PYPL
PayPal Under Pressure! Bearish WMA Break Signals Downside🎯 PYPL: The "Weighted MA Breakout Heist" 💰 | Bears Taking Control
📊 Asset Overview
PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL) - Digital payments heavyweight showing bearish signals after weighted moving average breakdown.
🔍 The Setup: When Moving Averages Tell Tales
The chart's singing a bearish tune, folks! 🎵 We've got a Weighted Moving Average breakout to the downside — and when WMA breaks, it usually doesn't ask for permission to keep falling. Think of it like gravity... but for stock prices! 📉
💡 Trade Blueprint
🚪 Entry Zone
Flexible entry approach - Current market price works as entry. The beauty of this setup? The trend is your friend, so catching this wave at various levels could work. Just don't chase it blindly!
💭 Pro Tip: Scale in rather than going all-in at once. Dollar-cost averaging on the way down can be your best friend in bearish plays.
🛡️ Risk Management (The "Safety Net" Level)
Stop Loss: $68.00 🚨
Look, I'm calling this the "thief SL" because if price touches this level, you need to exit stage left — no questions asked! This isn't financial advice, just a technical level where the bearish thesis breaks down.
⚠️ Important: Set YOUR OWN stop loss based on your risk tolerance and account size. This is just a technical reference point, not a commandment carved in stone!
🎯 Profit Target (The "Escape Route")
Target: $60.00 💵
Why $60? Three compelling reasons:
📍 Moving Average Support Zone - Historical MA convergence area
📉 Oversold Territory - RSI/momentum indicators suggest potential bounce zone
Liquidity Trap Alert - Big money often parks orders here
⚠️ Reality Check: Markets don't move in straight lines. Take profits along the way! Suggested approach: Scale out 30% at $63, another 40% at $61.50, and let the final 30% ride to $60.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Keep your eyes on these tickers — they often move in sympathy with PYPL:
SET:SQ (Block Inc.) - Fellow fintech, similar payment space dynamics 🔄
$V (Visa) - Traditional payment processor, inverse correlation during fintech weakness 💳
NYSE:MA (Mastercard) - Same logic as Visa, watch for divergence 🏦
NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase) - Crypto exposure correlation with digital payment sentiment 🪙
NASDAQ:SHOP (Shopify) - E-commerce correlation, PYPL's merchant base overlap 🛒
Key Correlation Note: When fintech stocks sell off, traditional payment processors often see inflows. Watch the $V and NYSE:MA strength as potential confirmation of PYPL weakness!
📈 Technical Highlights
✅ Weighted Moving Average breakdown confirmed
✅ Volume supporting the bearish move
✅ Lower highs and lower lows pattern forming
✅ Key support zones identified below
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors the short side
⚡ The "Thief Style" Philosophy
This isn't about being greedy — it's about being strategic! 🎭 We identify the setup, execute with precision, and exit with profits before the crowd realizes what happened. That's the art of tactical trading!
Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Price action is king 👑
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
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PYPL USPayPal is a rare combination of value and growth.
The company demonstrates strong fundamentals, is strategically focused on the future, and trades at record-low multiples. The combination of financial discipline, capital return, and AI innovation makes it an attractive asset for long-term investors.
The most recent quarter confirmed the resilience of PayPal's business model.
Revenue: $8.42 billion (+7% y-o-y).
Adjusted earnings per share: $1.34, exceeding analyst expectations by $0.14.
Total payment volume (TPV): $458 billion (+8% y-o-y), demonstrating the platform's scale and activity.
Free cash flow (FCF): $2.3 billion for the quarter, and the FCF margin increased 7 percentage points to 27%. This demonstrates high efficiency and the ability to generate cash.
Key Growth Drivers
Paypal isn't dependent on a single product, but is developing several promising areas.
Venmo: The main growth driver. Revenue accelerated to +14% year-on-year. The service is not only growing, but also becoming more profitable.
Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL): Growing by more than 20% annually, in line with changing consumer behavior.
Upward Guidance: Management raised its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 to $5.35-$5.39, implying growth of 15-16% year-on-year.
Partnership with OpenAI
This isn't just marketing, but a strategic bet on the future of commerce.
Bottom Line: PayPal is becoming the default payment infrastructure within ChatGPT. Users can instantly transition from searching for a product through an AI-powered conversation to paying with PayPal without leaving the chat.
Meaning:
For PayPal: A new, massive sales channel—"AI commerce" (agentic commerce)—is opening. The company is becoming a "commerce bus" between millions of its merchants and AI users.
