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AUDCAD (AC) - Bullish | HTF Premium & Cautionary ObservationHigher Time Frame Bias
AUDCAD remains bullish, printing higher highs and higher lows. Price recently confirmed a high by sweeping internal liquidity, validating the HTF bullish structure.
Observation & Midterm Context
• There are two key zones to note:
1. Thin, small orange zone near the inducement sweep → low probability area, risky to take early positions
2. Large, visible orange order block → high probability zone for bullish continuation if price respects market cycle phases
• Currently, price is dancing in premium territory, increasing the chance of distribution and manipulation
• For a clean bullish confirmation, price would need to sweep buy-side liquidity above the highs and show a structural shift, which has not occurred yet
Execution & Mindset
• Focus only on high probability zones (the large orange OB)
• Sit on hands, track footprints, and speculate quietly until alignment
• Avoid early inducements that flush weak participants or counter-trend traders
Patience & Edge
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Observe structure, market footprints, and HTF behavior before committing — this discipline preserves the subtle 1% edge in rare market conditions.
USOIL Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 63.296.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 61.080 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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231K Jobless Claims, 108K Layoffs… But No Need to Panic Yet! WhySome people are starting to freak out about the latest labor market data 😅 But let’s break it down calmly, no panic needed.
1. **Initial Jobless Claims** came in higher than expected (231K vs forecast ~212K).
I circled January last year and January this year in red — you can see claims were unusually low at the start of 2026 (a real dip), and now it looks like we’re seeing catch-up from that deferred effect.
Plus, brutal weather conditions (snowstorms) at the end of January clearly acted as a drag ❄️. So this isn’t a clean signal of labor market weakness.
2. **JOLTS Job Openings** (second slide) — came in noticeably worse than expected: ~6.54 million vs forecast ~7.2 million.
Yes, this does point to further cooling in labor demand by the end of 2025. The downward trend has been going for years.
But zoom out to pre-pandemic levels — 5–6.5 million openings is a perfectly healthy, normal range. Far from a recessionary signal 🚀.
3. **Challenger Job Cuts** — 108,435 announced in January 2026, the highest January figure since 2009 (+118% YoY and +205% MoM).
Yes, a number >100k looks scary, and some are already yelling “this isn’t just noise, it’s stress!”
Historically, such spikes did tend to appear during recessions… but context matters.
4. **Where are the cuts actually happening?**
Three key industries absorbed almost all of January’s pain:
- Transportation — 31,243 (mostly UPS — 30,000 after ending their Amazon relationship)
- Technology — 22,291 (of which Amazon accounted for 16,000 as part of management-layer restructuring)
- Healthcare — 17,107 (highest for the sector since April 2020; pressure from inflation, high labor costs, and lower Medicaid/Medicare reimbursements)
Bottom line: the bulk of these losses came from literally **two companies** (Amazon + UPS), plus very specific policy pressures in healthcare from Medicare/Medicaid changes.
This does **not** look like a broad, systemic shift or the start of a recession across the entire economy.
Yes, we’ve got some localized pain and elevated noise right now, but this is **still far from a systemic crisis** 😌.
Most likely, February–March data will show a sharp improvement (seasonality + post-weather rebound + one-off big announcements already in the rearview).
Stay calm and keep watching the numbers 📊
Is Oracle (ORCL) still 1k Stock?ORCL – Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Roadmap
Oracle has completed a powerful multi-decade impulsive advance, with price topping near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, marking a likely completion of major Wave (3). The sharp rejection from this level confirms it as a critical long-term resistance zone.
Price action now suggests the market has entered a broader corrective Wave (4) phase. Based on Fibonacci retracement confluence, the primary downside target for this correction lies within the 0.382 – 0.50 retracement zone, which aligns with the highlighted long-term support region between ~80 – 50. This area represents a high-probability demand zone where accumulation and structural stabilization may occur.
As long as price holds above this Wave (4) support region, the larger bullish cycle remains intact. Upon completion of the correction, Oracle is expected to begin a final Wave (5) advance. Long-term Fibonacci extensions project upside targets in the ~900 – 1k range, with extended potential beyond if momentum and macro conditions remain supportive.
Key Levels to Watch:
Major Resistance: 303 – 345
Major Support: 80 – 50
Long-term bias remains bullish above Wave (1) high
This roadmap favors patience through the corrective phase and strategic positioning for the next impulsive expansion rather than chasing price near historical resistance.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
GBP/USD | Going up? (READ THE CAPTION)Last night, GBP Hit the Consequent Encroachment of the FVG, going as low as 1.3509, before making an upwards move now being traded at 1.3575, hitting the Consequent Encroachment of the FVG above. I don't want to see GBPUSD going lower to the Feb 6th NDOG below. Staying in the FVG before going for the FVG High is what I would like to see.
If GBP holds itself, the targets are: 1.3582, 1.3590, 1.3598 and 1.3606.
If it fails: 1.3562, 1.3554, 1.3546 and 1.3540.
