NZDJPY.Bullish Momentum Builds — Pullback or Lift-Off? After breaking above the 89.70 – 88.98 support zone, NZDJPY has entered a sustained bullish structure. Price stabilization above this zone shows strong buyer control, and any correction toward this area may act as a bullish pullback to retest support. 🟩📈
Price is now approaching the 91.94 – 92.33 resistance zone, an area that has shown significant reactions in the past. This level represents the first major challenge for buyers. A clean breakout above this resistance could open the path toward the key weekly resistance at 94.33, which may become the main target for mid-term bulls. 🔥
🎯 Potential Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario)
If price breaks and holds above 92.33 with strong momentum, NZDJPY is likely to continue its upward trajectory toward higher resistance levels. The market structure remains clearly bullish.
2️⃣ Pullback Toward Support (Corrective Scenario)
If price fails to break the current resistance, a retracement toward the 89.70 – 88.98 support zone becomes likely. Such a correction could provide a new buying opportunity with a higher low formation. 📉➡️📈
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This analysis reflects personal opinion only and does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell signal. Please apply proper risk management and follow your own trading plan. I am not responsible for any potential profits or losses. ⚠️
❓ What Do You Think?
Will NZDJPY break resistance first or drop for a deeper pullback?
Share your thoughts in the comments! 📊💬
NZDJPY
NZDJPY intraday dips continue to attract buyers.NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
88.88 has been pivotal.
20 4hour EMA is at 89.62.
The RSI is trending higher.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 89.62 (stop at 89.22)
Our profit targets will be 90.82 and 91.02
Resistance: 90.07 / 90.50 / 91.00
Support: 89.60 / 89.06 / 88.88
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 89.694
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 89.517
Recommended Stop Loss - 89.787
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD: difficult situation🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDNZD has formed a bullish "Flag" pattern following a sharp decline, currently consolidating above the critical support zone at 1.1430. Price action is compressing within this structure, with the moving averages (SMA 50, 100, 200) fanning out above the price, confirming strong downward pressure. The projected setup anticipates a bearish breakout below the 1.1430 accumulation zone, signaling a continuation of the downtrend toward the lower support target at 1.1282.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: Sell on a confirmed breakdown of the immediate support consolidation (approx. 1.1430 – 1.1420)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1282 (Lower Support Zone)
🔴 Stop Loss: 14787
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
AUDUSD: trendline breakout🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDUSD has broken above a key descending trendline and is currently testing immediate resistance near 0.65595. Although a "Global bearish signal" remains visible from the previous crossover, the recent price action suggests a bullish reversal if buyers can clear this short-term obstacle. The projected trade setup anticipates a confirmed breakout above this level, opening the door for a rapid rally toward the main resistance zone at 0.66200.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Volatility is expected to increase towards the end of the week amid Australian GDP data and key US data on Friday and Thursday. Traders are also exercising caution ahead of next week's Fed meeting, but this is more relevant to the medium-term outlook.
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on breakout above short-term resistance (approx. 0.65600 – 0.65650)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.66200 (Major Resistance Zone)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent consolidation (approx. 0.65369)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Bullish bounce in play?NZD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 88.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 88.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 90.19
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Stop!Loss|Market View: NZDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the NZDUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 0.57355
💰TP: 0.57796
⛔️SL: 0.57134
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: By the end of the week, the US dollar remains under pressure for the short term, so a rise to 0.58000 is also expected for NZDUSD. A potential buy trade could be initiated by breaking the upper limit of the current accumulation in the triangle pattern that has formed at 0.57300.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Falling towards key support?NZD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 88.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 87.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 90.19
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDJPY to continue in the rally?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
15min EMA is at 89.45.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our bespoke resistance of 89 has been clearly broken.
