Community ideas
Bullish bounce off?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 48,706.08
1st Support: 48,065.48
1st Resistance: 49,361.57
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
SHLD: The “Defense Tech” ETFSHLD (Global X Defense Tech ETF) is a thematic equity ETF that holds a concentrated basket of “pure-play” companies tied to defense technology—think advanced military systems, mission-critical hardware, aerospace/defense electronics, and the software stack that increasingly defines modern capabilities.
It uses a modified market-cap weighting approach across a global lineup (often described as ~50 constituents), so you’re not buying a broad industrial ETF—you’re making a focused bet on the intersection of national security, emerging tech adoption, and sustained modernization cycles.
The “technical” angle to keep in mind: SHLD’s performance can be highly path-dependent because it concentrates into a single macro driver set—government budgets, geopolitical risk regimes, and technology spending priorities—so you can see sharper factor swings than you’d expect from diversified defense exposure.
If you’re using it tactically, treat it like a high-conviction satellite position: watch concentration/holdings drift, valuation sensitivity in risk-on vs. risk-off tape, and how the ETF behaves around policy headlines and budget milestones.
I am looking for continuation of momentum after several pullbacks to the 10-EMA. Notice the relatively low ATR at 1.8%, which can help reduce volatility.
XAU / USD Daily ChartHello traders. The new daily candle printed / started $28 higher than the previous day's closing candle. Gold is moving up rapidly. I would expect a pullback after some profit taking, but that is just speculation on my part. I'm going to see how the overnight sessions play out, and after checking lower time frames, etc. I will then post another chart. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
NZDJPY dips continue to attract buyers.NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Daily signals are bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 91.75.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 91.85 (stop at 91.35)
Our profit targets will be 93.35 and 93.65
Resistance: 93.27 / 94.03 / 94.50
Support: 92.06 / 91.41 / 91.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GOLD + BTC Analysis Market DUMP!GOLD + BTC HAS BEN DUMPING!! What is going on in the market right now?
In my previous video I mentioned my downside targets and it seems likely these will be fulfilled shortly. I will be looking for positions, so make sure you stay posted and watch this video for more insight!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk — you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.
Czas na BLACKBERRY - 50% potential profit - 5.40 $Based on the current chart structure, the stock appears to be forming a base after a prolonged downtrend, with price stabilizing around the $3.60–$3.70 support zone. This area has acted as a historically significant demand level, where selling pressure is starting to weaken.
Price action shows compression near the lows, which often precedes a volatility expansion. The moving averages are flattening, suggesting that bearish momentum is losing strength, while downside follow-through remains limited. This behavior typically indicates accumulation rather than distribution.
A successful hold above the current support, followed by a reclaim of the $4.20–$4.40 zone, could act as a trigger for momentum buyers. From a technical perspective, this opens the door for a mean reversion move toward the prior resistance region near $5.40, which also aligns with a previous supply zone and represents roughly a 45–50% upside from current levels.
If market sentiment improves or a modest catalyst appears, the stock could move quickly toward the $5.00–$5.40 range in the near term, especially given the relatively light resistance between current price and that level.
Potential TP: 5.40 USD
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. All trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EURGBP bearish trend continuation below 0.8720 resistanceThe EURGBP pair is currently trading with a bearish bias. Recent price action shows a further pullback and the loss of support within the uptrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8720, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8720 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8636, followed by 0.8600 and 0.8550 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8720 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8745, then 0.8780.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8720. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD bullish breakout supported at 1.3656The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3656 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3656 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3900 – initial resistance
1.3950 – psychological and structural level
1.4050 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3656 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3590 – minor support
1.3540 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 1.3656. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish drop off?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 153.59
1st Support: 152.15
1st Resistance: 154.77
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Is Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Broken? The other side of the rhythmLately, one question keeps circulating across crypto Twitter, YouTube, and TradingView comments:
"Is Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle still valid — or has it been broken by institutional adoption?*"
Most discussions focus on tops:
* Halvings in 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024
* Historical all-time highs typically forming **one year after each halving**
* Which naturally leads to expectations, excitement, and disappointment around peaks
But very few people look at the "other side of the cycle". Looking at the cycle from the bottom up.
On this chart, the light purple horizontal level s mark the years when Bitcoin printed a lower low compared to the previous year: 2014 - 2018 - 2022 and potentially… 2026?
I saw it like a clean "4-year rhythm" — not of tops, but of " structural resets ".
Bitcoin has dropped below the previous year’s low before. It has done so multiple times.
But historically, those moments did not lead to a downward spiral.
They marked: compression, exhaustion and the rebuilding of a new base. In other words: "a rhythm, not a collapse."
---
Tops get the attention. Bases carry the structure.
If the classic halving cycle is still valid:
* Halving: 2024
* Peak year: 2025
* Correction / reset phase: 2026
* Next halving: 2028
* Next peak (statistically): 2029
That doesn’t mean anything must happen . It simply means the "math of the rhythm hasn’t been disproven yet".
And yes — a lot can change before then: technology, regulation, macro conditions, even the relevance of crypto itself.
But if the 4-year cycle is still alive, it’s worth asking: Why do we obsess over peaks
and barely study the years where Bitcoin rebuilds its foundation?
