Get started

Nzdjpy!!

NZD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup | TMA & Pullback PlayNZD/JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT & LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY 🚀 Hey TradingView Community! 👋 Get ready for a potential move in the Kiwi Dollar vs. the Yen. A clean technical setup is forming, and here’s my professional plan to capitalize on it. 📈 TRADE IDEA: BULLISH Asset: NZD/JPY ("Kiwi Dollar vs. Yen") Type: Day Trade / Swing Trade Bias: Bullish 🟢 Core Concept: Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout confirmed, now looking for a pullback to the Moving Average for a high-probability entry. ⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION ✅ Confirmation & Trigger: Price has broken above a key Triangular Moving Average, signaling a shift in momentum. The trigger for entry is a pullback and bounce from the moving average support. 🎯 "Thief" Layered Entry Strategy: This strategy uses multiple buy limit orders to scale into the position at favorable prices, averaging your entry cost. Buy Limit 1: 87.500 Buy Limit 2: 88.000 Buy Limit 3: 88.500 💡 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and price levels based on your capital and risk appetite. ❗ Stop Loss (Risk Management): A hard stop loss can be placed below the recent swing low at 87.000. IMPORTANT NOTE 👇 "Dear Thief OG's & Fellow Traders – This is MY stop loss based on MY strategy. You MUST adjust your position size and SL level based on YOUR own risk management rules. Protect your capital first!" 🎯 Take Profit Target: Primary Target: 90.200 Reasoning: This level aligns with: A strong ATR-based resistance line. Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes. A historical "trap zone" where reversals can occur. KEY NOTE 👇 "Take profits based on your own style! You can scale out partials on the way up or wait for the full target. The market gives, the market takes – manage your profits according to your own plan!" 🔍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS Understanding the context is key! Here are related instruments to keep on your radar: AUD/JPY: The "Aussie" and "Kiwi" are often correlated due to their similar economies (commodity-based). A strong NZD/JPY move is often mirrored here. AUD/NZD: Watch this for relative strength. If NZD is strengthening, this pair should move down. NZD/USD ( OANDA:NZDUSD ): The direct Kiwi-Dollar pair. A strong NZD here will likely fuel strength in NZD/JPY. USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ): This is critical! JPY pairs are heavily influenced by U.S. Treasury yields. A rising USD/JPY (meaning a weaker Yen) will provide a strong tailwind for this NZD/JPY long trade. ✅ Summary: Strategy: "Thief" Layered Entries Setup: TMA Breakout + MA Bounce Risk: Defined & Managed Target: Logical Resistance Zone If you found this idea helpful, don't forget to smash that LIKE button and leave a comment! ✅ Your support helps with visibility. Let's get this bread! 🍞 Disclaimer: This is my personal trade idea, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long
by The-Thief
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot whic acts as a pullback resitance and could fall to the 1st support. Pivot: 87.74 1st Support: 87.33 1st Resistance: 88.03 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Short
by IC Markets
1
NZDJPY Forming Falling WedgeNZDJPY has recently broken down from a rising support line, forming a classic falling wedge structure that signals a potential bearish continuation in the short term before a possible bullish reversal. Price has struggled to hold above the previous supply zone near 88.300, where repeated rejections indicate strong selling pressure. The recent break below the trendline confirms that buyers have lost momentum, giving sellers room to push price lower toward the next liquidity zone around 86.800 – 86.900, where demand previously stepped in. Fundamentally, market sentiment on the New Zealand Dollar continues to weaken as traders price in slower economic growth and the expectation that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may approach a more neutral stance after a period of tight monetary policy. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to gain support from safe-haven demand as global volatility remains elevated. Yen strength combined with NZD weakness gives additional confluence to this downward move, aligning well with the technical breakout now visible in the structure. As price approaches the next support area, this falling wedge suggests that once the downside inefficiency fills and momentum cools, a bullish reversal may develop. Falling wedges often mark the end of a corrective phase, so traders will be watching closely for bullish reaction candles or breakout volume to signal buyers stepping back in. Until then, momentum remains bearish and short-term continuation toward the lower zone remains the most probable scenario. If price stabilizes at support and forms higher lows, a strong recovery rally could follow, especially if the Yen strength eases or NZD economic sentiment improves. This combination of technical structure and macro sentiment creates a high-value trading setup that can deliver strong profitability with proper risk positioning.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
NZDJPY Will Fall! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 88.243. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 87.685 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Bearish drop off key resistance?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 88.17 1st Support: 87.55 1st Resistance: 88.48 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Short
by IC Markets
NZDJPY: Premium Short Setup Below 89.00 – Seasonality + COT1. Macro Outlook NZDJPY remains a cross strongly driven by risk dynamics: NZD typically behaves as a risk-on currency, while JPY is a classic risk-off safe haven. The current global environment — characterized by slowing economic momentum, yield volatility, and speculative position rotation — generally supports downside pressure on the cross, although with less linearity compared to the previous quarter. 2. COT (Commitments of Traders) JPY Non-commercial traders remain clearly net-long JPY, reflecting a structural preference for Yen strength. However, weekly changes show: • –8,589 long contracts closed • +9,446 new short contracts added → This indicates profit-taking and a reduced bullish aggressiveness on the Yen. NZD Speculators remain heavily net-short NZD (44k shorts vs 23k longs). But last week’s flows show: • +11,287 new longs • +10,792 new shorts → A rebalancing phase rather than a trend reversal; signals uncertainty. COT Conclusion: The structural bias remains bearish for NZDJPY, but the pro-Yen speculative impulse is slowing. This increases the likelihood of a short-term bullish retest before further downside continuation. 3. Seasonality JPY Historically strong in November–December. NZD Neutral-to-weak in November; slightly positive in December but unstable. The seasonal differential favors NZDJPY weakness between late November and early December, consistent with a move back toward autumn lows. 4. Retail Sentiment • 83% short • 17% long This extreme bearish clustering among retail traders increases the probability of a short-term upside squeeze before macro-consistent downside resumes. Implication: ⚠️ Avoid selling in the middle of the range ✔️ Only sell from premium levels and with confirmation 5. Price Action Since August, the pair has been trading inside a structural 84.8–89 range, with highs losing quality and repeated lows — a classic distributive profile. The recent bounce into 88 pushed price back into upper supply without breaking bullish structure, creating an ideal setup for selling rallies. RSI remains neutral/slightly bullish but fails to confirm a new high, suggesting a potential bearish divergence that supports the short bias. 🔻 Primary Bias: SHORT below 88.70–89.00
