd learns the pattern or when macro drivers shift. Your sizing process makes you resilient to drift. Because risk per trade is fixed a flat or negative edge bleeds slowly and gives you time to notice and step back. If you see expectancy in R slide over a thirty or fifty trade sample reduce size and review the rule set before you push the gas again. Putting it all together A trader who sizes by feel can enjoy a series of quick gains and then give it back in one week. A trader who sizes by rule can be wrong half the time and still grow steadily. The difference is not superior prediction. The difference is the choice to define loss before entry to respect volatility and to cap heat so a cluster of normal losers does not become a personal crisis. A compact template you can copy Setup name and timeframe Entry trigger in one sentence Stop rule. Structure or two average true range or another clearly written rule Account and risk percent Stop distance in price units and in money Units computed and rounded to step size Heat check across the book and across the theme Planned targets in R and exit rules Bottom line Risk per trade must be small and stable Stops must respect volatility Portfolio heat must remain inside a hard cap Review results in R and adjust size after loss streaks Let the unit count float with volatility so risk money per trade remains constant Education Education and analytics only. Not investment advice. Test every rule with historical data before risking capital. The lesson below is theory with practice drills you can apply to any liquid instrument and any timeframe.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by exlux
Kingsoft Cloud (KC) – Turning into an AI Powerhouse🔍 Overview Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited NASDAQ:KC is rapidly evolving into a major player in China’s AI infrastructure space. With strong foundations in cloud computing and a sharp pivot toward high-performance AI services, KC is riding the wave of digital transformation in China's economy. 🚀 AI Cloud Growth In Q1 2025, AI Cloud billings soared +228% YoY to RMB 525M. Now makes up 39% of public cloud segment, up from a much smaller base. This growth highlights KC's strategic shift from generic cloud to AI-driven infrastructure solutions. 🤝 Strategic Partnerships Key ecosystem ties with Xiaomi and Kingsoft Corporation. These integrations create network effects, boosting stickiness, cross-sell potential, and long-term revenue growth. 📊 Financial Turnaround Q2 2025 revenue: +20.3% YoY, first profitable quarter in company history. Q1 revenue: +10.9% YoY to RMB 1.97B. Reflects tight cost control + margin expansion from AI services. 📈 Technical Outlook Bullish bias above $12.75–$13.00 Upside target: $21.00–$22.00 Watching for consolidation or breakout from recent base. 💡 KC is emerging as a high-growth AI infrastructure play, aligned with national and enterprise trends in China’s digital economy.
NASDAQ:KCLong
by Richtv_official
USNAS100 Extends Gains on AI Strength & Fed Cut Hopes?USNAS100 – Overview Wall Street futures rose on Monday, extending last week’s rally as AI-related optimism and softer labor market data boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. The upbeat sentiment continues to support risk assets, though volatility remains sensitive to policy headlines. Technical Outlook The index has stabilized in a bullish zone, maintaining upward pressure above 24,900, with potential to extend toward 25,175, especially if it breaks 25,040. To confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 4H candle below 24,810, which would expose downside targets near 24,580. Pivot: 25,040 Resistance: 25,175 – 25,390 Support: 24,810 – 24,590 – 24,450
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Can NASDAQ Hold 24,600 and Push to New Highs?Hey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a potential buying opportunity around the 24,600 zone. NASDAQ remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key support/resistance level at 24,600. Structure: The broader trend is bullish, with price moving within an ascending channel. Key level in focus: 24,600 — a critical support area aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. Next move: Holding above this level could set the stage for a rebound toward 25,100, which represents the channel’s upper resistance and potential higher high formation. Trade safe, Joe.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by JoeChampion
20
Final sell off ahead of FOMC | Head n ShouldersI believe price will stage one final sell-off before resuming its push toward higher highs. On the 4H chart, a potential Head & Shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting price may fill the hourly gap at 24,856 before or during the FOMC release. The 15-minute chart offers a more precise entry compared to the 1H and 4H timeframes. I plan to enter within the 25,149–25,150 price range, provided my bias remains valid heading into the New York open. Lets get it!⚡
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by GeneralJWS
2
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️. 🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯. 📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1! Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart. Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out. Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks. Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Now_Trading
6
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal. Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop. The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower. For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by TotoshkaTrades
11
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100 I see the chance of a Bullish rebound: Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days. Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th. Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area. Action Plan: Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100 Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th) Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by dPEngineering