For merchants: They automatically gain access to the ChatGPT storefront without the need for complex integration.
For OpenAI: ChatGPT is evolving from an assistant into a full-fledged commerce platform.
The company declared its first-ever dividend of $0.14 per share.
There is also a $6 billion annual buyback program. Shares have declined by 6.25% over the past year.
The "Dividend + Buyback" combination is a powerful signal that the company believes its shares are undervalued.
Historically low valuation
This is a key element of the investment thesis. The market completely ignores positive developments.
Multiples: PayPal trades at only ~12x expected 2026 earnings. This is lower than many less profitable fintech competitors (SoFi, Block).
The investor is paying a price that assumes a complete lack of future growth, while the company is showing double-digit profit growth, generating record cash flow, and building the business of the future.
From a technical analysis perspective , we are in the accumulation zone.
The price is near an uptrend line.
The RSI also signals divergence🌎
PayPal: Further Downside ExpectedPayPal initially extended its decline as anticipated, before a modest upward rebound began to emerge. Overall, bearish momentum should primarily persist, likely pushing price below the $50.18 support level and completing the broader correction of the beige wave II. However, there is also a 39% probability that beige wave alt.II has already concluded. In that scenario, the stock would currently be developing a magenta upward impulse and would be in the process of forming (or would have already formed) the low of wave alt. . Wave alt. would then bring further gains, potentially breaking through resistance at $94.97.
PYPL Range: Bounce or Breakdown Toward 75/61PYPL on the 1D chart remains a textbook rectangle, coiling after months of sideways trade. Price is back at the lower boundary near $65.50 with short-term momentum tilted bearish and all key MAs overhead. The MA20/60/120 are tightly clustered around $68.57–$70.63, reinforcing a heavy supply band. Volatility has contracted after October’s spike, so a decisive move from this squeeze looks close.
Primary path: neutral-to-range bias with a tactical bounce off the $65.50–$66.50 demand zone. A daily close back above the MA20 (≈$68.60) would be the first tell, while a daily close >$68.90 strengthens the case for a push into the $69.00–$70.50 cluster and a retest of $75.00. A sustained break and hold above $75.00 would transition the structure toward a fresh up-leg.
Alternative: failure at support. A decisive daily close <$65.20 would confirm a range breakdown and open $61.00. For positioning, keep the line in the sand tight: long ideas are invalid below $64.70; short ideas lose edge above $79.50. Until a break, respect the range—fade extremes and be disciplined with size, as volume on any breakout should be the confirmation cue.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
Sold Half PYPL. Raised Stops.Trading Fam,
Recently, you may remember, my new indicator triggered a BUY alert on quite a few stocks. Paypal was one of them. I entered this trade at around $69 dollars with a moderate target of $79 for a 1:2 rrr. We've nearly reached that target today. So, I've sold half, taken profit, raised my stops, and I'll let the rest ride. You know where to track the remainder of my trades.
Congrats to those who followed me. We've now won the last 13 of 13 trades for an avg. profit of 37%. As I continue to grow in experience with my indicator, we will only get better.
✌️Stew
Breaking: Paypal ($PYPL) Gearing for A 500% Breakout PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PYPL ) a fintech company is set for a 500% breakout amidst bouncing off of support point setting sail for $300 zone.
As of the time of writing, the stock is up 8% with the RSI at 49, there is more room to capitalize on the low buying pressure.
In recent news, the company is integrating its wallet into OpenAI’s ChatGPT.
Beyond that headline-grabbing news, PayPal’s third-quarter earnings results, released before the market opened, revealed some puts and takes. Several key metrics, such as overall account growth, remained in single-digit territory, with some areas of acceleration in other parts of the business.
About PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide. It operates a two-sided network at scale that connects merchants and consumers that enables its customers to connect, transact, and send and receive payments through online and in person, as well as transfer and withdraw funds using various funding sources, such as bank accounts, PayPal or Venmo account balance, consumer credit products, credit and debit cards, and cryptocurrencies.
PAYPAL(PYPL) 1D - gaining traction On the daily chart, the price has confidently broken through the descending trendline — the first strong sign of a bullish shift.
All key moving averages (MA, EMA, SMA) sit below the price, showing that buyers are clearly in control.
Buy zone: 74.50.
A retest in this area (74.5–76) looks likely before another push higher.
First resistance: 79.47.
This level might trigger a short-term pullback, but a breakout above it opens the way toward targets at 85.90 and 94.00.
In short - the structure looks healthy, the breakout is done, and PayPal may be just warming up for a bigger move. Stay sharp - dips could be opportunities, not danger.
