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Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660). Key Scenarios: Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance. Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high). Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by DWoodz
Fed Cuts Rates — Gold Reacts, Watching for Follow-Through or ReThe Fed has just delivered a 25 bps rate cut, and there’s a mixed tone in the after-move: inflation still high, jobs softening, and the dot-plot shows more cuts are expected — but with divided opinions. On the chart, Gold spilled out of consolidation post-Fed, touched key support, and is now pressing back toward a 4H FVG (supply zone). Scenarios: Upside: If price pushes up toward the 4H FVG, gets rejected cleanly → potential short entry. Downside: If that rejection holds, or support breaks, expect slide toward high timeframe FVG region in 3600s. Trade with eyes open — volatility likely stays high. Support & resistance zones are critical here.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow. Key levels on my chart: Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH) Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL) If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680. I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come. Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold (MGC) – Watching 3725 Key Decision Point Ahead of CPIGold surged yesterday with aggressive bullish momentum, tagging into the 3725 BFH level. Price is consolidating just beneath it as we head into Tuesday’s London and NY sessions. Upside: Break and hold above 3725 opens the door toward 3750+. Downside: Rejection at 3725 + breakdown through 3700 could shift structure, with targets at 3680 and 3662. CPI & Unemployment data in the NY session may provide the catalyst. 📌 Patience until reaction confirms — 3725 is the key battleground.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
15
Gold Setting Up for Weekly Low Sweep – Watching 3650sGold has stalled out at the highs this week and is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong 2-week bullish run. Thursday’s close left us hovering just above key support in the 3650s. For Friday, I’m watching for a break and close below yesterday’s low on the 1H chart. If we get that confirmation, I’ll be looking for continuation shorts targeting Monday’s low and potentially the 8HR FVG around 3600–3620 to close out the week. If bulls defend this level again, then the range may extend — but the cleaner move is down into untested imbalances below. This sets up Friday as a key day: ✅ Break yesterday’s low = downside liquidity run in play ❌ Hold support again = chop/range into next week
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
Gold Stalls Ahead of CPI – Pullback Setup Loading?Gold has been aggressively bullish for the past two weeks, but yesterday showed the first signs of exhaustion. Price stalled under the daily high ($3,690), leaving liquidity below untouched. With CPI and unemployment claims scheduled during the NY session, we may see the dollar strengthen — providing the catalyst for a deeper pullback on Gold. Key Zones I’m watching: Upside Liquidity: Sweep above $3,690 (D-H) could serve as a trap before reversing lower. Downside Targets: $3,654–$3,652 (D-L/W-H confluence) $3,600 node $3,530–$3,550 (H4/8H FVG rebalancing zone) If this week is to stay bullish overall, a proper low for the week forming inside the H4/8H FVG would set the stage for continuation higher. For now, patience until price makes its move around these zones.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
3
Gold Futures – Momentum Strong but Eyes on Jobs DataPrice pushed extremely bullish yesterday, with little chance for pullbacks. I admittedly got stopped out a few times from reacting too quickly to impulses, so today I’m focused on patience and waiting for confirmation. Currently, Gold is holding above recent levels after breaking higher. There’s still a clean 4H/8H FVG below that price could revisit, but as long as momentum stays intact, buyers remain in control. ⚠️ Important: Tomorrow brings ADP Non-Farm Employment, Jobless Claims, and ISM Services PMI — all of which could drive volatility. Friday is the heavyweight NFP release. Until then, we may see liquidity hunts or choppy price action. Scenarios I’m watching: ✅ Bullish continuation toward new highs if support holds. 🔄 Deeper pullback into the FVG if momentum stalls. Staying patient, letting the market show its hand, and keeping risk tight ahead of news.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures (MGC / GC) — Daily Outlook (Wed)Price just broke the previous ATH (3,578) and is in new price discovery. Momentum is bullish, but there are key imbalances below that could attract price before continuation. 