PENDLE/USDT - Major Reversal or Major Breakdown?Pendle is now approaching one of the most critical areas on its entire weekly chart.
After topping near 7.5 and forming a long distribution phase, price is sliding back toward the historical origin of its previous bull cycle — the 1.05–0.80 demand zone.
This yellow zone is not just another support.
It’s the level that changed Pendle’s trajectory once before.
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🧩 Macro Structure: What’s Really Happening?
2022 → Early 2023: Long accumulation base.
2023 → 2024: Explosive breakout and trending bull phase.
2024 → 2025: Distribution, weakening structure, lower highs forming.
Now: Price retracing toward the most critical weekly demand zone.
Why is 1.05–0.80 such a big deal?
Because this is where:
The previous bullrun began
Major volume and liquidity were absorbed
Smart money positioned before the breakout
If the zone holds → history could repeat.
If it breaks → the long-term bullish structure collapses.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario — Could This Become a New Macro Higher Low?
A bullish case activates if:
1. Price taps 1.05–0.80 and rejects strongly
– A weekly candle with a long lower wick would be a powerful early signal.
2. Weekly close stays above the zone
– Confirms that demand still dominates here.
3. Recovery targets are as follows:
First reclaim: 2.7
Structural resistance: 4.0
Full recovery region: 6.0–7.5
If this happens, the chart would form a new macro higher low, potentially triggering a long-term bullish reversal.
This is exactly where institutions and early-cycle buyers may step back in.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario — Breakdown Toward Deeper Liquidity Zones?
A bearish continuation is confirmed if:
1. Weekly close breaks below 0.80 with conviction
– This signals full momentum shift to sellers.
2. Retest fails to reclaim the zone
– Validates a clean supply-flip.
3. Downside targets become:
0.45 → midrange structural support
0.20–0.12 → major historical demand
Below this lies deep capitulation territory
Losing 0.80 would mark the official breakdown of Pendle’s multi-year bullish structure.
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🎯 Why the 1.05–0.80 Zone Is So Important
Because it is:
A macro decision point for market direction
A battle zone between smart money and retail liquidity
The origin of the previous bull market
The clearest weekly level on the entire chart
This is the type of zone that determines the direction of the next several months.
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📌 Conclusion
Pendle enters one of its most critical phases.
The 1.05–0.80 zone is not merely “support” — it is the major pivot that will decide whether:
Pendle is preparing for a large-scale weekly reversal,
or
Pendle is sliding into a deeper corrective phase toward 0.45 → 0.20.
On the weekly timeframe, every reaction is amplified and highly meaningful.
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