Priceactionanalysis
EUR/USD 30- MINUTES LONG CHART SETUPEUR/USD 30-minute chart analysis based Market Structure (30-M)
After a strong bearish move, price formed a liquidity sweep / fake breakdown below support.
Sharp bullish impulsive recovery → shows buyers stepping in aggressively.
Current structure is shifting from LH–LL → potential HH–HL (bullish correction phase).
Key Levels
Support Zone
1.1700 – 1.1703
Previous breakdown area + demand reaction
Validation level for bullish bias
Entry Zone (Intraday Buy)
1.1722 – 1.1726
Price is retesting previous resistance turned support
Resistance / Supply
1.1750 – 1.1756
Strong rejection area from the left
Marked as target area
Trade Plan (Bullish Setup)
Bias: Bullish continuation (pullback buy)
Entry:
Buy around 1.1722 – 1.1726 after bullish candle confirmation
Stop Loss:
Below 1.1700 – 1.1702 (structure invalidation)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1738
TP2: 1.1750
TP3: 1.1755 – 1.1760
Confirmation Checklist
✔ Bullish engulfing / strong rejection wick at entry
✔ Higher low on 5M–15M
✔ No strong bearish rejection before resistance
Gold price analysis on January 6th🔥 GOLD – Uptrend Continues, Waiting for a Correction to BUY
The upward momentum of gold is unfolding exactly as outlined in the previous strategy. Buying pressure remains clearly dominant, pushing the price closer to the important psychological resistance level around 4500. With the uptrend controlling the market, a short-term correction before the price continues to expand to new highs is entirely possible.
The trading strategy during this period still prioritizes BUYing in line with the main trend, focusing on observing price reactions at key support levels to find high-probability entry points.
📌 Trading Plan
BUY market around 4450
BUY trigger when price shows a clear rejection signal at the 4400 support zone
🎯 Target: 4550
⚠️ Risks to note
If the price closes below 4400, the short-term uptrend structure may be broken and the market is likely to move into a prolonged sideways trend, in which case the trading strategy needs to be re-evaluated.
👉 Prioritize patience while waiting for corrections – trading with the trend is always the biggest advantage.
XAUUSD - Breakout or Breakdown IncomingGold is currently trading at a key decision point, reacting around a well-defined support/resistance flip zone. Price has consolidated within this range, showing indecision as buyers and sellers battle for control.
A clean hold above the decision zone could lead to a bullish continuation, with price targeting the upper liquidity near 4455–4465. Conversely, a clear breakdown and close below the zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door for a move toward lower liquidity around 4410–4420.
Patience is key here — wait for confirmation before entering, as the next expansion will likely be impulsive.
Bias: Neutral → Directional on breakout
Key Level: Decision Point (S/R zone)
Bullish Target: 4455–4465
Bearish Target: 4410–4420
BTCUSDT - FVG Hold = Upside IncomingPrice reacted perfectly from the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked in purple, showing strong demand and acceptance above the zone. After sweeping liquidity to the downside, BTC formed a clear bullish reaction and impulsive move up, indicating buyers are in control.
As long as price holds above the FVG, the bullish structure remains valid. Expect a potential pullback and continuation toward the upside, targeting the 94.5K–94.8K liquidity area next.
Invalidation occurs on a clean breakdown and close below the FVG.
Bias: Bullish
Key Support: FVG zone
Target: Higher highs / liquidity above recent range
GBPUSD – Breakout or Reversal IncomingPrice is currently reacting at a clearly defined supply / resistance zone, which has acted as a rejection area multiple times in the recent session. This zone is the decision point for the next directional move.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
A strong 15-minute close above the resistance zone would indicate acceptance and bullish continuation. In this case, price may pull back slightly before pushing higher toward the upper target, following a higher-high structure.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break and hold above this zone, followed by bearish rejection, would signal continuation to the downside. This could lead to a move back toward the lower target, aligning with a rejection-based reversal from resistance.
📌 Bias: Neutral until confirmation
📌 Strategy: Wait for confirmation (break & hold or rejection) before entering
📌 Risk Management: Avoid entries inside the zone; wait for clarity
This level will determine whether buyers or sellers take control next.
Relief Rally Inbound? S is shaping up for a potential reversal.
After the aggressive October 10 sell‑off, price responded with a clean Automatic Rally (AR) before rolling over into a controlled pullback. This latest dip appears to be sweeping the October 10 lows, and the December 19 bullish engulfing candle is the first meaningful sign of demand stepping back in.
