Crude oil - Sell around 61.00, target 58.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil previously started to decline on the daily chart. Yesterday's daily chart rebounded due to the EIA crude oil inventory data. Today's crude oil strategy remains bearish. Continue selling on rebounds. There's no chance of a reversal in crude oil sales, and the data-induced rebound is only temporary. Focus on sell opportunities at 61.00 today.
Fundamental Analysis:
The alarming crude oil inventory data is supporting crude oil buying prices. Furthermore, whether Federal Reserve officials have signaled further interest rate cuts will support gold buying.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 61.00, target 58.00-56.00
Oilforecast
Oil - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Crude oil - Sell around 59.60, target 58.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Gold's significant moves haven't impacted crude oil, which is still recovering. Consider selling after today's rebound to 59.50. The overall trend is bearish, and the short-term outlook is bearish as well. However, the short-term volatility is quite strong, so don't sell. Crude oil needs to wait for opportunities. If there's a position, buy; if not, wait. Recent crude oil inventory data is also disappointing, which is likely to suppress crude oil prices.
Fundamental Analysis:
Watch the EIA crude oil inventory data today.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 59.60, target 58.00-56.00
Crude oil: Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has been declining recently and has reached strong support near 55. A break of this level would open up further downside. Today's outlook for crude oil remains bearish. Continue selling on minor rebounds, focusing on selling opportunities around 58.90. The new contract also bearishly suggests no buying opportunities. This selling strategy has persisted for a long time.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Federal Reserve has once again implemented loose monetary policy, and with the added support of CPI, market uncertainty is high, prompting a surge in gold prices.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited ($COOT) Spike 173% Today The price of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:COOT ) Spike nearly 180% Today after Trump targets China.
The Australian giant spike amidst reacting to the rare earth trade tensions between the US and China spiking from a falling wedge pattern gaining roughly 175% today.'
However, albeit growing momentum, the asset is currently oversold sitting with an RSI of 73 trading above all moving averages respectively.
About Australian Oilseeds Holdings (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:COOT )
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemical free, non-genetically modified organism, and sustainable edible oils and products derived from oilseeds worldwide. The company offers vegetable oils, including unrefined canola oil, premium canola oil, extra filtered canola oil, RBD canola oil, safflower oil, sunflower oil, RBD sunflower oil, soyabean oil, linseed oil, and extra virgin olive oil.
WTI Crude Oil: What Could Happen Next?Oil prices are sitting at a really important spot right now. Here’s what to watch for:
If the price drops below $58.28, it could keep falling toward $50.
If it breaks below $50, we might see it slide into the $43–$46 range.
But if oil climbs back above $65, it could run up toward $74 again.
So in simple terms:
👉 Below $58 = could fall more
👉 Above $65 = could rise again
We’re in a “wait and see” zone ; the next move will show which way oil really wants to go.
If you’re watching this market and not sure what these levels mean for your trades, feel free to DM us ; happy to break it down in plain English or share how I’m looking at it myself.
Mindbloome Exchange
OIL Set for another bounce - 65 Target in Play📊 NFX GBEBROKERS:USOIL Chart Update
Fresh setup spotted:
Price tapped into demand zone and bounced cleanly.
Bullish RSI divergence confirmed → momentum shift to the upside.
Eyeing the supply zone above as the next key test.
🎯 Bias:
As long as demand holds, I’m favoring longs into supply.
Break below demand = setup invalidated.
Stay disciplined - this is a textbook demand-to-supply play.
USOIL: Sideways-to-lower in a tight bandThis is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference.
1. Institutional Forecast Updates
IEA (Sep 15, 2025):
WTI targets $64.2/bbl for 2025 and $47.8/bb l for 2026
Brent targets $68/bbl for 2025 and $51/bb l for 2026
Goldman Sach (Jul 14, 2025):
WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026
Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026
J.P. Morgan (May 16, 2025):
Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026
www.rigzone.com
www.reuters.com www.jpmorgan.com
2. Key Drivers & Risks
📉 Supply
OPEC+ unwinding cuts of 2.2 mb/d (2024–2025), plus +137 kb/d starting October 2025.
