ASTER: ready for a pullback? key levels to watch aheadASTER. Who’s been riding this crazy bounce up? I don’t see any fresh game‑changing headlines on ASTER itself, but according to market chatter altcoins are catching a bid again while majors chop around, so money is hunting volatility here. Perfect time to look at the 4H chart instead of Twitter drama.
On the 4H we just slammed straight into a thick supply zone around 0.63‑0.66, exactly where the last local distribution started. RSI is hovering near overbought and you can see the whole leg up was almost vertical, classic move into resistance after a downtrend. I’m leaning short bias or at least expecting a healthy pullback before any serious breakout talk.
My base plan ✅: watch for rejection in this zone and potential move back toward the 0.56 support, with 0.53 and then 0.46 as deeper liquidity pockets if sellers really press. If price closes above this supply area with strong volume and RSI cools off through time, that flips the script and opens the door to the next resistance cluster higher. I might be wrong, but for now I’m staying patient and only interested in longs after a shakeout, not at the top of a vertical pump.
Pullback
WLDN (USA) - Energy Services Leader Hits A Speed BumpWilldan Group Inc has been a massive outperformer over the last twelve months, putting up gains of roughly 230% and that's after a 25% pullback! Based in California, they provide technical and consulting services focused on energy transition and grid modernization . This has been a hot sector lately, especially with the rising power demands from data centers and the general push toward electrification. When a stock climbs that high that fast, you usually expect a breather, but the recent 25% drop off the new highs in the last few days has been a bit sharper than your average consolidation.
Fundamentally, the business still looks solid with strong organic growth and a growing backlog of utility contracts. The recent sell-off doesn't seem to be tied to a specific disaster, but rather a combination of the stock reaching a very high valuation and some natural nervousness ahead of their earnings report later this month. There are also reports of increased competition in the niche energy efficiency space, which might be making some holders a bit jumpy after such a big run. For a trend follower, this looks like a typical case of the market doing a double check and taking some profit off the table after getting a bit too excited.
Annual Revenues are going from strength to strength. Will upcoming earnings do the same?
Technically, the chart shows the price has fallen back toward the 50-day SMA , which is exactly the kind of value area momentum traders look for in a strong uptrend. The RSI has crashed down from overbought territory and is now sitting in a much more neutral zone, which flushes out some of the hype / fomo based trades. While the MACD has crossed bearishly and the histogram is showing some momentum to the downside, we are reaching a level where buyers have stepped in previously. I’m waiting to see if the price can stabilize here and show a bit of a turn to prove the primary trend is still in play.
Might be worth a watch.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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XAUUSD PULLBACK (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's what do you think about gold
Gold is currently trading with a bullish market bias, supported by strong buying interest above key support levels. The overall price structure favors buyers, and short-term pullbacks are considered healthy retracements within the uptrend.
🟢 Support Zone: 4500
The 4530 level is acting as a strong bullish support zone. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
🟢 Second Support: 4380
The 4380 level represents a deeper demand and safety support area. A retracement toward this level may attract buyers again. A break below 4380 would weaken the bullish structure.
🔴 Resistance: 4775
The 4775 level is the nearest resistance where short-term selling pressure may appear.
🔴 Supply Zone: 5000
The 5000 level is a major long-term supply zone and a potential upside target if bullish momentum continues.
📈 Market Bias
Above 4500 → Bullish trend remains active
Pullbacks toward 4500 – 4380 → Buy-on-dips zone
Break below 4380 → Bullish setup invalid
Overall, Gold favors a buy-on-dips strategy while holding above the key support zones.
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BTCUSD (1H) — RegimeWorks E1 Short | Why the trade openedThis entry is not discretionary. It triggered because the RegimeWorks Engine 1 conditions aligned: permission (context) → trigger (price action) → risk (defined invalidation).
1) Permission (context had to be “on”)
From the chart structure:
BTC had an aggressive downside impulse earlier, then shifted into a choppy consolidation / pullback under overhead resistance.
Price was trading below the higher EMA cluster (downside pressure / bearish structure still dominant).
