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NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️. 🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯. 📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1! Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart. Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out. Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks. Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Now_Trading
6
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal. Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop. The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower. For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by TotoshkaTrades
11
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100 I see the chance of a Bullish rebound: Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days. Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th. Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area. Action Plan: Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100 Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th) Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by dPEngineering
Is Palantir (PLTR) Entering a Consolidation Phase? A Technical aTechnical Analysis: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Amid Overbought Signals and Valuation Gaps Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) has experienced significant volatility in recent sessions, reflecting growing uncertainty among investors regarding its valuation and technical positioning. The stock closed at $173.07, down by 7.47%, after testing its resistance area near $186. Both daily and weekly technical indicators are now suggesting that a potential short-term correction could be underway. Weekly Chart Outlook: Approaching Resistance After a Prolonged Rally From the weekly timeframe, NASDAQ:PLTR has been trending upward since early April, supported by consistent higher lows and strong momentum in the technology sector. The recent breakout above the $160–$165 zone confirmed bullish sentiment, but the latest candlestick formation shows rejection near $186, indicating profit-taking pressure. The Stochastic RSI on the weekly chart is hovering in the overbought zone, signaling that the rally may be losing strength. While this does not necessarily imply an immediate reversal, it often precedes a consolidation phase or a short-term pullback. Volume patterns also show a slight decline compared to the early phase of the uptrend, reinforcing the possibility of slowing momentum. Additionally, the price is now slightly extended from its key moving averages, suggesting that any correction toward the $160–$165 support zone would still maintain the longer-term bullish structure. Daily Chart Confirmation: Stochastic RSI and MACD Turning Cautious Read full analysis on my website : darrismanresearch com
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by mrifkidrn
3
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place. On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low. As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Micron (MU) Trade Plan | Resistance, Pullback & Thief Setup📊 Micron Technology (MU) | Thief Plan Swing/Day Trading Setup ⚡ Why This Plan? Micron Technology (MU) has been showing strong momentum in 2025, driven by AI demand, DRAM revenue growth, and favorable fundamentals. The Thief Plan Strategy (layering entries + tactical exits) is designed to adapt to both swing & day trading setups, balancing technical signals with fundamental catalysts. 🎯 Thief Technical Trading Plan Strategy: Hull Moving Average Pullback ➝ Bullish Bias Entry Method (Layering Style): Multiple buy limit layers $122.00 $124.00 $126.00 $128.00 (You may increase/decrease layers based on your own plan & risk) Stop Loss: Thief SL reference @ $115.00 Adjust based on your own risk tolerance & style. Target Zone: $146.00 (resistance barricade / overbought trap zone — best to “escape” before exhaustion). ⚠️ Note: These levels are educational references. Manage your own SL/TP — trade at your own risk. 📈 Fundamental & Sentiment Insights 52-Week Range: $61.54 – $131.41 Market Cap: $147.02B YTD Performance: +50.4% 🚀 Investor Sentiment: Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy 🟢 21 Buy | 5 Hold | 1 Sell | 2 Strong Buy Avg. PT: $147.54 (+12.3% Upside) Institutional Ownership: 80.84% Fear & Greed Index: 39/100 → Fear 😨 Earnings & Growth: Q3 FY2025 EPS: $1.91 (Beat by $0.34) Revenue Growth YoY: +58.2% DRAM Revenue: +51% YoY (AI-driven) Net Margin: 18.41% Debt-to-Equity: 0.30 (healthy) Dividend Yield: 0.4% 🌍 Macro & Market Drivers AI Boom: HBM demand projected at $10B run-rate. Data Center DRAM: +63% YoY expected in Q4 FY2025. US CHIPS Act & Tariffs: Long-term tailwinds for domestic semiconductor players. Competition: Samsung & SK Hynix applying pressure on margins. 🐂 Bullish vs 🐻 Bearish Outlook Bullish Case (Long): AI/Data Center demand ➝ strong revenue trajectory. Valuation attractive (PE 23.6x vs peers 32x). Analyst PTs reach as high as $200. Bearish Case (Risk): Memory market cyclicality ➝ volatile pricing. Fear & Greed shows low confidence (39/100). DCF suggests stock could be overvalued short-term. 📌 Summary Outlook: Neutral ➝ Bullish short-term (AI strength offsets macro fear). Catalyst: Q4 FY2025 Earnings (Sept 23, 2025). Risk: Moderate (High Beta 1.47). 🔗 Related Assets to Watch NASDAQ:NVDA - AI semiconductor sentiment indicator NASDAQ:AMD - Semiconductor sector momentum NASDAQ:SOXX - Semiconductor ETF for sector strength NASDAQ:SMH - Alternative semiconductor ETF NASDAQ:WDC - Memory sector correlation ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MU #Micron #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefPlan #Semiconductors #AI #TechStocks #TradingView
NASDAQ:MU
by The-Thief
