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NATURAL GAS

Weekly Hammer, 2026 Channel Exitthere are two critical levels that must be confirmed. The first is the baseline of the last three months, which represents the structural foundation of the current market phase. The second is the formation of a new baseline for the next three months, a level that will be validated and confirmed later in 2026. A green hammer candle forming next week is expected to act as the ignition point of this cycle, signaling the start of the move and providing the momentum for the broader formation. This setup points to a strong continuation, with a significant bullish push anticipated in the following week, culminating in a clearly confirmed, strong green candle on the first Monday of 2026.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
Fibonacci Train Final Boarding: The 2026 RideA decade-long channel of unchanged width explodes into view like a living Fibonacci spiral, price carving its path with surgical precision. It feels as if a master artist is sketching a priceless masterpiece while accelerating his own train—fully in control, no brakes, no hesitation. This is not abstract art; this is pure momentum with intent. Miss a station and you are not late you are gone. This is the CUP scenario in its raw form: the channel holds its width, at the very least, through 2028, locked in structure and discipline. Every buying stop is irreversible, a one-way decision point. Fibonacci numbers are not guiding this move they are drawing a priceless master piece in real time. its an absolute not trading advice just a personal imaginary thoughts
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
3Month and 12 Month Candels retest and RetrecmentThe 3-month and 12-month candle retest and retracement concept is a higher-timeframe market analysis approach that focuses on how price reacts after forming major quarterly and yearly candles. The high, low, open, and midpoint of these candles function as critical structural levels that often act as magnets for price. After a candle closes, price frequently retests these levels in subsequent periods before continuing in the prevailing trend, reflecting institutional participation and liquidity rebalancing. Retracements toward these higher-timeframe levels are considered a natural and necessary process within trending markets. At the end of major sell cycles, a strong retracement is expected, as selling pressure becomes exhausted and liquidity conditions shift. These deeper retracements often target the candle open or midpoint and may mark the transition from distribution to accumulation, preceding trend stabilization or reversal. This behavior provides valuable context for identifying high-probability zones for long-term positioning and risk control.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Dr-Nat
A 10 Year Old Structural Roadmap to the 2027 BreakoutExecutive Market Thesis: Structural Regime Shift & Multi-Year Cycle Alignment The market is completing a transition from a multi-year consolidation regime into a confirmed bullish expansion phase. This conclusion is derived from the confluence of long-term structural integrity, institutional footprint analysis, and precise technical invalidation levels. 1. Primary Trend Confirmation & Structural Validation A decade-long series of higher lows has established a durable demand baseline, confirming sustained institutional accumulation and validating the underlying long-term bullish trend structure. This is not a speculative rally, but the maturation of a prolonged re-accumulation cycle. 2. High-Confluence Inflection Zone The current breakout originates from a high-confluence technical node: the intersection of a long-term descending channel resistance with key Fibonacci extension clusters. This zone represents a clear inflection point, denoting a confirmed shift in market control from supply to demand. 3. Fibonacci Validation of the Accumulation Base Deep Fibonacci retracement levels (notably the 0.618 and 0.786) have held across multiple cycle tests. This price action confirms the existence of a robust institutional accumulation base, providing a structurally sound foundation for the next expansion phase. 4. Critical Threshold: The 2026 Annual Candle The 2026 annual candle close relative to the 2025 baseline is paramount. It serves as the primary structural confirmatory signal. A decisive weekly close below this level would invalidate the bullish structure, likely triggering an accelerated downward move as major distribution cycles align. The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is the key technical level to monitor for this potential breakdown. 5. Institutional Footprint at the Cycle Low Volume-profile analysis and price action at the "cup" formation low exhibit classic institutional accumulation signatures—characterized by elevated volume on absorption, not distribution. This indicates "smart money" positioning ahead of the public trend transition. 6. Forward Projection: The 2027 Handle & Breakout Thesis 2027 is projected to finalize the multi-year "handle" formation—a period of controlled consolidation designed to: Absorb residual overhang from late-cycle entrants. Allow for the distribution of trapped supply. Enable institutional conviction to build beneath the surface. 