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
NZDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 88.787 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 88.343 My Stop Loss - 89.041 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
NZD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 86.923 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZ/JPY pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
Stop!Loss|Market View: AUDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the AUDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.65167 💰TP: 0.64443 ⛔️SL: 0.65582 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The Australian dollar price is currently moving in a downward channel, but there's a clear trend of price pressure toward 0.65230, which is bearish. The pair is likely to break this support level within the next 1-2 trading days and move toward 0.64480. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅
Short
by StopLoss222
NZDJPY - The Wall of Sellers Awaits!⚔️NZDJPY is once again approaching a massive resistance zone highlighted in red, an area that has rejected price multiple times in the past, acting as a strong supply wall. 📉As the pair nears this level , I’ll be looking for potential short setups, expecting a bearish rejection that could drive price back toward the lower support zone around the previous lows. This range has defined the market for months, and until a clear breakout occurs, playing the range remains the optimal strategy, sell high, buy low. Will the bears defend this zone one more time? 👀 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
NZD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! NZD/JPY is making a bearish pullback on the 10H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 87.304 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Potential bullish rise?NZD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could trigger a bounce toward the 1st resistance. Pivot: 87.25 1st Support: 86.83 1st Resistance: 88.51 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
NZDJPY to find buyers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Prices have reacted from 85.89. Short term oscillators have turned positive. A break of the recent high at 87.32 should result in a further move higher. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. The bias is to break to the upside. We look to Buy at 87.01 (stop at 86.59) Our profit targets will be 88.27 and 88.47 Resistance: 87.32 / 87.70 / 88.34 Support: 86.84 / 86.66 / 86.30 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
Bullish bounce off pullback support?NZD/JPY has bounced off the support level, which serves as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take-profit target. Entry: 86.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 86.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 87.40 Why we like it: There is a support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
NZDJPY: Testing Resistance, Bears Eye a PullbackNZDJPY has climbed into a key resistance zone, and momentum is beginning to stall. The pair’s recent strength has been driven by risk-on sentiment and a softer yen, but with the Bank of Japan inching toward policy normalization and New Zealand facing mixed economic signals, upside looks capped. A corrective move lower toward support is now back on the radar. Current Bias Bearish – price is rejecting resistance and showing early signs of reversal. Key Fundamental Drivers NZD: Limited support from softer domestic data and external risks tied to China’s economic slowdown. JPY: BoJ is cautiously signaling eventual normalization, while Japanese yields remain elevated. Risk Sentiment: Risk-off flows tend to support JPY as a safe haven, while NZD weakens during global growth concerns. Macro Context Interest Rates: RBNZ is on hold with limited room for tightening; BoJ signaling vigilance on FX moves and inflation, potentially supporting yen. Economic Growth: NZ growth under pressure from weaker exports and housing, while Japan’s modest growth is paired with improving wage dynamics. Commodities: Dairy and soft commodity weakness weigh on NZD. Geopolitics: Trade war risks and Middle East tensions add volatility, generally favoring JPY safe-haven inflows. Primary Risk to the Trend A stronger-than-expected rebound in China or dovish BoJ commentary could weaken JPY, driving NZDJPY higher instead of rolling over. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event New Zealand Q3 CPI data and RBNZ commentary. Japan’s BoJ policy outlook and wage growth updates. Global risk sentiment shifts, especially around trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Leader/Lagger Dynamics NZDJPY is a lagger, usually following broader risk sentiment and moves in USDJPY. It often reflects global growth expectations, making it sensitive to China-linked headlines. Key Levels Support Levels: 87.44, 85.67 Resistance Levels: 88.57, 89.14 Stop Loss (SL): 89.14 Take Profit (TP): 85.67 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints NZDJPY is leaning bearish as price stalls at resistance, with downside targets near 87.44 and 85.67 in focus. A stop loss above 89.14 protects against a breakout scenario. Fundamentally, safe-haven demand for the yen alongside weaker NZ growth drivers backs this bearish case. The most important watchpoints remain BoJ policy signals and New Zealand inflation updates, which could shift sentiment quickly.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
NZDJPY to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Short term momentum is bearish. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. 85.38 has been pivotal. Buying posted close to the previous low of 85.35. We look to Buy at 85.72 (stop at 85.22) Our profit targets will be 87.22 and 87.52 Resistance: 86.70 / 87.32 / 87.60 Support: 85.70 / 85.35 / 85.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on NZDJPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 86.179 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 86.570 Safe Stop Loss - 85.959 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Stop!Loss|Market View: NZDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the NZDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.56811 💰TP: 0.56127 ⛔️SL: 0.57165 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Like the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar is looked for one of the most interesting short options amid the strengthening of the US currency. Here, the most likely conservative short position is near 0.56840, and it's best to consider entering through a false breakout, which will increase the entry's strength. The downside target is 0.56110, while in the medium term, 0.55000 can be considered. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistnce?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to take a profit. Entry: 87.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 88.13 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 86.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage