PROCTER & GAMBLE Can it turn bullish in 2026?Procter and Gamble (PG) has been within more than 1 year correction since its November 27 2024 All Time High (ATH). Even though we expect the general outlook for the stock market in 2026 to be bearish, PG may turn out to be one of the best investment choices.
The reason is purely technical and has to do with this 1-year correction approaching its 1M MA100 (green trend-line). That has been the stock's absolute buy level since September 2009 and the aftermath of the U.S. Housing Crisis. As you can see it has since offered 4 excellent long-term buy opportunities.
Going further back, PG has been trading within a 26-year Channel Up since the 2000 Dotcom crash. Again the 1M MA100 turned out to be the market's ultimate Support (thus most optimal buy level), making a remarkable triple bottom in the next 12 months. As a result, the 1M MA100 has practically only broken (and that only for 3 months) in early 2009.
In addition to that, the 1M RSI is also about to test its own 26-year Support Zone, which has market PG's four major market bottoms during that time span.
As a result, given that a potential contact now with the 1M MA100 will complete a -26% decline from the recent ATH, exactly the correction % of the 2022 Bearish Leg (Inflation Crisis), there are very high probabilities for the market to find a bottom.
So if that's indeed one of the rare high cap buy opportunities in 2026, what could be the Target. Well PG had three major Bull Cycles (Legs) within this Channel Up, +188.23%, +113.39% and +178.81% respectively. If the Bull Cycle that can start will be minimum +113.53%, then we can expect PG to hit at least $280 before the next Top on the 0.786 Channel Fib.
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PG
PG The Procter & Gamble Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PG:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 152.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-11-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Procter&Gamble: Short-Term Strength Still Fits the PlanPG has extended its rally, pushing turquoise wave C higher. While some selling pressure is starting to show, weโre sticking with our primary view: the stock should still break above $180.43 to complete beige wave b before turning lower. However, in our 37% likely alternative scenario, beige wave alt.b would have already topped, and the stock would next drop below $148.87.
๐ Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
PROCTER & GAMBLE: This volatility implies a major market bottom.Procter & Gamble is neutral on both the 1D (RSI = 47.822, MACD = 0.180, ADX = 17.832) and 1W (RSI = 49.820, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 20.781) technical outlooks as despite last week's rebound and this ones early strong rise, it pulled back and is about to close the 1W candle flat. We are exactly on the 1W MA50, which inside the 2 year Channel Up has always been a fair level to go long. The 1W RSI indicates that last week's low may be the symmetric low to December 11th 2023. This kickstarted a rally that hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we are bullish long term, aiming at just under the new 1.5 Fib (TP = 190.00).
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PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE)PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.33
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 170.40
Entry limit ~ 169
1.โ โ Target limit ~ 174 (+2.96%; +5 points)
Stop order limit ~ 165.25 (-2.22%; -3.75 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
- hyphen = fixed value
Procter & Gamble: Target Zone Ahead!Wave in dark green has been successfully completed, creating a new support level at $157.47 with its low. PG is currently working on the countermovement of wave , and we have outlined a Target Zone for the expected top (between $171.66 and $177.84). This price range could be an opportunity to take profits from long trades or establish new short positions. However, our alternative scenario, which allows for a breakout to the upside, holds a 34% probability. If the stock manages to climb above the resistance at $180.43, this will suggest that the broader uptrend continues. In this case, the low observed would not correspond to wave in dark green, but rather to wave alt.(IV) in blue. So, potential short positions could be secured with a stop-loss set 1% above the upper boundary of our Target Zone.
Procter & Gamble (P&G) Overview and AnalysisProcter & Gamble (P&G) is a global leader in consumer goods, offering a wide range of household, personal care, and health products. Their iconic brands, including Tide, Gillette, Pampers, and Olay, have made them a household name worldwide.
1๏ธโฃ Past Performance: In their last two earnings reports, the stock jumped by ~12% after strong results.
2๏ธโฃ Current Price: The stock has dropped to a key support level ($159), attracting buyers at a discount.
3๏ธโฃ Upcoming Earnings: Set for January 22, 2025โa potential catalyst for movement.
4๏ธโฃ Outlook: Analysts predict a price target of $209 by year-end, highlighting strong growth potential.