Slight Bullish Divergence...?NFLX - Still in a downtrend until its not, but on most TF's were seeing candles made a lower low and the RSI & MACD not following, making a little bullish divergence (yellow dotted lines). Are we finally seeing support respected or another fakeout, time will tell. Already down +50% from recent highs, more than that on ATH's on not real negative news. Im slowly DCA-ing at every key level on red days (not financial advice). Longterm its not going anywhere but up and this is in my longs portfolio. Lots of gap downs to fill on the way up as well.
Not the best photo using my phones Tradingview app for this. Whatre your thoughts?
AUDCHF: Pressure Builds at Key ResistanceAUDCHF: Pressure Builds at Key Resistance
AUDCHF is currently trading near a key technical area where price has previously reacted. The recent move shows slowing momentum, suggesting that the market is deciding between continuation and reversal.
The price is respecting a well-defined structure, with high resistance.
If AUDCHF manages to hold below the resistance area, then it will increase the chances of further declines as shown in the chart.
Given that the bullish momentum seems to have exhausted, AUDCHF could fall for correction to 0.5395. A break below this area could push it lower to the next major structure area at 0.5350.
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
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2026 $ONDS 45% to +1,066% Playbook Update 2.0 2026 Scenarios & Probabilities
! If the fundamentals keep strengthening !
TON of money to be made at this levels
honestly dreamy levels
Buying here is like buying the bottom of the bottom of the bottom
ONDS still going for 20$ at minimum
BUY don't freak out
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,924.40
Target Level: 4,811.58
Stop Loss: 4,998.92
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NVIDIA (NVDA) Identifying a Potential HnSThe daily chart for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) exhibits a classic technical structure known as the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. This formation is traditionally interpreted in technical analysis as a bearish reversal signal, indicating that the prevailing uptrend may be losing momentum and could transition into a downtrend.
Structural Components of the Pattern
Left Shoulder: The initial peak followed by a temporary decline, establishing the first point of resistance.
Head: A subsequent rally that surpasses the height of the left shoulder, representing the peak of the bullish trend.
Right Shoulder: A final rally that fails to reach the height of the head, signaling a significant exhaustion of buying pressure.
Neckline: The support line connecting the troughs between the shoulders and the head. In this chart, the neckline is an ascending trendline currently being tested by the price action.
Fibonacci Retracement and Support Zones
The chart integrates Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential areas of price interest. These levels are derived from the prior major swing low to the peak of the "Head."
Immediate Support: The price is currently interacting with the upper Fibonacci retracement levels. A sustained move below these levels often increases the probability of the H&S pattern's completion.
Volume Profile (VPVR): The horizontal bars on the left indicate high-volume nodes. These areas represent price levels where significant trading activity occurred in the past, often acting as "magnets" or strong support/resistance zones during a trend reversal.
Momentum and Trend Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending downward, reflecting a loss in bullish momentum. Technical analysts monitor whether the RSI enters oversold territory or shows bullish divergence at the neckline to gauge the strength of a potential breakdown.
Moving Averages: The interaction between the price and the various Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) provides further context on the trend's health. A crossover or a price close below long-term EMAs would provide additional confirmation of a structural shift.
Conclusion
The formation of the Right Shoulder and the subsequent approach to the Neckline suggest a critical juncture for the asset's price structure. From a technical standpoint, a decisive close below the neckline, accompanied by an increase in selling volume, would complete the pattern. Conversely, a strong bounce from this support zone would invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a period of consolidation.
Disclaimer: This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Technical analysis is based on historical price action and does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
$SOLUSDT Weekly Chart Analysis Solana ( BINANCE:SOLUSDT ) is currently trading at a critical weekly demand zone between $91.41 and $78.54, a region that has historically acted as a major accumulation and reversal area. Price has dropped aggressively into this zone after a prolonged downtrend, suggesting sell-side exhaustion and increasing probability of a high-timeframe bullish reaction.
The chart clearly highlights an entry region around $92.46, aligned with prior structural support and strong horizontal demand. As long as SOL holds above this weekly support band, the broader bullish market structure remains valid. A sustained bounce from this zone could trigger a mean reversion rally toward the first upside resistance at $149.25 (Target 1), followed by a higher expansion move toward $242.46 (Target 2), which aligns with previous distribution levels.
Risk is well-defined with a hard invalidation below $62.46, where a clean break would negate the demand-zone thesis and confirm deeper bearish continuation. Volume compression near support further strengthens the case for an upcoming volatility expansion, favoring the upside if buyers step in.
Summary:
Trend Context: HTF pullback into major weekly support
Bias: Bullish reversal from demand
Entry Zone: ~$92
Targets: $149 → $242
Invalidation: Below $62
This setup presents a high-risk, reward long opportunity for swing and position traders watching weekly structure and demand-based reversals.
COIN [Coinbase] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS DAILY TFCOIN – Daily Structure Overview
After five swings up, completing a motive wave, price formed a double top near 430 and has since entered a corrective phase. The market is now retracing the entire bullish leg from the 2022 low, with downside targeting the golden zone around the 85 area. This region represents a major confluence support and potential termination zone for the correction. As long as price holds above the golden zone, the higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact. Upon completion of the correction, the next impulsive advance may resume, with the primary bullish target remaining at 795. A sustained break below the 85 zone would invalidate this scenario and suggest a deeper corrective structure.
