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YTD 2025 Market Performance Overview by ProjectSyndicate 🟡 1. YTD 2025 Market Performance Summary Below is a snapshot of major asset class returns through 2025 YTD: 📊 Performance Infographic – YTD Returns (2025) • Precious Metals ◦ 🥈 Silver: +150% ◦ 🥇 Platinum: +147% ◦ 🪙 Palladium: +92% ◦ 🟡 Gold: +64% • Equity Markets ◦ 📈 Nikkei: +27% ◦ 📈 DAX: +22% ◦ 📈 QQQ: +22% • Cryptocurrencies (Risk Assets) ◦ 🪙 Bitcoin (BTC): –4% ◦ 🪙 Ethereum (ETH): –10% Insight: Classic safe havens precious metals vastly outperformed equities and digital assets through 2025, reflecting both macro uncertainty and the ongoing demand for real assets. 🌟 2. Key Investment Themes for 2025 🔶 A. Precious Metals Rally Performance Drivers: • Elevated inflation expectations and rate cut prospects pushed investors into hard assets. • Silver’s industrial demand (EVs, solar, electrification) amplified its gain vs. gold. • Platinum & palladium benefited from supply constraints and vehicle emissions tech demand. • Safe-haven demand lifted gold to multi-decade highs. 🤖 B. AI Technology Sector While we don’t have precise index returns in this report for AI technology stocks, broad AI adoption drove significant equity performance — especially among semiconductor and AI platform leaders: • NVDA Nvidia — continued leadership in AI compute. • AMD — robust gains from data-center and AI client demand. 🧬 C. Biotechnology & Innovation Biotech remains a structural growth sector due to: • Aging demographics and healthcare demand. • New drug modalities and AI-assisted discovery. • Continued regulatory approvals of new therapeutic classes. Although biotech performance varies by sub-sector, its role in diversified growth portfolios remains strong. ⚠️ D. Crypto Markets — Flat to Red • BTC and ETH posted slight declines YTD, contrasting sharply with metals and equities. • Cryptocurrencies did not act as “digital gold” in 2025 — failing to preserve value relative to hard assets. Implication: Risk on/off dynamics favored traditional safe havens over digital assets this year. 📅 3. 2026 Gold Price Forecasts — Institutional Consensus Gold closed 2025 at record highs, and analysts project continued strength in 2026, with a wide range of forecast scenarios: 📈 Gold Price Forecasts for 2026 Forecast Source 2026 Target Notes J.P. Morgan Global Research ~$5,055/oz (Q4) Strong demand & diversification drivers. JP Morgan Private Bank / Argonaut ~$5,200–$5,300/oz Elevated institutional demand scenarios. Goldman Sachs ~$4,900/oz Supported by central bank demand and rate cuts. Bank of America ~$5,000/oz Broad institutional view. UBS ~$4,500 (mid-year) Moderately bullish. World Gold Council (Bear Scenario) ~$3,360–$3,990/oz Bearish if reflation reduces safe-haven demand. Macro Consensus / Technical Models ~$4,000–$5,300/oz Consensus range based on surveys and models. Longer-Term & High Estimates $6,000+ More speculative long forecast. 🧠 4. Strategy & Portfolio Implications 📌 Safe Haven Allocation Given the robust 2025 performance and continued demand drivers, consider maintaining allocations to: • Physical gold & ETFs • Silver & industrial metals exposure • Mining equities and royalty companies 📌 Growth & Innovation Exposure Balance metals and defensive positioning with growth via: • AI & semiconductors • Biotechnology themes • Select equities in cyclical markets 📌 Crypto Positioning Given flat/red performance in 2025: • Reassess crypto allocations relative to risk tolerance. • Focus on long-term structural adoption catalysts if retaining exposure. 🏁 5. Conclusion 2025 reinforced the case for diversification across asset classes. • Precious metals delivered standout returns — driven by safe haven demand, supply constraints, and monetary dynamics. • AI technology and biotech remain secular growth themes, offering upside in equity portfolios. • Crypto assets lagged traditional hedges, highlighting continued market segmentation in risk assets. • 2026 gold price forecasts are broadly bullish, though with a wide range of scenarios — from conservative to highly aggressive institutional estimates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
36
QQQ (NQ-US100) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC)QQQ (NQ-US100) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment turned fully bullish after the CPI data came in significantly lower than expected on Thursday. While the consensus expectation was 3.1%, the actual CPI print came at 2.7%, representing a meaningful downside surprise. This data does not directly determine the outcome of the January FED meeting, as another CPI report will be released on January 13, 2026, which will be far more critical for the FED’s decision making process. However, the current soft inflation trend increased the probability of another lower CPI reading in January, which positively impacted risk sentiment across markets. 📈 Technical Analysis Last week’s QQQ analysis played out perfectly. I hope you were able to capitalize on it. Price reversed precisely from the levels we anticipated following the CPI release. I am linking last week’s QQQ weekly analysis below for reference. After the CPI data, price transitioned back into a clean bullish structure on both the daily and weekly timeframes. On Friday, QQQ rallied impulsively and closed the week with strong bullish momentum. Overall, I think the market structure supports bullish continuation. 📌 Game Plan I think QQQ may directly test 618.5 (Target 1) early in the week, followed by a move toward 625.75. These are the two bullish targets I expect to be reached within this week. Price may also move toward these targets without any meaningful retracement. I plan to close one third of my call options at 618.5 and the remaining portion at 625.75 from the positions I am holding since Thursday. If price pulls back to 611.75 or 607 before reaching 625.75 and prints strong 1H or 4H bullish candle closes, I will look to add new call option positions targeting 625.75. In the event of a developing bearish structure, I will provide updates. However, at this stage, I do not see any clear bearish signals. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
