Oilforecast
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has shown some strength recently. Consider selling again at 60.50. The overall outlook for crude oil remains bearish. Short-term fluctuations only require focusing on one direction. The fundamentals of crude oil are unlikely to change the current trend. Previous buy opportunities only reached 62 before falling again.
Fundamental Analysis:
The surge in gold prices has provided various fundamental explanations, but these are all in the past. Current fundamentals and geopolitical factors are relatively ordinary, and no major data releases are scheduled for this week.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently returned to its previous range-bound pattern on the daily chart. This range-bound movement has lasted for several months. Consider selling crude oil at 60.50 today. The bearish outlook for crude oil remains unchanged, and this view can be maintained as long as the daily chart doesn't break 62.00. Pay attention to the upcoming inventory data.
Fundamental Analysis:
This week's data is mostly routine and will have little impact on the market. Geopolitical factors also have little influence.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 60.50, target 58.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell near 60.50, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Continue to sell on rallies in crude oil. Yesterday's crude oil contract settlement was completed, and the new contracts offered no surprises to the market. Continue to sell at higher prices, focusing on the resistance level of 60.50. Crude oil has returned to its previous trading range, and it's almost certain that it will be difficult to break out of this range in the short term.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent geopolitical news seems to have calmed down considerably, and the market hasn't fallen as a result. Pay attention to the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell near 60.50, target 58.00-55.00.
Crude Oil - Sell around 60, target 57.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has finally fallen. We've been calling for a sell for months, and haven't given a single buy order. The recent rise in crude oil prices due to geopolitical factors will eventually lead to a fall back. Today, crude oil can be sold when it approaches 60. Crude oil is currently in a large range between 62 and 55 in the short term. We will adjust our strategy if it breaks through either side. Also, the crude oil contract delivery period is approaching.
Fundamental Analysis:
Yesterday's US initial jobless claims data was bearish for gold, but gold did not experience a significant drop; instead, it is undergoing a consolidation phase. Furthermore, several data points in the past two days have been bearish for gold.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil - Sell around 60, target 57.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell near 62.00, target 60.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Yesterday, crude oil reached a high of over 62.00, but it hasn't broken through the major resistance level yet. The chart pattern suggests that without a break above this level, a buy breakout pattern is unlikely. Our strategy for today remains bearish; sell on rallies. The current price level is high, and there's significant downside potential. Sell crude oil near 62.00 today.
Fundamental Analysis:
Previously released data was mixed, with limited market impact. Furthermore, geopolitical factors have calmed down, putting downward pressure on gold and supporting the US dollar.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell near 62.00, target 60.00-56.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 61.00, target 58.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has started to strengthen in the past two days, breaking above 60. The chart pattern indicates a bottoming-out and rebound. Our strategy today remains to sell, as the pattern hasn't been broken yet. Pay attention to the 62 level; if it breaks, we'll consider a new strategy. Until then, we maintain a bearish outlook, and the current level presents a good opportunity to sell.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent data releases have been rotating. Yesterday, new CPI data was released, and the difference appears small, limiting the market impact. Gold accelerated its rise after the data release.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 61.00, target 58.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.50, with a target of 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Recent crude oil buying has been largely ineffective. Despite support from fundamentals and data, there has been little upward movement, only small fluctuations. Sell crude oil at 58.50 today. The chart pattern indicates short-term consolidation, with resistance around 60.00. A break above 62 might open new buying opportunities; otherwise, the outlook remains bearish.
Fundamental Analysis:
The previous ADP employment data has reassured the market, and expectations for the non-farm payrolls report have largely been priced in.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.50, with a target of 56.00-55.00.
Sell crude oil around 58.50, with a target of 57.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Recent crude oil data and fundamentals support buying opportunities, but crude oil is still slowly declining. The outlook remains bearish today; sell on rallies. Watch the minor resistance level at 58.50. A break below 55.00 would open up further downside potential. If this level is broken, consider selling.
Fundamental Analysis:
Yesterday's ADP employment data was -2.9, compared to an expected 4.7 and a result of 4.1. While this appears bullish in the short term, it actually signals a sell opportunity. Good employment data tends to cause gold to fall. Crude oil's EIA inventory data also fell to -338, compared to an expected 44.
Trading Recommendation:
Sell crude oil around 58.50, with a target of 57.00-55.00.