7. Strategic Entry Zone: Q3-Q4 2027 SEP 2027, concurrent with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, is identified as the final strategic accumulation zone before the anticipated structural breakout. This level represents the last high-probability, high-reward entry point for aligning with the new cycle. 8. Anticipated Resolution: The 2027 Expansion Trigger A decisive weekly close above the multi-year consolidation range in late 2027 is expected to signal the exhaustion of available supply and full institutional demand dominance. This event should catalyze the next validated expansion phase, marking the beginning of a clear, momentum-driven leg in the broader cycle. Risk Management Note: The thesis is invalidated by a sustained loss of the 2026 annual baseline (monitored via weekly closes). The 0.786 Fib serves as the final defensive line for long-term positioning.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
Remember the Septembers (( SEP.2026 and SEP 2027 ))SEP.2026 and SEP 2027 two no turning points in the most timely correct virsion of the Cub and Handel formation till now. This observation has crossed a threshold. It is no longer merely "trading ideas" or speculative commentary. We are witnessing the most structurally significant formation of the cycle a multi-stage Handle and Channel Convergence setting the stage for a historic move. The alignment of a historic Cup & Handle replication, within a 10-year Fibonacci framework, at the meeting point of macro channels, creates a scenario that demands a higher level of consideration. It presents a probability that is now too significant to ignore. Phase 1: The Final Exhaustion Drop Price is rejected from the massive 7.5-8.0 resistance wall. This isn't just a normal pullback. Why it drops fast: This sell-off represents the final liquidation wave of the previous bear cycle. Weak hands capitulate, and late sellers scramble for the exit, creating a sharp, high-volume descent into the formation. This rapid drop is necessary to flush out the last remnants of selling pressure. Phase 2: The Energy Channel (The "No-Return" Zone) The price enters the Handle channel, a defined equilibrium zone where the final sell orders are absorbed. This is where the major trend channels converge. Once price consolidates here and breaks north, there is no logical support left to retest—it becomes a one-way trajectory. The "no-return point." Phase 3: The Launchpad This entire structure acts as a rocket launch base, compressing energy for the next macro leg up confirming a bogger Fibonacci. The completion of this base targets a powerful ignition in SEP. 2027 with a total confirmation of the Channel. This is not trading advice or signal at all This is the identification of a mathematical and structural precedent that now stands, clear and present, on the chart. The responsibility for any action taken—or not taken—rests solely with the individual. The market is a mechanism. This is how its gears are aligning.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
THE SETUP: 2026 CUP and Handel Formation (most realistic)This observation has crossed a threshold. It is no longer merely "trading ideas" or speculative commentary. We are witnessing the most structurally significant formation of the cycle a multi-stage Handle and Channel Convergence setting the stage for a historic move. The alignment of a historic Cup & Handle replication, within a 10-year Fibonacci framework, at the meeting point of macro channels, creates a scenario that demands a higher level of consideration. It presents a probability that is now too significant to ignore. Phase 1: The Final Exhaustion Drop Price is rejected from the massive 8.0 resistance wall. This isn't just a normal pullback. Why it drops fast: This sell-off represents the final liquidation wave of the previous bear cycle. Weak hands capitulate, and late sellers scramble for the exit, creating a sharp, high-volume descent into the formation. This rapid drop is necessary to flush out the last remnants of selling pressure. Phase 2: The Energy Channel (The "No-Return" Zone) The price enters the Handle channel, a defined equilibrium zone where the final sell orders are absorbed. This is where the major trend channels converge. Once price consolidates here and breaks north, there is no logical support left to retest—it becomes a one-way trajectory. The "no-return point." Phase 3: The Launchpad This entire structure acts as a rocket launch base, compressing energy for the next macro leg up confirming a bogger Fibonacci. The completion of this base targets a powerful ignition in January 2027. This is not trading advice or signal at all This is the identification of a mathematical and structural precedent that now stands, clear and present, on the chart. The responsibility for any action taken—or not taken—rests solely with the individual. The market is a mechanism. This is how its gears are aligning.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
