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BIGGEST BEAR MARKET IN THE HISTORYI think before we see the biggest bear market in the history, we will be seeing another all the time high for BTC around 150k USD.
1. As you can see in our technical analysis, we are seeing BTC is forming a RAISING WEDGE which is a bearish pattern.
2. As you can see in our technical analysis, we are seeing the price is going up but the RSI is going down. It showing weakness for BTC.
3. This is a long term trading not short term. Lets wait for more signals to show for us to support this analysis. This is not FOMO or HYPE or any negative thinking for bitcoin. This is just my analysis.
This analysis might play or not. I'll be going back with this once it will play.
Always trade with your own risk. Lets go!
CA10Y CANADIAN GOVERNMENT 10YEAR BOND YIELD CA10Y stands for the Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield. It represents the yield or return that investors receive when they buy a Canadian government bond with a maturity of 10 years. This yield is a key benchmark interest rate reflecting the cost for the Canadian government to borrow money over a decade.
The 10-year bond yield is closely watched by central banks, including the Bank of Canada, because:
It reflects long-term market expectations for inflation and economic growth.
It serves as a baseline for other interest rates, such as mortgage rates.
Changes in this yield can signal investor confidence or lack thereof in the economy.
Falling yields typically indicate lower confidence and possibly slower growth, prompting central banks towards looser monetary policy.
Rising yields suggest expectations of stronger growth or inflation, potentially leading to tighter policy.
As at close of Friday forex window CA10Y closed at 3.087% ,BOC under the control /head Tiff Macklem will monitor this closely when making rate decisions, as it provides market signals about economic conditions and inflation outlooks.
Canadian Dollar Strength and Influence
The Canadian dollar (CAD) showed moderate weakness recently, CAD strength is closely tied to commodity prices (notably oil) and interest rate expectations. A stronger CAD often indicates market confidence in Canada’s economic outlook.
Impact on Bank of Canada Rate Decisions
The 10-year bond yield behavior gives the Bank of Canada (BOC) critical insight into market expectations of inflation, growth, and the economic outlook. Key impacts include:
Lower 10Y yields indicate market concerns about slower growth or lower inflation, which can pressure the BOC toward easing monetary policy (rate cuts) to support the economy.
Higher 10Y yields signal inflation risks or stronger growth expectations, which may prompt the BOC to maintain or raise rates to keep inflation in check.
Recently, given the decline in bond yields and moderated CAD strength along with economic softening signals, the BOC has been cutting rates, with a series of 25 basis point reductions in 2025. The next expected cut is anticipated in the October 29, 2025 meeting.
Summary
CAD strength: moderate, influenced by commodity prices and rate expectations
BOC rate decisions: driven by bond yield trends indicating inflation and economic growth; recent yield declines favor rate cuts to stimulate the economy
Next policy meeting: October 29, 2025, with an expected rate cut reflecting softness in bond market and economic data
Thus, the 10-year bond yields and CAD movements act as market barometers for the BOC, helping guide its monetary policy decisions to balance growth support and inflation control.
trade direction on structure basis is to go long on CA10Y after break out from the weekly descending trendline and retested.
#bond #CA10Y
AIXBT Approaching Breakout Zone$AIXBT/USDT has fully recovered from the recent crash and is now trading near a key resistance, a level that previously acted as strong support.
If the price manages to close above this zone, it could trigger a massive upside move. Definitely one to keep a close eye on.