META Platforms — Can Bulls Escape With $800 Loot?📈 META Money Heist: Bullish Thief Swing/Day Trade Plan! 💰🔥 Date: 08 September 2025 Asset: META Platforms, Inc. Trading Style: Money Heist Plan with Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🦹‍♂️ Plan: Bullish (Pullback in the LSMA Moving Average) – Bulls charging for upside momentum! 🚀 🎯 Entry: Any Price Level – Thief Using Layer Strategy Deploy multiple limit orders (layering style entries) at $730.00, $740.00, $750.00 (scale up layers based on your preference). Be a stealthy trader, sniping entries during pullbacks for max profits! 🕵️‍♂️ 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL at $710.00 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Protect your loot! 🛡️ Please adapt your SL to your own strategy, risk appetite, and style — take profits when it makes sense for you. 🎯 Target: Resistance + Overbought Zone + Trap Ahead Escape with your stolen profits before the trap! Aim for $800.00 target. 🏃‍♂️💨 📝 Note: Dear Thief OG's I’m not dictating your TP – it’s your heist! Take profits at your own risk and make the market your playground. 💸 💡 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Edge The Thief Plan is a cunning, layered approach to "steal" profits from market pullbacks, aligning with META’s bullish technicals (near 52-week highs, above 200-day SMA). By stacking limit orders, you capitalize on dips in the LSMA moving average, riding the bulls’ strength with precision. Backed by strong fundamentals, macro trends, and greedy sentiment, this setup is primed for a high-reward heist! 🤑 📊 META Stock Sentiment & Market Outlook (08 Sept 2025) 🔢 Real-Time Data Overview 📈 Day Change: +0.51% (↑ $3.80) 📏 52-Week Range: $479.80 - $796.25 💰 Market Cap: $1.89T 🏆 😊 Investor Sentiment Outlook Retail & Institutional Mood 🟢 Consensus Sentiment: Bullish (Greed Phase) Analysts’ Price Target Avg: $822.41 (9.30% upside). 42/47 analysts rate META as "Buy" 🟢. Institutions love AI-driven ad growth + strong cash flow. 💪 Fear & Greed Index ⚖️ Stock Market Sentiment Score: 53/100 (Neutral to Greed) Driven by market momentum, options activity, and low volatility. 🔄 Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (53/100). 📉 Fundamental & Macro Score Points Fundamental Strength ✅ 💸 Valuation: P/E Ratio: 27.32 (below peers’ avg 35.47). Free Cash Flow: $57.63B (projected to hit $198.64B by 2035). Profit Margin: 39.99% (industry leader). 🚀 Growth Catalysts: AI boosting ad engagement. Reality Labs innovation (long-term bet). ⚠️ Risks: Regulatory scrutiny (antitrust/data privacy) 🚨. High reliance on ad revenue (98% of total). Macroeconomic Factors 🌍 📅 Upcoming Events: CPI Inflation Report (11 Sept). Fed Meeting (16-17 Sept) 🏦. 📊 Market Volatility: VIX stable (low fear). 🐂 Overall Market Outlook: BULLISH (LONG) ⏳ Short-Term: ✅ Price near 52-week high + above 200-day SMA. Target upside: $900+ (Bank of America, DBS Bank). 📅 Long-Term: ✅ AI monetization + metaverse potential. Undervalued by 29% (DCF model). 🎯 Key Takeaways 😊 Sentiment: Greed-driven optimism (institutional + retail). 💰 Fundamentals: Strong cash flow + EPS growth ($27.54). 🌍 Macro: Monitor CPI/Fed for volatility triggers. ⚠️ Risk: Regulatory risks offset by growth bets. ✅ Verdict: Bullish alignment across sentiment, fundamentals, and technicals. 📡 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:NVDA ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #META #MoneyHeistTrade #BullishSetup #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #AIStocks #TechStocks #TradingView #StockMarket #FearAndGreed #BullMarket
NASDAQ:METALong
by The-Thief
1
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️‍♂️ 🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒 🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it: Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰 Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡ Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔 Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in: $310.00 $315.00 $320.00 $325.00 $330.00 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑 Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎 Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯 Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy. Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference. 📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown 🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈. Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $295.00 (SL zone) Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone) Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔 📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights Market Cap: $81.47B PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation) EPS (TTM): $10.39 Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪 Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥 Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet) Risks: Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉 High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns Macro Drivers: Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀 Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential 😰 Fear & Greed Index Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100) Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes. 🧠 Investor Sentiment Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility. Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity. 🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook Bullish Score: 60% 🐂 Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest. Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻 Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence. Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends. 💡 Why Trade COIN Now? Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade. Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds. Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD) BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume. BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news. AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69). 📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025) Previous Close: $318.78 Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67 52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65 Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
NASDAQ:COINLong
by The-Thief
NAS100 - Stock Market on Federal Holiday!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand zones and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. Traders in prediction markets now estimate that the U.S. federal government shutdown could last more than a week and potentially extend into mid-October. These projections suggest that Washington’s political environment has reached a deadlock, making a swift agreement in Congress increasingly unlikely. The shutdown began early Wednesday morning after Democrats and Republicans—along with President Donald Trump—failed to reach a compromise on a temporary funding bill. As a result, hundreds of thousands of federal employees have been placed on unpaid leave, and numerous government programs and public services have been suspended. According to data from Bank of America, since 1990, U.S. government shutdowns have lasted an average of 14 days. Although the S&P 500 has typically risen about 1% during such periods, an extended impasse could weigh heavily on an already fragile economy and markets near record highs. The credit rating agency Fitch stated that the current shutdown will not have a direct