1
$SOFI Volatility Contraction Pattern Analysis (VCP)Overview of SOFI's Recent Price Action In late May and early June 2025, SOFI experienced a significant breakout. Following this breakout, the stock price surged approximately 137% to reach its all-time high. By September, SOFI had already gained around 120%, but this rapid ascent was accompanied by increased volatility, resulting in pronounced swings in price. These wide price movements continued until the stock achieved its 137% gain. Upon reaching its peak, volatility intensified further as the process of price discovery accelerated. Volatility Contraction Phase Starting in early December, the volatility began to contract, and this contraction has persisted since then. This pattern of decreasing volatility suggests a potential resolution point in the near future. Trading Approach and Setup Based on these observations, the hypothesis is that the volatility contraction pattern will resolve to the upside. In preparation for a possible breakout, an alert has been set on the upper downtrend line. If this alert is triggered, it will prompt a search for a favorable risk-reward entry. At present, SOFI remains on the watchlist as a B+ / A setup, indicating a potentially strong opportunity if market conditions confirm the hypothesis. Important Considerations for Investors It is strongly recommended that readers conduct their own analysis and follow their individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, and making thoughtful, informed decisions is essential when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by Brent_Calver
$RUN Cup w/ Handle Breakout AnalysisOverview SUNRUN has experienced a notable upward movement today, gaining 8.89% as of this writing. This increase has propelled the stock above what appears to be a Cup with Handle formation, a technical pattern often associated with a bullish breakout. Given this development, the current price area could be a favorable point for initiating a new position. Typically, a breakout is confirmed when the price moves above a long-term resistance level. Position Details I established a full-size position in SUNRUN in early August at a price of $10.80 per share. Later, in November, I added a smaller amount at $17.95 per share, which increased my average cost to $11.68 per share. Currently, I am up 69% on this position. I did not add more shares today, as I missed the initial surge and prefer not to pursue the price higher. My plan is to wait for the stock to consolidate, even if that occurs at a higher price, since there is no clear area to set a reasonable stop loss for additional shares at this time. Outlook and Watchlist Recommendation I am sharing this update because I believe SUNRUN has the potential for further significant gains and should be considered for your watchlist. I will continue to update this analysis when a favorable risk-reward entry point becomes apparent. Important Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to perform their own analysis and adhere to personal trading strategies. Keep in mind that all investments carry inherent risk. Making thoughtful and informed decisions is crucial when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:RUNLong
by Brent_Calver
SPY (ES-US500-SPX) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC)SPY (ES-US500-SPX) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment turned fully bullish after the CPI data came in significantly lower than expected on Thursday. While the expectation was 3.1%, the actual CPI print came at 2.7%, which was a meaningful downside surprise. This data does not directly determine the outcome of the January FED meeting, as another CPI report will be released on January 13, 2026, which will be far more critical for the FED’s decision making process. However, the current soft inflation trend increased the probability of another lower CPI reading in January, which positively impacted risk sentiment across markets. 📈 Technical Analysis In my previous SPY analysis last week, I clearly outlined the expectation of an early week pullback followed by a precise reversal level. That scenario played out exactly as anticipated. Following the CPI release, price completed its reversal and closed the week with very strong bullish price action on Friday. In my opinion, this behavior suggests that the corrective phase has likely ended and price is now preparing for continuation to the upside. 📌 Game Plan I think price may target the 683.5 level early in the week. For call options and long positions, the key lower timeframe reaction zones I will be monitoring are 678.25 and 675.25. If price rallies directly toward 683.5, I plan to sell the majority of my existing call positions around that level. However, if price first tests 678.25 or 675.25 before reaching 683.5, I am considering adding additional call exposure from those zones. That said, my decision to enter will strongly depend on 1H and 4H candle closes. I will not enter positions in a market that simply breaks through these levels. If price tests these zones and prints strong bullish 1H or 4H closes, that is when I will begin executing call option entries. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Nasdaq ETF QQQ: Liquidity Sweep Then Expansion Play📊 ASSET DETAILS Instrument: QQQ — Invesco QQQ Trust Series Market: NASDAQ Type: ETF Trading Style: Swing Trade Bias: 🟢 Bullish 🧠 MARKET STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL CONTEXT QQQ is currently respecting a bullish market structure, supported by a triangular moving average pullback and clean retest. This behavior typically signals trend continuation, not reversal, provided key liquidity zones remain defended. 📌 Key confirmations: Higher-timeframe trend intact Price reacting positively to dynamic support Healthy pullback (not impulsive selling) Liquidity resting below current price action 🧩 TRADE PLAN — THIEF STYLE (EDUCATIONAL / ENTERTAINMENT) 🟢 Bias Bullish continuation scenario 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (THIEF LAYER METHOD) This plan uses a layered limit order approach, commonly known as a scaling-in / cost-averaging style entry. You may also choose any price level entry based on your own confirmation. Example Layered Buy Limits: 605.00 610.00 615.00 620.00 ➡️ You may increase or adjust layers based on your own risk profile and execution model. ⚠️ This method is designed to avoid emotional chasing and allows flexibility during volatility. 🛑 STOP LOSS (REFERENCE LEVEL) Stop Level: 600.00 📌 Note for Thief OGs: This stop level is not a recommendation. Risk management is your personal responsibility. Use your own stop logic if it better fits your strategy. 🎯 TARGET / EXIT ZONE Primary Target: 650.00 📍 Rationale: Strong resistance / supply zone Potential overbought conditions Possible liquidity trap above highs 🧠 When price reaches this zone, capital preservation > greed. Escaping with profits is always a professional move. 📌 Reminder: This target is not mandatory — partials, trailing exits, or custom targets are valid alternatives. 🔗 RELATED PAIRS & CORRELATED MARKETS TO WATCH 📈 AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) Confirms broader market risk-on sentiment Strength in SPY often supports continuation in QQQ 💻 NASDAQ:AAPL / NASDAQ:MSFT / NASDAQ:NVDA Heavy-weight components of QQQ Institutional accumulation in these names often leads QQQ direction 💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) Weak or sideways DXY typically supports tech strength Strong DXY may slow upside momentum 📉 TVC:VIX Rising VIX = caution Suppressed VIX supports bullish continuation ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES (READ BEFORE COMMENTING) This setup is educational & entertainment-based No guarantee of outcome Markets can invalidate any setup at any time Always manage risk and position size responsibly ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun. Nothing here should be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by The-Thief
QQQ Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 617.26 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 620.93 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 611.35 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
1
$QCOM Delayed News RallyOverview of the Qualcomm News Rally On October 27th, Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. announced the launch of its next-generation AI inference-optimized solutions for data centers. These new products, the Qualcomm® AI200 and AI250 chip-based accelerator cards and racks, are built on the company’s NPU technology leadership. They deliver rack-scale performance and superior memory capacity, enabling fast AI inference with exceptional performance per dollar per watt. This marks a significant advancement for scalable, efficient, and flexible generative AI across various industries. Market Reaction and Stock Performance Following the announcement, trading volume on October 27th surged—possibly reaching the highest levels ever recorded for the stock. Qualcomm’s share price responded positively, gaining approximately 22% and ultimately closing up just over 11% for the day. However, after this initial rally, profit-taking led to a selloff, and the stock reached a closing low on November 20th. Trading Strategy and Position Management After observing the market reaction to the news, I chose not to pursue the upward price movement immediately. Instead, I patiently waited for a pullback, which turned out to be deeper than anticipated. Over the following weeks, I identified the downtrend and drew a trend line. When the stock price broke above this downtrend line, I entered a half-size position, setting a stop just below the day’s low. The stock climbed swiftly, then retreated to test the 50-day moving average (red), where it formed what I interpreted as a reversal candle yesterday. This morning, the reversal appeared confirmed, suggesting the potential for a continued uptrend. With this confirmation, I increased my holdings to a full-size position, placing a stop for the added shares just below today’s low. Disclaimer and Investment Considerations Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and follow their individual trading strategies. It is important to recognize that all investments involve inherent risk. Thoughtful and informed decision-making is essential when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:QCOMLong
by Brent_Calver
Santa Rally Setup: Why I Think Markets Rip Into 2026Santa Rally Setup: Why I Think Markets Rip Into 2026 Looking at NASDAQ:QQQ across 2H/D/W/M: • 2H: breaking downtrend → measured move toward ~$640 • Daily: curling out of oversold + volume shelf suggests $621 magnet • Weekly: divergence risk = key “line in the sand” (lose lows = pain train) • Monthly: pullback still looks “normal” within broader uptrend AMEX:IWM remains the most bullish: 4-year cup & handle breakout + retest behavior. ₿ CRYPTOCAP:BTC : oversold conditions, watching downside toward ~70k if weakness continues. Not financial advice. What are you watching: QQQ / SPY / IWM / BTC?
