Why I'm NOT Buying the Dip on QQQ (Yet)Many traders are trying to catch a falling knife on the Nasdaq right now. Here is why my system says "Wait."
Looking at the Quant Master system on the 4H timeframe:
Trend is King: The candles are Red. This means Price is below the Volatility Stop and below the institutional VWAP anchor. There is no "Green Light" to buy yet.
Beware the "Black" Zones: If the candles turn Black, it means volatility has spiked or momentum has died (Chop). I do not trade in Black zones. I am waiting for clear Blue structure.
The Exit Was Clear: If you look at the top of the chart, the system printed multiple Purple Triangles. This signaled that the trend was exhausted relative to its statistical baseline. If you didn't take profit there, the market took it for you.
The Plan:
I am sitting on my hands until price closes ABOVE the VWAP (Orange Line) and the Stop Loss line turns Blue.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
Qqqshort
QQQ day & hr reviewWatch these new soft lows. Lower Highs.
Hr chart shows a band to band play within the BB... nice.
Day reflects double wicks w/ HL... bullish. The close was a bit of a rejection... makes sense as the BB are right there. Let's see if we pullback Mon/Tues of next week.
*NVDA & BABA earnings next week. Will be watching....
Have a great weekend. What do you see?
QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025
🧠 **QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025**
🎯 **Setup**: High-conviction LEAP PUT
📉 **Bias**: 🔻 *Moderate Bearish*
📆 Horizon: Long-Term (12+ months)
---
📊 **Multi-Model Intelligence Summary**
🧪 **Grok (xAI)**
• Monthly RSI = bearish 📉
• Trading near 52W highs = overvalued 💥
• Suggests: \$545 PUT
🧠 **Gemini (Google)**
• High conviction bearish
• Suggests: \$590 PUT (expensive premium)
🧬 **Claude (Anthropic)**
• RSI breakdown = confirmed weakness
• Recommends: \$530 PUT for max downside
🦾 **Meta (LLaMA)**
• Moving averages turning over
• Suggests: \$555 PUT – moderate confidence
🛰️ **DeepSeek**
• Long-term RSI confirms bearish drift
• Volatility ideal for LEAP entries
• Recommends: \$545 PUT
---
📍**MODEL CONSENSUS**
✅ Bearish trend across all models
✅ Favorable volatility (VIX ✅)
✅ Overvaluation = downside pressure
⚠️ Strike variance across models → we anchor at **\$545** for balance
---
💼 **TRADE SETUP (LEAP PUT)**
• 🔻 Direction: PUT (Short)
• 🎯 Strike: **\$545**
• 📆 Expiry: **2026-09-18** (413 days)
• 💰 Entry Price: **\$38.33**
• 🎯 Target: **\$76.66**
• 🛑 Stop: **\$24.91**
• ✅ Confidence: **75%**
• ⏰ Entry: Monday Open
• 📏 Size: 1 contract
---
📌 **Narrative**:
Every model says the same thing: RSI rollover, inflated price, and perfect LEAP conditions. Institutions are neutral → retail can front-run the decay. You don’t often get long-dated PUTs this clean.
🎯 Asymmetric risk/reward.
📉 Macro setup aligns.
🎯 Strong long-term positioning play.
---
🧠 Stay smart. Position early. Ride the macro shift.
🔔 Like + Follow for more AI-driven trade setups.
QQQ about to FLUSH?! Let's talk about it!I'm not saying it's over but you have to admit it does feel like we are going to see a decent size pullback...2-6% over the next few weeks on the NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
- TVC:VIX back over 20
- US20Y hit 52 week high
- USDJPY starting to creep towards April lows
- $491.54 GAP to fill on NASDAQ:QQQ
- $447.58 Bigger GAP to fill on NASDAQ:QQQ
- Credit starting to become and issue
- Banks/ Credit companies tanked today
There is bullish pieces as well but we do look extended here and a healthy 2-6% would be welcomed...A break of $475 level spells trouble on QQQ.
Island Bottom CONFIRMED on $QQQ IF we GAP up tomorrow!Island Bottom CONFIRMED on NASDAQ:QQQ IF we GAP up tomorrow!
I only believe we GAP up tomorrow IF there is news of China coming to the negotiation table with the U.S after they have raised the Reciprocal Tariffs to 104%.
If this doesn't happen then this isn't confirmed and we see a retest of $400 IMO!
I'm not playing this as a trade until we get confirmation! Too dangerous!
Not financial advice
How bad will it get? Let's talk about it!🌟 My Market Probabilities: 🌟
1⃣ 15% chance of a V-Shape recovery with a bottom at $410–$425
2⃣ 45% chance of a COVID-like Flash Crash resolving at
$385–$400
3⃣ 33% chance of a 2022-level bear market down to
$330–$350
4⃣ 5% chance of a 2008-level crash hitting $250–$260
5⃣ 2% chance of a crazy Dot.com-level crash dropping to $90–$110
💡 No matter which scenario unfolds, it’s a blessing in disguise! These dips create incredible opportunities to invest in great companies or indexes like the AMEX:SPY or NASDAQ:QQQ paving the way for massive, life-changing wealth over the years and decades to come.
🚀 Think long-term as an investor, friends, and stay focused on the bigger picture!
I'll be honest here friends it's not looking good...I'll be honest here friends it's not looking good...
This may have been a Dead Cat Bounce on the NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY friends.
GAP fills in both names lead to Bear Flag Breakdowns which in my mind leads to the next leg down.
Rejecting 200DMA on the NASDAQ:QQQ and losing control on the AMEX:SPY
Markets are hanging on slightly, lets see what happens the rest of the week.
Not financial advice
MASSIVE $QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!MASSIVE NASDAQ:QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!🚀
I believe we are setting up for a run to the 200DMA around $494ish🎯
- Wr% is uptrending after breaking out of Bearish WCB
- MACD is uptrending with the histogram rising
- RSI uptrending and broke out of bearish box
- Stochastic uptrending into the sweet spot after
breaking out of bearish box
We keep rejecting off the H5_S by wicking off it, which is bearish, but all other indicator show bullishness...
I could be wrong, but it's what the probabilities of everything and my GUT tell me.
Not financial advice
NASDAQ: Correction or Crash?!If this Monthly Chart for March holds then the NASDAQ:QQQ is COOKED!
Next Level: $450
Crash level: $370-$400 🥶
- Breaking out of WCB Trend
- Volume is WAY less than 202 Market Crash (Can get worse)
- Breaking out of Bullish Channel
- Topping tail wicks
Not financial advice
QQQ - The Warning-Line Scenario For A ShortIt's simple a s that:
If price can't make it back into the Fork, then it's doomed to reach at least the Warning-Line.
This scenario likely happens if the current weeks bar close below the Warning line, and the open of the new Bar is also outside of the Fork.
Happy Short §8-)






















