NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C– Don’t Miss Out
# 🚀 NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C @ 2.49 | 200–400% Target 🎯
### 📝 Quick Take (TL;DR)
* **Bias:** Moderate-Bullish (78% confidence).
* **Rationale:** Fundamentals 🔥 + Options flow skewed bullish 📈 + Technicals constructive.
* **Main Risk:** China export \~\$8B headwind in guidance.
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea
* **Buy** NVDA **2025-08-29 \$190 Call**
* 📌 Entry: \$2.49 (ask) — enter **pre-earnings close** (Aug 26 AMC).
* 🛑 Stop: \$1.25 (−50%).
* 🎯 Targets:
* +200% → \$7.47
* +300% → \$9.96
* ⏳ Exit Rule: If neither stop/target hit, **close within 2h post-earnings open**.
* ⚖️ Risk: \$249 per contract (max loss).
---
### 📊 Why This Setup?
**Fundamentals (9/10)**
* Revenue growth: +69% TTM 🚀
* Margins elite (gross 70%, net 52%) 💰
* Beat history: 8/8 last quarters ✅
* Balance sheet strong (cash \~\$54B).
**Options Flow (8/10)**
* Implied move ~~5.9% (~~\$10.5).
* Call OI heavy @ \$185–\$200 (gamma cluster).
* Liquidity excellent at \$190 strike (OI >64k).
**Technicals (8/10)**
* Price \$179.83, holding above 20/50/200 MAs.
* RSI neutral (53).
* Resistance: \$184.5 / \$190 / \$200.
* Coiling under highs 🔄.
**Macro (6/10)**
* AI/data center demand = secular tailwind.
* China ban risk headline.
* VIX \~15 → complacency = bigger gap risk.
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* Guidance may highlight China hit (\$8B) → bearish gap.
* IV crush 30–50% post-print.
* Gap risk may bypass stop.
* Single-leg naked = high variance → **size small (≤2% portfolio).**
---
### 📌 Execution Checklist
✅ Confirm ask = 2.49 @ close.
✅ Expiry = 2025-08-29 (weekly).
✅ Size ≤ 2% acct.
✅ Close within 2h post-earnings if no trigger.
---
### 📊 TRADE JSON
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 190.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-29",
"confidence": 78,
"entry_price": 2.49,
"stop_loss": 1.245,
"profit_target": 7.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-08-26",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 5.9,
"iv_rank": 0.75,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 14:00:37 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Hashtags
\#NVDA #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #StockMarket #AIStocks #Futures #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #RiskReward #OptionsFlow #SP500 #TechStocks