What Fibonacci trying to tell us !!!!!!In the markets, the Fibonacci spiral isn't just a pattern—it's an engine of momentum. It reveals where price action compresses, aligns, and ultimately explodes. Think of a consolidation near a key Fibonacci level (like the 61.8% or 38.2% retracement) as the spiral winding tighter. This isn't random noise; it's energy being stored, a structural reformation where the market's natural growth geometry reasserts itself. The moment price breaks decisively from this zone, it triggers the spiral's accelerating phase. This is why Fibonacci structures are powerful tools for identifying the launch point of sharp, impulsive moves—not for forecasting slow, grinding trends. They pinpoint where potential energy converts to kinetic momentum, offering a high-probability entry for capturing rapid expansion.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
The Great Channel: The Great Reset from 9.5A Once-in-a-Decade Market Opportunity The Great Channel thesis presents a compelling long-term market structure that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. From a macro-technical perspective, current price action suggests we may be trading at, or extremely close to, the lowest valuation level we are likely to witness over the next decade. Even the next cyclical low, should it occur, may still print at levels higher than today’s price. This outcome is not guaranteed, but it represents one of the most probable scenarios on the table and one that now carries more conviction than ever before. The concept of the Great Channel first emerged in 2024 as a theoretical framework; however, evolving market behavior indicates that it may now be transitioning from hypothesis into structural reality. If confirmed, this channel has the potential to reprice the market into entirely new regimes. Importantly, this structure does not conflict with the broader cup-and-handle formation that many long-term participants are tracking. On the contrary, the two patterns may be complementary, with the cup-and-handle reaching full maturity only after a potential Great Reset event. Such a reset could occur near the extreme boundaries of the Great Channel, precisely where asymmetric risk-to-reward conditions are most favorable. From this vantage point, current levels may represent the most attractive strategic accumulation zone we are likely to see for many years to come. For patient, long-term traders and investors, this region offers a rare alignment of macro structure, technical positioning, and cyclical timing—an opportunity that may not present itself again for a very long time.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
Natural Gas (NG): The Freestyle Framework Natural Gas: The Freestyle Landscape This is not a forecast. It is a dynamic structural map. Designed for the discretionary trader, this "Freestyle" framework deconstructs Natural Gas into its core technical components: cyclical rhythms, evolving Elliott Wave structures, adaptive price channels, and multi-layered zones of confluence. We provide the architecture; you dictate the strategy. Within This Framework, You Will Identify: - Cyclical Turning Nodes: Time-based projections where trend exhaustion or acceleration is statistically heightened. - Price Channel Evolution: Visualizing the market's breathing pattern through expanding and contracting volatility corridors. - Confluence Zones: High-Probability regions where support/resistance, Fibonacci projections, and channel boundaries cluster, defining the market's true decision points. - Momentum & Risk Gradients: Areas shaded for potential trend acceleration or reversal, framing asymmetric risk/reward opportunities. The Core Philosophy: Trade Context, Not Clarity. This map eliminates the noise of directional bias. Instead, it provides a professional-grade canvas to: Plan high-probability setups within predefined zones. Anticipate volatility shifts before they occur. Objectively manage risk by highlighting invalidation levels. Align your unique strategy (swing, position) with the market's inherent structure. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It is a framework for context, not a substitute for independent analysis. All trading decisions and risk management are solely the responsibility of the individual. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade The Reaction. Navigate The Structure.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Dr-Nat
Extended Scinario to Fall Zone from 8.5This scenario appears more plausible to me personally, and confirmation of it should emerge in March 2026 if the critical buying zone is reached. The period from March to April could represent a very strong buying opportunity, potentially serving as the final upward move toward the 8.5 area. This reflects a personal opinion and general market perspective only. It is not investment, trading, or financial advice, and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
9
The Undeniable Chart of EverythingJune 2026 – A New Era: $3.2, the Price of No Return This chart speaks for itself. Based on my experience and a clear reading of market dynamics, the rapidly accelerating demand for natural gas represents a structural shift rather than a temporary cycle. Natural gas is no longer merely a bridge fuel; it is becoming a foundational pillar of future energy systems, technological expansion, and global economic stability. Natural gas is essential for powering next-generation data centers and AI infrastructure, where uninterrupted, high-density energy supply is non-negotiable. It plays a critical role in stabilizing renewable energy grids, providing rapid-load backup for wind and solar as electrification accelerates worldwide. In hydrogen production, natural gas remains the primary feedstock for blue hydrogen, enabling