Visa: More Upside PotentialVisa’s blue wave (x) still has significant upside potential before reaching its peak. With price still trading below our resistance level at $375.51, we expect the subsequent wave (y) to take over and guide the stock into our green Long Target Zone between $292.19 and $266.47. Within this range, we anticipate the completion of the larger turquoise wave 4 before any sustainable gains can take hold. Alternatively, it’s possible that the turquoise wave alt.4 has already concluded. In this scenario, the stock would move directly toward the $375.51 resistance—and potentially break through both this level and the $394.49 mark (probability: 33%).
Community ideas
XAUUSD – LANA PREFERS BUYING AFTER THE ABC CORRECTION...XAUUSD – LANA PREFERS BUYING AFTER THE ABC CORRECTION COMPLETES (H1)
1. Fundamental Analysis
While Trump draws attention with his “Gold Card” idea worth up to $1 million, the more meaningful story is the continuous flow of capital into gold as a safe-haven and long-term accumulation asset.
Bank of America believes gold remains in a long-term uptrend and is even “under-owned”, projecting that prices could reach $5,000/oz by 2026 if investment demand increases.
Given this backdrop, Lana maintains her view: current pullbacks on H1 are opportunities to look for trend-following buy setups rather than rushing to sell against the major uptrend.
2. Technical Analysis (H1)
On H1, the ABC corrective structure has completed, and price has bounced precisely from the rising trendline — showing buyers are still defending the trend.
The recent bullish leg is retracing to retest:
Fibonacci 0.382 — aligned with a short-term support area.
Fibonacci 0.236 — closer to the rising trendline, forming a strong confluence zone for buying.
Upper resistance remains around the previous high and the major trendline above, but for now, Lana focuses on waiting for price to pull back into the Fibo + trendline zones before expecting the next bullish wave.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Buy scalping zone (Fibo 0.382 + support): 4205 – 4207
Deeper buy zone (Fibo 0.236 + trendline): 4196 – 4198
Technical SL:
Below 4200 for the upper setup
Below 4190 for the lower setup
4. Trade Scenarios
⭐ Scenario 1 – Buy at Fibo 0.382 + support
Buy: 4205 – 4207
SL: 4200
TP: Depending on preference, target the recent highs around 423x–425x.
⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy at Fibo 0.236 + trendline
Buy: 4196 – 4198
SL: 4190
TP: Same idea; prioritise partial profit-taking as price moves back into upper resistance.
Lana will wait for price to retrace into one of these two areas before considering an entry, avoiding FOMO buys while candles are moving aggressively.
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive gold updates early. 💛
Long trade
🟦 TAB 1 — TRADE DETAILS
Pair: FLOKIUSDT
Direction: 🟩 Buy-side
Entry: 0.00004531
Take Profit: 0.00005294 (+16.84%)
Stop Loss: 0.00004475 (-1.23%)
Risk–Reward: 13.62R
Session: NY PM
2️⃣ TAB 2 — AMD MODEL (
A-Leg — Accumulation
Sell-side liquidity taken at 0.0000417
Volume climax + stopping action
Session accumulation across Tokyo → London
M-Leg — Manipulation
Sharp wick into deep discount
Re-test FVG at 0.00004520
Footprint absorption confirms the manipulation phase
D-Leg — Distribution / Expansion
Now active:
7️⃣ TAB 7 — VOLUME SPREAD ANALYSIS (VSA)
High-volume stopping bars at lows
No-supply tests before breakout
Rising volume on BOS
Falling volume on pullback = re-accumulation
1️⃣7️⃣ TAB 17 — MACRO REGIME CONFIRMATION
US indices recovering
BTC risk-on
ETH strength increasing
Liquidity rotation into meme assets
Volatility compression → expected breakout
1️⃣8️⃣ TAB 18 — BUBBLES VOLUME (DELTA PRO)
Current Bubble Read:
Large green delta clusters during retest
No major red bubbles capping highs
Increasing positive delta during markup
Volume-normalised bubble expansion → acceleration phase
This confirms continuation, not distribution.
Bullish Flow = Intact
Smart Money = Still buying dips
Next Delta Burst Expectation = 0.000049–0.000050
CRCL Put Strategy: Momentum Points to Short OpportunityInstrument: CRCL
Trade Direction: PUT (SHORT)
Strike: $82.00
Entry Price: $5.38
Profit Target 1: $8.07
Profit Target 2: $9.69
Stop Loss: $4.30
Expiry: 8 days (2025-12-19)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Confidence: 62% (Medium conviction)
Risk Level: Moderate — Katy AI signal neutral, but technicals strongly bearish
Trade Rationale:
Katy AI Signal: Neutral (50% confidence) — mixed signals, minor downward movement before potential recovery.
