XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We are at the mid week point in our trading week. We are at the end of the month, gold is on the move up. I have marked my current areas of interest. Lower time frame confirmtaion, as well as other factors, must be met before I take any trade. This is just a general information analysis. We have Fed fund rates today as well as the FOMC statement later today here in the US. Let's see if the pre NY volume that starts at 7:20 am ( est) brings gold down a bit to take out some leveraged long positions, or do we just form more support to keep pushing up??? Patience is key. Shout out to Big G. Be well and trad the trend. I'll post some lower time frame analysis as we get into the trading day. Happy Wednesday.
Community ideas
WEAKNING DOLLER FEUELS GOLD RALLY UPWARDS TO 5370 LEVELGold is currently trading around the 5290 level, with 5252 acting as key support on the downside. The broader structure remains constructive, and if bullish momentum persists, the 5370 level comes into focus as the next upside area.
Fundamentally, a weakening US dollar, continued central bank buying, and ongoing geopolitical tensions are providing support to the ongoing gold rally. Monitoring price behavior around key levels will be essential for confirmation.
TARGET 5370
ENTRY PINT 5290
SL 5250
A CLEAN BREAKOUT BELOW 5250 LEVEL WILL INVALIDATE THIS SET UP,
Coinranger|SOLUSDT. Attempt to reverse to 133🔥News
🔹Fed rates at 22:00 UTC+3, FOMC press conference at 22:30 UTC+3. We can fly on this news.
🔹US earnings season is in full swing.
🔥SOL
🔹Fell down to the lowest level from the last forecast.
1️⃣ Took 127 above – one of the likely upside waves. Next up are 129 and 133. Potential for now.
2️⃣ Below: 125 as the most likely support level for the current uptrend.
I expect a flat between 129 - 125 until the rate issue, and then a possible breakout to 133.
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Share your thoughts in the comments!
#ETH Beware of a Rebound📊#ETH Beware of a Rebound ⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we've been consolidating sideways between 2700 and 3400. Therefore, we're still in a range-bound phase. We need to observe any breakout to determine the trend's continuation.
➡️Currently at the lower edge of the range, we need to be wary of a further rebound. The intermediate resistance level to watch is still the gray S/R around 3050.
➡️The support level we should pay attention to remains around 2800.
Let's see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:ETHUSDT.P
CHYM: short-term upside potential NASDAQ:CHYM shows clean trend linearity and a constructive recent consolidation, with a solid test and recovery from key local support.
As long as price is holding above the 25–23.5 support zone, I am watching for continuation toward the 31–33 resistance area.
Chart:
BankNifty levels - Jan 29, 2026Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
#ZETA/USDT Critical Support#ZETA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.06800. The price has bounced from this level several times and is expected to bounce again.
The RSI is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 0.07141
Target 1: 0.07434
Target 2: 0.07723
Target 3: 0.08061
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#ONE/USDT – The Final Shakeout Before Reversal?#ONE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.00340. The price has bounced from this level several times and is expected to bounce again.
The RSI is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 0.00352
Target 1: 0.00363
Target 2: 0.00374
Target 3: 0.00386
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#LINK/USDT – Triangle Pattern Breakout Loading?#LINK
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 11.75, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected.
The indicator is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 11.95
First Target: 12.10
Second Target: 12.38
Third Target: 12.69
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
It's a time for Richtech Robotics - 40% potential profit - 5 USDThe chart of Richtech Robotics Inc. (RR) shows a consolidation phase following a strong prior downtrend, which in recent sessions has begun to form a potential trend reversal structure. Price has repeatedly defended the $3.40–$3.60 support zone, indicating strong demand and the formation of a local bottom.
The stock is now holding above short-term moving averages, with those averages starting to flatten, a technical condition that often precedes an upside move. In addition, the price action is forming higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining control.
A confirmed break and hold above the $3.60–$3.70 level could act as a trigger for further upside, as there is relatively low supply above this area until the next major resistance around $5.00, which aligns with previous swing highs.
A move toward $5.00 represents roughly 40% upside potential, consistent with the stock’s historical volatility and the measured move projected on the chart. This bullish scenario remains valid as long as price continues to hold above the $3.50–$3.60 support zone.
Potential TP: 5 $
Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading and investing involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Always conduct your own research and make investment decisions based on your individual risk tolerance.
It's a time for GRAB - 35% potential profit - 6.40 $On the daily chart of Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB), the price action suggests conditions favorable for a short-term bullish rebound. Following a sharp decline, the price has reached a strong support zone around 4.60–4.80 USD, an area that previously attracted buying interest multiple times. This zone also aligns with a key long-term moving average, increasing its technical relevance.
