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Otezone

SUI Daily OTE Rejection - Pin Bar Signal Toward SSL and FVGs📝 Description SUI on Daily timeframe is trading inside a bearish HTF structure and has now retraced into the 0.618–0.786 OTE zone, where a clear FVG is present. Price reaction in this area suggests weakening upside momentum rather than acceptance above value. ________________________________________ 📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based | Non-Signal) If the latest daily candle closes as a pin bar within the 0.618–0.786 zone and inside the FVG, downside probability increases. This behavior would signal rejection from premium, favoring a bearish rotation toward lower liquidity. Downside Expectation: • Draw toward lower FVGs (1.780 and 1.535) • Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) below recent lows • Move classified as liquidity-driven continuation, not a trend change ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Confluence of OTE (0.618–0.786) with reversal FVG • Pin bar close = premium rejection • Bias shifts toward SSL draw ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary A pin bar close on D within the 0.618–0.786 OTE and reversal FVG strengthens the case for a bearish continuation. Under this condition, price is likely to rotate lower toward FVG inefficiencies and SSL, aligning with the dominant HTF bearish framework. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment SUI remains risk-sensitive. Any return of risk-off or USD strength can speed up the SSL draw after rejection from the 0.618–0.786 OTE. In a risk-on environment, downside may stay corrective, D close confirmation remains key. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
BTC H4 OTE Play - Short Term Bullish Reversion Toward Liquidity📝 Description BTC on H4 is trading inside a corrective leg after a clear sell-side liquidity grab (SSL) into H4 OB. Price is now pulling back into H4 OTE (0.618–0.786) within discount, and a short-term bullish move is expected as part of a mean-reversion push toward nearby liquidity. The broader structure remains corrective unless premium is reclaimed with acceptance. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish pullback from discount. short-term upside, then decision at premium Long:: • Entry (Buy): 86,300 • Stop Loss: Below 85,750 (OB invalidation) • TP1: 88,940 • TP2: 90,127 (BSL) • TP3: 91,370 (H4/H1 FVG) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Clean SSL sweep into H4 OB • Price respecting OTE (0.618–0.786) in discount • H4/H1 FVG overhead as upside magnet • BSL resting above recent highs ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary This is a discount buy and premium sell environment. Long from OTE makes sense for a liquidity run, but expect reactions at BSL/FVG. Acceptance above 91.3k needed for continuation; otherwise, watch for rejection and rotation back down. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment With USD Unemployment Claims coming up, this data can act as a short-term catalyst. If the release prints above the forecast (224k), it would weaken USD and support the bullish setup. If it comes in below expectations, upside momentum may be limited—trade with tight risk management and secure profits on lower targets. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Long
by TFlab
ETH: Short Setup Below 3,175 – Premium Zone Reaction📝 Description ETH on H1 just pushed into a HTF premium zone after a clean buy-side sweep. Structure still looks corrective, not impulsive. Price is reacting around H4 OTE (0.618–0.786) with clear signs of slowdown near HTF supply. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish below 3,175 Short Setup (Preferred): • Entry (Sell): 3,050 • Stop Loss: Above 3,080 • TP1: 3,010 • TP2: 2,980 • TP3: 2,950 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Clean BSL sweep into premium • Price reacting inside H4 OTE (0.618–0.786) • H1 FVG overhead acting as resistance • No valid CHOCH + BOS to confirm bullish continuation • RSI elevated → distribution vibes, not expansion • Downside H4 FVG remains unfilled ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary This looks like a textbook liquidity grab into premium. As long as ETH stays below 3.15k, odds favor a bearish rotation back into discount and lower liquidity pools. Shorts from premium > chasing longs here. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Rising US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions increase headline risk and support a risk-off bias. With markets sensitive to energy and sanctions news, probabilities currently favor further downside over sustained upside, especially near HTF supply. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