DYOR, NFA
XAU/USD Market Structure Reveals Potential Upside Move!🥇 XAU/USD: "Gold Heist Wealth Map" - Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚨
🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OGs! Welcome to the Gold Heist Wealth Map for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — a cheeky, calculated swing/day trade plan to snatch profits from the metals market! 😎 This setup is designed with a thief-style layered entry strategy, bullish vibes, and a pro-level escape plan to dodge the "police barricades" (resistance zones). Let’s dive into this shiny opportunity with a fun yet professional edge! 💰
📈 Trade Setup: The Gold Heist Plan
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)
Outlook: Bullish 📈
Strategy: Thief-Style Layered Limit Orders — multiple buy limit entries to maximize your loot! 🕵️♂️
Entry Levels:
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3850
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3880
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3900
🔔 Buy Limit @ 3930
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief. 😜
Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3800 (the "Thief’s Exit Door"). 🚪
Note: This SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. 💸
Take Profit (TP): Aim for 4100 — a juicy target where a police barricade (strong resistance + overbought zone) might set a trap. Escape with profits before the market cuffs you! 👮♂️
Note: TP is my call, but take your loot when you feel the heat! Your trade, your rules. 😎
🛠️ Strategy Breakdown: Why This Setup?
Thief-Style Layering: Using multiple buy limit orders spreads your entry risk across price levels, letting you sneak into the market like a pro. 🕵️♀️
Bullish Momentum: Gold’s been shining bright with macroeconomic tailwinds (USD weakness, inflation hedges). 📡
Resistance Watch: The 4100 zone is a psychological and technical barricade. Overbought signals + potential traps mean it’s time to cash out smartly. 🏦
Risk Management: The 3800 SL keeps your downside locked, but always tailor it to your account size and risk profile. ⚖️
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to boost your market awareness:
OANDA:XAUUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver often moves in tandem with gold. Watch for similar bullish setups or divergences.
USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD typically fuels gold rallies. Monitor DXY for inverse correlation signals. 📉
OANDA:AUDUSD : Gold prices often align with the Aussie dollar due to Australia’s gold exports. A rising AUD/USD could support our bullish XAU/USD bias. 🇦🇺
Key Correlation Insight: Gold thrives in low-rate environments or when USD weakens. Check economic calendars for Fed rate decisions or inflation data (CPI, PPI) to time your entries. 📅
⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is for fun and educational purposes only! Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely. No financial advice here — just a playful map to navigate the markets! 😄
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Forex #MetalsMarket
POL/USDT — Final Accumulation Before the Breakout?POL/USDT is currently playing with fire inside the key zone 0.195–0.175 (yellow block) — an area that has repeatedly acted as a major demand base since mid-year.
The price structure is forming an ascending base pattern, where each dip creates a higher low — signaling that buyers are quietly building strength beneath the surface.
This zone could be the final accumulation phase before a breakout, or the last trap before a deeper breakdown.
---
Pattern Explanation
Yellow Block (0.195–0.175) → Major demand zone where buyers have consistently defended price.
Ascending Support Line → Indicates a bullish continuation base, suggesting steady buying pressure.
Layered Resistances:
R1: 0.2127
R2: 0.2410
R3: 0.2847
R4: 0.3226
Sideways Range on Support → Market is coiling within a tight range; the longer the base, the stronger the potential breakout.
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Bullish Scenario
Confirmation Signal: A 2D candle close above 0.2127 with strong volume and body expansion.
Strategy:
Aggressive entry: accumulate near the lower zone (0.195–0.180) on rejection wicks.
Conservative entry: wait for breakout confirmation above 0.2127.
Target levels:
→ 0.2410 (minor take-profit)
→ 0.2847 (psychological barrier)
→ 0.3226 (main target zone).
Stop-loss: Below 0.175 for protection.
Bullish Narrative:
If confirmed, this structure transforms into a reversal pattern, potentially leading to a 60%+ upside over the next few weeks.
---
Bearish Scenario
Confirmation Signal: A 2D candle close below 0.175 and breakdown of the ascending trendline.
Strategy:
Breakdown confirms bearish continuation; target 0.125–0.115 as the next major demand zone.
Short entry after a failed retest around 0.175–0.195.
Stop-loss above 0.205.
Bearish Narrative:
Losing this block would invalidate the bullish structure and confirm a continuation of the downtrend.
---
Technical Summary
The chart is in a make-or-break zone:
Hold the base → potential accumulation breakout pattern.
Lose the base → continuation of the bearish leg.
This quiet phase often signals that smart money is positioning ahead of a big move — the breakout direction will determine the next multi-week trend.
