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BTC/GOLD " OVERSOLD " MATH DOESN'T CARE ABOUT YOUR FEELINGS. 📐 You are looking at the BTC/GOLD ratio on the Weekly timeframe. The Data Point: RSI is at 21. This is a statistical anomaly. It is the most "Oversold" reading in the history of this pair. The Structure: We are re-testing the 2017 Top (15-16) as support. Translation: Gold is exhausted. Bitcoin is coiled. The elastic band is about to snap. While you debate "Intrinsic Value," the algorithm is buying the floor. ALL TIME LOW > OVERSOLD
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptollica
1
Ethereum (ETH) Bullish Reversal Setup: Breaking the Descending TThis 15-minute chart of ETH/USD on Coinbase highlights a potential trend reversal following a sustained period of bearish price action. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), we can see a clear shift in market structure as the price approaches a critical inflection point. Key Technical Observations: • Trendline Breakout: Price is currently testing a significant descending trendline that has acted as resistance throughout late January. A clean break above this line suggests a shift in momentum. • Market Structure: After a series of BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside, we are looking for a CHoCH (Change of Character) to confirm bullish intent. The chart identifies a "Weak Low" near the $2,624 level, which appears to be holding. • The Trade Setup: A "Re-test" strategy is mapped out with a long position entry near the current consolidation zone. • Target (Take Profit): Aiming for the $2,855 - $2,879 liquidity zone (previous supply). • Stop Loss: Placed just below the recent swing low at approximately $2,617 to manage risk. • Indicators: LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts are being utilized to identify high-probability order blocks and premium/discount zones. Outlook: If Ethereum can flip the current resistance into support, we anticipate a rally toward the $2,800+ levels. However, failure to hold the "Weak Low" could invalidate the setup and lead to further downside discovery.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by marcomr
Huge crash in $SILVER — what’s most likely next?To assess what comes next, it helps to look at analogues. This type of move hasn’t happened often in AMEX:SLV at this scale, but we’ve seen the same dynamic many times in altcoin flushes. The process is familiar: leverage gets wiped out, funding resets, and weak hands are forced out. After that, the market usually shifts into a phase of sideways boredom, followed by a slow grind higher as structure rebuilds. It’s probably the same movie — just a different year. Silver is going back to $100, sooner or later:
TVC:SILVERLong
by Swing_Trader_Saan
USOIL Short-Term OutlookUSOIL is currently trading into a premium resistance zone, reacting below a clearly marked bearish order block. After a strong impulsive rally, price has shifted into a corrective phase, showing hesitation and weaker bullish momentum near highs. This area is significant as it previously caused strong downside displacement. The current push up looks corrective, increasing the probability of a sell-side reaction from the bearish OB. A rejection from this zone may lead to a pullback toward lower liquidity and the marked demand area. Sell Idea: • Sell from bearish OB zone • Invalidation: Clean break and hold above the OB • Downside targets: 64.20 → 63.99 (key buy area) Alternative View: If price breaks and sustains above the bearish OB, expect continuation toward higher highs and shorts should be avoided. Market Note: Volatility remains elevated. Best execution is reaction-based at key levels. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range.
TVC:USOILShort
by HAAADY
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 30, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin has undergone a significant decline during this week's trading session, resulting in the elimination of both the Mean Support levels at 85,300 and 82,000. Current market analysis suggests a continued downward trajectory. Should Bitcoin breach the initial support level of Mean Support at 82.000, the immediate downside target will be our ultimate Outer Coin Dip at 78,500, followed by a subsequent target of the next Outer Coin Dip at 64,000. On the upside, a rebound is anticipated upon reaching the Outer Coin Dip at 78,500. It is important to note that a gradual intermediate gyration may occur between the Mean Support at 82,000 and the Mean Resistance at 86,000 before the continuation of the downward trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