impact on the United States’ credit rating, which remains at AA+ with a stable outlook. However, the agency noted that repeated reliance on short-term funding resolutions reflects persistent weaknesses in U.S. fiscal governance. Still, Fitch expects the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency to remain intact in the near future. Fitch also added that a short-lived shutdown is unlikely to affect most public-finance credits, though a prolonged one could pose negative risks for bond issuers—particularly those dependent on federal funding in areas such as healthcare, housing, and higher education. Meanwhile, UBS argued that concerns over the U.S. government shutdown have been overstated, predicting that its economic impact will be limited and short-lived. The bank advised investors to look beyond political noise and instead focus on Federal Reserve rate cuts, corporate earnings, and opportunities in artificial intelligence. Economists at Citi expect the Federal Reserve to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts in October and December, in line with its Dot Plot projections. However, the shutdown could delay access to key labor and inflation data, forcing investors to rely more heavily on private sources such as ADP reports. Similarly, Bank of America forecasts a rate cut in October but notes that markets have already priced in this outcome, assigning a 95% probability for October and 85% for December. In essence, this projection merely aligns with the consensus that has already formed among traders. In actual market developments, expectations have shifted back toward easing policies. Over the past two weeks, the hawkish pressure that had supported the dollar has eased, and markets are once again pricing in a lower-rate trajectory. Currently, about 105 basis points of rate cuts are priced in for next year, compared with a previous low of 94 basis points—a shift that favors equities while weighing on the dollar. According to Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, the government shutdown will not significantly impair the Fed’s ability to assess labor market conditions. “The Fed relies more on its proprietary datasets than on official government statistics,” he explained. “Even amid a shutdown, policymakers maintain a fairly accurate picture of the economy.” After a week dominated by employment data—some released and others delayed due to the shutdown—the upcoming week is expected to be relatively quiet for official U.S. economic releases unless a resolution is reached.Instead, market attention will pivot toward remarks from Federal Reserve officials. On Wednesday, the minutes of the September FOMC meeting will be released, offering deeper insight into policymakers’ views on the rate path and inflation risks. Then, on Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for October will shed light on household perceptions of the economy and their financial conditions—a key gauge for domestic demand strength. In addition, investors will closely monitor speeches from several Fed officials, including Bostic, Bowman, Miran, Kashkari, Barr, and Musalem. Their comments could directly influence market expectations for monetary policy and shape trading sentiment in the days ahead.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ). Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way. After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000. 📊 Confluence Highlights: Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K) Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K) Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K) 🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation ① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021) Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery. Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout. Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate. ② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023) Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands. Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure. ③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026) The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone). Confirms institutional markup phase , where: Retail short sellers are trapped. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves. Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow. Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm. ④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027) Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 . Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern. This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion. Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area. ⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029) After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range. This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops. Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure. --- 💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence Concept | Observation | Implication Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation) Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)} Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)} Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking 🧭 Smart Money Flow: Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution --- 📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance). Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone. Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 . --- 🧭 Market Outlook Summary Timeframe | Bias | Expectation Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000 Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K --- 🔖 FIBCOS Summary > NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC) Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K). After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K. 📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only. #FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
4
Nasdaq-100 | Textbook OB Rejection SSL Target Hit.Price swept the internal liquidity (TS 🐢) and tapped into a premium Order Block (OB), showing clear signs of rejection. This confirms a potential shift in market structure with bearish momentum building up. Alhumdulillah Target Hit✅️ 🔹 Key Points: Buy-side liquidity (BSL) taken before OB mitigation Strong rejection from OB + Breaker Block (BB) zone Market structure shift confirmed on 15m Targeting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below recent swing lows As long as price remains below the OB, bearish continuation is expected. Watch for short setups aligned with internal structure breaks.
