Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) when growth stops being randomI am looking at the weekly chart of NBIS and this is no longer about emotions, it is about structure. Price has formed a stable bullish cycle, broke out from a wide base and is now holding above key moving averages. On the weekly timeframe most indicators have already shifted into buy mode, while the market does not look overheated. RSI remains in a neutral bullish zone, momentum is intact, and pullbacks are being absorbed without aggressive selling pressure.
The 50, 100 and 200 week moving averages are starting to align into a bullish configuration, which often signals a transition into a medium term trend. Volume confirms the move. This is not an empty or purely speculative rally, but one supported by growing participation from longer term capital. Technically, this structure suggests trend continuation with potential for new highs as long as the current range is held.
From a fundamental perspective, Nebius has gone through a major transformation over recent years. Company revenue has increased multiple times compared to prior periods, while the income structure has become more diversified. The core contribution now comes from cloud solutions, infrastructure services and technology driven segments that continue to grow even in a challenging macro environment. EBITDA has returned to a positive trend in recent reporting periods, and operational metrics are improving due to cost optimization and a stronger focus on higher margin business lines.
Yes, the company is still in an investment phase and this is not a classic profit here and now story. However, revenue growth rates, business scaling and expansion of core segments provide a clear long term value setup. This is not hype. It is a bet on a technology platform that is only entering its value realization phase.
Tactically, I view NBIS as a growth stock where the market can continue higher without a deep correction as long as the current structure holds. While price remains above key weekly levels and moving averages, the bullish scenario stays valid. This is not a one day idea. It is a trend that is just beginning to form.
Sometimes the market already knows where the money is going, and in those moments it is better to listen to the chart rather than the headlines.
Nebius
NBIS Bearish ContinuationNBIS on the 1D chart is locked in a clear downtrend since mid-October, rolling over from highs above 140 to consolidate around the 94 area. Price is trading below the 20-day MA (~99.40) and 60-day MA at 106.23, while still holding above the long-term 120-day MA near 81.57. Momentum confirms the bearish tone: MACD is negative with the line below the signal, and Squeeze Momentum is deeply red, showing strong downside pressure. Structurally, price is moving inside a Bear Flag consolidation after a sharp drop, pointing to a potential continuation move lower once the range gives way.
For now, 106.23 is the key resistance, reinforced by the 60-day MA, with an intermediate supply band around 98–100 near the 20-day MA. As long as price stays capped beneath that zone, the primary path favors a downside break. A daily close below 93 and the lower flag boundary would lean toward continuation, opening room toward 90 first and then the stronger demand region around 85. If 81.57 fails on a decisive breakdown, an extension toward 78 cannot be ruled out.
On the flip side, a daily close back above 100 and a clean reclaim of the 20-day MA would start to challenge the bearish narrative, potentially squeezing price toward 102 and even 114 if momentum flips. Until that happens, sellers keep the upper hand and invalidations should be respected with discipline. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
Thought of the Day 💡: The best trades aren’t the loudest setups, they’re the ones with clean levels and clear invalidations.
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NBIS Bearish Setup?NBIS spent most of 2025 trending higher, but the tone flipped after late-October’s peak. Price sliced below the 20- and 60-day MAs and is now pressing a critical demand zone at 101.91–99.80 (neckline/MA60 vicinity). A clear Double Top at 135.00 caps the structure, while MACD momentum is decisively negative and Bollinger Bands are opening—classic fuel for continuation if support gives way.
Primary path: a daily close beneath 99.80—and especially <97.00—confirms the breakdown and activates the double-top objective. That opens 95.00 first, then the 90.00–88.00 support zone, with an extension risk toward 82.00 on a measured move. Any weak bounce that stalls under 110.00 keeps sellers in control. For risk control on shorts, an invalidation is a daily close back above 115.50 (reclaiming the 20-day and negating the breakdown).
Alternative: if buyers defend 99.80–102.22 and price reclaims 115.50, that would suggest a failed breakdown. In that case, squeeze pressure can unwind higher toward 112.00–120.00, with 135.00 the larger supply to watch. Bulls are only back in charge on a sustained hold above 115.50; lose 99.80 on a closing basis and the bearish thesis remains the higher-probability track.
Thought of the Day 💡
At turning points, clarity comes from behavior at the line in the sand. Trade the confirmation, not the hope.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
NBIS Weekly Put Alert | $65 Targeting Weak Momentum
# 🐻 NBIS Weekly Put Play? | Neutral-to-Bearish Setup (Sep 1, 2025) 📉
📊 **Summary:**
Most models see NBIS as **neutral-to-weak** this week — RSI falling, volume light, and options flow neutral.
👉 Only **Claude/Anthropic** calls for a bearish weekly put, citing overbought weekly RSI + weak institutional volume.