SUIUSDT 2,346% profits potential with 6X leverage —LONG tradeI am doing a repost on SUIUSDT because the market performed a retrace and I want the chart to reflect the now better entry prices. This is one of the strongest projects right now. Potential for growth is awesome. Some pairs show more potential of course but this one is great nonetheless. We are blessed to be here right now. Thanks a lot for your continued support. You know the very famous saying, "buy when the market is red." It is good to buy when the market is red but we have to take into consideration the context of this buying, the broader market. Is the market bullish as a whole? Does the chart in question have bullish potential? SUIUSDT is now moving within the "opportunity buy-zone." This is what I call a really good entry zone or great prices. This is the best ever when it comes to a possible entry for a leveraged trade. Not only the price is right but the timing, timing is truly great. This chart setup has a very strong bullish bias and we expect very strong growth, and fast; within days. Here you have the full trade-numbers: _____ LONG SUIUSDT Leverage: 6X Potential: 2346% Allocation: 5% Entry zone: $1.21 - $1.32 Targets: 1) $1.77 2) $2.05 3) $2.50 4) $2.87 5) $3.24 6) $3.77 7) $4.44 8) $5.55 9) $6.38 Stop: Close weekly below $1.20 _____ I will continue to share more as this type of opportunity doesn't repeat very often. The time is now to take action. If you are reading this now, you have really good timing. You are well aligned. Keep up the good work. I am wishing the best for you. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
GBPNZD | Final Rally 2.46+ Before CollapseGBPNZD | The Final Push Before the Crash 🌋 | Wave (5) Climax in Motion! 🔍 Quick Outlook GBPNZD is unfolding its micro wave (5) of C , the final stretch of the b wave of the Supercycle . Momentum is fading, Smart Money is positioning, and a major reversal is brewing. ⚡ After a minor correction near 2.25 – 2.21, a last push higher is expected toward 2.46 + , aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension and the buy-side liquidity zone . Once liquidity is taken, price may enter a multi-year bearish Wave C , targeting 1.70 – 1.62. 📉 🌊 Wave Theory + Confluence ✅ Wave (5) of C active – terminal phase underway 🎯 1.618 Fib extension ≈ 2.46 🕐 Minor wave (4) correction almost done 💥 Expect liquidity sweep above 2.45 – 2.48 then reversal 💰 Smart Money + Structure 🏦 Institutions accumulating below 2.25 before final markup 🎣 Liquidity inducement above 2.45 = trap zone 🔻 BOS below 2.1580 → bearish confirmation 🧩 Rising-wedge structure shows exhaustion 🔄 Market Cycle Perspective We’re in the Euphoria phase — once wave (5) completes, the Depression phase (Wave C) could unfold toward 1.62 support before a new macro up-cycle begins. Summary "GBPNZD is in its final euphoric rally! One last liquidity grab above 2.45 before the big markdown begins. Watch closely 👀" ⚡ If this breakdown helps your outlook — Boost 👍, Comment 💬 & Follow 🔔 for live GBPNZD updates and multi-wave setups! — Team FIBCOS Trade the liquidity, not the noise." 💡
Long
by fibcos
SILVER - What Happened and Why Did It Dump So HardTLDR; Because it Ran so Hard. In a recent Silver Minds post @mojo42391138 asked "what happened to the circuit breakers?" which got me thinking about whether Silver did indeed have mechanisms to try and halt trading in a similar way to stocks when things started to get out of control. So I went off and asked Dr Google. Below is the result of some searches I did and some of my own thoughts so don't take it as any clever insights on my part. I just thought it was interesting so thought Id share it. Yesterday was indeed a historic bloodbath for the precious metals market with both silver and gold both dumping. While gold fell significantly, silver lived up to its reputation as "gold on steroids" , plummeting roughly up to 30% (depending on the exchange and contract) after hitting record highs near $120 earlier in the week. The answer to my question in terms of why did it dump so hard and what happened to the circuit breaker (if any) was yes it does have them, but they function differently than the ones you see on the New York Stock Exchange. 1. Why it felt like there were no breakers In the stock market (like the S&P 500), a 7% drop of the whole market triggers a mandatory 15-minute "time-out" for the entire market. In the silver market (specifically the COMEX/CME Group), they use Dynamic Circuit Breakers. How these work: Instead of stopping the whole market for a 7% drop, these breakers look at a rolling 60-minute window . If the price moves +/- 10% within that hour, trading pauses for just 2 minutes to allow liquidity to reset. Nothing! (IMO). The Result: Because the pauses are so short, the price can continue to "cascade" downward after each brief restart. Yesterday’s move was driven by a "perfect storm" of the dollar strengthening and massive profit-taking, which often happens too fast for a 2-minute pause to stop the bleeding. 2. Why Commodities are treated differently than Stocks Regulators generally allow commodities to move more freely than stocks for a few reasons: Global Nature: Unlike Apple or Tesla stock, which primarily trades in the US, silver trades 24/7 in London, Shanghai, and New York. If one exchange (like the COMEX) shuts down for an hour, trading just shifts to another global hub, which can lead to "price gaps" and more chaos when the first exchange reopens. Price Discovery: Commodities are used by industrial manufacturers (solar, electronics). These buyers need to know the real price to hedge their costs. Artificially freezing the price can prevent people from actually getting the metal they need. Price Limits vs. Halts: Many commodity exchanges prefer "Price Limits" over halts. For example, some silver contracts have a 10% limit. Once hit, you can still trade, but nobody is allowed to bid lower than that limit for the rest of the day, unless the exchange decides to expand the limits (which they often do during "limit-down" events). 