UNI 4H – Post-UNIfication consolidation longUniswap remains one of the key DEX protocols: TVL is around $4.5B and 30-day DEX volume is roughly $94.6B, which keeps Uniswap at the top of the sector by liquidity and fee generation.
Over the last 30 days UNI is up ~+22%, with a sharp acceleration in November (70%+ week) after the UNIfication proposal: enabling protocol fees and burning up to 100M UNI (~16% of supply). That fundamentally changes expectations for UNI as a value-accrual token rather than “governance only”.
On derivatives, UNI trades with deep liquidity: OI ≈ $560M, ~ $1.16B futures volume and ~$220M spot per 24h, so larger positions can enter/exit without severe slippage. Regulatory tail risk also eased earlier this year when the SEC closed its investigation into Uniswap Labs without charges.
Technical setup (#4h)
After the vertical post-UNIfication spike into the 10–11 area, UNI has been digesting the move in a sideways 4H range roughly between 7.3 and 8.1:
Price is hovering around the 4H EMA band; on higher TFs (1D–3D) UNI still trades above the main EMAs, keeping the broader uptrend intact.
Multiple tests of the lower part of the range (7.3–7.5) have been bought back, with my PRICE_EMA long signals firing near the lower deviation/ATR zone.
Overhead, a major supply/OB cluster sits around 10–10.5, which also matches the prior spike highs and HTF resistance.
I view this as a post-news consolidation above support within an emerging bullish trend.
Strategy context
This trade comes from my 4H EMA-based swing system (trend-following mode):
The system focuses on buying pullbacks to the EMA band during strong momentum phases and targeting prior liquidity zones.
Sample of 30+ trades on alts shows roughly ~70% win rate with average winners larger than losers, at the cost of relatively wide stops and multi-day holding times.
UNI currently fits the “momentum + consolidation on EMAs” template for this system.
Trade plan (swing 3–10 days)
Entry zone: ~7.5–7.7 (current spot around 7.6–7.7).
Main target: 10.2–10.3 – retest of the post-UNIfication spike high and upper supply block.
Stop / invalidation: below 6.8–6.9 (under the lower ATR band and recent local lows). A 4H close below this zone would mean the consolidation broke down and the “second leg” scenario is off.
This gives a rough R:R of ~3.5:1 from entry to the 10.2–10.3 target.
I’ll look to trail partial size if price breaks and holds above 8.5 (orange level) with strong volume, but the core idea is to catch one clean extension from the current range into the upper resistance cluster.
Fundamental snapshot
Key bullish points:
UNIfication: proposal to turn on protocol fees and burn up to 100M UNI (~16% supply), aligning Labs, Foundation and DAO economics and finally connecting UNI to protocol cash flows.
Strong fee engine: Uniswap generates ~$1.25B annualized fees, ~$100M in the last 30 days, currently all going to LPs – a large “pool of value” that fee switch can redirect partially to UNI.
Sector leadership: ~$94.6B 30-day DEX volume and deep liquidity in UNI markets (tens of millions in depth), making it one of the core DeFi blue chips.
SEC case closed: investigation into Uniswap Labs ended without charges, cutting a major tail risk.
Key risks:
UNIfication is not fully implemented yet – parameters of fee switch and burn (LP share vs DAO vs burn) can still change and may trigger LP outflows.
DeFi / DEX tokens as a group still trade at a discount vs L1s, and Fear & Greed is in Extreme Fear territory.
UNI is still ~−80% below its $44 ATH, so structurally it’s early in any potential new DeFi cycle.
Alternative scenario
If UNI breaks down and starts closing 4H candles below 6.8–6.9 with no new positive catalysts on UNIfication or DeFi sentiment, I’ll treat this setup as invalid and stand aside, watching the 6.0–5.5 area for a deeper retrace and fresh structure before considering new longs.
Not financial advice — just my structured 4H EMA swing long on UNI, combining the current consolidation pattern with system stats and the UNIfication fundamental narrative.
