A clear path for Bitcoin - Extending Cycles.Bitcoin is programmed math - therefore i believe trends are easier to recognize and distinguish (especially when cross referencing on-chain analytics).
Here's the LONG story short:
I measured the amount of days from the halving to the cycle top, which gave me an ~33% increase.
I then added the 33% to the 2017 cycle which equals ~707 days.
This puts Bitcoin's market cycle top for 2022 around April 18th.
The Red Box indicates the general area in which I believe Bitcoin can top out in (Jan 22 - July 22).
$250k is possible but to early to tell - on-chain gives more accurate top indications as the time nears.
As for the 350k and 500k are the price predictions from other analysis of those who I will not name.
That being said, $100k-$150k are also possible tops. How quick price accelerates nearing the end of the cycle will indicate just where we may top out in the cycle.
Currently, we're experienced a mid-cycle top at $64K - this is where i believe the floor will be during the bear market that supersedes the Blow Off Top this cycle.
The end!
let me know what you think
x
Onchain
Will bitcoin create ATH in 2022?I predicted this growth from 31k and a lot of people didn't believe it at the time. But when the price reaches this price they still stand outside and wait and buy when the price surpasses the top at 64k. Last week was a bullish week and gave a very good signal according to my prediction.
- For Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves. We see the similarity of 2014 and 2021, this week the price has started to break through 0.5 and I predict it will soon head towards point 1, then BTC price will be around $93k - $100k.
- For the Stock-to-flow model, we can easily see that the price is still below the Stock/Flow threshold. In the past this model worked well to pull the price up and down accordingly.
I have a question for you, are you scared and u only buy BTC with the condition that the price breaks above ATH in the $70k range?
Bitcoin Short Setuphi guys. Although not very reliable, I think Bitcoin will return from this range. When we look at the on-chain data, the same similarity was seen on January 20-21. Returning from support, Bitcoin witnessed a larger decline when it encountered resistance. The data match.
Please trade at your own risk.
If it closes above the green channel, stop.
My own Analysis DYOR LITUSDT (litentry)This is Purely My Own idea. 18.8 usdt is the mid term Target for Me. I will book my partial profits in every upcoming opportunity.
ETHUSDT $1888 within 48 hours VISA moves to allow payment settlements using $USDC.
Its circulating supply and exchange holdings keep renewing at an all-time high every day.
Currently, $USDC is the second-largest stable coin after $USDT.
$ETH network might be used for Visa payment settlements under the brand name $USDC.
Im expecting massive accumulation on $ETH
Check my profile BIO
This is When You Buy The Bitcoin DipFinally... After nine days of bitcoin trading between $18,600 and $19,700, we have some volatility. During these nine days starting on November 30 prices consolidated into a triangle.
For the better half of this range, onchain flows were bullish. Liquidity was still flowing into exchanges and reaching new highs was not out of the question.
This all unfolded as traders took profits whenever price approached all-time highs. It’s a normal response in the market as price rarely breaks its prior all-time high on its first go around.
The status quo of good liquidity, bullish onchain flows, and normal levels of profit taking began to shift late on Dec. 7 and early Dec. 8th.
To view the transactions that Jarvis flagged during this time period, you can view them in this link: telegra.ph .
As these transactions got picked up by Jarvis and paired alongside other metrics and indicators, it took profits on its BAND long position… And moved to the sidelines.
Many of you might ask why it didn’t go ahead and take a short position. It’s a great question that hints at the current environment… Risky. The risk meter for Jarvis is still high. Making the payoff for the amount of risk involved in trade not worth it.
So instead of jumping into a short position with elevated risk levels, it’s apparent Jarvis is waiting for a long entry.
It’s tough to know when Jarvis will begin to scale into a long since it’s the type of thing that isn’t apparent until it is. That’s because this type of reactionary trade is determined from real-time blockchain data. As onchain data begins to indicate bullish activity, Jarvis will hone in on a range using a handful of methods.
Based on the methods we programmed into Jarvis we can expect the areas highlighted in the white support lines and the white box below to be of interest. But by no means definite.
Again, we won’t know if any of these areas of interest hold until the onchain flows turn bullish again.
Keep in mind, outside of the onchain flows there are several bullish indicators. Hashribbons, a long-term swing indicator turned bullish several days ago, exchange reserves are at yearly lows our Jarvis Index is still near its buy range and funding rates are no longer heavily skewed. Each one of these is a bullish reading.
It’s why this drop is best viewed as an opportunity to find longs instead of chasing a high risk / low reward short.
If USDT, USDC, BUSD are re-entering exchanges and various wallets begin moving similar assets into DEXs then traders ought to consider a long.
We hope whales choose DEXs since this type of data is viewed before it happens, giving Jarvis plenty of time to make a move with even greater accuracy.
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