large-scale decarbonization of heavy industry long before green hydrogen reaches economic viability. Beyond electricity, natural gas is indispensable in advanced manufacturing, petrochemicals, fertilizer production, and clean steel technologies. LNG continues to reshape global energy security, particularly in Europe and Asia, where long-term supply contracts are locking in demand well into the next decade. Against this backdrop, a price level of $3.2 is not just undervalued — it represents a historical inflection point. As supply constraints tighten and demand growth becomes embedded, this is a price the market is unlikely to revisit. The era ahead is defined by scarcity, strategic relevance, and repricing. The three highlighted danger zones mark areas where multiple sell cycles converge. These zones are historically risky for initiating long positions and instead represent optimal regions for identifying potential short or sell setups. A reversal from the darkest zone can unfold rapidly, often materializing as a single large bearish candle or two consecutive bearish candles on the weekly timeframe. This reflects a personal opinion and general market perspective only. It is not investment, trading, or financial advice, and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
Long-Cycle Market Observation-4 steps all we needThis discussion is intended as a personal analytical framework rather than financial or trading advice. Its purpose is to highlight rare, high-impact market opportunities and to avoid unnecessary conflicts between competing scenarios, particularly around the potential double-top region near 6 to 6.4. The focus is on four specific, numbered time windows: 1-January 2-February 3-March 4-June These four periods alone are considered sufficient, from a purely hypothetical and educational perspective, to capture major market movements through 2026, without the need for frequent activity. The underlying idea emphasizes restraint rather than constant engagement. Overexposure and excessive activity are viewed as the primary risks, while patience is regarded as the key factor. Upon reaching the fourth phase, the concept shifts away from short-term realization and toward a long-term, multi-year approach, allowing positions to evolve across multiple cycles instead of being closed prematurely. This framework reflects a personal market philosophy focused on discipline, timing, and long-term perspective, and should be understood solely as a conceptual discussion.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Dr-Nat
2026 retirement plan.The broader market structure suggests that 2026 could mark the lowest price level ever observed in natural gas, driven not by weakness, but by extraordinary global demand—particularly the explosive energy requirements of large-scale AI data infrastructures. A double-top formation appears increasingly inevitable, supported by highly precise geometric alignment across multiple resistance and support zones. This is not a trading call, but the result of a multifaceted, rigorously detailed market analysis viewed from several technical and structural angles.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Dr-Nat
2
XNG/USD Bullish Retest Play | MA Support Holds🔥 XNG/USD (NATURAL GAS) - BULLISH TRADE OPPORTUNITY 🔥 Natural Gas is showing strength with a confirmed bullish structure! This idea outlines a potential day trade as price retests a key moving average support level. 📈 Trade Plan: Bullish Idea: Long on any retest/dip, targeting a move towards the next significant resistance. Rationale: Price action confirms a bullish bias, with the Moving Average acting as dynamic support. 🎯 Key Levels & Execution ✅ Entry Zone: Any price level is considered, but a retest of the MA support offers a favorable risk-reward. Be patient for your setup! 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): My Personal SL: 4.000 ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance and strategy. YOU MUST adjust your SL according to your own capital management rules. Trade at your own risk! 🎯 Take Profit Target: 4.400 This level aligns with a strong resistance zone, overbought signals, and a potential correction area. Secure your profits accordingly! 🔍 Related Pairs & Market Correlations To get a fuller picture of the Energies market, keep an eye on these key assets: TVC:USOIL / BLACKBULL:WTI (Crude Oil): 💡 The "big brother" of energy. Often, strength in Crude can pull Natural Gas higher, though the correlation isn't always perfect. ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Oil): 🌍 The international energy benchmark. Similar to WTI, its trends can influence sentiment across the entire energy complex. TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 💵 KEY CORRELATION! Since XNG is quoted against the USD (XNG/USD), a weaker Dollar typically bullish for Natural Gas. A stronger Dollar can act as a headwind. Watch the DXY closely! AMEX:UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund ETF): 📊 A popular ETF that tracks Natural Gas prices. Good for confirming momentum and retail sentiment. ✅ Key Takeaway: A weakening TVC:DXY and strength in TVC:USOIL could provide the perfect tailwinds for this XNG/USD bullish move! 👍 Found this helpful? Give it a LIKE & FOLLOW for more daily trade ideas and insights! 🚀 💬 Comment below with your take on Natural Gas! Let's discuss the setup.