Ep. 4 - BTC Prediction By Channels, Secret Fib & Unique Gann FanBitcoin Price Prediction Using Channels, Fibonacci & Gann Fan | Signal & Structure Episode 4 In this concise yet powerful episode, we combine three advanced technical analysis tools to identify high-probability support zones for Bitcoin's current correction. This multi-confluence approach demonstrates how stacked logarithmic channels, Fibonacci retracements, and Gann fans work together to pinpoint critical price levels. Techniques Demonstrated: 1. Channel Validation Theory - Proves that any trend line can become a valid channel - Shows how to convert the COVID crash to bear market bottom trendline into a working channel - Demonstrates perfect alignment with historical tops 2. Stacked Channel Refinement - Creates a smaller channel where the top touches the midline of the larger channel - This subdivides the original channel into quarters - Provides additional confluence levels for support/resistance 3. Fibonacci Retracement Application - Maps the key retracement levels from recent bottom to top - Focuses on the "Golden Pocket" (0.618-0.786) - Identifies 0.702 as the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level 4. Gann Fan on Logarithmic Scale (Unique Technique) - Anchors 45-degree angle from the peak - Aligns Gann Fan 1x1 line with the 45-degree angle - Uses Gann lines to track momentum decay: - 1/8 → 1/4 → 1/3 (bearish progression) - 1/1 as recovery signal - 8/1 as ultimate resistance breakout Key Confluence Zone Identified: The analysis reveals a critical support box between: - 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci levels - Validated by 1/3 Gann Fan line - Supported by stacked channel structure This triple confluence creates a high-probability reversal zone where multiple technical factors align. Trading Insights: Current Market Position: - Price following bearish momentum path along Gann lines - Moving from 1/8 toward 1/3 line - Range-bound action expected until 1/1 line reclaimed Recovery Signals to Watch: - Breaking above 1/1 Gann line (45-degree angle) = trend recovery - Ultimate bullish confirmation: Breaking 8/1 line - Support zone provides optimal risk/reward entry area Technical Setup: - Timeframe: Weekly chart - Scale: Logarithmic (essential for both channels and Gann) - Tools: TradingView's Fib Retracement, Gann Fan, Parallel Channel This episode demonstrates how combining multiple technical tools on logarithmic scale can identify precise support/resistance zones. The convergence of three independent methods at the same price area significantly increases the probability of a meaningful reaction. The unique application of Gann Fan on log scale, aligned with the 45-degree angle, provides a momentum roadmap that most traders miss. This technique is particularly powerful for tracking trend strength degradation and identifying potential reversal points. Feel free to teach out for partnership opportunities. I'm open to provide TA and educational services.
by StructureAndSignal
Bearish move coming up for XAUUSD?Daily timeframe: Price is currently trading around 2689, with price action hovering around our HTF OTE zone (2685-2696.4). H4 Timeframe: Price is currently trading within our H4 ascending channel and has met with our H4 SnR zone + at the resistance trend line. I would expect a minor push up before a nice breakout sell soon, this is also supported with DXY’s price actions as I would expect DXY to retrace a little to an area of discount before pushing up higher. Furthermore, fundamental news thus far puts the US Market in a good condition for more growth, and hence, putting technical and fundamental analysis together, I would expect a correction for XAUUSD in the following days/weeks. Stay tuned!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by joashpty
Bearish move coming up for XAUUSD?Daily timeframe: Price is currently trading around 2689, with price action hovering around our HTF OTE zone (2685-2696.4). H4 Timeframe: Price is currently trading within our H4 ascending channel and has met with our H4 SnR zone + at the resistance trend line. I would expect a minor push up before a nice breakout sell soon, this is also supported with DXY’s price actions as I would expect DXY to retrace a little to an area of discount before pushing up higher. Furthermore, fundamental news thus far puts the US Market in a good condition for more growth, and hence, putting technical and fundamental analysis together, I would expect a correction for XAUUSD in the following days/weeks. Stay tuned!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by joashpty
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies. What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows: The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio . The Golden Ratio and Its Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels. How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as: Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks. Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends. Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis. Using Fibonacci in Trading Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low). Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) These levels often act as support or resistance zones. ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept. The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements. Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory. The Golden Pocket The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation. Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools: Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations. Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels. Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels. ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone. Practical Applications Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities. Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points. Conclusion Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks more effectively. Gain deeper insights into market behavior. Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Education
by BigBeluga
25