We look to Buy at 89.45 (stop at 89.05)
Our profit targets will be 90.65 and 90.95
Resistance: 89.56 / 90.00 / 90.50
Support: 89.00 / 88.65 / 88.40
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD: bearish channel rejection🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, NZDUSD is trending strictly within a descending channel and is currently rejecting off the key resistance zone near 0.5700. A "Global bearish signal" is highlighted where the Moving Averages have crossed downwards, confirming strong institutional selling pressure. The technical structure suggests a continuation of the decline toward the channel support at 0.5545, provided the price does not close back above the immediate resistance block.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: The New Zealand Dollar faces downward pressure as markets position themselves for the US GDP data release scheduled for this week (Nov 26), which is expected to drive significant USD volatility. Investors are favoring the US Dollar due to resilient economic growth expectations compared to the softer outlook for the New Zealand economy. This divergence creates a fundamental backdrop that supports the technical bearish trend, with liquidity likely to focus on further downside.
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Sell on rejection from the Resistance Zone (approx. 0.5690 – 0.5700)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.55445 (Support Zone)
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the resistance structure (0.57371)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
NZD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the NZD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 88.001 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup | TMA & Pullback PlayNZD/JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT & LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY 🚀
Hey TradingView Community! 👋 Get ready for a potential move in the Kiwi Dollar vs. the Yen. A clean technical setup is forming, and here’s my professional plan to capitalize on it.
📈 TRADE IDEA: BULLISH
Asset: NZD/JPY ("Kiwi Dollar vs. Yen")
Type: Day Trade / Swing Trade
Bias: Bullish 🟢
Core Concept: Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout confirmed, now looking for a pullback to the Moving Average for a high-probability entry.
⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION
✅ Confirmation & Trigger:
Price has broken above a key Triangular Moving Average, signaling a shift in momentum.
The trigger for entry is a pullback and bounce from the moving average support.
🎯 "Thief" Layered Entry Strategy:
This strategy uses multiple buy limit orders to scale into the position at favorable prices, averaging your entry cost.
Buy Limit 1: 87.500
Buy Limit 2: 88.000
Buy Limit 3: 88.500
💡 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and price levels based on your capital and risk appetite.
❗ Stop Loss (Risk Management):
A hard stop loss can be placed below the recent swing low at 87.000.
IMPORTANT NOTE 👇
"Dear Thief OG's & Fellow Traders – This is MY stop loss based on MY strategy. You MUST adjust your position size and SL level based on YOUR own risk management rules. Protect your capital first!"
🎯 Take Profit Target:
Primary Target: 90.200
Reasoning: This level aligns with:
A strong ATR-based resistance line.
Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes.
A historical "trap zone" where reversals can occur.
KEY NOTE 👇
"Take profits based on your own style! You can scale out partials on the way up or wait for the full target. The market gives, the market takes – manage your profits according to your own plan!"
🔍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS
Understanding the context is key! Here are related instruments to keep on your radar:
AUD/JPY: The "Aussie" and "Kiwi" are often correlated due to their similar economies (commodity-based). A strong NZD/JPY move is often mirrored here.
AUD/NZD: Watch this for relative strength. If NZD is strengthening, this pair should move down.
NZD/USD ( OANDA:NZDUSD ): The direct Kiwi-Dollar pair. A strong NZD here will likely fuel strength in NZD/JPY.
USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ): This is critical! JPY pairs are heavily influenced by U.S. Treasury yields. A rising USD/JPY (meaning a weaker Yen) will provide a strong tailwind for this NZD/JPY long trade.
✅ Summary:
Strategy: "Thief" Layered Entries
Setup: TMA Breakout + MA Bounce
Risk: Defined & Managed
Target: Logical Resistance Zone
If you found this idea helpful, don't forget to smash that LIKE button and leave a comment! ✅ Your support helps with visibility. Let's get this bread! 🍞
Disclaimer: This is my personal trade idea, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot whic acts as a pullback resitance and could fall to the 1st support.
Pivot: 87.74
1st Support: 87.33
1st Resistance: 88.03
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
NZDJPY Forming Falling WedgeNZDJPY has recently broken down from a rising support line, forming a classic falling wedge structure that signals a potential bearish continuation in the short term before a possible bullish reversal. Price has struggled to hold above the previous supply zone near 88.300, where repeated rejections indicate strong selling pressure. The recent break below the trendline confirms that buyers have lost momentum, giving sellers room to push price lower toward the next liquidity zone around 86.800 – 86.900, where demand previously stepped in.