Is Palantir (PLTR) Entering a Consolidation Phase? A Technical aTechnical Analysis: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Amid Overbought Signals and Valuation Gaps Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) has experienced significant volatility in recent sessions, reflecting growing uncertainty among investors regarding its valuation and technical positioning. The stock closed at $173.07, down by 7.47%, after testing its resistance area near $186. Both daily and weekly technical indicators are now suggesting that a potential short-term correction could be underway. Weekly Chart Outlook: Approaching Resistance After a Prolonged Rally From the weekly timeframe, NASDAQ:PLTR has been trending upward since early April, supported by consistent higher lows and strong momentum in the technology sector. The recent breakout above the $160–$165 zone confirmed bullish sentiment, but the latest candlestick formation shows rejection near $186, indicating profit-taking pressure. The Stochastic RSI on the weekly chart is hovering in the overbought zone, signaling that the rally may be losing strength. While this does not necessarily imply an immediate reversal, it often precedes a consolidation phase or a short-term pullback. Volume patterns also show a slight decline compared to the early phase of the uptrend, reinforcing the possibility of slowing momentum. Additionally, the price is now slightly extended from its key moving averages, suggesting that any correction toward the $160–$165 support zone would still maintain the longer-term bullish structure. Daily Chart Confirmation: Stochastic RSI and MACD Turning Cautious Read full analysis on my website : darrismanresearch com
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by mrifkidrn
3
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place. On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low. As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Micron (MU) Trade Plan | Resistance, Pullback & Thief Setup📊 Micron Technology (MU) | Thief Plan Swing/Day Trading Setup ⚡ Why This Plan? Micron Technology (MU) has been showing strong momentum in 2025, driven by AI demand, DRAM revenue growth, and favorable fundamentals. The Thief Plan Strategy (layering entries + tactical exits) is designed to adapt to both swing & day trading setups, balancing technical signals with fundamental catalysts. 🎯 Thief Technical Trading Plan Strategy: Hull Moving Average Pullback ➝ Bullish Bias Entry Method (Layering Style): Multiple buy limit layers $122.00 $124.00 $126.00 $128.00 (You may increase/decrease layers based on your own plan & risk) Stop Loss: Thief SL reference @ $115.00 Adjust based on your own risk tolerance & style. Target Zone: $146.00 (resistance barricade / overbought trap zone — best to “escape” before exhaustion). ⚠️ Note: These levels are educational references. Manage your own SL/TP — trade at your own risk. 📈 Fundamental & Sentiment Insights 52-Week Range: $61.54 – $131.41 Market Cap: $147.02B YTD Performance: +50.4% 🚀 Investor Sentiment: Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy 🟢 21 Buy | 5 Hold | 1 Sell | 2 Strong Buy Avg. PT: $147.54 (+12.3% Upside) Institutional Ownership: 80.84% Fear & Greed Index: 39/100 → Fear 😨 Earnings & Growth: Q3 FY2025 EPS: $1.91 (Beat by $0.34) Revenue Growth YoY: +58.2% DRAM Revenue: +51% YoY (AI-driven) Net Margin: 18.41% Debt-to-Equity: 0.30 (healthy) Dividend Yield: 0.4% 🌍 Macro & Market Drivers AI Boom: HBM demand projected at $10B run-rate. Data Center DRAM: +63% YoY expected in Q4 FY2025. US CHIPS Act & Tariffs: Long-term tailwinds for domestic semiconductor players. Competition: Samsung & SK Hynix applying pressure on margins. 🐂 Bullish vs 🐻 Bearish Outlook Bullish Case (Long): AI/Data Center demand ➝ strong revenue trajectory. Valuation attractive (PE 23.6x vs peers 32x). Analyst PTs reach as high as $200. Bearish Case (Risk): Memory market cyclicality ➝ volatile pricing. Fear & Greed shows low confidence (39/100). DCF suggests stock could be overvalued short-term. 📌 Summary Outlook: Neutral ➝ Bullish short-term (AI strength offsets macro fear). Catalyst: Q4 FY2025 Earnings (Sept 23, 2025). Risk: Moderate (High Beta 1.47). 🔗 Related Assets to Watch NASDAQ:NVDA - AI semiconductor sentiment indicator NASDAQ:AMD - Semiconductor sector momentum NASDAQ:SOXX - Semiconductor ETF for sector strength NASDAQ:SMH - Alternative semiconductor ETF NASDAQ:WDC - Memory sector correlation ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MU #Micron #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefPlan #Semiconductors #AI #TechStocks #TradingView
NASDAQ:MU
by The-Thief
META Platforms — Can Bulls Escape With $800 Loot?📈 META Money Heist: Bullish Thief Swing/Day Trade Plan! 💰🔥 Date: 08 September 2025 Asset: META Platforms, Inc. Trading Style: Money Heist Plan with Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🦹‍♂️ Plan: Bullish (Pullback in the LSMA Moving Average) – Bulls charging for upside momentum! 🚀 🎯 Entry: Any Price Level – Thief Using Layer Strategy Deploy multiple limit orders (layering style entries) at $730.00, $740.00, $750.00 (scale up layers based on your preference). Be a stealthy trader, sniping entries during pullbacks for max profits! 🕵️‍♂️ 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL at $710.00 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Protect your loot! 🛡️ Please adapt your SL to your own strategy, risk appetite, and style — take profits when it makes sense for you. 🎯 Target: Resistance + Overbought Zone + Trap Ahead Escape with your stolen profits before the trap! Aim for $800.00 target. 🏃‍♂️💨 📝 Note: Dear Thief OG's I’m not dictating your TP – it’s your heist! Take profits at your own risk and make the market your playground. 💸 💡 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Edge The Thief Plan is a cunning, layered approach to "steal" profits from market pullbacks, aligning with META’s bullish technicals (near 52-week highs, above 200-day SMA). By stacking limit orders, you capitalize on dips in the LSMA moving average, riding the bulls’ strength with precision. Backed by strong fundamentals, macro trends, and greedy sentiment, this setup is primed for a high-reward heist! 