The move back up was treated as a pullback into supply, not a fresh long regime.
RegimeWorks interpretation: if the broader context is bearish and price is retracing into resistance, E1 looks for continuation shorts — but only when the trigger confirms.
2) Trigger (what actually caused the entry)
Engine 1 fired when price:
Pushed into the resistance zone (your red risk box area / rejection region),
Failed to reclaim and hold higher, and
Printed continuation confirmation (rejection + loss of short-term support), indicating the pullback was likely done.
In simple terms:
pullback into supply → rejection → continuation trigger
That sequence is the E1 entry template.
3) Risk framework (why this is a valid E1 trade)
The trade is valid because it has objective invalidation:
Stop is positioned above the rejection/supply area (if price accepts above that zone, the short idea is wrong).
Target is set toward the next logical downside area (your green box projects into the lower liquidity / support region).
This is critical RegimeWorks style: the engine doesn’t “predict” — it executes only when it can define where it’s wrong.
4) Why it opened here (and not earlier)
Because E1 waits for:
a pullback into a known resistance region and
confirmation that buyers failed (rejection + continuation structure).
Without that, it stays idle and avoids noise trades.
This short opened because BTCUSD was in a bearish continuation context, price retraced into resistance, then rejected and confirmed continuation, giving E1 a clean entry with defined invalidation and a downside objective.
Not a guarantee — just a rules-based execution when permission was present.
USD/JPY Shows Sharp Decline – Wave 3 of Bearish Impulse in PlayAfter hitting January 2025 highs, USD/JPY reverses sharply, signaling potential further downside while a corrective wave rally may provide resistance near 154–155.
USD/JPY is pulling back sharply after reaching the January 2025 high resistance within the 5th wave of its previous bullish cycle. This reversal is not unexpected, and the current strong downward extension appears to be wave 3 of a five-wave bearish impulse, suggesting there could still be room for further weakness.
Traders should, however, be cautious of a potential wave 4 corrective rally, which could push the price back toward the recently opened gap and the former swing lows and highs in the 154–155 area, a zone likely to act as resistance in the coming days.
Overall, the structure indicates a continuation of the bearish trend after the corrective phase, so monitoring for retracements and key resistance levels will be essential for positioning.
SOL 15m LONG TP HIT _ Continuation Timeframe: 15m (SOLUSDT.P)
Trade recap:
SOL respected the intraday support cluster around 125.6–125.1, reclaimed structure, and expanded into the next liquidity area.
Entry idea: reclaim/continuation trigger off 125.6–125.1
Take Profit: 127.60 ✅ (hit)
Key levels:
• Support cluster: 125.6–125.1
• Invalidation: 124.85 (aggressive) / 123.94 (hard invalidation)
• Target / liquidity: 127.6
Execution note (important):
Avoid taking signals during low-visibility / choppy conditions (tight ranges, unclear direction). In those moments, indicators can produce noisy signals. The higher-probability approach is to wait until price chooses a direction, align with your structure/HTF bias, and execute with the trend.
Risk management:
Once momentum expands, protect the position (move to BE or trail below the latest 15m structure) while trend remains intact.
—
🔗 FPZ Lite (free indicator):
If you want more trade recaps and execution plans, follow for updates.
IRMD (USA) - Niche MedTech TrendingiRadimed has been a quiet achiever over the last year, racking up a gain of around 67% . Based in Florida, they dominate a very specific niche: non-magnetic medical devices designed to work safely inside MRI rooms. While the big tech names get all the headlines, this little player has established a strong, steady uptrend by owning its corner of the market.
Fundamentally, the story for 2026 is all about their new 3870 Infusion Pump . The rollout is gaining traction and looks to be a major revenue driver this year. The financials back this up with year on year revenue climbing steadily, and they run with impressive net margins around 26% . The recent pause in price likely comes down to two things: natural exhaustion after hitting all-time highs near $104 , and some recent insider selling by the CEO in January. With its next earnings reports only 2 days away, its more of a risky entry but the last couple it has run well - so be careful of your timing and risk management if you like the look of it before this time.
Technically, the chart shows a clear rhythm. The yellow circles I’ve marked showed what happened in the last couple of earnings announcements, and you can see how throughout the move the price typically respects those 20 and 50-day SMAs . Every time it dips into that zone, buyers step back in. Right now, we are seeing a tight consolidation just under the highs. The RSI has cooled off from overbought levels down to a healthy neutral zone, and the MACD is resetting. This "flagging" action often happens right before the next leg up, provided the $95-$98 support level holds.
Could be one to keep an eye on but be aware of the next couple of days and see what happens post earnings.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world. ..................................................
GOLD M15 Bullish Continuation From LTF FVG📝 Description
TVC:GOLD on the 15-minute timeframe remains in a bullish structure after a strong impulsive move. Price has retraced into a 15m Fair Value Gap while holding above a valid 30m bullish Order Block, signaling continuation rather than reversal.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 4,931.8
• Stop Loss: Below 4,919
• TP1: 4,947
• TP2: 4,958
• TP3: 4,967 (Buy-Side Liquidity)
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Clean bullish displacement confirms intent
• Pullback remains corrective
• Entry aligned with LTF FVG inside bullish leg
• Targets positioned at external Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
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📌 Summary
Gold is showing healthy bullish continuation behavior. Holding above the 15m FVG keeps the bullish scenario valid with a draw toward higher liquidity levels.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Gold remains supported under risk-hedging demand and dollar sensitivity, reinforcing bullish technical continuation in the short term.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
EURUSD M15 Bearish Pullback Into FVG and Continuation Setup📝 Description
EURUSD on the 15-minute timeframe is trading within a corrective pullback after a bullish impulse and is now reacting inside a refined M30 Fair Value Gap. Price shows signs of rejection from premium, suggesting a potential continuation toward lower HTF liquidity.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the M30 FVG and recent lower high
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.1738
• Stop Loss: Above 1.1742
• TP1: 1.1731
• TP2: 1.1727
• TP3: 1.1718 (HTF FVG draw)
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Pullback into M30 FVG acting as premium PD array
• Weak bullish follow-through after impulse
• No bullish CHOCH on lower timeframes
• Targets aligned with H1 FVG and downside liquidity
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📌 Summary
As long as price remains capped below the M30 FVG, bearish continuation remains favored with a draw toward lower-timeframe inefficiencies.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
In the absence of strong euro catalysts and with short-term dollar stability, downside continuation remains technically supported.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
SPX Has Now Broken Down From Our Wedge As AnticipatedTrading Fam,
It's time. We've prepared. SPX has now broken our wedge to the downside. Another candle on the daily will confirm this bearish move. I expect the 50-day SMA to give us a bit of a bounce. We may retest the underside of the wedge before further moving down at the end of this week or the beginning of next.
Again, as stated in my previous video post, I would expect us to draw back to at least that 200-day SMA in red. More likely, we'll go to support, which intersects with that 350-day SMA (orange) at around 6100. If we go lower and break below that 350-day SMA, we're likely to test the bottom of our channel.
Trade accordingly once confirmation of this bearish move can be had.