🔍 Key Levels ATH (3,578) → breakout level to watch 1H FVG (3,565–3,575) → short-term support zone 4H + 8H FVG stack (3,515–3,535) → deeper liquidity target Immediate resistance → 3,610–3,620 zone ⚖️ Scenarios for Wednesday 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (primary bias) If ATH (3,578) holds → look for continuation into 3,610–3,620+ 1H FVG may provide a bounce if tested 2️⃣ Deeper Pullback (secondary bias) Failure to hold ATH → watch for a drop into 3,515–3,535 (4H/8H FVGs) before bullish continuation ✅ Trade Plan Idea Continuation play: Buy on ATH retest / 1H FVG bounce (3,575 zone) → target 3,610–3,620+ Deeper retrace play: If ATH breaks clean → wait for price inside 3,515–3,535 zone → look for reversal confirmation long 📌 Notes Momentum = bullish until proven otherwise Don’t chase → wait for either ATH defense or clean retrace into imbalances Manage risk → this is price discovery, expect volatility 📊 What’s your bias here? Do you see price holding ATH for continuation, or do you think we dip first into the deeper FVGs?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Holding Asian 50% -- Bulls Gearing up for London Push?Price retraced cleanly to the Asian session 50% midpoint after yesterday’s strong rally. With the London Killzone approaching, I’m watching for bullish confirmation and a potential continuation higher. Macro backdrop adds fuel: Markets are pricing a 90% chance of a September Fed rate cut. JPMorgan now forecasting four cuts starting this month, reinforcing bullish momentum in Gold. ⚠️ Holiday liquidity could create sharp stop-hunts, so confirmation is key. Looking for orderflow strength before stepping in.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures | New Month Setup – ATH on Deck?Price has been bullish all week with no significant pullbacks. Now as we step into a new month, Gold is pressing toward the previous All Time High (green line). Key Notes: Market left behind a bullish H4 FVG that could serve as a retracement zone. With Labor Day Monday (early close for NY), setups may be quieter until Tuesday. My bias: looking for a possible pullback into the FVG before continuation higher into fresh ATHs. Watching closely for price action around the previous ATH to confirm breakout or rejection.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
1
Gold Futures | ADX Heating Up – Continuation or Trap at MH?Price has pushed away from the untested H4 FVG, showing strong bullish pressure. With ADX > 25 on the 15m and close to crossing on 1H/4H, momentum is shifting into trend mode. My watch: Break + retest of yesterday’s high and MH level for continuation longs. Only looking for shorts if liquidity sweeps above MH and we see strong rejection. Question is: do we run higher with ADX confirmation, or is this just a trap before a deeper pullback?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point. Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher. Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table. ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven. I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
2
GC 8/26 Outlook – Filling the H4 FVG, Trend Not Ready YetPrice is finally working down into the H4 FVG (3377–3396 zone) after rejecting the Daily FVG overhead (~3425–3440). This is the key area of interest going into Tuesday’s trading sessions. 🔑 Context: Daily FVG above → unfilled liquidity magnet for the future. H4 FVG below → currently being filled, acting as the main battleground. Daily Low (3405) already taken; price now sitting between liquidity pools. ADX < 25 (HTFs) → No strong trending environment yet, so expect more range-like behavior until a side commits. 📌 What I’m Watching: Reaction inside the H4 FVG → Looking for either absorption/reversal (bullish case) or continuation through to lower liquidity. Liquidity Levels: Midpoint of H4 FVG (~3394). Bottom of H4 FVG (~3377). Weekly/Monthly Lows (3353 / 3347) if downside momentum extends. Killzones: Asian: Likely to set the range. London: Could raid deeper into FVG. NY: Potential reaction leg (either reversal or continuation). 📊 Bias: Neutral → short-term bearish into H4 FVG completion. Waiting for a clear reaction to confirm the next trending move.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by DWoodz
Gold Weekly Plan: Daily FVG → H4 FVGGold closed last week with a strong impulsive move into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). As we open the new week, I’ll be watching closely: Daily FVG (3423–3451): Potential resistance and rejection zone early in the week. H4 Bullish FVG (3390–3395): If price rejects the Daily FVG, I expect a retrace into this zone to set the weekly low between Monday and Tuesday. From there, we could see a bullish expansion for the rest of the week. The key question: Will Gold respect the Daily FVG as resistance before rebalancing lower, or will buyers push straight through? What’s your bias going into the week? 🚀📉