Global supply reached 106.9 mb/d in Aug 2025; projected to rise by +2.7 mb/d to 105.8 mb/d in 2025.
U.S. output hit a record 13.2–13.4 mb/d (2024–2025)
Brazil, Guyana, and Canada are key contributors to non-OPEC+ growth.
U.S. shale breakeven costs: ~$62–68/bbl.
New offshore projects breakeven at ~$47/bbl.
OECD inventories in July 2025: 2,848 million barrels; 58.1 days of forward cover.
✳️ Demand
Global oil demand in 2024: ~103 mb/d (~193 EJ)
2025 demand growth of only +0.7 mb/d (weakest since 2009, excluding 2020).
OPEC projects demand growth of +1.3 mb/d in 2025 and +1.4 mb/d in 2026.
Consumption structure: transport accounts for ~two-thirds of oil demand; >90% of transport energy comes from oil.
Petrochemicals (naphtha, LPG) remain a key driver of incremental demand.
🛑 Politics & Geopolitics
Escalating Middle East tensions: growing risks in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea.
Kurdistan–Turkey pipeline (~0.23 mb/d) subject to recurring disruptions.
Venezuela: Chevron faces restrictions on U.S. exports.
OPEC+ often produces ~0.5 mb/d below quota due to capacity limits.
Long-term trend: EV adoption and emission policies structurally weaken demand growth.
✅ Overall View:
Overall, governments both want to bring oil prices down to support their economies and also tend to protect oil companies, since prices are currently low relative to many firms’ breakeven levels.
Prices are likely to edge gradually lower within a narrow range of $70–$50, and it is important to closely monitor factors that could trigger supply–demand shocks.
3. Technical Analysis
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
USOIL: Breaks $64.75 — Is a retest of $66 and higher level?This is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
USOIL: Range-bound setup with upside test before downside risk
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Oil Bulls Beware: 65.5 Could Be the Turning Point📲 NFX Oil Trade Alert – Quick View
GBEBROKERS:USOIL – Resistance Test in Play
📍 Current Level: 65.00
📈 Next Target: 65.45–65.90 (38.2% Fib + Supply-Demand Zone)
⚠️ RSI likely to hit overbought at this zone → potential short setup
📉 Bias: Bearish rejection at 65.5 (preferred scenario) → Target back to 62
🔎 Catalyst: Bullish ECONOMICS:USGPRO EIA report, but effect already priced in from Monday’s rally.
📊 Oil Trade Analysis – Detailed Breakdown
FX:USOIL tested 65.00 after breaking out of the 64.1–64.5 SR zone post–EIA report (23.6% Fib retracement). This marks the second bullish report in a row, but this one was weaker, and the reaction looks mostly priced in after the rally from Monday to today.
Currently, price is hovering around 65.00, which is acting as a minor support. While this level may hold temporarily, it’s unlikely to sustain against broader resistance at 65.5.
I’m expecting price to push further towards the 38.2% Fib retracement (65.45–65.90), which also aligns with a major supply-demand zone. At this level, RSI will likely flash overbought, making it my preferred area to look for shorts.
🔀 Scenarios
Path A – Bearish Rejection (Most Probable)
Resistance holds at 65.5 zone.
Expectation: Sharp rejection → price retraces back to 62 (lower band of range).
Path B – Extended Rally (Less Probable)
Price breaks and sustains above 65.9.
Would invalidate immediate short setup and open path towards higher Fib levels.
⚖️ Fundamentals
While the EIA report acted as a short-term catalyst, supply hike remains a heavy bearish overhang. Nothing has changed on the bigger picture.
💬 Game Plan
Watching closely for clear rejection at 65.5. That’s where I’ll be pulling the trigger for shorts.
Crude oil: Sell around 64.90, target 63.00-61.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The rise in crude oil prices has left many investors confused. Shouldn't they be selling crude oil? Why is it so strong again? A look at the 4-hour candlestick chart will show that the current rally is still within a range of fluctuations and hasn't broken out. Furthermore, the range-bound resistance level is approaching again. It's a good time to sell immediately. The overall trend for crude oil is bearish, and short-term volatility recovery is expected.