✌️Stew
USDJPY M15 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Continuation Setup📝 Description
FX:USDJPY after a sharp impulsive drop is showing a corrective pullback into a lower-timeframe FVG zone. Price remains capped below the descending structure, suggesting the move is corrective rather than a trend reversal.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the FVG and descending channel
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 158.42 (FVG Rejection)
• Stop Loss: Above 158.53
• TP1: 158.29
• TP2: 158.19
• TP3: 158.10 (sell-side liquidity draw)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Pullback into LTF FVG after impulsive sell
• No bullish CHOCH confirmed
• Structure remains bearish below dynamic trendline
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🧩 Summary
As long as price stays below the H1 FVG and descending structure, the expectation remains for continuation toward lower liquidity levels.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With easing inflation pressures and softer USD momentum, USDJPY is vulnerable to downside correction. As long as dollar strength fails to extend, pullbacks may develop into a bearish move, favoring downside continuation over renewed highs.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
EURUSD H4 HTF Downtrend Pullback and Bullish Reaction Setup📝 Description
EURUSD after a sustained H4 bearish leg is showing a corrective pullback from HTF lows. Price is currently reacting from a local demand zone while holding above the recent H4 liquidity low, suggesting a short-term bullish correction within a broader corrective phase.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the H4 pullback low
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.1635
• Stop Loss: Below 1.1616
• TP1: 1.1655
• TP2: 1.1672
• TP3: 1.1692
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• H4 BOS completed to the downside, current move classified as corrective
• Reaction from H4 demand and liquidity sweep supports short-term upside
• Downtrend structure remains intact unless HTF high is reclaimed
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🧩 Summary
EURUSD is positioned for a controlled bullish correction as long as price holds above the recent H4 low. The move is considered corrective, targeting nearby HTF PD arrays before any potential continuation of the broader trend.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With today’s focus on US Unemployment Claims, volatility risk remains elevated. As this data can quickly shift USD sentiment, positioning on EURUSD should be managed with tighter risk controls, allowing the market to confirm direction after the release rather than anticipating the outcome.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
007660 (Korea) - ISU Petasys Major Momentum RunnerISU Petasys Co., Ltd. has had an incredible run, gaining over 360% in the last year. Based in South Korea, they are a major player in manufacturing multi-layer printed circuit boards (PCBs) used in networking and AI infrastructure .
The fundamental story here is all about the demand for high-performance computing and data centres. As a supplier to global tech giants, they’ve ridden the AI wave hard. The recent pullback doesn't look like a business failure; it looks like standard profit-taking after the stock got a bit ahead of itself. The demand for high-spec network boards in the AI space remains a strong driver.
Technically, the pullback has been a deep 30% drop back into value . Price fell through the shorter-term averages and is now looking like it is recovering and moving away from the more critical 100-day SMA (the red line). This is often where longer-term trends find support after a deep correction. The RSI has cooled all the way down to a neutral 49, resetting the overbought conditions we saw earlier. The MACD is still negative, but the selling pressure seems to be slowing down as price consolidates in this zone.
Might be worth a watch to see if it runs again. AI led demand isn't going away any time soon.
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ABOUT ME: Global TradingView Moderator (English) and full-time trader. I focus on top-performing stocks worldwide , trading momentum and clean trend continuations after pullbacks. I use a trailing stop customised for each stock to manage risk, lock in gains, and exit when the trend ends. Nothing I post is trading advice. I simply like to highlight interesting companies from around the world that may be worth a closer look. Please give this idea a BOOST if you found it interesting, and FOLLOW ME to discover more standout stocks and businesses from global markets.
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USDJPY M15 FVG Pullback and Intraday Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description
FX:USDJPY has completed a sharp corrective selloff into a well-defined M15–H1 FVG zone. Price is now stabilizing after a liquidity sweep, suggesting the move is corrective rather than the start of a broader bearish reversal.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 pullback low and FVG base
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 158.6
• Stop Loss: Below 158.47
• TP1: 158.85
• TP2: 159.06
• TP3: 159.22 (H1 FVG / liquidity draw)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Clean reaction from H1–M15 FVG support
• Selloff classified as liquidity grab, not structural BOS
• Bullish continuation favored while higher lows hold
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🧩 Summary
As long as price remains above the current FVG support, USDJPY is positioned for an intraday bullish continuation toward nearby liquidity and H1 imbalance targets.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Ongoing USD resilience and a persistent policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ continue to support upside in USDJPY. As long as US yields remain firm, bullish continuation is favored, with pullbacks likely offering continuation opportunities rather than signaling reversal.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
SILVER M30 Prior High Test and Momentum Exhaustion Setup📝 Description
TVC:SILVER has pushed back into the previous swing high, completing a full recovery from the prior corrective leg. While price has successfully reached this key resistance area, the move is increasingly corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum conditions suggest exhaustion near the highs rather than strong continuation.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 84.3
• Stop Loss: 85.15 (Invalidation on RSI(14) acceptance above the 70 level)
• TP1: 82.91
• TP2: 81.93
• TP3: 80.96 (HTF draw / lower liquidity)
The displayed targets represent the primary downside objectives. However, if RSI(14) breaks and holds above the 70 region, this setup becomes invalid, signaling renewed bullish strength instead of exhaustion.
