Nasdaqlong
NASDAQ100 Strong Bullish Momentum — Clean Entry & Exit Blueprint⚡ THIEF STRATEGY ALERT: Golden Cross Breakout Setup
📈 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100 Index)
Timeframe: Day/Swing Trade
Market Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Moving Average Breakout + MACD Golden Cross Confirmed)
Strategy Type: Layered Entry Approach (Multi-Level Limit Orders)
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - "THIEF LAYERING METHOD"
Multiple Limit Order Entry Points (Build Position Gradually):
📍 Layer 1: 25,400 (First Entry)
📍 Layer 2: 25,500 (Second Entry)
📍 Layer 3: 25,600 (Third Entry)
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer levels based on your capital allocation & risk tolerance. This pyramiding approach reduces average entry cost and limits downside risk.
Why This Method? The layered entry reduces emotional trading, averages down your entry price, and ensures you're not all-in on one level.
🛑 STOP LOSS - "THIEF OG PROTECTION"
Suggested SL Level: 25,200
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. Adjust your stop loss based on:
Your personal risk tolerance
Account size & position sizing
Technical support levels on your timeframe
🔴 Remember: Risk management is YOUR responsibility. Set stops that protect YOUR capital.
🎁 PROFIT TARGET - "POLICE BARRICADE RESISTANCE"
Primary Target: 26,100
📊 Technical Confluence:
SUPERTREND ATR Line = Strong Dynamic Resistance
Overbought Zone Alert = Potential Reversal Risk
Resistance Trap = Take profits before reversal occurs
⚠️ CRITICAL NOTE: Partial profit-taking recommended. Don't be greedy at target levels—accumulate gains gradually:
🟢 Take 30-40% profit at 26,100
🟢 Move SL to breakeven, trail remaining position
🟢 Exit second half on additional resistance or SUPERTREND reversal
💰 YOUR DECISION: Profit targets are YOUR choice. Trade at your own risk and manage your exit strategy.
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Risk/Opportunity Indicators)
1. SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - USD Strong Correlation (0.95)
Key Point: Leads or confirms NAS100 moves
Watch For: If SPY breaks below key support, NAS100 pullback likely
Action: Use SPY strength to confirm NASDAQ100 breakout validity
2. QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) - Perfect Mirror (1.0 Correlation)
Key Point: Direct tracker of your asset
Watch For: Volume spikes, divergence patterns
Action: Cross-reference QQQ volume with NAS100—lack of volume = weak breakout
3. DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse Correlation (-0.75)
Key Point: Strong dollar = tech selloff risk
Watch For: DXY rejection at key levels
Action: If DXY rallies hard, NAS100 bullish bias weakens—be cautious
4. TLT (20-Year Treasury ETF) - Indirect Inverse (-0.60)
Key Point: Rising rates pressure growth stocks (NASDAQ)
Watch For: TLT breakdown = rate hike concerns = tech pressure
Action: Monitor TLT support; if breaks, expect NAS100 resistance
5. GLD (Gold ETF) - Risk-On Indicator (0.40)
Key Point: Flight-to-safety alternative
Watch For: Sharp gold strength = risk-off environment forming
Action: Gold spike with NAS100 move down = sell signal confirmation
6. VIX (Volatility Index) - Fear Gauge (-0.80)
Key Point: Rising VIX kills bullish momentum
Watch For: VIX above 20 = caution on long positions
Action: If VIX spikes during entry, wait for stabilization before scaling in
✅ CHECKLIST BEFORE ENTRY
Moving Average crossover confirmed (golden cross visible)
MACD histogram turned positive
Price closed above key moving average
Volume supporting the move
Correlated pairs (QQQ/SPY) confirming bullish setup
DXY not in strong uptrend (tech-unfriendly)
VIX stable or declining
🎯 TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES (THIEF OG STYLE)
Scale In: Use limit orders—don't chase price
Protect Profits: Move stop to breakeven after first target hit
Trail Stops: Let winners run while protecting gains
Take Partials: Secure profits incrementally—greed kills traders
Monitor Correlations: Watch correlated pairs for early warning signals
Respect Risk: NEVER risk more than 2% per trade
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This is an Educational Guide Only for trading strategy examples.
🔴 NOT Financial Advice: I am not a financial advisor, and this does NOT constitute investment advice.