Recent candlesticks indicate a slowdown in bearish momentum and early signs of stabilization, which may point to selling pressure exhaustion. The pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, and the broader market structure remains intact. Such behavior often precedes a recovery move toward prior balance areas.
If the current support holds and buying momentum increases, the most likely scenario points to a price move toward the 6.40 USD level. This area represents a significant technical resistance, defined by previous local highs and the projected range of the potential rebound.
TP Potential: 6.40 $
This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Investing in financial markets involves risk, including the potential loss of capital. All investment decisions should be made independently, taking into account your financial situation and risk tolerance.
JP225 Bullish Continuation | Liquidity + Macro Tailwinds📊 JP225 (Japan 225 Index CFD) – Trade Opportunity Guide
Timeframe: Day Trade / Swing Trade
Market: Indices (CFD)
🧠 Market Bias
📈 Bullish Plan Active
The Japan 225 Index continues to benefit from macro support, capital inflows, and currency tailwinds, keeping upside momentum intact.
🎯 Entry Strategy
💡 Flexible Entry Approach
You may enter at any favorable price level based on your execution style.
However, Thief Trader methodology prefers layered limit entries to optimize risk and positioning:
🧱 Limit Entry Zones
53,000
53,300
53,600
53,900
📌 Layering allows participation without emotional chasing and improves average entry price.
🟢 Target Zone
🎯 Primary Target: 55,000
Why this zone matters:
Overbought conditions expected near highs
Strong institutional profit-booking zone
Psychological round-number resistance
Correlation-based exhaustion signals
⚠️ Reminder:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (OG Traders), this target is not a fixed rule.
Secure profits based on your own risk management and market conditions.
🔴 Stop Loss
🛑 Protective Stop: 52,700
⚠️ This is a reference risk level, not a mandatory stop.
Capital protection is your responsibility — manage risk like a professional.
🔗 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Focus)
💱 USD/JPY
Weak JPY = Strong JP225
Yen depreciation boosts Japanese exporters and equity valuations
📈 US30 (Dow Jones Index)
Risk-on sentiment in US equities often fuels upside momentum in JP225
📊 SPX500
Global equity sentiment confirmation
Strong US indices support Asian index continuation
💵 DXY (US Dollar Index)
Rising DXY → pressure on JPY → bullish for Japan 225
🌍 Fundamental & Economic Factors (Trade Drivers)
📌 Key Supporting Factors
Continued loose monetary stance from Bank of Japan
Strong foreign institutional inflows into Japanese equities
Yen weakness enhancing exporter earnings
Stable inflation expectations relative to global peers
📅 Upcoming Factors to Monitor
Bank of Japan policy statements & outlook
Japan CPI & wage growth data
Global risk sentiment from US macro releases
US bond yields impacting JPY direction
💡 As long as JPY remains weak and global risk appetite stays positive, JP225 remains structurally supported.
🌐 THE MACRO DOJO (Fundamental Factors) 🏯
✅ BULLISH WINDS 🍃:
🇯🇵 "Takaichi-nomics": PM Takaichi is full-throttle on weak Yen policy & delaying rate hikes—rocket fuel for export-heavy Nikkei.
🏛️ Corporate Revolution: Tokyo Stock Exchange forcing better shareholder returns (buybacks & dividends)—global money is flowing in.
💰 Valuation Gap: Nikkei still trades at a ~21% DISCOUNT to S&P 500. The re-rating story is intact.
❌ BEARISH THREATS ⚠️:
**💴 **The Yen is the Nemesis****: A sharp, intervention-driven Yen surge can tank the index. Watch USD/JPY like a hawk! 🦅
🌍 Global Risk-Off: If U.S. tech (Nasdaq) sneezes, Nikkei can catch a cold. Monitor NQ100 Futures.
🕶️ Thief Trader Mindset
“Markets don’t reward emotions — they reward patience.”
“Layer smart, risk less, let price come to you.”
“Consistency beats aggression, every single time.”
🔥 Trade calm. Trade clean. Trade like a professional.
Gold Isn’t Weak — It’s Structuring for the Next ExpansionHello traders, Louna here.
Gold started the week around $5,075, up approximately 1.76%. After an aggressive bullish expansion, price has naturally shifted into a slowdown and technical consolidation. This is not weakness — it is healthy trend behavior. Strong trends pause, they don’t collapse.
From a macro standpoint, the backdrop remains supportive. Geopolitical tensions have not eased, and global policy uncertainty continues to favor safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US dollar lacks the momentum required to suppress gold meaningfully. As a result, capital rotation away from gold is limited — institutions still have reasons to stay positioned.