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price has tagged prior high liquidity (BSL)
• Current leg shows signs of momentum loss near resistance
• No strong impulsive continuation after the high test
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🧩 Summary
TVC:SILVER is trading at a critical inflection point. While price has reached the previous high, momentum conditions do not currently support strong continuation. As long as RSI remains below overbought acceptance, the expectation favors a corrective pullback toward lower PD arrays.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Broader sentiment remains balanced, with no immediate macro catalyst forcing aggressive upside continuation. In such conditions, rallies into prior highs are more likely to resolve through consolidation or corrective pullbacks unless momentum and risk appetite expand decisively.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPUSD H1 Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep and Bullish FVG Reclaim📝 Description
GBPUSD has been trending lower and recently swept sell-side liquidity below the H4 lows. After this liquidity grab, price is now stabilizing inside a discount zone, reacting positively around the H1/H30 FVG area.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish (Pullback)
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.3429
• Stop Loss: Below 1.3410
• TP1: 1.3450
• TP2: 1.3465
• TP3: 1.3503
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Clear SSL sweep of H4 lows
• Price trading in HTF discount
• Multiple H1 / M30 FVGs above acting as magnets
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🧩 Summary
This setup favors a sell-side liquidity grab followed by bullish mean reversion. As long as price holds above the recent low and respects the FVG base, upside continuation toward higher liquidity pools remains the higher-probability scenario.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Despite generally USD-supportive data, the market has largely priced in the higher-for-longer narrative. With no fresh GBP-negative catalyst today, USD strength may stall, opening room for a short-term corrective pullback higher in GBPUSD. As long as upside is treated as counter-trend and tactical, intraday longs can play out before USD demand potentially reasserts itself.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Recent Movers – Pullback ExamplesRecent session showed several short-term momentum opportunities. The watchlist was created based on a normalized condition: stocks that made a 52-week high within the last three months. From this scan multiple names were selected with focus on viable pullback trades.
A pullback is a short-term counter-move in response to an impulse move. It represents a controlled reversion toward the mean and provides a structured way to participate if momentum resumes.
There is a pullback indicator is shown on the charts as a visual reference. It shows when price moves outside recent behavior and marks the subsequent reversion. The indicator was not made for entries, but for standardization and consistent evaluation.
Example Charts:
ADI
CPRI
CTRI
SOLV
RF
PFG
NTRS
More than 35 percent of the current watchlist is concentrated in the financial sector. This was also visible through sector relative strength over the past month, led by XLB (Materials) and XLF (Financials). This view can support a top-down perspective but is not required.
GBPUSD M30 - HTF Bullish Trend, LTF Liquidity-Gathering Pullback📝 Description
GBPUSD on M30 is trading inside a short-term pullback while the higher-timeframe bias remains bullish. This pause looks corrective rather than distributive, giving price room to collect additional liquidity before the next expansion in line with the HTF trend.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation after pullback completion
Short Setup:
• Entry (Sell): 1.3502
• Stop Loss: Below 1.3517
• TP1: 1.3485
• TP2: 1.3475
• TP3: 1.3465
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• HTF structure remains bullish
• Current move is a M30 pullback, not a reversal
• FVGs below acting as liquidity magnets
• Setup favors liquidity grab then continuation
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🧩 Summary
As long as GBPUSD holds the pullback structure on M30, this consolidation is likely doing one thing: grabbing liquidity. Once collected, odds favor a continuation higher in line with the HTF trend.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With no major GBP-specific catalysts this week, USD-side data remains the primary driver. As long as US macro releases stay firm, downside moves in GBPUSD are likely corrective rather than impulsive. Patience is warranted, allowing pullbacks to complete before positioning, while managing risk ahead of key US data that could shift short-term sentiment.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
BG Trade ReviewRecent sessions produced several short-term momentum opportunities. The watchlist was created from a scan for stocks making new 52-week highs within the last three months. From this scan, about 20 names were selected.