🤑 📊 META Stock Sentiment & Market Outlook (08 Sept 2025) 🔢 Real-Time Data Overview 📈 Day Change: +0.51% (↑ $3.80) 📏 52-Week Range: $479.80 - $796.25 💰 Market Cap: $1.89T 🏆 😊 Investor Sentiment Outlook Retail & Institutional Mood 🟢 Consensus Sentiment: Bullish (Greed Phase) Analysts’ Price Target Avg: $822.41 (9.30% upside). 42/47 analysts rate META as "Buy" 🟢. Institutions love AI-driven ad growth + strong cash flow. 💪 Fear & Greed Index ⚖️ Stock Market Sentiment Score: 53/100 (Neutral to Greed) Driven by market momentum, options activity, and low volatility. 🔄 Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (53/100). 📉 Fundamental & Macro Score Points Fundamental Strength ✅ 💸 Valuation: P/E Ratio: 27.32 (below peers’ avg 35.47). Free Cash Flow: $57.63B (projected to hit $198.64B by 2035). Profit Margin: 39.99% (industry leader). 🚀 Growth Catalysts: AI boosting ad engagement. Reality Labs innovation (long-term bet). ⚠️ Risks: Regulatory scrutiny (antitrust/data privacy) 🚨. High reliance on ad revenue (98% of total). Macroeconomic Factors 🌍 📅 Upcoming Events: CPI Inflation Report (11 Sept). Fed Meeting (16-17 Sept) 🏦. 📊 Market Volatility: VIX stable (low fear). 🐂 Overall Market Outlook: BULLISH (LONG) ⏳ Short-Term: ✅ Price near 52-week high + above 200-day SMA. Target upside: $900+ (Bank of America, DBS Bank). 📅 Long-Term: ✅ AI monetization + metaverse potential. Undervalued by 29% (DCF model). 🎯 Key Takeaways 😊 Sentiment: Greed-driven optimism (institutional + retail). 💰 Fundamentals: Strong cash flow + EPS growth ($27.54). 🌍 Macro: Monitor CPI/Fed for volatility triggers. ⚠️ Risk: Regulatory risks offset by growth bets. ✅ Verdict: Bullish alignment across sentiment, fundamentals, and technicals. 📡 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:NVDA ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #META #MoneyHeistTrade #BullishSetup #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #AIStocks #TechStocks #TradingView #StockMarket #FearAndGreed #BullMarket
NASDAQ:METALong
by The-Thief
2
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️‍♂️ 🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒 🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it: Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰 Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡ Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔 Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in: $310.00 $315.00 $320.00 $325.00 $330.00 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑 Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎 Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯 Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy. Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference. 📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown 🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈. Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $295.00 (SL zone) Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone) Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔 📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights Market Cap: $81.47B PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation) EPS (TTM): $10.39 Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪 Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥 Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet) Risks: Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉 High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns Macro Drivers: Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀 Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential 😰 Fear & Greed Index Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100) Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes. 🧠 Investor Sentiment Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility. Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity. 🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook Bullish Score: 60% 🐂 Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest. Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻 Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence. Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends. 💡 Why Trade COIN Now? Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade. Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds. Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD) BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume. BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news. AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69). 📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025) Previous Close: $318.78 Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67 52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65 Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
NASDAQ:COINLong
by The-Thief
NAS100 - Stock Market on Federal Holiday!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand zones and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. Traders in prediction markets now estimate that the U.S. federal government shutdown could last more than a week and potentially extend into mid-October. These projections suggest that Washington’s political environment has reached a deadlock, making a swift agreement in Congress increasingly unlikely. The shutdown began early Wednesday morning after Democrats and Republicans—along with President Donald Trump—failed to reach a compromise on a temporary funding bill. As a result, hundreds of thousands of federal employees have been placed on unpaid leave, and numerous government programs and public services have been suspended. According to data from Bank of America, since 1990, U.S. government shutdowns have lasted an average of 14 days. Although the S&P 500 has typically risen about 1% during such periods, an extended impasse could weigh heavily on an already fragile economy and markets near record highs. The credit