---
So, is the 4-year cycle broken? Maybe. Or maybe we’re just standing inside one of its quieter, less glamorous phases.
Either way, there are about 11 months left before the market gives us a clearer answer.
Until then — watching the rhythm might be more useful than predicting the destination.
Intel - Starting 2026 with a +50% rally!💰Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) just remains completely bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past three weeks, Intel has been rallying an incredible +50%. Following this very bullish momentum, there is a high chance of new all time highs soon. Just give Intel some time and don't get caught up in all of this short term volatility.
📝Levels to watch:
$70
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
4H XAUUSDShort-term analysis (30 minutes):
We benefited from an excellent buy trade.
After the news, gold dropped by around $600.
The current analysis is based on the 4-hour timeframe.
We expect to see a rebound in gold from the golden zone.
Our latest resistance:
If it is broken with a full 4-hour candle close, we could move toward the targets 6090 – 6330.
Caution is required when selling for now — the trend remains bullish
01/27/2026 MSTR/MSTU LongHello traders,
I’m neutral on Bitcoin for now, but I’m bullish on MSTR/MSTU. The hammer candle on the 4-hour timeframe suggests upside potential from here. After consolidating within a tight range for several days, MSTR appears ready for a breakout. My conservative Take Profit (TP) is the R1 trendline, though we may see further extension depending on Bitcoin’s performance. Stop Loss (SL) is set just below the previous wick.
Conservative TP : $180-$183
SL : $155
May the trend be with you.
GL all!
AP
$META TO THE MOON!!! This is a weekly of NASDAQ:META , which reported earnings post-session yesterday. To say the market responded favorably is an understatement. Zuck is swinging for the fences with AI, and the capital markets like what he is doing. If most people's jobs eventually get replaced by AI, why not at least invest in the future of this disruptive societal and technological shift? If you can't beat 'em, join 'em!
Check out how price seems to be rotating toward buy-side liquidity (upwards) in the large channel (dark green horizontal lines) now that it has recently closed above the weekly 50-period EMA (purple line just below price). My theory of price movement is base upon liquidity price can travel to to punish those on the other side of the trade, and there is a LOT of buy side liquidity for price to be attracted to. Check out the large bear bar from the week of October 27, which tested the EMA; price may very well take its liquidity this week!
I anticipate a continuing bullish rotation in the channel, with logical market objectives including $800 (round psychological number), the R1 PP at 810.96, and if it closes strong after testing that, a rotation to the upper bound of the channel close to $900.
I would enter at the market today at open, if you were not already in this name before earnings. Use a size you do not mind losing with!
I would place a stop loss at 598, which is just below the large bull bar from last week. Incidentally, I just noticed that formed a 2 bar bullish engulfing pattern with the smaller bear bar from the week before that...Further confluences include the imminent bullish MACD crossover (highlighted in the bottom pane with a green circle).
Disclaimer: DO NOT TAKE THIS TRADE! DO NOT FOLLOW MY ADVICE!
Best,
MrJosephTrades
Could we see a reversal from here?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support, and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7666
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.7599
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.7792
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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OGDC – BUY SET-UP | H | 28 JAN 2026 | BY THE CHART ALCHEMIST OGDC – BUY SET-UP | H | 28 JAN 2026 | BY THE CHART ALCHEMIST
• Buy: Rs. 330 – 333
Target Prices:
• TP1 → Rs. 337
• TP2 → Rs. 342
• TP3 → Rs. 346
SL (TF closing): Below Rs. 328
📢 Disclaimer: All trade signals are shared for informational purpose.
Do your own research before taking any position – No claim, No blame
USDJPY - "Look for Longs" Positioned At A Powerful IntersectionThe chart shows a bullish continuation setup based on a high-probability "confluence" zone. Here is the short breakdown:
The Setup: Price has retraced to a major intersection where a long-term ascending trendline meets a horizontal support zone (formerly resistance) around the 151.00 - 152.00 level.
The Strategy: Traders are looking for a "bounce" here. The goal is to enter long positions, betting that the historical support will hold and push the price back up toward the recent highs (158.00+).
The Risk: If the price breaks and closes below the blue trendline, the bullish thesis is cancelled, suggesting a deeper trend reversal is underway.
SSGC – Technical View (Daily Timeframe)
SSGC has taken a strong bounce from a multi-time tested ascending channel support, which is a positive technical sign. This level has acted as a strong demand zone in the past, and once again buyers have successfully defended the support.
Today’s volume remained decent, indicating that the move is not just a dead-cat bounce but shows genuine buying interest.
📌 RSI is curling up from the neutral zone (40–45), supporting the possibility of a short-term reversal or pullback move.
Trade Plan:
Buy near CMP
Stop Loss: Channel low at 33
TP1 / Immediate Resistance: 36.5
If the price holds and sustains above 36.5 (with a strong follow-through or daily close), then the next major resistance / target zone lies at:
➡️ TP2: 40+ (BPR / Supply Zone)
Overall, the price structure remains intact within the ascending channel, and as long as 33 holds, the upside continuation / reversal bias remains valid.
⚠️ Keep an eye on overall market conditions and volume follow-through.
Strict stop-loss discipline is advised.






