Fundamentally, market sentiment on the New Zealand Dollar continues to weaken as traders price in slower economic growth and the expectation that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may approach a more neutral stance after a period of tight monetary policy. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to gain support from safe-haven demand as global volatility remains elevated. Yen strength combined with NZD weakness gives additional confluence to this downward move, aligning well with the technical breakout now visible in the structure.
As price approaches the next support area, this falling wedge suggests that once the downside inefficiency fills and momentum cools, a bullish reversal may develop. Falling wedges often mark the end of a corrective phase, so traders will be watching closely for bullish reaction candles or breakout volume to signal buyers stepping back in. Until then, momentum remains bearish and short-term continuation toward the lower zone remains the most probable scenario.
If price stabilizes at support and forms higher lows, a strong recovery rally could follow, especially if the Yen strength eases or NZD economic sentiment improves. This combination of technical structure and macro sentiment creates a high-value trading setup that can deliver strong profitability with proper risk positioning.
NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDJPY tapped the discount zone inside horizontal demand after sweeping liquidity, signalling accumulation. If bullish order-flow sustains, expect a repricing toward the premium buy-side target above. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 88.243.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 87.685 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bearish drop off key resistance?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 88.17
1st Support: 87.55
1st Resistance: 88.48
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
NZDJPY: Premium Short Setup Below 89.00 – Seasonality + COT1. Macro Outlook
NZDJPY remains a cross strongly driven by risk dynamics: NZD typically behaves as a risk-on currency, while JPY is a classic risk-off safe haven. The current global environment — characterized by slowing economic momentum, yield volatility, and speculative position rotation — generally supports downside pressure on the cross, although with less linearity compared to the previous quarter.
2. COT (Commitments of Traders)
JPY
Non-commercial traders remain clearly net-long JPY, reflecting a structural preference for Yen strength.
However, weekly changes show:
• –8,589 long contracts closed
• +9,446 new short contracts added
→ This indicates profit-taking and a reduced bullish aggressiveness on the Yen.
NZD
Speculators remain heavily net-short NZD (44k shorts vs 23k longs).
But last week’s flows show:
• +11,287 new longs
• +10,792 new shorts
→ A rebalancing phase rather than a trend reversal; signals uncertainty.
COT Conclusion:
The structural bias remains bearish for NZDJPY, but the pro-Yen speculative impulse is slowing. This increases the likelihood of a short-term bullish retest before further downside continuation.
3. Seasonality
JPY
Historically strong in November–December.
NZD
Neutral-to-weak in November; slightly positive in December but unstable.
The seasonal differential favors NZDJPY weakness between late November and early December, consistent with a move back toward autumn lows.
4. Retail Sentiment
• 83% short
• 17% long
This extreme bearish clustering among retail traders increases the probability of a short-term upside squeeze before macro-consistent downside resumes.
Implication:
⚠️ Avoid selling in the middle of the range
✔️ Only sell from premium levels and with confirmation
5. Price Action
Since August, the pair has been trading inside a structural 84.8–89 range, with highs losing quality and repeated lows — a classic distributive profile.
The recent bounce into 88 pushed price back into upper supply without breaking bullish structure, creating an ideal setup for selling rallies.
RSI remains neutral/slightly bullish but fails to confirm a new high, suggesting a potential bearish divergence that supports the short bias.
🔻 Primary Bias: SHORT below 88.70–89.00
NZDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 88.787
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 88.343
My Stop Loss - 89.041
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY SELL SETUP1. Price tapped into supply.
(Top red zone)
2. It swept the previous high.
(Liquidity grab)
3. It broke structure down.
(Shift bearish)
4. Price pulled back into the same supply.
(This is your entry)
5. Stop goes above the sweep high.
6. Target the next demand zone below.
(Green zone)
NZD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 86.923 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZ/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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