PayPal: Trading Sideways Amid VolatilityPayPal has recently experienced notable volatility but has continued to trade sideways within a certain range. Our primary expectation is that further downward momentum will dominate, potentially driving price below both support levels at $54.78 and $50.18 to complete the correction of beige wave II. However, there is also a 37% chance that PYPL has already finished beige wave alt.II at $54.78. In that scenario, the stock would already be building a sustained magenta upward impulse and could break out above the resistance levels at $80.65 and $94.97 during wave alt. .
$PYPL PainPal Bros have attained Nirvana! - Waiting for massive gains, they have grown old and achieved Nirvana!
- NASDAQ:PYPL is getting better in innovation but the company isn't innovative faster. It is bloated with legacy tech and in many places their teams are working in silos with duplicated initiatives and effort.
- Alex is great CEO but stock buyback alone won't help. Law of large numbers and massive competition by various fintech will always be a drag for $PYPL.
- Market likes growth (organic expansion of multiple) which is a like drug for the market participants or massive EPS growth ( inorganic )
Where does NASDAQ:PYPL stand?
year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 5.26 | 5.82 | 6.61 | 7.07
eps% | 14.59% |10.81% | 13.45% | 6.96%
For a mid teen eps%, fair forward p/e would be 15
Fair stock value:
year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
price | 78.9 | 87.3 | 99.15 | 106.05
PayPal: Stuck in Consolidation—Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?We expect PayPal to eventually break out of its current consolidation to the downside to complete the larger correction of beige wave II below the $50.18 support level. Alternatively, it’s possible that PYPL already finished wave alt.II back in April, which could set the stage for an early upside breakout—first above the $78.86 resistance and then even beyond the higher $94.97 level (probability: 30%).
Block | XYZ | Long at $64.84Block's NYSE:XYZ revenue is anticipated to grow from $24 billion in FY2024 to $32 billion in FY2027. With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8x, debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x, and rising cash flow in the billions, it's a decent value stock at its current price. Understandably, there is some hesitation among investors due to competitive fintech market and economic headwinds. But, like PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , growth is building.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped to within my historical simple moving average bands. Often, but not always, this signals a momentum change and the historical simple moving average lines indicate an upward change may be ahead. While the open price gaps on the daily chart in the $40s and GETTEX:50S may be closed before a true move up occurs, NYSE:XYZ is in a personal buy zone at $64.84.
Targets:
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
[*) $134.00 (very long-term)
"PYPL Money Grab – Ride the Bull Wave Before the Reversal!"🔥 PAYPAL HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Trap! 🔥 (Thief Trading Tactics)
👋 Greetings, Market Bandits & Cash Pirates! 🏴☠️💰
This is not financial advice—just a strategic robbery blueprint for PayPal (PYPL).
🎯 THE MASTER PLAN (Day/Swing Heist)
🔑 Entry (Bullish Swipe):
*"The vault’s cracked—bullish loot is ripe! Enter at ANY PRICE or snipe pullbacks (15m/30m swing lows/highs)."*
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief’s SL: Recent swing low candle body/wick (3H TF).
Your SL = Your Risk. Adjust for lot size & multiple orders.
📈 Target: 82.00 (or escape earlier if bears ambush!)
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
Longs ONLY. Hit quick profits? Run. Still hungry? Ride the swing heist!
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car. 🚗💨
⚠️ DANGER ZONE (Yellow MA):
Overbought | Consolidation | Bear Trap | Trend Reversal Risk!
Take profits early—greed gets caught! 🏆💸
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (DYOR!):
Check: COT Reports | Macro Trends | On-Chain Data | Sentiment Shifts 🔍🔗 (.Linnkkss. 👉 is there to read!)
🚨 NEWS ALERT (Volatility Warning!):
Avoid new trades during news.
Trailing SL = Survive the Chaos.
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
👊 Smash "Like" & "Boost" to fuel our next robbery! More loot = More plans! 🚀
🔔 Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🤑🎉
PayPal: Bears Losing Control – AgainPayPal (PYPL) has faced renewed downside pressure since our last update, but the bears failed to maintain control for long. The stock quickly rebounded toward key resistance at $78.86. If this level is decisively breached, we will consider the broader correction complete with the alternative low of beige wave alt.II. This would position the stock in the early stages of a new bullish impulse – wave alt.1 – with a 45% probability assigned to this scenario. However, under our primary scenario, we still envision wave II reaching its regular low below support at $50.18. Thus, renewed selling pressure is expected to push the price beneath that level in the near term. Once the low is in place, we reckon with a new impulsive advance.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
PYPL: Strong Resistance Zone in Play – Watch 73.34 for EntryNASDAQ:PYPL is showing a potential triple top formation near the 73 level. If price breaks above the 73.34 resistance , there's room to move toward 74.15 – a medium-term swing high.