Technical Analysis:
Weekly bearish momentum (-1.62%) and 2-week downtrend (-2.41%)
Current price $84.90 below VWAP $86.74
RSI oversold at 29.3 in trending regime
Support at $81.76, resistance at $89.98
News Sentiment: Neutral — no major CRCL-specific catalysts.
Options Flow: Neutral, no unusual activity detected.
Competitive Edge:
Strong technical bearish momentum with oversold RSI in trending regime
Timing advantage approaching weekly expiry allows gamma effects to favor put positioning
Conservative strike selection with 0.645 Delta for balanced risk/reward
Risk Notes:
Katy AI neutral signal conflicts with technicals; trade with smaller position
Monitor any CRCL-specific news that could reverse technical setup
Gold’s Next Big Move: 4,350 Is Within Reach!Hello everyone, it's Helene here!
Gold is looking pretty interesting right now. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price shot up. But guess what? Right now, it's slightly pulling back, moving in the opposite direction to the previous uptrend, which looks like a familiar bullish flag pattern. In this case, there's a scenario that could play out, and considering the market conditions are still bullish, I'm leaning toward the possibility that the price will break the flag pattern to the upside.
My target is 4,350.
Do you agree? Leave a comment below. Joining the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and develop your trading skills.
GOLD: With FED officially ending the QT, Further Upside.For TVC:GOLD – Expecting Further Upside
With the FED officially ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) and a high probability of a rate cut in December, combined with expectations of a new FED Chair, the macro environment is supporting GOLD.
Add to this the historical seasonality where gold tends to perform strongly into year-end, and the overall picture remains bullish.
🔹 Lower interest rates = weaker USD and stronger gold
🔹 End of QT = more liquidity flowing back into markets
🔹 Geopolitical uncertainty + risk hedging continues to support safe-haven assets
🔹 Bond yields showing signs of topping, reducing pressure on gold
Based on these factors, we expect GOLD to push up and potentially make new highs.
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
NFLX in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $93.10
Target is upper channel around $105.00
Buying NASDAQ:NFXL for this trade
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish ReversalMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud, however, we are looking at a bearish reversal.
Sell entry: 1.34523
- Swing high resistance
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.35289
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 1.33847
- Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
SOLUSDT – Up… Finally?Alright traders, I’ll be honest —
a few of my recent trades went south faster than my morning coffee.
So hopefully this one decides to treat us a little better. 😅
We had a small decline during the Asia session,
nothing dramatic, just the usual SOL “I’m bored” dip.
But from this level, I’m expecting a bounce —
maybe not a huge one, but definitely enough to catch a clean move up.
The setup is simple:
👉 small pullback
👉 potential bounce
👉 let’s try to finally win one 😄
Let’s see how it plays out —
trade safe, manage your risk,
and may SOL behave for once! 🚀🔥
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 156.42
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 155.63
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
December MM Exposure & Positioning GEX VEX CEX DECEMBER Exposure read SP:SPX AMEX:SPY
Positioning: upward drift 7000
GEX: Easy to slip quickly up to a hard rally to 7000
VEX: if IV drops further they start buying 6950 adding fuel to the rally up
CEX: this just looks like constant delta hedging
🎯Target right now 6950 we will overshoot to 7000 MM will sell and it will drop down according to these positions
Gold continuation underway?On a 4 hour time frame, looking like we potentially completed a reacc model.
Price potentially continuing to retest and blow through highs.
Will be looking for entries on day trades in the green highlighted area if we start to squeeze.
Ultimate target will be the 1.61 fib of the range. (I use fibs as targets when we are running blue skies.
I will want to see us riding the 10EMA on the hour, entries will be made on the 1 min on flag breakouts while above and riding the 10EMA on the 1 min.
Liquidity Atlas – EUR/USD Higher-Timeframe Narrative.This chart isn’t just showing price movement — it’s revealing how the algorithm keeps engineering liquidity to deliver price toward unfinished business above.
Every swing point here has a purpose, and every liquidity pool is a destination waiting to be reached.
The previous CHoCH shifted orderflow, and since then the market has continued to deliver inside a clear bullish narrative.
The most important part? Nothing above has been mitigated yet.
A series of untouched buy-side liquidity levels sits stacked like targets, guiding the market’s long-term draw.
🔍 Structural Insights
• BOS + CHoCH confirmed the macro shift from distribution into accumulation
• Each leg down was inefficiency collection — not reversal
• Price took internal SSS setups and expanded upward with conviction
• Current retracement aligns perfectly with premium/discount logic
• The higher buy-side liquidity levels (multiple SSS layers) remain untouched — algorithmic magnet
The structure is not random. It’s engineered.
🧭 Narrative Expectation (Not a signal)
If price respects the discount zone highlighted, the algorithm may continue delivering upward to clean the next set of external liquidity pools.
