NASDAQ formed its 1st 4H Golden Cross in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) completed last Friday its first 4H Golden Cross formation in more than 7 months (since May 01). This is taking place while the index is inside a Channel Up, making a V-shaped recovery from the November 21 Low.
The last time all the above conditions were fulfilled was exactly during the May Golden Cross. With the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support, the index eventually hit its previous All Time High (ATH).
As we've entered the Fed week, we can finally see this move to the ATH Resistance, so our short-term Target on Nasdaq remains 26200.
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Nq100
NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'.
Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000.
Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026?
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Maximum profit: Top 5 indices of OctoberIn October, client activity peaked around #SP500, #NQ100, #DAX30, #FTSE100, and #NIKKEI . These five indices not only showed the highest share of profitable trades but also delivered the best returns across all index instruments. Strong corporate earnings, steady demand, and a positive news backdrop continue to support their growth potential.
Growth outlook for key indices through the end of 2025:
• #SP500: New record highs, solid earnings from major players, and expectations of a Fed rate cut support buying the dip with moderate risk.
• #NQ100: Tech demand remains strong as firms invest in data centers and AI infrastructure. If earnings stay on track, there’s still room to grow.
• #DAX30: After hitting new all-time highs in 2025, the German index benefits from improved global trade sentiment and stable EU data. Exporters thrive on robust external demand.
• #FTSE100: The UK market remains near its highs, supported by strong performance in key sectors and commodities. Year-end liquidity may further reinforce the uptrend.
• #NIKKEI: Japan’s index keeps climbing, helped by a weak yen boosting exports and a predictable monetary environment. Further gains are possible if global conditions remain calm.
FreshForex analysts believe short-term index performance hinges on three main factors: current earnings season results, inflation trends, and central bank decisions. Risk management and awareness of the macro calendar remain essential.
NAS100 | Bearish Momentum Extends The Nasdaq 100 fell about 2.1% (~500 points) as projected, maintaining a bearish outlook while technology stocks continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Below 25,700: Bearish continuation towards 25,340 → 25,230 → 25,000.
Above 25,700: Short-term recovery towards 25,820 → 26,170.
Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious
The NASDAQ reversed from its all-time high and remains below 26,175, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
➡️ Below 26,175: Bearish bias toward 25,890 → 25,700 → 25,340.
➡️ Above 26,245: Bullish continuation toward 26,500 → 26,850.
Pivot POINT: 26,175
Support: 25,890 · 25,700 · 25,340
Resistance: 26,500 · 26,850 · 27,000
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,175, but a 1H close above 26,245 would confirm a bullish breakout toward higher targets.
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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NASDAQ Did the 1D MA50 just save the day??Nasdaq (NDX) suffered a historically strong daily sell-off on Friday following President Trump's tariff threats and touched (and closed on) its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last time it hit that trend-line was on September 02 and that was a technical Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up. Friday's Low was also very close to the bottom of this pattern. At the same time the 1D RSI hit and rebounded on its Lower Lows Support trend-line.
With the market rebounding and opening considerably higher today, it is more likely technically that we have started the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last two such sequences rising by at least +11.00%, we expect a new similar uptrend, which as long as the 1D MA50 holds, could hit at least 26000 within a 40 day horizon.
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NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place.
On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low.
As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600.
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Futu Holdings a New ath or time for a correctionIn this video I go over the previous price action and develop a plan of where to look for a future entry if you are accumulating Futu .
I demonstrate using a standard fib pull how price may gravitate back to .786/.886 fib levels over time as well as what to look for in the event we push up for a new Ath .
20 Nov we have earnings and despite the past track record of earnings have surprised the market with positive results I question if the upcoming does the same or will it be the catalyst for the correction .
NASDAQ in no action zone. Buy break-out or pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and its most recent low has been on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) 2 days ago.
As long as it holds, it maintains the short-term bullish trend but a confirmed buy signal would be after the price breaks above its previous 24800 High.
Until it does, it might be within a technical Bearish Leg similar to late August's and mid June's that both broke below the 4H MA100 before bottoming on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up and rebounded. The 4H RSI Lower Highs structure shows that we might be on such a pull-back sequence, which turns into a buy below 33.00 (RSI).
