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QBTS – Relentless Strength From $10, Still DeliveringQBTS 1D I’ve had this on watch since the breakout around $10 — and it continues to be one of the cleanest trending stocks in the market. Quantum computing as a whole has started to catch attention recently — the entire sector (QBTS, IONQ, RGTI etc.) is heating up. But honestly, I’m not here for the hype, I’m here because the price action has been flawless. Why I like it: Respecting the 5 / 10 / 20 EMAs on every pullback Each consolidation → clean expansion, no distribution yet Strongest relative performer in its sector Only invalidation would come from a breakdown in structure or if NQ stops delivering As long as Nasdaq (NQ) holds its trend, I don’t see a reason this slows down. Sector strength is a bonus — but the chart is the only confirmation I need. Riding this trend or waiting for a pullback? Do you follow sector hype or just the chart? what sectors are on your watchlist?
NYSE:QBTSLong
by SirCharIes
HOW-TO: Forecast Next-Bar Odds with Markov ProbCast🎯 Goal In 5 minutes, you’ll add Markov ProbCast to a chart, calibrate the “big-move” threshold θ for your instrument/timeframe, and learn how to read the next-bar probabilities and regime signals (🟩 Calm | 🟧 Neutral | 🟥 Volatile). 🧩 Add & basic setup Open any chart and timeframe you trade. Add Markov ProbCast — P(next-bar) Forecast Panel from the Public Library (search “Markov ProbCast”). Inputs (recommended starting point): • Returns: Log • Include Volume (z-score): On (Lookback = 60) • Include Range (HL/PrevClose): On • Rolling window N (transitions): 90 • θ as percent: start at 0.5% (we’ll calibrate next) • Freeze forecast at last close: On (stable readings) • Display: leave plots/partition/samples On 📏 Calibrate θ (2-minute method) Pick θ so the “>+θ” bucket truly flags meaningful bars for your market & timeframe. Try: • If intraday majors / large caps: θ ≈ 0.2%–0.6% on 1–5m; 0.3%–0.8% on 15–60m. • If high-vol crypto / small caps: θ ≈ 0.5%–1.5% on 1–5m; 0.8%–2.0% on 15–60m. Then watch the Partition row for a day: if the “>+θ” bucket is almost never triggered, lower θ a bit; if it’s firing constantly, raise θ. Aim so “>+θ” captures move sizes you actually care about. 📖 Read the panel (what the numbers mean) • P(next r > 0) : Directional tilt for the very next candle. • P(next r > +θ) : Odds of a “big” upside move beyond your θ. • P(next r < −θ) : Odds of a “big” downside move. • Partition (>+θ | 0..+θ | −θ..0 | <−θ): Four buckets that ≈ sum to 100%. • Next Regime Probs : Chance the market flips to 🟩 Calm / 🟧 Neutral / 🟥 Volatile next bar. • Samples : How many historical next-bar examples fed each next-state estimate (confidence cue). Note: Heavy calculations update on confirmed bars; with “Freeze” on, values won’t flicker intrabar. 📚 Two practical playbooks Breakout prep • Watch P(next r > +θ) trending up and staying elevated (e.g., > 25–35%). • A rising Next Regime: Volatile probability supports expansion context. • Combine with your trigger (structure break, session open, liquidity sweep). Mean-reversion defense • If already long and P(next r < −θ) lifts while Volatile odds rise, consider trimming size, widening stops, or waiting for a better setup. • Mirror the logic for shorts when P(next r > +θ) lifts. ⚙️ Tuning & tips • N=90 balances adaptivity and stability. For very fast regimes, try 60; for slower instruments, 120. • Keep Freeze at close on for cleaner alerts/decisions. • If Samples are small and values look jumpy, give it time (more bars) or increase N slightly. 🧠 Why this works (the math, briefly) We learn a 3-state regime and its transition matrix A (A = P(Sₜ₊₁=j | Sₜ=i)), estimate next-bar event odds conditioned on the next state (e.g., q_gt(j)=P(rₜ₊₁>+θ | Sₜ₊₁=j)), then forecast by mixing: P(event) = Σⱼ A · q(event | next=j). Laplace/Beta smoothing, per-state sample gating, and unconditional fallbacks keep estimates robust. ❓FAQ • Why do probabilities change across instruments/timeframes? Different volatility structure → different transitions and conditional odds. • Why do I sometimes see “…” or NA? Not enough recent samples for a next-state; the tool falls back until data accumulate. • Can I use it standalone? It’s a context/forecast panel—pair it with your entry/exit rules and risk management. 📣 Want more? If you’d like an edition with alerts , σ-based θ, quantile regime cutoffs, and a compact ribbon—or a full strategy that uses these probabilities for entries, filters, and sizing—please Like this post and comment “Pro” or “Strategy”. Your feedback decides what we release next.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Algorific