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## ✅ Trade Idea (from Claude’s model)
* 🎯 **Instrument:** NBIS
* 🔀 **Direction:** PUT (Short bias)
* 💵 **Entry Price:** \~0.95 (accept up to 1.00)
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** 1.40 (+47%)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 0.47 (–50%)
* 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05
* 📈 **Confidence:** 65%
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open
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## ⚠️ Risks
* 🌀 Range-bound chop → premium decay
* 📉 Bounce risk near **\$67.25 support**
* 🕒 Time decay: only 4 days left
* ⚡ Gamma spikes → faster moves near expiry
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## 📌 Consensus Call
* 🟨 **Majority models:** Stay sidelined (neutral view)
* 🟥 **Claude:** Take a small bearish shot with \$65 puts
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💡 **Takeaway:**
This is a **high-risk, short-dated weekly play**. Most signals are neutral, but if you like fading weakness → this put offers a controlled risk bet. Position **small**.
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\#️⃣ **Tags:**
\#NBIS #OptionsTrading #PutPlay #BearishSetup #RSI #WeeklyOptions #TradingSignal #MarketAnalysis #NeutralBias
NBIS Nebius Group Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) presents a compelling bullish case for a potential doubling of its stock price by the end of 2025, driven by several fundamental factors that highlight its growth trajectory within the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has made a significant investment in Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), contributing to a $700 million funding round aimed at expanding Nebius's AI infrastructure capabilities. This investment aligns with NVIDIA's strategic focus on enhancing its presence in the rapidly growing AI market.
Explosive Revenue Growth:
Nebius Group has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth, with Q3 2024 revenues reaching $43.3 million, representing a 1.7-fold increase compared to the previous quarter and a staggering 766% year-over-year increase. This surge is primarily driven by the company's core AI infrastructure business, which grew 2.7 times quarter-over-quarter and 6.5 times year-over-year. Analysts expect this momentum to continue, projecting annual revenues of approximately $731.96 million for 2025, reflecting a robust demand for AI-centric services and solutions.
Strategic Investments in AI Infrastructure:
The company is heavily investing in expanding its GPU cluster capabilities and data center capacity, with plans to allocate over $1 billion towards these initiatives. This strategic focus on enhancing AI infrastructure positions Nebius to capture significant market share as the global demand for AI technologies continues to rise. The annualized run-rate for its cloud revenue has already surpassed $120 million, indicating strong customer adoption and a growing client base that includes Fortune 500 companies.
Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantage:
Nebius Group is uniquely positioned within the AI infrastructure landscape, specializing in full-stack solutions that cater to developers and enterprises looking to leverage AI technologies. As businesses increasingly prioritize AI integration into their operations, Nebius's comprehensive offerings make it an attractive partner for organizations seeking to enhance their technological capabilities. The company’s ability to provide scalable solutions will be crucial as the demand for AI services expands.
Healthy Financials and Cash Reserves:
As of September 30, 2024, Nebius reported cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $2.29 billion, providing a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives without excessive reliance on debt. This strong liquidity position allows Nebius to invest aggressively in technology and infrastructure while maintaining operational flexibility 14. Additionally, with gross margins projected to remain robust at around 55% in 2025, the company is well-positioned to improve profitability as revenues grow.
Nebius - A MASSIVE 113% Upside Potential!NASDAQ:NVDA recently bought shares of NASDAQ:NBIS
I'm riding as I see a 113% upside to $85! 🎯
- Bullish Channel
- Inverse H&S Breakout-retest-HIGHER!
- At Green Support Beam
- At Volume Shelf
- At Previous resistance to flip into support.
Not financial advice
Nebius Group (NBIS) - Long-Term Bullish OpportunityNebius Group presents a strong long-term investment opportunity backed by robust financials, strategic partnerships, and significant positioning in the growing AI sector. With no debt, $2.3B in cash reserves, and a substantial $700M investment from NVIDIA (10% stake), the company is well-positioned for aggressive growth. Its AI cloud leadership and GPU expansion plans further support long-term revenue growth, while potential deals with major AI clients and non-core asset sales (Avride, ClickHouse) could enhance profitability.
🔎 Catalysts to Watch:
✅ NVIDIA’s strategic partnership and validation.
✅ Increasing GPU capacity to meet rising AI demand.
✅ Talks with a potential anchor AI client.
✅ Possible asset sales to fund core business development.
✅ Earnings report tomorrow before market open – could act as a key price mover.
📈 Trade Setup (Long-Term Focus):
Entry: Around $48.00
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $53.60
TP2: $57.00
TP3: $87.00
📊 Market Sentiment & Price Targets:
BWS Financial: "Buy" rating, $51 target (+6.1% upside).
CoinCodex: Projects $332.97 by 2030 (+592.67% potential gain).
Strong insider confidence: 28% ownership with recent institutional buying.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
✅ High volatility – ensure proper risk management and position sizing.
✅ Long-term trade – not intended for short-term gains.
✅ Competitive AI landscape and potential regulatory shifts.
💹 Bottom line: With strategic backing from NVIDIA, a solid financial base, and multiple growth catalysts, Nebius offers a compelling long-term opportunity. Stay disciplined with risk management and keep an eye on tomorrow’s earnings report, which could set the tone for upcoming price action.