As a result, we will either wait for a 24800 break-out or a 1D MA50 (black trend-line) pull-back before initiating a buy again. In both cases, our Target is 25500 (just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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NASDAQ September's Channel Up targets 24900.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 02 Low and at the moment it is unfolding its 2nd Bullish Leg following the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce on September 17.
Based on the previous 4H MA50 Bullish Leg, the sequence should peak below the 2.382 Fibonacci extension at a maximum +3.96% rise. Our Target is slightly below those at 24900.
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Friday Liquidity Sweep & Reversal Setup – NQNarrative:
Price action on NQ has swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) on the daily timeframe around 24,060 during Thursday’s NY session. After the sweep, price consolidated just below the high, suggesting the potential for a Friday Reversal, in line with ICT’s classic "Reversal Friday" concept.
Today (Friday), I am watching for a potential Judas Swing to the upside during the New York AM session, aiming to lure breakout buyers above yesterday’s highs.
Once that buy-side liquidity is taken, I’ll look for:
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 5M or 3M chart.
Entry on a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or a refined Order Block.
Stop Loss just above the Friday high (above the sweep).
Target 1: Return to the weekly open area or 1H OB.
Target 2: 23,880–23,900 → previous BPR zone and discount level.
Confluences:
✅ Daily BSL swept.
✅ Asian MSS already occurred.
✅ Price is sitting inside premium & consolidating.
🔍 Watching for SMT divergence between NQ and ES (S&P) – if ES breaks high and NQ doesn’t → bearish confirmation.
Execution:
Will wait for price to spike above the current range (Judas), then confirm BOS/MSS and enter short on the retracement.
NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025🧠 NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025
Bias: Intraday Bearish after NY Open
Price is currently trading within a well-defined premium zone, between the Sunday-Monday Order Block and the BPR M30 area.
🧩 Key Observations:
Price tapped into a minor M5 Order Block (OB) right after the 8:30 NY macro event.
We're seeing a reaction to a short-term OB, with a small push up likely to grab liquidity above the London session high.
Expecting liquidity run + rejection from the upper OB zone (23,810–23,830).
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
After the sweep of local highs, I anticipate a sell-off toward the Imbalance zone below (23,710 area).
Main targets are:
Imbalance fill
Possibly further down toward Weekly Open near 23,680
🔧 Confluence:
Midnight Open has already been reclaimed.
NY AM session is about to open – expecting expansion to provide confirmation.
Potential divergence between NQ (stronger) and ES (weaker) gives context for relative weakness later in the session.
📌 Idea Summary:
I expect one final push into the premium zone to grab liquidity before reversing down toward the Imbalance and possibly into the Weekly Open.
MNQ Trade IdeaCurrent Price: 23,796 (Green Line)
Setup Analysis
Price is approaching the Buy Signal level with defined premium zones. Current positioning suggests potential for upward momentum from key support levels.
Trade Parameters
• Buy Entry: 23,827 (Buy Signal Level)
• Target 1 (TP1): 23,946
• Target 2 (TP2): 24,065
• Stop Loss: 23,608
• Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:4
Key Premium Zones
• Premium Buy Area: 23,707 - 23,608
• Premium Sell Area: 24,064 - 24,163
Trading Strategy
🔍 Price Action Focus: Observe price behavior at all key levels:
• Buy Entry (23,827): Wait for confirmation before entering
• TP1 (23,946): Monitor for continuation or reversal signals
• TP2 (24,065): Watch price action near premium sell zone
• SL (23,608): Respect the stop loss level
💡 Flexible Approach:
• Entry decisions should be based on price action at these levels
• Consider short-term reversal trades at key levels with appropriate position sizing
• Premium zones offer opportunities for counter-trend plays with proper risk management
⚠️ Risk Management:
• Position size appropriately for your account
• Honor your stop loss at all times
• Take partial profits at TP1
• Adjust position size for reversal trades in premium zones
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always do your own research.