On the technical side, structure remains exceptionally clean. Price is respecting an ascending channel, with each pullback remaining corrective rather than impulsive. The unfilled gap below stands out as a potential liquidity magnet, though no confirmation has appeared yet. This keeps the market in a “wait and react” phase rather than a “predict” phase.
Primary scenario:
If price retraces into the gap while preserving the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the dominant path, with $5,208 aligning as the next expansion target near the upper boundary of the channel.
Invalidation:
Only a decisive close below the rising channel would force a reassessment of the short-term bullish bias.
Until then, the message is simple:
Structure intact. Trend respected. Patience rewarded.
Trade with clarity, not emotion — and let the chart do the talking.
ASTERUSDT: Falling Wedge Signals Potential Trend ReversalASTERUSDT has been trading inside a well-defined falling wedge on the daily timeframe, a structure that often precedes bullish trend reversals.
- Multiple clean touches on both the upper and lower trendlines confirm the validity of the wedge.
- Price is now approaching the wedge resistance, signaling a potential breakout attempt.
- Recent price action shows higher lows near the lower boundary, indicating weakening selling pressure.
- Volume has been contracting inside the wedge, which is typical before a volatility expansion.
- Volume Profile suggests limited resistance above the breakout zone, allowing room for continuation.
Trade Setup:
+ Bullish bias on confirmed daily close above wedge resistance
+ Upside targets toward previous value areas and high-volume nodes
+ Invalidation if price rejects and closes back inside the wedge or below recent support
Patience is key wait for confirmation rather than anticipating the breakout.
Cheers
Hexa
CADJPY – Buy Trade IdeaCADJPY – Buy Trade Idea 📈
I’m looking for a buy on CADJPY as the Canadian dollar stays strong.
Canada is expected to keep interest rates steady, while other major central banks are cutting rates. This makes CAD more attractive and supports buying interest.
Recent Canadian data has also been solid, showing the economy is holding up well. With this backdrop, CADJPY has a good chance to move higher.
Keeping risk tight and letting the trade play out 🛡️📊.
Title: Nifty 50: Long Setup on Support Retest (RR 1:2)Market Context
The Nifty 50 is currently showing a technical shift on the 15-minute timeframe. After breaking above the primary descending trendline, the index is stabilizing. I am looking for a high-probability "buy on dips" entry near the established demand zone.
Technical Setup
Trendline Breakout: Price has successfully cleared the downward resistance line, signaling that the immediate bearish momentum is fading.
Demand Zone (The Cyan Box): Significant buying interest is visible in the 25,000–25,150 range. This zone aligns with psychological support and previous price pivots.
The Plan: I am waiting for a minor pullback to enter at the upper edge of this demand zone to maximize the risk-to-reward potential.
Execution Levels
Entry: 25,147 (Wait for price to dip into the support zone)
Take Profit (Target): 25,603 (Targeting the next major supply area)
Stop Loss: 24,918 (Placed below the recent swing low and the 25k psychological floor)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Conclusion
This trade offers a favorable structure. As long as the 24,918 level holds on a closing basis, the bullish reversal thesis remains intact. Watch for volume confirmation upon re-entering the 25,300 area.
USD/AUD Outlook: RBA Hawkishness Meets Dollar DebasementThe USD/AUD currency pair is undergoing a significant structural repricing. A convergence of persistent Australian inflation and a politically engineered devaluation of the U.S. Dollar has created a powerful bearish trend for the pair (favoring a stronger Australian Dollar).
Macroeconomics: The Inflation Divergence
The primary economic driver is the divergence in monetary policy lifecycles. Australia’s consumer inflation accelerated to 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding the RBA’s 2–3% target. Monthly data for December printed at 3.8%, forcing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to maintain a restrictive "higher for longer" stance.
Conversely, the U.S. macro outlook is dominated by fiscal concerns. With U.S. debt approaching $39 trillion, markets are pricing in a higher risk premium for holding U.S. assets. This fundamental mismatch, an RBA forced to fight sticky inflation versus a U.S. regime tolerating currency weakness, creates a distinct downward pressure on USD/AUD.
Industry Trends: Housing as an Inflation Engine
A sector-specific analysis reveals that housing costs are the engine room of Australian inflation, rising 5.5% in December. This reflects deep supply chain constraints and elevated construction costs.
Unlike transitory price shocks, housing inflation is sticky. It spreads across consumption sectors, including "Recreation and Culture," indicating broad-based demand. This industry trend virtually eliminates the possibility of near-term RBA rate cuts, solidifying the Australian Dollar's yield advantage.
Management and Leadership: Policy Culture Clash
The fluctuation is also a result of conflicting leadership styles.
The RBA (Prudence): Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser and Governor Michele Bullock represent a culture of orthodox central banking. They have explicitly ruled out near-term easing, prioritizing mandate compliance over popular sentiment.