Crucially, price closed back inside the prior range, which keeps the structure constructive. While heavier volume on the reversal would’ve added confidence, the low‑volume nature of the sweep actually supports a spring narrative — supply has been drying up for weeks, and there’s been no evidence of aggressive selling pressure. That’s exactly what you want to see heading into a potential Wyckoff spring.
Trade Scenario
Initial TP would be just below the range EQ which lines up with the yearly pivot and 50% of the range retracement. From here, if the price can close, hold and form higher lows above this level, would strongly suggest that a bottom is in. The next meaningful upside target sits around $0.16593, where prior resistance and structural alignment converge.
Market Context
A surprising number of alts are printing similar spring‑like structures right now:
• Washed‑out lows
• Diminishing volume
• Reclaims back into range
• Early signs of demand returning
Relief Rally Inbound? VET is shaping up for a potential reversal.
After the aggressive October 10 sell‑off, price responded with a clean Automatic Rally (AR) before rolling over into a controlled pullback. This latest dip appears to be sweeping the October 10 lows, and the December 19 bullish engulfing candle is the first meaningful sign of demand stepping back in.
Crucially, price closed back inside the prior range, which keeps the structure constructive. While heavier volume on the reversal would’ve added confidence, the low‑volume nature of the sweep actually supports a spring narrative — supply has been drying up for weeks, and there’s been no evidence of aggressive selling pressure. That’s exactly what you want to see heading into a potential Wyckoff spring.
Trade Scenario
Initial TP would be just below the range EQ which lines up with the yearly pivot and 50% of the range retracement. From here, if the price can close, hold and form higher lows above this level, would strongly suggest that a bottom is in. The next meaningful upside target sits around $0.0194, where prior resistance and structural alignment converge.
Market Context
A surprising number of alts are printing similar spring‑like structures right now:
• Washed‑out lows
• Diminishing volume
• Reclaims back into range
• Early signs of demand returning
Gold price analysis on January 5thGold opened the Asian session with very positive momentum, indicating a strong return of demand. On the technical chart, an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is gradually completing, with the key neckline around 4400. If this level is clearly broken, gold is highly likely to enter a new upward phase, heading towards the 4480 resistance zone and possibly even higher peaks.
Given the prevailing bullish trend, the intraday trading strategy prioritizes buying opportunities and minimizing selling against the trend. Selling pressure will only become significant if the price breaks through and closes below the strong support zone around 4300, thus breaking the upward structure.
📈 Suggested Trading Strategy
BUY around 4390
BUY on a price rejection signal at the support zone of 4352 – 4304
Expected Target: 4480
⚠️ Risk Management
The bullish scenario is invalidated if the closing price falls below the key support zone (confirming a breakout of the structure).
Relief rally Inbound? IMX is shaping up for a potential reversal.
After the aggressive October 10 sell‑off, price responded with a clean Automatic Rally (AR) before rolling over into a controlled pullback. This latest dip appears to be sweeping the October 10 lows, and the December 19 bullish engulfing candle is the first meaningful sign of demand stepping back in.
Crucially, price closed back inside the prior range, which keeps the structure constructive. While heavier volume on the reversal would’ve added confidence, the low‑volume nature of the sweep actually supports a spring narrative — supply has been drying up for weeks, and there’s been no evidence of aggressive selling pressure. That’s exactly what you want to see heading into a potential Wyckoff spring.
Trade Scenario
Initial TP would be just below the range EQ which lines up with the yearly pivot and 50% of the range retracement. From here, if the price can close, hold and form higher lows above this level, would strongly suggest that a bottom is in. The next meaningful upside target sits around $0.58, where prior resistance and structural alignment converge.
Market Context
A surprising number of alts are printing similar spring‑like structures right now:
• Washed‑out lows
• Diminishing volume
• Reclaims back into range
• Early signs of demand returning
Relief Rally Inbound? JOE is shaping up for a potential reversal.
After the aggressive October 10 sell‑off, price responded with a clean Automatic Rally (AR) before rolling over into a controlled pullback. This latest dip appears to be sweeping the October 10 lows, and the December 19 bullish engulfing candle is the first meaningful sign of demand stepping back in.
Crucially, price closed back inside the prior range, which keeps the structure constructive. While heavier volume on the reversal would’ve added confidence, the low‑volume nature of the sweep actually supports a spring narrative — supply has been drying up for weeks, and there’s been no evidence of aggressive selling pressure. That’s exactly what you want to see heading into a potential Wyckoff spring.
