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NZDJPY: Testing Resistance, Bears Eye a PullbackNZDJPY has climbed into a key resistance zone, and momentum is beginning to stall. The pair’s recent strength has been driven by risk-on sentiment and a softer yen, but with the Bank of Japan inching toward policy normalization and New Zealand facing mixed economic signals, upside looks capped. A corrective move lower toward support is now back on the radar. Current Bias Bearish – price is rejecting resistance and showing early signs of reversal. Key Fundamental Drivers NZD: Limited support from softer domestic data and external risks tied to China’s economic slowdown. JPY: BoJ is cautiously signaling eventual normalization, while Japanese yields remain elevated. Risk Sentiment: Risk-off flows tend to support JPY as a safe haven, while NZD weakens during global growth concerns. Macro Context Interest Rates: RBNZ is on hold with limited room for tightening; BoJ signaling vigilance on FX moves and inflation, potentially supporting yen. Economic Growth: NZ growth under pressure from weaker exports and housing, while Japan’s modest growth is paired with improving wage dynamics. Commodities: Dairy and soft commodity weakness weigh on NZD. Geopolitics: Trade war risks and Middle East tensions add volatility, generally favoring JPY safe-haven inflows. Primary Risk to the Trend A stronger-than-expected rebound in China or dovish BoJ commentary could weaken JPY, driving NZDJPY higher instead of rolling over. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event New Zealand Q3 CPI data and RBNZ commentary. Japan’s BoJ policy outlook and wage growth updates. Global risk sentiment shifts, especially around trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Leader/Lagger Dynamics NZDJPY is a lagger, usually following broader risk sentiment and moves in USDJPY. It often reflects global growth expectations, making it sensitive to China-linked headlines. Key Levels Support Levels: 87.44, 85.67 Resistance Levels: 88.57, 89.14 Stop Loss (SL): 89.14 Take Profit (TP): 85.67 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints NZDJPY is leaning bearish as price stalls at resistance, with downside targets near 87.44 and 85.67 in focus. A stop loss above 89.14 protects against a breakout scenario. Fundamentally, safe-haven demand for the yen alongside weaker NZ growth drivers backs this bearish case. The most important watchpoints remain BoJ policy signals and New Zealand inflation updates, which could shift sentiment quickly.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
NZD/JPY Bearish Confirmed , Short Setup To Get 100 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on NZD/JPY , We Have A Fake Breakout and then the price Back below my old res with amazing bearish candle and we have a very good bearish Price Action on 2 And 4 Hours T.F Also the price playing very good around my res and i`m waiting the price to retest the broken area and giving me a good bearish price action on smaller time frames to can get a confirmation to enter , So i see it`s a good chance to sell this pair if it go up a little to retest the broken area and then we can sell it and targeting 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again above my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Breakout . 2- Clear Bearish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A . 4 - Perfect 15 Mins Closure . 5- The Price Respect The Res Again .
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
Bearish reversal in play?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 86.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 88.56 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 87.33 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The previous swing high is located at 88.36. 88.13 has been pivotal. Trading volume is increasing. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. The primary trend remains bearish. We look to Sell at 88.10 (stop at 88.60) Our profit targets will be 86.60 and 86.23 Resistance: 87.94 / 88.13 / 88.36 Support: 87.42 / 87.25 / 86.71 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains negative. The lack of interest is a concern for bulls. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. 20 1hour EMA is at 85.57. We look to Sell at 85.55 (stop at 85.88) Our profit targets will be 84.55 and 84.35 Resistance: 85.85 / 86.13 / 86.48 Support: 85.38 / 85.00 / 84.50 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
2
NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry 5 negative daily performances in succession. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. 50 1hour EMA is at 86.68. We look to Sell at 86.67 (stop at 87.01) Our profit targets will be 85.67 and 85.47 Resistance: 86.74 / 86.97 / 87.22 Support: 86.38 / 85.99 / 85.56 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
3
NZDJPY to find sellers at previous swing high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. 88.36 has been pivotal. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. We look to Sell at 88.25 (stop at 88.58) Our profit targets will be 87.25 and 87.05 Resistance: 87.89 / 88.20 / 88.36 Support: 87.50 / 87.17 / 86.63 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains negative. The lack of interest is a concern for bulls. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 50 4hour EMA is at 86.59. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. We look to Sell at 86.48 (stop at 86.88) Our profit targets will be 85.28 and 85.08 Resistance: 86.65 / 87.00 / 87.50 Support: 86.00 / 85.55 / 85.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZD/JPY: Bearish Breakdown from Ascending ChannelNZD/JPY has decisively broken below its ascending channel, signaling a shift from bullish structure to bearish momentum. This move aligns with fundamental headwinds for NZD and the potential for JPY strength amid intervention risks and global risk-off sentiment. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: Breakout from ascending channel support confirms a bearish reversal. Current Level: 87.12, trading below the broken trendline with strong selling pressure. Key Support Levels: 86.00 – first bearish target and immediate support zone. 84.60 – extended bearish target if momentum continues. Resistance Levels: 88.04 – previous support turned resistance. 89.06 – upper boundary and invalidation zone for bearish bias. Projection: Price is expected to retest 86.00, and if broken, further decline toward 84.60 is likely. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Bearish. Key Fundamentals: NZD: Pressured by global tariffs and risk-off sentiment. JPY: Supported by potential FX intervention from Japan’s Ministry of Finance and safe-haven demand. US Data Impact: Weak NFP boosted Fed cut bets, but risk-off flows strengthen JPY against risk currencies like NZD. Risks: China stimulus or a risk-on shift could lift NZD. Lack of BOJ action may weaken JPY temporarily. Key Events: RBNZ policy outlook. BOJ comments or intervention signals. US CPI influencing global risk sentiment. Leader/Lagger Dynamics NZD/JPY is a lagger, reacting to risk sentiment and JPY moves, with JPY strength leading the pair lower. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints NZD/JPY is bearish, with a clear technical break from its ascending channel. The pair targets 86.00 initially and 84.60 on extended downside. Key watchpoints include BOJ FX policy, RBNZ stance, and global risk sentiment, especially if markets move deeper into risk-off mode.
Short
by ultreosforex
10
NZDJPY - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 88.90. We look to Sell at 88.90 (stop at 89.10) Our profit targets will be 88.10 and 87.90 Resistance: 89.00 / 89.20 / 89.50 Support: 88.40 / 88.10 / 87.90 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY price action forming a top?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 88.45. We look to Sell at 88.45 (stop at 88.65) Our profit targets will be 87.65 and 87.50 Resistance: 88.50 / 88.65 / 88.90 Support: 87.90 / 87.60 / 87.20 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 87.80. We look to Sell at 87.80 (stop at 88.00) Our profit targets will be 87.00 and 86.85 Resistance: 87.80 / 88.00 / 88.25 Support: 87.20 / 87.00 / 86.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (23.06.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 86.35 2nd Support – 86.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21