The White House (Disruption): President Trump’s management style involves "verbal intervention." His recent comments that the dollar is "doing great" while it plummeted removed the executive safety net. This signaled to traders that the administration implicitly supports a weaker currency to boost exports.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy: The Debasement Trade
Geostrategically, the U.S. Dollar is facing a crisis of confidence dubbed the "debasement trade." Investors are rotating capital out of the USD and into emerging markets and gold to hedge against fiscal unpredictability.
Trump’s tariff threats and unpredictability have alienated allied capital. The market views this not just as a tactical dip, but as a strategic withdrawal of foreign liquidity from U.S. Treasury markets. This geopolitical friction weakens the USD’s status as the ultimate safe haven, benefiting high-beta currencies like the AUD.
Technology and High-Tech: The Algorithmic Shift
In the domain of financial technology, derivatives markets are flashing warning signals. Data from the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation shows turnover hitting near-record levels.
Algorithmic trading systems are aggressively pricing "risk reversals," with premiums on short-dated options favoring a weaker dollar. This high-tech market sentiment indicates that institutional machines are programmed to sell USD rallies, exacerbating the downward volatility.
Conclusion: A Structural Downtrend
The USD/AUD pair is caught between a rock and a hard place. Australia’s resilient economy (growing at 2.1%) and sticky inflation demand a strong currency to dampen prices. Simultaneously, the U.S. political apparatus is dismantling the "strong dollar" doctrine.
Unless the RBA pivots unexpectedly or the U.S. fiscal outlook stabilizes, the path of least resistance for USD/AUD remains lower.
$CRWV (CoreWeave) – Structured Long SetupCRWV (CoreWeave) – Structured Long Setup | Defined Risk, Asymmetric Upside
Timeframe: Daily
Bias: Bullish continuation / mean-reversion breakout
CoreWeave is presenting a technically clean long setup following a multi-week drawdown and base-building phase. This is not a momentum chase. It is a defined-risk trade built around price structure, reclaimed levels, and improving momentum.
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Technical Context
* Price spent several weeks consolidating after a sharp decline, forming a higher low
* Recent candles show compression followed by expansion, signaling a potential volatility release
* Price is now pressing into a key pivot and resistance zone around 84–88
This area often determines whether a bounce fails or transitions into a sustained trend move. The current setup shows confirmation rather than speculation.
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Key Levels
* Entry Zone: 84–87 on reclaim and hold
* Invalidation (Stop): ~72
Loss of this level breaks the higher-low structure and invalidates the trade
* Primary Target: ~114
Prior resistance and pivot zone
Approximately 30% upside versus ~14% downside, yielding roughly a 2.1R profile
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Indicator Alignment
* Moving Averages:
Price is reclaiming short-term moving averages after extended compression, often preceding trend expansion
* RSI:
RSI is rising from mid-range levels, not overbought, indicating improving momentum with room to run
* Volume:
Volume is steady rather than climactic, suggesting accumulation rather than late-stage participation
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Trade Thesis
This is a structure-based rebound trade.
If price:
* Holds above reclaimed resistance
* Continues to print higher lows
* Remains above ~72
Then probability favors a rotation back toward the 110–115 zone, where supply previously entered the market.
If structure fails, the trade is exited without hesitation.
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Invalidation Criteria
* Daily close below the recent swing low
* Failed reclaim with acceptance back below ~80
* Broad market risk-off acceleration, given CRWV’s beta profile
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Final Take
This setup checks the boxes for a disciplined long:
* Clear entry
* Hard invalidation level
* Asymmetric reward profile
* No prediction required
Price either confirms and expands, or fails and capital is preserved.
Trade the levels. Let price decide.
My AI is giving us the extreme version... 📊 Revised 1–5 Year Price Scenarios for Silver (USD/oz)
Scenario Inflation Assumption 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Official CPI only 2–3 % inflation 115 118 122 126 130
Realistic Inflation 4–7 % annual inflation 120 128 138 148 160
Technological + Scarcity Realization above + metal revaluation
1,000 1,200 1,450 1,700 2,000
Extreme Macro + Scarcity + Global Demand real crisis, debt, currency debasement
3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,500
The AI Bias is very strong with this, it took some hour to go through a lot of information...
Technological + Scarcity Realization means looking into reality instead of assumptions...
Above means, the evaluation of how much silver there really is available today, which took some time, trust me...
Metal revaluation means to check in the Gold/Silver ratio, history, psychology and a lot more.
Especially considering history -> is very relevant, since all data seems to pretend the last 100 years are what matters only. "Financial Glasses"... Looking into the history of humanity changes things, even for AI...
Happy greetings and good luck :)






