3. What triggered yesterday's "Reality Check"? The collapse wasn't just random; it was a collision of technical and fundamental factors: The "Warsh Effect": News of Kevin Warsh being nominated for Fed Chair signaled a "hawkish" shift (higher interest rates), which is kryptonite for silver. Technical Gravity: Silver had gained over 50% in January alone. It was "overbought" by almost every mathematical standard, making it ripe for a "liquidity flush." So that all makes sense - especially the globally traded silver not being able to be taken offline, but SLV which a heap of us hold is an ETF traded on the exchange, so I also thought it would be interesting to see how the silver ETFs (eg our SLV) handled the drop compared to the physical metal and why they didn't halt or get a time out. Again, it turns out that while both crashed, they did so in different ways and under different rules. Here is how the major silver ETF, SLV, handled the drop compared to the physical market. 1. Did SLV have circuit breakers? Yes, but they are "Stock Market" breakers. Because SLV trades on the NYSE Arca (an equity exchange), it is subject to the standard Limit Up-Limit Down (LULD) rules of the stock market. The Mechanism: If the price of SLV moves 5% or 10% within a 5-minute period, the stock exchange pauses trading for 5 minutes. The Reality: Yesterday, while the physical silver price in London and the COMEX futures were "cascading" with only 2-minute pauses, SLV was hitting these 5-minute equity halts repeatedly. This meant that for several stretches of the morning, you couldn't sell your SLV even as the spot price of silver was continuing to fall. 2. SLV Performance vs. Physical Silver A major issue yesterday was the tracking error. During extreme crashes, ETFs often "disconnect" from the metal they are supposed to represent. While physical spot silver saw a violent intraday drop of 13% to 18%, SLV shareholders faced much steeper reported losses ranging from 28% to 40% driven by a wave of panic-selling and forced liquidations on the NYSE. This discrepancy was exacerbated by liquidity mismatches: while physical silver trades on a global 24/7 basis, SLV was tethered to stock market hours and hit by repeated five-minute LULD (Limit Up-Limit Down) halts that locked investors in while the underlying price continued to crater. Consequently, while physical coins maintained a "safety premium" of 10% or more at dealers, the paper trust plummeted to a significant discount, proving that in a true silver bloodbath, the "paper game" can't always keep pace with the bars in the vault. The "Panic Discount": At the height of the crash, SLV shares were actually selling for less than the value of the silver held in the vault. This happens because "paper" investors (who can sell with a click) panic faster than physical bullion holders. 3. The "Paper Trap" Risk Yesterday also highlighted a growing concern for 2026: Physical Backing. There were reports that the massive volume in SLV was putting pressure on the trust to prove it actually had enough silver in the vaults to cover the new shares. This "counterparty risk" often causes ETFs to drop harder than the metal itself during a crisis. So - that was all a bunch of stuff I personally didn't know before. That whole disconnect between paper silver and physical silver and the difference in how they get halted created a mess :) Trick is whether now that it is at such a deep discount and you can see its back pretty close to that more realistic 20 day support, and that wick didn't get through the 50 day, maybe now is a good time to buy if you FOMO'd before... Who knows, who knows...
TVC:SILVER
by zAngus
BITCOIN Next Wave & The Date analysis Hello everyone Today I'll be sharing some thoughts with you and what I expect the next move to be. After the drop I predicted, the price entered a sideways movement that lasted for two months. You can check the chart below. My prediction for the next move is that we will see a move as outlined in the analysis: more sideways movement followed by a collapse to the 60,000 area. This is not investment advice; please take full responsibility for your buying and selling decisions. Warning: Be careful not to use this idea with leverage, as you could lose all your money Old Idea
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SALAH-LH
2
XRP Dips UNDER $2 - Are we Heading BACK TO $1 ??Have you been watching XRP lately? I was quite surprised that it held above the $2 as long as it did, to be honest. But now, as the entire market dips, XRP drops... and it is notoriously know to dump and lose all bullish season gains. Apart from all the controversy, if and I say IF you managed to held the $1 bag up until now - you would be in profit. Buying over $2 would have been high risk, and now we are likely approaching another few key buy zones, depending on where the price finds a bounce. The questions is.... worth it to accumulate or not? Seeing price action in the 4h under the moving averages is always bearish for the SHORT term, which we do: The massive wick in July 2025 already indicated the beginning of the bear market, and the lower moving averages is likely where we will find major support - 1.40 ish.