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XRP/USDT | Where to next? (READ THE CAPTION)After hitting a new ATH mid-2025 at 3.66, Ripple has been just dropping in price since then. It hit the Bullish breaker once on October 10th 2025, and has hit it again, but this time it didn't go back to 2.52. It hit the Bullish Breaker and went as low as 1.117 before going back up and now being traded at 1.374, above the Bullish Breaker zone. If XRP manages to stay above the 1.336 zone, it can go higher a little bit.
If it manages stay above that level, the targets are: 1.3785, 1.3800, 1.3815 and 1.3830.
If it fails: 1.3700, 1.3690 and 1.3680.
Long Signal: XAU/USD (Gold Spot)Entry: Buy now / around current levels ~4,820–4,825 (on confirmation of breakout hold above recent resistance ~4,859 BOS flip zone, or on minor pullback to 4,800–4,810 area for better R:R).Rationale: Bullish CHOCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at lows (~4,681–4,790), followed by strong reversal candles and clean break above previous bearish order block/resistance cluster (gray/red zones ~4,902–4,957 cleared). Momentum shifting higher with BOS to bullish structure on 15m. Gold holding strong in volatile macro environment. Targets: TP1: 4,941–4,957 (next resistance cluster)
TP2: 4,975–5,000+ (prior highs / psychological)
Extended: 5,025–5,050 if continuation strong
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low / invalidation ~4,790–4,781 (tight below BOS line for protection).Risk Management: Use 0.5–1% account risk per trade. Trail stops on partial profits.
#Gold #XAUUSD #BullishBreakout #CHOCH #SMC #TradingSignal #ForexNot financial advice — This is for educational/entertainment purposes only. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Always do your own analysis, manage risk properly, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Markets can reverse quickly. DYOR!
DeGRAM | EURUSD sideways movement📊 Technical Analysis
● $EUR/USD is currently testing support around 1.1780 after forming a series of lower highs.
● A triangle formation suggests a potential breakout, with the resistance area at 1.1810.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent weaker-than-expected US data has fueled speculation about a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, strengthening the Euro.
✨ Summary
● Expect a breakout above 1.1795 with targets at 1.1809 and 1.1815.
● Key support at 1.1775, critical for sustaining the bullish momentum.
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ETH Weekly Analysis: Is the Bottom In? Spot Buy Setup Welcome to another Mubite market update. Today we are analyzing Ethereum (ETH) on the Weekly (1W) timeframe.
While the market sentiment is currently fearful, smart money looks for value. We are approaching a major "Discount" zone that offers a high-probability setup for spot buyers.
Here is the technical breakdown of the weekly chart.
1. The Bearish Shift (Context) The market structure recently shifted bearish, confirmed by the CHOCH (Change of Character) marked on the chart.
Weak High: The recent peak failed to sustain momentum, leaving behind a "Weak High."
The Drop: Since then, ETH has been in a corrective phase, shedding value to seek liquidity lower.
2. The Opportunity: The Golden Buy Zone Price is rapidly approaching a massive Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone (Yellow Box).
The Level: This zone sits roughly between $1,500 - $1,800.
Why Buy Here? This is the origin of the previous major rally. In Smart Money Concepts (SMC), returning to this unmitigated order block is a classic "Reload" opportunity for long-term holders.
3. The Target: The FVG Magnet If the Yellow Zone holds, we expect a relief rally to target the imbalance above.
Bearish FVG (Red Box): There is a large Fair Value Gap around $2,400 - $2,700.
The Trade: We are looking to buy the dip in the Yellow Zone and ride the bounce up to fill this Red FVG. This acts as a magnet for price.
Summary
Trend: Weekly Bearish (Short Term).
Buy Zone: $1,500 - $1,800 (Yellow Order Block).
Target: $2,400+ (Red FVG).
Mubite Strategy: For Spot buyers, this Yellow Zone is an ideal area to Dollar Cost Average (DCA). Wait for the weekly candle to tap this level and show signs of support before going heavy.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Are you catching the knife at $1,600 or waiting for lower? Let us know in the comments!
GOLD | Fed Caution and Strong Dollar Pressure PricesGOLD | Dollar Strength and Fed Caution Weigh on Prices
Gold fell toward $4,800 per ounce, ending a short recovery as the U.S. dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve signaled caution on rate cuts. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized persistent inflation risks, while the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair reinforced expectations of a slower easing cycle.
Mixed U.S. data added to volatility, with weak ADP employment but a stronger ISM services PMI, while U.S.–Iran tensions continue to provide an underlying risk backdrop.
Technical Outlook
Gold maintains a bearish structure while trading below the 4853–4891 zone.
As long as price remains below this zone, downside pressure is expected toward 4762, followed by 4674 and 4610.
A 1H candle close above 4891 would invalidate the bearish bias and support a recovery toward 4974 and 5098.
⚠️ Expect high volatility in both directions.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 4853
• Support: 4763 – 4675 – 4610
• Resistance: 4891 – 4975 – 5020






