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Short
by AliyanFX
2
LZ 1D: Legal move to the upside?On the daily chart, LegalZoom broke out of a falling wedge and perfectly retested the breakout area - almost textbook stuff. The buy zone around 9.25–9.89 aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous volume cluster, giving the setup extra strength. With both MA50 and MA200 below the price, momentum stays bullish. The first technical target lies near $15.33, with potential extension toward $20+ if broader sentiment remains supportive. From a fundamental view, LegalZoom benefits from renewed demand for digital legal services and cost optimization. Not a bad combo - solid technicals plus improving business dynamics. So yes, bulls have the gavel now - let’s just hope the verdict is in their favor
NASDAQ:LZLong
by TotoshkaTrades
A look at the MES1! (SPX)Chart Time Frame: 1 Hour Current Price: 6763 after setting recent ATH at 6800 Daily Candle: Top Heavy Doji with open / close entire in the body of previous candle. 📈 Price Action & Technical Analysis EMA 8 (thin cyan): ~6733 – Above price. Negative Slope. EMA 21 (med cyan): ~6775 – Above price and EMA 8. Negative Slope. Rotation zone created on 1H and lower TF (EMA 8 crossed EMA 21). Crossover has not happened on higher TF's at time of post. EMA 50 (thick cyan): ~6765 – Above current price; Flattening out. Structure: Bullish Trending since April lows. 📈 RSI (14 Close) Current: 43 (57 MA) Interpretation: Below neutral (50), momentum is weakening. 📈 MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD Line: 1; Signal Line: 4.2; Histogram: -3.2 Interpretation: MACD is growing bearish, histogram showing increasing intensity, yet still above 0. 🎯 Key Levels Support: various possible trend lines shown (Purple). Price action Monday will determine their validity. Swing low at 6681. Resistance: Overhead moving averages. ATH at 6800. 🧨 Volatility Outlook VIX - After a decline, showing signs of inflection. Currently trending upwards on the daily TF. Government shutdown and headline risk are of some concern to short term price action. Short Term: A sudden opening of the government could certainly cause a bullish event. I could also imagine certain headlines that would cause a short term bearish event. Longer term: govt shut downs have typically preceded bullish gains. 📈Macro/Fundamental Analysis Interpretation: We are in between earnings seasons and with a Gov shutdown, void of Gov Data. DXY - Pulled back significantly this year. I personally expect it to continue. This could provide a tail wind to equities pricing. 📆 Economic Calendar / Earnings Schedule Econ Calendar: Relatively Light Next Week Wednesday - 3PM EST - FOMC Minutes. Dot Plot could cause some action as the minutes are dissected. Friday - 10AM - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report. A big miss (up or down) could cause some action. 🔍 Summary 🔻 Trend: Long bull run - might be getting stale; Might just be getting started. You decide. 🧩 Momentum: Very high on longer TFs, Turning down on the lower. 🧠 Tactics: Short Term - I love a 'rotation zone trade'. If price bounces back up into the EMA 21/8 spread zone, I would be looking for some day trade shorts.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by WillNixTrading
When will Microsoft (MSFT) close its monthly gap?NASDAQ:MSFT Microsoft (MSFT) saw a 7% gap up following its earnings report in May. To fill this gap, the stock would need to drop about 28.59% from its high, or 23.33% from the current level. Historically, gaps on the monthly chart have eventually been filled, so it’s reasonable to assume that this one might be as well in the long term. However, given that MSFT is one of the top three companies by market capitalization, a decline of more than 20% would likely trigger a broader correction across the Nasdaq index. Therefore, this potential gap fill should not be seen merely as an individual stock event, but rather as part of a broader market correction scenario. Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Now_Trading
NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis & ForecastNASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Analysis & Forecast Current Price: 24,781.00 | Date: October 4, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📊 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The NASDAQ 100 is currently trading at 24,781.00, showing resilience near all-time highs. This comprehensive analysis integrates multiple technical frameworks to provide actionable insights for both intraday and swing traders navigating the tech-heavy index. Key Takeaway: NAS100 exhibits a cautious bullish bias with critical support at 24,650 and resistance at 25,100. Traders should monitor for potential consolidation before the next directional move. 🔍 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Monthly & Weekly Outlook (Swing Trading Perspective) Long-term Trend Assessment: Primary Trend: Bullish structure remains intact with higher highs and higher lows established since Q4 2024 Elliott Wave Count: The index appears to be in Wave 5 of a larger impulse structure from the 2022 lows, suggesting a mature bull cycle Ichimoku Cloud (Weekly): Price trading above the cloud with Tenkan-sen (9-period) above Kijun-sen (26-period), confirming bullish momentum Key Weekly Levels: Major Resistance: 25,200 - 25,350 (psychological level and prior consolidation zone) Major Support: 24,200 - 24,350 (former resistance turned support, 20-week EMA) Critical Support: 23,500 (50-week EMA, must hold for bull trend continuation) Gann Analysis: Square of 9 calculation from recent lows suggests the next significant price target at 25,088 (45° angle) Time cycle analysis indicates potential volatility window October 8-12, 2025 Price-time squaring suggests equilibrium at current levels, with break expected by mid-October Daily Chart Analysis (Swing & Position Trading) Trend & Momentum: 50-day SMA: 24,420 (acting as dynamic support) 200-day SMA: 23,680 (long-term trend anchor) RSI (14): Currently at 64, showing bullish momentum without overbought conditions MACD: Positive histogram with signal line above zero, indicating upward momentum Chart Patterns Identified: Ascending Triangle Formation: Consolidation between 24,650 support and 25,100 resistance suggests a bullish continuation pattern Wyckoff Analysis: Signs of re-accumulation phase (Trading Range) after the spring rally, indicating smart money positioning Harmonic Patterns: Potential Bullish Bat pattern completing near 24,650, with PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) offering strong support Fibonacci retracement from recent swing shows 61.8% level at 24,580, aligning with multiple support factors Volume Profile: VWAP (Anchored from Sept 1): 24,695 - price maintaining above VWAP indicates institutional buying Volume Analysis: Above-average volume on up days suggests strong bullish participation High Volume Node (HVN): 24,750-24,800 represents fair value area 4-Hour Chart (Transitional Timeframe) Technical Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Price trading in upper band (24,950), suggesting near-term overbought conditions but strong trend RSI (14): 68 - approaching overbought but no bearish divergence yet Stochastic Oscillator: %K at 82, %D at 76 - overbought territory, watch for crossover Ichimoku System: Price above cloud (bullish) Lagging span above price (confirming bullish sentiment) Cloud ahead is thin, suggesting potential resistance at 25,050-25,100 Support & Resistance: Immediate Resistance: 24,950 → 25,100 (psychological and technical confluence) Immediate Support: 24,650 → 24,500 (previous consolidation and EMA cluster) 1-Hour Chart (Intraday Swing Reference) Short-term Momentum: 20 EMA: 24,745 50 EMA: 24,680 100 EMA: 24,620 Price trading above all key EMAs indicates short-term bullish control Candlestick Patterns: Recent formation of bullish engulfing patterns on hourly suggests buying pressure No immediate reversal patterns detected Warning Signs: Potential Bear Trap: If price briefly breaks below 24,650 with low volume, expect quick recovery (trap for shorts) Bull Trap Risk: Break above 25,100 without volume confirmation could reverse quickly 📈 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (Week of October 4-11, 2025) 15-Minute & 30-Minute Chart Focus Monday-Tuesday Bias: Consolidation expected between 24,650-24,950 Long Entry Strategies: Setup 1: Support Bounce Play Entry Zone: 24,650-24,700 Stop Loss: 24,580 (below harmonic PRZ) Target 1: 24,850 (Risk:Reward 1:2) Target 2: 24,950 (Risk:Reward 1:3.5) Confirmation: RSI (15-min) oversold below 30, bullish candlestick reversal pattern Setup 2: Breakout Play Entry: Break and retest of 24,950 with volume Stop Loss: 24,870 Target 1: 25,050 Target 2: 25,150 (ascending triangle measured move) Confirmation: Volume 20% above average, 15-min candle close above 24,950 Setup 3: VWAP Reversion Entry: Price touches VWAP (currently ~24,695) from above on 5-min chart Stop Loss: 24,650 Target: 24,800-24,850 Confirmation: Volume spike on touch, bullish divergence on 5-min RSI Short Entry Strategies: Setup 1: Resistance Rejection Entry Zone: 25,050-25,100 Stop Loss: 25,150 Target 1: 24,850 Target 2: 24,700 Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or shooting star on 15-min chart, RSI divergence Setup 2: Failed Breakout (Bull Trap) Entry: Price breaks 25,100 but closes back below within 2 candles (15-min) Stop Loss: 25,130 Target: 24,800 Confirmation: High volume on breakout but no follow-through 🎯 SWING TRADING STRATEGY (October-November 2025) Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) Primary Strategy: Ascending Triangle Breakout Entry Plan: Aggressive Entry: Current levels (24,780) with tight risk management Conservative Entry: Pullback to 24,500-24,650 support zone Breakout Entry: Confirmed break above 25,100 with volume Position Sizing: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade Scale in: 50% at first entry, 30% on confirmation, 20% on continuation Price Targets: Target 1: 25,350 (measured move from triangle) Target 2: 25,800 (Fibonacci extension 1.618) Target 3: 26,200 (psychological and Gann Square of 9 target) Stop Loss Management: Initial Stop: Below 24,500 Trail Stop: Move to breakeven once Target 1 is reached Final Stop: Trail with 4-hour 20 EMA Time Horizon: 3-6 weeks Bearish Scenario (40% Probability) Invalidation Triggers: Break below 24,500 on daily close Head and Shoulders pattern develops (left shoulder at 25,200, head forming now, right shoulder anticipated) MACD bearish crossover on daily chart Short Strategy (Swing): Entry Conditions: Daily close below 24,500 RSI breaks below 50 on daily Death cross forming (50 SMA crossing below 200 SMA - currently not present) Targets: Target 1: 24,200 (weekly support) Target 2: 23,850 (50-day SMA) Target 3: 23,500 (major support and 50-week EMA) Stop Loss: Above 24,800 📉 RISK FACTORS & MARKET CONTEXT Technical Risk Factors: Overextension: Weekly RSI approaching 70 suggests limited upside without consolidation Volume Divergence: If breakout occurs with declining volume, suspect false move Elliott Wave: If in Wave 5, expect exhaustion and correction before new highs External Market Considerations: Macroeconomic Factors to Monitor: Federal Reserve policy statements (October FOMC meeting expectations) Q3 2025 earnings season for mega-cap tech (starting mid-October) Geopolitical tensions and their impact on risk sentiment US Dollar strength affecting multinational tech companies Sector-Specific Catalysts: AI technology developments and adoption rates Semiconductor supply chain updates Regulatory environment for big tech Interest rate trajectory impacts on growth stocks 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES For All Trading Timeframes: Position Sizing: Never risk more than 2% of capital on single trade Stop Loss: Mandatory on every trade, no exceptions Take Profits: Scale out at predetermined levels (50% at T1, 30% at T2, 20% at T3) Maximum Daily Loss: Stop trading if down 4% in single day Correlation Risk: NAS100 correlates with QQQ, SPX, and major tech stocks - monitor for divergences Trading Journal Requirements: Document all entries with screenshots Record reasoning and technical setup Track hit rate and average risk:reward Weekly performance review and strategy adjustment 📅 WEEKLY INTRADAY ROADMAP Monday, October 7: Bias: Neutral to slightly bullish Key Level: 24,750 (Friday's close area) Strategy: Wait for direction after Asian/European session Action: If holds above 24,700, look for longs on 15-min pullbacks Tuesday, October 8: Bias: Testing resistance at 24,950 Gann Time Cycle: Potential volatility day Strategy: Breakout or rejection trades Action: High-probability setups at extremes Wednesday, October 9: Bias: Continuation or reversal confirmation day Strategy: Follow Tuesday's direction with momentum Action: Trail stops on