🔴 Your Responsibility: All entry, exit, and stop-loss decisions are YOUR choice and YOUR responsibility.
🔴 Past Performance ≠ Future Results: Market conditions change; strategies may fail.
🔴 Risk Capital Only: Trade only with money you can afford to lose completely.
Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research (DYOR).
💪 THIEF OG'S MINDSET
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
Success in trading isn't about following someone else's exact setup—it's about understanding the WHY behind each decision, adapting to YOUR risk tolerance, and executing with DISCIPLINE.
This guide provides the framework. You provide the execution. Make your profits, protect your capital, and trade smart. 🎯
Now go earn those tendies, OG's! 💰📈
Last Updated: December 2025
Strategy Type: Day/Swing Trade | Timeframe: 4H-Daily
NAS100 LONG setupNas has been ranging for over a month back in Sep-Oct, buyers won the battle and pushed price to 26,3k.
Sellers kicked in again and price corrected for another month.
Recently price has broken back above the level and from here I'm looking for buys, as long as it keep making HHs and HL's during the next couple of weeks, during next New York sessions.
If Nasdaq can crack the pressure line then...🔱 We have a Hagopian on the down-move. 🔱
Price was (so far) not able to reach the L-MLH of the red fork.
If buyers can eat through the pressure cheese, then the Long-Play is on.
Most often we see price breaking the pressure line and then coming back to it, scaring out the early longs, just to rush upwards again. So don’t panic if this happens. Place a proper stop and you're good.
As for targets, there is the red Centerline and the white Centerline.
On a break of the red CL, we have a high chance to see the same scenario as with the pressure line: UP-Down-MoreUp.
First snow in Switzerland arrived and Santa is preparing the reindeer to bring us some dough ;-)
Wish you all a profitable Friday.
Nasdaq 100 – A Quiet Accumulation Before the Next PushThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is showing early signs of a structural rebalancing after the recent correction. Price is currently hovering near 25,600, retracing modestly after a short-term rebound from the 25,280 demand zone — a level where Smart Money seems to have re-entered quietly.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – A Story of Displacement and Repricing
The current chart reveals a clear Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a corrective pullback.
After the previous sell-off, price found support at the 25,280 – 25,300 range — a discount zone aligning with both an order block and a trendline confluence.
This zone likely served as institutional demand, where Smart Money began accumulating long positions before the upward displacement.
The recent retracement, however, remains within a corrective structure, meaning we could still see one more liquidity sweep before the market decides its next major leg.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – The Footprints of Institutions
Karina is currently tracking three zones that matter most to the structure:
Demand Zone:
25,280 – 25,300: The base of institutional accumulation and current structural support.
Supply Zones:
25,970 – 26,160: A major bearish order block where Smart Money previously distributed positions — likely the next liquidity target.
The most probable scenario: a retest of the lower demand → a liquidity grab → bullish displacement toward 25,970 – 26,160 → reversal back to equilibrium.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Flow – The Path of Least Resistance
Above the current range lies buy-side liquidity resting at 26,000+, while below, sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 25,280.
This suggests that the next move could be an engineered push upward — designed to collect liquidity above 25,970 – 26,160 before potential continuation back into the demand zone.
Such a move would mirror the classic SMC liquidity cycle:
Accumulate → Displace → Manipulate → Distribute.
🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Patience Before Precision
Karina’s bias for the day is moderately bullish, anticipating a short-term expansion toward the upper liquidity pool.
However, she remains cautious — waiting for confirmation near the demand zone before entering long.
Buy Idea:
Entry: 25,280 – 25,300
Stop Loss: below 25,200
Target 1: 25,970
Target 2: 26,160
If the liquidity sweep at 26,160 completes, Karina expects a controlled retracement — a potential short setup back into equilibrium around 25,400.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Whispers, Smart Money Listens
The chart right now feels calm, methodical — like the quiet before a decisive wave.
Smart Money rarely rushes. It absorbs, manipulates, and moves when most traders stop paying attention.
For Karina, this is one of those moments where patience becomes the most powerful strategy.
The next move will not be random — it will be precise, intentional, and elegant, just like the rhythm of liquidity itself 🌙
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
How do you see the US100’s next move? Is Smart Money gearing up for another liquidity sweep above 26k? Let’s discuss below 💬






