AMEX:SPYLong
by RonnieV29
2
$PLTR ShortInitially shorted PLTR from 175s on 17th Nov. Closed my position around 153 and bought back for a bounce around 155. Medium term I am bearish on & PLTR, we can clearly see a failed high at around 209. If price wanted to stay bullish it should have consolidated or stayed above the previous high at around 189 but this to me is a trap price pushing above 189 and coming back down. I have closed my longs here and will be looking for LH now, might even go to 185 around the 0.618 Flb level but nothing changes for me I will be looking for swing shorts. Put this post earlier but it was restricted for some reason so posting it again now. Now the price has started to halt near the 0.618 level and we might get the down move now. Let’s see
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by TradeAnalyst0x
1
Post-Fed Breakdown: 25 bps Rate Cut + QE Restart = Risk-On Fuel Post-Fed Breakdown: 25 bps Rate Cut + QE Restart = Risk-On Fuel The FOMC just delivered exactly what risk assets wanted: 25 bps rate cut Restart of QE with $40B/month in Treasury purchases This is the liquidity cocktail that historically lights up small caps, high beta, and speculative momentum stocks. The liquidity train is rolling again. 🔹 What This Means for Markets: QE = immediate expansion of liquidity in the system Lower rates = easier credit + higher equity multiples Small caps ( AMEX:IWM ) historically outperform in the early QE phase High beta + speculative names tend to catch the strongest flows This is the exact macro environment where markets rip even if fundamentals are messy. 🔹 What I’m Watching: 1️⃣ AMEX:IWM – Small Caps If we get a retest in AMEX:IWM , I’ll be looking to buy calls. These QE environments are where the Russell 2000 becomes a rocket ship. 2️⃣ Momentum Leaders: NASDAQ:WULF – Strong relative strength, liquidity-sensitive, crypto-adjacent. NASDAQ:EOSE – A pure rate-sensitive, high beta energy storage play. Both names should catch strong speculative flows if the market confirms. 3️⃣ The QE Effect: When the Fed buys Treasurys, liquidity bleeds into every corner of the market. Historically, QE ignites multi-week rallies in: Small caps High-beta tech Energy storage Crypto-adjacent equities Meme/spec cycles 🔹 My Game Plan: Wait for clean setups — don’t chase the first candle. Look for IWM dips, not spikes. Keep NASDAQ:WULF and NASDAQ:EOSE on top of the momentum list. Align trades with liquidity — don’t fade QE. The liquidity faucet is turning back on. This is where swing traders make their year.
NASDAQ:WULFLong
by kunal00
QQQ (US100 – USTECH – NQ) WEEKLY PREDICTION - (08 DEC)QQQ (US100 – USTECH – NQ) WEEKLY PREDICTION 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a potential FED rate cut in December. Additionally, Trump’s likely nominee for the next FED Chair Kevin Hassett, a strong advocate of aggressive rate cuts has strengthened this bullish outlook. Markets have already begun pricing in the possibility of earlier and more aggressive cuts throughout 2026, fueling continued upside momentum. 📈 Technical Analysis QQQ is strongly bullish at the moment. In my opinion, as long as SPY continues pushing toward all time highs, QQQ is unlikely to experience any meaningful retracement. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I expect QQQ to reach 629 this week at minimum. A strong move may occur right after the market opens however, since the FED decision will be released on Wednesday, the early part of the week may show some choppy or ranging price action. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. ⚠️This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL