Will Coinbase Earnings Renew Bitcoin Confidence? Bitcoin's weekly chart is flashing classic oversold conditions as the leading cryptocurrency hovers around the critical $65,000โ$66,000 support zone โ a level that has acted as a battleground in prior corrections. After a prolonged downtrend from 2025 highs, price has carved out a potential base within the highlighted red consolidation band ($60Kโ$70K), with the latest weekly candle testing the lower edge near $65,364.
The standout feature here is the **weekly RSI diving into deeply oversold territory** at ~26.8 (well below the traditional 30 threshold), accompanied by bearish divergence exhaustion. This is one of the most extreme readings seen in recent cycles, often marking capitulation points where selling pressure fades and buyers step in aggressively.
With **Coinbase (COIN) set to report Q4 2025 earnings after market close today** โ amid expectations of softer trading volumes but potential resilience in subscription/services revenue โ a solid beat or constructive guidance could serve as the spark to reignite market confidence. If BTC holds this support and RSI begins to curl higher, we could see a meaningful rebound toward $70K+ resistance in the near term, potentially renewing upside momentum across the broader crypto space.
Risk remains if support breaks decisively (targeting lower toward $50Kโ$60K as some analysts warn), but the current oversold setup + major catalyst event tilts the odds toward at least a short-term bounce. Watch after-hours reaction closely โ this could be the pivot we've been waiting for.
Community ideas
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3714
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3592
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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XAUUSD Rejects Supply Zone, Bearish Pullback Toward 4880
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe shows a strong bullish recovery from the Feb 6 low, respecting an ascending trendline. Price rallied into a marked supply/resistance zone near the 5080โ5100 area, where buying momentum weakened and rejection formed. After failing to sustain above this zone, price has started to roll over, suggesting a corrective move. The marked downside target sits around the 4,880 support area, aligning with prior structure and a likely demand zone. Overall bias turns short-term bearish while below the supply zone, with the uptrend vulnerable to a deeper pullback.
GBPCAD oversold support retest at 1.8520The GBPCAD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.8520 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.8520 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.8670 โ initial resistance
1.8713 โ psychological and structural level
1.8745 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.8520 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.8465 โ minor support
1.8400 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPCAD holds above 1.8520. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC : (Reversal 67K After Lows) Btcusd Buy @ 67323.41
TP1 : 67532.01
TP2 : 67729.05
TP3 : 67924.17
TP4 : 68238.67
SL : 66120.03
It maybe look like a permanent drop however we shall revisit the (67K) region due to the price and when we return we shall (break across 67K) as we are only clearing the lows the return stronger with the bulls and their momentum
DAX40 NEWYORK CHART 100% CORRECT SELL ZONE The DAX 40 is Germany's primary stock market index. It tracks the performance of the 40 largest and most liquid blue-chip companies listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Formerly the DAX 30, it expanded to 40 constituents in September 2021 to better represent the German economy across sectors like industrials, tech, pharma, and finance. The index is a total return benchmark, meaning it includes reinvested dividend. It's managed by Deutsche Bรถrse and reviewed periodically based on market cap, liquidity, and profitability criteria.
Key Constituents
Major companies include Siemens, SAP, Allianz, Deutsche Telekom, Airbus, and Bayer, spanning automotive, insurance, chemicals, and telecom sectors.
dax40 serves as key European market barometer for forex traders .
DAX40 VS ECB rate
ECB interest rate decisions significantly influence the DAX 40 by altering borrowing costs, investor sentiment, and economic growth prospects for its export-heavy companies. Rate cuts typically boost the index, while hikes or pauses can pressure it.
Rate Cuts Boost DAX
Lower ECB rates reduce corporate borrowing costs, enhancing profitability for DAX firms in sectors like industrials, autos, and finance. They make stocks more attractive versus bonds, driving inflows and often pushing the index to recordsโas seen after 2025's 25 bps cuts to 2.65%. A weaker euro from cuts also aids exporters like Siemens and Volkswagen.
Rate Hikes or Pauses Pressure DAX
Higher rates raise financing expenses, slowing investment and curbing growth-sensitive stocks in the index. Prolonged hawkish policy fuels recession fears, leading to sell-offs in cyclicals; for example, ECB pauses in 2025 amid 2.1% inflation kept volatility high despite stimulus. Export competitiveness suffers if the euro strengthens.