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#POL #POLUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportResistance #Accumulation #BreakoutWatch #PriceAction #SwingTrade #CryptoSetup #Trendline #MarketStructure
Positional setup + fundamentals overview for SCIFundamentals
Market cap approx ~ ₹10,200 Cr.
Revenue ~ ₹5,408 Cr and Profit ~ ₹906 Cr.
5-year sales growth modest at ~4.8%.
Return on Equity (ROE) ~ ~10% over recent years.
Contingent liabilities are high (~₹4,300 Cr).
Debt/equity relatively moderate (≈0.33×) per one source.
Valuation: P/E around ~11-14× in some reports.
Key takeaway: SCI has stable business size, moderate returns. But growth is slow and there are risks (high contingent liabilities, moderate ROE). Valuation is reasonable to slightly discounted in some view, but not ultra-cheap given growth constraints.
📈 Technical / Positional Setup
Based on the weekly chart you shared:
Price recently had a strong weekly move upward, clearing what appears to be a breakout above prior resistance (~ ₹240-₹250 zone).
Support zone appears around ~ ₹230-₹240 (previous consolidation and EMA zones).
Next resistance appears near ~ ₹290-₹300 region (based on old highs).
Trend seems to be turning bullish, provided price holds above breakout level and volume supports.
Trade Plan:
Parameter Suggested Level / Zone
Entry On sustained closing above ~ ₹270-₹280 with volume confirmation
Stop-Loss Below ~ ₹230-₹240 (support zone)
Target 1 ~ ₹310-₹330
Target 2 ~ ₹350+ (if momentum strong)
If the price pulls back to the breakout zone (~₹240-₹250) and holds, that could be a safer entry point.
Watch volume: a strong breakout with high volume increases reliability.
Because fundamentals are moderate (growth slow), this is more of a tactical / positional trade rather than a long-term growth play.
AUDCAD 4HR PERSPECTIVE the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate is currently steady at 3.60%. The decision reflects the RBA's cautious approach amid inflation still being slightly above the 2–3% target range, ongoing resilience in the labor market, and uncertainty in global economic conditions
The RBA Governor is Michele Bullock.
AU10Y=4.161%
the Bank of Canada (BOC) policy interest rate is 2.50%. This followed a 25 basis points cut in the September 17, 2025 meeting, part of a series of rate reductions to support a weakening Canadian economy. The BOC's next policy decision is scheduled for October 29
The Governor of the Bank of Canada is Tiff Macklem, who continues to lead the central bank's monetary policy efforts through these adjustments.
This dovish stance reflects the BOC’s focus on economic support amid external pressures like U.S. tariffs and slowing growth.
CA10Y=3.0875
Interest Rate Differential
As of October 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate is approximately 3.60%, while the Bank of Canada (BOC) policy rate is lower at around 2.50% but expected to cut further.
This suggests a positive interest rate differential in favor of Australia, potentially supporting a stronger AUD relative to the CAD.
Higher interest rates in Australia attract yield-seeking capital, increasing demand for AUD versus CAD.
Bond Yield Differential
The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently near 4.161%, compared with about 3.087% for Canadian 10-year bonds.
Higher Australian yields relative to Canadian yields offer additional attraction for investors toward AUD-denominated assets.
This yield gap supports the AUD against the CAD through carry trade and investment inflows.
#AUDCAD
AUDCAD the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate is currently steady at 3.60%. The decision reflects the RBA's cautious approach amid inflation still being slightly above the 2–3% target range, ongoing resilience in the labor market, and uncertainty in global economic conditions
The RBA Governor is Michele Bullock.
AU10Y=4.161%
the Bank of Canada (BOC) policy interest rate is 2.50%. This followed a 25 basis points cut in the September 17, 2025 meeting, part of a series of rate reductions to support a weakening Canadian economy. The BOC's next policy decision is scheduled for October 29
The Governor of the Bank of Canada is Tiff Macklem, who continues to lead the central bank's monetary policy efforts through these adjustments.