Fundamental Analysis:
Gold surged and then retreated, while the US dollar rebounded sharply after hitting a bottom. No major market data was released, and the Fed's policy has no sustained impact on the market in the short term.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 64.90, target 63.00-61.00
Crude oil: Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Today's daily crude oil chart saw a small rebound, in line with our expectations yesterday. Crude oil remains bearish, and rebounds present opportunities for further shorting. Focus on selling around 64.50 today. This trend has been consistent for several months, and the price has been oscillating around this level for several months. Don't be too fussy about trading; take profits and sell. The key to a volatile market is the rhythm and position.
Fundamental Analysis:
There are no major fundamentals or data this week, only standard data. Focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate cut.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 64.00, target 62.00-60.00
WTI: Oil Markets on Edge Despite Trump Considering Major TariffsOil prices could drop if Trump backs down on tariffs on countries buying Russian oil, but short-term bullish catalysts, like geopolitical tensions and bullish speculative bets, may still push prices up before longer-term headwinds take hold.
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Trump’s threats of steep tariffs on countries buying Russian oil have sent oil prices surging, as traders fear a global supply crunch if Russian barrels are cut off.
But here’s the twist: Trump has a history of backing down or delaying tariffs after using them as leverage. When he does, oil prices usually fall, as the immediate risk of supply disruption fades.
If he caves in again by the deadline, which is 10 to 12 days from 4 August, or extends it, oil prices could drop. The bigger picture also appears bearish: OPEC+ is ramping up supply, global demand is slowing and expected to drop in H2, and inventories are rising (first glimpse by EIA, Wed).
But with the deadline falling around 14–16 August, 2025, short-term bullish catalysts could spark a rally up to the 38.2%-61.8 % Fibonacci retracement levels, positioning WTI better for declines (conditional on Trump!).
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CL (Oil Futures) Short Trade Idea 08/17Setup
• Type: Rejection of 4H/1H supply → continuation lower.
• Zone to arm: 62.90–63.30 (overlapping 30m/1H supply + prior shelf).
• Triggers (must have both):
• 15-minute bearish confirmation (lower high + close back below ~62.95 from the zone).
• 5-minute bearish close in the zone with order-flow tilt (absorption/failure to lift).
(No confirmation = no trade.)
Entry & Risk
• Entry: MOS on the confirming 5m close within 62.90–63.30.
• Stop: 63.62 (above 1H supply high/swing). ≈ 0.32–0.72 risk depending on fill.
• Size: Calibrate so full-stop loss = ≤ 1R of your plan.
Targets (R:R from 63.10 mid-entry, 0.52 stop)
• TP1: 61.80 (prior-week low/shelf) → ~2.5R
• TP2: 61.10 (1H demand edge) → ~3.8R
• TP3: 60.50 (deeper 4H demand) → ~5.0R
Management
• Scale 1/2 at TP1; trail above last 5m swing after a fresh LL or hold for TP2.
• If price tags 63.30–63.50 and closes 15m above 63.50, invalidate the short idea until structure resets.
• Avoid fresh risk within ~10–15 min of EIA Wed 10:30 ET; re-arm after the first post-release 15m bar closes.
Oil at Key Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Crude oil is trading around $66.94, showing a bearish correction after failing to hold above $69.05. The chart shows price respecting an ascending channel but currently testing its lower boundary. The recent drop signals weakening bullish momentum, and a confirmed break below the channel could accelerate selling pressure toward lower levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Rebound: If price holds above the channel support (~$66.00–$66.50) and breaks back above $69.05, it may target $71.03 and possibly $72.00.
- Bearish Breakdown: A confirmed close below $66.00 can accelerate the downside toward $65.00, with extended targets near $63.50–$62.00.
📊 Key Technical Highlights
- Price rejected from the channel top and is now testing lower support.
- Key resistance zones: $69.05 (immediate), $71.03 (major).
- Key support zones: $66.00 (channel), then $65.00–$63.50 (breakdown targets).
- Momentum indicators show weakening buying pressure, favoring cautious trading.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $69.05 → $71.03 → $72.00
- Support: $66.00 → $65.00 → $63.50
🧭 Trend Outlook
- A short-term relief bounce is possible, but failure to reclaim $69.05 keeps sellers in control.