PROCTER & GAMBLE Low risk buy opportunity on the Channel bottom.Procter and Gamble (PG) has been trading within a 10-month Channel Up (since December 15 2023) and on September 10 2024 priced the latest Higher High and got rejected. Even though it has broken below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), yesterday it tested and held the short-term Support 1 level, which is intact since August 14.
The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) has been the absolute Support of this pattern, having formed just above it both the Higher Lows of July 30 and April 19. Yesterday's Low isn't as close to the 1D MA200 as those two but it is close enough to constitute a low risk buy for the medium-term, even though we might see a little more decline towards the Channel's bottom. Notice however the 1D RSI that made a clear rebound inside its 10-month Buy Zone.
As a result, we turn bullish on this stock and as with the last Higher High, we are again targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level at 182.00.
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PROCTER & GAMBLE is bullish bouncing on the 1D MA50.Procter and Gamble (PG) closed yesterday on a 3-day red streak and the 1D candle almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the short-term Support, which is intact since August 14. The stock has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 15 2023 Low, which is inside a wider Channel Up pattern since the 2022 market bottom.
The 1D MA50 is the first Support level of the 9-month Channel Up, with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being the second (and last). The Higher Lows are priced below the 1D MA50 but currently we haven't completed most likely the Bullish Leg at hand.
Last April the price pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, which held and provided the final push to the -0.236 Fib extension for a Higher High. Currently the 1D MA50 test is also testing the 0.382. If it holds, we expect the stock to peak again near the -0.236 Fib extension. As long as it holds then, we remain bullish, targeting 182.00.
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PG The Procter & Gamble Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PG before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 165usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PG potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Ascending triangle breakout on weekly
- Bounce from strong support that was previous long-time weekly resistance
- Positive Earnings
- Buy Stop order at HH breakout for further confirmation
- DOW theory Alignment
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(Buy Stop): 162.19
Stop Loss Level: 152.98
Take Profit Level 1: 171.4
Take Profit Level 2: Open
PG The Procter & Gamble Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PG before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 155usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $8.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
P&G Quarterly Sales Fell Short of Wall Street EstimatesProcter & Gamble Co. ( NYSE:PG ) experienced a decline in its shares on Friday after the company reported quarterly sales that fell short of the expectations of Wall Street. The sales overshadowed an improved profit outlook for the company. The organic sales, which exclude the impact of acquisitions, divestitures, and foreign-exchange impacts, increased by 3% in the quarter that ended on March 31. This figure was lower than the 3.7% projected by analysts, and the shipment volumes were little changed from the previous year.
The Chief Financial Officer, Andre Schulten, stated that the company has headwinds, which include challenges such as currency volatility, ongoing weakness in China, and the company's SK-II beauty brand. On Friday, P&G shares fell 0.8% at 10:39 a.m. in New York trading. The stock had advanced 7.3% this year through Thursday's close, outpacing the 5.1% gain of the S&P 500 Index.
P&G's results for the fiscal third quarter show that shoppers are still spending more on essential goods. The company is set to boost its prices for the sixth consecutive year, helping the bottom line. The company now sees earnings, excluding some items, in the range of $6.49 to $6.55 a share in the current fiscal year. This is an increase of 12 cents from the previous forecast and above analysts' average estimate.
However, this has come at the cost of lower volume growth. In North America, where P&G gets half of its revenue, third-quarter volume rose by 3%, slightly below the prior quarter's 4%. Organic sales are expected to be up 4% to 5% in the current quarter, according to Schulten, who spoke during a conference call.
The gross margin, a measure of profitability, came in above estimates for the quarter. The company said its costs have fallen due to curtailed overtime at production lines and shifts to lower-cost ingredients. However, higher oil and diesel costs, along with pulp prices, may hurt results in the current quarter, Schulten said.
Schulten said that consumer behavior is "really stable," and "the supply situation on the commodity side has eased after Covid." Still, geopolitical conflict has led to softer demand in certain regions. He said that the impact is limited to a few markets where the tensions are leading retailers to be hesitant to promote and merchandise heavily. He named Turkey, the Middle East, and Indonesia as seeing weaker demand.