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The fundamentals have had a significant impact on crude oil over the past two days, but crude oil seems to have become desensitized to these fundamentals, showing little reaction. The market is maintaining a relatively calm, small-scale consolidation. Our strategy for today remains bearish; sell on rallies. The daily moving averages are starting to diverge. For buying opportunities, pay attention to the 55.00 level. If it breaks, we expect a significant sell-off.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, we will focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00
CRUDE OIL (CL) PREDICTIONCRUDE OIL (CL) PREDICTION
📊 Market Sentiment
Crude oil prices had been trending lower following signs of de-escalation in the Israel–Palestine conflict, easing tensions with Iran, and emerging peace signals from the Russia–Ukraine front.
However, recent statements from Trump and the possibility of a U.S. military action against Venezuela have shifted sentiment back to the upside.
Venezuela holds approximately 18% of the world’s proven oil reserves and ranks as the 12th largest oil producer globally. Any potential conflict involving the U.S. could significantly disrupt supply expectations, acting as a strong bullish catalyst for oil prices.
📈 Technical Analysis
CL swept monthly liquidity around the $55 level and has since shifted into a bullish structure on the daily timeframe.
In my view, this move indicates that price has gathered sufficient energy for either continuation higher or a controlled retracement before the next bullish leg.
📌 Prediction – Game Plan
I entered a long position at 56.24$.
🎯 TP1: 57.70$
I will take partial profits here and move the remaining position to breakeven.
🎯 TP2: 58.90$
🛑 Stop Loss: Daily close below 55.40$
💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The recommended strategy for today is to sell crude oil. Recent crude oil price fluctuations have been relatively small, and the fluctuations are mostly within a consolidation phase. The recommended strategy is to sell, as chasing this range-bound market is not advisable. Wait for a rebound to a higher point before considering selling. Today, pay attention to the levels around 58.90 and 59.50.
Fundamental Analysis:
These past few days have been a holiday, with few major data releases. However, the escalating US-Venezuela relations and the worsening Russia-Ukraine situation are providing short-term geopolitical support, significantly benefiting gold prices.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.90, target 57.00-56.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 59.20, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has started a slight rebound, but it hasn't broken through the 55 level effectively. Today's strategy remains to sell on rallies and be bearish. Continue selling on rallies. Resistance for crude oil is around 59.20; consider selling near that level. If crude oil breaks above 59, it indicates a return to a consolidation phase. The recent escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is supporting buying opportunities in crude oil.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Russia-Ukraine conflict shows signs of escalation again, providing some support for gold. Pay attention to the holiday situation in the next few days.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 59.20, target 56.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.40, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
The daily chart for crude oil continues to show a bearish trend. Sell on rallies. In the Asian session, watch for a short position around 58.40, which acts as minor resistance. A stronger resistance level is around 59.60. The overall trend for crude oil is bearish, with short-term consolidation expected. Recent data releases have had limited impact on crude oil.
Fundamental Analysis:
The recent rise in gold prices is no longer significantly related to data releases. It's essentially a long-awaited breakout from a high level after a period of consolidation. The previously released bullish data was merely a catalyst, and the upcoming days are filled with European and American holidays.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.40, target 56.00-55.00
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Given the recent sharp decline on the daily chart for crude oil, our strategy remains unchanged: sell on rallies. We've maintained a bearish outlook on crude oil for several months, during which it has remained relatively stagnant, trading within a narrow range. Today, we'll focus on contract settlement; wait for a rebound to around 58.60 to sell.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today's release of key CPI and unemployment claims data could significantly impact the market.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00
Crude Oil Sell around 59.00.target 58.00 to 56.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Recent crude oil price movements have been essentially free money; there's no easy analysis to follow. The key is to wait for the right entry point. Sell when the price reaches the expected rebound level. Conversely, as long as it doesn't break 60.50, it remains extremely weak. Crude oil is bearish, and short-term fluctuations don't change the overall bearish trend. Sell at 59.00 today.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Fed's interest rate decision was in line with market expectations. The rate cut didn't bring much surprise to the market, except for the official announcement of further rate cuts in 2026, which was somewhat unexpected. In the long term, this will weaken the dollar and support gold.
Trading Recommendation:
Crude Oil – Sell around 59.00, target 58.00-56.00
Will Crude Oil Rise or Fall?Crude Oil Futures (Jan 2026) - Market Analysis
Crude oil is trading at $58.39 per barrel, down 0.19%. Recent data show prices ranging from $58.12 to $58.62, indicating a period of consolidation. Key support is forming around $58.12, while resistance is at $58.62.
The overall momentum suggests limited near-term volatility, with the price hovering near its recent lows. Traders should watch for a breakout above resistance or a drop below support for the next directional move.
Stay tuned for further updates as market conditions evolve, and always manage risk
appropriately when trading futures.
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