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures | H4 FVG Fully Filled – What’s Next Into Weekly CloEarlier this week I was watching for price to pull back into the new H4 FVG after we closed above the Daily High. Price rejected from the Asian range mid and dropped cleanly into that zone, ultimately filling the H4 FVG completely. Now on Friday, price sits right at the Weekly Low (3775.9) and the bottom of that H4 gap. This is a key decision point going into the weekly close. 📌 Scenarios I’m Watching: ✅ Bullish: If price holds this filled H4 FVG / W-L zone, we could see a re-accumulation and a push back toward 3388–3392 rejection block and possibly the Daily High (3394.6) next week. ❌ Bearish: If price fails to hold here, the next liquidity pools below are 3367.4 (D-L) and 3362.5. 📌 Key Levels: Daily High: 3394.6 Weekly Low: 3775.9 Daily Low: 3367.4 Into Friday close, I’ll be watching whether we get acceptance above this zone (bullish continuation setup) or rejection that opens the door to new weekly lows. 👉 What do you think? Will this area hold as support, or do we see a deeper flush before the week closes?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
2
Gold Futures | Watching Pullback into New H4 FVG for ContinuatioPrice pushed bullish after filling ~50% of the prior H4 Fair Value Gap and has now created a new H4 FVG just below. We also closed the day above yesterday’s high (3,394.1), showing strength. 📌 My Bias: I’m looking for a pullback into the new H4 FVG (around 3,377–3,382) for potential continuation higher. This zone also lines up with the edge of value on the volume profile. 📌 Key Levels: Daily High (D-H): 3,394.1 Weekly Low (W-L): 3,375.9 Daily Low (D-L): 3,353.3 📌 What I’m Watching: ✅ Acceptance above D-H = bullish continuation. ⚠️ Rejection back below D-H could signal a trap and return into prior value. Will look for lower timeframe confirmation at the H4 FVG edge before considering longs. Question for the community: Do you see continuation higher from here, or are we at risk of a failed breakout?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures | H4 FVG Test as Asian Session OpensGold Futures completely filled the Daily FVG, so I’ve removed it and adjusted the chart to focus on the H4 FVG zone. Price is now pressing deeper inside this imbalance, with 3350 as the key level to watch: Hold above → potential accumulation and rotation higher. Break below → sweep into 3348 liquidity and possibly lower. Asian session may provide the first reaction, but I’ll be watching closely for London to confirm whether we hold or break this zone.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
20
Gold Futures | Accumulation in Play – Watching for Manipulation Gold Futures are currently sitting in the Accumulation phase of an AMD sequence. Price is ranging just above the Daily/H4 FVG demand zone (3350–3360) after rejecting supply at 3387–3394. Here’s what I’m watching: Accumulation: Current consolidation between 3368–3387. Manipulation: A clean sweep of yesterday’s low (3368) would complete this phase. Distribution: If manipulation plays out, I’ll look for price to rotate higher, targeting 3387 → 3404 and potentially higher levels. ⚖️ Bias: Waiting for liquidity run before positioning long. No need to rush — the sweep is the confirmation. Until then, patient observation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
GC Futures – Will Bulls Defend the Daily/H4 FVG Overlap?Gold Futures opened the week pressing directly into a stacked Daily + H4 FVG demand zone (3350–3360). Price action is sitting just above this level, making it the key battleground for the week. Support: 3350 (FVG low), 3332 liquidity sweep Resistance: 3377 → 3394 (prior D-H), 3451 (M-H) Scenarios: Bounce off demand could target 3380–3394, with a reclaim opening 3420–3450. Failure here points to deeper liquidity at 3332. Asian session may set the early range, but real direction likely comes during London/NY killzones. Watching closely for reaction inside the FVG overlap.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures – Bearish Target Hit… But the H4 Gap Still WaitsYesterday’s sessions made their move for the higher bearish target, leaving the H4 & Daily FVG untouched below. This sets up an interesting scenario: will price roll over to fill the gap next, or keep hunting liquidity above? Key levels and volume profile zones are adjusted for today. Premium supply zone reached ✅ H4/Daily FVG still in play 📉 Watching London Killzone for impulsive confirmation Patience is the edge — no clean setup, no trade.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz