NZDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.58200 zone, NZDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.58200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZD
Bullish continuation?NZD/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.81236
1st Support: 0.80788
1st resistance: 0.82094
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.15978
1st Support: 1.15645
1st Resistance: 1.16583
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce setup?Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5889
1st Support: 0.5847
1st Resistance: 0.5980
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
NZDUSD Outlook | Uptrend Holds at 0.59000 SupportIn today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring NZDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.59000 zone. NZDUSD remains in a well-established uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 0.59000 support-turned-resistance area, which may act as a strong demand zone for bullish continuation.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk responsibly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDNZD is Nearing a Strong Support AreaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.15900 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fib resistance?EUR/NZD is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2.0000
1st Support: 1.98173
1st Resistance: 2.01134
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish drop off?NZD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 92.22
1st Support: 90/69
1st resistance: 93.17
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
EURNZD - DOWNSIDE CONTINUATION DAILY MA CROSSOVER (UPDATED)Since my previous post - We can see that the pair has been in a free fall breaking weekly support levels.
Today we can see the pair has attempted a failed retrace to push higher agains , price took out mondays highs and now has failed to trade higher and now starting to continue further down.
I believe the move still have some downside momentum, we can see on the daily that the MA's have crossed over, expecting this crossover to result in EURNZD reaching a major support level for the pair at TP1 1.96194
EURNZD - DOWNSIDE CONTINUATIONSince my previous post - We can see that the pair has been in a free fall breaking weekly support levels.
Today we can see the pair has attempted a failed retrace to push higher, price took out Friday's highs and now has failed to trade higher and now starting to continue further down.
I believe the move still have some downside momentum, we can see on the daily that the MA's are close to crossing over, expecting this crossover to result in EURNZD reaching a major support level for the pair at TP1 1.96194
Bullish bounce off key support?Kiwi (NZD/USD) could make a short-term pullback to the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.5838
1st Support: 0.5710
1st Resistance: 0.6007
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
NZDUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation To Extend?The price is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.5817, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5924, which is a pullback resistance.
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Bullish continuation?Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistancenatnthe 161.8$% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.5853
1st Support: 0.5799
1st Resistance: 0.5940
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish reversal off swing low support?GBP/NZD is reacting off the support level, which is a swing low support that is slightly below the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.2807
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that is slightly below the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 2.2664
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2.3003
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPNZD short term bias remains negative.GBPNZD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 2.2825 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 2.2775.
We look to Sell at 2.2900 (stop at 2.2950)
Our profit targets will be 2.2800 and 2.2775
Resistance: 2.2850 / 2.2900 / 2.2950
Support: 2.2825 / 2.2800 / 2.2775
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
#051: LONG Investment Opportunity on AUD/NZD
The Australian dollar versus the New Zealand dollar is currently offering a textbook example of how markets behave when retail positioning reaches extreme levels and price action begins to diverge from crowd expectations.
After a prolonged corrective phase, AUD/NZD has entered a zone where downside momentum has clearly weakened. Recent price action shows repeated attempts to push lower failing to generate follow-through, a classic sign of absorption rather than continuation. Each dip has been met with increasingly rapid reactions, suggesting that sell pressure is being quietly absorbed rather than expanded.
What makes this setup particularly interesting is the sentiment backdrop. Retail positioning has reached extreme levels on the short side, well beyond what is typically considered balanced. Historically, when such asymmetries emerge, the market tends not to reward the majority. Instead, price often stabilizes, compresses, and eventually moves against the dominant retail bias as liquidity is harvested.
On the lower timeframes, momentum indicators have recently reached overbought conditions following a sharp rebound. In isolation, this might be interpreted as a reason for caution. In context, however, it appears more consistent with a technical reset: a necessary cooling phase after an impulsive reaction, rather than a structural reversal. Importantly, this pullback has unfolded in an orderly manner, with declining volume, reinforcing the idea of consolidation rather than renewed selling pressure.
From a broader perspective, the structure suggests a corrective move within a larger framework rather than the start of a fresh bearish leg. The market has already demonstrated its willingness to defend lower prices, and the absence of aggressive selling during recent tests further supports the view that downside risk is being progressively reduced.
In scenarios like this, the key is not to focus on short-term oscillations, but on the interaction between price behavior and positioning. When the majority is heavily committed in one direction and price refuses to comply, it often signals that stronger hands are preparing for a move in the opposite direction.
In summary, AUD/NZD is currently exhibiting the hallmarks of an institutional accumulation phase: extreme retail imbalance, failed downside continuation, controlled pullbacks, and signs of absorption at key areas. While patience is required during these phases, such conditions have historically preceded directional moves that catch the crowded side of the market off guard.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/NZD is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2.01730
1st Support: 1.99982
1st Resistance: 2.03271
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce setup?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot, which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.15059
1st Support: 1.14634
1st Resistance: 1.16091
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Could we see a reversal from here?NZD/CAD is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.80824
1st Support: 0.80158
1st Resistance: 0.81161
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5900.
We look to Buy at 0.5820 (stop at 0.5785)
Our profit targets will be 0.5895 and 0.5900
Resistance: 0.5850 / 0.5875 / 0.5900
Support: 0.5820 / 0.5800 / 0.5785
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDJPY to form a higher high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Trend line resistance is located at 91.95.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 91.95 (stop at 92.31)
Our profit targets will be 90.91 and 90.61
Resistance: 91.80 / 92.00 / 92.50
Support: 91.20 / 90.62 / 89.97
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR NZD SHORTS - RANGE DOWNSIDE BREAK
As my previous point on EURNZD showed the pair was trading within a range, last week we had attempts to break to the upside which was halted at resistance, and the previous high at 2.00300 .
Since this level also in confluence with the decending trend line that EURNZD has pushed lower and has broken the bottom bound of the range at 2.01787 .
Now price has broken and retested this level I am expecting downwards price movement towards 2.00741 the next trading week
POSSIBLE SELL SETUP NZDUSD 100+ pipsMy view on NZDUSD 👇
Price is pushing into a clear supply zone, and structure still favors sell-side continuation. I see this move as a pullback into premium, not a reversal.
My plan:
Look for short entries from the supply zone
Target a move back toward 0.5700 → 0.5680 liquidity
I’d only consider buys after a full sell-off into demand and bullish confirmation
Bias for now: sell first, buy later.
Premium → supply → downside liquidity.






