The DAX 40 and EU10Y
The EU10Y (Eurozone 10-year government bond yield, often proxied by German Bunds) share an inverse relationship driven by investor risk appetite, discount rates, and monetary policy signals.
Inverse Correlation
Rising EU10Y yields typically pressure the DAX 40 downward, as higher yields signal tighter policy or inflation fears, making bonds more competitive with stocks and increasing corporate discount rates. Historical data shows a modest negative correlation: around -0.25 monthly and -0.30 weekly between DAX prices and German 10Y yields, reflecting competition for capital. On February 10, 2026, EU10Y eased to 2.83%, supporting DAX stability amid ECB holds.
Key Drivers
Yield spikes hurt growth stocks (e.g., SAP, Siemens) by raising borrowing costs and valuation multiples.
Falling yields boost equities, as seen in ECB cut cycles, by favoring risk assets and weakening the euro for exporters.
Volatility rises during ECB events, with Bond yields as a real-time policy gauge influencing DAX flows.
#DAX40 #GER40
Bitcoin: 4H Corrective Recovery Within a Broader DeclineBitcoin remains in a broader short-term downtrend following the completion of a five-wave decline into the recent low near 60K. The sharp selloff established a clear impulsive structure, suggesting the dominant pressure has been to the downside.
Since printing that low, price has entered a recovery phase. However, the rebound is developing beneath a descending trendline and remains contained within prior breakdown structure, indicating the move is corrective rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
Current Structure
The advance from the low appears to be forming an AโB sequence, with price currently pressing into the 0.382 retracement area in confluence with the -0.618 target for the wave C. This region acts as first meaningful resistance within a corrective rebound.
If momentum continues higher and price clears this zone decisively, the next area of interest sits between 85Kโ88K, aligning with the 1.618 projection and prior structural supply.
Risk Levels
The recent low near 60K remains the key invalidation level for the current recovery scenario. A break below that level would suggest continuation of the broader bearish sequence and invalidate the corrective rebound thesis.
Summary
Short-term trend: Still recovering, but under structural pressure
Resistance: 0.382 retracement and descending trendline
Upside extension: 85Kโ88K if resistance gives way
Invalidation: Sustained break below 60K
At this stage, the move higher should be viewed as a recovery attempt within a larger corrective environment unless price reclaims higher structural territory.
EURGBP testing pivotal breakout zone at 0.8670The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8670 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8670 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8745 โ initial resistance
0.8760 โ psychological and structural level
0.8780 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8670 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8650 โ minor support
0.8620 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8670 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRB Ready to Explode... or Crash?Yello Paradisers, are you watching whatโs unfolding on TRB/USDT right now? After weeks of steady bleeding, the price has finally arrived at a critical decision point. This isnโt just another dip; this is a major support test, and what happens next could shape the next big move.
๐#TRBUSDT has been trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with the price respecting both resistance and support trendlines in a clean, controlled structure. At the time of writing, #TRB is sitting precisely on the lower boundary of that formation, rebounding off the $12.70 zone, a level we've had marked as key support.
๐What makes this moment even more interesting is the presence of bullish divergence on the MACD indicator. This is often a strong early signal that downside momentum is fading, and that a reversal could be in play if bulls respond with strength.
๐However, this setup only becomes valid with a confirmed breakout above the descending channel, followed by a successful retest of the broken resistance. Without that retest holding with momentum, any breakout would likely be a trap. If the structure holds, the first major resistance comes in at $16.76. If momentum carries further, the next logical targets are the $23.60 to $24.48 zone, where profit-taking pressure could start to build.
๐On the flip side, all bullish expectations are invalidated if #TRB breaks below $9.91. A breakdown beneath this level would mark a failure of the current structure and likely trigger deeper downside movement. Until that happens, this remains a high-probability setup that deserves full attention.