Every move is simply a rotation from one liquidity pocket to the next — nothing more, nothing less.
We’re not predicting; we’re tracking intention.
SP500: Ready to Break Out and Forge New All-Time Highs S&P 500 indicates that the recent complex downward correction is complete, having bottomed at 6501.7.
The market is currently rallying and is testing the major upper trendline resistance. The analysis projects a minor, temporary pullback to gather momentum, potentially to the 6775.0 area. Following this consolidation, a decisive breakout above the trendline is anticipated. This will confirm the launch of a major new upward wave, expected to drive the S&P 500 to new all-time highs above 6928.
Stay Tuned :)
@Money_Dictators
Gold prices rallied after consolidation.Gold Policy Outlook: Balancing Dovish Rate Cuts and Hawkish Guidance, Bullish Bias with Elevated Volatility
The current gold market is shaped by a delicate balance between dovish monetary actions and hawkish forward guidance. Dovish policies lay the fundamental support, while hawkish expectations cap short-term gains. Coupled with global policy divergence, this creates a "bullish but volatile" policy backdrop for gold.
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1. Dovish Actions Underpin the Bullish Foundation
Concrete easing measures provide solid fundamental support for gold, reducing holding costs and sustaining long-term bullish momentum.
- Rate Cut Cycle Confirmed with Clear Forward Guidance: The Fed delivered its third consecutive 25BP rate cut this year, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.5%-3.75% (a total of 75BP in 2025) — fully in line with market expectations. Powell explicitly stated that "rate hikes are not in the baseline scenario," eliminating the risk of policy reversal and stabilizing market sentiment .
- Covert QE Injects Liquidity: Starting December 12, the Fed will purchase $40 billion in short-term Treasury bonds within 30 days. Though framed as "reserve management," this move exceeds market expectations in both timing and scale, acting as a "quasi-QE" to inject substantial liquidity . It directly lowers the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and offsets the tightening sentiment from hawkish guidance .
- Political Pressure Sustains Easing Expectations: Trump publicly criticized the Fed for "insufficient rate cuts" and demanded rates be lowered to below 2% . Meanwhile, the high probability of dovish candidate Kevin Hassett taking over as the next Fed Chair — who has emphasized "significant room for rate cuts" — keeps 2026 easing expectations alive, providing ongoing policy dividends for gold .
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2. Hawkish Guidance Caps Short-Term Upside
Hawkish signals in policy communications trigger profit-taking by short-term capital, preventing unbridled gains and leading to oscillatory price action.
- Dot Plot Signals Slower Easing Rhythm: The Fed’s dot plot projects only one 25BP rate cut in 2026, falling short of the market’s previous expectation of two cuts. This indicates a deliberate slowdown in the easing pace, dampening overly optimistic market sentiment .
- Unprecedented Internal Divisions: The rate decision saw three dissenting votes — the first in six years — with two officials advocating for unchanged rates and one pushing for a 50BP cut . Among 19 officials, 7 favor pausing rate cuts entirely (3 even support hikes) while 8 call for more than one cut, reflecting extreme disagreements over the policy path . This fragmented consensus weakens the credibility of forward guidance and fuels market uncertainty .
- "Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact" Reaction: The "dovish action + hawkish guidance" mix has sparked early signs of "buying the rumor, selling the fact." After the rate cut was implemented, short-term capital locked in profits, limiting gold’s upside momentum and leading to volatile sideways trading .
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3. Global Policy Divergence Creates Resonant Support
Divergent monetary paths across economies reinforce gold’s dual appeal as a liquidity-driven asset and safe haven, while amplifying volatility.
- Developed Markets Lean Dovish: The UAE central bank followed the Fed with a 25BP cut, and the Swiss National Bank maintained its negative interest rate stance . These moves align with the global dovish trend, providing a liquidity floor for gold .
- Emerging Markets Boost Strategic Buying: Amid policy divergence, emerging market central banks continue to accelerate gold purchases to diversify reserves, forming structural support for prices . This dovetails with the "dollar depreciation expectation" — the dollar index has fallen over 9% year-to-date, and its current stability around 98.64 does not reverse the long-term downward trend, benefiting dollar-denominated gold .
- Bullish Bias with Higher Volatility: The combination of "developed market easing underpinning + dollar weakness + central bank buying" keeps the overall policy backdrop bullish for gold . However, conflicting signals from the Fed’s "dovish actions vs. hawkish guidance" and internal divisions will likely exacerbate short-term market fluctuations, leading to a "range-bound upward" trend .
Gold trading strategy
buy:4255-4265
tp:4280-4290-4310
sl:4245
ETH 4H Trendline Retest Bounce, Bullish Structure Still HoldingEthereum continues to respect the ascending 4H trendline while holding above the 50/100 EMA cross. After tapping the 0.5–0.618 Fib retracement zone, price reacted cleanly and reclaimed structure, forming a textbook retest-and-bounce setup. The daily trendline break adds higher-timeframe confluence, and the Stoch RSI has fully reset, creating room for a potential continuation move.