Trade Scenario
Initial TP would be just below the range EQ which lines up with the yearly pivot and 50% of the range retracement. From here, if the price can close, hold and form higher lows above this level, would strongly suggest that a bottom is in. The next meaningful upside target sits around $0.1296, where prior resistance and structural alignment converge.
Market Context
A surprising number of alts are printing similar spring‑like structures right now:
• Washed‑out lows
• Diminishing volume
• Reclaims back into range
• Early signs of demand returning
Political instability Can gold rebound to the previous ATH?Political instability: Venezuela’s President Maduro arrested – Can gold rebound to the previous ATH?
1️⃣ Market Context
The overall structure remains bullish.
Price is undergoing a short-term correction after a strong volatile move.
The 4300 area is acting as a key support zone.
RSI shows buy–sell convergence; bulls are gradually absorbing bears, keeping downside pressure well controlled.
2️⃣ News & Fundamental Factors
Geopolitical tension: Venezuela attacked by the U.S., President arrested and transferred to the U.S.
Expectation of a gap and bullish move in gold in the upcoming session.
Current news flow continues to support a positive outlook for gold.
3️⃣ Main Scenario
Priority scenario: Price holds above 4300 and resumes the bullish structure.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Support: 4300–431X, 4270–4275
Resistance: 4370–4375, 4402–4404
Focus on shallow pullbacks in line with the main trend.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy (Intraday / Weekly)
Trend-following remains the core approach, while being prepared for minor pullbacks to avoid missing moves.
Closely monitor price reactions at:
4300: Nearest support, currently holding well.
437X: Potential intraday reaction zone.
Always wait for price action confirmation, avoid entries in the middle of the range.
5️⃣ Extensions & Notes
If 4300 breaks decisively:
Deeper correction toward 427X, 425X
Further extension to 417X, a zone worth watching for swing opportunities.
Volatility remains high → risk management is the top priority.
✨ Wishing everyone a profitable new week, green accounts as far as the eye can see
XAUUSD — Post-London Context, Pre-New YorkWith elevated geopolitical tension (Trump–Venezuela news) and multiple high-impact events this week, caution is warranted.
Post-London observations:
During Asia session price pushed up into 4475, taking out yesterdays highs
Price failed to stay above asia high, we got the rejection at 4468 and the clean pullback into 4456
Heading into Pre-NY
Heading into Pre-NY, some key levels to watch:
- Resistance:
- 4477
- 4484
Support:
- 4459
- 4437
-4418
-4398
These levels can be used for targets with the right confirmation.
Let price come to us. Pre-NY will tell the story.
Silver Retirement for a Bullish Direction Now this time is on high price level area we are wait for its price come down at minimum at 77.27916 then we get clear buy conformation for buy
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XAUUSD CHART ANALYSIS IN LONDON SESSION I 01/061. Market Trend
Primary Trend: The market is in a very strong Bullish trend. Price action shows a consistent pattern of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Trendline: There is an ascending trendline supporting the move. The price is currently trading significantly above this line, indicating high bullish momentum.
2. Key Support and Resistance Zones
Looking at the shaded blue boxes and horizontal levels:
Immediate Resistance: The current peak around 4,465 – 4,470. This is the psychological barrier the price is currently testing.
Immediate Support (Minor): The 4,454 – 4,455 zone. This was a previous resistance that has now flipped into potential support (Role Reversal).
Strong Support (POC Zone): Around 4,444. This aligns with a major high-volume node on the Volume Profile, making it a critical "value area."
Major Support Base: The lower blue zone between 4,404 – 4,412, which acted as a significant accumulation area before the latest breakout.
3. Volume Profile Analysis
The Fixed Range Volume Profile on the right side of the chart reveals:
Point of Control (POC): The black horizontal line at 4,444.987 marks the price level with the highest traded volume.
Significance: Prices tend to be attracted to this level during corrections. If the price drops, this is where buyers are most likely to step back in.
4. Price Action Observations
Recent Candles: After a sharp vertical climb, the latest candles are showing smaller bodies and some upper wicks. This suggests that the buying momentum is slightly overstretched, and we might see a short-term consolidation or a technical pullback.
Context: As shown on the bottom axis, the date is January 6, 2026. Be mindful of any high-impact USD economic data scheduled for this session.
Potential Trading Strategies:
Trend Continuation: If the price breaks and closes decisively above 4,470, the bullish run is likely to extend further.
Pullback Entry (Buy the Dip): The most conservative approach would be waiting for a retracement to the 4,454 or 4,444 levels. Look for bullish reversal patterns (like Pin Bars or Engulfing candles) at these supports to join the trend.
Risk Warning: Avoid "picking the top" (Shorting) right now, as there are no clear structural signs of a trend reversal yet.
Note: The gold price shown (above $4,400) is exceptionally high compared to historical norms. Ensure you are following your risk management plan and using Stop Losses.
BTC/USD CHART ANALYSIS M30 I 01/061. Value Area Analysis (Volume Profile)
Unlike the previous GBP/USD chart, BTC is currently trading right inside the upper Value Area, indicating intense competition between buyers and sellers:
VAH Zone (Value Area High): Located around 94,100 - 94,250. The current price (93,964) is sitting just below this boundary. This is the immediate resistance BTC must clear to sustain its upward momentum.
POC Zone (Point of Control): Located around 92,800. This is the level with the highest accumulated trading volume. If the price turns downward, this will serve as a very strong support zone.
VAL Zone (Value Area Low): Located around 92,200. This marks the lower boundary of the current price equilibrium.
2. Price Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
The two converging trendlines you've drawn form a triangle pattern:
Upper Resistance Line: Connects lower highs, showing selling pressure pushing down as the price approaches 95,000.
Lower Support Line: Connects higher lows, showing buyers' efforts to push the price up from the 91,000 range.
Current State: The price is entering the "apex" of the triangle. This is a phase of liquidity compression. Typically, when price reaches the end of this pattern, a strong breakout occurs in one direction.
3. Outlook and Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If BTC breaks above the triangle's upper edge and clears the VAH (94,250) with high volume, the next targets are the previous peak near 95,250 and beyond.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle's lower support (around 93,500), it will likely seek the POC (92,800) or even the VAL (92,200) to find new buying interest.
Neutral/Sideways: Currently, the situation is 50/50. Trading in the middle of a triangle is high-risk as it is prone to "whipsaws" (stop hunts) in both directions.
Summary: The trend is in a consolidation phase. While the fact that the price is holding in the upper half of the Volume Profile (near VAH) gives a slight edge to the bulls, a confirmed move above 94,250 is needed for a breakout.
WTI – This Trendline Keeps Price CappedPrice has reacted precisely from a descending trendline resistance, aligning with the broader bearish market structure. This level has consistently capped bullish attempts, making it a high-probability sell-side zone.
After the recent impulse up, price is showing signs of exhaustion below resistance, suggesting a potential lower high formation. As long as price remains below the trendline, bearish bias remains intact.
🔻 Sell Bias:
Rejection from trendline resistance favors continuation toward the downside.
🎯 Target:
A move lower is expected toward the marked sell-side target, with intermediate reactions possible before continuation.
📌 Invalidation:
A strong hourly close and acceptance above the descending trendline would invalidate this setup.
📌 Execution Plan:
Wait for bearish confirmation on the 1H timeframe (rejection candle, momentum slowdown, or lower high) before entering. Avoid chasing price into support.
EURUSD – Sell Side Target in FocusPrice has pushed back into a well-defined resistance zone, an area that previously caused strong bearish reactions. This level is now acting as a sell-side opportunity, where sellers are expected to defend.
🔻 Sell Bias:
As long as price remains below the resistance zone, the bias stays bearish. Signs of rejection or bearish structure on the 15-minute timeframe support a continuation move to the downside.
🎯 Target:
If rejection is confirmed, price is expected to move lower toward the marked sell-side target, following the prevailing intraday bearish momentum.
📌 Invalidation:
A clean 15-minute close and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the sell idea.
📌 Execution Plan:
Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, lower high, or momentum shift) before entry. Avoid selling inside the zone without confirmation.
XAUUSD — Post-London Context, Pre-New YorkWith elevated geopolitical tension (Trump–Venezuela news) and multiple high-impact events this week, caution is warranted.
Post-London observations:
Asia opened with a strong gap up following the weekend news
Price has taken out last Wednesday’s and Friday’s highs (previous two trading days)
Current price is trading around 4433, holding above the Asia high
A resistance zone sits between here and 4442
From here, the focus is on how price behaves into New York.
Continuation requires acceptance above resistance; failure to hold would suggest a potential rotation.
No need to anticipate — letting price confirm direction at key levels.
XAU/USD 05 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:






