rating agency Fitch stated that the current shutdown will not have a direct impact on the United States’ credit rating, which remains at AA+ with a stable outlook. However, the agency noted that repeated reliance on short-term funding resolutions reflects persistent weaknesses in U.S. fiscal governance. Still, Fitch expects the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency to remain intact in the near future. Fitch also added that a short-lived shutdown is unlikely to affect most public-finance credits, though a prolonged one could pose negative risks for bond issuers—particularly those dependent on federal funding in areas such as healthcare, housing, and higher education. Meanwhile, UBS argued that concerns over the U.S. government shutdown have been overstated, predicting that its economic impact will be limited and short-lived. The bank advised investors to look beyond political noise and instead focus on Federal Reserve rate cuts, corporate earnings, and opportunities in artificial intelligence. Economists at Citi expect the Federal Reserve to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts in October and December, in line with its Dot Plot projections. However, the shutdown could delay access to key labor and inflation data, forcing investors to rely more heavily on private sources such as ADP reports. Similarly, Bank of America forecasts a rate cut in October but notes that markets have already priced in this outcome, assigning a 95% probability for October and 85% for December. In essence, this projection merely aligns with the consensus that has already formed among traders. In actual market developments, expectations have shifted back toward easing policies. Over the past two weeks, the hawkish pressure that had supported the dollar has eased, and markets are once again pricing in a lower-rate trajectory. Currently, about 105 basis points of rate cuts are priced in for next year, compared with a previous low of 94 basis points—a shift that favors equities while weighing on the dollar. According to Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, the government shutdown will not significantly impair the Fed’s ability to assess labor market conditions. “The Fed relies more on its proprietary datasets than on official government statistics,” he explained. “Even amid a shutdown, policymakers maintain a fairly accurate picture of the economy.” After a week dominated by employment data—some released and others delayed due to the shutdown—the upcoming week is expected to be relatively quiet for official U.S. economic releases unless a resolution is reached.Instead, market attention will pivot toward remarks from Federal Reserve officials. On Wednesday, the minutes of the September FOMC meeting will be released, offering deeper insight into policymakers’ views on the rate path and inflation risks. Then, on Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for October will shed light on household perceptions of the economy and their financial conditions—a key gauge for domestic demand strength. In addition, investors will closely monitor speeches from several Fed officials, including Bostic, Bowman, Miran, Kashkari, Barr, and Musalem. Their comments could directly influence market expectations for monetary policy and shape trading sentiment in the days ahead.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ). Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way. After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000. 📊 Confluence Highlights: Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K) Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K) Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K) 🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation ① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021) Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery. Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout. Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate. ② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023) Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands. Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure. ③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026) The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone). Confirms institutional markup phase , where: Retail short sellers are trapped. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves. Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow. Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm. ④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027) Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 . Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern. This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion. Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area. ⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029) After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range. This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops. Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure. --- 💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence Concept | Observation | Implication Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation) Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)} Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)} Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking 🧭 Smart Money Flow: Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution --- 📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance). Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone. Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 . --- 🧭 Market Outlook Summary Timeframe | Bias | Expectation Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000 Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K --- 🔖 FIBCOS Summary > NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC) Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K). After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K. 📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only. #FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
4