Short
by Crypto-Check-
11
XAUUSD Ready for Explosive MoveMarket Structure Overall structure is bullish. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer control. Recent pullback looks corrective, not a trend reversal. Smart Money Perspective Price previously moved impulsively upward → indicates institutional buying. Current zone is a demand / accumulation area where smart money typically re-enters. No strong bearish displacement seen yet → bullish bias remains valid. Key Zone Insight The marked area is a premium demand zone. Price reacted cleanly from this level before, increasing its reliability. Liquidity below has already been partially taken, reducing downside risk. Expectation / Projection After consolidation, price is likely to: Sweep minor liquidity Then continue upward toward the marked targets Upside continuation is favored unless the demand zone is clearly broken. Invalidation A strong candle close below the demand zone would invalidate this setup. Until then, buyers remain in control. 🔥 Trade Bias
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sofia_Summer
2
Bitcoin possible distribution schematic in playAs said in the title, looking for a distribution pattern to play out in Bitcoin. Please keep in mind that this is playing out on a relative lower timeframe. So one might see this as in-between sorcery while HTF trend continues to be up. If it plays out like this, it means BTC will remain in a horizontal consolidation area allowing MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 to continue to perform. Which in turn means we might see more bullish PA on ETH and ALTS over the next 1-2 months. When BTC indeed reaches a UTAD phase, there should follow a market-wide drop for cryptocurrencies. This market-wide drop might be a steep one, dragging alts down -50% or such. But, if the HTF trend continues to be up, this might become a drop that is worth buying and leading towards a blow-off top phase towards 2026?
by Martechnic
3
FOURTH/USDT — Daily Timeframe Analysis$FOURTHUSDT is currently trading around $1.56 on the daily timeframe. Price was previously in a well-defined downtrend, confirmed by a bearish market structure and the Supertrend indicator. On January 26, the asset printed a clear Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling a potential trend reversal. This shift was further validated by the Supertrend flipping bullish. Price has since retraced in a controlled manner within a descending channel, returning to a strong demand zone, which supports a bullish continuation scenario. Important Entry Condition: Wait for at least one bullish (green) daily candle to close from within the demand zone before entering, to confirm buyer participation and reduce false-break risk. Key Levels Demand / Entry Zone: $1.576 – $1.526 Target 1: $1.681 (minor 4H resistance) Target 2: $1.854 Stop Loss: $1.494 As long as the price holds above the demand zone, the bullish structure remains intact. There are currently no major fundamental catalysts or news events that would invalidate this technical setup. The clear invalidation level for this trade is a daily close below $1.494.
Long
by coinpediamarkets
Ripple is under pressure, but not for longGeopolitical Escalation: New conflicts have taken center stage. Markets are reacting nervously to the rhetoric surrounding Greenland and political instability in Iran and Venezuela. Investors are fleeing risk assets for "safe havens" like gold, which has already broken the $4,500 mark. Spot ETF Outflows: A massive exit of institutional capital was recorded in early January. Between January 6 and January 9 alone, net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs totaled approximately $1.38 billion. Trade Wars and Tariffs: Anticipation of the U.S. Supreme Court's decision regarding the legality of tariffs introduced by the Trump administration in 2025 is creating uncertainty for the entire global economy. Liquidity Crisis: Despite the conclusion of the Quantitative Tightening (QT) program in December 2025, capital is in no hurry to return to crypto due to high real yields on government bonds. Chances of the Fed Holding Rates in 2026 Your question about the rate is highly relevant: the Fed is currently in a "hawkish pause." As of January 12, 2026, the rate stands at 3.5–3.75%. Why rates might NOT be lowered (or lowered extremely slowly): Division within the Fed: According to the latest minutes (Dot Plot), there is no unity among committee members. The median forecast suggests only one 0.25% cut for the entirety of 2026. Resilient Economy: The U.S. GDP forecast for 2026 was revised upward to 2.3%. With such growth and low unemployment (around 4.4%), the regulator has little incentive to "rescue" the economy with cheap money. Inflationary Risks: Donald Trump’s tariff policies could trigger a new wave of inflation. If prices begin to rise due to expensive imported goods, the Fed will be forced to keep rates high. Leadership Change: A new Fed Chair is expected to take office in May 2026, adding uncertainty to the long-term strategy. Summary: The chances that there will be no aggressive rate cuts are very high. The market expects a "monetary pause" at least through the first half of 2026.
Long
by Timofei81827DE