Summer RALLY-2025: What’s Driving #SP500 and #NQ100 Higher?Dear readers, earlier on June 25, 2025, in our article “Unexpected Surges and Drops in the Indices” we noted the U.S. economy’s readiness for bullish sentiment.
On August 12, 2025 #SP500 climbed above 6,400, and #NQ100 hit a new high above 23,800 as U.S. inflation came in softer than expected, prompting the market to believe in an imminent Fed rate cut — money became “cheaper,” making stocks more attractive. Tech giants and all things AI — chips and cloud — are in high demand and lead the gains. Many companies have reported earnings above forecasts, and buybacks are underway, supporting prices. A weaker dollar is also boosting the revenues of multinational corporations. As a result, investors are buying more aggressively, pushing indices to new records.
5 Reasons Why #S&P500 and #NQ100 Could Hold Their Ground Until the End of 2025:
Dovish Fed. Rate cuts → cheaper money → higher valuations.
AI and data center boom. Growing demand for chips, cloud, and software lifts the tech sector.
Profits + buybacks. Companies beat forecasts and repurchase shares → EPS growth and price support.
Low yields and weaker dollar. Stocks look more attractive than bonds; exporters earn more easily.
Domestic investment in the U.S. Localized production and infrastructure fuel demand for tech and industry.
The foundation of #SP500 and #NQ100 growth is profit. The earnings season added confidence: market participants liked the “breadth” of earnings beats and the resilience of margins among major issuers — the third pillar of the current rally. According to FreshForex, soft inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut create a window of opportunity for long positions in #SP500 and #NQ100.
NASDAQ eyes 24300 as the Channel Up extends.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up since the May 12 candle. Throughout the whole time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been in firm Support and right now the pattern is unfolding its latest Bullish Leg.
The last two rose by +6.67%, so that gives us a Target of 24300 by the end of the month.
Notice also that the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross. The previous one was a strong buy signal during the most recent Bullish Leg.
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NQ | NASDAQ - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
The market is pricing in a potential 0.25% rate cut in the September FOMC meeting, keeping the overall structure bullish.
Although we saw a retracement after the Non-Farm Employment Change came in weaker than expected, bullish sentiment remains intact.
Currently, market sentiment has shifted to neutral from last week’s greed. Augusts are often choppy and prone to retracement/accumulation, but structurally, bulls still hold the upper hand.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• NQ started the week strong with price discovery, pushing higher from Monday to Thursday.
• Eventually, price ran a key 4H swing liquidity, which led to another all-time high.
• That move was followed by the start of a healthy retracement, signaling short-term distribution.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I'm expecting price to run into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a major liquidity magnet in my model.
→ That move could generate significant bullish energy — at least a short-term bounce, if not a full reversal.
→ Until then, I remain bearish targeting 22,583 (my marked black line).
🎯 Setup Trigger:
After price takes 22,583, I’ll watch for:
• 4H–1H break of structure (BOS)
• Formation of fresh demand zones
→ Upon LTF confirmation, I’ll look to go long aiming for another test of all-time highs.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand zone
• Target: Trailing stop strategy; aggressive profit-taking on the way up
• Note: Final target could be all-time highs, but I’ll manage the position actively
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this outlook adds value to your trading. Educational content and more setups are coming soon — stay tuned!
NASDAQ-Lets catch 250 Points togetherHello Fellow Traders,
Nasdaq has been wild since a time now. Today, I have spotted a rade to share with my fellow traders.
Yesterday closed with a good bullish candle. As the NY seesion has begun now, I am anticipating price to retrace to the highlighted breaker block that accurately aligns with an IFVG as well.
I am waiting for the price to fall into my area where I will monitor price's reaction, if we see signs of ejection from the highlighted areas, I wuld love to take a Buy Trade.
Entry= If rice enters the Breaker and IFVG and shows a good rejection.
SL= 23340
TP= Today's highs or 23700.
Manage your risk according toyour capital and only enter the trade if we happen to see a good rejection from the area. Be patient and don't hurry.






