P&G posted higher-than-expected sales growth in its grooming division, which includes Gillette razors, citing higher prices in Europe and Latin America. Schulten said that business has been bolstered by total body shaving and intimate hair removal products, which P&G has targeted with shaving gels and Braun electric shavers for both men and women.
The company's fabric-care business, which sells Tide detergent, also outperformed last quarter. Its health care and baby products divisions, however, came under pressure, with volumes dropping in both categories, the maker of Puffs said.
P&G has struggled to expand sales in China, where it sells SK-II beauty products, amid weak consumer confidence. "The consumer is still a little bit shaken," Schulten said of China. "I think the market is coming back slowly. Will it be bumpy in the future? Yes, it won't be a straight line."
PG slow and steady long term winner with earnings coming LONGPG on the weekly chart gained 15% in a year and had a dip in the past two weeks with earnings
at the end of this week. PG persistently and consistently beats earnings estimates and pays a
dividend. Moreover, it consistently has a bit of a surge after earnings. I see this as an
opportunity to get a good stock on a 4% dip of a discount and hold it through earnings for
perhaps a 10% profit in two weeks while also picking up the quarterly dividend. Some traders
including those institutionally based believe that buying near to the middle line of the Bollinger
Bands is a good entry for getting fair value. I am one of them.
PG The Procter & Gamble Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PG here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.84.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PROCTER & GAMBLE This Bearish Cross is essentially a buy signalPG formed today a 1day MA50-100 Bearish Cross.
Primarily a sell signal, the last 3 occurences of this pattern have delivered higher prices.
All those patterns hit at least their prior Resistance level.
Additionally, the 1day MACD is 4 days into a Bullish Cross.
Buy and target 158.00 (Resistance).
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P&G - Bearish pattern on Procter&Gamble chart? Hello ,
Although I consider Procter & Gamble stock to be a very good long-term investment. (Safe background and very good dividend system. ) It seems to be working on a bearish pattern now, which is projecting a decline all the way to the $140 zone.
For me, it's the only stock I've held long since the $90 level, and I've been buying regularly ever since. It's like Coca-Cola to Warren Buffett to me. (Only I have a little less of it.)
For me, this seems like a good point for my long haul bags. If this pattern works, the price will reach the target zone by winter. If you have to choose between Procter & Gamble or Johnson & Johnson, P&G is clearly better in the long run.
Do not forget. These are my thoughts and observations about the market. And they do not constitute investment advice. Also, do your own research before entering a position.
Tell me what you think, and if you like my idea, share it with others.
Regards
In extreme cases, even $125 is possible, but I see very little chance of that at the moment.
PROCTER & GAMBLE Great medium term investment.PG is having a strong red (1d) candle that crossed again under the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
In the last 10 months, the stock has been trading inside a Rectangle with the price being on the last step (0.786 Fibonacci) before the pattern's bottom.
The price is already a solid medium term buy but depending on the MACD, it may provide an even better opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the MACD (1d) makes a Buy Cross.
Targets:
1. 158.00 (top of the Rectangle).
Tips:
1. Last rebound was made on a single bottom candle (May 31st) without any retest. Today's pull back seems more like January with multiple tests, indicating that the probability of one last low is a little higher.
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PROCTER & GAMBLE The 1D MACD gives the buy signal.Last time we looked into Procter & Gamble (PG) was December 2022 (see chart below) and called for a massive sell-off to $140:
As you can see that took place almost perfectly, with the price dropping even lower from $155 to $136. We hope you took advantage of this analysis and if you didn't short, at least got a comfortable buy entry as the price rebounded and reached $158.
The price is currently on a 2-month selling sequence after the August 10 rejection on Resistance 1 (158.45) and is approaching the bottom of the Channel Up. The horizontal Support (1) is at 142.00 and the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) marginally above 140.00 and rising. Technically Support 1 is the true Support level but under this pressure we can't rule out a 1W MA200 test to gather long-term buyers.
In any case, since almost 18 months, the buy signal with the lowest risk has been given when the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross. That is the buy entry confirmation for investors. Until then, the price can keep declining surrounded by negative fundamental market conditions. Take advantage of the MACD to get the most optimal position and target 158.45 (Resistance 1).
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