- Breaking below the channel would shift the overall outlook to bearish for August.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Crude oil: Sell around 66.50, targeting 63.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
We've stated this dozens of times before: the overall trend of crude oil is bearish. As long as crude oil doesn't break above 70.00, we can maintain our bearish outlook. Today, we maintain our bearish outlook and continue to sell on any rebounds. Crude oil fundamentals don't support buying. The previous easing of tensions in the Middle East has also been suppressing crude oil prices for a long time, and the ever-changing tariff war is also suppressing crude oil. However, crude oil hasn't broken through 63.00 yet. Today, we're focused on selling if it breaks through. If it doesn't, we'll wait for a small rebound to sell. Focus on selling at 66.50.
Fundamental Analysis:
The tariff war has been the most influential fundamental factor affecting gold recently, and in the long term, it supports gold. This surge in gold prices is driven by Trump's renewed turmoil. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy remains a key focus.
Trading Strategy:
Crude oil: Sell around 66.50, targeting 63.00-60.00.
Oil Prices Form Bearish Head & Shoulders – Key Neckline in FocusWTI crude oil is showing a clear Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. The left shoulder formed in early July, followed by a higher peak forming the head in mid-July, and finally the right shoulder near the current levels, which is lower than the head. The neckline is positioned around $66.00, acting as a key support level. Currently, the price is trading at $67.34, hovering slightly above this neckline, indicating that the market is at a critical decision point. A confirmed break below the neckline could accelerate bearish momentum, targeting the $62.20 – $62.80 zone based on the pattern’s measured move. However, if the neckline holds, a possible bounce toward $68.50 – $69.00 could occur, but overall bias remains bearish unless the price can break and sustain above $69.00.
Key Price Levels:
- Resistance: $68.50 – $69.00
- Neckline Support: $66.00
- Bearish Target (if confirmed): $62.20 – $62.80
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Crude oil: Sell around 70.20, target 65.00-64.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Yesterday's crude oil market was very strong, with buying driving the market higher. The daily chart ultimately closed with a clear bullish candlestick. Buying on the daily chart is testing the resistance level between 70.00 and 70.60. After two consecutive days of bullish closes, and with clear bullish candlesticks, I predict another surge today. Let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a significant rebound after a significant drop. Today, focus on selling opportunities between 70.00 and 70.60. A break of this level will change the overall selling trend. The strategy remains to sell high and be bearish.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data. The key news will be the interest rate results during the US trading session, along with speeches.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 70.20, target 65.00-64.00
Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-64.00Crude oil market analysis:
The idea of crude oil today is still bearish. Xiaoyang predicts that it will rebound first and then continue to fall. Consider selling near 67.50 if it rebounds. Crude oil is basically weak if it does not stand above 70.00. Crude oil is a repair market after a big drop. In theory, it will continue to fall after the repair. In addition, pay attention to crude oil inventory data later.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-64.00
Crude oil-----sell near 67.00, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market direction:
The recent daily crude oil line has been hovering, and it feels like it is falling or not falling. The daily crude oil line is still bearish. Let's continue to sell it on the rebound. For crude oil today, we focus on the suppression of 67.00. Consider selling it at this rebound position. The daily crude oil line needs to break the 64.00 position to see real selling force, otherwise it is a repair shock with a very small amplitude.
Fundamental analysis:
The latest news is that the United States and the European Union have reached a 15% tariff agreement, which overall supports the US dollar and suppresses gold. In addition, this week, pay attention to ADP employment data, non-agricultural employment data, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and speech.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----sell near 67.00, target 65.00-63.00
Crude oil ----- Sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has been falling recently, but the decline is not large, and the rebound will not be large. Consider selling crude oil if it rebounds slightly. The crude oil idea is bearish. It is difficult for crude oil to rise sharply without fundamentals, but we insist on taking losses in operation. If there is no loss, a piece of news will make it take off directly. Crude oil focuses on 64.00 support, and suppresses 67.50 and 69.50. Consider selling opportunities when the Asian session rebounds to 67.50.
Fundamental analysis:
Tariffs have not affected the market recently, and no major news has been announced. The market is relatively calm.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil ----- Sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00






