There were multiple continuation setups, for example BG, BTU, ADI, M, SOLV, PFG, NTRS, RF, and others. Some names remain indecisive so far, such as CPRI and CSIQ.
The approach is to enter within the pullback rather than on late breakout entries, with the purpose of selling into momentum. This means entries should not be chased and stops are placed at a reasonable distance, since the time of expansion is not predictive.
In this post, I review one of several trades. This is not a best-case setup, but simply the most recently closed trade. In BG, there was a prior momentum move followed by a controlled, somewhat complex pullback, which I most of the time tend to avoid. In this case, however, entry was taken on expansion from a lower reference point. Entry was at 90.70, and the position was sold into third-day highs near 95, resulting in a 1R outcome.
Risk is standardized. Position size is fractal 2% of account, stop is placed at 2-3 ATR with a fixed 1R target. These values and brackets are automated via the risk module . Hopefully, I can review more clear setups in the near future.
Corrective pullsback - XPL🐻 SHORT – XPL
Price is facing a major resistance on the 4H timeframe, while RSI is strongly overbought on 15m, signaling short-term exhaustion. This technical alignment suggests a necessary corrective pullback before any further upside. Momentum is weakening near resistance, increasing the probability of rejection.
🎯 TP: 0.1619
🛡️ SL: 0.1809
📊 RR: 1 : 2.2
A clean short setup: higher-timeframe resistance + lower-timeframe overbought → controlled correction with defined risk.
VanEck Africa Index ETF: A Momentum Play Worth MonitoringThe VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) has been performing well over the last year. Nice and steady gains with a recent pullback that could be a good watch for an entry. Over the past year, the fund has delivered a 71% gain and this persistent upward trajectory, including a 33% rise over the last six months , suggests a sustained trend rather than a short-term price spike.
What makes this movement notable is the supporting volume, which has recently been running at roughly 210% of its 50-day average . This level of activity often points toward institutional accumulation. On the fundamental side, the outlook for the region is being shaped by significant cross-border investments, such as a recent 1-billion-dollar commitment from the UAE toward AI development in Africa. This shift toward technology and infrastructure may be providing a fresh catalyst for a region traditionally tied to commodities.
For those who like upward trending assets with great momentum, the current technical profile presents an interesting setup. After a strong run, the ETF has undergone a mild 2.5% pullback , allowing the RSI to settle near 60. This cooling-off period has moved the price into a potentially better value area, while still remaining comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs and the overall price action remains firmly in a bullish structure.
For traders who prioritize established trends, AFK could be worth a watch.
USDJPY H4 Pullback and Bullish Continuation Toward 157.7📝 Description
USDJPY on H4 is trading inside a bullish corrective leg after a strong impulse. Price has reacted cleanly from H4 BPR + FVG, holding above discount and showing signs of continuation rather than reversal. Structure remains bullish as long as price stays supported above the recent mitigation zone.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation while above 156.00–156.10
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 156.3
• Stop Loss: Below 156
• TP1: 156.85
• TP2: 157.25
• TP3: 157.68 (HTF liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse followed by healthy pullback
• Price respecting H4 BPR + FVG confluence
• BSL resting above recent highs
• No bearish CHOCH on HTF
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🧩 Summary
This looks like a classic pullback-for-continuation setup. As long as price holds above the mitigation zone, odds favor a push toward 157.2 and 157.7 liquidity. Shorts only make sense if structure breaks.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
USDJPY remains sensitive to US yields and BOJ expectations. Any delay in BOJ tightening or strength in US data can fuel further upside, keeping the bullish continuation scenario intact.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.






















