Nasdaqshort
NQ - Nasdaq Short Playbook for the next weeksIn the NQ, they took out the high and then hit it on the head day by day. It finally stopped below the 1/4 line. If you look closely, you see that this was the slanted zone of Support — just like the slanted Resistance.
"As above, so below."
...write me in the comments who said this already a couple hundred years ago §8-)
The small Modified Schiff Fork tells a story too.
Price reached the Center Line and got rejected. Now it's on its way down towards the small Fork's L-MLH. A break of it would indicate further selling ahead.
And the last bastion is the green support level, which stems from the second-to-last prior confirmed Swing Low.
Beyond this level, it's only a question of time before price hits the Center Line.
And — God forbid — below the Center Line, the Sh...t hits the fan. So you better run... behind price with a decent short trade and ride it down to the Abyss.
No worries, I'm with you §8-)
Happy Monday, folks!
NQ – Nasdaq follows the witch’s SPY prophecyNot only is the S&P 500 following the oracle in the SPY, but the Nasdaq has also given us a short signal. So, the scenario is the same as with SPY: short down to the Centerline.
For the indicator traders, I’ve also added the EMA(10) and EMA(20). Look at how well they’ve provided support so far. If the EMA(20) cracks, things will get hot. And if the CIB line (Change In Behavior) also breaks, then all hell breaks loose!
As already mentioned in the SPY post, it wouldn’t be a shame to take at least 50% of the profits you’ve accumulated so far. Because if it goes further up, e.g. above the U-MLH, you still have 50% left to benefit. If it goes down, we’ve already bagged 50%.
BTW: At the 1/4 line, we can usually expect support.
Exciting times, when maybe it’s better to sit still and keep your hands to yourself.
I’ll create the YT video with details tomorrow.
Happy profits to you all!
US100 – Short Setup Based on Visible WeaknessThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is currently trading around 23,700 and has shown clear signs of weakness in the past few hours.
On the 1-hour chart, the price has tested the area between 23,700 and 23,720 multiple times but failed to break through. Moving averages (yellow, green, and red lines) are flat or turning downward, which signals that bullish momentum is fading.
Trade Setup
Entry Zone: 23,700 – 23,720
This area has acted as resistance several times, meaning the price keeps bouncing off it without breaking higher.
Stop Loss: Above 23,827
This is the most recent clear high on the chart. If price breaks above this level, the setup is invalid.
Target 1 (T1): 23,515
This level acted as support on August 13 and 15. Price bounced here twice, making it a realistic first target.
Target 2 (T2): 23,246
This level was support on August 8 and 9 and could be reached if T1 breaks.
Why Short?
Price is below the 21 EMA on 4h timeframe (yellow line): This is a sign of weakening trend strength.
Price rejected multiple times at the moving averages: Buyers failed to push higher.
No new highs: Even after several attempts, price could not break above 23,827.
What supports the short idea right now
Tech under pressure: Meta and Palantir are both trading lower after weak follow-ups on AI and earnings momentum. This drags on overall sector sentiment.
No new highs: The market failed again to break above the last swing high at 23,827, which strengthens the case for continued consolidation or downside.
Dollar strength creeping in : Ongoing geopolitical tension (Ukraine, Trump talks) is pushing the USD up slightly – this tends to weigh on tech stocks.
Jackson Hole caution : Markets are waiting for Powell’s comments later this week. Until then, many traders stay risk-off, which favors downside movement or at least weak buying.
Summary
📉 Short entry: 23,700 – 23,720
⛔ Stop: Above 23,827
🎯 T1: 23,515
🎯 T2: 23,246
No financial advice – just my personal trade idea based on what the chart shows and the current macro situation.
And don’t forget: the market has two moods – “not yet” and “too late.” :D
NASDAQ At Good Res , Is It A Chance To Sell To Get 200 Pips ?Here is my 4H Nasdaq Chart and my opinion is the price at very interesting selling area for me , and we have a very clear bearish price action and this Res Area forced the prices to go down Very hard and i think this Second Touch will be the best one , so i`m waiting selling this pair now and targeting from 100 to 200 pips . the only reason to cancel this idea if we have a clear daily closure above my res area .
Entry Reasons :
1- Clear Res Area .
2- Second Touch For The Res .
3- Bearish Price Action .
Has QQQ topped? Levels to the downsideI think we've seen a top here with the reversal that happened today. My levels held on SPY and that makes me more convinced the Nasdaq will have the same fate.
The top looks much clearer on Nasdaq futures. We have a double top, should the highs of today hold.
If you were to run a trend line through price, you'd see that all we've done on this rally is backtested the trend line from the April lows and have found resistance.
I think the next move is likely a large move down towards the lower support levels. Potentially CPI tomorrow is the catalyst.
Let's see where we end up, but I think it'll be one of the lower support levels should the highs hold throughout the week.
GER40CASH (DE40) - potential short - HSThere is a potential head and shoulders continuation pattern.
What I like about this setup is the GER40 is potentially creating a bear flag.
Finding a continuation pattern within the bear flag, like the head and shoulders, is a great entry point for the second part of the downward move.
Still waiting for my system to confirm some variables before I take the trade.
Risk/reward = 4.3
Entry price = 23 905.3
Stop loss price = 23 955.4
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 733
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 628
NAS100 (CASH100) Short - Double top 30minThe 15min head and shoulders setup got invalidated.
However, my double top variables are currently being met.
Still need confirmation before entering trade.
Risk/reward = 2.7
Entry price = 23 284
Stop loss price = 23 331
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 173
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 129
What does everyone thing the NASDAQ is going to do today?
NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - head and shoulders 15minPotential short on nas100 (cash100) with head and shoulders on the 15min.
Still waiting for confirmation on some of my variables before I enter.
Risk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 23 262
Stop loss price = 23 287.3
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 184
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 153
What do you guys and girls think the nasdaq is going to do?
Why NQ is probably tanking big timeIn this weekly chart, we see QQQ, which represents the Nasdaq.
As we can see, it had a hell of a run up.
Too far too fast IMO, and it reached the stretch level at the Upper Medianline Parallel.
The natural move is now to let go, take a breath and trade down to center again, which is the Centerline.
After all the most major and most important earnings results are over, and Funds have pumped up their gains through manipulative Options plays, it's time to reap what they have planted and book the gains.
It's all in line with, all moves are at the point, and everything is showing in a simple chart.
Unless price is opening and closing outside of the U-MLH, it's time to load the Boat and sail to the South.