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Oklooptions

OKLO ALERT: BEARISH OPTIONS SETUP NEAR EARNINGS ⚛️ OKLO Earnings & Options Play (2025-08-11) ### Oklo Inc. \ NYSE:OKLO — **Moderate Bearish Ahead** --- ### 🚨 Quick Snapshot: * **Revenue:** Development stage, no sales yet — no growth momentum. * **Margins:** Profit Margin 0%, ROE -56%, ROA -22.8% — severe inefficiencies. * **Guidance:** Historically weak, avg surprise -87.7%, beat rate only 25%. * **Analyst Sentiment:** Mixed, forward EPS -\$0.39, target price swings, high skepticism. ### 🔍 Options Market Insight: * Elevated IV, VIX normal (\~15.9), but \$73 & \$72 puts show strong OI (\~7,271 contracts). * Put-heavy skew signals institutional bearish hedging. * Moderate gamma risk near earnings. ### 📉 Technicals: * Price at \$75.32, above 20 & 50-day MAs but volume fading (avg 10-day vol 18M vs 9.9M now). * RSI neutral at 61.2 — possible consolidation or bearish pause. * Resistance: \$76 | Support: \$72 ### 🌐 Macro & Sector Context: * Clean energy tailwinds from gov’t policies, but nuclear regulation & cost pressure linger. * Market volatility normal; sector structural risks remain. --- ### 🎯 Trade Setup: **Buy \$73 Put — Exp 08/15** * Entry: \$4.50 * Stop Loss: \$2.25 (50%) * Profit Target: \$9.00 (200%) * Position Size: Max 2% portfolio risk * Timing: Enter pre-earnings close, exit within 2 hrs post earnings to avoid IV crush --- ### 🔥 Why This Trade? * Weak fundamentals + bearish options flow * Technical signs of fading momentum * Regulatory & cost headwinds in clean energy sector --- ### ⚠️ Risk/Reward Table: | Metric | Value | | ------------- | -------------- | | Entry Price | \$4.50 | | Profit Target | \$9.00 (+100%) | | Stop Loss | \$2.25 (-50%) | | Confidence | 75% | --- ### 📊 JSON Trade Signal for Bots/APIs: ```json { "instrument": "OKLO", "direction": "put", "strike": 73.00, "expiry": "2025-08-15", "confidence": 75, "profit_target": 9.00, "stop_loss": 2.25, "size": 2, "entry_price": 4.50, "entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close", "earnings_time": "BMO", "expected_move": 5.00, "iv_rank": 0.65, "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11T14:41:19-04:00" }
NYSE:OKLOShort
by quantsignals