profitable positions Thursday, October 10: Bias: Mid-week profit-taking possible Strategy: Mean reversion trades if overextended Action: Watch for VWAP reversion setups Friday, October 11: Bias: Week-end positioning, reduced size Strategy: Close most intraday positions before weekend Action: Only high-conviction swing trades held over weekend 🎓 INDICATOR CONFLUENCE SUMMARY Bullish Signals (Current): ✅ Price above 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs ✅ Ichimoku cloud bullish on daily and weekly ✅ MACD positive on multiple timeframes ✅ Volume profile shows accumulation ✅ Ascending triangle continuation pattern ✅ Gann angles supporting upward trajectory Bearish Warnings: ⚠️ RSI approaching overbought on 4-hour ⚠️ Potential Elliott Wave 5 exhaustion ⚠️ Bollinger Bands showing overextension ⚠️ Stochastic overbought on shorter timeframes Neutral/Watch: 🔍 Volume needs to increase on breakout attempts 🔍 Wyckoff accumulation phase requires confirmation 🔍 Head and Shoulders pattern could develop if resistance holds 🎯 FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS For Intraday Traders: Focus on the 24,650-25,100 range for the next week. Best opportunities exist at range extremes with clear risk management. Favor long setups given the broader bullish context, but remain nimble and respect stop losses. Best Intraday Timeframes: 5-min for entries, 15-min for trend confirmation, 1-hour for bias For Swing Traders: The ascending triangle offers an excellent risk:reward setup. Consider building positions on pullbacks to 24,500-24,650 with stops below 24,450. Target the 25,350-25,800 zone over the next 4-6 weeks. Monitor daily candle closes for trend confirmation. Best Swing Timeframes: Daily for entries, 4-hour for momentum, weekly for trend validation ⚡ KEY LEVELS SUMMARY CARD Immediate Levels (Intraday): 🔴 Strong Resistance: 25,100-25,150 🟠 Resistance: 24,950-25,000 🔵 Current Price: 24,781 🟢 Support: 24,650-24,700 🟢 Strong Support: 24,500-24,550 Major Levels (Swing): 🔴 Major Resistance: 25,200-25,350 🔴 Psychological: 25,000 🟢 Major Support: 24,200-24,350 🟢 Critical Support: 23,500-23,680 📝 DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading financial instruments carries substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with licensed financial advisors before making trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any trading losses incurred based on this analysis. Next Update: October 11, 2025 Analysis Valid Through: October 18, 2025 Prepared using advanced technical analysis incorporating Wyckoff, Elliott Wave, Gann, Harmonic Patterns, Ichimoku, and modern momentum indicators.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
ALERT: VIX-NDX COVARIANCE HITS DANGER ZONEA few days ago, my custom VIX–Price Covariance Monitor started flashing red... and it hasn’t cooled off since. Here’s what that means 👇 - The TVC:VIX (volatility index) and NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100) are now moving in the same direction. That’s not normal. Usually, when stocks rise, volatility falls. But when both start climbing together — it means something under the surface is fracturing. Half the times this correlation flips positive, the market corrects or worse, it crashes. I’m not panic‑selling, but I’m definitely not buying either for now. No new longs unless it’s a screaming opportunity. In the meantime? Stacking cash and sitting tight. This is time to play close attention to the market,
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by HenriqueCentieiro
5
AAPL – Ready to Break Out Despite Macro NoiseMarkets are holding strong near all-time highs even amid the backdrop of a potential U.S. government shutdown. One standout name is Apple Inc. NASDAQ:AAPL , which has surged 32% since our last analysis. This rally confirms renewed momentum and continued investor confidence in large-cap tech. Apple is in a strong uptrend, currently consolidating just below resistance. The structure is bullish, and a breakout seems likely. Any pullback toward support could offer a high-probability entry for trend followers. 🟩 Trade Setup Entry Zone: $223 – $227 (support area) Target Range: $237 – $259 Stop Loss: Close below $217 Watch price action near these levels and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Richtv_official