If bulls maintain the trendline and stay above the 50 EMA, the next objectives remain the prior swing high near $3,400 and the mid-channel diagonal above it. A breakdown of the trendline would open a revisit of the deeper Fib levels at $3,083 and $2,997. Structure remains bullish unless those levels fail.
AUDUSD: resistance rejection🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDUSD has flashed a "Global bullish signal" via a Golden Cross (SMA 50 crossing above SMA 100, SMA 200). The price is currently consolidating above the breakout zone, with a short-term rally projected towards the strong resistance level at 0.6700. The trade setup anticipates a "sell-the-news" reaction or technical rejection at this ceiling, targeting a bearish rotation back towards the support cluster around 0.6615.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Sell Limit at Resistance (approx. 0.6700 – 0.6710)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.6615 (Support)
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the resistance structure (approx. 0.6735)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
EURUSD Is Compressing in a Falling Channel 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN (H1)
1️⃣ Bullish Impulse → Start of Correction
Price created a strong upward leg, setting the tone for a bullish environment.
Right after that, EU shifted into a controlled descending channel a normal corrective phase.
2️⃣ Falling Channel Structure
Inside the channel:
-Clear LH → LL sequences
-Repeated taps on both channel boundaries
-Each push into the Support Zone shows strong buying reaction (long wicks, V-bounces)
This shows buyers defending the zone, not sellers taking control.
3️⃣ Current Position
-Price is moving in the mid-to-lower part of the channel, heading back toward the Support Zone
-This aligns with how price has been behaving for the past several days — liquidity sweep → bounce → move toward upper channel.
The projection you drew is absolutely logical:
A final sweep deep into the Support Zone before a bullish breakout.
🎯 TRADING SIGNAL
Entry Zone:
1.1595 – 1.1620 (deep in Support Zone + channel bottom)
Stop Loss:
Below structure: 1.1560
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.1653
TP2: 1.1664
TP3 (major breakout): 1.1688
Why this setup works
The falling channel is corrective, not bearish.
Strong reaction every time price tests Support Zone.
Liquidity tends to build below the channel → ideal environment for a sweep + expansion.
The highest probability scenario:
Final sweep down → bullish reversal → breakout toward 1.1688.
📈 SHORT SUMMARY
EU is correcting inside a falling channel, but buyers remain in control at the Support Zone.
Expect one more liquidity sweep before a strong upward breakout.
NIFTY Analysis for 12th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levelsNIFTY Analysis for 12th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levels
Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
FED Rate-Cut Impact
US Fed rate cuts are generally positive for Indian equities in the short to medium term, mainly via better global risk sentiment, softer dollar, and the possibility of stronger FII flows into India. The impact is not uniform though; rate‐sensitive, export‑oriented, and high‑valuation sectors usually benefit more than others.
Immediate market reaction
After the latest 25 bps Fed cut, GIFT Nifty and domestic benchmarks were indicated or seen opening higher, with sentiment supported by lower US yields and hopes of reduced foreign outflows. On the day after the decision, Sensex and Nifty traded with a positive bias, helped by buying in large financials and cyclicals as global risk appetite improved.
Mechanism: Flows, Rupee, Valuations
Lower US rates reduce the relative attractiveness of US bonds, encouraging global investors to look at higher‑yielding EMs like India, which can slow FPI outflows or even trigger fresh inflows if the Fed sounds dovish. A softer dollar and potential rupee stability or appreciation ease imported inflation and support Indian macros, which in turn helps equity valuations, especially in growth and consumption themes.
Sector‑wise effects
Historically, Fed cuts that support US demand and weaken the dollar tend to benefit Indian IT and pharma exporters through better client spending and currency stability. Domestic rate‑sensitives such as banks, autos, real estate, and NBFCs can also do well because expectations of easier global liquidity often reinforce the case for a benign or accommodative stance from RBI over time.
Risks and when it can be negative
If the Fed cuts but delivers a very hawkish outlook (signaling higher‑for‑longer later), markets can react risk‑off with FPI selling, rupee weakness, and pressure on high‑beta sectors despite the cut itself. Similarly, if cuts come alongside fears of US recession, global growth concerns can drag cyclicals, commodities, and export names even if liquidity is easy.
Summary for trading approach
For an Indian trader, Fed cuts with a dovish or balanced guidance usually support:
Short‑term long bias in Nifty/Sensex and high‑quality large caps as flows and sentiment improve.
Overweight stance on IT, financials, autos, and select cyclicals, while closely tracking FPI flow data, dollar index, and USDINR for confirmation
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
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