This dovish stance reflects the BOC’s focus on economic support amid external pressures like U.S. tariffs and slowing growth.
CA10Y=3.0875
Interest Rate Differential
As of October 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate is approximately 3.60%, while the Bank of Canada (BOC) policy rate is lower at around 2.50% but expected to cut further.
This suggests a positive interest rate differential in favor of Australia, potentially supporting a stronger AUD relative to the CAD.
Higher interest rates in Australia attract yield-seeking capital, increasing demand for AUD versus CAD.
Bond Yield Differential
The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently near 4.161%, compared with about 3.087% for Canadian 10-year bonds.
Higher Australian yields relative to Canadian yields offer additional attraction for investors toward AUD-denominated assets.
This yield gap supports the AUD against the CAD through carry trade and investment inflows.
#AUDCAD
BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway) Breakout Alert: Bullish Setup Ready 🚀 BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway) Breakout Alert: Bullish Setup Ready to Soar! 🚀
Traders, get ready for action! 🔥 The NYSE:BRK.A (Berkshire Hathaway Inc) chart is screaming opportunity on the 1-hour timeframe, with price coiling up against a descending trendline, poised for a powerful breakout. This setup is loaded with potential, and we’re watching closely for the U.S. market to open on Monday to confirm the move! 📈
📊 Setup Highlights:
Timeframe: 1-hour – perfect for catching this breakout wave.
Key Trigger: Price is on the verge of smashing through the descending trendline. A confirmed break signals a green light for a long position!
Risk-Reward: A tight stop loss at just 1.3% below entry keeps risk low, while the setup targets over 6% profit – that’s a juicy 4.6 R:R ratio! 💪
Bonus Pattern: We’re also eyeing an AB=CD harmonic pattern completion, which could amplify this move if it plays out.
Hold tight until Monday’s market open to see if the bulls take charge and validate this setup. Berkshire’s ready to run – don’t miss this potential gem! 🐂
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice – always DYOR and trade smart. Stocks can be volatile, so manage your risk like a pro!
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Ethereum VS. Russell 2000 Russell 2000 index and Ethereum charts follow a strikingly similar pattern.
Both assets peaked in November 2021 and then entered a prolonged correction. Interestingly, both formed major lows around April 2025.
The Russell 2000, just before breaking through the 2021 ATH resistance area, retested the demand zone, just as CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently doing.
This similarity suggests that Ethereum could be poised for a strong breakout, following in the footsteps of the Russell 2000.
History is sometimes more than just a coincidence…
GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point at AOi
Around Psychological Level 2.05000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
MITO Buy/Long Setup (3H)Be sure to manage your risk carefully; this coin is new and has high volatility.
Good cleanups are visible on the chart, and the price is currently moving within a range between the swing highs and swing lows.
If the price reaches the green zone, we can look for buy/long positions. Note that this setup is intended for buy/long positions, not for sell/short trades.
The targets are marked on the chart.
A 3-hour candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD H4: Bullish Order Block (OB) and FVG Analysis for Long ?Key Annotations and Concepts
CRT-H (Current Range Top - High): Key resistance or bullish target around $4,160.
CRT-L (Current Range Top - Low): Key support or bearish target around $4,040.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): The shaded gray area, a price inefficiency that price is often drawn to, currently around the $4,080 to $4,100 range.
CISD (Current Intermediate Swing Down): A local low around $4,060 acting as an intermediate support.
SMT (Smart Money Trap/Toolkit): The swing low that potentially trapped early sellers, leading to the subsequent rally.
OB (Order Block): This is the new key annotation. It points to the last bearish (red) candle before the significant move higher. An Order Block is an area where institutional traders are believed to have placed large orders, and it is a high-probability zone for price to retrace to and find support for a continuation of the trend. This OB is located just above the CISD and within the area that launched the rally.
Curved Arrow: Indicates the anticipated bullish direction towards filling the FVG and potentially targeting the CRT-H. The addition of the OB reinforces the idea that if price retraces further, this is a strong area of support before the anticipated upward move.