Stop Guessing Risk — Start Measuring It Like a QuantStop deciding risk based on emotion or setup. Do what quants do. Measure volatility and let it define your risk. Most traders size positions emotionally: • "This setup looks strong, I’ll double size." • "I’m not sure, so I’ll go small." → Both are inconsistent and lead to unstable performance. Professionals and systematic traders use a simple principle: Risk is not a feeling, it’s a function of volatility. ⚙️ The concept Markets breathe in volatility cycles. When volatility expands, risk should contract. When volatility contracts, risk can expand. Your position size should adapt automatically to those cycles. This Idea demonstrates the logic behind the new 📊 Risk Recommender — (Heatmap) indicator, a tool that quantifies how much of your equity to risk at any time. 🧮 How it works The indicator offers two complementary modes: 1️⃣ Per-Trade (ATR-based) • Compares current volatility (ATR) to a long-term baseline. • When market noise increases, it suggests smaller risk per trade. • When conditions are quiet, it recommends scaling up—within your own floor and ceiling limits. 2️⃣ Annualized (Volatility Targeting) • Computes realized and forecast volatility (EWMA-style). • Adjusts your base risk so your overall exposure stays near a target annualized volatility (e.g., 20%). • The same math used in institutional risk models and CTA frameworks. 🎨 Visual interpretation The heatmap column acts as a “risk thermometer”: • 🟥 Red = High volatility → scale down • 🟩 Green = Low volatility → scale up • Smoothed and bounded between your chosen floor and ceiling risk levels. • The label shows current mode, recommended risk %, and volatility context. 💡 Why this matters Risk should *never* depend on how confident you feel about a trade. It should depend on how loud or quiet the market is. Volatility is the market’s volume knob and this indicator helps you tune your exposure to the same frequency. 📈 Example use case • NASDAQ volatility spikes → recommended risk drops from 3.0% → 1.2% • SPX volatility compresses → risk rises gradually → 4.5% You stay consistent while others overreact. 🚀 Automating it My invite-only strategy applies this logic automatically to manage exposure in real time. Combine it with the Risk Recommender indicator for full transparency and adaptive position sizing. 🎯 Summary ✅ Stop guessing risk size. ✅ Let volatility guide you. ✅ Keep risk constant, results consistent. That’s how quants survive. That’s how traders evolve. #RiskManagement #Volatility #ATR #PositionSizing #Quant #TradingStrategy #AlgorithmicTrading #SystematicTrading #Portfolio #EWMA #RiskControl
VANTAGE:NAS100Education
by Algorific
Trend-Following + Donchian Breakout (Regime Visualizer)Most traders chase trends too late or exit too early. Quant systems don’t predict — they measure and adapt. This educational chart uses the public Quant Trend + Donchian indicator to visualize how trend-following and breakout logic can define market regimes in NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500. ⚙️ Core Logic • Trend — EMA(64 vs 256): approximates EWMAC trend state. • Breakout — Donchian (200): identifies volatility-based range breaks. • Volatility awareness — internally normalized to adjust behavior across markets. 📊 How to read it • EMA fast > EMA slow and price near Donchian high → bullish trend regime. • EMA fast < EMA slow and price near Donchian low → bearish regime. • Inside channel with EMAs tangled → range or noise. 💡 Key insight Regime definition + volatility scaling > entry cleverness. Systems survive not by prediction, but by risk-controlled persistence . This public view illustrates the foundations used in my more advanced risk-scaled quant strategies for NASDAQ and S&P indices. #Quant #TrendFollowing #Breakout #Donchian #EMA #NASDAQ #SP500 #SystematicTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #Volatility
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by Algorific
USDCAD - LONG - Conviction: Medium | Chronex ( London • Sep 10 )Hello Guys! 🎯 90 % mechanical | Just your entry model No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open Context: 🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view) - Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session. - Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data. - Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list. - Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*. 📍 Today’s Playbook: Risks 1. Do we have economic high impact news release? 2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones? 3. Has better zone above/below? Verdict: 💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
Long
by darksheeptrades
EUR/CAD: Quant-Verified ReversalThe fundamental catalyst has been triggered. The anticipated strong Canadian CPI data was released as expected, confirming the primary driver for this trade thesis. Now, the focus shifts to the technical structure, where price is showing clear exhaustion at a generational resistance wall. 🧱 Our core thesis is that the confirmed fundamental strength of the CAD will now fuel the technically-indicated bearish reversal from this critical price ceiling. The Data-Driven Case 📊 This trade is supported by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and quantitative data points. Primary Technical Structure: The pair is being aggressively rejected from a multi-year resistance zone (1.6000 - 1.6100). This price action is supported by a clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI), a classic signal that indicates buying momentum is fading despite higher prices. Internal Momentum Models: Our internal trend and momentum models have flagged a definitive bearish shift. Specifically, the MACD indicator has crossed below its signal line into negative territory, confirming that short-term momentum is now bearish. This is layered with a crossover in our moving average module, where the short-term SMA has fallen below the long-term SMA, indicating the prevailing trend structure is now downward. Quantitative Probability & Volatility Analysis: To quantify the potential outcome of this setup, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation projecting several thousand potential price paths. The simulation returned a 79.13% probability of the trade reaching our Take Profit target before hitting the Stop Loss. Furthermore, our GARCH volatility model forecasts that the expected price fluctuations are well-contained within our defined risk parameters, reinforcing the asymmetric risk-reward profile of this trade. The Execution Plan ✅ Based on the synthesis of all data, here is the actionable trade plan: 📉 Trade: Sell (Short) EUR/CAD 👉 Entry: 1.6030 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.6125 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5850 The data has spoken, and the setup is active. Trade with discipline.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
QNT FOR THE WIN!Looking at QNT if youve been following me on another platform under the same name. Youll see we have timed these perfectly. we entered QNT at around $75 sold at $123 the flase breakout/ war and had the rejection right back down to the .618 fib retracement. Once we held beautiful support at the downward trendline, around $90 we had an immediete push up. We wait to see what bitcoin does. If it consolidates or pushed upward we could see QNT push back up to $123 and beyond (currently at the .618 fib retracement). If bitcoin gets rejected, we may see a small pullback but i cant imagine back down past $90 again. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Goodluck and have fun with it.
COINBASE:QNTUSDLong
by NC-HAMMER-CRYPTO
#QNTUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Bull flag near breakoutQuant regained 50MA support after breaking out of the falling wedge, bullish continuation seems likely. ⚡️⚡️ #QNT/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (6.0X) Amount: 4.6% Current Price: 100.30 Entry Zone: 99.22 - 96.92 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 106.59 2) 112.99 3) 120.11 Stop Targets: 1) 90.95 Published By: @Zblaba GETTEX:QNT BITGET:QNTUSDT.P #4h #Quant #RWA quant.network Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.1 Expected Profit= +52.1% | +91.3% | +134.8% Possible Loss= -43.6% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Long
by TradingOn
QNT BreakoutTraders, As you can see from the BINANCE:QNTBTC pairing, that QNT looks to be ready to breakout. As well as on the CRYPTO:QNTUSD Chart on the right hand side, we are about to see a breakout of this trend pattern which looks to be a Symmetrical Triangle. We have many other indications that this market is soon to start moving on some of these top alt coins. This is a simple chart posted to show areas of interest when QNT moves forward toward price discovery. It is very possible to see the final target depicted on the chart on the right by the end of this alt coin season that we firmly believe started last month. Meaning we saw the bottom of the markets for the alt coins that are looking ready to start moving within the next 6-8 weeks. Stay profitable folks, Savvy
Long
by Crypto_Kinfolk
TradeCityPro | QNT: Range Top Test in RWA Uptrend Structure👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I’m going to review the QNT coin — one of the RWA projects currently ranked 71 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.19 billion. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe As you can see, there’s a clear uptrend along with a trendline that has pushed the price up to the 100.7 level. 💥 At the moment, the price has formed a range box between 93.1 and 100.7, with multiple touches on both ends. Currently, the price is testing the top of this range at 100.7 once again. 🔍 If the 100.7 resistance is broken, we can consider entering a long position. This trigger is valid for a long, and if confirmed, the price could potentially move toward the next target at 121.8. ✨ For a short position, we first need to see the trendline break and the 93.1 level get triggered. That would serve as our first confirmation of a possible trend reversal. 📉 A breakdown below the 50 level on the RSI would be the first momentum-based sign of this reversal. If selling volume also increases at the same time, we’ll have confirmation of a volume divergence. ⚡️ On the other hand, a break of the trendline itself might act as an early trigger, but I personally wouldn’t open a position on that alone — it’s too risky. As long as the price holds above 93.1, the overall uptrend remains intact. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
1
QNT - The Bulls are Leading!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After breaking above the last major high marked in red, QNT has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #QNT retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Quant's 2025 All-Time High Potential Revealed In This AnalysisQuant has been producing higher lows since June 2022, a solid base. QNTUSDT is about to close its fourth week green and this week is a full green candle. A strong advance/bullish breakout and months of bearish action recovered to now trade within the bullish zone. What is happening here is the same dynamic that will be happening across all the Altcoins. After a major low on 7-April we get growth, growth, growth. Allow for small swings because the market never moves straight down nor straight up, it fluctuates creating waves. Down-waves, up-waves but something is certain, higher highs and higher lows long-term. We are now within a strong bullish phase. The high in December 2024 produced the highest prices since October 2022 and was corrected to a long-term higher low. A higher high will happen next comes next and this is the beginning of this higher high. The easy target being $211 and this is a higher high but for this higher high to be technically relevant it has to go even higher so we are aiming for $230 or higher, $310. Will Quant go beyond $310? It is possible and do-able, also highly probable. The $410 target is a strong target but can be done. Can I be honest with you? It is possible that Quant moves even higher producing a new All-Time High by the time the 2025 bull market runs its course. Find more details on the chart. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
5
Behind the Buy&Sell Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWhat is a Buy&Sell Strategy? A Buy&Sell trading strategy involves buying and selling financial instruments with the goal of profiting from short- or medium-term price fluctuations. Traders who adopt this strategy typically take long positions, aiming for upward profit opportunities. This strategy involves opening only one trade at a time, unlike more complex strategies that may use multiple orders, hedging, or simultaneous long and short positions. Its management is simple, making it suitable for less experienced traders or those who prefer a more controlled approach. Typical Structure of a Buy&Sell Strategy A Buy&Sell strategy consists of two key elements: 1) Entry Condition Entry conditions can be single or multiple, involving the use of one or more technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA, Stochastic, Supertrend, etc. Classic examples include: Moving average crossover Resistance breakout Entry on RSI oversold conditions Bullish MACD crossover Retracement to the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels Candlestick pattern signals 2) Exit Condition The most common exit management methods for a long trade in a Buy&Sell strategy fall into three categories: Take Profit & Stop Loss Exit based on opposite entry conditions Percentage on equity Practical Example of a Buy&Sell Strategy Entry Condition: Bearish RSI crossover below the 30 level (RSI oversold entry). Exit Conditions: Take profit, stop loss, or percentage-based exit on the opening price.
Education
by thequantscience
1
#QNT Ready For Bullish Rally Despite Bearish Market Sentiment Yello, Paradisers! Is #QNTUSDT About to Break Out, or Will Bears Keep It Trapped? Let's check the latest setup of #Quant and see what might happen next: 💎#QNT has been trapped inside this wedge for months, making lower highs and lower lows. #QNTUSD is showing signs of a potential breakout, but there’s one key resistance level above that could decide everything. 💎Bulls need to break above $115, which has been a major rejection point. A clean breakout here could trigger a rally towards $140-$160, where the next strong resistance zone is waiting. The MACD is showing higher highs while price made lower lows, a classic bullish divergence. This signals that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. 💎Strong support is around $80-$85, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Losing this level would lead to a drop to $61-$55, the next major support zone. The Bulls have defended both of these levels before, so they will probably do so this time, too. 💎However, if the bears drag the price below the $55-$61 support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated. In such a case, the bears will drag the price to down levels further. Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂 MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
3
QNT/USDT Long Entry Signal Confirmed Given that the long entry signal for QNT/USDT was confirmed on February 14th and the price hasn't moved significantly since then, this could still be a favorable time to consider entering or maintaining a long position today. Here's how you might approach this: Reconfirmation of Entry: Since the signal was confirmed on February 14th, you should check if the conditions still hold: MLR still above SMA: Ensure the Moving Regression Line remains above the Simple Moving Average. MLR above BB Center Line: Confirm the MLR is still above the Bollinger Bands Center Line. PSAR still green: Check if the Parabolic SAR is still green, indicating a continued bullish trend. Price above 200-period MA: Verify the price is still above the 200-period Moving Average. Given the price stability since the signal was confirmed, these conditions are likely still valid, supporting the initial signal's strength. Entry Strategy: Action: Enter or maintain the long position on QNT/USDT based on the reconfirmation of these signals. Risk Management: Trailing Stop: Keep your trailing stop at the current PSAR level, which adjusts with price movements, ensuring dynamic risk management. Standard Exit Strategy: Exit: Continue to watch for when the MLR crosses back below the SMA. This would signal a potential trend reversal, indicating it's time to exit the position. Since the price has remained relatively stable, it might suggest a consolidation phase, which could precede a significant move. Stay vigilant for any changes in market conditions or news that could influence the price. Always ensure your trading decisions align with your risk tolerance and the latest market analysis. That is it Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before trading.
Long
by vagada
Qnt forming right shoulder on invh&s while retsting channel ttl I’m hoping the right shoulder quant is now forming here by retracing after reaching that top purple horizontal line, will be a very short shoulder with help from it’s recent golden cross and hopefully the support from the top trendline of the yellow channel that quant just recently broke above. Usually a right shoulder would last for a much longer period of time than I have drawn this one to last in order to be ore proportional with the left shoulder(not shown here), however loopring and a few other charts recently have had very small asymmetric right shoulders on the inverse head and shoulders patterns that their price broke upward from so that may also be the case for quant’s right shoulder as well. We will see soon enough, if Quant is to follow suit with the rest of the altcoin market it’s recent golden cross should give it the bullish momentum it needs to complete this right shoulder as a very small shoulder indeed.
COINBASE:QNTUSD
by DrDovetail