๐Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success๐ด
ETHUSD: breakout above 2,200๐ Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, ETHUSD remains in a broader bearish trend after the sharp decline from the upper resistance zones around 2,900 and 3,300. Price has now transitioned into a base-building phase, forming an accumulation range after the selloff. The key technical trigger is the upper boundary of this accumulation near the 2,140โ2,200 resistance area. A confirmed breakout and hold above this zone would signal a recovery leg toward the next supply at 2,430, with a wider objective into the 2,400โ2,500 area. Note that the moving averages (SMA 50/100/200) are still overhead, so this move is treated as corrective until ETH reclaims higher resistance. If buyers fail to break above the range and price slips back below the base, the downside risk returns with a possible retest of the lower support band.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ Trade Parameters (BUY)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก๏ธ Entry Point: 2,142.28 (buy on confirmed breakout above the 2,140โ2,200 resistance)
๐ฏ Take Profit: 2,431.75
๐ด Stop Loss: 1,950.94
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Gold will rise in a volatile market!GOLD.. market just holds his current supporting area that was around 5051-52
and that will be our breakout area for downside as well.
so keep close and until market holds 5051-52 don't short with upside mentioned targets.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 5051-52 on confirmation.
USDJPY: Bullish Push to 157.55?FX:USDJPY is eyeing a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from support after forming lower highs in a downward trendline, converging with a potential entry zone that could ignite upside momentum if buyers break resistance amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity post-downtrend, targeting higher levels with approximately 1:5.5 risk-reward .๐ฅ
Entry between 152.25โ152.85 for a long position. Target at 157.55 . Set a stop loss at a close below 152 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:5.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's potential rebound near support.๐
Fundamentally , USDJPY is trading around 152.8 in mid-February 2026, with key events next week potentially driving volatility. For the US Dollar, Monday February 16 at 08:25 AM ET features Fed Bowman Speech , which could strengthen USD if hawkish on rates. Tuesday February 17 at 08:15 AM ET brings ADP Employment Change Weekly, where strong hiring data may bolster USD amid labor resilience. For the Japanese Yen, Monday February 16 at 10:35 PM JST includes the 5-Year JGB Auction, with higher yields potentially weakening JPY if demand softens. Wednesday February 18 at 06:50 AM JST features Trade Balance (Jan), where a widening deficit could pressure JPY further. ๐ก
๐ Trade Setup
๐ฏ Entry (Long):
152.25 โ 152.85
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.)
๐ฏ Target:
โข 157.55
โ Stop Loss:
โข Close below 152.00
โ๏ธ Risk-to-Reward:
โข ~ 1:5.5
๐ก Your view?
Is this the beginning of a broader USDJPY recovery toward 157.55, or will resistance cap the bounce and extend consolidation? ๐
Elise | BTCUSD โ 30M โ Supply Reaction Below External LiquidityBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After sweeping sell-side liquidity near 65K, BTC delivered a sharp impulsive recovery. However, this recovery is approaching a previous distribution zone. Without a strong breakout above 69K, this move appears to be a retracement into supply within a broader bearish framework.
Key Scenarios
โ
Bullish Case ๐ โ Break & hold above 69,000 โ ๐ฏ 70,200 โ ๐ฏ 71,000 external liquidity
โ Bearish Case ๐ โ Rejection from 68,800โ69,000 โ ๐ฏ 66,800 โ ๐ฏ 65,200 demand retest
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance ๐ด: 68,800 โ 69,000
Support ๐ข: 65,200 โ 65,000
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
HKG33 H4 | Falling Towards Key SupportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level of 26,218.97, which is an overlap support.
Our stop loss is set at 25,891.89, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Our take profit is set at 27,011.21, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) โ H4 Formation of Wave 3U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) โ H4 Formation of Wave 3 + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation)
๐ Market Structure (H4)
On the H4 timeframe, USDJPY has formed the technical conditions for the development of Wave 3 to the upside, confirmed by:
โข breakout of the corrective trendline (structure shift)
โข completion of the pullback phase (Wave 2) after the sell-off
โข strong rebound from the local support zone with acceleration
โข first impulsive push that typically appears at the start of Wave 3
The current structure fits a classic Elliott Wave impulse scenario, where Wave 3 begins after Wave 2 completes and price exits the corrective channel.
๐ Elliott Wave Context
โข Wave 1: initial impulsive move down / trend displacement leg
โข Wave 2: corrective retracement into the structure (completed)
โข Wave 3: projected impulsive expansion upward (current scenario)
๐ Key principle:
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the low of Wave 2.