S&P 500 (US500) MASSIVE TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN | ULTIMATE Trading 🚀 S&P; 500 (US500) MASSIVE TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN | Oct 27-31, 2025 | ULTIMATE Trading Strategy 📊
Current Price: 6,792.5 | Strategy: Intraday Swing Trading | Timeframes: 5M → 1D Analysis ⏰
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💪 DAILY (1D) ANALYSIS - Swing Trader's Powerhouse Setup
S&P; 500 on the daily timeframe is displaying STRONG BULL STRUCTURE near support zones offering clean entry opportunities this week! 🎯
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⚡ 4-HOUR (4H) SWING TRADE SETUP - PRIMARY ENTRY BLUEPRINT
The 4H timeframe is showing TEXTBOOK BREAKOUT FORMATION! When price closes above 6,840 with volume spike = AGGRESSIVE LONG ENTRY triggered! Ichimoku Cloud on 4H shows bullish cloud color with price above all components = strong continuation bias locked in! 📊
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🎯 1-HOUR (1H) INTRADAY EXECUTION ZONE - Strike Point Identified
Hourly chart displaying PERFECT CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT PATTERN!
BTCUSD 4H Bullish setup BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is holding above the ascending trendline (white) and trading within the mid-range of a multi-band channel, showing early bullish continuation potential.
🟢 Bullish Confluences
Trendline Support: The ascending white trendline acts as dynamic support — price recently bounced cleanly from it, suggesting buyers are defending higher lows.
EMA/Band Crossover: The green EMA ribbon has turned upward and crossed above the brown mid-band zone, showing strengthening momentum.
Higher Low Formation: Recent candles confirm a higher low around $110,400, indicating accumulation before a potential breakout.
Mid-Band Retest Successful: Price is consolidating above the mid Bollinger zone — often a signal that volatility compression could precede an upside expansion.
Momentum Shift: The 4H candle bodies are closing above short-term moving averages, reinforcing short-term bullish control.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (from the recent swing low ≈ $110,400 to swing high ≈ $111,900):
1.272 $113,060 Minor resistance / first take-profit level.
1.618 $113,660 – $114,000 Mid-extension target; aligns with upper channel resistance.
2.0 $115,760 – $116,000 Full bullish extension
BTC: Bulls Quietly Accumulating – Selling Pressure EasingHello everyone, after last week's sharp sell-off, the market is gradually stabilising, and Bitcoin is showing notable signs of recovery. The price is currently holding steady around $110,500 – not yet a breakout signal, but enough to indicate that buyers are still present and capital is cautiously returning.
On the H4 chart, the price structure has shifted into a recovery consolidation phase after forming a temporary bottom near $108,000. This is a crucial support zone—not only because the price has bounced multiple times, but also due to continuous bottom-fishing liquidity, suggesting that despite sellers' efforts to push lower, they have not been able to break through the buyers' defence.
The nearest resistance zone is at $111,800–$112,500, where FVGs overlap with the Ichimoku cloud's edge, making it a significant test for the rally's strength. A breakout above this level would confirm a new uptrend, targeting $114,200–$116,000.
Key observations: The Ichimoku cloud is narrowing, signalling an impending breakout. Additionally, each recent dip has seen strong absorption, a characteristic of smart money accumulation.
Regarding news, the current environment supports a recovery scenario:
Risk-on sentiment is returning, with capital moving out of USD and into risk assets like crypto.
US bond yields are declining, reducing pressure on Bitcoin.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract capital, reinforcing confidence in the long-term trend.
The market is awaiting US economic data (CPI, PCE) – weaker figures could give the Fed more reason to ease, benefiting Bitcoin.
I lean towards the scenario where the price continues to consolidate around $109,500–$111,000 before breaking out to $112,500. Only a significant drop below $108,000 with high volume would reverse the trend. For now, the bulls are back—but they're moving wisely, quietly, and without fanfare.
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader






