EIGHTCAP:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
Geometrical Projection 2026: a New Bullish Era Sep.2026By early 2026, we anticipate the emergence of a new six-month green candle. Following this, a downward correction is expected, with the possibility—though not certainty—of forming a second peak in May. Ultimately, the projection points toward a retest of the bottom of the current six-month candle, signaling an exit from the five-year descending channel and defining the lower boundary of a new ascending channel. By September 2026, geometric patterns and buyer alignment suggest the potential onset of a new bullish era.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by Dr-Nat
Natural Gas: Correction Ahead?Pullback expected after five weeks of growth; key levels 4.283 and 4.194 in focus. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method. Hello, traders and investors! After five weeks of steady growth, natural gas now appears to be preparing for a correction. On the daily timeframe, a sideways range has formed, and the seller’s formal target inside this range has already been reached. On the 4-hour timeframe, we also see a sideways structure, but seller initiative is active. The current seller target is 4.194. A large volume cluster has formed at the upper boundary of the range, and the price is now breaking downward from that area. This zone becomes a broad seller area at the top of the range. It’s important to watch how the price reacts around 4.283, which represents 50% of the trading range. For now, the expectation remains the same: a move toward 4.194. A good area to look for short entries would be around 4.392, if the price gives a pullback into that zone. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Natural Gas Attempts to Return to the Year’s Highest LevelsSince October 17, natural gas has maintained a steady bullish bias, posting an appreciation of nearly 43%, which has fueled sustained buying pressure on prices. This upward movement has been supported by increasing inventory levels in countries such as China, Japan, and South Korea, which have ramped up purchases ahead of the winter season and diversified suppliers amid potential sanctions involving Russia. If this pace of consistent buying continues in the coming weeks, the current bullish pressure could become even more significant in natural gas price movements over the next few sessions. Strong Uptrend In recent weeks, buying momentum has remained persistent, with the average upward impulses in natural gas prices forming a solid uptrend, bringing the market closer to the yearly highs near $4.9. So far, the short-term pullbacks have not been strong enough to break this aggressive bullish trendline. As long as there is no consistent selling pressure, the current uptrend is likely to remain dominant in the short term. RSI The RSI line remains above the 50 level, indicating that buying momentum continues to drive price movements. However, the indicator is now approaching the 70 level, suggesting a potential overbought signal. This may imply that, given the speed of the recent rally, the market could experience short-term pullbacks as this imbalance in buying pressure persists. TRIX Overall, the TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level, showing a consistent upward slope. This confirms that the long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting that buying pressure may continue to dominate natural gas price action in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: $4.80 – Resistance: Represents the recent high zone. A breakout above this level could trigger a more aggressive uptrend in the following sessions. $4.46 – Intermediate Support: Marks the most recent retracement area, which could serve as a temporary barrier against short-term downward corrections. $3.84 – Key Support: This is the most relevant retracement level of recent weeks. If prices drop to this zone, it could signal an emerging bearish bias, putting the current bullish trendlines at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NATURALGAS
by FOREX.com
1