๐ Entry
Entry: 153.795
The entry is positioned:
โข above the broken trendline
โข within the impulse activation zone
โข after the first rebound confirming buyersโ control
๐ฏ Target Levels (Wave 3 Projections)
Targets are projected using impulse expansion zones and key reaction levels:
TP1: 154.949
TP2: 156.493
TP3: 157.647
TP4: 158.724
Each target is a potential reaction zone and a logical level for partial profit-taking during Wave 3 development.
๐ Invalidation / Stop Loss
Stop Loss: 152.279
๐ The stop is placed below the low of Wave 2, which:
โข invalidates the Wave 3 bullish scenario if broken
โข protects against continuation of the bearish leg / deeper correction
โข aligns with Elliott Wave risk logic (Wave 2 low must hold)
๐ง Risk & Trade Management
Trend-following setup
Wave 3 can be fast and volatile once acceleration starts.
Recommended approach:
โข partial profits at TP1 / TP2
โข move stop to breakeven after confirmation (impulsive continuation + holding above breakout zone)
โข avoid increasing risk before a clean Wave 3 structure is visible
โข scaling is preferable only on pullbacks that respect the broken trendline as support
๐ Summary
USDJPY on H4 shows a corrective trendline breakout and signs of Wave 3 activation upward.
The bullish scenario remains valid above 152.279, with upside targets aligned to projected impulse expansion levels.
AUDUSD: 0.7070 reversal setup๐ Technical Analysis: On the H4 timeframe, AUDUSD remains in a broader bullish structure, but the latest impulse has stalled right at the 0.70700 resistance zone. Price briefly pushed higher and then pulled back, suggesting a potential reversal/false breakout scenario from this supply area. The market is now hovering near the key pivot, and a confirmed close back below 0.70700 would signal weakening bullish momentum. The SMA cluster (50/100) is holding underneath price, but the pair is starting to lose extension after an aggressive run-up. If sellers gain control below the resistance, the next downside path opens toward the first demand zone near 0.69000. A deeper correction can follow if 0.69000 breaks, but for now this level remains the primary bearish target on the chart.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ Trade Parameters (SELL)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก๏ธ Entry Point: Sell on a confirmed close below 0.70700
๐ฏ Take Profit: 0.69000 (support)
๐ด Stop Loss: 0.71383
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
USD/CHF Price Outlook โ Trade Setup๐ Technical Structure
OANDA:USDCHF USD/CHF rebounded from the 0.7660โ0.7680 demand zone and is now pushing higher toward the 0.7730โ0.7748 resistance band.
Price has formed a short-term higher-low sequence and is climbing along a rising trendline, indicating strengthening bullish momentum after the prior selloff.
However, the pair remains inside a broader consolidation range, and the overhead resistance area has repeatedly rejected price earlier this week.
As long as price stays above 0.7680, the short-term bias favors further upside attempts.
๐ฏ Trade Setup (Bullish Bias)
Entry Zone: 0.7682 โ 0.7664
Stop Loss: 0.7660
Take Profit 1: 0.7730
Take Profit 2: 0.7748
Extended Target: 0.7775
RiskโReward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.06
๐ Invalidation:
A sustained break below 0.7660 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose 0.7630
support.
๐ Macro Background
USD/CHF is supported after weak Swiss CPI data increased expectations that the SNB may need to ease policy further, pressuring the CHF.
Swiss CPI MoM: โ0.1% (below expectations)
Inflation weakness raises risk of negative rates discussion
Risk-off mood supports USD demand
Traders await US CPI for Fed policy guidance
If US CPI prints strong โ USD likely strengthens further.
If CPI softens โ upside may stall near resistance.
๐ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 0.7730 โ 0.7748
Support Zone: 0.7660 โ 0.7680
Breakdown Level: Below 0.7660
Upside Trigger: Above 0.7748
๐ Trade Summary
USD/CHF is recovering from support with improving momentum.
Preferred strategy: Buy dips above 0.7680 targeting 0.7730โ0.7750 resistance, while remaining cautious ahead of US CPI volatility.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.






