💡 Trade idea: Enter 1 tick above 73.34, set your target and SL based on the 5-minute chart.
Is PayPal's Dominance Built on Tech and Ties?PayPal strategically positions itself at the forefront of digital commerce by combining advanced technological capabilities with key partnerships. A core element of this strategy is the company's robust fraud prevention infrastructure, heavily reliant on sophisticated machine learning. By analyzing vast datasets from its extensive user base, PayPal's systems proactively detect and mitigate fraudulent activities in real time, providing a critical layer of security for consumers and businesses in an increasingly complex online environment. This technological edge is particularly vital in markets facing elevated fraud risks, where tailored solutions offer enhanced protection.
The company actively pursues strategic collaborations to expand its reach and integrate its services into new digital ecosystems. The partnership with Perplexity to power "agentic commerce" exemplifies this, embedding PayPal's secure checkout solutions directly within AI-driven chat interfaces. This move anticipates the future of online shopping, where AI agents will facilitate transactions. Furthermore, initiatives like PayPal Complete Payments demonstrate a commitment to empowering businesses globally, offering a unified platform for accepting diverse payment methods across numerous markets, optimizing financial operations, and reinforcing security measures.
PayPal also adeptly navigates regulatory landscapes to broaden its service offerings and enhance user convenience. Responding to directives like the EU's Digital Markets Act, PayPal has enabled contactless payments on iPhones in Germany, providing consumers with a direct alternative to existing mobile payment options. This ability to leverage regulatory changes to expand accessibility and choice, coupled with its foundational technological strength and strategic alliances, underpins PayPal's assertive approach to maintaining its leadership position in the dynamic global payments market.
PayPal: Upward PressurePYPL has remained under upward pressure, moving significantly closer to the important resistance at $78.86. If the price rises above this level directly, we will have to assume that it has already completed the beige wave alt.II —and thus the overarching corrective movement—with the last notable low. Consequently, in this 45% probable case, the stock would have already entered a new upward cycle, specifically the first wave alt.1 of a turquoise upward impulse. Primarily, however, we expect the stock to imminently reverse downward to complete the regular wave II below the support at $50.18. Only afterward should a new sustainable upward impulse begin—initially driving rises above $94.97.
Indicators that Warn of a Top or Bottom Before It HappensHybrid Leading Indicators use all 3 data sets from each transaction that occurs in the stock market. Today this lesson talks about Chaikin Oscillator and Chaikin MFI. Both are used on the same chart as the volume oscillator reveals the volume and price correlation to what the Dark Pool Buy Side institutions are buying or selling for long term holds. The oscillator also shows pro trader activity and indicates with a spike to the top or bottom of its chart a probable reversal of the trend the next day. When the Oscillator spikes to the top, then a profit taking day by pros or a run down is likely the next day.
When the oscillator hits a V shape at the bottom of the chart, the stock price is likely to move up the next day, warning those selling short to exit quickly. The oscillator also shows topping price and volume changes before the Flat Top forms. It also shows Bottoming development before the recent rebound in $NASDAQ:PYPL.
Money Flowing into or out of a stock is also a critical analysis for swing traders as it confirm whether you should continue swing trading to the upside OR if you should switch quickly to selling short. MFI in this chart is harmonious with the oscillator, both confirming a strong indication of the direction the stock will take over the next few days.
A bottoming formation starts well ahead of the actual final low. This is important to recognize early when selling short, to avoid a huge whipsaw day that can cause huge sell short losses.
When you can read the chart as easily as you read a book, your Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills are finely tuned and you can be proud to be a member of the semi-professional retail swing traders. Let that be your goal, along with consistent profits with minimal losses.
Raise your expectations.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
PayPal: Slight Recovery!In recent days, PYPL shares showed a significant recovery, raising the central question of whether the price will indeed dive into deeper territories once more, as assumed in our primary scenario. In this case, we expect the stock to fall below the support at $50.18. There, the stock should form the final low of the overarching beige wave II, thus laying the foundation for a sustainable trend reversal. Alternatively, the overarching low may have already been settled at the beginning of the month. In this 45% likely scenario, the recovery would imminently gain momentum, allowing PYPL to sustainably rise above the resistance levels at $78.86 and $94.97.






















